progress perindopril protection against recurrent stroke study progress collaborative group...
TRANSCRIPT
PROGRESS
PERINDOPRIL PROTECTION AGAINST RECURRENT STROKE
STUDY
PROGRESS Collaborative Group
Institute for International Health
www.ilh.org/progress
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Global burden of stroke
5 million stroke deaths each year 2nd leading cause of death worldwide >15 million non-fatal strokes each year >50 million stroke/TIA survivors alive 1 in 5 survivors suffer another stroke
within 5 years
Secondary prevention of stroke
For patients with ischaemic stroke or TIA Antiplatelet therapy Carotid endartarectomy for patients with
symptomatic carotid stenosis Anticoagulant therapy for patients with atrial
fibrillation
For patients with haemorrhagic stroke No proven treatment
Lancet 2001: Randomised trial of perindopril-based blood-pressure-lowering regimen among 6105 individuals with previous stroke or transient sheamic attack Progress Collaborative Group. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41
PROGRESS
Aim
To determine the balance of benefits and risks conferred by an ACE inhibitor (perindopril) based blood pressure lowering regimen among patients with a history of cerebrovascular disease and a wide range of blood pressure at entry
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Cerebral blood flow autoregulation Cerebral blood flow autoregulation during chronic hypertensionduring chronic hypertension
2001000
50
100
Hypertension
Normotension
Cerebral blood flow(mL/min/100 g)
Mean arterial pressure (mm Hg)
Perindopril does not reduce cerebral Perindopril does not reduce cerebral blood flow after a strokeblood flow after a stroke11
Dyker AG et al. Stroke. 1997;28:580-583.
Significant BP control No adverse effect on cerebral blood flow
Time since administration of drug
Diastolic blood pressure
110110
100100
9090
8080
7070
mm
Hg
00 11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 1010 1111 1212 2424
HoursC
m/s
ec
Mean flow velocity (middle cerebral artery)
00 11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 101011111212 2424 22
Time since administration of drug
6060
4040
2020
00Hours Weeks
Perindopril 4 mg
Placebo
Perindopril maintains ICA flow in stroke Perindopril maintains ICA flow in stroke patients with carotid occlusionpatients with carotid occlusion
Lees KR et al. Stroke. 2001;32:473-478.
ICA flow maintained
24h
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
BS 2.5h 5.5h 7.5h 14dChang
e f
rom
BS
(%
)
Perindopril 4 mg
Placebo
MABP reduced
P=0.017
2.5h 5.5h 7.5h 24h 14dBS
MA
BP (
mm
Hg
)
Perindopril 4 mg is safe to initiate Perindopril 4 mg is safe to initiate
in stroke patientsin stroke patients
Perindopril 4 mg is safe to initiate Perindopril 4 mg is safe to initiate
in stroke patientsin stroke patients
Design
Investigator initiated and conducted Randomised, placebo controlled 4-week open run-in phase on active
perindopril before randomisation Central, computer based randomisation 4 years double-blind treatment
- Recruitment began 1996
- Follow-up ended 2001
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
PROGRESS Collaborative GroupPROGRESS Collaborative Group
Japan33 centers
Australia16 centers
New Zealand9 centers
Italy17 centers
France24 centers
Sweden23 centers
Belgium2 centers
UK and Ireland23 centers
China26 centers
10 countries172 centers
Patients
In past five years:
- cerebral haemorrhage
- ischaemic stroke
- stroke of unknown type
- TIA or amaurosis fugax No major disability No entry blood pressure criteria
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Double blind treatments
Perindopril (4mg) plus indapamide* (2.5mg)
or Matching placebo(s) Against a background of standard care,
including other blood pressure lowering therapy
*unless definite indication or contraindication to diuretic
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Trial Profile
7121 patientsregistered
6105 patientsrandomised
484 ineligible532 withdrew
3051 assigned active
3054 assigned placebo
3049 vital status known
3053 vital status known
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Study outcomes
Primary
- Total stroke Secondary
- Fatal or disabling stroke
- Major vascular events (non-fatal stroke, non fatal MI, vascular death)
- Dementia (DSM IV) & cognitive function
- Disability and dependency
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Baseline characteristics
DemographicFemale sex (%) 30 30Age (years) 64 64 Blood pressureSystolic (mmHg) 147 147Diastolic (mmHg) 86 86Hypertension (%) 48 48
Cerebrovascular historyCerebral haemorrhage (%) 11 11Cerebral infarction (%) 71 71Stroke type unknown (%) 4 5TIA/amaurosis fugax (%) 23 23
Active (n=3051) Placebo (n=3054)
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Adherence during follow-up All participants
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Follow-up (mo)
Ad
he
ren
ce
PlaceboActive
Average adherenceActive* 87%Placebo 88%P=0.07
* Active treatment: Coversyl 4 mg +/- indapamide 2.5 mg (or 2 mg in Japan)
Reference: Lancet. 2001;358:1033-1041.
