presentation contents - egyptian banking...
TRANSCRIPT
Presentation Contents Introduction & Mission Statement
I-Score and IFC
I-Score data repository & Membership status
Impact of I-Score
Power of the Bureau Data
Potential Growth – Private Sector
Mortgage Finance Sector
Mobile Sector
Micro Finance Sector
Credit Scoring
SME Rating Agency
Collateral Registry
Way Forward
Full Bureau –Negative info
–Positive info
World Class Bureau –Negative info
–Positive info
–Public domain data
–Risk management
–Fraud prevention
–Consulting services
Basic Bureau -Negative info
Banks and Non-Banks Credit Bureau
Consumer and Commercial Credit Bureau
I-Score and Forms of a Credit Bureau
Customers segment (Individuals with no limits)
SME Consumer segment (Business/ Company borrowers with up to 1 million LE)
– Information
• Positive Data
• Negative Data
• Legal Suits Filed
• Bankruptcy and Protestors
Recently, including SME Data in the Credit Bureaus has
assumed significance given the strong contribution of small
businesses towards the economy, especially in EGYPT.
I-Score as a World-Class Credit Bureau
will deal with:
I-Score Fundamental Operating Principles
Reciprocity
Provide data = Access to data
Neutrality
Equal Treatment; Facts only
Efficient Dispute Handling
Right to review information
Security Standards
Secured Environment and
Authorized Usage
I-Score & IFC
I-Score as highlighted in IFC Credit Bureau Knowledge Guide
“Jan-2007”
“ The first credit bureau in Egypt, which demonstrates how a private credit
bureau can be set up in a relatively short time when all stakeholder interests are
aligned and the project has backing of the authorities ”
IFC Visit to I-Score Office “March 2009”
“The progress I-Score has made is timely and reassuring. Credit bureaus are a
key financial infrastructure component and remain high on IFC’s priorities as a
means to broaden the depth and breadth of financial services for both individuals
and small businesses”
Peer Stein, IFC Manager for Financial Infrastructure and Institution Building.
“I am very pleased with I-Score’s operation and what they have realized to-date.
This nascent bureau is promising and serves to demonstrate to other Middle East
markets that investing in a world-class credit bureau has many advantages”.
Thomas Jacobs, IFC Financial Markets Program Manager, MENA.
-:نوعية الخدمات الحالية والمزمع تطويرها مقارنة ببعض الدول في الشرق األوسط باإلضافة لدول أخرى
The types of services currently provided and planned compared with other Countries
(Middle East Countries and others)
Positive
Information
Negative
Information Legal Suits
Bankruptcy /
ProtestorCredit Scoring SME’s Rating
Collateral
Registry
Egypt
I-Score
Saudi
Arabia
SEMAH
UAE
EM-CREDIT
India
CIBIL
Singapore
CBS
New Zealand
Production
I-Score overall Progress
Members Status : (As of end December – 2009)
Su
bm
itting
Da
ta
In p
roc
es
s
No
tsta
rted
yet
To
tal M
em
be
rs
Ou
tO
f Se
cto
r
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Me
mb
ers
’ T
rain
ing
Se
ss
ion
s
Extra
ctio
n o
f Rep
orts
Banks 41 __ 0 41 100% 16 41
Mortgage Finance 5 __ 3 8 100% 10 5
Leasing Finance 5 __ 0 5 56% 10 5
Social Fund for
Development
1 __ __ 1 100% 7 1
Retailers 1 __ 1 2 ?? 5 1
I-Score Data Repository Over All Contents (As of End December 2009 Data )
CBE History I-Score Total
(Jun06 – Nov09) (Oct07 – Nov09)
Consumers 1,299,694 4,324,538 5,624,232
SME’s 13,187 43,004 56,191
Total Customers 1,312,881 4,367,542 5,680,423
Total Number Facilities 3,649,660 10,583,840 14,233,500
2009 YTD growth in no of Facilities 50%
Impact of I-Score
I-Score led the process of the creation of the borrower data bank with Unique ID ( GT 5.7 Million).
