prospective plantings 03/31/2014 - cornell university · 2018-09-20 · 50 190 20 45 75 70 40 200...

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Prospective Plantings ISSN: 1949-159X Released March 31, 2014, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Corn Planted Acreage Down 4 Percent from 2013 Soybean Acreage Up 6 Percent All Wheat Acreage Down 1 Percent All Cotton Acreage Up 7 Percent Corn planted area for all purposes in 2014 is estimated at 91.7 million acres, down 4 percent from last year. If realized, this will represent the lowest planted acreage in the United States since 2010; however, this will represent the fifth largest corn acreage in the United States since 1944. Soybean planted area for 2014 is estimated at a record high 81.5 million acres, up 6 percent from last year. Compared with last year, planted acreage intentions are up or unchanged across all States with the exception of Missouri and Oklahoma. All wheat planted area for 2014 is estimated at 55.8 million acres, down 1 percent from 2013. The 2014 winter wheat planted area, at 42.0 million acres, is down 3 percent from last year but up slightly from the previous estimate. Of this total, about 30.2 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 8.43 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.35 million acres are White Winter. Area planted to other spring wheat for 2014 is expected to total 12.0 million acres, up 4 percent from 2013. Of this total, about 11.3 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The intended Durum planted area for 2014 is estimated at 1.80 million acres, up 22 percent from the previous year. All cotton planted area for 2014 is expected to total 11.1 million acres, 7 percent above last year. Upland area is expected to total 10.9 million acres, up 7 percent from 2013. American Pima area is expected to total 158,000 acres, down 21 percent from 2013.

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Page 1: Prospective Plantings 03/31/2014 - Cornell University · 2018-09-20 · 50 190 20 45 75 70 40 200 70 75 35 100 28 160 500 30 11 15 220 30 2,760 60 11 180 55 50 70 40 20 ... 102 87

Prospective Plantings

ISSN: 1949-159X

Released March 31, 2014, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of

Agriculture (USDA).

Corn Planted Acreage Down 4 Percent from 2013 Soybean Acreage Up 6 Percent All Wheat Acreage Down 1 Percent All Cotton Acreage Up 7 Percent

Corn planted area for all purposes in 2014 is estimated at 91.7 million acres, down 4 percent from last year. If realized,

this will represent the lowest planted acreage in the United States since 2010; however, this will represent the fifth largest

corn acreage in the United States since 1944.

Soybean planted area for 2014 is estimated at a record high 81.5 million acres, up 6 percent from last year. Compared

with last year, planted acreage intentions are up or unchanged across all States with the exception of Missouri and

Oklahoma.

All wheat planted area for 2014 is estimated at 55.8 million acres, down 1 percent from 2013. The 2014 winter wheat

planted area, at 42.0 million acres, is down 3 percent from last year but up slightly from the previous estimate. Of this

total, about 30.2 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 8.43 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.35 million acres are

White Winter. Area planted to other spring wheat for 2014 is expected to total 12.0 million acres, up 4 percent from 2013.

Of this total, about 11.3 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The intended Durum planted area for 2014 is estimated

at 1.80 million acres, up 22 percent from the previous year.

All cotton planted area for 2014 is expected to total 11.1 million acres, 7 percent above last year. Upland area is expected

to total 10.9 million acres, up 7 percent from 2013. American Pima area is expected to total 158,000 acres, down

21 percent from 2013.

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2 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

This report was approved on March 31, 2014.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Joseph W. Glauber

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

James M. Harris

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Corn Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ..................................................................................................... 6

Corn and Soybean Planted Acreage – United States Chart ..................................................................................................... 7

Sorghum Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 .............................................................................................. 7

Oat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ....................................................................................................... 8

Barley Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 .................................................................................................. 9

All Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 .......................................................................................... 10

Winter Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 .................................................................................... 11

Durum Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 .................................................................................... 12

Other Spring Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ........................................................................... 12

All Hay Area Harvested – States and United States: 2012-2014 .......................................................................................... 13

Rice Area Planted by Class – States and United States: 2012-2014 ..................................................................................... 14

Canola Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014................................................................................................ 14

Soybean Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ............................................................................................. 15

Peanut Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ................................................................................................ 15

Sunflower Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2012-2014 ............................................................................ 16

Flaxseed Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ............................................................................................. 16

Cotton Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2012-2014 .................................................................................. 17

Sugarbeet Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ........................................................................................... 18

Tobacco Area Harvested – States and United States: 2012-2014 ......................................................................................... 18

Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type – States and United States: 2012-2014 .......................................................... 19

Dry Edible Bean Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ................................................................................ 20

Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ............................................................... 21

Lentil Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ................................................................................................. 22

Dry Edible Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 .................................................................................. 22

Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 .......................................................................... 22

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4 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Spring Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ..................................................................................... 23

Sweet Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 ...................................................................................... 23

Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Domestic Units) ......................................................... 24

Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Domestic Units) .................................................................... 25

Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Metric Units) .............................................................. 26

Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Metric Units) ......................................................................... 27

Winter Weather Summary .................................................................................................................................................... 28

Crop Comments .................................................................................................................................................................... 29

Statistical Methodology ......................................................................................................................................................... 33

Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates .......................................................................................... 34

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................. 35

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

This page intentionally left blank.

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6 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Corn Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Arizona ................................ Arkansas .............................. California ............................. Colorado .............................. Connecticut .......................... Delaware ............................. Florida .................................. Georgia ................................ Idaho .................................... Illinois ................................... Indiana ................................. Iowa ..................................... Kansas ................................. Kentucky .............................. Louisiana ............................. Maine ................................... Maryland .............................. Massachusetts ..................... Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Montana ............................... Nebraska ............................. Nevada ................................ New Hampshire ................... New Jersey .......................... New Mexico ......................... New York ............................. North Carolina ...................... North Dakota ........................ Ohio ..................................... Oklahoma ............................ Oregon ................................. Pennsylvania ....................... Rhode Island ........................ South Carolina ..................... South Dakota ....................... Tennessee ........................... Texas ................................... Utah ..................................... Vermont ............................... Virginia ................................. Washington .......................... West Virginia ........................ Wisconsin ............................ Wyoming .............................. United States .......................

310 75

710 610

1,420 27

185 75

345 360

12,800 6,250

14,200 4,700 1,650

540 30

495 16

2,650

8,750 820

3,600 105

10,000 8

14 95

125 1,170

860

3,600 3,900

360 85

1,460 1

330 6,150 1,040

1,850

92 91

510 185 51

4,350 105

97,155

320 85

880 600

1,220 27

180 115 510 350

12,000 6,000

13,600 4,300 1,530

680 31

480 16

2,600

8,600 860

3,350 120

9,950 7

14 90

120 1,200

930

3,850 3,900

370 80

1,480 2

350 6,200

890

2,350 83 92

510 190 53

4,100 100

95,365

290 70

600 430

1,230 27

175 80

370 380

11,900 5,800

14,000 4,400 1,500

480 32

460 18

2,600

8,600 580

3,300 120

9,400 5

13 90

110 1,180

850

2,950 3,700

300 80

1,420 2

320 5,800

830

2,100 92 85

500 190 47

4,100 85

91,691

91 82 68 72

101 100 97 70 73

109

99 97

103 102 98 71

103 96

113 100

100 67 99

100 94 71 93

100 92 98

91 77 95 81

100 96

100 91 94 93

89

111 92 98

100 89

100 85

96

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sorghum Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Arizona ................................ Arkansas ............................. Colorado .............................. Georgia ............................... Illinois .................................. Kansas ................................ Louisiana ............................. Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Nebraska ............................. New Mexico ......................... Oklahoma ............................ South Dakota ....................... Texas .................................. United States .......................

31 140 245 55 30

2,500 125 48 65

145

90 270 200

2,300

6,244

33 130 400 55 23

3,100 115 65 70

285

125 320 340

3,000

8,061

46 140 325 45 30

2,700 110 70 70

160

125 330 230

2,300

6,681

139 108 81 82

130 87 96

108 100 56

100 103 68 77

83

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Million acres

Corn and Soybean Planted Acreage - United States

Corn

Soybeans

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8 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Oat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Includes area planted in preceding fall]

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Arkansas .............................. California ............................. Colorado .............................. Georgia ................................ Idaho .................................... Illinois ................................... Indiana ................................. Iowa ..................................... Kansas ................................. Maine ................................... Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Missouri ............................... Montana ............................... Nebraska ............................. New York ............................. North Carolina ...................... North Dakota ........................ Ohio ..................................... Oklahoma ............................ Oregon ................................. Pennsylvania ....................... South Carolina ..................... South Dakota ....................... Texas ................................... Utah ..................................... Virginia ................................. Washington .......................... Wisconsin ............................ Wyoming .............................. United States .......................