Blood pressure differencesAll participants
activeplacebo
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
B R 1 3 6 9 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54
Month of follow up
Blo
od
pre
ssu
re (
mm
Hg
)
Mean BP difference
9.0/4.0 mmHg
StrokeAll participants
placebo
active
0 1 2 3 4
Follow up time (years)
Pro
port
ion
with
eve
nt
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
28% risk reduction
95%CI 17-38%
p<0.0001
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Stroke by medical historyAll participants
Strokes Favours Favours Hazard ratioActive Placebo active placebo (95%CI)
Hypertensive 163 235 0.67 (0.55-0.81)
Not hypertensive 144 185 0.78 (0.63-0.97)
Diabetes 48 65 0.67 (0.46-0.98)
No diabetes 259 355 0.72 (0.62-0.85)
Cerebral infarction 236 307 0.76 (0.64-0.90)
Cerebral haemor. 28 49 0.52 (0.33-0.83)
TIA/amaurosis 33 49 0.66 (0.42-1.02)
Total 307 420 0.72 (0.62-0.83)
0.5 1.0 2.0 Hazard ratio
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Stroke by Baseline Blood PressureActive:perindopril 4mg -indapamide 2,5 mg
0.4 1.0 2.0 Hazard ratio
Eventsactive placebo
Favoursactive
Favoursplacebo
Hazard ratio(95% CI)
SBP > 160SBP 140-159SBP <140
57 10654 8739 62
DBP > 95DBP 85-94DBP < 85
27 68 65 99 58 88
150 255Total
0.53 (0.38-0.73)0.59 (0.42-0.84)0.61 (0.41-0.91)
0.38 (0.24-0.59)0.64 (0.47-0.88)0.63 (0.45-0.88
0.57 (0.46-0.70)
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41.
Results on cardiac outcomeResults on cardiac outcome
Follow-up time (y)
Pro
port
ion
with
eve
nt
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
1 2 3 4
26% risk reduction(95% CI 16-33%)
P<0.0001
Placebo
Active
Major vascular events
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.
Major vascular events All participants
Events Active Placebo
Favorsactive
Favorsplacebo
Hazard ratio(95%CI)
Vascular death
Nonfatal MI
Nonfatal stroke
Total
0.4 1.0 2.0Hazard Ratio
181
60
275
458
198
96
380
604
0.91 (0.75-1.12)
0.62 (0.45-0.86)
0.71 (0.61-0.83)
0.74 (0.66-0.84)
PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.
26% risk reduction95% CI 6-42%P value = 0.016
Placebo
Active
Follow-up time (y)
Pro
port
ion
with
eve
nt
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
1 2 3 4
Major coronary eventsMajor coronary events(CHD death or nonfatal myocardial infarction)(CHD death or nonfatal myocardial infarction)
Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.
Heart failureHeart failure(Death, hospitalization, or discontinuation)(Death, hospitalization, or discontinuation)
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0 1 2 3 4
Placebo
Active
26% risk reduction(95%CI 5-42%)P value = 0.01
Follow-up time (y)
Pro
port
ion
with
eve
nt
Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84.
Other anti-HT drug
No anti-HT drug
Aspirin or other AP
No antiplatelet drug
Total
Events Active Placebo
Favorsactive
Favorsplacebo
229
229
347
111
458
333
271
430
174
604
33% (20 to 43%)
19% (4 to 32%)
23% (11 to 33%)
36% (19 to 50%)
26% (16 to 34%)
0.5 2.0Hazard ratio
1.0
Risk reduction(95%CI)
Major vascular eventsMajor vascular events by treatment at baselineby treatment at baseline
Stroke 2004; 35: 116-121Stroke 2004; 35: 116-121
Results on dementia and cognitive Results on dementia and cognitive decline outcomedecline outcome
Results on dementia and cognitive Results on dementia and cognitive decline outcomedecline outcome
Stroke and dementiaStroke and dementia
Stroke is the leading cause of disability in adults1
Cerebrovascular disease is the second most common cause of dementia2
Vascular dementia is one of the rare preventable dementias3
One sixth of stroke patients have previous dementia4
1. Barba R et al. Previous and incident dementia as risk factors for mortality in stroke patients. Stroke. 2002;33:1993-1998.2. Leys D et al. Epidemiology of vascular dementia. Hemostasis. 1998;28:134-150.3. Hachinski V. Preventable senility: a call for action against the vascular dementias. Lancet. 1992;340:654-648.4. Barba R et al. Prestroke dementia. Cerebrosvasc Dis. 2001;11:216-224.