Significant increase in number of credit facilities/loans data base size ( GT 14.3 Million).
Catalyst for banks/lenders to improve their data quality, revision of internal lending policies/procedures leading to new avenues to grow credit / improved profitability and advanced skill sets.
Impact of I-Score
Contribution to increased awareness among lenders on data quality in acquisition and management.
Catalyst for active credit growth with prudence and confidence by providing a unified and robust borrower database across the lending community.
Egypt Getting Credit *Doing Business Report 2010
* Source : Doing Business Report 2010
Indicator 2007 2008 2009 2010
Credit Information Index
Points (0-6)
2 4 5 6
Getting Credit Rank 156 102 84 71
Power of the Bureau Data
39.8
74.8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Negative Information Positive and Negative Information
Effect on Approvals of Including Positive Information
Ap
pro
va
l R
ate
s
Source: Credit Bureau Knowledge Guide
2.222.42
1.31
0.52
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Large Banks Small Banks
Effect on Default Rates of Increasing Number of Information Sources
Information from a Bank Information from a Bank & Bureau
Defa
ult R
ate
s
88% Increase in
Approvals
41% Decline 79% Decline
Potential Growth – 1Private Sector
Credit to Private Sector averages to GDP Source
10 Economies ranked at the bottom 8% **
EGYPT 35.4%
10 Economies ranked at the TOP 130% **
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
10 economies ranked at the
bottom
EGYPT 10 economies ranked at the TOP
35.4%
130.0%
Credit to Private Sector averages to GDP
10 economies ranked at the bottom
EGYPT
10 economies ranked at the TOP
8%
Source Doing Business Report 2008
Mortgage Finance Market
Value (EGPMil) Percentage
Mortgage Finance Companies 1,100 34.41%
Banks 2,097 65.59%
Total 3,197 100%
Source: Egypt Investment Monitor December 2008, MFA
Mortgage Finance Market as at December 2008
34%
66%
Chart Title
1
2
Prepaid, 95.81%
Postpaid, 4.19%
Mobile Market in Egypt as of December 2007
Prepaid
Postpaid
Mobile Market
Subscribers (Mil) Percentage
Prepaid 29.76 95.81%
Postpaid 1.30 4.19%
Total 31.06 100%
Source: Business Monitor International
Postpaid Growth Potential
Postpaid to Total Lines Date
Egypt 4.2% 2007
Worldwide 24.9% 2006
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Egypt Worlwide
4.2%
24.9%
Postpaid to Total Lines
Egypt Worlwide
HIGH GROWTH POTENTIAL
I-Score can help to rationalize risk assessment process
Source: 2nd Q Business Monitor International, www.pre-comm.com
Potential Growth Micro Finance Institutions
There is no consensus on the market size. Although Egypt has been the leader of microfinance in
the Arab region ,the access of poor and low-income households to financial services remains
lacking in terms of both service outreach and product diversity. The outreach gap estimate reported
in most studies is 90%. Estimate of the total number of potential clients for microfinance services in
Egypt range between 2 and 3 million (some MFIs believe that the market is up to 4m when households and underemployed persons are included). At the same time, it is only an estimated
250,000 of these clients that currently enjoy access to financial services. This means that Egypt’s
market penetration rate is among the lowest in the region. A recent SFD study estimated that a total
of LE 8.5 billion is needed to meet unsatisfied demand within the MSE sub-sector.
(Source: African Dev. Bank 2006 and UN MFI Sector Assessment in Egypt 2008)
I-Score can assist in higher penetration levels
91%
9%
Microfinance Industry Outreach
Do not have access Have access
Approx
Borrowers who
do not have
access
Approx
Borrowers who
have access
2,250,000 250,000
Introduced Dec 2009 for Free Trail
to all I-Score Members
Commercial operation starts January 2010
Mr. John Hadlow, Director of Scoring Solutions for FICO, said:
“Lenders in Egypt are now able to benefit from the early availability
of FICO scores because this implementation by The Egyptian Credit
Bureau (I-score) of our scoring system has been one of the most
efficient and fastest we have observed worldwide due to the high
readiness level of its implementation team and the strong support
of management.”
