prineville lit - assessment of threats

26
Prineville LIT - Assessment of Threats PowerPoint slides are in the same order as threats listed in this table. Threat Category Threat Survey Ranking Source and Layers used to Develop Assessment Development Recreation 3.7 BLM and USFS datasets Development Land use conversion 3.2 National Land Cover Database Development/Land Conversion Development Human development 2.3* Landscape Planning Tool (LPT) Existing Developments Habitat Wildfire 4.3 LPT Wildfire Perimeters Habitat Juniper encroachment 4.1 Rangeland Analysis Platform version 2 (RAPv2) map summaries – Tree Cover Habitat Mesic habitat 3.9 Sage Grouse Initiative (SGI) - Mesic Resources tool Habitat Invasive annual grasses (IAG) 3.9 SageCon Invasives Initiative – Geographic Strategy Habitat Loss of connectivity and small habitat patch size 3.3 LPT - Habitat Connectivity Habitat Loss of grass and forb cover (and height) 3.3* LPT, RAPv2 Perennial Grass and Forb Cover tool Habitat Other invasive plant species** 3.2 Crooked River WMA Habitat Loss of sagebrush 3 LPT Shrub Cover tool Habitat Grazing 2.5 BLM and USFS datasets Habitat Wild horses 1.8 BLM and USFS datasets Population Predation 3.5 ODFW Population West Nile virus** 2.8 USFWS Population Hunting 2.1 ODFW *multiple, similar threats consolidated; scores averaged **waiting on assessments from partners

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Prineville LIT - Assessment of Threats

• PowerPoint slides are in the same order as threats listed in this table.

Threat Category Threat Survey

Ranking

Source and Layers used to Develop Assessment

Development Recreation 3.7 BLM and USFS datasets

Development Land use conversion 3.2 National Land Cover Database – Development/Land Conversion

Development Human development 2.3* Landscape Planning Tool (LPT) – Existing Developments

Habitat Wildfire 4.3 LPT – Wildfire Perimeters

Habitat Juniper encroachment 4.1 Rangeland Analysis Platform version 2 (RAPv2) map summaries – Tree Cover

Habitat Mesic habitat 3.9 Sage Grouse Initiative (SGI) - Mesic Resources tool

Habitat Invasive annual grasses (IAG) 3.9 SageCon Invasives Initiative – Geographic Strategy

Habitat Loss of connectivity and small habitat patch size 3.3 LPT - Habitat Connectivity

Habitat Loss of grass and forb cover (and height) 3.3* LPT, RAPv2 – Perennial Grass and Forb Cover tool

Habitat Other invasive plant species** 3.2 Crooked River WMA

Habitat Loss of sagebrush 3 LPT – Shrub Cover tool

Habitat Grazing 2.5 BLM and USFS datasets

Habitat Wild horses 1.8 BLM and USFS datasets

Population Predation 3.5 ODFW

Population West Nile virus** 2.8 USFWS

Population Hunting 2.1 ODFW

*multiple, similar threats consolidated; scores averaged

**waiting on assessments from partners

Juniper Woodlands

Rickard TrailheadTumulus Trailhead

Horse Ridge Trailhead

High Desert Trailhead

Big Sagebrush Trailhead

Larry Chitwood Trailhead

Dry River Canyon Trailhead

Chimney Rock (Rim) Trailhead

£¤20

£¤26

£¤395

£¤97

¬«370

¬«380

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¬«31

¬«19

¬«361

¬«207

Post

Suplee

Antone

Culver

Hampton

Paulina

Alfalfa

Redmond

Grizzly

Millican

Brothers

MitchellMetolius

Deschutes

Fort Rock

Prineville

Terrebonne

Powell Butte

PrinevilleDistrict

ProjectArea

LegendGRSG Habitat

Priority Habitat Management Area (PHMA)General Habitat Managment Area (GHMA)Major Highways with shields DISTRICTEasiestMore DifficultMost DifficultShared Use Road

Recreation Site TypeTrailhead

Bureau of Land ManagementU.S. Forest ServiceNational Park ServiceU.S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceBureau of Indian AffairsOther FederalStateLocal GovernmentPrivate/Unknown

¯

0 7.5 153.75 Miles

No warranty is made by the Bureau of Land Management as to the accuracy,reliability, or completeness of these data for individual or aggregate usewith other data. Original data were compiled from various sources and maybe updated without notification.