Major types of dementiaMajor types of dementia
Alzheimer’s disease 53.7% Vascular dementia 15.8%1
– single or multiple infarcts2
– small-vessel disease2 – hypoperfusion2
– hemorrhage2
1. Lobo A et al. Neurology. 2000;54(suppl 5):S4-S9.2. Gold G. Les démences vasculaires. Med Hyg. 2002;60:1165-1167.
The cumulative incidence of The cumulative incidence of dementia after strokedementia after stroke
0
5
10
15
20
25
Incidence of dementia (%)
7%
10%
15%
23%
Timel (y)1 3 5 10
Incident of stroke increase the risk of dementia by 140%
Lobo A et al. Neurology. 2000;54(suppl 5):S4-S9.
Prevalence of vascular dementia in men Prevalence of vascular dementia in men and women in Europeanand women in European countriescountries
Lobo A et al. Neurology. 2000;54(suppl 5):S4-S9.
0
2
4
6
65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
WomenMen
Age (y)
Cas
es/1
00 o
f p
op
ula
tio
n
Risk factors for vascular dementiaRisk factors for vascular dementia
Hypertension
Cigarette-smoking
Diabetes mellitus
Atrial fibrillation
Cardiac disease
Carotid stenosis
Hyperlipidemia
Antihypertensive treatment reduces Antihypertensive treatment reduces
the incidence of dementiathe incidence of dementia11
1. Forette F et al. Lancet. 1998;352:1347-1351.
1000 hypertensivepatients treated
for 5 years
19 cases of dementiaprevented
MSBP
173.4 MSBP
151.7Dementia
21 casesDementia
11 cases
P<0.001
P<0.05
2222ApoE4 allele carrier (%)
1515MMSE < 26 (%)
29 (27-30)29 (27-30)Median MMSE score
3939Asian (%)
3030Female (%)
64 (10)64 (10)Age, y (SD)
Baseline characteristicsBaseline characteristics
Active Placebo(n = 3051) (n = 3054)
• 6105 patients with stroke or TIA• FU 3.9 years• MMSE / Screening for dementia each year
Reference: Arch Int Med. In press.
Dementia
1. ScreeningMMSE <26Questions about dementiaMMSE missing
2. DiagnosisSpecialist in each center; DSM-IV criteriaDiagnosis reviewed centrally
Cognitive decline = drop of 3pts or more of MMSE during FU
Cognitive outcomesCognitive outcomes
Reference: Arch Int Med. In press.
Cognitive outcomesCognitive outcomes (ctd.) (ctd.)
Dementia– 1580 patients screened positive during FU
– Expert assessment for 98%
– 410 patients demented
– 108 preceded by a recurrent stroke
Cognitive decline
610 patients (25 per 1000 PY)
Reference: Arch Int Med. In press.
Effect of treatment on dementiaEffect of treatment on dementia
Dementia
Post-stroke
Without stroke
Total
Events Active* Placebo
Favorsactive
Favorsplacebo
Risk reduction(95%CI)
43
150
193
65
152
217
34% (3 to 55%)
1% (-24 to 22%)
12% (-8 to 28%)
0.5 2.0 Odds ratio
1.0
* Active treatment: Coversyl 4 mg +/- indapamide 2.5 mg (or 2 mg in Japan)Reference: Arch Int Med. In press.
With stroke
Without stroke
Total
Events Active* Placebo
Favorsactive
Favorsplacebo
Risk reduction(95%CI)
48
228
276
86
248
334
45% (21 to 61%)
9% (-10 to 84%)
19% (4 to 32%)
Effect of treatment on cognitive declineEffect of treatment on cognitive decline
Cognitive decline
0.5 2.0 Odds ratio
1.0
* Active treatment: Coversyl 4 mg +/- indapamide 2.5 mg (or 2 mg in Japan)Reference: Arch Int Med. In press.