Credit Scoring
What is a Credit Score?
A credit score is the result of advanced analytical models that
take a “snapshot” of the consumer’s credit report and translate it
into a three-digit number representing the amount of risk a
consumer brings to a particular transaction, such as financial,
insurance or even employment.
As a result of credit scoring, lenders can make faster, more
objective decisions. Lenders retain complete control over their
lending decisions and set their own score levels.
The Importance of Credit Scoring for
Economic Growth
Credit scoring offers multiple benefits at every level of the economy.
Credit scores have enabled lenders to extend into historically
underserved market segments (e.g. SMEs & Microfinance Sectors).
In addition, decisions are now faster and more objective with the
majority of applicants receiving answers within minutes, rather than
days.
Finally, by using credit scores to predict risk more effectively, lenders
have been able to reduce the cost of such vital services as mortgages,
personal loans and credit cards.
Despite this expansion into traditionally underserved markets,
moral hazard rates are actually lower with credit scores because
lenders can more proactively monitor risk and maintain it at more
appropriate levels.
There are five main categories of credit information
which impact your credit score:
1.Late payments, delinquencies, bankruptcies: Past inability to pay
on time will hurt your chances of getting credit in the future. More recent
problems will be counted more heavily than those in the past.
2. Outstanding debt: The more debt one has, the greater the risk that he or she
will not be able to keep up with the payments
3. Length of credit history: With a short track record it is harder for a lender to
assess creditworthiness
4. New applications for credit (inquiries): Frequent credit checks by lenders
may indicate that a borrower is looking to increase his or her amount of debt.
5. Types of credit in use: Some types of credit, including credit cards, provide
you with a credit line greater than the amount you have already borrowed. The
more credit available, the greater the risk to the lender since a borrower can
easily increase their outstanding debt.
Types of Credit in Use10%
New Credit10%
Length of Credit History15%
Amounts owned30%
Payment History35%
Break down of FICO Score
للعميل االئتمان منح في المخاطرة نسبة
Percentage of Credit Risk
( فقـط للتـوضـيـــــح افتراضــية النـســـب)
الرقمي التقييم درجة
CREDIT SCORE
44.4% 300
28.6% 350
16.9% 450
9.1% 550
4.8% 650
2.4% 750
1.2% 850
Future Projects
Egyptian Small and Medium Enterprises
SMEs Rating Agency
Overview
Credit Rating Agencies are firms that compile information and issue credit
ratings for a large number of companies.
Credit rating is an assessment of the credit worthiness of enterprises. It is
based on different aspects including:
• Credit history (if any)
• Financial statements
• Management experience and qualifications
• Suppliers and customers base
• Physical stability and growth
• Market stability and growth
• Competition
• Laws and regulations (etc….)
There are various benefits to the financial institutions, SMEs, and the economy as whole which may be provided by the SME Rating Agency.
1. Financial Institutions
•Ready and reliable third party opinion•Rating reports provide relevant information for loan approvals
•Facilitates lending decision- quantum of loan, price, margin, security• Increased credit volume•Attraction of better borrowers•More accurately evaluation of risk•Improvement of current portfolio
Benefits of SMEs Rating Agency
2. SMEs
Enables best SMEs to better differentiate themselves among other SMEs
A trusted third party opinion
Faster access to funding at appropriate interest rate and other terms
Credibility with business partners - customers, suppliers and collaborators
Tool for self improvement - gives a comparative benchmark
Reduction of defaults as borrowers are encouraged to build reputation
More borrowers are attracted to obtain credit facility
Enhancement of company reputation
Supports company in case of any plans to capital increase through SME
bourse (NILEX)
Benefits of SMEs Rating Agency(cont)
Benefits of SMEs Rating Agency (cont)
3.Economy
Increased investment in the SME sector
Facilitating the transfer of saving into investment in stable
enterprises
Increase in the Gross Domestic Production
More employment opportunities
4. Regulators
Enables regulators to see through a reliable third party
Take decisions to facilitate SMEs development in the light of
reliable third party studies
The Rating process
The rating process puts emphasis on working with the actual data that are
provided by the enterprise or that are available to the agency from other
information sources considered by the agency as reliable.
