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PricingIntelligence2.0ABriefGuidetoPriceIntelligenceandDynamicPricing
ByMihirKittur
TableofContents
Preface
Chapter1:WelcometotheNewWorldofPricing
Chapter2:ThePriceMatchTrap
Chapter3:AnIntroductiontoPricingIntelligence
Chapter4:IntroductiontoDynamicPricing
Chapter5:TheHumanFactor
Chapter6:TheFutureofPricingIntelligenc
Chapter7:HowtoGetStarted
TheAuthor
MihirKitturisaCo-founderandChiefInnovationOfficeratUgam.Heoverseessales,marketingandinnovationandworkswithleadingretailersandbrandswithinsightsandanalyticssolutionsaroundtheircategorydecisionstoimproveoverallbusinessperformance.
ThePreface
Withtoday’schaoticbuyingclimate,we’reallveryawareofhowmuchretailersarevyingforconsumers’limitedattentionspanandtheoverabundanceofchoicesavailabletothem.Themobile,technologyandsocialrevolutionhaveledtotheriseofthesupershopperwhoisarmed,informedandvocal.Mostconsumerstodaybegintheirshoppingjourneysonlineandarelookingforthebestprices.They’realsoacclimatizedtodynamicallychangingprices.Pricewarsoccurinrealtimenow,butsomeretailersandbrandsaren’treadyforthisnewreality.
PriceIntelligenceandDynamicPricingareemergingasmust-havecapabilitiesthatretailersneedinordertostayrelevanttotheirconsumersandremaincompetitiveandhaveanedge.
Knowingthisclimate,we’rethankfulthatyoupickedthisbookandarrivedatthispage.ThiseBookwasdevelopedforAmazonandisanabbreviatedversionofamuchmorein-depthbookonthistopiccalledPRICINGINTELLIGENCE2.0:TheEssentialGuidetoPriceIntelligenceandDynamicPricingthatweencourageyoutodownloadhere.
Wehopeyoufindthisbookausefulread,andwelcomeyourcommentsandfeedbackatebookfeedback@ugamsolutions.comor(415)320-8426.
Thankyou,MihirKittur
Chapter1:WelcometotheNewWorldofPricing
OverviewYourcustomersaremoreempowerednowthaneverbefore.Armedwithsmartphonesandcomparison-shoppingengines,eventhemostloyaloneswillgoelsewhereifyou’renotofferingthe“rightprice.”
Ifyouarejustgettingstartedtryingtowrapyourheadaroundthenewworldofpricing,thegoodnewsismostoftheretailworldisstillplayingcatch-upwiththenextgenerationofPricingIntelligence.
AreYouintheMiddleofaPriceWar?Retailers,aswellastheanalystsandjournalistswhocoverthem,areextremelyfondofcombatmetaphors.
Describinganearly2014discountingfrenzyonhigh-endshampoobrands,TheWallStreetJournaldeclaredtherewasa“BigHairWar”betweenProcter&GambleandUnileveroverfolliclesintheUnitedStatesandWesternEurope.1TheJournalalsoreportedthatP&GisnowinTarget’s“crosshairs”formakingitcheaperformega-rivalAmazon.comtoshipPampersdiapersandBountypapertowels.InsiderssaythatthegiantretailerhasretaliatedbydevotinglessendcapspacetoP&Gbrands.2
Isallthisbattlegroundtalkabitmelodramatic?Perhaps.Butthefightformarketshareisendlessandrelentless–anditpaystofullyunderstandwhomyouarefightingforandagainstinordertobuildandprotectyourcompetitiveedge.
Theworldofretailisnotforthemeek.IntheAgeofMoreChoice,youcan’taffordtositonthesidelineswhileyourcompetitorsplaytheprice-changinggame.TheAmericanobsessionwithshoppingfordealscaneasilytemptretailerstochase
customersatanycost,launchingpricewarsthatultimatelymightnotbeintheirbestlong-terminterest.AstheMITSloanManagementReviewhasnoted,thereareusuallynowinnersinapricewar:“Thelosersareoftenforcedoutofbusiness,andthesurvivorshavebeenknowntosufferalong-termsqueezeinprofitability.Pricewarsbeginwhencompetitorsaggressivelyandrepeatedlysetpricesbelowestablishedlevels.”3
Insomecases,companiesthatinitiatepricewarsengageinself-destructivebehavior,whichleadstodownwardpricingspiralsthatalterindustrystructures,”wrotePatrickReinmoeller.“Instudyingpricewarsthattookplacebetween1980and2013inindustriesincludingairlines,telecomsandfinancialservices,Isawthatpricewarswereinvariablylinkedwithseriousdropsinfinancialperformance.Indeed,whenpricewarserupted,mostcompaniesfoundthemselvesincommoditytraps:Profitsnarrowedconsiderably,andweakcompetitorshaddifficultystayinginbusiness.”Inawarofattrition,bothsidescomeoutbadlybeatenandworseoffthanwhentheystarted.
There’sanotherwayforpricestogo,ofcourse.Andthat’sup.
Selectivelyraisingprices,ifhandledtherightway,willnotleadtocustomerinsurrection.Wepromise.Thinkaboutyourownconsumerexperience.Whenyouarecruisingdownthesupermarketaisles,you’lllikelyfindeitherCokeorPepsiproductsonsalefor99centsfora2-literbottle.Stopataconveniencestoreatmidnightandyou’llhavenoissuesforkingover$1.50fora16-ouncebottle.Wantthatsamebottleataballgameorconcert?It’snow$4.Atthemovies,your32-ouncefountaindrinkis$6inasouvenirplasticcup.Ifyou’readevotedsodadrinker,youknowthepriceofthirstvariesbasedonwhereyouare,theavailability(orlack)ofcompetition,andwhetheryouarewillingtowaitforeitherofthosefactorstochange.Youwon’tstopdrinkingsodabecausethosearetheacceptedanduniversalrulesofthegame.Evenifyou’renotinthebeveragebusiness,thesesamepricingprinciplesapplytoyourcustomers.
Chapter2:ThePriceMatchTrap
OverviewAmazonismakingmillionsofpricechangeseachday.Tryingtomatchtheireverymoveisafruitless(andimpossible)exercise.Youneedtoplayyourowngame.Ifyoutaketheprice-matchingtrendtoitslogicalconclusion–everyretailer’spriceseventuallybeingthesame–youneedtogiveyourcustomersamorecompellingreasontokeepbuyingfromyouandonlyyou.
AvoidingthePriceMatchTrap:Q&AWithKevinSterneckertInthecurrenthyperactivepricingenvironment,manytopretailers,likeBestBuy,haveadoptedprice-matchingguaranteesastheirfirstlineofdefense.Customersinbrick-and-mortarstoreswhofindcheaperonlinepricescanoftengetthosepriceshonoredbyastoremanager.Someretailersevenofferapricematchafterthefact–ifacustomershowsupwithinaweekwithproofofabetterdeal.
Wantingtoavoidbeingundercutbyevenafewpennies,manymajorretailerscontinuetoexpandtheirpricematchingpoliciesandproudlyannounceeachnewrevisionintheiradvertising.
Pricematchinginanyformisuniversallyviewedasavictoryforconsumers,butforretailers,it’saracetothebottom.Toexplorewhy,wetalkedwithretailanalystKevinSterneckert,aformervicepresidentofresearchforGartnerandanindustryexpertonPricingIntelligence.
AccordingtoSterneckert,retailerswhotrytocompetewithAmazononprice“areshowinguptoagunfightwithapixiestick.”