60 12

230 55 60 70 30 15

130 105

29 50

190 20 45 75 70 40

200 70

75 35

100 28

160 500 30 11 15

220 30

2,760

60 11

180 55 50 70 40 20

220 100

28 50

240 30 50

150 75 35

225 50

60 30 95 20

260 450 40 10 20

255 31

3,010

60 13

180 65 40 80 35 20

130 65

23 50

220 20 50

100 70 35

210 70

40 50 80 25

255 450 45 11 15

260 27

2,794

100 118 100 118 80

114 88

100 59 65

82

100 92 67

100 67 93

100 93

140

67 167 84

125 98

100 113 110 75

102 87

93

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Barley Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Includes area planted in preceding fall]

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Arizona ................................ California ............................. Colorado .............................. Delaware ............................. Idaho ................................... Kansas ................................ Maine .................................. Maryland .............................. Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Montana .............................. New York ............................. North Carolina ..................... North Dakota ....................... Oregon ................................ Pennsylvania ....................... South Dakota ....................... Utah ..................................... Virginia ................................ Washington ......................... Wisconsin ............................ Wyoming ............................. United States .......................

48 120 58 38

610 10 17 60 11

115

900 10 23

1,060 56 65 34 44 65

185 33 75

3,637

75 90 63 43

630 17 20 75 10 90

990 11 19

760 63 75 34 40 67

195 33 80

3,480

45 95 64 30

660 10 15 60 10

100

900 12 20

650 45 70 30 48 58

130 33 80

3,165

60 106 102 70

105 59 75 80

100 111

91

109 105 86 71 93 88

120 87 67

100 100

91

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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10 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Includes area planted in preceding fall]

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Arizona ................................ Arkansas .............................. California ............................. Colorado .............................. Delaware ............................. Florida .................................. Georgia ................................ Idaho .................................... Illinois ................................... Indiana ................................. Iowa ..................................... Kansas ................................. Kentucky .............................. Louisiana ............................. Maryland .............................. Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Montana ............................... Nebraska ............................. Nevada ................................ New Jersey .......................... New Mexico ......................... New York ............................. North Carolina ...................... North Dakota ........................ Ohio ..................................... Oklahoma ............................ Oregon ................................. Pennsylvania ....................... South Carolina ..................... South Dakota ....................... Tennessee ........................... Texas ................................... Utah ..................................... Virginia ................................. Washington .......................... West Virginia ........................ Wisconsin ............................ Wyoming .............................. United States .......................

220 115 550 750

2,363 85 20

290 1,313

660

350 18

9,400 580 285 310 570

1,390 370 790

5,800 1,380

26 33

450 100 830

7,840 500

5,400

885 165 235

2,405 420

5,700 155 280

2,210 8

265 150

55,666

300 92

680 685

2,310 85 25

420 1,311

875

470 30

9,500 700 260 345 630

1,230 400

1,100

5,455 1,470

28 34

440 125 990

6,115 690

5,600

880 185 270

2,494 610

6,200 138 320

2,190 9

315 150

56,156

230 76

440 585

2,858 80 15

280 1,201

740

430 25

9,300 620 160 340 580

1,240 230 950

5,650 1,500

21 30

420 110 830

7,800 630

5,300

820 175 230

2,303 560

5,900 155 290

2,250 11

290 160

55,815

77 83 65 85

124 94 60 67 92 85

91 83 98 89 62 99 92

101 58 86

104 102 75 88 95 88 84

128 91 95

93 95 85 92 92 95

112 91

103 122 92

107

99 1 Intended plantings for 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Winter Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Includes area planted in preceding fall]

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 Percent of

previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Arizona ................................ Arkansas ............................. California ............................. Colorado .............................. Delaware ............................. Florida ................................. Georgia ............................... Idaho ................................... Illinois .................................. Indiana ................................ Iowa ..................................... Kansas ................................ Kentucky .............................. Louisiana ............................. Maryland .............................. Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Montana .............................. Nebraska ............................. Nevada ................................ New Jersey .......................... New Mexico ......................... New York ............................. North Carolina ..................... North Dakota ....................... Ohio ..................................... Oklahoma ............................ Oregon ................................ Pennsylvania ....................... South Carolina ..................... South Dakota ....................... Tennessee ........................... Texas .................................. Utah ..................................... Virginia ................................ Washington ......................... West Virginia ....................... Wisconsin ............................ Wyoming ............................. United States .......................

220 10

550 610

2,350 85 20

290 780 660

350 18

9,400 580 285 310 570 40

370 790

2,300 1,380

20 33

450 100 830 750 500

5,400

790 165 235

1,320 420

5,700 140 280

1,700 8

265 150

41,224

300 12

680 610

2,300 85 25

420 770 875

470 30

9,500 700 260 345 630 30

400 1,100

2,000 1,470

20 34

440 125 990 220 690

5,600

790 185 270

1,300 610

6,200 120 320

1,690 9

315 150

43,090

230 6

440 520

2,850 80 15

280 700 740

430 25

9,300 620 160 340 580 40

230 950

2,500 1,500

15 30

420 110 830 800 630

5,300

730 175 230

1,200 560

5,900 140 290

1,650 11

290 160

42,007

77 50 65 85

124 94 60 67 91 85

91 83 98 89 62 99 92

133 58 86

125 102 75 88 95 88 84

364 91 95

92 95 85 92 92 95

117 91 98

122 92

107

97

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12 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Durum Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Includes area planted in preceding fall in Arizona and California]

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Arizona ................................ California ............................. Idaho .................................... Montana ............................... North Dakota ........................ South Dakota ....................... United States .......................

105 140 13

550 1,340

5

2,153

80 75 11

505 795

4

1,470

70 65 11

550 1,100

3

1,799

88 87

100 109 138 75

122

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

Other Spring Wheat Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Colorado .............................. Idaho .................................... Minnesota ............................ Montana ............................... Nevada ................................ North Dakota ........................ Oregon ................................. South Dakota ....................... Utah ..................................... Washington .......................... United States .......................

13 520

1,350 2,950

6 5,750

95 1,080

15 510

12,289

10 530

1,200 2,950

8 5,100

90 1,190

18 500

11,596

8 490

1,200 2,600

6 5,900

90 1,100

15 600

12,009

80 92

100 88 75

116 100 92 83

120

104 1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Hay Area Harvested – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area harvested

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Arizona ................................ Arkansas ............................. California ............................. Colorado .............................. Connecticut ......................... Delaware ............................. Florida ................................. Georgia ............................... Idaho ................................... Illinois .................................. Indiana ................................ Iowa ..................................... Kansas ................................ Kentucky .............................. Louisiana ............................. Maine .................................. Maryland .............................. Massachusetts ..................... Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Montana .............................. Nebraska ............................. Nevada ................................ New Hampshire ................... New Jersey .......................... New Mexico ......................... New York ............................. North Carolina ..................... North Dakota ....................... Ohio ..................................... Oklahoma ............................ Oregon ................................ Pennsylvania ....................... Rhode Island ....................... South Carolina ..................... South Dakota ....................... Tennessee ........................... Texas .................................. Utah ..................................... Vermont ............................... Virginia ................................ Washington ......................... West Virginia ....................... Wisconsin ............................ Wyoming ............................. United States .......................

