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Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power Grids Using Synchrophasor-based Wide-Area Measurements Kai Sun Project Manager Grid Operations, Planning & Renewable Integration Email: [email protected] Tel: 650-8552087 May 8, 2012 @ Stanford University

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Page 1: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power Grids Using Synchrophasor-based

Wide-Area Measurements

Kai SunProject Manager

Grid Operations, Planning & Renewable IntegrationEmail: [email protected] Tel: 650-8552087

May 8, 2012 @ Stanford University

Page 2: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Content

•Cascading outages (impacts, causes, new h ll d l ti )challenges and solutions)

• Intelligent system separation utilizing synchrophasors

•Situational awareness utilizing wide-area S tuat o a a a e ess ut g de a eameasurements (DOE demonstration project)

•Conclusions•Conclusions

2© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 3: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Blackouts of Power GridsDate Area Impacts Durationp

Nov 9, 1965 North America (NE) 20,000+MW, 30M people 13 hrs

Jul 13, 1977 North America (NY) 6,000MW, 9M people 26 hrs

Dec 22, 1982 North America (W) 12, 350 MW, 5M people

Jul 2-3, 1996 North America (W) 11,850 MW, 2M people 13 hrs

Aug 10 1996 North America (W) 28 000+MW 7 5M people 9 hrsAug 10, 1996 North America (W) 28,000+MW, 7.5M people 9 hrs

Jun 25, 1998 North America (N-C) 950 MW, 0.15MK people 19 hrs

Mar 11, 1999 Brazil 90M people hrs

Aug 14, 2003 North America (N-E) 61,800MW, 50M people 2+ days

Sep 13, 2003 Italy 57M people 5-9 hrs

S 23 2003 S d & D k 5M l 5 hSep 23, 2003 Sweden & Denmark 5M people 5 hrs

Nov 4, 2006 Europe 15M households 2 hrs

Nov 10, 2009 Brazil & Paraguay 17,000MW, 80M people, 18 states 7hrs

3© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

states

Feb 4, 2011 Brazil 53M people, 8 states

Sep 8, 2011 US & Mexico (S-W) 4,300MW, 5M people 12hrs

Page 4: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

970 MW lossCauses of a blackout

2 100 MW l

Blackout event in Aug. 19961 Initial events (15:42:03):

11 600 MW loss

2,100 MW loss1. Initial events (15:42:03):Short circuit due to tree contact -> Outages of 6 transformers and lines

2 Vulnerable conditions (minutes) 11,600 MW loss

15,820MW loss

2. Vulnerable conditions (minutes)Low-damped oscillations-> Outages of generators and tie-lines

3. Blackouts (seconds)3. Blackouts (seconds)Grid separated into islands -> Loss of 24% load

Malin-Round Mountain #1 MW

1300

1400

1500

0 252 H ill ti0 276 Hz oscillations

15:42:03 15:48:5115:47:36Can we do anything to stop cascade?

4© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

200 300 400 500 600 700 8001100

1200

Time in Seconds

0.264 Hz oscillations3.46% Damping

0.252 Hz oscillationsDamping 1%

0.276 Hz oscillationsDamping>7%

to stop cascade?

Page 5: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

New Challenges from Integration of Renewables

1. Reliability and congestion issues with long-distance power transmissionpower transmission

Legend:

• Wind

• People

5© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 6: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

New Challenges from Integration of Renewables(cont’)( )

2. More uncertainties in real-time operation

Mismatch in supply d d dInaccuracy in short-term

forecastingand demand curves

6© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 7: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

New Challenges from Integration of Renewables(cont’)( )

3. Changing the grid’s dynamics

From OG&E synchrophasor presentation

Better monitoring applications are needed at the t l f l ti it ti l

7© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

control room for real-time situational awareness

Page 8: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Synchrophasor based Wide-Area Measurement System (WAMS)

Oscillation Mode Analysis

8© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 9: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Prevention of Cascading Outages

• Limitations:– Too many system conditionsOffline probabilistic anal sis on

• Power System Stability Assessment:y y

– Combinatorial explosion of N-k contingencies

Inaccuracy in simulation models

Offline probabilistic analysis on system vulnerabilities and

potential cascading outages

Simulation-based contingency analysis

– Inaccuracy in simulation models

4600

Real-time stability analysis using id t

4000

4200

4400

4600 Observed COI Power (Dittmer Control Center)

Measured

wide-area measurements

4000

4200

4400

4600 Simulated COI Power (initial WSCC base case)

SimulationSimulation-based approach

9© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

4000

Time in Seconds

+Measurement-based approach

Page 10: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Intelligent System Separation

