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President Trump’s “Border

Wall” Cost Dispute Analysis

March 2017

Homeland Security Research Corp. –

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into business opportunities in Homeland

Security and Public Safety

Report Table of Contents

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1 Executive Summary 52 The U.S.-Mexico Border Wall Cost Calculation 8

2.1 Facts & Figures 82.2 Assumptions 92.3 U.S.-Mexico Border Wall Cost Estimation 11

2.3.1 Option A 112.3.2 Option B 132.3.3 Option C 152.3.4 Option D 172.3.5 Options Cost* Comparison 18

3 Appendix A: President Trump's Executive Order on Border Security and Immigration Enforcement Improvement 19

4 Appendix B: Trump’s Mexico Wall Project Geopolitical Analysis 255 Appendix C: 2005-2016 Southern Border Security Issues 296 Disclaimer & Copyright 35

Report List of Tables

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Table 1 - Border Security Elements [$K] Cost per Kilometer 10

Table 2 - Option A: Multilayered Security 3140 km 40 ft Wall Cost 11

Table 3 - Option B: Multilayered-Security 640 km 40 ft Wall + 800 km Fence + 160 km

Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 13

Table 4 - Option C: Multilayered Security 640 km 20 ft Wall + 800 km Fence + 160 km

Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 15

Table 5 - Option D: Multilayered-Security 40 km 40 ft Wall + 1400 km Fence + 160 km

Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 17

Report List of Figures

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Figure 1 - U.S.-Mexico Border Fences and Other Structures - January 2017 5

Figure 2 - Cost* of 4 Southern Borders - HSRC’s Design Alternatives 6

Figure 3 - Breakdown [%] of Option A by Engineering Elements 12

Figure 4 - Breakdown [%] of Option B by Engineering Elements 14

Figure 5 - Breakdown [%] of Option C by Engineering Elements 16

Figure 6 - Breakdown [%] of Option D by Engineering Elements 18

Figure 7 - Multilayered Electronic Security Wall Cost* [$M] Options 18

Figure 8 - One in Four U.S. Foreign-Born Immigrants are Unauthorized 25

Figure 9 - U.S.-Mexico Border – January 2017 Status 27

Figure 10 - Pedestrian Fence 30

Figure 11 - Vehicle Fence 30

President Trump’s “Border Wall” Cost Dispute Analysis

The purpose of this analysis is to make the public aware of the conflicting cost estimates, by using the expertise of Homeland Security Research Corp. (HSRC) engineers gained from past border wall-fence consulting projects.

➢ A careful analysis of the Executive Order Section 3 Clause (e) definition of a “Wall” reveals that it allows the use of any “similarly secure, contiguous, and impassable physical barrier,” which would cost about 10% of the value of a concrete wall.

➢ The Executive Order wording allows the administration to limit the length of the new wall-barrier to 1,610 km. Furthermore, the order does not specify the electronic sensors and other security infrastructure to be installed along the new “wall.”

As the cost of the Wall “is in the details” (e.g., design specifications), HSRC engineers analyzed 4 wall-barrier design alternatives, ranging between:

➢ A maximum-cost concrete wall with multilayered security, 3,145km-long and 40ft-high, from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico, at a cost of $34.2 billion*.

➢ A minimum cost “photo op wall”: a multilayered electronic security barrier, consisting of a 40km-long and 40ft-high concrete wall, as well as a 1,560km-long and 24ft-high fence, at a total cost of $6.2 billion.

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U.S.-Mexico Border Fences & Other Structures (as of Jan. 2017)

U.S. – Mexico Border Wall Cost Estimation

Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered-security, 3,145km-long 40ft-high wall constructed from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico. The cost of option A is $34.2 billion.

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Option A

Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered-security, 640km-long, 40ft-high wall + 800km-long fence + 160km-long rough terrain fence. The cost of option B is $10.6 billion*.

Option B

Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered electronic security barrier consisting of a 640km-long and 20ft-high wall + 800km-long smart fence + 160km-long rough terrain smart fence. The cost of option C is $9.3 billion*.

Option C

Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered electronic security barrier consisting of a 40km-long, 40ft-high wall + 1400 km fence + 160 km rough-terrain fence. The cost of option D is $6.2 billion*.

Option D

➢ As long as no design details are set by the administration, any cost* estimate from $40 billion to less than $8 billion can be considered as valid

➢ The Trump administration can construct an effective southern border “photo op wall” at a cost* of $10 billion, as long as the physical concrete wall length is less than 200 km long

➢ No “wall technology” in sight can stop sophisticated contraband smugglers

Cost* of 4 Southern Borders – HSRC’s Design Alternatives (B$)

7(*) The cost does not include expenses related to new roadways, compensation to private landowners, and new power lines.

The full free 35-page in-depth report analyzing four border wall construction options, along

with extensive technical and financial specifications, can be found at:

http://homelandsecurityresearch.com/president-trumps-proposed-

border-wall-cost-dispute-analysis

2017©All Rights Reserved

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