providing a better housing...
TRANSCRIPT
Providing a Better
Housing ExperienceHousing Leadership Summit • May 11, 2015
Sam Rashkin
CERTAINTY
Certainty = Hard Trends
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Homebuyers Getting Younger
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
78 Million Gen-Y Consumers
• Debt
• Sharing Economy
• Delayed Commitment
• Crash Experience
Gen-Y Challenge
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Gen-Y Opportunity
Willing to Pay More for a Better Experience.
Technology + Design Health
Sustainability Ambiance
Lots
600% 100%
100%?%
Gen-Y Opportunity Personal ObservationYoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
41% of Gen-Z said they would willingly pay a premium for
“healthier” products.
That compares with 32% of Millennials (ages 21 to 34)
and about 21% of Baby Boomers (about 50 to mid-
60s).Nielson Global Health and Wellness
Survey, February 201530,000 people in 60 countries
Gen-Y/Z Opportunity Survey Data
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Gen-Y Opportunity Market DataYoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Information Parity:
Caveat Venditor
Information Asymmetry:
Caveat Emptor
More Informed Buyers
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
More Informed Buyers
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
What We Know Buying a CarYoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Design• Appearance• Size• Function• Details
Durability• Repair Record• Recalls• Reputation
Performance• Efficiency (MPG)• Acceleration• Handling• Safety/Crash Tests
Value• Awards• Special Recognition• Expert Reviews• Owner Reviews
Cost• Invoice Price• ‘Great/Good/Fair’• Resale Value• Maintenance Cost
Sales• Brand Reputation• Sales Process• After-Sale Service• Warranty
What We Will Know Buying a Home*YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Design• Appearance• Size• Function• Details
Durability• Repair Record• Moisture Risk• Disaster
Resistance• Reputation
Performance• Efficiency (HERS)• Comfort• Health• Water Use
Value• Awards• Special Recognition• Expert Reviews• Owner Reviews
Cost• Sticker Price• Ownership Cost• Resale Value• Maintenance Cost
Sales• Brand Reputation• Sales Process• After-Sale Service• Warranty
* In addition to location
Our World is Changing FasterYoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Our World is Changing Faster
“Accelerating rate of change is as certainas the sun rising in the east…
It’s going to sweep across our landscape like the technological tsunami it is….
It will disrupt catastrophically every aspect of every industry…
—except for those who see it coming.”
Daniel Burrus, “Flash Foresight”
Accelerating Change
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
• Kodak
• Polaroid
• Motorola
• Palm
• A&P Food Market & long list of other retailers
• American Car Manufacturers
• TWA and other Legacy Airlines
• Converse Sneakers
• and the list goes on…
Innovation Graveyard
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Despite the importance of the housing industry to the national economy,
there is very little investment in residential technologies…
it can take 10 to 25 years for a new housing technology to achieve full market penetration.
Source: ‘The Diffusion of Innovation in the Residential Building Industry,’ Center for Housing Research Virginia Tech and NAHB Research Center. Jan. 2004
Housing Innovation…Not So Much
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Liquid Networks Silos
Adapt Exist. Parts/ Nourish New Ideas
Stick withWhat’s Worked
Happy Accidents Widely Dispersed
Make Errors/ Adapt What Learn
Fear ofMistakes
New Platforms Fear of Change
Housing Innovation…Why Not So Much
YoungerBuyers
IncreasingInformation
IncreasingInnovation
Housing Innovation Opportunity
Community Quality SalesDesign Performance
Provide Better Experiences
For More Informed Buyers and
Innovation Junkies
Module 1 Module 2 Module 3 Module 4 Module 5
MODULE 1:
COMMUNITY INNOVATION
OPPORTUNITIES
Module 1 - Sustainable Land Development
What is a Sustainable Community
Walking Spaces
Activity Spaces
Social Spaces
Optimized Natural Comfort
Quality Landscaping
Quality Hardscaping
Ensure Maintained Properties
Architectural Integration
CommunitySpaces
EnduringValue
QualityFeatures
Urban Preference Hard Trend?Community
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Sustainable Development?Community
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Sustainable Development?Community
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
CommunitySpaces
QualityFeatures
EnduringValue
Savannah, GA
Savannah, GACommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Savannah, GACommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Community GardensCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Community Dog Parks with WaterCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Tech/Coffee CentersCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Community Shared Equipment ShedsCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Quality LandscapingCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Quality LandscapingCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Quality HardscapingCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Quality HardscapingCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
