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  • 7/26/2019 Prognostic Minimal Change

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    P ro gn o stic S ig n ifica n ce o f th e E ar ly C o u rse o f M in im a l

    C h a n g e N ep h r otic S y n d ro m e: R ep o rt o f th e In ter n a tion a l

    S tu d y of K id n ey D isea se in C h ild r en

    P E N IN A T A R S H IS H ,* JO N A T H A N N . T O B IN ,t JA Y B E R N S T E IN , and

    C H E S T E R M . E D E L M A N N , JR *

    * D e p a r t,n en t o f P e d ia tr ic s , A lb e rt E in ste in C o lle g e o f M e d ic in e, B ro n x , N e w Y o rk; D ep a rtm e n t o f

    E pidem io log y an d S oc ia l M ed icine , A lb ert E inste in C o lleg e o f M ed ic ine , B ronx , N ew Y o rk , and C lin ica l

    D ire cto rs N e tw o rk , N e w Y o rk ; a n d W il ia m B ea u m o n t H o sp ita l R es ea rc h In stitu te , R o y a l O a k, M ic h ig a n .

    A bs trac t . T he ab ility to p red ic t the co urse in ch ild ren w ith

    new ly d iagn osed m in im a l change neph ro tic sy ndrom e

    (M C N S ) m ay have sig n if ican t the rapeu tic im p lica tion s. P rev i-

    ou s a ttem pts based on d a ta ava ilab le a t d isease onse t have n o t

    been successfu l. T here fo re , it w as investiga ted w hether char-

    acte r iza tion o f the in itia l re spo nse to ad reno co rtic a l s te ro ids

    and the course during th e ea rly m on ths o f d isea se are p red ictiv e

    o f the su bsequ en t o u tcom e . T hree hu ndred -e ig h ty -n ine ch il-

    d ren w ith M C N S , d iagn osed at on se t, w ere trea ted w ith stan -

    da rd p red n iso ne reg im en s and m on ito red fo r up to 1

    7 yr (m ean ,

    9 .4 y r). T h ey w ere cla ssif ied , a fte r 8 w k of the rapy , a s in itia l

    re sp ond ers (com ple te rem ission ) o r in itia l n onre spo nde rs (con -

    tinu ed pro te inu ria ) . S ub sequen t c las sific a tions in clu ded n onre -

    lapse rs, in frequen t re lapse rs, and freq uen t re lapse rs. A t 8 yr o f

    fo llow -up , 80% of p atien ts w ere in rem ission . T hree-four th s o f

    in itia l respon ders w ho rem ained in rem iss ion during the f irst

    6-m on th pe rio d a fter in itia l the rapy (no nrelapsers; 40 % of the

    en tire se ries ) e ithe r con tinued in rem iss ion during the ir en tire

    course or re lapsed ra re ly . In con trast, in itia l re lapse rs, bo th

    frequen t and in frequen t, a ch ieved a n onre lap sing cou rse on ly

    af te r an av erage o f 3 y r . U nrem itting p ro te inu ria du rin g the

    in itia l 8 w k o f trea tm en t w as fo llow ed by pro gress ion to E S R D

    in 21% . W hen pro teinu ria during the in itia l 8 w k con tinued

    th roug h th e su bsequ en t 6 m on th s, p rog re ssion to rena l fa ilu re

    occu rred fo r 35% . A ltho ugh 95% of ch ild ren w ith M C N S d o

    w e ll, 4 to

    5%

    d ie fro m co m plica tions o r und ergo pro gres sion to

    E S R D . D ocum en tatio n o f the ea r ly course a ids in id en tify ing

    those a t inc rea sed risk fo r a poo r ou tcom e . M ore ag gress ive

    the rapy m ay be ind ica ted fo r th ese ind iv idua ls. (J A m S oc

    N eph ro l 8 : 769 -776 , 1997)

    In 19 67 , th e In te rna tiona l S tudy o f K idney D isease in C h ild ren

    (IS K D C ) began a m ultic en ter p rosp ec tive s tudy o f ch ildh ood

    nephro tic syn drom e, to d e te rm ine c lin ica l and labora to ry char-

    ac te ris tic s and to cond uc t a se ries o f con tro lled therapeu tic

    trials ( 1-7). T h is repo rt ch arac te rizes the lon g-te rm cou rse and

    ou tco m e o f m in im a l chang e neph ro tic synd ro m e (M C N S ),

    w ith the dem on stra tio n tha t the p atte rn of s te ro id resp ons iv e-

    ness du ring the first 6 m onths pred ic ts the su bsequ en t pa ttern

    of re sp onse and re lapse .

    M a te ria ls an d M eth od s

    Patients

    B etw een Janu ary 1967 and A pr il 19 76 , 52 1 ch ild ren w ith recen t-

    on se t nephro tic sy ndrom e w ere en te red in to a prospec tiv e stud y tha t

    invo lved 19 partic ipa tin g cen te rs in 12 cou n tries in N orth A m erica,

    E u ro pe , and A sia . W ritten in fo rm ed consen t w as ob tain ed fro m a ll

    par t icipan ts . C rite ria fo r adm iss io n w ere (1 ) h eavy pro te inuria , o f 40

    m g /lvm 2 B S A (0 .9 6 g /daym 2 ), de te rm in ed w ith an o ve rn igh t cob -

    lection: (2 ) hypo a lb um inem ia , o f 2 .5 g /dL (25 g/L) : (3 ) age of

    R ece ived M ay 7 , 1996 . A ccep ted Sep tem ber 24 . 1996 .

    C orrespondence to D r . C h ester M . E de lm ann . A lbe rt E ins tein C ollege of

    M edicine . 1 300 M orris Park A v enue , B ronx , N Y 10461 .