860 295

1,450 1,550 1,460

58 16

320 580

1,340

580 630

1,140 2,750 2,380

460 130 205 69

970

1,750 750

3,660 2,200 2,570

415 52

105 285

1,560

662 2,190 1,100 3,190 1,000 1,420

8 250

3,100 1,765

5,100

660 185

1,305 780 630

1,450 875

56,260

790 285

1,335 1,440 1,310

47 18

300 580

1,480

660 640

1,170 2,750 2,600

400 135 225 84

940

1,900 720

4,050 2,800 2,500

345 50 97

230 1,430

858

2,620 1,070 3,130 1,020 1,260

8 290

3,050 1,915

5,640

725 180

1,240 760 590

1,600 990

58,257

750 320

1,300 1,450 1,300

60 16

320 540

1,490

630 630

1,050 2,650 2,600

360 140 230 73

920

1,800 710

4,150 2,700 2,450

300 45

105 270

1,500

900 2,600 1,080 3,300 1,100 1,380

8 300

3,000 1,950

5,700

730 180

1,250 750 580

1,600 1,000

58,267

95 112 97

101 99

128 89

107 93

101

95 98 90 96

100 90

104 102 87 98

95 99

102 96 98 87 90

108 117 105

105 99

101 105 108 110 100 103 98

102

101 101 100 101 99 98

100 101

100

1 Intended area harvested in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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14 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Rice Area Planted by Class – States and United States: 2012-2014

Class and State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Long grain .......................... Arkansas .............................. California ............................. Louisiana ............................. Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Texas ................................... United States ....................... Medium grain ..................... Arkansas .............................. California ............................. Louisiana ............................. Missouri ............................... Texas ................................... United States ....................... Short grain .......................... Arkansas .............................. California

2 ...........................

United States ....................... All ........................................ Arkansas .............................. California ............................. Louisiana ............................. Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Texas ................................... United States .......................

1,175

6 375 130 176 132

1,994

115 500 27 4 3

649

1 56

57

1,291 562 402 130 180 135

2,700

955

6 396 125 157 142

1,781

120 515 22 2 3

662

1 45

46

1,076 566 418 125 159 145

2,489

1,350

5 395 170 175 132

2,227

170 420 26 5 3

624

1 25

26

1,521 450 421 170 180 135

2,877

141 83

100 136 111 93

125

142 82

118 250 100

94

100 56

57

141 80

101 136 113 93

116

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

2 Includes sweet rice.

Canola Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Idaho .................................... Minnesota ............................ Montana ............................... North Dakota ........................ Oklahoma ............................ Oregon ................................. Washington .......................... Other States

2 ......................

United States .......................

38.0 31.0 51.0

1,460.0 140.0

7.3 15.0

22.7

1,765.0

44.0 17.0 72.0

920.0 205.0 13.0 37.0

40.0

1,348.0

35.0 20.0 67.0

1,270.0 250.0 10.0 45.0

40.0

1,737.0

80 118 93

138 122 77

122

100

129 1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

2 Other States include Colorado and Kansas. The 2014 estimate is carried forward from 2013. First 2014 estimate for Other States will be published in Acreage released June 2014.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Soybean Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Arkansas ............................. Delaware ............................. Florida ................................. Georgia ............................... Illinois .................................. Indiana ................................ Iowa ..................................... Kansas ................................ Kentucky .............................. Louisiana ............................. Maryland .............................. Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... Nebraska ............................. New Jersey .......................... New York ............................. North Carolina ..................... North Dakota ....................... Ohio ..................................... Oklahoma ............................ Pennsylvania ....................... South Carolina ..................... South Dakota ....................... Tennessee ........................... Texas .................................. Virginia ................................ West Virginia ....................... Wisconsin ............................ United States .......................

340 3,200

170 21

220 9,050 5,150 9,350 4,000 1,480

1,130

480 2,000 7,050 1,970 5,400 5,050

96 315

1,590

4,750 4,600

420 530 380

4,750 1,260

125 590 21

1,710

77,198

435 3,260

165 32

230 9,450 5,200 9,300 3,600 1,650

1,120

480 1,900 6,700 2,010 5,600 4,800

89 280

1,460

4,650 4,450

345 540 320

4,600 1,560

105 600 22

1,580

76,533

500 3,350

185 38

240 9,500 5,500 9,600 3,900 1,700

1,350

500 2,100 7,400 2,150 5,500 5,400

91 330

1,600

5,650 4,700

340 590 360

4,800 1,600

145 600 24

1,750

81,493

115 103 112 119 104 101 106 103 108 103

121 104 111 110 107 98

113 102 118 110

122 106 99

109 113 104 103 138 100 109 111

106

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

Peanut Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Florida ................................. Georgia ............................... Mississippi ........................... New Mexico ......................... North Carolina ..................... Oklahoma ............................ South Carolina ..................... Texas .................................. Virginia ................................ United States .......................

220.0 210.0 735.0 52.0 10.0

107.0 24.0

110.0 150.0 20.0

1,638.0

140.0 140.0 430.0 34.0 7.0

82.0 17.0 81.0

120.0 16.0

1,067.0

165.0 150.0 660.0 45.0 5.0

83.0 15.0 95.0

140.0 18.0

1,376.0

118 107 153 132 71

101 88

117 117 113

129

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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16 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sunflower Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2012-2014

Varietal type and State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Oil ........................................ California ............................. Colorado .............................. Kansas ................................. Minnesota ............................ Nebraska ............................. North Dakota ........................ Oklahoma ............................ South Dakota ....................... Texas ................................... United States ....................... Non-oil ................................ California ............................. Colorado .............................. Kansas ................................. Minnesota ............................ Nebraska ............................. North Dakota ........................ Oklahoma ............................ South Dakota ....................... Texas ................................... United States ....................... All ........................................ California ............................. Colorado .............................. Kansas ................................. Minnesota ............................ Nebraska ............................. North Dakota ........................ Oklahoma ............................ South Dakota ....................... Texas ................................... United States .......................

48.0 75.0 70.0 38.0 33.0

770.0 4.0

580.0 40.0

1,658.0

2.8 11.0 17.0 11.0 8.5

90.0 0.7

65.0 55.0

261.0

50.8 86.0 87.0 49.0 41.5

860.0 4.7

645.0 95.0

1,919.0

56.0 50.0 55.0 33.0 28.0

425.0 3.0

560.0 69.0

1,279.0

2.5 17.0 16.0 10.0 15.0 74.0 2.0

115.0 45.0

296.5

58.5 67.0 71.0 43.0 43.0

499.0 5.0

675.0 114.0

1,575.5

60.0 40.0 55.0 33.0 25.0

570.0 4.0

440.0 40.0

1,267.0

2.0 13.0 22.0 10.0 8.0

100.0 1.0

100.0 69.0

325.0

62.0 53.0 77.0 43.0 33.0

670.0 5.0

540.0 109.0

1,592.0

107 80

100 100 89

134 133 79 58

99

80 76

138 100 53

135 50 87

153

110

106 79

108 100 77

134 100 80 96

101

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

Flaxseed Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Minnesota ............................ Montana ............................... North Dakota ........................ South Dakota ....................... United States .......................

3 18

315 8

344

4 20

150 7

181

2 20

300 4

326

50 100 200 57

180

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 17 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Cotton Area Planted by Type – States and United States: 2012-2014

Type and State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Upland ................................ Alabama .............................. Arizona ................................ Arkansas ............................. California ............................. Florida ................................. Georgia ............................... Kansas ................................ Louisiana ............................. Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... New Mexico ......................... North Carolina ..................... Oklahoma ............................ South Carolina ..................... Tennessee ........................... Texas .................................. Virginia ................................ United States ....................... American Pima ................... Arizona ................................ California ............................. New Mexico ......................... Texas .................................. United States ....................... All ....................................... Alabama .............................. Arizona ................................ Arkansas ............................. California ............................. Florida ................................. Georgia ............................... Kansas ................................ Louisiana ............................. Mississippi ........................... Missouri ............................... New Mexico ......................... North Carolina ..................... Oklahoma ............................ South Carolina ..................... Tennessee ........................... Texas .................................. Virginia ................................ United States .......................