Prineville District Recreation

U.S. Department of the InteriorBureau of Land ManagementPrineville District Office

Juniper Woodlands

Rickard Trailhead

Tumulus Trailhead

Dry River TrailheadBear Creek Trailhead

Horse Ridge Trailhead

High Desert Trailhead

Big Sagebrush Trailhead

Reynolds Pond Trailhead

Flatiron Rock Trailhead Badlands Rock Trailhead

Larry Chitwood Trailhead

Dry River Canyon Trailhead

Chimney Rock (Rim) Trailhead

£¤20

¬«27

Alfalfa

Millican

PrinevilleDistrict

ProjectArea

LegendGRSG Habitat

Priority Habitat Management Area (PHMA)General Habitat Managment Area (GHMA)Major Highways with shields DISTRICTEasiestMore DifficultMost DifficultShared Use Road

Recreation Site TypeTrailhead

Bureau of Land ManagementU.S. Forest ServiceNational Park ServiceU.S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceBureau of Indian AffairsOther FederalStateLocal GovernmentPrivate/Unknown

¯

0 2.5 51.25 Miles

No warranty is made by the Bureau of Land Management as to the accuracy,reliability, or completeness of these data for individual or aggregate usewith other data. Original data were compiled from various sources and maybe updated without notification.

Prineville District Recreation

U.S. Department of the InteriorBureau of Land ManagementPrineville District Office

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China Hat

Groundhog Ohv

Pine Mountain

Camp I I (OhvTrailhead)

Rd 2510 (OhvTrailhead)

Rd 25 (OhvTrailhead)

ArnoldIce Cave

Boyd Cave

South Lava (OhvTrailhead)

Horse Butte

Cinder Hill

East Lake

SouthIce Cave

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2015

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2440

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!̈ Paragliding Sites

Sage-Grouse Action AreasInvasive Plants (Current)Large Fire - 1981-Present

Roads - OpenA - ARTERIALC - COLLECTORL - LOCAL

USFS Recreation Map

0 1.5 3 4.5 60.75Miles

'­ Developed Recreation SItesBrothers

N. Wagontire

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USFS Recreation Map

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• Data available through the NLCD– Comparison of 2011 and 2016 datasets

• Development (Open space, low and medium density)

– 2011: 5,160 ac

– 2016: 5,029 ac

• Agriculture (Hay/Pasture & Cultivated Crops)

– 2011: 10,622 ac

– 2016: 8,931 ac

• Shrub/Scrub– 2011: 1,430,359 ac

– 2016: 1,384,725 ac

• Grassland/Herbaceous– 2011: 11,137 ac

– 2016: 53,208 ac

2011Development/Land Conversion

2016

2011 Development/Land Conversion

Paulina

12-mile

Misery Flat

Tackman

Post

N. Wagontire

Brothers

2016 Development/Land Conversion

Paulina

12-mile

Misery Flat

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Post

N. Wagontire

Brothers

Human Development

SageCon Landscape Planning Tool

Wildfire

SageCon Landscape Planning Tool

Action area boundaries

Wildfire boundaries

Tree cover

12 MileBrothers

Misery FlatN Wagontire

PaulinaPost Tackman

Rangeland Analysis Platform

Mesic Resources

SGI mesic resources map

Paulina

12-mile

Misery Flat

Tackman

Post

N. Wagontire

Brothers

Invasive annual grass strategy

12 MileBrothers

Misery FlatN Wagontire

PaulinaPost Tackman

Habitat Connectivity

Connectivity Barriers are locations within connectivity linkage zones that most disrupt connectivity, which can be used to identify habitat restoration opportunities to improve connectivity.