    I046-6673 /0805-0769$03 .00 /0

    Journa l o f the A m erican Soc ie ty of N eph ro logy

    C opyr ig h t U 199 7 by the A m erican S oc ie ty of N eph robog y

    > 12 w k and < 16 yr; (4 ) no p rio r treatm ent w ith s tero ids or o ther

    cy to tox ic or im m u nosu ppressive agen ts; and (5 ) no ev idence of u n-

    derly ing sys tem ic d isease o r ex posure to agen ts kn ow n to be assoc i-

    a ted w ith the n ephro tic synd rom e.

    A ll p a tien ts un de rw en t rena l b iopsy afte r en try in to the stud y ,

    be fore in itiat ion of the rap y.

    O f th e

    5 21 pa tien ts . 389 (74 .7% ) w ere

    d iagnosed h istop atho bog ica lly b y the IS K D C cen tra l p atho lo g ists as

    hav ing M C N S. T h is is in strik ing con tras t to the exp er ience w ith

    adu lts, am ong w ho m m em brano us gbom eru lonephritis (a ra re d isease

    am on g ch ild ren ) pr edo m inates.

    P re d n iso n e R eg im e n s

    T he in itia l tre a tm en t w as 60 m g/24 h m 2 predn iso ne (m ax im u m

    da ily d osage , 80 m g /2 4 h m 2) in th ree d iv ided da ily doses fo r 4 w k ,

    fo llow ed b y 4 0 m g /24 hm 2 (m ax im um da ily

    do sage , 6 0 m g/24 hm 2)

    in d iv id ed d oses on 3 consecu tive days o f 7 fo r 4 w k . T h e trea tm ent

    o f re lapse w as 60 m g/24 hm 2 in d iv ided d oses un til respon se (m ax-

    im um of 4 w k ), fo llow ed by 40 m g/24 hm 2 in d iv ided doses on 3

    consecu tive day s of 7 fo r 4 w k.

    R esponse w as defined as a reduc tion in th e ra te of u rina ry ex cretion

    of pro te in to < 4 m g /lvm 2 (A lb ustix , 0 to trace) fo r 3 con secu tive d ays.

    R e lapse inv o lved a reapp earance of p ro te in uria o f 40 m g / l v m 2

    (A lbus t ix ,

    + +

    or grea te r) fo r 3 con secu tive days . In itia l resp onders

    w ere pa tien ts w ho respond ed during th e 8 w k of th e in itia l p red n ison e

    reg im en . In itia l no nresp onders w ere pa tien ts w ho fa iled to respo nd

    du ring the in itia l 8 w k of predn isone therapy .

    S om e of the pa tien ts su bsequ en tly w ere en te red in to therapeu tic

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    7 70 Journ a l o f the A m erican So cie ty of N ep hro logy

    su bsequ en t resp ond e r: lo ss o f p ro te inu ria

    tria ls incorpo ra ting d if feren t dosag es of pred n ison e (5 ) a nd re gim en s

    tha t in clud ed cycbop hospham ide ( 1 ) o r aza th ioprine (7 ). A fte r the

    in itia l 2 y r o f inc lus ion in th e tria l, pa tien ts w ere trea ted as de term in ed

    by the ir o w n phy sic ians. H ow ev er, excep t fo r those inc lu ded in these

    tria ls , ve ry few patien ts rece ived drugs o ther than pred n ison e.

    M eth ods u sed fo r d ata co lle c tion , cod in g , repo rting o f clin ica l and

    laborato ry

    exam ina tions , an d s tandard iza tio n of ag e- and g en der-

    d ep en den t v a riab le s hav e been desc ribed p rev io usly (2 ,4 ) . V a lues o f

    G F R w ere es tim a ted us ing th e S chw artz fo rm u la (8 ) .

    T a b le 2 .

    A nn ua l c la ss ific atio ns

    N on re lap se r: no re lap se

    In freq uen t re lap se r: one to th ree relap ses

    F requen t relapser : fo u r o r m o re relapse s

    N o nresp onder fo llow ed by rem ission : 8 w eeks of pro teinu ria

    fo llo w ed by rem iss ion

    N onrespon de r no t fo llow ed by rem is sion : u n rem ittin g

    p ro teinu ria

    A n a ly sis o f C lin ic a l C o u rse s

    Fo r the pu rp ose o f ana lysis . th e co urses o f th e pa tien ts w ere d iv ided

    in to th ree phases . as fo llow s: ( 1 ) the in itial 8 w k afte r en tran ce in to the

    s tudy : (2 ) the 6 -m on th pe riod a fte r in itia l the rapy ; and (3 ) the sub se-

    quen t course, c lass if ied ann ua lly on the bas is o f d a ta repor ted d uring

    each 1 y r o f fo llow -up (T ab les I an d 2).

    Fo r a sse ssing th e sta tu s o f pa tien ts o ve r tim e , a p eriod o f 2

    consecu tive yr w ith th e sam e c lass ifica tion w as requ ired to ch arac -

    ter iz e th e course o f the pa tien ts an d to iden tify clin ica lly s ign if ic an t

    changes. T h is a llow ed tran sien t chan ges in the frequ en cy of re lapse s

    to b e d isr eg ar de d.

    H i s t o p a t h o l o g v

    R ena l tissu e w as pro cessed , eva lua ted , and c lass ified in to h isto -

    log ic sub group s as prev ious ly d esc ribed (2 .9 ). B ecause there w ere no

    corre la tio ns be tw een h isto log ic su b types of M C N S and the long- te rm

    clin ica l co urse , da ta fo r a ll pa tien ts w ere po o led for the presen t

    ana lys is .