Q:HowfaraheadisAmazonintheareaofPricingIntelligence?KS:Let’sputtechnologyasideforaminute.Iwouldsaythatthey
aresixtoninemonthsaheadinstrategicthinking.It’sgoingtotakeeducationandpainforanothersixtoninemonthsbeforeleadingretailersbegintosay,“We’vegottodosomethingdifferent.”Thenit’sgoingtotakeanothersixto12monthstoinstallthetechnologythat’sgoingtoleadtoamorecompetitivesetofcapabilities.I’mnottalkingaboutmatchingAmazon.I’mtalkingaboutgoingtoagunfightwithagun–andtoday,peopleareshowinguptoagunfightwithapixiestick.
Q:Whichretailersareaggressivelytryingtocatchup?KS:Thelargestcompanieswiththemostdirectcompetitiveimpactarecertainlyworkingaggressively.Walmart,Staples,Target,Macy’sandTescoareamongthoseworkingaggressively.Theyrecognizethethreat,buttodaytheyaretakingmoreofareactionarypositionthantheyaretakingastrategicproactiveposition.
Mostofthesecompaniesarestillinveryearlystages.Theyarethinkingrules-based,theyarethinkinglookingatthecompetitor,lookingattheirvolume,understandingelasticityandthenmatchingpricesontheelasticitems.Insteadofbeingapriceleader–andthatreallyiswhatAmazonhasdone.
Q:Whichretailersarefarbehind?KS:Thebulkofotherretailersarefarbehind.Andit’snotatechnologyrace.It’sastrategic-thinkingrace.Manyretailersgetandunderstandoptimizingpricesforbrickandmortar,yettheyhaveforsomereasondecidedthattherightstrategyistomatchtheironlinepricewiththeirin-storeprice.Ifthat’syourstrategy,itisaveryflawedstrategy.
TheSolution:HowRetailersCanSurviveandThriveThetrick,accordingtoSterneckert,isunderstandingandinfluencingthecustomerthroughhisorhershoppingbehavior.
“Thecustomercaresaboutcertainitems[intermsofpricesensitivity]andtheydon’tcareaboutothers.Youtrulycantapintowhatthecustomerexpectsandyoucansteerthecustomerinverypredictablewaystobuycertainitems–andtonotbuyotheritems,”hesays.
“Let’ssayyouhavetwodifferentsizesoflaundrydetergent,the128-ounceandthe96-ounce.Ifyouhavemoreprofitonthe128-ounce,youcaninfluencethecustomertobuythatitemjustbymakingtheper-unitpricingmorefavorable.Youcanalsoreversethatandmakethecustomerwanttobuythe96-ounceitemifthat’swhereallyourprofitis.Thiselasticitymethodologytrulyisthewaythatretailerscanwin.”
SterneckertusedtobeinchargeofpriceoptimizationforH-E-BGroceryStores,aregionalsupermarketchaininTexasandNorthernMexicothathasachievedgreatersalespersquarefootthanWalmart.
“It’sbecauseH-E-Bhassaidwe’regoingtotakepriceoffthetable,”theanalystreveals.
“We’regoingtounderstandourcustomers.We’regoingtostudythem.We’regoingtomakesuretheydon’tgotoourcompetitionbecauseofprice.We’renotgoingtosaythatwe’regoingtomatch,butwearegoingtoberightontheitemsthatthecustomercaresabout.Andwe’regoingtoofferthecustomerthingstheycan’tgetanywhereelse.”
“Inmymind,thebestquoteofthecenturyaboutbeingcompetitivecomesfromSamWaltonhimself.Andhesaid,‘Ifyouwanttocompetewithme,dowhatIdon’tdo.’”
Toys“R”UsandTargetbothofferstore-exclusiveLegosets.KmartletsyoudresslikeformerCharlie’sAngelactressJaclynSmith.Macy’sandNordstromhavedealswithMadonnaon“TrustorDare”shoes.Whenyourstoreistheonlyplacetobuyanitem,youarenolongercompetingjustonprice.
Differentiationdoesnothavetobebasedonproductchoiceorassortment.Itcanalsoinvolveauniqueapproachtocustomerservice.ZapposCEOTonyHsiehhasadoptedtheunorthodoxpolicyofhavinghiscallcenterrepresentativesdirectdisappointedcustomerstothreedifferentcompetitorwebsitesifZapposisoutofstockonacertainsizeorstyleofshoe.
“Yes,welosethattransaction,”heexplainedtoanaudienceataSouthbySouthwestInteractiveconference.“Butwe’renottryingtomaximizeeverysingletransaction.We’retryingtobuildalifelongrelationshipwitheachofourcustomers–onecallatatime.”4
Whenyouareofferingitemsthatcanbeboughtfromseveralothercompetitors,usingDynamicPricing,whichistheactofpricingitemsbasedonvariablemarketconditions,youcanensurethatcustomersperceiveyourbrandasbeingfair.WiththerightPricingIntelligencesolution,you’llknowwhichhighlyprice-sensitiveitemsneedtobediscounted,whichonescanremainunchangedandwhichonesareripeforincreasingprofits.
Yes,Amazonisfaraheadoftheretailpack.Butthere’sgoodnews:AccordingtoaJanuary2014studybyRISNews,mostofthatpackissittingonthecouch.5
ConsiderthesefindingsaboutthecurrentuseofRetailPriceIntelligence:
Only23%ofsurveyedretailersareusingPriceIntelligencesoftwarerightnow.Anadditional29%ofretailersplantodeployPriceIntelligencetoolsin2014.Astunning42%havenoplanstousePriceIntelligencesoftwareatallthisyear.
Asmentionedearlier,eventhemostsophisticatedtechnologyisuselesswithouttherightstrategicthinking.Butifyouwanttostopbeingreactiveandstartbeingproactivewithyourpricing,there’sstilltimetogetonboard.
ActingontherightPricingIntelligencewillhelpyouavoidthePriceMatchTrap.
Chapter3:AnIntroductiontoPricingIntelligence
TheMyth:Store-BasedRetailersOnlyNeedStored-BasedIntelligenceAsstrangeasitmightseeminthecomputerage,thepencil-and-paperapproachtointelligencegatheringishardlyextinct.
CompetitorPriceMonitoringhasbeenaroundinvariousformsalmostaslongasretailitself.Thisisprimarilybecausewhetheryouarerunningaconsumerelectronicsstoreoraneighborhoodlemonadestand,yourcustomerswilllikelyflockelsewhereiftheycanconvenientlygetthesameproductsatalowerprice.
Traditionally,brick-and-mortarretailershavesentemployeesintocompetingstoreswithachecklistofkeyproductsforpricecomparisonandthendecidediftheirpricingneededtobeadjustedaccordingly.Retailerscannowoutsourcethiscumbersometasktomysteryshoppersorretaildatacollectioncompanies;however,theystillcan’tavoidputtingpeople“ontheground”sincenotallstoresputalltheirpricesonline.
Conventionalwisdomamongstore-basedretailershasbeenthatonlyphysicalvisitstocompetingstoreswillproducethemostmeaningfulcompetitivedata.Indeed,thatmethodisstillimportant,butbrick-and-mortarretailersalsoneedtoincludeonlinepricemonitoringontheirradar.Withveryfewexceptions,onlineretailpricesnowreflectin-storeprices.
Onlycaringaboutpricingdatafromphysicalstoresislikepretendingyourcustomersdon’tknowabouttheInternet.Youneedtobethinkingaboutpricingthewayyourcustomersandcompetitorsthinkaboutpricing.Youneedtobelookingatthesamenumberstheyare.
Amazonismakingpricechangesmorethanamilliontimesaday.WalmartandTargetevaluatethepricingontheirKeyValueItems(KVIs)everytwohours.