380.0 200.0 595.0 142.0 108.0

1,290.0 56.0

230.0 475.0 350.0

45.0

585.0 305.0 299.0 380.0

6,550.0 86.0

12,076.0

3.0 225.0

2.4 8.0

238.4

380.0 203.0 595.0 367.0 108.0

1,290.0 56.0

230.0 475.0 350.0

47.4

585.0 305.0 299.0 380.0

6,558.0 86.0

12,314.4

365.0 160.0 310.0 93.0

131.0 1,370.0

27.0 130.0 290.0 255.0

39.0

465.0 185.0 258.0 250.0

5,800.0 78.0

10,206.0

1.5 187.0

3.5 9.0

201.0

365.0 161.5 310.0 280.0 131.0

1,370.0 27.0

130.0 290.0 255.0

42.5

465.0 185.0 258.0 250.0

5,809.0 78.0

10,407.0

340.0 150.0 340.0 60.0

110.0 1,350.0

36.0 180.0 380.0 260.0

35.0

470.0 220.0 250.0 280.0

6,400.0 82.0

10,943.0

5.0 135.0

5.0 13.0

158.0

340.0 155.0 340.0 195.0 110.0

1,350.0 36.0

180.0 380.0 260.0

40.0

470.0 220.0 250.0 280.0

6,413.0 82.0

11,101.0

93 94

110 65 84 99

133 138 131 102

90

101 119 97

112 110 105

107

333 72

143 144

79

93 96

110 70 84 99

133 138 131 102

94

101 119 97

112 110 105

107

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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18 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sugarbeet Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except California]

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

California 2 ...........................

Colorado .............................. Idaho .................................... Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Montana ............................... Nebraska ............................. North Dakota ........................ Oregon ................................. Wyoming .............................. United States .......................

24.5 31.2

183.0 154.0 475.0 46.6 51.0

222.0 11.0 31.8

1,230.1

24.5 26.8

175.0 154.0 462.0 43.4 46.0

227.0 9.4

30.0

1,198.1

24.5 28.5

167.0 154.0 435.0 45.1 48.0

218.0 4.3

30.2

1,154.6

100 106 95

100 94

104 104 96 46

101

96 1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from processors.

2 Relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central California and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern California.

Tobacco Area Harvested – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area harvested

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(acres) (acres) (acres) (percent)

Connecticut .......................... Georgia ................................ Kentucky .............................. Massachusetts ..................... North Carolina ...................... Ohio ..................................... Pennsylvania ....................... South Carolina ..................... Tennessee ........................... Virginia ................................. Other States

2 ......................

United States .......................

(D) 10,000 87,200

(D) 166,100

1,900 9,600

12,000 23,900 23,080

2,465

336,245

(D) 12,800 87,200

(D) 181,900

2,100 8,900

14,500 21,400 24,250

2,625

355,675

(D) 13,300 88,500

(D) 183,800

2,000 9,100

15,000 22,300 24,580

3,320

361,900

(X) 104 101 (X)

101 95

102 103 104 101

126

102

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1

Intended area harvested in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2

Includes data withheld above.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 19 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area harvested

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(acres) (acres) (acres) (percent)

Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14) Georgia .............................................................................. North Carolina .................................................................... South Carolina .................................................................... Virginia ............................................................................... United States ...................................................................... Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23) Kentucky ............................................................................. Tennessee .......................................................................... Virginia ............................................................................... United States ...................................................................... Class 3A, Light air-cured Type 31, Burley Kentucky ......................................................................... North Carolina ................................................................ Ohio ................................................................................ Pennsylvania .................................................................. Tennessee ...................................................................... Virginia ........................................................................... United States .................................................................. Type 32, Southern Maryland Pennsylvania .................................................................. Total light air-cured (31-32) .............................................. Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37) Kentucky ............................................................................. Tennessee .......................................................................... United States ...................................................................... Class 4, Cigar filler Pennsylvania .................................................................. Class 5, Cigar binder Type 51, Connecticut Valley Broadleaf Connecticut ..................................................................... Massachusetts ................................................................ United States .................................................................. Class 6, Cigar wrapper Type 61, Connecticut Valley Shade-grown Connecticut ..................................................................... Massachusetts ................................................................ United States .................................................................. Other cigar types (51-61) .................................................. Total cigar types (41-61) ................................................... All tobacco United States ......................................................................

10,000

164,000 12,000 20,000

206,000

9,000 6,900

380

16,280

74,000 2,100 1,900 4,700

16,000 2,700

101,400

2,900

104,300

4,200 1,000

5,200

2,000

(D) (D)

(D)

(D) (D)

(D)

2,465

4,465

336,245

12,800

180,000 14,500 21,500

228,800

9,000 6,900

350

16,250

74,000 1,900 2,100 5,100

13,500 2,400

99,000

2,000

101,000

4,200 1,000

5,200

1,800

(D) (D)

(D)

(D) (D)

(D)

2,625

4,425

355,675

13,300

182,000 15,000 22,000

232,300

9,200 7,200

380

16,780

75,000 1,800 2,000 5,100

14,000 2,200

100,100

2,000

102,100

4,300 1,100

5,400

2,000

(D) (D)

(D)

(D) (D)

(D)

3,320

5,320

361,900

104 101 103 102

102

102 104 109

103

101 95 95

100 104 92

101

100

101

102 110

104

111

(X) (X)

(X)

(X) (X)

(X)

126

120

102

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1

Intended area harvested in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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20 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Dry Edible Bean Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Excludes beans grown for garden seed]

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Arizona ................................ California ............................. Colorado .............................. Idaho .................................... Kansas ................................. Michigan .............................. Minnesota ............................ Montana ............................... Nebraska ............................. New Mexico ......................... New York ............................. North Dakota ........................ Oregon ................................. South Dakota ....................... Texas ................................... Washington .......................... Wisconsin ............................ Wyoming .............................. United States .......................

13.5 58.5 50.0

145.0 8.0

200.0 160.0 32.0

145.0 9.8

10.0

700.0 10.5 13.0 22.0

115.0 5.2

45.0

1,742.5

10.0 50.0 39.0

125.0 5.0

175.0 125.0 24.0

130.0 10.0

9.0

440.0 8.3

12.0 33.0

115.0 5.4

39.0

1,354.7

16.0 45.0 45.0

135.0 6.0

185.0 170.0 38.0

180.0 9.8

8.0

620.0 8.0 9.0

23.0 130.0

6.2 52.0

1,686.0

160 90

115 108 120 106 136 158 138 98

89

141 96 75 70

113 115 133

124

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 21 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014 [Chickpea acres included with dry bean acres]

Size and State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Small chickpeas 2

Idaho .......................................... Montana ..................................... North Dakota .............................. Oregon ....................................... South Dakota .............................. Washington ................................ Other States

3 .............................

United States .............................. Large chickpeas

4

California .................................... Idaho .......................................... Montana ..................................... North Dakota .............................. Oregon ....................................... South Dakota .............................. Washington ................................ Other States

3 .............................

United States .............................. All chickpeas (Garbanzo) California .................................... Idaho .......................................... Montana ..................................... North Dakota .............................. Oregon ....................................... South Dakota .............................. Washington ................................ United States ..............................

32.5 (D) 5.4 (D) (D)

15.0

16.6

69.5

11.1 43.5 (D) 6.6 (D) (D)

64.5

12.7

138.4

11.1 76.0 23.0 12.0 1.8 4.5

79.5

207.9

15.0 (D) 3.2 (D) 0.9

14.0

12.1

45.2

11.3 63.0 (D) 6.7 (D) 4.7

78.0

6.8

170.5

11.3 78.0 18.0 9.9 0.9 5.6

92.0

215.7

30.0 18.0 5.0 (D) (D)

15.0

1.4

69.4

11.0 50.0 7.0 3.0 (D) (D)

75.0

2.4

148.4

11.0 80.0 25.0 8.0 0.8 3.0

90.0

217.8

200 (X)

156 (X) (X)

107

12

154

97 79 (X) 45 (X) (X) 96

35

87

97 103 139 81 89 54 98

101

(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1

Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2

Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) smaller than 20/64 inches. 3

Includes data withheld above. 4

Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) larger than 20/64 inches.

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22 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Lentil Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Idaho .................................... Montana ............................... North Dakota ........................ Washington .......................... United States .......................

33.0 205.0 160.0 65.0

463.0

31.0 140.0 129.0 62.0

362.0

30.0 120.0 120.0 50.0

320.0

97 86 93 81

88

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

Dry Edible Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Idaho .................................... Montana ............................... North Dakota ........................ Oregon ................................. Washington .......................... United States .......................