    S ta tis tic a l M e th o d s

    T he da ta w ere eva lua ted fo r ca tego rical m easu re s usin g prop ortio ns

    an d for quan tita tive m easures us ing m eans and S D . T he 95% confl-

    dence lim its w ere es tim ated to describe respo nse tim es and to assess

    d iffe rences be tw een pa tien t subgro ups ( 1 0 ). P a tien ts w ere eva lu ated a t

    irreg u la r in terva ls du rin g the fo llow -up pe riod . A n nua l a sse ssm en ts

    w ere o b ta ined fo r a ll pa tien ts . an d the clin ica l co u rse s w ere c las sified

    accord in g to the crite ria lis ted in T ab le 2. A nalys is o f the subsequen t

    course s w as b ased on th e p ropo rtion o f p atien t rep o rts in each ann ua l

    classification.

    T a b le 1 .

    In itia l and 6-m o n th c las sific a tions

    Resul ts

    C h a ra c te ris tic s a t O n se t

    T he 3 89 p atien ts w ith M C N S in clu ded 6 6% m ale pa tien ts

    and 34 % fem a le pa tien ts . A g e a t on se t w as 4 .8

    2 .9 yr

    ( m ean

    S D ). A ge at en try w as 4 .9 2 .9 y r . w ith a ran ge o f

    0 .87 to 1 4 .8 . A f ig ure sh ow in g the ag e d istribu tion a t o nse t h as

    been pub lished (4 ). A s p rev io usly repo rted (4 ) , ba se line c lin i-

    ca l and labo ra to ry d ata d id n o t co rrelate w ith rena l h istop ath o-

    log ic find ings , respon se to therapy , o r subsequen t cou rse and ,

    th ere fo re , a re no t repo rted h ere . S im ila rly , n o co rre la tio ns w ere

    foun d w ith m ic ro sco p ic h em atu ria , w h ich w as p re sen t at on se t

    in o ne -th ird o f pa tien ts .

    G e o g ra p h ic D istr ib u tio n

    T h e ser ie s inc luded 47 .8 % p a tien ts from E u ro pe , 1 6 .5%

    fro m Jap an and H on g K o ng , and 35 .7 % from N orth A m erica .

    H istopa thob og ic su b types and th e 6-m o nth classifica tion s d id

    no t d iffe r am on g these g roup s.

    C o u r s e

    F o llow -u p tim es av e raged 1 13

    62 m onths , w ith a m axi-

    m u m of 2 1 1 m onth s (17 .6 y r) . F o llow -up m on ito rin g inc luded

    34 1 pa tien ts a t 2 yr from entry , 301 a t 5 yr. 26 2 a t 7 yr. 2 23 a t

    10 y r. 1 86 a t 12 y r, and 6 0 a t 15 yr .

    S ix -m on th c la ssif ica tion w as poss ib le fo r 363 of th e 38 9

    ch ild ren (93% ) (T ab le 3). F or I 3 pa tien ts . the re w ere insu ffi-

    c ien t da ta to cha rac te riz e th e cou rse s du ring the f irs t 6 m on ths;

    fo r I 3 pa tien ts , the re w ere no fo llow -u p da ta b ey ond en tran ce.

    O f the 3 63 p atien ts , 334 (92% ) w ere in itia l re sp ond ers and 29

    (8% ) w ere in itia l nonrespon ders (T ab le 3). N e ith er G FR at

    o nse t no r G F R

    a t last fo llow -up exam ina tion correla ted w ith

    In i t ia l respo n d er: atta inm en t o f com p le te rem issio n

    cessa tion o f p ro te inu ria w ith in in itia l 8 w eeks o f

    p redn isone the rap y

    C ou rse d urin g

    su b seq u en t 6 m o n th s

    in itia l n onre lapse r: no re lapse

    in itia l in freq uen t re lap se r: on e re lapse

    in itia l f requen t re lapse r: tw o or m ore re lapses

    su bsequ en t no nresp ond e r: p ro te in u ria fo r 8 w eeks

    In it ia l n o nresp on d er: con tin u ou s p ro te in u r ia d u r in g th e

    in it ia l 8 w eek s of th erap y

    C o u rse d u r in g su b seq u en t 6 m o n th s

    con tinued non re spo nde r: un rem ittin g p ro te inu ria

    T a b le 3 . S ix -m on th c la ssific ation s

    N o. % of T ota l % of

    Subgroup

    In itia l re spon de r (3 34 , 92% )

    non re lapse r 148 40 .8 4 4 .3

    in frequ en t relapser 7 3 20 .1 21 .8

    frequen t re lap se r 102 28 .1 30 .6

    subsequ en t non re spo nde r I 1 3 .0 3 .3

    In itia l no nrespo nder (2 9 , 8% ) 100

    w ith con tinu ed non respo nse 1 7

    4 .7 58 .6

    w ith su bsequ en t re spon se

    1 2 3 .3 41 .4

    T o ta l 36 3 1 00 100

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    S u b s e q u e n t A n n u a l

    Classif icat ion:

    R are R ela p s e

    N o R ela p s e

    In fr R e la ps e

    F re q R ela p se

    69

    2 9

    2

    4 %

    N o F u rth e r

    Re la p s e

    N o R ela p s e

    R a re R elap se

    :::: ln fre q R ela pse

    F req R elap se

    F igure 1 . S u bsequ en t c la ssif ic a tion o f 1 48 p atien ts w ho w ere no nrelapsers a t 6 m o n ths . T hree -fo u rth s relap sed rare ly o r n o t a t all. (R a re re lap se

    is de fined as no 2 -yr p er io d w ith a t least one re lapse each year.) Th e percen t d is tribu tion of subsequen t ann ua l c lassifica tio ns of the in freq uen t

    (In freq o r In fr) re lap se rs is p re sen ted in tabu la r fo rm , show ing , fo r ex am ple , th at the re w ere no re lapse s in 69% o f th e fo llow -u p yea rs . F req ,

    frequen t .

