presentación de powerpoint - asur · with master development plan (mdp) is a function of...
TRANSCRIPT
Investment Highlights
• Long-term concession investments in attractive locations in Mexico
• Established regulatory framework
• Track record of consistent passenger growth
• Balanced mix of international and domestic traffic
• Successful, market leading commercial business strategy
• Strong cash flow profile and solid balance sheet
• Robust corporate governance and board of directors with experienced management
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Key value drivers
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50 year airport concessions from November 1998 in attractive locations in Mexico
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Geographical presence
Cancún: Close to major U.S. destinations
Illustrative flight times
from various destinations
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Private airports / airport groups listed on global stock exchanges Fi
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ASUR and GAP are the only Latin American Airport Groups listed on NYSE
Ownership overview Fi
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FCHP & ADO
Established regulatory framework with a track record of rate setting precedents
Note: 2011 Revenues per PAX, expressed In nominal pesos as of Dec 2011; passenger traffic excludes transit and general aviation passengers
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Dual Till System
Regulated +
Non Regulated Revenues
1,318
496269
170
677
1,0151,209
855699
1,038 1,047 1,1091,012
626
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
242 2
Visibility of capital expenditure requirements through 2013
1 Committed investments from May 1999 to Dec 2000 2 242 million pesos have been paid each year (anticipated) – Terminal 3 & Second Runway – Cancún Airport Note: Committed investments according to Master Development Plan, expressed in million pesos as of June 2012 based on the Mexican construction price index
in accordance with the terms of the Master Development Plan; ;2012 & 2013 Estimated
• Key projects completed: 1999: Government capex backlog 2005: 9/11 security standards 2006-2007:Terminal 3 and second runway in Cancun
• Key future projects: Terminal building expansion in Huatulco, Mérida,
Oaxaca, Veracruz and Villahermosa Relocation of the General Aviation Apron in Cancun Passenger flow separation in Cancun Runway expansion in Huatulco Taxiway expansion in Veracruz
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9,902M invested
1999-2011
• Visibility on capital expenditure requirements, as maximum rate negotiated along with Master Development Plan (MDP) is a function of programmed capex
MDP investment commitments (expressed in June 2012 Million Pesos)
1
ASUR’s airports are among the most frequented in Mexico Fi
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Mexican Airports by PAX (thousand PAX)
2010 20111 Mexico City 24,131 26,369 9.3% 2 Cancún 12,439 13,023 4.7% 3 Guadalajara 6,954 7,202 3.6% 4 Monterrey 5,380 5,583 3.8% 5 Tijuana 3,650 3,501 -4.1%6 Los Cabos 2,746 2,807 2.2% 7 Puerto Vallarta 2,735 2,536 -7.3%8 Toluca 2,271 1,689 -25.6%9 Mérida 1,136 1,226 7.9%
10 Hermosillo 1,138 1,201 5.5% 11 Culiacán 1,060 1,071 1.0% 12 Veracruz 834 867 4.0% 13 Guanajuato 854 854 0.0% 14 Villahermosa 729 851 16.8% 15 Chihuahua 828 782 -5.6%16 Mazatlán 756 722 -4.4%17 Ciudad Juárez 634 673 6.2% 18 Acapulco 737 596 -19.1%19 Zihuatanejo 497 481 -3.2%20 Huatulco 386 460 19.2%
Pax (‘000s)AirportVar %
11 vs. 10
1 According to the Communications and Transport Ministry’s website
Source: Company financials, AICM website: Note: Selected airport sample includes ASUR, GAP, OMA and OHL concessions and the Mexico City airport; PAX traffic excludes transit and general aviation PAX
Int PAX Dom PAX Total PAX
10,083 7,457 17,540 4.90%
7,152 13,055 20,208 -0.30%
1,784 9,988 11,773 0.00%
All of Mexico 1 28,904 53,155 82,058 2.20%
2011 Total PAX 06-11 CAGR
Revenue and passenger breakdown
by business by airport
Ps.3,859M
Source: Company filings; Note: Non-aeronautical revenues are derived from leasing of space in airports to airlines, restaurants, retailers and other commercial tenants and access fees collected from third parties providing complementary services (such as catering, handling, and ground transport). Commercial revenues are all non-aeronautical and include revenues related to retail (duty free & duty paid), food & beverages, advertising, banking & foreign exchange, car rental, car parking, ground transport, teleservices and others. Revenues from Construction Services are not included. PAX traffic excludes transit and general aviation.