Connectivity Pinchpoints are areas where connectivity could be severed with the loss of a relatively small amount of habitat. Habitat loss or degradation within these areas can result in a disproportionate adverse effect on connectivity, and therefore these areas may be prioritized for habitat protection.

TNC Connectivity Report

Perennial grass & forb cover

12 MileBrothers

Misery FlatN Wagontire

PaulinaPost Tackman

Rangeland Analysis Platform

Brothers

12 Mile

North Wagontire

Paulina

Misery Flat

Post

Tackman

¯0 10 205 Miles

Crooked River WMA - Other Weed Species Map

Land OwnershipUSFSBLMPVDSLFWSCountyOther StateBoR

Shrub Cover(all shrubs, not just sagebrush)

12 Mile

Misery FlatN Wagontire

PaulinaPost Tackman

Rangeland Analysis Platform

Brothers

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Antone

Culver

Hampton

Paulina

Alfalfa

Redmond

Grizzly

Millican

Brothers

MitchellMetolius

Deschutes

Fort Rock

Prineville

Terrebonne

Powell Butte

PrinevilleDistrict

ProjectArea

LegendAllotments & Pastures (State Office)

GRSG HabitatPriority Habitat Management Area (PHMA)General Habitat Managment Area (GHMA)Major Highways with shields DISTRICT

Bureau of Land ManagementU.S. Forest ServiceNational Park ServiceU.S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceBureau of Indian AffairsOther FederalStateLocal GovernmentPrivate/Unknown

¯

0 7.5 153.75 Miles

No warranty is made by the Bureau of Land Management as to the accuracy,reliability, or completeness of these data for individual or aggregate usewith other data. Original data were compiled from various sources and maybe updated without notification.

Prineville District Grazing Allotments/Greater Sage-grouse Habitat

U.S. Department of the InteriorBureau of Land ManagementPrineville District Office

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Murderers Creek

Post

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Antone

Culver

Hampton

Paulina

Alfalfa

Redmond

Grizzly

Millican

Brothers

MitchellMetolius

Deschutes

Fort Rock

Prineville

Terrebonne

Powell Butte

PrinevilleDistrict

ProjectArea

LegendGRSG Habitat

Priority Habitat Management Area (PHMA)General Habitat Managment Area (GHMA)

Major Highways with shields DISTRICTBureau of Land ManagementU.S. Forest ServiceNational Park ServiceU.S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceBureau of Indian AffairsOther FederalStateLocal GovernmentPrivate/Unknown

¯

0 7.5 153.75 Miles

No warranty is made by the Bureau of Land Management as to the accuracy,reliability, or completeness of these data for individual or aggregate usewith other data. Original data were compiled from various sources and maybe updated without notification.

Prineville District Greater Sage-grouse/Herd Management Areas (HMAs)

U.S. Department of the InteriorBureau of Land ManagementPrineville District Office

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T18S R23E

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T16S R21E T16S R22E T16S R23E

T17S R24E

T19S R20E

T18S R20E T18S R24E

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T16S R24ET16S R20E

T20S R20E T20S R24E

Liggett Table

Paulina

PrinevilleDistrict

ProjectArea

LegendGRSG Habitat

Priority Habitat Management Area (PHMA)General Habitat Managment Area (GHMA)Major Highways with shields DISTRICTArterial RoadCollector RoadLocal or Resource Road

Bureau of Land ManagementU.S. Forest ServiceNational Park ServiceU.S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceBureau of Indian AffairsOther FederalStateLocal GovernmentPrivate/Unknown

¯

0 2 41 Miles

No warranty is made by the Bureau of Land Management as to the accuracy,reliability, or completeness of these data for individual or aggregate usewith other data. Original data were compiled from various sources and maybe updated without notification.