    Sign if icance of th e E arly C ourse of M C N S 771

    c lass ific a tion at 6 m on th s o r w ith h is topa tho bog ic fin d ing s,

    excep t fo r in itia l non re spo nd ers , w h o rem a ined n onre spon sive

    th roug hou t the ir cou rse s (see be low ).

    O f the 1 48 in itia l n on re la ps er s, 16% su sta in ed a n onre lap s-

    ing pa tte rn th ro ugho u t the ir en tire cou rse an d 60% re lapsed

    rarely , i.e.

    ,

    no 2-y r p eriod w ith at le as t o ne relapse each y ea r

    (F igu re 1

    ).

    O nly six in itia l no nrelapse rs becam e frequ en t re-

    lap sers , and ha lf o f the ir su bsequ en t annu al a sse ssm en ts w ere

    a s n on re la ps er s.

    A m o ng th e 73 in itia l in fre q u e n t re la p se rs , 70% becam e

    n onre lap sers w ith in 0 .3 to 7 .7 y r (m ed ian , 2 .7 y r) (F igu re 2 ) .

    O n ly seven in itia l in frequ en t re lap se rs (9 .6% ) w ere su bse -

    q uen tly c la ssified as frequ en t re lap se rs .

    O f

    th e 102 in itia l fre q u en t re la p s ers , 63% b ecam e no nre -

    lapse rs w ith in an av erage pe riod o f 3 y r; and an add itiona l 3 4%

    of

    in itia lfre q u e n t re la p ser s

    becam e in freq uen t re lapse rs w ith in

    2 yr (F igu re 3 ) . T h ere w as no s ign if ic an t d ifference in tim e to

    n onre lap se o r in frequen t re lapse am on g tho se w ho rece ived

    p redn ison e, azath iop rine , o r cyc lop hosp ham ide , sing ly o r in

    com b ina tion . T h us, a ltho ugh cycbo pho sph am ide p lus p red -

    n isone im p ro ved th e ea rly cou rse fo r freq u e n t r ela p se rs , co m -

    p a red w ith p redn isone a lon e (1 ), a ll o f th ese p atien ts d id

    eq ua lly w e ll w ith lon g-term m o nito r ing .

    T h e pa ttern o f re sp onse fo r the en tire g ro up is show n in

    F ig u re 4 . It c an be seen th at the p ropo rtio n o f n o n r e l a p s e r s

    g radu a lly in creased , reach in g app rox im a te ly 80 % by 8 yr.

    S u b s e q u e n t A n n u a l

    Classif icat ions:

    Nevertheless , 5 to 10% o f pa tien ts con tinued to re lapse a t the

    tim e of last fo llo w -up exam in a tion , a ltho ugh v e ry few w ere

    frequ en t re lap se rs .

    F if te en p atien ts w h o w ere in itia lly ste ro id -re spo nsiv e be -

    cam e tran sien tly no nre sp ons ive ( i .e . ,o ve r a pe rio d of at le ast 8

    w k) d uring the la tter yea rs o f fo llow -up m o nito r ing . T he

    6-m o n th c las sific a tion o f the se pa tien ts con sisted o f tw o n o n -

    relapsers ,

    th ree

    in fre q u e n t re la p se rs ,

    tw o

    fr eq u e n t re la p se rs ,

    and e igh t su bsequ en t n o n r e s p o n d e r s . In add ition to p redn isone ,

    seven w ere trea ted w ith cycbop hospham id e, one w ith aza th io -

    p r im e , an d th ree w ith b o th o f th e se d ru gs; fou r rece ived p red -

    n isone a lone . N one b ecam e pe rsis ten tly n onre spo nsive , ex cep t

    fo r one frequen t re lapse r w ho rem a ined ste ro id -re sp onsiv e fo r

    8 yr bu t u ltim ate ly becam e ste ro id -no nresp ons iv e and ex peri-

    enced rena l fa ilu re .

    T w en ty -n in e pa tien ts w ere

    in itia l n on re sp on de rs

    (T ab le 3 ).

    F o r 12 of them (3 .3 % of to ta l) , th e p ro te inu ria w as reso lved

    w ith in the sub seq uen t 6 m on th s. T rea tm en t o f th e se 1 2 p atien ts

    a fte r the in itia l 8 w k of p redn iso ne adm in istra tion inc luded

    predn iso ne alo ne (on e p atien t) , p redn iso ne p lus azath iop rine

    ( tw o p atien ts) , p redn ison e p lu s cyc loph osp ham ide (eig h t pa -

    tien ts) , and all th ree d ru gs (o ne pa tien t). I t w as n o t p ossib le to

    d ete rm ine w h e the r the ir rem is sions resu lted from co n tinu ed

    the rap y or w ere sp on taneou s. H ow eve r, no bene ficia l e ffect

    w as o bse rved am o ng n onrespo nd ers in th e tria l o f azath iop rine

    (7 ) . In th e tria l o f cycbop hospham id e (1 ) , p ro tein u ria su bsided

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    4/8

    N o R ela p se

    ln fr R e la ps e

    F re q R ela p s e

    34 %

    2 8%

    32 %

    21 %

    5 7

    00/

    U /0

    /0

    12 %

    90

    ,_,

    /0

    .