by airport by type
Cancun
74.2% Merida
7.0%
Veracruz
4.9%
Other 13.8%
Aeronautical 65%
Non-aeronautical 35%
Cancun
79.3%
Merida
5.8%
Villahermosa
3.6%
Other 11.3%
International
57%
Domestic
43%
Regulated
69% Commercial
31%
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2011 Revenues
17.5M 2011 PAX
2011 Revenue per PAX: Ps.220
ASUR traffic evolution
CAGR ’90–’11 (INT’L): 6.7% CAGR ’90–’11 (DOM): 4.4% Source: ASA from 1990-1998. ASUR management thereafter
Note: Transit and general aviation excluded CAGR ’90–’11 (Cancun): 7.2%
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1990 – 2011 CAGR: 5.6%
9.33.4 17.8 9.3 (12.5) 7.6 4.9YOY Growth (%) 10.7 19.4 5.4 (4.1)9.0 (5.9) 3.8 13.3 4.3 8.4 7.7 (1.8) (2.2) 10.9 14.0
3.0 3.4 4.3 4.3 4.9 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.8 7.2 7.7 6.7 6.9 7.5
5.56.4
2.62.8
3.1 3.53.6
4.0 4.1
5.0 5.45.9
6.8 6.6 6.4
7.1
8.68.1
8.0
9.1
10.1
8.8
9.810.1
7.9
8.25.
6 6.2 7.
4 7.8 8.
58.
0 8.3 9.
4 9.8 10
.6 11.4
11.2
11.0 12
.213
.913
.3 13.8
16.2 17
.815
.5 16.7 17
.513
.4 14.6
3.0 3.43.9 4.3 4.4 4.8 5.1
5.9 6.27.0
7.7 7.6 7.78.7
10.09.3 9.7
11.3
12.6
11.2
12.413.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
9M11
9M12
Domestic International Cancun Airport
ASUR has a balanced mix of domestic and international traffic
Region 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 % Change 11 vs. 10
% of total 2011 1
CAGR 99-11
Avg. GDP 99-10
Mexico 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 5.3 5.6 5.5 5.9 7.4 8.1 7.0 7.2 7.7 6.2 43.9 3.6 2.4
USA 4.1 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.9 5.9 5.6 5.3 6.0 6.5 5.9 6.2 6.2 (0.1) 35.3 3.5 2.1
Europe 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 10.2 7.6 5.7 1.8
Canada 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.7 10.9 9.8 15.8 2.5
Latin America 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 17.5 3.5 1.4 3.0
Asia & Others 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
ASUR 10.6 11.4 11.3 10.9 12.2 13.9 13.4 13.6 16.1 17.8 15.5 16.7 17.5 4.9 100 4.3 3.7
1 Note: % of total refers to 2011 figure Note: Excludes transit and general aviation; Source for real GDP growth estimates: International Monetary Fund – average annual real GDP growth from 1999-2010
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Passenger traffic by Origin – Destination (million PAX)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
mar
-00
ago-
00en
e-01
jun-
01no
v-01
abr-
02se
p-02
feb-
03ju
l-03
dic-
03m
ay-0
4oc
t-04
mar
-05
ago-
05en
e-06
jun-
06no
v-06
abr-
07se
p-07
feb-
08ju
l-08
dic-
08m
ay-0
9oc
t-09
mar
-10
ago-
10en
e-11
jun-
11no
v-11
abr-
12se
p-12
Domestic International Total
Oct. '05: Hurricane Wilma
May '09: AH1N1
Jul. '05: Hurricane Emily
Sep. '08: Financial Crisis
Sep. '01: 9/11
Historically, traffic has recovered and grown after exogenous events
Not
e: E
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EVENT RECOVERY AFTER Sep ‘01: 9/11 13 months Oct ‘05: H. Wilma 16 months May ‘09: H1N1 26 months
Type of PAX Historical Max. (%) Aug 12 vs. Hist. Max Domestic Sep’12 0.0% International Sep ’12 0.0% TOTAL Sep ’12 0.0%
8.4M 10.4M
18.8M
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Passenger traffic
during last 12-months
at each specific date (million PAX)
After 4 years, Mexico hasn’t recovered the level of Airplanes Available Fi
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2014 Industry Estimates:
304 available
airplanes
-200
-160
-120
-80
-40
0
40
80
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
jun-0
8
oct-0
8
feb-0
9
jun-0
9
oct-0
9
feb-1
0
jun-1
0