27.0 315.0 235.0

7.0 65.0

649.0

37.0 440.0 295.0

8.0 80.0

860.0

40.0 520.0 260.0 11.0 90.0

921.0

108 118 88

138 113

107

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Idaho .................................... Montana ............................... Oregon ................................. United States .......................

5.5 11.0 2.5

19.0

5.0 10.0 3.0

18.0

6.0 20.0 2.5

28.5

120 200 83

158

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 23 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Spring Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Spring Arizona ................................ California ............................. Florida ................................. Hastings area

2 ................

Other areas 2 ...................

North Carolina ..................... Texas

3 ................................

United States .......................

4.0

29.5 37.1 23.6 13.5 16.5 9.8

96.9

3.5

27.0 30.9 (NA) (NA) 14.5 (NA)

75.9

3.0

25.0 30.5 (NA) (NA) 17.0 (NA)

75.5

86 93 99 (X) (X)

117 (X)

99

(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1

Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2

Estimates discontinued in 2013. 3

Beginning in 2013, Spring estimates included in Summer total for Texas.

Sweet Potato Area Planted – States and United States: 2012-2014

State

Area planted

2012 2013 2014 1

Percent of previous year

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (percent)

Alabama .............................. Arkansas ............................. California ............................. Florida ................................. Louisiana ............................. Mississippi ........................... New Jersey .......................... North Carolina ..................... Texas .................................. United States .......................

2.7 4.0

18.0 6.4

10.0 24.0 1.3

63.0 1.1

130.5

2.5 4.0

19.0 6.0 8.0

20.0 1.2

54.0 1.0

115.7

2.1 4.0

19.0 6.0 9.0

23.0 1.2

61.0 1.0

126.3

84 100 100 100 113 115 100 113 100

109

1 Intended plantings in 2014 as indicated by reports from farmers.

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24 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Domestic Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Area planted Area harvested

2013 2014 2013 2014

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres)

Grains and hay Barley ................................................................................. Corn for grain

1 ....................................................................

Corn for silage .................................................................... Hay, all ................................................................................ Alfalfa .............................................................................. All other ........................................................................... Oats .................................................................................... Proso millet ......................................................................... Rice .................................................................................... Rye ..................................................................................... Sorghum for grain

1 .............................................................

Sorghum for silage .............................................................. Wheat, all ............................................................................ Winter ............................................................................. Durum ............................................................................. Other spring .................................................................... Oilseeds Canola ................................................................................ Cottonseed ......................................................................... Flaxseed ............................................................................. Mustard seed ...................................................................... Peanuts .............................................................................. Rapeseed ........................................................................... Safflower ............................................................................. Soybeans for beans ............................................................ Sunflower ............................................................................ Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all ........................................................................... Upland ............................................................................ American Pima ................................................................ Sugarbeets ......................................................................... Sugarcane .......................................................................... Tobacco .............................................................................. Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas ........................................................... Dry edible beans ................................................................. Dry edible peas ................................................................... Lentils ................................................................................. Wrinkled seed peas ............................................................ Potatoes and miscellaneous Coffee (Hawaii) ................................................................... Hops ................................................................................... Peppermint oil ..................................................................... Potatoes, all ........................................................................ Spring ............................................................................. Summer .......................................................................... Fall .................................................................................. Spearmint oil ....................................................................... Sweet potatoes ................................................................... Taro (Hawaii)

2 ....................................................................

3,480

95,365 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

3,010 720

2,489 1,446 8,061 (NA)

56,156 43,090 1,470

11,596

1,348.0 (X)

181 45.0

1,067.0 1.7

175.5 76,533 1,575.5

10,407.0 10,206.0

201.0 1,198.1

(NA) (NA)

18.0 1,354.7

860.0 362.0 (NA)

(NA) (NA) (NA)

1,066.5 75.9 48.7

941.9 (NA)

115.7 (NA)

3,165

91,691

(NA)

2,794

2,877

6,681

55,815 42,007 1,799

12,009

1,737.0 (X)

326

1,376.0

81,493 1,592.0

11,101.0 10,943.0

158.0 1,154.6

(NA)

28.5 1,686.0

921.0 320.0

75.5

126.3

3,000

87,668 6,256

58,257 17,763 40,494 1,030

638 2,468

278 6,530

380 45,157 32,402 1,421

11,334

1,264.5 (X)

172 43.4

1,042.0 1.7

170.0 75,869 1,474.6

7,664.4 7,465.0

199.4 1,154.2

906.6 355.7

14.1 1,311.3

797.0 347.0 (NA)

7.3 35.2 68.8

1,052.0 72.9 47.5

931.6 24.5

113.2 0.4

58,267

361.9

(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1

Area planted for all purposes. 2

Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 25 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Domestic Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Yield per acre Production

2013 2014 2013 2014

(1,000) (1,000)

Grains and hay Barley ................................................................................... bushels Corn for grain ........................................................................ bushels Corn for silage ............................................................................ tons Hay, all ....................................................................................... tons Alfalfa ..................................................................................... tons All other .................................................................................. tons Oats ...................................................................................... bushels Proso millet ........................................................................... bushels Rice

1 ........................................................................................... cwt

Rye ....................................................................................... bushels Sorghum for grain ................................................................. bushels Sorghum for silage ...................................................................... tons Wheat, all ............................................................................. bushels Winter ............................................................................... bushels Durum ............................................................................... bushels Other spring ...................................................................... bushels Oilseeds Canola ................................................................................... pounds Cottonseed ................................................................................. tons Flaxseed ............................................................................... bushels Mustard seed ......................................................................... pounds Peanuts ................................................................................. pounds Rapeseed .............................................................................. pounds Safflower ............................................................................... pounds Soybeans for beans .............................................................. bushels Sunflower .............................................................................. pounds Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all

1 ............................................................................... bales

Upland 1 ................................................................................ bales

American Pima 1 ................................................................... bales

Sugarbeets ................................................................................. tons Sugarcane .................................................................................. tons Tobacco ................................................................................. pounds Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas

1 .................................................................. cwt

Dry edible beans 1 ....................................................................... cwt

Dry edible peas 1 ......................................................................... cwt

Lentils 1 ........................................................................................ cwt

Wrinkled seed peas ..................................................................... cwt Potatoes and miscellaneous Coffee (Hawaii) ...................................................................... pounds Hops ...................................................................................... pounds Peppermint oil ........................................................................ pounds Potatoes, all ................................................................................. cwt Spring ...................................................................................... cwt Summer ................................................................................... cwt Fall .......................................................................................... cwt Spearmint oil ......................................................................... pounds Sweet potatoes ............................................................................ cwt Taro (Hawaii) ......................................................................... pounds

71.7

158.8 18.8 2.33 3.24 1.94 64.0 28.9

7,694 27.6 59.6 14.3 47.2 47.4 43.6 47.1

1,748 (X)

19.5 846

4,006 1,141 1,232 43.3

1,378

826 807

1,530 28.5 34.7

2,036

1,617 1,867 1,960 1,446 (NA)

960 1,969

89 416 304 363 427 119 219

(NA)

215,078

13,925,147 117,851 135,946 57,581 78,365 65,879 18,436

189,886 7,669

389,046 5,420

2,129,695 1,534,253

61,913 533,529

2,210,505 4,406.0

3,356 36,727

4,174,180 1,940

209,461 3,288,833 2,032,725

13,186.7 12,551.0

635.7 32,837 31,440

724,108

228 24,486 15,620 5,019

275

7,000 69,343.9

6,132 437,483 22,137 17,240

398,106 2,926

24,785 3,100

(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1

Yield in pounds.

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26 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Area Planted and Harvested – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Metric Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Area planted Area harvested

2013 2014 2013 2014

(hectares) (hectares) (hectares) (hectares)

Grains and hay Barley ................................................................................. Corn for grain

1 ....................................................................

Corn for silage .................................................................... Hay, all

2 .............................................................................

Alfalfa .............................................................................. All other ........................................................................... Oats .................................................................................... Proso millet ......................................................................... Rice .................................................................................... Rye ..................................................................................... Sorghum for grain

1 .............................................................