    /0

    /0

    772 Journa l o f the A m erican S oc ie ty of N eph ro logy

    S ubsequen t A nnua l

    Classif ications:

    S u b s e q u e n t A n n u a l

    Classif ications:

    N o R ela pse

    ln fr R ela ps e

    F re q R ela p s e

    T ra n sie n t N on -R esp on s e

    I n t er m i tt e n t P r o t ei n u r ia

    Subsequent Annual

    Classifications:

    N o R ela pse

    ln fr R ela ps e

    T ra n sie n t N on -R es p on se

    Intermittent Proteinuria

    N o R el ap se

    lnfreq Relapse

    F re q R ela p s e

    F ig u re 2 . Su bsequ en t classification of 7 3 pa tien ts w h o w ere in frequ en t re lapse rs a t 6 m o nths. Th e c lassifica tion for 70% w as as a nonre lapser ,

    and a sim ila r pe rcen tage o f the fo llow ing annu al c la ssif ica tio ns w as as a n onrelap ser . T h e sub sequen t c la ssific a tions o f in frequen t an d frequen t

    re lapse rs a re show n in tabu la r fo rm . In te rm itten t p ro teinu ria re flec ts trans ien t p ro te in uria less than tha t requ ired to d efin e a re lapse .

    ear lie r am o ng pa tien ts w h o rece iv ed cycbop hospham id e, com -

    pa red w ith those w h o rece ived predn iso ne a lon e , bu t th e p ro -

    po rtion s o f pa tien ts fo r w hom the p ro tein u ria w as re so lved

    w ere sim ila r in the tw o trea tm en t g roup s. A m ong th ese 12

    pa tien ts , o ne w ith n il d isea se d ied o f sep ticem ia 7 m on th s a fte r

    on se t ( 1 1

    ).

    S even b ecam e nonre lapsers w ith in 2 .3 y r o f en try .

    O ne o the r b ecam e an

    in frequen t

    r e l a p s e r

    a t 3 yr. an d th ree

    becam e frequen t re lapsers w ith in 0 .6 to 3 .9 yr (m edian , 1 .5 yr) .

    T h e 1 1 su rv iv ing pa tien ts w ere n onrebapse rs fo r 69% of the

    fo llo w -up tim e of 6 to 1 3 y r. T he d istrib u tion o f h istopa th o -

    lo g ic find in gs d id no t d iffer from tha t o f the rem ainder of the

    ser ie s , and non e of th e se p atien ts dev elo ped E SR D .

    S ev en teen pa tien ts (4 .7% of to tal) w e re

    initial

    an d

    con t inued

    nonresponders .

    T h eir age and gende r d istrib u tion s w ere sim ila r

    to th ose o f the en tire stu dy p opu la tion . T en o f them respo nded

    subseq uen tly , w ith in 0 .5 to 3 .6 y r from en tran ce in to th e tr ia l

    (m ed ian , 0 .8 y r) . and d id w e ll, w ith fo llo w -up pe rio ds o f 2 to

    1 6 y r. T he ir tre a tm en t inc luded pred n iso ne a lone (on e pa tien t),

    p red n ison e p lus azath iop rine (fo u r pa tien ts) , p redn isone p lu s

    cy cb oph osp ham ide (tw o pa tien ts) , and all th ree d rug s (th ree

    pa tien ts ). A ga in , it w as no t po ss ib le to re la te the ir u ltim ate

    rem issions to an y p ar ticu la r fo rm of therapy . T he h is topa tho-

    log ic c lass ifica tions inc lu ded n il d isease (th ree p atien ts) , m ild

    m esang ia l th ick en in g (on e p a tien t), m ild m esang ia l h yp erp las ia

    ( th ree p atien ts ), an d focal gb om eru la r o bso le scence (th ree pa -

    tients).

    T he rem a in in g seven

    initial

    an d

    co n tin ued no nrespond ers

    (T ab le 4 ) inc luded on e w ho d ied from pn eum o co ccab pe rito -

    n itis w ith in 6 m o nths o f en trance in to the study . T he o ther s ix

    deve loped E S R D . O ne o f them respo nded to p redn isone from

    tim e to tim e bu t u ltim ately re tu rned to a n onresp ond ing s tate

    an d exp erienced E SR D b y y ea r 9 o f fo llow -u p m onito rin g . T he

    o the r f ive m a in ta ined no nrespon sive cou rse s th roug hou t. H alf

    o f the p atien ts rece ived cycbop hospham id e, an d ha lf receiv ed

    p redn ison e a lon e .

    F o llow -up b io psie s w ere p erfo rm ed at th e d isc re tion o f the

    p atien ts phy sic ian s and w ere ava ilab le fo r on ly 65 pa tien ts.

    C om p ared w ith the b aselin e read in gs, the c las sific a tions o f the

    fo llo w -up b iop sie s , pe rfo rm ed by the IS K D C pa tho log ists ,

    w e re d is co rd an t fo r 19 (2 9% ). F or 13 the b iop sy d iag nosis

    chan ged to foca l gbom eru losc le ros is . N ine of the 1 3 con tinued

    to do w e ll, w he rea s the o th er fou r (see ab ove ) deve loped

    E S R D . T he fo u r pa tien ts w h o d ev e loped E S R D an d had fob -

    low -up b iop sies sho w ed foca l g lo ba l g lom erub osc le ro sis o r

    foca l segm enta l g lom eru loscle ros is (F S G S ); o ne of them la te r

    d ev e loped p ro life ra tive g bom erub oneph ritis (T ab le 4 ).

    Discuss ion

    A m o ng th e d ifficu lt ta sks fac ing clin ician s trea ting ch ild ren

    w ith M C N S are pred ic tin g bo th th e in itia l and subsequen t

    cou rses and de te rm in in g th e progno sis. T h ese eva lua tion s are

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    5/8

    1 )0 /

    /0

    S u b s e q u e n t A n n u a l

    Classif ications:

    N o R e la p s e

    ln fr R ela ps e

    F re q R e la p s e 4

    T ra n s ie n t N o n -R e s p o n s e 1

    In te rm itte n t P ro te in uria

    4

    N o R ela p s e

    l n f r eq R e l a ps e

    - T ra ns ie nt N on -R es po ns e

    S ign ific anc e of the E ar ly C o urse of M C N S 77 3

    S u b s e q u e n t A n n u a l

    Classif ications:

    59 %

    N o R e la p s e 91

    32 %

    In fr R ela pse

    9

    F ig ure 3 . S ubsequen t c lass if ica tion of 102 pa tien ts w ho w ere frequen t

    re lapse rs at 6 m on th s. T w o-th irds w ere cla ssif ied as non re lapse rs , and

    91% of th e fo llow ing an nua l c la ssific a tion s w ere a s no nrelapsers .