oct-1
0
feb-1
1
jun-1
1
oct-1
1
feb-1
2
jun-1
2
Lost vs. New
Airplanes
Avail
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Airp
lanes
Available airplanesLost airplanes - Suspended AirlinesNew airplanes - Existing airlines
(155)
72307
224
Available Airplanes in Mexico
jun-08 jun-12New
AirplanesVar. %
INTERJET 11 35 24 218%
VOLARIS 17 36 19 112%
AEROMEXICO 94 109 15 16%
VIVAAEROBUS 7 18 11 157%
AEROMAR 14 16 2 14%
MAGNICHARTERS 5 8 3 60%
GLOBAL AIR 4 2 (2) (50)%
Subtotal 152 224 72 47%
jun-08 jun-12Lost
AirplanesMEXICANA 78 0 (78)ALMA 15 0 (15)AEROCALIFORNIA 22 0 (22)AVOLAR 8 0 (8)ALADIA 3 0 (3)AVIACSA 26 0 (26)NOVA AIR 3 0 (3)
Subtotal 155 0 (155)
a) Existing Airlines
b) Suspended Airlines
Source: www.airfleets.net www.aerotransport.org
10
4.9
2.83.4
Selected Int ASUR GAP OMA
8.1 10.1
7.512
.5 17.0
21.2
31.5
44.1
34.9
34.8
46.3
34.9
50.6
45.9
49.3
48.6
57.9 60
.655
.961
.360
.163
.8 66.2
64.4
72.4 74
.6
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 12
Successful commercial strategy
2011 commercial revenue per PAX vs. peers (US$/PAX)
1 International average 2010 includes figures for Fraport, TAV Airports, Copenhagen Airports, Vienna Airport, Aeroports do Paris and Zurich Airport; Note: OMA commercial revenues include parking, advertising, leasing, retail stores, car rental, food & beverage, communications, financial services, ground transportation and time-sharing; GAP commercial revenues include parking, leasing, retail stores, food & beverage, car rentals, time-share, duty free, advertising, communications, financial services and ground transportation; Fraport commercial revenues include real estate, retail, parking, energy supply, advertising and rents; TAV Airports commercial revenues include catering and duty free; Copenhagen Airports commercial revenues include shopping centers, car parking, rents, hotel operations and other services; Vienna Airport commercial revenues include parking, rentals, advertising, shopping and gastronomy; Aeroports do Paris commercial revenues include retail stores, duty free, rentals, car parking, industrial services, shops, bars, restaurants, leasing and rentals; Zurich Airport commercial revenues include retail stores, duty free,advertising, car rentals, ground transportation, financial services, food & beverage, rentals and leasing; Converted to US$ at 2011 average FX of Ps.12.35/US$, 1.39 EUR/US$ and 0.92 US$/CHF where applicable; Note: Commercial revenue per passenger recorded in 3Q’05 reflects a one time payment from Dufry Mexico of Ps.39.5mm; Commercial revenue recorded in 4Q’06 reflects a one time payment of Ps.19.1mm from Aldeasa for a new concession contract at Terminal 3 in Cancun International. Passenger traffic excludes transit and general aviation; Commercial revenue per passenger CAGR based on full year 2000 and full year 2011 figures
1
Commercial revenues per passenger per quarter evolution (Ps. / passenger in Mexican pesos as of date reported)
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Nominal CAGR 2000 – 2011: 22.1% (Mexican CPI CAGR 2000-2010: 4.4%)
1,3171,707
1,985 1,967 2,1042,477
58.8%
61.3%62.7% 62.8%
60.2%
64.2%
57%
59%
61%
63%
65%
67%
69%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Track record of consistent revenue growth and profitability Fi
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Total Revenues CAGR 1999 – 2011: 12.9% Not including Revenues from Construction Services
759989 989 1,001 1,155
1,481 1,457 1,5881,891 2,102 2,043
2,283 2,498
137171 176 239
311
495 607651
895
1,067 1,089
1,211
1,361
741
714
8971,159 1,164 1,241
1,467