Bygatheringonlineprices,retailerscanregularlyandaccuratelymonitoralltargetedcompetitiveproductsinsteadoffocusingonaselectfew.Withoutthelimitationsofphysicalstoreprice-checks,thereisvirtuallynolimittothenumberofSKUsthatcanbemonitoredonlineacrossanynumberofrelevantcompetitors.Onlinepricemonitoringgivesretailersaholisticviewofthemarketplace–includingcomparisonsoftheoriginalproductprice,theMSRP,thepromotionalpriceandthepricewithandwithoutshipping.
AccordingtoarecentonlineshoppingstudybyWorldPay,aglobalpaymentcompanythatprocessestransactionsin120differentcurrencies,56%of
customerswillabandontheirshoppingcartswhenpresentedwith“unexpectedcosts”likeshippingortaxesatcheckout.6
Itiscriticaltomakesureyoualwaysmonitorcompetitorpriceswithshippingincluded.Thereisawidevarietyofshippingpoliciesonline:
WhatDoes“FREE”ShippingMean?MinimumPurchasesRequiredByRetailers
*BothBelkandTargetofferfreeshippingforstore-brandedcreditcardholders
**Ordermustbeunder20lbs.Source:Retailerswebsites
Therearemanyothershippingfactorstoconsiderwhentryingtounderstandthepsychologyofyourcustomers.Mostfreeshippingpoliciesdonotincludelargeorbulkyitems,suchasfurnitureorlumber.Manyretailerswillalsoofferfreedeliverytoanyoftheirstoresforcustomerpickup.Lastly,AmazonPrimeoffers“free”two-dayshippingfor$99peryear.
Forsmallerpurchases,adiscountofafewdollarswillbeneutralizediftheshopperneedsto“givethemoneyback”atcheckoutinshippingcosts.Mostpeopleareevenwillingtoabsorbaminimalconveniencefee–payingasmallamountmore–ifitmeansgettingtheirpurchasesnow.
Customerswhocomparepricesinphysicalstores(alsoknownasshowrooming)paycloseattentiontohowshippingaffectstheirbottomlinesforonlinepurchases.Makesureyou’repayingcloseattention,too.
TheFourStagesofPricingIntelligence:TurningNumbersintoActionThismaysoundobvious,butwhenyou’remakingasalad,it’soptimaltousethefreshestlettuce,tomatoesandcucumbersavailable.Nomatterhowgoodofachefyoumaybe,usingwiltedvegetableswillresultinarottensalad.
ThesameprincipleappliestoPricingIntelligencedata.Youneedtorefineyourrawdatasoit’sreadyforyouranalyststoturnitintorealintelligence–inaccuratedata
willleadtofaultypricingrecommendations.
Herearethestepsthatareneededtoturnyournumbersintoaction:
1. GatheringPrices–Webcrawlerscontinuouslyscrapecompetitorsitesforproducts,modelnumbers,pricesandothercharacteristics.
2. EnrichingtheData–Usingautomatedtoolsandretailcategorymanagerexpertise,yourproductsarematchedor“mapped”tothesameorsimilarproductssoldbycompetitors.Pricecomparisonsareonlyvalidifyouaremakingapples-to-applescomparisons.
3. Analysis&Recommendations–Usinghistoricalsalesdata,retailanalystsbuildpricingmodelsthatexplainpastperformanceandpredictfuturetrends.Thepricingformulasdeterminetheoptimalpricewheresalesandprofitswillbehighest.
4. TakingAction-Analystsrecommendthatpricesberaised,loweredorkeptthesamebasedoncompetitorpricechangesandyourownconsumerdemandandexpectations.
Unfortunately,mostpricingdataisnotreadytousewhenit’sfirstdeliveredbywebcrawlers.Forexample,computerscaninstantlycomparethepricesofeveryiPodintheuniverseaslongastheUPCcodesarelisted.ButgiventhatAppleseldomdiscountstheirproducts,themoresignificantquestionis:WhichcompetingMP3playersaremostcomparable–whichoneswillbemostlikelyattachedtoyourcustomers’earbudsiftheygowithPlanB?
Makingmattersevenmorecomplicatedisthatshoppingforconsumerelectronics(andmanyothercategories)ofteninvolvesthreesetsofprices:Manufacturer’sSuggestedRetailPrice(MSRP),salepriceandthesecret“clickhere”price.
Manyproductpagesone-commercesitesshowyoutheirlistpriceandtheninviteyoutomoveyourmouseovertheitemorclickonashoppingcartto“SeePriceatCheckout.”ThereasonretailersdothisistoavoidMinimumAdvertisedPrice(MAP)violations.Someofthemorepremiumbrandsforbidstoresfromadvertisingtheirproductsbelowacertainpricethreshold–toavoidcheapeningtheirbrandequity.
Manyretailershavebeenhappilyusingautomatedwebcrawlerstogathercompetitorprices,butmostofthesetoolsarerapidlybecomingantiques.Yourtechnologynowneedsto“see”thesehiddenprices.Itneedstocapturethisdeepdatabyreplicatingthebehavioroftheonlineshopper.
Onceyou’verefinedyourdatawiththerightautomatedtoolsandanalystexpertise,youcanthenactonyourintelligence.
PricingIntelligencetoolsidentifythebestopportunitiesforincreasingmargins,givingyouasnapshotofwhichproductsarethemostpricesensitiveatanygivenmoment.
TakingAction:WhatCanBeLearnedFromPricingIntelligence?Duringthe2013holidayshoppingseason,wetookanextensivelookatpricingdatafrom15majorU.S.retailersacross13categories,includingclothing,toys,consumerelectronics,fragrances,cameras,kitchenappliancesandvacuumcleaners.(Youcanreadthefullreport,“Revealed:RetailStrategiesofthe2013HolidaySeason,”here.)
NovemberandDecemberof2014wasabannertimetobepurchasingclothesforgirls.
Ugam’sseven-weekpricinganalysisrevealedthatgirls’clothingwasthemostfrequentlyandheavilydiscountedholidayproductcategory,withBelkdepartmentstoresloweringpricesonawhopping98percentoftheiritems.Target,ontheotherhand,ransalesononly40percentofitsgirls’clothing–stillasizableselectionforbargainhunters.
Fromabrick-and-mortarperspective,theaggressiveBelkstrategymightseemmostrelevanttonationalretailerswithlocationsthroughouttheSouthernstates,wheretheregionalchainisbased.However,Belk.comwouldhavepoppedupforshopperssearchingforclothesontheWeb–andtheirfreeshippingforordersof$99ormoreshouldbefactoredinbyretailersplanningtheirownapparelstrategies.
PercentageofGirl’sClothingonSale–2013HolidaySeason
Onthestingiersideofthespectrum,theproductcategorywiththeleastamountofpricevolatilitywasvideogames.2013wasanexceptionallybriskyearforvideogamesaleswiththereleaseofthenextgenerationXboxandPlayStationconsoles.
VideoGameAssortment&Prices–2013HolidaySeason
TheyellowbarsinthegraphaboveshowgreatfluctuationinvideogameassortmentandpricesforretailersfromAmazontoToys“R”Us.Amazon,nothinderedbyshelfspace,boastednearly70%morechoicesthanWalmart.Butthebluedotssayitall.
Thebluedotsmarktheaveragevideogametitlepriceoverthebusiestsevenshoppingweeksoftheyear.Notethealmostnegligible$5differentiationinpricebetweentheseretailers,whoareusuallynotbashfulaboutsluggingitoutoverlowprices.
Videogameenthusiastsarenotknownfortheirpatience.Theyputtheirnamesonwaitinglistsandstandinlinesatmidnightfortheprivilegeofbeingthefirsttoplay
thenewestconsolesandgames.Ingeneral,videogamersarelikeiPhonefansinthattheyarewillingtopaythe“goingprice”forwhattheywant–whateverthatpricemaybe.