    N o te the sm all pe rcen tag e o f pa tien ts m ain ta in ing a frequen tly re lap s-

    ing co urse.

    used in co unse ling pa ren ts an d in m ak ing the rapeu tic d ec i-

    s ions .

    T he go als o f the IS K D C w ere to co ndu c t con tro lled c lin ica l

    the rapeu tic tria ls and to id en tify ea r ly c lin ica l cha rac te ris tics

    tha t p red ic t th e lo ng-te rm course . A s p rev io usly repo rted , few

    clin ica l cha rac te ris tic s co rrela ted w ith h is topa tho bog ic ch arac-

    te ris tic s and ou tcom e, excep t tha t in itia l s tero id -resp ons iv eness

    pred icted M C N S w ith a h ig h degree o f accu racy (3 ,4 ) . S tero id -

    n onre spo nsiveness w as h istopa tho bog ically n onsp ec if ic bu t in -

    d icated gb om eru la r d iseases w ith p oo re r ou tco m es than th at

    w ith M C N S . U nde te rm ined in the in itia l s tud ie s w ere the

    ind ica to rs o f lo ng-te rm o utco m e w ith M C N S .

    T h e curren t rep o rt is b ased on the o n ly large p ro spec tive

    s tudy of an u nse lec ted , p rev io usly un trea ted se ries o f ch ild ren

    w ith recen t-on set M C N S and ren al b io psy a t en try . B ecau se

    rena l b iop sie s a re no lo nge r rou tine ly pe rfo rm ed fo r ch ild ren

    th oug h t to h av e M C N S (o r, in ope ratio na l te rm s , w h o h av e

    s te ro id -resp ons ive d is ea se ) , it is un like ly tha t such a stu dy w ill

    ev er be d up lica ted .

    O n th e basis o f p re lim in a ry da ta (3 ) , pa tien ts w ere c la ssif ied

    acco rd ing to the ir cou rse du rin g th e 6 m on ths a f ter th e in itia l

    8 -w k p eriod o f the rapy . B ecause o f the va riab ility in the

    p atte rns o f re lapse s, a m e thod w as dev ised to cha rac te riz e the

    sub sequen t cou rses. T h is app ro ach w as design ed to ig no re

    trans ien t chang es and to base the lo ng-te rm an alyses on a

    respon se /re lapse pa ttern (non re lapse r, in frequ en t re lap se r. etc . )

    tha t p e rsis ted during a pe riod o f at le a st 2 con secu tive y r. T he

    approach w as va lida ted by the find ing th at th ose w h o w ere

    non re lapse rs fo r 2 consecu tive y r con tinued th e ir non re laps ing

    cou rse s m ore than 86% of th e tim e , reg ard le ss o f the ir 6 -m o n th

    c lass if ica tion . In con trast, those w ho w ere frequen t re lapse rs

    fo r 2 co nsecu tive y r w ere non rebapsers on ly 3 4 to 47 % of the

    tim e. Pa tien ts thu s can b e reassu red tha t a no nre lap sing co urse

    fo r 2 co nsecu tive y r au gurs an ex cellen t p rogn osis , in ag ree -

    m en t w ith the obse rva tion of H ab ib

    e t a . (12 ,13). T h is is in

    con tra st to th e f ind ings o f L ew is

    et a .

    (1 4 ) , w ho co nc lud ed th at

    a 4-yr period w as req u ired to be pred ic tive of a subseq uen t

    non re lapsin g co urse.

    T hese ana lyses confirm ed an ea rly im pres sion (3 ) tha t the

    6 -m on th c las sific a tion is h igh ly p red ic tive o f the sub sequen t

    course . T hree-fou rths o f in itia l respond ers w ho rem ain ed in

    rem iss io n dur in g the subsequen t 6 -m onth period (40% o f th e

    en tire ser ies ) eithe r con tinued in rem iss io n th rough ou t th e ir

    en tire co urse or re lapsed ra re ly . T hus , th is ea rly non rebapsing

    pa ttern aug urs an exce llen t p rogn osis fo r ap pro x im a te ly on e -

    th ird o f ch ild ren w ith M C N S .

    In con tra st, in itia l re lapse rs ach ieved a no nrelaps ing course

    on ly a f ter an ave rag e o f 3 y r . T he frequ en cy of sub sequen t

    re lap se s an d the len g th o f tim e to ach ieve a n onre lap sing sta te

    d id n o t d iffe r be tw een in itia l in frequ en t and frequ en t re lapse rs .

    in con tras t to th e im press ion one ga the rs fro m the litera tu re.

    T h e failu re to fin d such a d iffe rence can no t be exp lain ed b y the

    treatm en t o f freq uen t re lapse rs w ith d ru gs o th er th an pred -

    n ison e, becau se the tim e fram e fo r frequ en t relap sers to be -

    com e in frequen t relapsers o r n onre lap sers d id no t co rrela te

    w ith the d rug reg im en used .

    T h e 80 % rem issio n ra te a t 8 y r (F ig u re 4 ) is so m ew h at be tte r

    th an tha t repo rted in o th er se rie s , rang ing from 66% at 9 y r to

    95 %

    a t 1 5 to 2 0 yr (12 ,1 5 -1 7 ) . T h is m igh t be exp la ined by th e

    en ro llm en t o f p atien ts be fo re b iopsy or treatm en t, av o id in g th e

    b ias o f se lec ted re fe rra l o f pa tien ts w ith d isease tha t is d ifficu lt

    to m an ag e.