RestorationBlackstart

I iti l tI iti l tInitial eventsInitial events

I t lli t tiCascading blackouts

10© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Intelligent separationCascading blackouts

Page 11: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Key Questions on System Separation

Q i NQuestion Nature

WHERE Network optimization(locations)

WHEN(ti i )

Nonlinear system (timing) stability

HOW( t l)

Implementation of t l t t i(control) control strategies

11© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 12: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Three-Step Approach

• Offline Studies (daily ~ yearly)S h h iti ( t )– Synchrophasors siting (near generators)

– Separation point optimization– Validation of a control-strategy table

Where

HowHow

Offline procedure

• Online Monitoring (every second)Identify most vulnerable grid interface based on the shape WhereWhere– Identify most vulnerable grid interface based on the shape of the dominant oscillation mode

– Predict the timing of instability on the interface WhenOnline

software

WhereWhere

• Real-Time Control (milliseconds)– Perform a control strategy matching the current condition How

12© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

gy g

Page 13: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

WHERE to Separate Generation Coherency

1. Cluster generators into coherent groups (by EPRI DYNRED software)

2 R d th t k b h thSlow mode

y

2. Reduce the network by graph theory (weak connection) Fast mode(strong connection)

13© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 14: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

WHEN to Separate

• Modal analysisIdentify the dominant oscillation mode by synchrophasors– Identify the dominant oscillation mode by synchrophasors

– Predict a vulnerable grid interface from the mode’s shape (phasing)

k

k

t

M tki

“Phase Clock” on mode i

M

ikiki

t

kikk teAtki

ki

ki

1

10 )cos()(

2

Monitored O ill ti Phasing

14© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Monitored variable

Oscillation frequency

Phasing (mode shape)

Page 15: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

WHEN to Separate (cont’) PMU1PMU2

• Stability analysis Area 2Area 1

– Estimate the state of a simplified model about the interface

– Predict instability using the energy function of the model

State estimation on a simplified modelBoundary of Stability

vEquilibrium point

15© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 16: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Example: 179-bus System

System loses stability after 6 line outages

1 256

California-Oregon Intertie3

4

Intertie

16© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 17: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

“Phase Clock” about

Example: 179-bus System (cont’)

1Phase Clock about

0.2Hz mode

Strategy 1-234

3

4

5

1-2 (120-160s)1-3 (120-160s)1-4 (120-160s)1-2 (160-200s)1-3 (160-200s)

Dominant mode

T

0.2Hz0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.20

1

2

3

Frequency (Hz)

1-4 (160-200s)

FFT

420.26

0.28

Hz)

1-21-31-4

Frequency of the mode

2

40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2000.16

0.18

0.2

0.22

0.24

Ti ( )

Freq

uenc

y (H

Time (s)

60

120

180

ce (d

eg.)

Phasing (shape) on the mode

17© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

3 Strategy 14-2340 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200-180

-120

-60

0

Time (s)

Pha

se D

iffer

ence

1-21-31-4

Page 18: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Example: 179-bus System (cont’)

180

.)

• Perform strategy 1-234 once the angle distance exceeds a threshold

90

Diff

eren

ce (d

eg

1-23414-23

angle distance exceeds a threshold • Shed 4.9% system load

40 80 120 160 200 2100

Time (s)

Pha

se D

140

160

180

e (d

eg.)

1-23414-23

Time (s)

60

80

100

120

nge

Diff

eren

ce

18© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

40 80 120 160 200 21040

60

Time (s)

A

Page 19: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Synchrophasor-based Situational Awareness and Decision Supportpp

Online Monitoring Real-time Stability Assessment

RiskKey

Dominant oscillation modePhase Clock on

the mode Simplified model on the interface Time

Interface

Phasor dataPhasor data

Risk & ControlScenario 1

Scenario 2Scenario N

Control Timing

Look-Up Table

Control Action

19© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Visualization at Control RoomInterconnected Power System

Control Action

Page 20: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

DOE Synchrophasor Demonstration Project (DOE Grant #DE-OE0000128; 2009-2012)( ; )

Real-time PMU Data (IEEE C37.118)

Online Event Detection

• Phase 1 (research) Near Real-Time

Event ReplayLocation ofDisturbance

Early Warning of Grid Instability

• Phase 2 (software development)Ph 3

p y

Power System Wide-Area

y

• Phase 3 (demonstration at TVA in 2012)

yVisualization

20© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

)

Page 21: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Performance Testing Using Simulated or Real Synchrophasor Data