Paulina/12 Mile/Misery Flat Priority Habitat Management Area (PHMA)/

Herd Management Areas (HMAs)

U.S. Department of the InteriorBureau of Land ManagementPrineville District Office

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Sage-Grouse - USFS Range Improvements

0 2.5 51.25Miles

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N. Wagontire

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ROUNDMTN SOUTH

BANEBERRY

LOOKOUTMTN UPPER

LOOKOUT MTNSHELTER

KELSEY

LINE BUTTEEAST TRAILHEAD

COTTONWOODPIT

BIG SPRINGDEEP CREEK

BIGGS SPRINGS

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MOTHERLODE MINE

ROCK CREEK

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BLACKCANYON

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ELKHORN

WILEY FLATDOUBLE CABIN

LINE BUTTEWEST TRAILHEAD

COFFEE POT

SUGAR CREEK

ANTELOPERESERVOIR

ANTELOPERESERVOIR

Sage-Grouse - USFS Range Improvements

0 2.5 5 7.5 101.25Miles

Sage-Grouse Action Areas

PBS Airfield Lines

ALLOTMENT

WILD HORSE & BURRO TERRITORY

x x x Fence

RoadEvent - Functional ClassA - ARTERIAL

C - COLLECTOR

L - LOCAL

'­ Developed Recreation SItes

Paulina

12-mile

Tackman

P o s t

Predation• Generally, research does not support predator (carnivore) removal for improving juvenile

or adult sage-grouse survival

– Conover and Roberts, 2017

• However, research suggests sage-grouse nest success decreases with increased raven densities

– GRSG nest success well below average at > 0.4 ravens/km2 (Coates et al. 2020)

– > 0.45 ravens/ km2 is the threshold where sage-grouse productivity falls below that required for population persistence (Coates and Delehanty 2010)

Coates, P. S., and D. J. Delehanty. 2010. Nest predation of greater sage-grouse in relation to microhabitat factors and predators. Journal of

Wildlife Management. 74:240–248.

Coates P. S., S. T. O’Neil, B.E. Brussee, M. A. Ricca, P. J. Jackson, J. B. Dinkins, K. B. Howe, A. M. Moser, L. J. Foster, and D. J. Delehanty. 2020.

Broad-scale impacts of an invasive native predator on a sensitive native prey species within the shifting avian community of the North

American Great Basin. Biological Conservation 243:108409.

Conover, M. R., and A. J. Roberts. 2017. Predators, Predator Removal, and Sage-Grouse: A Review. Journal of Wildlife Management 81:7–15.

• Raven surveys in the Brother’s PAC during 2018 yielded 0.385 ravens/km2

– Plan to conduct raven surveys in future years to continue monitoring raven densities

• waiting on 2019 results

Prineville LIT Area

2017 2018

▪ Capture mosquitoes, test for West Nile virus (WNv), & assess sage-grouse use at guzzlers

▪ Trapping seasons for 2017, 2018, & 2020▪ 16 traps in 2017/2018, 4 traps in 2020▪ < 370 mosquitoes in 2017; < 800 mosquitoes in 2018▪ All WNv tests negative (2020 results forthcoming)

▪ Although not classified as summer habitat, sage-grouse still use areas where traps were deployed

▪ No traps deployed in Paulina/12-Mile PAC▪ Takeaways: hard to trap, hard to detect, low

probability that WNv is a stressor, but more information could be useful (paired between Brothers & Paulina)

• Harvest theory is based on compensatory vs. additive mortality

• Density Dependence– Can’t stockpile birds

• Harvest in Oregon well within compensatory mortality range– Annual harvest is typically ~3%

– Additive mortality occurs beyond 10%

• Oregon Sage-Grouse Action Plan– Action HNT-1: Maintain ODFWs harvest

policy of less than 5% of the fall population

– Action HNT-2: Do not authorize harvest within WMUs where the estimated spring population is <100 males

Hunting

Silvies: 20 permits

N. Wagontire: 20 permits

Limited permits in Silviesand N. Wagontire WMUs

~3%