    M os t p atien ts w h o fail to re sp ond to an in itia l cou rse o f

    p redn ison e u ltim a te ly atta in a fu ll rem ission , independ en t o f

    th e trea tm en t reg im en . N eve rthe le ss , an in itia lly n onre spo nsive

    sta te g rea tly inc rea se s the r isk o f po or o u tcom e . D esp ite the

    sm all n um b er o f in itia l n onre spon de rs , un rem itting p ro te inu ria

    d u ring th e in itia l 8 w k of p red n iso ne the rap y w as fo llo w ed by

    p ro gress ion to E S R D in 21% . In ad d ition , 9 o f the 10 d ea ths

    o ccu rred in p atien ts w ho w ere in itia lly no nrespon sive to p red -

    n isone o r w h o re lapsed d uring the firs t 8 -w k p erio d of the rapy .

    O ne-th ird o f 1 7 pa tien ts w h o h ad u nrem ittin g p ro te inu ria du r-

    ing the in itia l 8 w k o f th erapy an d the su bsequ en t 6 m on ths

    p rog re ssed to rena l fa ilu re, m ak ing th is an ev en m o re om in ous

    p red icto r o f ou tcom e.

    A s reported in 198 4 , a to ta l o f 10 p a tien ts in th is se ries d ied

    w ith in 2 yr of d isease onse t (1 1 ), in clud in g fo ur of the p a tien ts

    rep o rted he re . N ine o f the 10 re sp ond ed in itially on ly b rie f ly o r

    no t at a ll. T he add itio na l fo llo w -up m onito rin g co nfirm s the

    ea rlie r o bse rva tion th at ea r ly no nresp onse m arks a g ro up o f

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    6/8

    7 74 Jou rna l of th e A m e rica n So cie ty of N eph ro bog y

    10 0

    (1 ) 80

    U )

    60

    0

    0

    c:

    40

    a)

    C .)

    1.

    ci )

    Q 20

    0

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1 2 13 14-18

    Year of Follow-up

    F

    L

    Nonre lapse r

    F re qu en t R ela ps er

    In fre qu en t R ela ps er

    LI

    O th e r

    F igure 4 .

    A n nua l c la ssif ica tio n o f pa tien ts acco rd in g to re spo nse ca tego ry , d em on stra ting the p rog re ssiv e dec line in the in freq uen t an d

    frequ en tly re lapsing categ o rie s .

    T a b le 4 .

    C lin ica l da ta an d co urse fo r th e sev en in itia l and con tinued no nre sp ond ers w ho deve loped E S R D or d ied

    A ge at

    O nset (y r)

    G end e r A nnu al C la ssific a tion

    In i t ial

    Patho logy

    F ollow -u p P atho bog y/

    Y ea r

    T o ta l Y ea rs

    o f D a ta

    3 .6 M

    N ev er resp ond ed

    F G O F G G S /0 .25 , F S G S /l,

    M C G N /5 , D P G N /5

    8

    i .6 F O ccasion al re spo nses

    fo llo w ed by

    n onre spo nsive cou rse

    FT C

    9

    1 .6

    F

    N ev er re spon ded ; d ied F T C

    2

    1 4 .6 M

    N ev er re spon ded ; d ied F T C

    1. 4

    5 .6 F

    N ever responded N IL FS G S /3

    3

    2 .6 M N ever respon ded

    F G O FG G S w ith 8

    tub u la r a troph y /3

    3 .0 M N eve r re spon ded ; d ied from

    pneum ococcal p er iton itis

    N IL 0 .5

    (4

    N IL , n il d isea se ; F G O , foca l g lom eru la r o bso lescence ; F T C , fo cal tubu lar chan ges; F G G S , foca l g lo ba l gbo m eru bosc le ro sis ; M C G N ,

    m esang ioc apillary gb om eru bon ep hntis; D PG N . d iffu se p roliferativ e g lom erubo nep hri tis.

    S ee refe rence 1

    1.

    pa tien ts at risk o f ea rly death . T he death rate o f 2 .5% repo rted

    he re is on th e lo w end of the ran ge of

    2. 5

    to 6 .7 % reported by

    o the rs , w he rea s th e ren al failu re ra te is w ith in the 0 to 3 .5%

    repo rted in o the r s tud ie s (12 ,14 -1 6 ,18 ) .

    A lth oug h th is s tudy d id no t ad dres s th e rela tion sh ip be tw een

    M C N S an d F S G S , the find ing o f fo ca l g lom eru la r le sio ns in 1 3

    (2 0% ) of 65 seco nd b iops ies m ay re flec t the o pera tion of

    com m on p ath ogene tic m echan ism s in the dev elo pm en t o f the se

    tw o h isto pa thob og ic pa tterns (1 9 -22 ). F S G S in n ephro tic ch il-

    d ren is n o t un ifo rm in h is topa tho bog ic seve rity o r c lin ica l onse t,

    cou rse , and re spon siveness to ste ro id the rapy , and so m e of the

    d iffe rences m ay rela te to the va riab le seve rity o f g iom eru la r

  • 7/26/2019 Prognostic Minimal Change

    7/8

    S ig n ifican ce of the E arly C ourse of M C N S 775

    in ju ry (2 0 ) . A p prox im ate l, 3 0% of n ep hro tic ch ild ren w ith

    in itia l F S G S respon d to s tero id therapy , and m ost o f them

    con tin ue to do w e ll (1 9 ). N ine (69% ) of 1 3 ch ild ren w ith la te

    F S G S and g lob al gb om eru bo scle rosis , af te r in itia l M C N S , d id

    w ell. T hese gbom eru la r lesions m ay represen t a con tinu um

    ra the r than sepa rate d is ea se en titie s .