1,976 2,0642,239
2,786
3,169 3,131
4,2354,573
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aeronautical Non-Aeronautical Construction
Growth rates: ’99 – ’11 CAGR (%)
Passenger traffic 4.3% Total revenues 12.9% EBITDA 14.6% Net income 21.9% Mexican CPI 4.8%
EBITDA & EBITDA Margin (Ps. Mm)
2010 EBITDA margin calculated without Revenues from Construction Services for comparability with previous periods
CAGR ’06–’11: 13.5%
1999 – 2011 Revenues
Figures for 2010 & 2011 reflect adoption of MIFRS-17 Note: From 1999 to 2007 figures in nominal Mexican pesos adjusted for inflation as of Dec. 31st of each year
Source for Mexican CPI: IMF; Note: CAGRs calculated in Mexican peso terms; Revenues from Construction Services not included; passenger figures exclude passengers in transit or general aviation
220193
209
261244 237
11.5%
5.9%
8.7%
4.9%
-0.3% 0.0%
2.2%
13.5%
5.8%7.2%
ASUR has positively differentiated itself… Fi
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ACI named Cancun the best airport
in Latin America
and 3rd worldwide in its range
in 2011
CAGR in Revenues 2006 – 2011 (%)
CAGR in EBITDA 2006 – 2011 (%)
Revenue per PAX in 2011
CAGR in PAX Traffic 2006 – 2011 (%)
Mexico Aggregate
The first column for each airport group excludes Revenues from Construction Services; the second column includes these revenues.
41 4252 47
37 45 46 5337 39
5060
3958 53 57
3952 49
5944 50 54 5944 49
7 67 8
6 6 7 75 6
68
68 8 10
89 10
128 9 10 118 10
152
157
161 167
161 167 175
172
173
175
175 19
3 203
201
198 205
207
210
208
212
217
218
217 22
923
423
4
1Q'06
2Q'06
3Q'06
4Q'06
1Q'07
2Q'07
3Q'07
4Q'07
1Q'08
2Q'08
3Q'08
4Q'08
1Q'09
2Q'09
3Q'09
4Q'09
1Q'10
2Q'10
3Q'10
4Q'10
1Q'11
2Q'11
3Q'11
4Q'11
1Q'12
2Q'12
Cost of Services Administrative Revenues
Operating leverage as passenger traffic recovers
Highlights
2011 operating cost breakdown (%)
Growth rates: ’06 – ’11 CAGR (%)
Revenue and cost per PAX comparison (Ps./PAX)
• EBITDA margins have increased despite major exogenous events such as the H1N1 outbreak, significant increase in crude oil prices and the global financial crisis
Note: growth rates in Mexican peso terms; Mexican inflation growth rate calculated as the % change in CPI indexed to 2006; total costs include concession fee, technical assistance, administrative services, costs of services and D&A; passenger traffic excludes transit and general aviation passengers 1Note: revenue per passenger figures does not include construction revenue
Passenger traffic 4.9% Cost of services 7.1% Revenues 11.5% Administrative services 11.5% EBITDA 13.5% Total costs 4.6% Net Income 24.7% Mexican inflation (CPI) 4.4% Mexican GDP growth 2.2%
3Q’10: Does not reflect the Ps.128.0 million increase in the reserve for doubtful accounts resulting from the bankruptcy announced by Grupo Mexicana de Aviación
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51%
22%
10%
10% 7%
Costs of services D&A Concession feeAdministrative services Technical assistance
Revenues have grown at a faster rate than total costs and PAX traffic
229
1,042
1,049 1,2
90
1,321
1,719
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0 0 444
150
168
186
205
225
600
1,884
750
900
1,080
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Net incomeRetained earningsDividends paid
Ps. 1
.48pe
rsha
re
Ps. 0
.50pe
r sha
re
Ps. 0
.56pe
r sha
re
Ps. 0
.62pe
r sha
re
Ps. 0
.68pe
r sha
re
Ps. 0
.75pe
r sha
re Ps. 2
.00pe
r sha
re
Ps. 2
.50pe
r sha
re
Ps. 3
.00pe
r sha
re
Ps. 6
.28pe
r sha
re
Ps. 3
.60pe
r sha
re
Profitability indicators