Strategiccompetitiveintelligencecanalsohelpyoudeterminewhensignificantlyloweringpriceswillincreaseprofits.
Chapter4:AnIntroductiontoDynamicPricing
OverviewDynamicPricingisNOTthesameaspricematching.Basedonsupplyanddemand,consumersocialsignals(e.g.productreviews,Facebooklikes),theweather,andeventhetimeofday,therearealsoopportunitiestoraiseyourpriceswithoutgettingyourcustomersupset.Manyretailershavealreadybecomeextinctinthisharshcompetitiveenvironment.DynamicPricinghelpsyoustaynimbleinaconstantlychangingdigitalworld.
SliceofReality:WhatAreYourCustomersWillingtoPay?
Howmanypiecesofpizzadoyouusuallyeatinonesitting?Doespriceimpacthowhungryyouare?
AtStevestonPizzainVancouver,BritishColumbia,theirspecialC6gourmetpiecostsawhopping$450–that’s$56.25perslice–forheapingportionsoflobster,blackAlaskancodandRussianOsetracaviartoppingthemozzarella.7CanadiannewsmagazineMaclean’scalleditthe“World’sMostExpensivePizza.”8
Incontrast,Domino’sPizzarecentlyadvertisedanonlinespecialforalargethree-toppingpizzafor$10(caviarwasnotatoppingoption).Atthisprice,youcouldbuy45Domino’spizzasforthecostofoneStevestonC6.
WhycanSteveston’schargesomuchforlunch?BecausecustomerswhoorderaC6knowtheycan’tgetoneanywhereelse.Perhapstheyhavethedisposableincometoorder$450pizzaseverydayoritmaybeaone-timeindulgencetoknockoffabucketlist.Eitherway,thispricepointexistsbecausepeoplearewillingtopayit.
That’sthephilosophybehindDynamicPricing.Retailerswhoknowtheir
customers’preferences,spendinghistory,tastesanddesirescanestablishtherightpricefortheminsteadofreflexivelymatchingthepriceoftheircompetitors.
Sterneckertputsitmoresimply:“Ifyouhaveathousandunitsthatmoveamonthonanitem,andyourcompetitionlowerstheprice,butyouarestillsellingathousandunits,whydoyouneedtolowertheprice?Youdon’t.”
DynamicPricingisbasedonsupplyanddemand,customerexpectationsandeventhetimeofthedayorweatherconditions.Sportsfansnowacceptthatmanyoftheirfavoriteteamsfluctuateticketpricesbasedonthepopularityofopponents,whetherthehometeamiscompetitiveenoughtomaketheplayoffs,andofcourse,whetherornotit’sgoingtobesunnyandwarm.
BasedongatheringaccurateandtimelyPricingIntelligencefromyourownstoresandcompetingretailers,thereareconstantopportunitiestoraise,lowerorkeeppricesthesame.
“It’sokayifsomebodyisbeatingyouonpriceifyourcustomersdon’tcare,”saysSterneckert,notingthatthepricesensitivityofitemsvariesbyproductcategory,timeofyear,customerdemographics,storelocationandnumerousotherfactors.
Consumersarenotstingyaboutsharingwhattheylikeandwhattheydon’tlike–andwhethertheythinktheirpurchasesareworththeprice.There’sanever-growingsupplyofconsumerproductreviewsandsocialmediasentimenttodeterminebuyingtrendsandwhatproductsmightbecometomorrow’shotsellers.
Herearesomeofthefactorsthatdeterminecustomers’expectationsatcheckout:
ProductAvailability–Doesacompetitorcarrythesameitem,andifso,atwhatprice?Isitoutofstock?Location–BuyingapackofguminNewYorkCitywillbemoreexpensivethanthesameguminthesuburbs.ConsumerSegment–Whatistheirdiscretionaryincomeandspendinghistory?InstantGratification–Nobodycaresaboutfreeshippingwhenthey“need”theitemrightnow.ProductPopularity–Isthisitemflyingofftheshelves?Oristhesize,styleorcolorinlowdemand?
Forgetaboutpricematching,despiteallthehype.Youjustneedtomeetyourcustomers’expectationsforwhattheyperceivetobefair–andwhenpossible,offerthemsomethingtheycannoteasilygetelsewhere.
That’salessonthatStevestonPizzatooktoheart.Encouragedbythepositive
buzzgeneratedbytheC6,theyrecentlyaddedthepricierC7,a“BestofSeas”concoctioncoveredintigerprawns,lobsterratatouille,smokedsteelheadtrout,RussiancaviarandItalianwhitetruffles.
Yes,thereisevenamarketfora$725pizza,althoughnowordwhythewhitetruffles–araregourmetmushroomunearthedbysniffingpigs–belongonanocean-themeddish!
LessonsFroma“Smart”VendingMachine:WhenisitOKtoRaisePrices?It’ssummertimeandmanyofusareheadingtothebeach.Afterafewhoursoflounginginthesun,howbadlydoyouusuallywantanicecolddrink?Howmuchmoreareyouwillingtopayforthatdrinkovertheregularsupermarketprice?
In1999,theCoca-ColaCompanytestedvendingmachinesthatwouldautomaticallychargehigherpricesforcoldbeverageswhenthetemperaturegothotter.AccordingtoTheNewYorkTimes,thevariablepricingvendingmachineswereoutfittedwithaheat-sensorandacomputerchip.9
Eventhoughconsumersoftenpaymoreforcoldsoftdrinksatthebeach,therewasabacklashagainsta“smart”vendingmachinedoingthesamething.“What’snext?”sniffedonebeverageindustryexecutive,“AmachinethatX-rayspeople’spocketstofindouthowmuchchangetheyhaveandraisespricesaccordingly?”
ArchrivalPepsiCoalsorippedintotheplan,eagertoportraytheirbrandasfightingtokeeppriceslow.“Webelievethatmachinesthatraisepricesinhotweatherexploitconsumerswholiveinwarmclimates,”aspokespersonsaid.“AtPepsi,wearefocusedoninnovationsthatmakeiteasierforconsumerstobuyasoftdrink,notharder.”
Coca-Colaabandonedtheexperimentbecausemanycustomersfelttheywerebeingtakenadvantageof.
UnlikeintheCokestory,retailersdonothavetocomeacrossasthebadguywhenraising(orsimplynotlowering)prices.Thekeyisknowingwhencustomerswon’tnoticeorcare.Forexample,whenpeoplepaytwiceasmuchforsodaatthemovies,therearenoprotests.
Customersalreadyhavetheexpectationthatconcessionpriceswillbehigherinthetheater,whereapopcornanddrinkcaneasilydoublethecostofaticket.
Thetrickforretailersismeetingcustomerexpectationsandfiguringoutwhattheybelieveisareasonablepricetopay.
DynamicPricing–raising,loweringorkeepingpricesthesamebasedonchangingconditions–isnotthesamethingaspricematching.
Sohowcanretailersraisepricesandstillbeperceivedasofferingvalue?
Acommonpromotionaltacticduringback-to-schoolseasonorThanksgivingweekisloweringpricesonKeyValueItems(KVIs)–usuallyabout10%oftheitemsinthestore–whilemodestlyincreasingpricesoneverythingelse.Shoppersareattractedbythedealsonthehottestproductsandinevitablybuyotherthingsonimpulsewhilethey’reinthestore.ThelowermarginsonthoseKVIsaremorethanbalancedoutbyhigherpricesontheremaining80-90%ofproductsinthestore.
Psychologically,acustomerfeelsgoodaboutgettingtheirspecialitematabargainpriceandwilllikelynotnoticetheslightlyhigherpricesoneverythingelseinhercart.