The rating process is executed under co-participation and cooperation of the
management of the company.
The most important principle is the strict preservation of secrecy on all
confidential information about the client.
Rating has a validity of one year, though the rating may be modified and re-
evaluated during this time.
Two lines of products are offered by the Small and Medium Enterprises
Rating Agency
1-Standard Ratings
Standard Ratings are divided in four categories A,B,C & D. This
classification is based upon a combination of number of employees,
investment, and turnover. Class A being the highest of the classified
SMEs and Class D the lowest.
Class A 5%
Class B 10%
Class C 25%
Class D 60%
Refer to the Revenue Assumptions in the financial plan.
2- SME Studies and Publications
SME studies and publications would include studies on the SME at large
or specific sector in which the SMEs are operating.
Rating Products
األصول المنقولة/ شركات سجل الضمانات
Collateral / Asset Registry
األصول المنقولة/ شركات سجل الضمانات
The Collateral Registration is the term that is used to describe
the combined components of a registration:-
•The Secured Party
•The Debtor
•The Collateral and proceeds ( collateral description)
•The start time for registration
•The end time for registration
•Address of Service of Notices
•Attachments ( e.g.… change requests , additions..etc)
The Basic functions of the Collateral Registry
Function 1 Verification in I-Score Collateral registry by financiers
Function 2 Registration in I-Score Collateral registry by the financiers
Function 3 Searching for interest by person / entity other than financiers
Function 4 Registration of Collateral
Function 5 Authorized broking firms of a financier in searching and registering
of collateral
Function 6 Payment of fees for the servicers rendered by Collateral registry
Function 7 Administrative functions of Collateral Registry
Function 8 Interfacing with other systems
The Collateral description is the core component of the Collateral Registration.
The Secured Party and Debtor are the main parties to the Collateral Registration.
All changes over the lifecycle of a collateral registration package are retained in order to provide the
capability to reconstruct the Collateral Registration at any given moment in time since creation.
There may be multiple debtors registered on a single collateral registration.
But it is possible that the secured party may never be a user of the system, instead a third
party “Broker”
Credit Bureaus and Collateral Registry
Collateral Registry and Credit Bureaus work together
as Public Knowledge Networks “PKNs” to assist in
increasing the probability of gaining credit.
They are an organizational response to the need for
assistance in fixing the problem of in-concurrent
information in the credit markets.
Way Forward:
• Trail began with members 6 Dec 2009 – going commercial Jan 2010
Scoring
• MOU Signed and target to implement by mid 2010
SME Rating
• Is under way with Ministry of Investment – expected mid 2010 subject to Low Issuance
Collateral Registry
• MOU By 2nd Q 2010
Telecom Operators
• MOU By 3rd Q 2010
Insurance Companies
• MOU By 1st Q 2010
Micro Finance Organizations
• Is under study
Fraud Detection / Application Processing
Conclusion
I would like to highlight the immediate benefits to the Egyptian Economy:
Replace relationship/collateral based lending by reputation collateral.
This will unlock significant assets for more productive usage.
Customer will not be owned by lenders. He will be the king resulting in greater choice,
transparency, and competitiveness leading to more credit outflow.
I-Score usage will mitigate risk in lending, reduce process time, improve productivity
and reduce bad loans & NPAs.
Promote productiveness/prudence/informed lending.
Provides a unified customer profile across the lending community. This will be
enhanced by data from sector utility companies (Telecom) soon.
The Egyptian Credit Bureau “I-Score”
1191 Corniche El Nil
World Trade Center
17th Floor
Phone: (+202) 2594-6600
Fax: (+202) 2579-7832
Hotline 16262
Web www.i-score.com.eg
I-Score is licensed by the CBE Board of Directors dated 22 Jan.2008
Contact Information