Sorghum for silage .............................................................. Wheat, all

2 .........................................................................

Winter ............................................................................. Durum ............................................................................. Other spring .................................................................... Oilseeds Canola ................................................................................ Cottonseed ......................................................................... Flaxseed ............................................................................. Mustard seed ...................................................................... Peanuts .............................................................................. Rapeseed ........................................................................... Safflower ............................................................................. Soybeans for beans ............................................................ Sunflower ............................................................................ Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all

2 .........................................................................

Upland ............................................................................ American Pima ................................................................ Sugarbeets ......................................................................... Sugarcane .......................................................................... Tobacco .............................................................................. Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas ........................................................... Dry edible beans ................................................................. Dry edible peas ................................................................... Lentils ................................................................................. Wrinkled seed peas ............................................................ Potatoes and miscellaneous Coffee (Hawaii) ................................................................... Hops ................................................................................... Peppermint oil ..................................................................... Potatoes, all

2 ......................................................................

Spring ............................................................................. Summer .......................................................................... Fall .................................................................................. Spearmint oil ....................................................................... Sweet potatoes ................................................................... Taro (Hawaii)

3 ....................................................................

1,408,320

38,593,260 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

1,218,120 291,380

1,007,270 585,180

3,262,210 (NA)

22,725,770 17,438,090

594,890 4,692,790

545,520 (X)

73,250 18,210

431,800 690

71,020 30,972,140

637,590

4,211,610 4,130,270

81,340 484,860

(NA) (NA)

7,280 548,230 348,030 146,500

(NA)

(NA) (NA) (NA)

431,600 30,720 19,710

381,180 (NA)

46,820 (NA)

1,280,840

37,106,430

(NA)

1,130,700

1,164,290

2,703,730

22,587,770 16,999,810

728,040 4,859,920

702,950 (X)

131,930

556,850

32,979,400 644,270

4,492,460 4,428,520

63,940 467,260

(NA)

11,530 682,310 372,720 129,500

30,550

51,110

1,214,070

35,478,360 2,531,740

23,576,030 7,188,510

16,387,520 416,830 258,190 998,770 112,500

2,642,630 153,780

18,274,590 13,112,770

575,060 4,586,760

511,730 (X)

69,610 17,560

421,690 690

68,800 30,703,430

596,760

3,101,710 3,021,010

80,700 467,090 366,890 143,940

5,710 530,670 322,540 140,430

(NA)

2,950 14,250 27,840

425,730 29,500 19,220

377,010 9,910

45,810 160

23,580,070

146,460

(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1

Area planted for all purposes. 2

Total may not add due to rounding. 3

Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 27 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Yield and Production – United States: 2013 and 2014 (Metric Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Crop Yield per hectare Production

2013 2014 2013 2014

(metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons)

Grains and hay Barley .................................................................. Corn for grain ....................................................... Corn for silage ..................................................... Hay, all

1 ..............................................................

Alfalfa .............................................................. All other ........................................................... Oats ..................................................................... Proso millet .......................................................... Rice ..................................................................... Rye ...................................................................... Sorghum for grain ................................................ Sorghum for silage ............................................... Wheat, all

1 ..........................................................

Winter .............................................................. Durum .............................................................. Other spring ..................................................... Oilseeds Canola ................................................................. Cottonseed .......................................................... Flaxseed .............................................................. Mustard seed ....................................................... Peanuts ............................................................... Rapeseed ............................................................ Safflower ............................................................. Soybeans for beans ............................................. Sunflower ............................................................ Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all

1 ..........................................................

Upland ............................................................. American Pima ................................................ Sugarbeets .......................................................... Sugarcane ........................................................... Tobacco ............................................................... Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas ............................................ Dry edible beans .................................................. Dry edible peas .................................................... Lentils .................................................................. Wrinkled seed peas ............................................. Potatoes and miscellaneous Coffee (Hawaii) .................................................... Hops .................................................................... Peppermint oil ...................................................... Potatoes, all

1 ......................................................

Spring .............................................................. Summer ........................................................... Fall .................................................................. Spearmint oil ....................................................... Sweet potatoes .................................................... Taro (Hawaii) .......................................................

3.86 9.97

42.23 5.23 7.27 4.34 2.29 1.62 8.62 1.73 3.74

31.97 3.17 3.18 2.93 3.17

1.96 (X)

1.22 0.95 4.49 1.28 1.38 2.92 1.55

0.93 0.90 1.72

63.78 77.74 2.28

1.81 2.09 2.20 1.62 (NA)

1.07 2.21 0.10

46.61 34.04 40.68 47.90 0.13

24.54 (NA)

4,682,770

353,715,030 106,912,630 123,328,140 52,236,600 71,091,530

956,230 418,120

8,613,080 194,800

9,882,220 4,916,940

57,960,800 41,755,520 1,685,000

14,520,280

1,002,670 3,997,060

85,250 16,660

1,893,380 880

95,010 89,507,370

922,030

2,871,070 2,732,660

138,410 29,789,230 28,521,890

328,450

10,340 1,110,670

708,510 227,660 12,470

3,180 31,450 2,780

19,843,900 1,004,120

781,990 18,057,790

1,330 1,124,230

1,410

(NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1

Production may not add due to rounding.

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28 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Winter Weather Summary

Highlights: The coldest winter since 1978-79 gripped Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, and Wisconsin, while

Michigan endured its coldest winter since 1976-77. The Midwest experienced not only bitter cold, but also abundant

snowfall, which resulted in travel disruptions and stressful conditions for livestock.

Meanwhile, drought persisted or intensified from California to the southern Plains under a mild, mostly dry weather

regime. Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas endured near-record winter dryness. California, nearing the end of a third

consecutive year of drought, noted its warmest, third-driest winter on record. Previously, California’s warmest winter had

occurred in 1980-81, while the only drier winters had been 1976-77 and 1990-91. Ironically, California’s warm winter

began with a December freeze that harmed crops, including citrus, in the Central Valley.

Between the extremes, the Plains were subjected to frequent and rapid temperature changes. Abundant precipitation,

mostly snow, fell across the northern Plains, but generally dry, breezy conditions—along with the frequent lack of

protective snow—led to declines in winter wheat condition across the central and southern Plains.

Elsewhere, the South and East endured periodic bouts of wintry weather and extreme cold, although conditions were not

as chronically harsh as those observed in the Midwest. In addition, winter agricultural areas of Texas and Florida escaped

without a significant freeze.

Historical Perspective: According to preliminary data provided by the National Climatic Data Center, winter featured

regionally contrasting temperatures and mostly drier-than-normal conditions. The Nation’s average December-February

temperature of 31.3°F was 1.0°F below the 20th century mean, while the average precipitation of 5.69 inches was

84 percent of normal—marking the 34th-coldest, ninth-driest winter since 1895. The last drier winter occurred in 1980-81.

State temperature rankings were impressive, ranging from the warmest winter on record in California to the fifth-coldest

winter in Wisconsin. Arizona experienced its third-warmest winter, while top-ten rankings for winter coldness were also

noted in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, and Minnesota. Meanwhile, State precipitation rankings ranged from

the third-driest winter in Arizona, California, and New Mexico, to the 18th-wettest winter in Delaware and West Virginia.

December: Winter got off to an early start across much of the Nation, with very cold air settling into the western and

central United States and snow covering more than half of the country for several days.

December storminess was widespread, except in the West, where a potential third consecutive winter of drought got

underway in California and the Great Basin. In addition, an early-season cold wave gripped much of the West during the

first half of the month, harming citrus in California’s San Joaquin Valley and sending temperatures plummeting below

negative 40°F at a few locations in Montana.

Meanwhile, several impressive storms affected the East, where multiple rain and snow events chipped away at autumn

precipitation deficits. At times, snow also blanketed portions of the Plains and Midwest, with winter’s chill deepening in

those regions as the month progressed. By the end of December, temperatures across the upper Great Lakes region rivaled

those observed in the West a few weeks earlier.

However, the Southeast was spared from the cold weather, with temperatures regularly topping 80°F and remaining

unusually high through month’s end. In fact, several Southeastern locations set or tied monthly records for December

warmth.