HerearefourunconventionalwaysyoucanuseDynamicPricingtoincreaseyourprofitmarginsbyupto3%:
1. KnowTheSourcesofYourWebsiteTraffic–Didacustomerarriveonyoursiteafterarandomsearchordidsheorhereturnasarepeatcustomer?Trafficfromcomparison-shoppingenginesisbelievedtobefarmoreprice-sensitive–thatis,theseshopperswillquicklysearchelsewhereiftheydon’timmediatelylikewhattheysee.Customerswhoclickalinkonablogoractonareferralorproductrecommendationaremoremotivatedtoshopwithyoubecauseofreputation,selection,serviceorotherreasons.
2. ReactOnlytoCompetitorsWhoImpactYourSales–SomewhereinKansas,someoneissellingthesameexactitemasyououtoftheirgarage,buthasonlythreeofthem.Don’tworryaboutthatguy.Onlymonitorandrespondtothepricesofretailerswhoposeastatisticallysignificantcompetitivethreat.Alargecompanythatyouperceivetobeacompetitormaynotbeinacertainproductcategory.Analyzingtrafficoncompetitors’productpagescannarrowdownwhoyoureallyneedtokeeponyourradar.
3. LearnWhichProductsYou’reReallyCompetingAgainst–Whenyouarecomparingprices,considerlookingbeyondexactbrandorproductmatches.Thinkaboutfunctionality.Forexample,abeachenthusiastlookingforflip-flopsmayalsobeconsideringruggedsandalsorwatersocks.It’smoreeffectivetolookatbest-sellingitemsinacategoryasareference.
4. UnderstandthePurchasePathforYourProducts–Consumersareleavingbehindplentyofclueswhytheyvisitaproductpageandwhatsealsthedealforthem.Youmaychoosetorewardyourmostloyalandprofitablecustomerswithexclusiveoffersonlyforthem–increasingthelikelihoodthey’llbeback.
DynamicPricingisimplementedbyusingananalytics-drivenRulesEngine.Analystsorcategorymanagerscancreateasetofconditionalrulesthatdictatehowyourpriceswillchangeinresponsetocompetitor’spricechangesorothermarketconditions.
Chapter5:TheHumanFactor
SixStepstoImmediatelyImproveYourProductMatchingAccuracyBeforeyoucancomparepriceswithyourcompetitors,youneedtomakesurethatyou’recomparingthesameorsimilarproducts.Thisiscalled“productmatching”or“productmapping.”
Automatedmappingisrelativelysimpleinsomecategories,suchaselectronics,wheresoftwarecaneasilycomparethemodelnumbersonaTVortablet–althoughafewretailersmaymakepricematchingdifficultbystockinglotsofexclusiveproducts.
Thisexerciseisfartrickierwhenitcomestoclothingorhomefurnishings,wheretherearemorevariationsinstylesandcolors.
Takealookatthedifferentmirrorspicturedbelow.Becausethemodelnumbersarenotuniversal,youneedtochoosethemostrelevantproductcharacteristicsasyourbasisofcomparison.
Whichmirrorstylesshouldbegroupedtogetherassimilarproducts?Howthickcantheframebe?Whichmaterials?Shouldasquaremirrorbecomparedwitharectangularmirrororarethereasignificantnumberofshopperswhoarerectanglepurists?
Categorymanagerswithexperienceinhomedécorwillknowalotmorethanacomputerabouthowcustomersthinkwhencomparingsimilar,butnotquitethesame,mirrors.
Withoutanyhumanintervention,theaccuracyrateofautomatedproductmatchingisgenerallylow–dippingbelow50%inseveralcategories.Withtheappliedknowledgeofacategorymanagerorcategoryresearcher,product-mappingsystemscandeliverupto98%accuracy.
Belowisalookattheindustryaveragesforautomatedmappingaccuracybeforeanalystsfine-tunetheresults:
Astheexpressiongoes,“Almostonlycountsinhorseshoesandhandgrenades.”Evenwhenaretailerhitsthe90thpercentile,heorshecontinuestoshootfor100percent.
Asisthechallengewithrefininganycomputersearch,automatedproductmappingincludesnumerousirrelevantandredundantlistingsthatdilutethevalueofyourPricingIntelligence.AquicksearchforcoffeemakersonAmazonproduces31,109listingsalone.BestBuyservesup1,185andWalmarthas1,043.
Howmanydoyoureallyneedtocareabout?Beforeyourpricingorassortmentanalystsdeterminewhichsuggestedmatchesareonesthatmattertoyourbottomline,therawdataneedssomehumanfiltering.
1. Removeduplicatesandirrelevantitemsfromtheresultsstream.Sometimesitemsareinadvertentlylabeledwiththewrongmodelnumberandaremiscategorized.Aricemaker,forexample,maywindupwiththeblenders.
2. Establishwhichattributesorfeaturesaremostimportant.Yoursearchcanbenarrowedbybrand,size,shape,material,color,etc.
3. Normalizeunitsofmeasurement.AKingsizebedis76”x80”andisalsoknownasanEasternKingbed.ACaliforniaKingbed,marketedtowardtallerpeople,is72”x84”.Makesureyourmeasurementsareuniformwithyourdescriptions.
4. Identifywhichprivatelabelproductfeaturesmattermost.Trackingdownnon-brandedproductmatchescanbelikeherdingcats.Ifyouaresellingrefrigerators,choosewhichfeaturesyourcustomerscareaboutmost:freezerspace,icemakers,slideoutshelves,etc.
5. Knockofftheaccessories.Ifyousearchforconsumerelectronics,yourpotentialmatcheswillhavelotsoffalsepositivesthatarebatterychargers,protectivecases,cords,etc.
6. Identifypossibleoverlookedcategories.Sometimesyourproductmaybecategorizedintwodifferentareas.Forexample,afoldingfabricchairmightbelistedunderlawnfurnitureorbeachfurniture.Ahammockmightbewithcampinggearorwithpatiofurniture.
Whydoesthismatter?Youcannotmakesmartdata-drivendecisionsunlessyouareconfidentintheaccuracyofyourmatches.
TheAnalystFactor:TurningYourPricingDataIntoInsightsAsmentionedabove,youcan’tmakesmartdata-drivendecisionsifyourdataisquestionable.Previously,weexploredwhyproductmatching–alsocalledproductmapping–canmakeallthedifferenceingivingyouanaccuratesnapshotofhowyoucomparetothecompetition.
Ifyou’renotsurethatyou’resellingthesameexactproduct(orasimilarenough
product)asyourcompetitor,thenyoumayaswelltossyourpricecomparisonsinthetrash.
However,onceyouareconfidentthatyourPricingIntelligencedataisaccurate,youneedtofigureouthowandwhenyoushouldactonit.Sohowdoanalyststurndataintoinsightsandpricingrecommendations–andultimately–bettersalesresults?
Therearetwomainapproachesforturningnumbersintoaction:
1. SettingUpAutomatedRules–DeployingsimpleStrategyRules(e.g.,IfCompetitorAlowersthepriceonProductAtoX,welowerourpricetoY;IfCompetitorBisoutofstockonProductA,weincreaseourpricetoZ.)StrategyRulesareidealifyouwanttokeeptabsonpricechangesforKVIsatspecificcompetitorsandwanttoalwaysbewithinacertainrange.
2. BuildingaPricingModel–Developingasophisticatedmathematicalmodeltooptimizepricingenablesretailerstotakethemanyfactorsthatcontributetothebuyingprocessbeyondpriceintoaccount.Theequationmayincorporatearangeofinputs,includingaretailer’shistoricsalesdata,historicalcompetitorpricing,inventory,productpagecontent,Webtrafficandpromotionsdata.Themodelmayalsoconsidercustomerreviews,productratings,sociallikes,etc.,usingconsumersentimentanalysistotranslateratingsintopricinginsights.