1 Note: Figures in nominal Mexican pesos for the respective year; for illustrative purposes, dividend in each year in the chart above relates to the dividend paid in nominal pesos in the year thereafter, i.e. dividend shown in year (x) in the chart above is actually the dividend paid in year (x+1) according to ASUR financial statements; 2 Note: 2010 & 2011 figures reflect the adoption of INIF 17 3 Note: 2011 dividend approved by the Annual General Shareholders’ Meeting and paid in May 17th, 2012
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Dividends evolution 1999 - 2011
EBITDA – CAPEX (Ps. million)
Net Income, retained earnings and dividends evolution (Ps. thousands) 1
Robust corporate governance and board of directors
Board of Directors
Audit Committee
Operations Committee
Nom & Comp Committee
Acq. & Contracts
Committee
Fernando Chico Pardo Founder and president of Promecap X X X X
José Antonio Pérez Antón CEO of Grupo ADO X X X
Roberto Servitje Sendra1 Chairman of Grupo Bimbo X X
Ricardo Guajardo Touche1
Former president of BBVA Bancomer X X X Francisco Garza Zambrano1
President of CEMEX North America X X Guillermo Ortiz Martinez1
Former Governor of Mexico Central Bank for 12 years X X Rasmus Christiansen 1
CEO of Copenhagen Airports International A/S X X X Luis Chico Pardo
Former economist at the Bank of Mexico X Aurelio Pérez Alonso
Deputy Chief Executive Officer of Grupo ADO X X
• 1 Five out of nine board members are independent • Sarbanes-Oxley compliant • Four committees led by board members • Audit committee comprised of 3 independent members of the board of directors
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High Corporate
Governance Standards
Experienced management team Fi
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Long Serving Management
Fernando Chico Pardo President with company since 2005
Adolfo Castro Rivas Chief Executive and Financial Officer Head of Investor Relations with company since 2000
Agustín Arellano R. Chief Infrastructure Officer with company since 2010 (experience in the industry for 35 years)
Claudio Góngora Morales General Counsel with company since 1999
Manuel Gutiérrez Sola Chief Commercial Officer with company since 2000
Carlos Trueba Coll General Director of Cancún Airport with company since 1998
Héctor Navarrete Muñoz General Director of Regional Airports with company since 1999
What’s Next?
• Further develop our commercial business
• Improve our passenger volumes
• World Class service – ASQ Program
• Improve capital structure
• Monitor new business opportunities
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Short & Long Term
Objectives
ASUR: International Presence in Puerto Rico
• Luis Munoz Marin International Airport, in San Juan Puerto Rico (8.5M PAX / yr)
• July 24th: Aerostar signed a lease agreement with the Puerto Rico Ports Authority: ‐ Term of 40 years
‐ Upfront payment of $615M USD (to be funded by a mixture of debt financing incurred by Aerostar and equity contributions by each of ASUR and Highstar Capital)
‐ Regardless of the PAX traffic, Airlines serving LMM will collectively make aggregate payments of $62M USD / yr for the first five years; years 6-40 the payment will be increased annually by the U.S. CPI
‐ Revenue-sharing payments to PRPA: fixed at $2.5M USD first five years; 5% of gross airport revenues (years 6-30); 10% of gross airport revenues (years 31-40)
‐ Capital Improvement projects: $34M USD
• Next Steps: Application for a Operating Certificate by FAA
Fina
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Aerosatar: Limited liability
company owned by
ASUR (50%) & Highstar (50%)
LMM