Elsewhere, most of the Nation’s winter wheat moved into its period of dormancy with few concerns. On the Great Plains,

well over half of the wheat was rated in good to excellent condition at the end of December in States such as South

Dakota (70 percent good to excellent), Nebraska (65 percent), Oklahoma (63 percent), Montana (60 percent), and Kansas

(58 percent). However, drought concerns persisted on the southern High Plains, including Texas’ northern panhandle.

January: California’s drought worsened, despite some late-month rain and snow. For much of the month, the West,

particularly California, endured warm, dry conditions. As a result, California, the Great Basin, and parts of the Southwest

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 29 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

faced nearly insurmountable odds of overcoming huge season-to-date precipitation deficits by the end of winter—and the

likelihood of completing a third consecutive dry winter. In addition to California’s impending water-supply issues,

drought impacts included poor rangeland conditions, severe stress on rain-fed winter grains, and depleted soil moisture

reserves.

In stark contrast, colder-than-normal conditions accompanied occasional winter storms across the eastern half of the

Nation. Several periods of bitterly cold weather gripped the Midwest, South, and East, resulting in the lowest temperatures

in a decade or more. Frigid conditions were especially persistent across the upper Midwest, maintaining stress on

livestock in the wake of a cold December. An early-month blizzard in parts of the Midwest and a late-month snow and ice

event across the Deep South were among several notable storms.

Between the Western warmth and Eastern chill, sharp temperature fluctuations affected the Plains. In addition, January

precipitation was scarce across the Nation’s mid-section, leaving winter wheat exposed at times to bitterly cold

conditions. Specifically, wheat in parts of Nebraska was not insulated by snow when temperatures plunged below 0°F on

January 6, 23, and 27-28. As a result of unfavorable weather, wheat conditions declined during January. For example, the

portion of the wheat rated good to excellent fell from 70 to 60 percent in South Dakota; 65 to 46 percent in Nebraska;

60 to 46 percent in Montana; 63 to 36 percent in Oklahoma; and 58 to 35 percent in Kansas. Texas wheat, already stressed

by drought, was rated 19 percent good to excellent and 41 percent very poor to poor by month’s end.

February: California experienced an unusual February, with record-setting warmth occurring between early- and late-

month storminess. The rain and snow, while significant, failed to appreciably dent California’s 3-year drought. However,

the precipitation aided drought-stressed rangeland, pastures, and winter grains, and temporarily eased irrigation

requirements. At month’s end, beneficial precipitation also overspread other drought-affected areas, including the Great

Basin and parts of the Southwest. Meanwhile, a sustained stretch of stormy weather improved water-supply prospects in

the Northwest.

Farther east, snowy conditions on the northern High Plains contrasted with drier-than-normal weather on the southern

Plains. During February, the Plains’ winter wheat condition remained steady or declined due to a combination of drought,

temperature extremes, occasional high winds, and exposure to bitter cold without the benefit of a protective snow cover.

By month’s end, 46 percent of the wheat was rated in very poor to poor condition in Texas, along with 31 percent in

Oklahoma, 22 percent in Kansas, and 18 percent in Nebraska.

Meanwhile in the Corn Belt, bitterly cold, often snowy weather hampered rural travel and maintained stress on winter-

weary livestock. Many individual station records for seasonal snowfall and days with sub-zero temperatures were

approached, tied, or broken, especially in the Great Lakes States, as Midwestern communities experienced their harshest

winter since at least the 1970s.

Elsewhere, much of the South and East were also exposed to periodic bouts of wintry weather and frigid conditions.

However, winter agricultural regions of Deep South Texas and peninsular Florida continued to escape without a

significant freeze.

Crop Comments

Corn: Growers intend to plant 91.7 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2014, down 4 percent from last year and

down 6 percent from 2012. If realized, this will represent the lowest planted acreage in the United States since 2010;

however, this will represent the fifth largest corn acreage in the United States since 1944. Expected returns for corn are

anticipated to be lower in 2014 compared with recent years.

Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts, and Utah are expected to increase planted acreage from last year.

If realized, planted acres in Idaho would be a record high.

Sorghum: Growers intend to plant 6.68 million acres of sorghum for all purposes in 2014, down 17 percent from last

year. Kansas and Texas, the leading sorghum producing States, account for 75 percent of the expected United States

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30 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

acreage. As of March 23, Texas growers had planted 15 percent of their crop, 17 percentage points behind last year and

16 percentage points behind the 5-year average.

Oats: Area seeded to oats for the 2014 crop year is expected to total 2.79 million acres, down 7 percent from 2013. If

realized, this will be the third lowest United States total on record. Record low acreage is expected in California, Georgia,

Maine, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wyoming.

Barley: Producers intend to seed 3.17 million acres of barley for the 2014 crop year, down 9 percent from the previous

year. If realized, this will be the third smallest seeded area on record. Record low acreage is expected in Michigan.

Winter wheat: The 2014 winter wheat planted area is estimated at 42.0 million acres, down 3 percent from 2013 but up

slightly from the Winter Wheat Seedings report. States with notable acreage increases from the previous estimate were

Kansas, North Dakota, and Tennessee. Of the total acreage, about 30.2 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 8.43 million

acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.35 million acres are White Winter. Record high acreage was planted in North Dakota.

During the winter months, winter wheat conditions declined in the Great Plains due to adverse weather conditions and

exposure to bitter cold due to lack of snow cover in some areas.

Durum wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat for 2014 is expected to total 1.80 million acres, up 22 percent from 2013.

Large planted acreage increases are expected in Montana and North Dakota. If realized, planted acres will be a record low

in South Dakota.

Other spring wheat: Growers intend to plant 12.0 million acres in 2014, up 4 percent from 2013. Of the total, about

11.3 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The largest acreage increases from the previous year are expected in

North Dakota and Washington. If realized, planted acres will be a record low in Colorado.

Rice: Area planted to rice in 2014 is expected to total 2.88 million acres, up 16 percent from 2013. Lower prices for

competing commodities is contributing to the expected increase in rice acres compared with last year. The expected acres

planted to long grain rice in Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri account for the increase in both long grain and all rice

planted acres. With California experiencing a severe drought, medium and short grain acres are expected to decline by

18 and 44 percent, respectively from 2013. The expected increase in medium grain acres in Arkansas is helping to offset

some of the expected acreage decline in California.

Hay: Producers intend to harvest 58.3 million acres of all hay in 2014, up slightly from 2013. Hay acreage is expected to

decrease across the northern and central Great Plains and the Great Lakes regions. Record high acreage is expected in

Florida, Oklahoma, and Texas. Record low acreage is expected in Iowa, Michigan, Nebraska, and New Hampshire.

Soybean planted area for 2014 is estimated at a record high 81.5 million acres, up 6 percent from last year. Compared

with last year, planted acreage intentions are up or unchanged across all States with the exception of Missouri and

Oklahoma. The largest increase is expected in North Dakota where farmers intend to plant a record high 5.65 million

acres, an increase of one million acres from 2013. Compared with last year, large increases in planted area are also

expected in Minnesota and Nebraska. If realized, the planted area in Nebraska, New York, Pennsylvania, South Dakota,

and Wisconsin will also be the largest on record.

Peanuts: Growers intend to plant 1.38 million acres in 2014, up 29 percent from the previous year. The expected increase

in planted area is mainly due to lower corn and soybean prices. Last year growers decreased peanut acres in many States

due to larger supplies and strong grain prices. In Georgia, the largest peanut-producing State, expected planted area is up

53 percent from 2013.

Sunflower: Growers intend to plant a total of 1.59 million acres in 2014, up 1 percent from last year. Despite the small

increase, planted area for the Nation will be the third lowest since 1976, if realized. Area intended for oil type varieties, at

1.27 million acres, is down 1 percent from 2013 and will be the lowest planted area since 1976, if realized. The area

intended for non-oil varieties, estimated at 325,000 acres, is up 10 percent from last year.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 31 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Canola: Producers intend to plant 1.74 million acres in 2014, up 29 percent from 2013. If realized, planted area in the

United States will be the second largest on record. Compared with last year, planted area is expected to increase in four of

the seven major canola-producing States, with acreage in North Dakota, Oklahoma, and Washington expected to increase

more than 20 percent from the previous year. Producers in North Dakota, the leading canola-producing State, intend to

plant 1.27 million acres, up 350,000 acres from last year.