Theretailexperienceandexpertiseofanalystsareinvaluableforpursuingthesecondapproach.Ananalystfirstwalksthroughthebuyingprocessinthecustomer’smindandthencreatesahypothesisthatattemptstoexplainsalestrends.
Let’ssaythatyouaresellingluggage,forexample.Herearesomeofthequestionsthatmayimmediatelycometomind:
Doluggagesaleshistoricallypeakjustbeforesummervacation?Dodufflebagsalesspikebeforecollegebeginsinthefall?Whatcolorsuitcasesaremostpopularwithmenvs.women?Dochild-sizedrollingbagsflyofftheshelvesbeforeFebruaryandAprilschoolvacations?WhatisthemosthighlyratedluggagebasedonproductreviewsontravelwebsitesorthebestvaluelistedinConsumerReports?
Allofthesequestionscanbeansweredbycreatingvariables–suchascolor,time,gender,age,peakdemand,qualityofreviews–andindependentlycomparingthosevariablestopricesovertime.Throughtrialanderror,theanalystcandeterminewhichvariableshavethegreatestinfluenceonsalesand
incorporatethosefactorsintoaregressionequation.Thisgraphshowstheoutputofalogarithmicequationcalculatingwhichpricepointsresultinmaximumluggagerevenue,basedonadepartmentstorechain’smostinfluentialvariables.
LuggageSalesvs.Price
*ThisgraphisasimulationoftheSales-Pricerelationship.Itisastatisticalmodelthatdoesnotreflectactualluggagepricesorannualsales.
Hereisthepricingmodelexpressedasanequation:
Everystoreisdifferentandwillhaveadifferentequationanddifferentsetsofvariables.
Log(LuggageSales)=0.29-0.66(Log)(A)+0.01(B-A)+0.25(C)+0.02(D)+0.06(E)
KEYA=RetailerPrice
B=CompetitorPriceC=NumberofImagesonProductPage
D=NumberofAmazonReviewsinLastTwoMonthsE=NewnessofProduct(NumberofWeeks)
Don’tworryaboutthemath–that’swhyyouhireanalysts!
TheimportantthingtoknowisthatasyourPricingIntelligencegatheringandprocessingbecomesmoresophisticated,youwillbeabletobetterunderstandandhaveagreaterinfluenceoveryoursalesresults.Dependingonwhatyouwanttolearn,analystscanhelpyoudeterminethe“Why,”the“WhatIf,”andthe“What’sNext?”
Chapter6:TheFutureofPricingIntelligence
HowlingSuccess:TheValueofProductReviewsforDynamicPricingIn2009,aninnocuoust-shirtgraphicofthreewolveshowlingatthemoonattractedtheattentionofonlineshopperBrianGovern,aRutgersUniversitylawstudentbrowsingonAmazon.
Inawhimsicalmood,Governtappedoutasatiricalproductreview,claimingthe“ThreeWolfMoon”shirtwasmagicandmadehimirresistibletowomen.
OtherAmazonreviewerspickeduponthethemeandwrotetheirownfunnyreviewspraisingthemysteriouslife-changingpowersofthewolves.Withindays,thejokewentviral–andalthoughGovernhimselfneverboughtashirt,itsoonbecameabestselleronAmazon.
AccordingtoTheNewYorkTimes,theMountaint-shirtcompanyinKeene,NewHampshire,wentfromsellingtwotothreeshirtsperdaytoselling100everyhour.Thewolveswoundupspendingnearly200daysonAmazon.com’sTop100list.10
Noteverycustomerreviewisgoingtolaunchaproductintotheretailstratosphere,butonlinecomments–those
ofthenon-facetiouskind–containvaluableinsightsabouttheextremesoftheshoppingexperience.Thinkaboutit:peopleonlybothertosharetheirthoughtswithacompanyiftheyareeitherverypleasedorveryunhappy.Fewreviewersbothertowriteaboutanaverageexperience.
SmartDynamicPricinginvolvesextractingconsumerdemandsignals–valuablecustomerdatafromreviewsaswellassocialmediamessages–andfactoringthemintopricingdecisionsforbothpersonaloffersandforecastingfuturepurchasingtrends.ItisanextralayerofintelligenceappliedtoDynamicPricing,whichusesaRulesEnginetoautomaticallyraise,lowerorkeeppricesthesamebasedonsupplyanddemand,theweatherandeventhetimeofday.
DespitetheconcernaboutfakeAmazonreviews–notthesillykindlikethewolvesbutwhencompaniesshamelesslyreviewtheirownproducts–thenumbersdon’tlie.AhugeamountofconsumerreviewsacrosstheWebindicatesanorganicdemandforthatitem.
BelowisagraphshowingtheincreaseinsearchenginetrafficfortheLGElectronicsHBS-730BluetoothHeadsetinrelationshiptothegrowingnumberof
positivereviews.Peopleinnatelytrustwhattheirfellowconsumersthinkmorethanacompany’sofficialmarketingmaterials.
PersonalizedPricing:AConversationwithRetailAnalystKevinSterneckertGPSismostcommonlyassociatedwithdrivingornavigation,butitcouldsoonbecomeanevenmorevaluableshoppermarketingtool.Earlierthisyear,AppleintroduceditsiBeacontechnologytogiveretailerstheabilitytosharecustomizedmessagesaboutspecialdealsandproductinformationbasedonwherecustomersarewalkinginthestore.11
TheiBeaconiscurrentlybeingtestedattheAppleStoreinManhattanaswellasalimitednumberofDuaneReadedrugstoresinNewYork.ThedeviceusesgeofencingandBluetoothsignalsemittedfromspecificshelvesforanewlevelof“micro-location”targeting.AtDuaneReade,theiBeaconcanwooshopperswithimpulsepurchaseincentives–suchas25%offnewnailpolishcolorsorofferingumbrellasalesonarainyday.12
Whenapharmacydetectsthatacustomerhasenteredthestore,and“knows”fromloyaltycarddatathatshehasasweettooth,offeringheracoupononDoveChocolatemakessense.Butsendingheranalertassheiswalkingdownthecandyaisleistheoptimalpersonalizedoffer.
Couldretailerssoonbemakingsimilarreal-timeofferstoeverycustomer?Toexplorethisbravenewworldofpersonalizedpricing,wesatdownforanotherchatwithretailanalystKevinSterneckert,aformervicepresidentofresearchforGartner.
Q:Howadvancedareretailersnowwithpersonalpricingandwherearethingsheaded?KS:We’reseeingretailerstodaybeginningtooffercouponsordiscountsto
consumerclasses–soforexample,tomybestcustomerswhoarefemaleages39-45,I’mgoingtoofferthem20%offallfragrances.OrI’mgoingtogive15%offallDr.DreBeatsheadphonestomenages18-24.
WhereIbelievewe’reheadedisofferingspecificpromotionstoindividualconsumers.Weseethisalreadybeginningtooccur.Forexample,CVSPharmacyusesaverysophisticatedCRMapproachandhasbeensendingtailoredcustomcouponbookstohouseholds.Theyarebeginningtoeliminatetheprintedcouponbooksandbeginningtodirectlycommunicatewithconsumersrelativetotheindividualhousehold.
Sotheseprofilingsystemsbegintounderstandnotjustthatyou’reacollegestudent,butyou’reawealthycollegestudentandyouprefertheschoolsuppliesthatareinourlocation,butyoualsodon’tuseourover-the-counterdrugsection.Sowe’regoingtoencouragethatover-the-counterdealduringappropriatetimesforallergy,coldandfluorpainreliefmedicine.We’regoingtoprobetounderstandexactlywhatitwilltaketogetyoutobuyinanothercategory.