Separation

ContingenciesPMU_Config.XML

strategies

DSA Tool

Models

g

PMU_Data.CSV

SQL database

HistoricalData

Software A li ti

PMU data stream in IEEEC37 118 E

Application

21© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

IEEEC37.118 Energy ManagementSystem data

Page 22: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Tests on Simulated WECC PMUs

22© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 23: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Separating the grid when risk=100%

Island 1Island 1

Island 2

23© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Frequencies before ControlFrequencies before Control Frequencies after SeparationFrequencies after Separation

Page 24: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Tests on Simulated TVA PMU Data

24© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 25: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Conclusions

•Online situational awareness and decision support applications are important for grid operators toapplications are important for grid operators to prevent or mitigate cascading outages

•Wide area synchrophasor measurements would•Wide-area synchrophasor measurements would enable next-generation grid monitoring applications

•Technologies to help prevent cascading outages areTechnologies to help prevent cascading outages are such as – System reduction (topological and dynamical)y ( p g y )– Signal processing– Data mining

25© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 26: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

References

[1] K. Sun, D. Zheng, Q. Lu. Splitting Strategies for Islanding Operation of Large-scale Power Systems Using OBDD-based Methods, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, May 2003

[2] Q. Zhao, K. Sun, et al, A Study of System Splitting Strategies for Island Operation of Power System: A Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003

[3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et al, Searching for Feasible Splitting Strategies of Controlled System Islanding, IEE Proceedings Generation, Transmission & Distribution, vol.153, Jan 2006

[4] K. Sun, D. Zheng, Q. Lu, A Simulation Study of OBDD-based Proper Splitting Strategies for Power Systems under Consideration of Transient Stability, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vo.l.20, Feb 2005

[5] M. Jin, T. S. Sidhu, K. Sun, A New System Splitting Scheme Based on the Unified Stability Control Framework, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol. 22, Feb 2007y

[6] K. Sun, S. Likhate, V. Vittal, et al, An Online Dynamic Security Assessment Scheme using Phasor Measurements and Decision Trees, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol. 22, Nov 2007.

[7] R. Diao, V. Vittal, K. Sun, et al, Decision Tree Assisted Controlled Islanding for Preventing Cascading Events, IEEE PES PSCE, Seattle, 2009, , ,

[8] K. Sun, S. Lee, P. Zhang, An Adaptive Power System Equivalent for Real-time Estimation of Stability Margin using Phase-Plane Trajectories, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol. 26, May 2011.

[9] K. Sun, K. Hur, P. Zhang, A New Unified Scheme for Controlled Power System Separation Using Synchronized Phasor Measurements, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol. 26, No. 3, Aug. 2011

26© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Synchronized Phasor Measurements, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol. 26, No. 3, Aug. 2011

Page 27: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Q&A

Kai SunPh 650 855 2087Phone: 650-855-2087E-Mail: [email protected]

27© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 28: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

NERC Categories of Contingencies

• Most utilities manually select Category D C

o

contingencies to simulate:– Loss of a key

substation

onsequenc

Unlikely Credible– Outages of tie lines– Outages close to a

generation/load pocket

ce Index

Unlikely and

Extreme consequences

Credible and

Unacceptable

generation/load pocket

CredibleUnlikely0D

Credible and

Acceptable

Unlikely and

Acceptable

0Generator Outage

N-1 Line Outage

N-2 Line Outage

Deterministic Criteria

Category of ContingenciesAB

C

28© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Likelihood IndexExtreme Events

When System is Stressed (e.g. Storm Approaching), the likelihood may increase

Page 29: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

Northeast Coherent Generation Groups

29© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

From NPCC (Northeast Power Coordinating Council) Study Results

Page 30: Prevention and Mitigation of Cascading Outages in Power ... · 5/8/2012  · Two-phase Method Based on OBDDs, IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol.18, Nov 2003 [3] K. Sun, D. Zheng, et

1 PG=28.3GWPL=26.4GW

Building a strategy table

P =12 5GW

Total load: 60.8GW• 7 potential separation points• 6 strategies (2 islands):

24

PG=12.5GWPL=10.6GW

g ( )1-234, 2-134, 3-124, 4-12312-34, 14-23

• 12 potential islands 2PG=5.1GWPL=6.4GW

12 potential islands• Validate control actions by

simulationsShed ShedIsland ShedLoad Island Shed

Load

1 0 23 7.3%

2 3 6% 34 1 5%2 3.6% 34 1.5%

3 3.8% 124 0

4 0 123 4.1%

30© 2012 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

3PG=15.5GWPL=17.4GW

12 0 234 4.9%

14 0 134 0