    C a re fu l docum en ta tion o f the ea r ly co urse o f p a tien ts w ith

    M C N S can h elp in iden tify in g th ose at h igh est r isk o f a p oor

    ou tco m e , nam e ly in itia l non re sp ond ers . C lose obse rva tion of

    these pa tien ts is needed an d m ore in tens ive therapy m ay be

    w arran ted fo r pa tien ts w ho a re in itia l and co n tinu ed no nre -

    sp ond e rs a t 6 m on ths, becau se m o re th an one -th ird o f them

    m ay eventu ally dev elo p E S R D . S uch the rap y m ig ht invo lv e the

    u se of cycboph osp ham id e, cy clospor in , o r o ther the rap ies . C y -

    cb ophospham ide w as found to ind uce rem ission in sev eral

    u ncon tro lled and tw o con tro lled stud ies ( 1, 6 ,23 -26 ) , b u t th e

    IS K D C tria l (1 ) , com parin g th is d rug w ith p redn ison e, sho w ed

    th a t cycbop hosp ham id e on ly sh orten ed the tim e to re spo nse an d

    d id no t chang e th e p rop ortion o f re spo nde rs . C y cb osp orin has

    sh ow n som e e ffic acy in unco n tro lled stud ies (1 7 ,26 -30 ). In

    tw o rep orts , N iau de t and co-w o rk ers (2 7 ,28 ) repo rted com ple te

    rem ission in fiv e of e igh t pa tien ts and five o f six pa tien ts

    trea ted w ith cycbo spo rin and predn isone , bu t n o t w ith cy cbo-

    spo rin a lone . T he C ollabo ra tive G ro up of the F rench S oc ie ty o f

    N ephrob ogy (3 0) , s tu dy in g ad u lts , rep o rted rem issio n in 14 of

    21 p atien ts w ith s tero id -resis tan t M C N S (3 0). A lthoug h there

    is no un iv ersa lly accep ted form of therapy for th is g rou p of

    p atien ts , the o bse rv atio ns sug gest tha t th ese tw o d ru gs m ay be

    o f b en ef it.

    In conc lus ion , 9 5% of ch ild ren w ith M C N S d o w ell, w ith a s

    m any as one -th ird m a in ta in in g a n onre lap sing or ra rely re laps-

    ing s ta te th rou ghou t the ir en tire course. D esp ite these ov erall

    exce llen t ou tcom es, 4 to 5% of pa tien ts m ay d ie fro m co m pli-

    ca tions o r p rog re ss to E S R D .

    A c k n o w l e d g m e n t s

    P ar tic ipan ts in the IS K D C w ho co n tribu ted to th is study w ere as

    fo llow s: C en tra l O ffice (N ew Y ork): H .L . B arn e tt and C M . E deb-

    m ann , Jr . (D irec to rs ), I . G re ife r (A sso cia te D irecto r) , D I. G o ld sm ith

    and A . S p itze r (D irecto rs o f C oo rd ina ting C en ter ), P . T arsh ish (D ata

    C o ord ina to r), G . L ad dom ad a (P ro jec t A d m in istra to r) , and J. M assa ro

    (S ecre ta ria l A ssis tan t); R eg io na l C oord ina to rs : lB . H o uston , R H .

    K uijten , an d L B . T rav is ; D irec to rs o f Partic ip a ting C en ters: G . A rn eil

    (G lasgow ), 0 . K ob ay ash i (T oky o). H . S ta rk (Is rae l), B . G au th ie r

    (N ew Y o rk-D ow nsta te ), Y . T sao (H ong K o ng), B .S . A ran t (M em -

    ph is ). G . G ord ilb o-P . (M exico C ity ). A .B . G ru sk in (P h ilad e lp h ia) . N .

    H allm an and J. V ilska (H els ink i) , lB . H ousto n (M anch este r , U n ited

    K ing dom ), R H . K uijten and H .A .W .M . T id dens (U trech t and A m -

    ste rdam ), E . L eum ann (Z urich), I.E . L ew y an d M . K ap lan (N ew

    Y ork -C orn ell) , J .-G . M ong eau (M on trea l), M i. S cho en em an and R .

    W eiss (N ew Y ork-A lbert E inste in ), 0 . O e tlike r (B ern ), K .O . Sh arer

    (H eid elberg ), I. S trauss (M iam i), L B . T rav is (G alves ton), C D . W est

    (C inc inna ti), and R .H .R . W hite an d the ba te M . W in terborn (B irm in g-

    ham , A lab am a) ; C onsu ltan ts : J. B erns te in , I. C hu rg , R . H ab ib , and

    R .H .R . W hite (P a tho logy ) and I. F e rtig . K . F reem an , K . S u llivan . F .

    H sieh , SM . W asserthe il-Sm olle r, and IN . T ob in (B iosta tistics ).

    T h is w ork w as su pported by N ationa l Ins titu tes o f H ea lth R esearch

    G ran t l-R O I-A M 18 234 , the N a tiona l K idney F ou nda tion of N ew

    Y ork , th e K idn ey D isea se Institu te o f the S ta te o f N ew Y ork , the

    W am

    k e au m o n t l- io sp a ia t oog y i oJc cts

    u f lC1. t c

    io n Iatk

    F ound ation . the N ationa l K idn ey R esearch Fo unda tion (U nited K in g-

    d om ), an d the K id ney F ou nda tion of th e N e the rlan ds.

    References

    1

    .

    In terna tion a l S tudy of K idney D isease in C hild ren : P ro spec tive .

    con tro lled tria l o fcy cb opho sph am ide therapy in ch ild ren w ith th e

    n ephro tic synd rom e: R eport o f the In te rna tio na l S tudy of K idney

    D isease in C h ild ren . L ance t 2: 4 23-4 27 , 1974

    2.

    In terna tion a l S tudy o f K id ney D isease in C hild ren : P rim ary

    n ephro tic syndrom e in ch ild ren : C lin ica l sign ificance of h is -

    topa thobo g ic varian ts o f m in im al change and o f d iffuse m esan-

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