Q:Doesapersonalizedpricingofferneedtobedonethroughanapporrewardscardoristhereanotherway?KS:Retailersareusinglotsofways,buttherehastobesomekindofengagementwiththeconsumertobegintolearnconsumerbehaviors.Someareusinganapp,somearetyingthatapptoaloyaltycard,butit’salwaysanopt-inproposition.Whenyou’reclosetooneofthosestores,amessagewillpopupandsay,“Hey,here’sanofferforyourightnow!”
Q:DoyouthinkiBeaconswillbesuccessfulatshoppingmalls?KS:We’rejuststartingtoseestoresexperimentwiththebeacons.Again,therealtestofthiswillbe:“Howrelevantwilltheretailerbewiththeconsumer?”Ifyou’reonlydoinggenericoffers,thenthisisnotreallygoingtobepopular.Butiftheyapplysomeveryintelligentlisteningsolutionsandtrulypersonalizetheoffers,thentheiBeaconhasanopportunitytoreallytakeoff.
Thetechnologyofthebeaconisn’twhat’sgoingtomakeithappen–it’sgoingtobetheintelligencebehinditthatunderstandsandextendsrelevancetotheconsumerinanengagingway.
Thewidespreadadoptionofpersonalizedpricingwouldbeagamechanger:Theluxuryofalwaysknowingwhatyourcompetitionischargingmayeventuallydisappear.Therewillbeapublicpriceandthenperhapstherealpriceforyou–acustomizedcalculationbasedonyourdemographic,spendinghistory,brandloyalty,yourcompetitiveoptionsonthemarketandaslewofotherdemandsignals.
Rightnow,gatheringPricingIntelligenceisrelativelyeasy.It’slikebeingagasstationowneratabusyintersection.Allhehastodotokeeptabsonthecompetitionislookouthiswindowatthegiantsignabovethepumps.Butwhatwouldthegasstationownerdoifthosepricesweren’tposted–ifthecustomerswereprivatelygiventhepricebeforehandontheirsmartphones?
Theservicestationownerwouldneedtofigureoutwhathiscustomerswerewillingtopaypergallon,basedonthecustomer’sneeds,desiresandresourcesinsteadofjustautomaticallymatchingthepriceacrossthestreet.Likeanyretailer,hewouldneedtodevelophisownpricingdemandmodel–beyondsettinguprulesrespondingtotheotherguy.
Howthesechallengeswillallshakeoutisuncertain.Whatisclearisthatstayingaheadofthecompetitionrequiresalignmentwiththeneedsofthecustomer.Standingstillisnotanoption.
Chapter7:HowtoGetStarted
4QuestionstoConsiderWhenGettingStartedwithaPricingIntelligenceSolutionWhetheryouaretryingPricingIntelligenceforthefirsttime,haveexperienceditbutaretryingDynamicPricingforthefirsttimeorhaveexperiencedbothbutarelookingtoswitchvendors,herearesomehelpfulquestionstoaskyourselfasyougetstarted.
1. WhichCategoriesAndSKUsShouldIMonitor?2. WhichCompetitorsShouldBeOnMyRadar-AndHowMany?3. HowFrequentlyShouldIMonitor/ChangePrices?4. WhatAreMyMatchingRulestoCompareMyProductsWithMy
Competitors’Products?
WhichCategoriesAndSKUsShouldIMonitor?KnowingwhichcategoriesandSKUsyoushouldfocusondependsonhowyoudefineyourbusiness.Whencustomersthinkofyourstore,whichitemsdotheyinstantlyassociatewithyou?Inwhichcategoriesareyouexpectedtoattackandinwhichonesshouldyoumerelyplaydefense?
WhichCompetitorsShouldBeOnMyRadar–AndHowMany?Thereisnoone-size-fits-allanswertothisquestion.Thenumberofcompetitorstomonitorwilldependonthecategoriesandthislistwillkeepchangingasretailersaddandremovenewitemstoandfromtheirassortments.Theonlycompetitorsyoushouldcareabout,however,aretheonesyourcustomerswouldlikelyturntoforprice-sensitiveKeyValueItems(KVIs).
Foradepartmentstore,themultiplelistsofcompetitorstomonitorwillbedifferentforshoes,electronics,apparel,etc.It’salsoimportanttonotethatthereisnouniversallistofKVIs–thisalsovariesbyindividualstoreandcanonlybedeterminedbystudyingyourcustomers.Agoodruleofthumbisfocusingonthesixtoeightcompetitorsmostsimilartoyou.
HowFrequentlyShouldIMonitor/ChangePrices?SomemajorretailersusingDynamicPricingareregularlycheckingcompetitors’pricesoneverysingleitemtheyoffer.Frequencydependsontheitem’simportanceandpricesensitivity.KVIsaretypicallyreviewedeverytwohours,whileotherproductsarereassessedeveryweekoreverymonth.Ultimately,thedecisionkeepscomingbacktohowdependentsalesareonthepriceofagivenitemandhowoftencompetitorsarechangingtheirprices.
WhatAreMyMatchingRulestoCompareMyProductswithMyCompetitors’Products?Whencomparingyourpricestothecompetition,itisessentialthatyoumakesureyouarecomparingthesameproducts.Thisiscalledproductmapping.
Butappearancescanbedeceiving.Takealookatthefoodscalesbelow.
ComparisonoftwoproductswiththesameUPC
Onfirstglance,withtheexceptionofthesilvertray,theyappeartobethesamescale:SameUPCcode,samesize,samedigitalscreenandsamebase.SowhydoesWasserstrom.com’sversioncost60%morethanthemodelonAmazon?Whenthereisalargepricedifferentialbetweenthesameitematdifferentretailers,anautomatedmappingsystemcanalertpricinganalyststoinvestigatefurther.
ItturnsoutthatthechromefoodtrayontherightisapprovedbytheNationalSanitationFoundation(NSF)formeetingthepublichealthstandardsforschoolsandhospitals.Theplasticoneontheleftdoesnotsharethatdesignation.
Withinyourchosencategory,therewillbemanydiscrepancieslikethiswhencomparingsimilarproducts.Youcan’talwaysdependonUPCcodesormodelnumbersforproductmapping.Sometimestherearenouniversalnumbers,whichisthecaseforgenericorprivatelabelproducts.
Regardlessofthecategory,youneedtodefinewhichproductfeaturesorattributesyourcustomerscareaboutmost.Forexample,ifyouaresellingfurniture–anotoriouslydifficultcategorytomatch–youmaydecidethatthekindofmaterial(fabric,wood,metal,glass,leather)isthemostimportantattributewhencomparingitems.Oritmaybethenumberofdrawersorthedimensions.
BigPicture:WhatDoYouWanttoAchieve?Itcan’tbestatedenoughthatgatheringbusinessintelligenceisworthlessifyoucan’tactonthatintelligence.Herearesomeofthebigpictureretailquestionsyoucananswerbycloselykeepingtabsonyourcompetitors’prices:
HowcanItakeadvantageofcompetitorinventory?Howcompetitivearemyprices?Whenarecompetitorschangingtheirprices?
HowcanIincreasemymargins?AmImarkingthepricedowntoosoonortoomuch?
WouldlearningtheanswerstotheabovequestionsbeenoughtoachieveyourcurrentbusinessgoalsordoyouneedtoimplementDynamicPricingaswell?
UsingaRulesEngine,DynamicPricingallowsyoutoraise,lowerorkeeppricesthesamebasedontheconstantlychangingcircumstancesofthemoment.Pricerecommendationscanvarybasedonsupplyanddemand,howcustomersfindyou(directtraffic,comparisonshoppingengines,organicsearchorsearchenginemarketing),consumersocialsignals(productreviews,Facebooklikes,etc.)andeventheweather.