Barthel scale – activities of daily living
Results on Disability
4 year treatment result in avoidance of 1 case of long term disability for every 30 (95%CI, 19 to 79) patients
Stroke 2003; 34: 2333-2338Stroke 2003; 34: 2333-2338Active : perindopril 4 mg ± indapamide 2,5 mg
PROGRESS establishes the benefits of perindopril-based therapy among patients with cerebrovascular disease for the prevention of: Stroke Coronary heart disease Congestive heart failure Total major vascular events Cognitive decline Disability
Summary of Benefits
RRR CVA/TIA RRR major coronary events
NNT om 1 CV event te voor-komen in 5 jaar
Onderzoek
Aspirine 23% 17% 57 ATC1
Perindopril + indapamide
43% 35% 11 PROGRESS2
Simvastatine2 2% (NS) 23% 32 HPS3
1.1. Antithrombotic Trialist Collaboration. BMJ 2002; 324:71-86Antithrombotic Trialist Collaboration. BMJ 2002; 324:71-86
2.2. PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84
3.3. HPS. Lancet 2004:363;757-67HPS. Lancet 2004:363;757-67
Evidence based prevention in patients with history of cerebrovascular disease
Cardiac protection partly BP-independent
Risk reduction
Coronary events
Expected 16% 1
BP-reduction
(10-12 / 5-6 mmHg)
PROGRESS 35%2
BP-reduction
(10-12 / 5-6 mmHg)
1 Collins R et al. Lancet 1990;335:827-38, Expected on diuretic and beta-blocker regime1 Collins R et al. Lancet 1990;335:827-38, Expected on diuretic and beta-blocker regime2. PROGRESS Coll. Eur Heart J (2003) 24, 475-842. PROGRESS Coll. Eur Heart J (2003) 24, 475-84
12.218 patientswith stable coronary artery disease
(no heart failure)Treated with perindopril or placebo
EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.
Primary endpoint
% CV death, MI or cardiac arrest% CV death, MI or cardiac arrest
Placebo annual event rate: 2.4%Placebo annual event rate: 2.4%
Perindopril Perindopril
PlaceboPlacebo
p = 0.0003p = 0.0003
RRR: 20%RRR: 20%
YearsYears00
22
44
66
88
1010
1212
1414
00 11 22 33 44 55
EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.
Blood pressure reduction alone cannot explain
perindopril’s effects in EUROPA
perindoprilperindoprilplaceboplacebo
RRR 20%RRR 20% RRR 18%RRR 18%
SBP decreaseSBP decreaseduring run-in during run-in
No SBP decreaseNo SBP decreaseduring run-induring run-in
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
42634263
43034303
18411841
18041804
Incidence ofprimary events
EUROPA. Presented ESC 2004.EUROPA. Presented ESC 2004.
Summary of results
In EUROPA, the largest and longest trial in stableIn EUROPA, the largest and longest trial in stable
documented CAD patients, perindopril 8 mg/ddocumented CAD patients, perindopril 8 mg/d
significantly reduced:significantly reduced:
CV mortality + non fatal MI + cardiac arrest:CV mortality + non fatal MI + cardiac arrest: 20%20% CV mortality and non fatal MI:CV mortality and non fatal MI: 19%19% Fatal + non fatal MI:Fatal + non fatal MI: 24%24% Heart failure:Heart failure: 39%39%
EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.
Summary of results
Benefits with perindopril:Benefits with perindopril:
occurred on top of recommended therapy occurred on top of recommended therapy (platelet inhibitors, lipid lowering drugs, (platelet inhibitors, lipid lowering drugs, -blockers)-blockers)
consistent across predefined sub-groupsconsistent across predefined sub-groups
“Perindopril should be considered for chronic
therapy in all patients with coronary disease”
EUROPA investigators: The Lancet 2003
EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.
EUROPA and PROGRESS :
Consistent resultsConsistent results
Clear benefits for the many Clear benefits for the many
(hypertensive) patients with established (hypertensive) patients with established
cerebrovascular and/or coronary diseasecerebrovascular and/or coronary disease
EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.
References
• PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. PROGRESS. Lancet 2001;358:1033-41. Stroke 2003; 34: 2333-2338. Stroke 2003; 34: 2333-2338. Eur Heart J 2003: Eur Heart J 2003: 24:475-84. Arch Intern Med 2003; 162: 1069-1075. Stroke 2004; 35: 116-211. 24:475-84. Arch Intern Med 2003; 162: 1069-1075. Stroke 2004; 35: 116-211.
• EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.EUROPA. Lancet 2003; 362: 782-788.
• Antithrombotic Trialist Collaboration. BMJ 2002; 324:71-86Antithrombotic Trialist Collaboration. BMJ 2002; 324:71-86
• HPS. Lancet 2004:363;757-67HPS. Lancet 2004:363;757-67