Flaxseed: Producers intend to plant 326,000 acres of flaxseed in 2014, up 145,000 acres or 80 percent more than was

planted in 2013. Acreage in North Dakota, the largest flaxseed-producing State, is up 100 percent, or 150,000 acres from

2013. Growers in that State were unable to plant all of their intended acreage last year due to unfavorable spring planting

conditions.

Cotton: Growers intend to plant 11.1 million acres in 2014, up 7 percent from last year. Upland area is expected to total

10.9 million acres, up 7 percent from 2013. American Pima area is expected to total 158,000 acres, down 21 percent from

2013. As of March 23, cotton planting in Texas was 3 percent complete, identical to the same time last year but

1 percentage point behind the 5-year average.

Sugarbeets: Area planted to sugarbeets for the 2014 crop year is estimated at 1.15 million acres, down 4 percent from last

year. Planted area is below the previous year in four of the ten estimating States.

Tobacco: United States all tobacco area for harvest in 2014 is estimated at 361,900 acres, up 2 percent from 2013. All

tobacco varieties expect increases in area harvested.

Flue-cured tobacco, at 232,300 acres, is 2 percent above 2013. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 64 percent of this year’s

total tobacco acreage. Total light air-cured tobacco type area, at 102,100 acres, is 1 percent above 2013. Burley tobacco, at

100,100 acres, is 1 percent above last year.

Fire-cured tobacco, at 16,780 acres, is up 3 percent from 2013. Dark air-cured tobacco, at 5,400 acres, is 4 percent above

last year. All cigar type tobacco harvested area, at 5,320 acres, is 20 percent above last year. Cigar filler is up 11 percent

from last year.

Spring potatoes: Planted area for spring potatoes is estimated at 75,500 acres for the 2014 season, down slightly from

2013.

In Florida, growers have been impacted by wet field conditions that delayed plantings and forced growers to replant

acreage in some areas. Spring potato planting was complete throughout the State of California and the crop was reportedly

in good condition.

Sweet potatoes: Planted area of sweet potatoes is estimated at 126,300 acres, up 9 percent from the previous year.

In Arkansas and New Jersey, field preparations have been sporadic due to weather conditions. Growers in California

began planting sweet potatoes but water availability remains a concern.

Dry beans: Growers intend to plant 1.69 million acres in 2014, up 24 percent from last year. Expected area planted for all

chickpeas is 217,800 acres, up 1 percent from last season. Small chickpea area, at 69,400 acres, is 54 percent higher than

2013. Large chickpea area, at 148,400 acres, is expected to be 13 percent below last year.

Planted area is expected to be higher than last year in 12 of the 18 States in the dry bean estimating program. In

North Dakota, the largest producing State, planted area is expected to increase by 180,000 acres, or 41 percent from a year

ago.

Lentils: Area planted for the 2014 crop year is expected to total 320,000 acres, down 12 percent from 2013. Prospective

plantings are down in all four estimating program States. Montana’s anticipated area is down 14 percent from 2013, while

North Dakota growers expect to plant 7 percent fewer acres than a year ago.

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32 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Dry edible peas: Area planted for the 2014 crop year is expected to total 921,000 acres, up 7 percent from 2013.

Prospective plantings are up in Idaho, Montana, Oregon and Washington, while North Dakota growers expect planted area

to decrease 12 percent from a year ago.

Austrian winter peas: Planted area is estimated at 28,500 acres, up 58 percent from 2013. Growers in Idaho and

Montana intend to plant more acres this season, while Oregon farmers anticipate lower plantings from a year ago.

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 33 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The acreage estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted during the first two

weeks of March. The March Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of over 84,000 farm

operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United States have a chance to be selected.

These operators were contacted by mail, internet, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on crop acreage

planned for the 2014 crop year.

Estimating Procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and

consistency with historical estimates. Each Regional Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the

Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level

independently of each State's review. Acreage estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of

official estimates to the survey data.

Revision Policy: Acreage estimates in the Prospective Plantings report will not be revised. These estimates are intended

to reflect grower intentions as of the survey period. New acreage estimates will be made based on surveys conducted in

June when crop acreages have been established or planting intentions are firm. These new estimates will be published in

the Acreage report scheduled for June 30, 2014. Winter wheat is an exception. Since winter wheat was seeded prior to the

March survey, any changes in estimates in this report are considered revisions. The estimate of the harvested acreage of

winter wheat will be published on May 9, 2014, along with the first production forecast of the crop year.

Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non sampling errors that are common

to all surveys. Sampling errors represent the variability between estimates that would result if many different samples

were surveyed at the same time. Sampling errors for major crops are generally between 1.0 and 3.0 percent, but they

cannot be applied directly to the acreage published in this report to determine confidence intervals because the official

estimates represent a composite of information from more than a single source.

Non sampling errors cannot be measured directly. They may occur due to incorrect reporting and/or recording, data

omissions or duplications, and errors in processing. To minimize non sampling errors, vigorous quality controls are used

in the data collection process and all data are carefully reviewed for consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of acreage estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical

measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviations between the acreage estimates in this report and the final

estimates are expressed as a percentage of the final estimates. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest

20 year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."

Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current estimates relative to the final end of

season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's estimates are not different from those influencing recent years.

For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the corn planted estimate is 1.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out

of 3 that the current corn acreage estimate will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.9 percent. Chances

are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.2 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20 year record for selected crops of the difference between the Prospective

Plantings planted acreage estimates and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the

intentions estimates and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 1.13 million acres, ranging from

32,000 acres to 3.84 million acres. The prospective plantings estimates have been below the final estimate 8 times and

above 12 times. This does not imply that the planted estimate this year is likely to understate or overstate the final

estimate.

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34 Prospective Plantings (March 2014) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates [Based on data for the past twenty years]

Crop Root mean square error

90 percent confidence

interval

Difference between forecast and final estimate

Thousand acres Years

Average Smallest Largest Below final

Above final

(percent) (percent) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (number) (number)

Barley ......................................... Corn for grain .............................. Oats ............................................ Sorghum for grain ....................... Soybeans for beans .................... Upland cotton .............................. Wheat Winter wheat ............................. Durum wheat ............................ Other spring ..............................

7.0 1.9 6.2 9.0 2.0 5.9

1.6

18.2 6.3

12.2 3.2

10.7 15.6 3.5

10.1

2.8 31.5 10.9

252 1,127

207 616

1,194 604

594 225 713

31 32 4

31 25 6

52 15 12

455 3,844

660 2,471 3,296 2,115

1,415

996 2,543

4 8 3

12 11 12

6

13 9

16 12 17 8 9 8

14 7

11

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Prospective Plantings (March 2014) 35 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact

for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]

Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-2127

Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section .................................................................................... (202) 720-2127

Cody Brokmeyer – Peanuts, Rice .................................................................................................... (202) 720-7688

Brent Chittenden – Oats, Rye, Wheat .............................................................................................. (202) 720-8068

Angie Considine – Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum ................................................................... (202) 720-5944

Tony Dahlman – Crop Weather, Barley, Hay .................................................................................. (202) 720-7621

Chris Hawthorn – Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet .............................................................................. (202) 720-9526

Travis Thorson – Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds ................................................................. (202) 720-7369

Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section............................................ (202) 720-2127

Jorge Garcia-Pratts – Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries ............................... (202) 720-2127

Jorge Garcia-Pratts – Floriculture, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts ............................................ (202) 720-2127

Fred Granja – Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco .............................................. (202) 720-4288

LaKeya Jones – Citrus, Coffee, Grapes, Sugar Crops, Tropical Fruits ............................................ (202) 720-5412

Dave Losh – Hops ............................................................................................................................ (360) 709-2400

Dan Norris – Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint,

Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans .................................................. (202) 720-3250

Daphne Schauber – Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes .............................................. (202) 720-4285

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click on “National” or “State” to select the reports you would like to receive.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

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