HowWouldYouLiketoConsumeYourData?Everycompanyhasitsowncultureandpreferredwayofdoingthings.RegardlessofwhichPricingIntelligencevendoryouchoose,theyshouldbeabletodeliveryourdataandinsightsinthemostuser-friendlyformatcustomizedforyourneeds.Youroptionsshouldinclude:
DatafeedsAPIintegrationintoyourBusinessIntelligenceorPointofSalesystemsDashboardsExceloutputsAlertfeedsPricerecommendationfeeds
WhatShouldBeCoveredinYourService-LevelAgreement?YourSLAforanyPricingIntelligenceorDynamicPricingsystemsneedtocoverhowtoverifytheaccuracyofyourdata,whattoexpectfromtheonboardingprocess,andthetimelineforsettingupthesystemanddeployingit.
1.ConfirmingtheAccuracyofYourData
WhenhundredsofthousandsofSKUsaremappedandcrawledeachday,theopportunityforerrorscanbesignificant.Criticalerrorscancreepintoyourdataandthenintoyouractionableinsights.Yourcompetitors’ever-changingcategorypagesandthecomplexstructureofmarketplacewebsitesaddtothischallenge.
Insightsandcriticalpricingdecisionsbasedonfaultydatacouldexposeyoutogreatrisk.Whenresearchingasolutionprovider,lookintothestrengthoftheirQualityAssurance(QA)algorithmsandprocessestomanagedata.Oftenprovidershaveaparallelprocessthatonlysamplescrawlingandmappingaccuracy,whichmaybegrosslyinadequate.
Matureprovidersofferacomprehensive,rule-baseddataintegritychecksystemthatdoesformat,factual,timing,andlogicalchecksoneachdatapoint.MakesuretothoroughlyinvestigatetheQAprocessandhaveyoursolutionproviderdemosamplerunsusingtheirsystems.
Don’tforgettoaskvendorshowtheyidentifyandmapsimilarcompetingproducts,andaskthemtoexplaintheirongoingprocessformappingnewproducts.Youneedtoknowyourcoverage,whichisthepercentageofyourproductsthatmatchacompetitor’sproducts.Unlessyourcompetitorsstockasignificantnumberofexclusiveproductsorprivatelabelproducts,yourcoveragepercentagegenerallyshouldbeveryhigh.
Therewillbesituationswhenacompetingretailercarriesthesameproductsasyou,butindifferentpacksizes.Asophisticatedproductmatchingsystemshouldbeabletoidentifythesecasesandtranslatethepricesperunit.Beawarethattherearenowseveralproductmatchingsystemsonthemarketthatcannothandledifferentpacksizes.
Ifyouinitiallydonotseehighcoverageforexactproductmatches,youshouldthendetermineyournumberofsimilarproductmatches.Forexample,let’ssaythatyourstorecarriesthefollowingfruit:
Andyourcompetitorcarriesthesefruits:
Onyourfirstattempttomeasurecoverage,youwouldfindonlytwoexactmatches:oneredappleandonepineapple.However,ifyouredefineyourmatchingrulestolookforsimilarproducts,youwouldlearnthatbothyouandyour
competitorshareaheavyfocusonapples.
Youcannotmakesmartdata-drivendecisionsunlessyouareconfidentintheaccuracyofyourmatches.
2.AssessingtheOnboardingProcess
Awell-managedonboardingprocesssetsyouupforsuccesswhileprovidingastandardforongoingchangesinproductsandcompetitors.Somesolutionsaredo-it-yourselfwithallsortsofuserconfigurableoptions,whileotherplatformsthatofferexcitingfeaturesmaynotbehelpfulatalliftheyarenoteasilyunderstoodbynontechnicalusers.
Awell-plannedonboardingprogramoffersdifferentlevelsofhandholdingforvarioususertypes.Forexample,one-to-onesessionswithon-callguidanceinthefirstfewweekscanhelpensuresuccess.Makesurethatthevendor’sprogrammanagerunderstandsmerchandisingandpricingandisnotsimplyahigh-techtooluser.Yourtrainingandonboardingneedtobemoreapplication-orientedandrelevanttosolveyourbusinessneeds.
Besuretocheck:
Whatistheonboardingtimeline?Whatisrequiredofyou?Whatwillthesolutionprovidertakecareof?Willthesolutionproviderbeonsite?Ifso,whowillbeonsiteandforhowlong?Willtheybereturningregularly?Whathappenswhentheretailerbringsonnewpersonnel?Howwilltheybetrained?Whowillbeheadinguptheonboardingprocess?Whatistheirexperience?
ThisisabriefguidetoPricingIntelligence.WeencourageyoutodownloadthefulleBook–PRICINGINTELLIGENCE2.0:TheEssentialGuidetoPriceIntelligenceandDynamicPricingformoreexamplesandanin-depthlookathowyoucangetsmarteraboutpricing.
AboutUgamUgamisagloballeaderinmanagedanalytics.Combiningaproprietarybigdataplatformwithaglobalteamofinsightsandanalyticsexperts,Ugam’suniqueofferingempowersclientswiththeconfidencenecessarytotakeactionthatimpactstheirbusiness.ClientstrustUgambecausetheydeliverunmatchedcustomerexperienceandspecificresults.Thattrustisalsobasedondeepdomainexpertise,end-to-endservice,innovationandthehighestqualityofinsightsandanalytics,whichenableUgamtotransformbigdataintobiginsightanddirectaction.Asaresult,nineofthelargest25retailers,manyoftheworld’slargestbrandsandonlinemarketplaces,and12ofthetop25marketresearchfirmsturntoUgamtodaytohelpimprovetheirbusinessperformance.www.ugamsolutions.com
Footnotes(1)“Procter&GambleandUnileverEscalateBigHairWar,”WallStreetJournal,Feb.24,2014.http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304434104579378923001137120
(2)“P&G’sAmazonPactPromptsRetaliation,”WallStreetJournal,Feb.26,2014.http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB20001424052702304703804579380792664369028
(3)“HowtoWinaPriceWar,”MITSloanManagementReview,March18,2014.http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/how-to-win-a-price-war/
(4)SouthBySouthwestInteractive2009OpeningRemarksbyTonyHsieh,Part1,SXSWYouTubeChannel:http://youtu.be/63WFjoFiXns
(5)RISNews:“PricingIntelligenceGoestoWar,”Jan.3,2014.http://risnews.edgl.com/retail-research/Pricing-Intelligence-Goes-to-War90346
(6)“AreYouGivingYourCustomersWhatTheyReally,ReallyWant?:Aglobalresearchprojectexploringconsumerattitudestowardsonlineshopping.”WorldPay,2013.http://www.slideshare.net/mattheweveritt8290/consumer-attitudes-towards-online-shopping-a-global-study-from-worldpay
(7)http://stevestonpizza.com/pizzas.html
(8)“World’smostexpensivepizza:$450andafulldayinthemaking,”Maclean’s,June18,2012.http://www.macleans.ca/society/life/worlds-most-expensive-pizza-its-in-vancouver/
(9)“Variable-PriceCokeMachineBeingTested,”TheNewYorkTimes,October28,1999.http://www.nytimes.com/1999/10/28/business/variable-price-coke-machine-being-tested.html
(10)“ThinkaT-ShirtCan’tChangeYourLife?ASkepticThinksAgain,”TheNewYorkTimes,May24,2009.http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/25/nyregion/25towns.html?_r=0
(11)“Retail’sNextBigBet:iBeaconandthePromiseofGeolocationTechnologies,”Wired.com,May14,2014.http://innovationinsights.wired.com/insights/2014/05/retails-next-big-bet-ibeacon-promise-geolocation-technologies/
(12)“Geofencing:CanTextingSaveStores?”TheWallStreetJournal,May8,2012.http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303978104577362403804858504