N
S
EW
Natural Comfort IntegratedCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Village Homes:Davis, CA
1. Glare-Free Views
2. Free Heating and Cooling (~25%)
3. Superior Radiant Comfort
4. Natural Lighting
5. Natural Cooling Breezes
Natural Comfort Consumer ExperienceCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
$0*
*Possibly small additional design/planning resources
Natural Comfort Builder/Developer CostCommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Village Homes in Davis, CACommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Village Homes in Davis, CACommunity
SpacesQuality
FeaturesEnduring
Value
Module 1 - Sustainable Community
Innovation Recommendations
Choose your preferred development style, but always:
• Create Community Spaces: Provide open space for gathering, activity, and walking
• Employ Quality Features:Optimize street layout for south orientation
Invest in landscaping, hardscaping with experts to do it right
• Ensure Enduring Value: Lock in integrated design; developers use plan books
Protect future value with HOA covenants
MODULE 2:
DESIGNINNOVATION
OPPORTUNITIES
[4 factors]
[5 features]
[10 principles]
[3 elements]
[10 systems]
Fit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegratedSystems
Architectural Integrity
Module 2 – Good Housing Design
What is Good Housing Design
Regionally Inappropriate MaterialsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Brute-Force Comfort HomeFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Regionally Appropriate/Natural ComfortFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Regionally Appropriate MaterialsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Natural Comfort HomeFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Linkage to OutdoorsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Color, Trim, Built-in FurnitureFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Color, TrimFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
High-Quality LightingFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
High-Quality LightingFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
High-Quality Trim, HardwareFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Built-in FurnitureFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Architectural IntegrityFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Portofino, Italy
Complex Architecture, Layout, MaterialsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Complex RoofsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Facade ArchitectureFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated DesignFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Think of it like Chipotle
Integrated Design: Simple MenuFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: Great Core IngredientsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: Great ToppingsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: Lots of CustomizationFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: OutcomeFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
• Less Waste
• Better Use of Assets
• Superior, Less Frustrating Sales Process
• Greater Customer Product Satisfaction
• Less Marketing Costs
Integrated Design: Simple MenuFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: Great Core IngredientsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: Great ToppingsFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: Lots of CustomizationFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Integrated Design: Sales SolutionFit toSite
NaturalComfort
Right SizeRight Way
IntegrityIntegrated
Systems
Module 2 – Good Housing Design: Design Trumps Everything
Innovation Recommendations
• Invest in Experts[interior design, color, lighting, technology]
• Design for Site and Region
• Optimize Natural Comfort
• Right-size, Than Invest Savings in Quality[built-in’s, trim, hardware, finishes, colors, lighting design, indoor/linkages]
• Be Better than Complexities and Fads
• Integrate Designs with all Major Systems
MODULE 3:
PERFORMANCEINNOVATION
OPPORTUNITIES
ComprehensiveBuilding Science
EfficientComponents
ComprehensiveIAQ
DisasterResistance
WaterConservation
[4 Strategies]
[4 Key Components]
[3 Strategies]
[3 Strategies]
[3 Strategies]
Module 3 – High-Performance Homes
What is High-Performance
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
1986 1994 1998 2004 2009 2012 2015
Bldg.
Sci.
Tipping
Point2006
2009
2012
15%30%
2015
Code
Energy
Eff.
Rigor Bldg. Sci. Imperativ
e
Welcome to Energy Efficiency Risk Zone
BuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficiency
DisasterResist.
1986 1994 1998 20042009 2012 2015
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
• Adv. Insulation System– More Insulation
– Quality Installation
– Complete System
• Advanced Windows
• More Air Tightness
• More Rigorous Codes
• Lower HERS Scores
• Voluntary Programs
Energy Efficiency Risk DriverBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficiency
DisasterResist.
Comprehensive Building ScienceBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficiency
DisasterResist.
• Colder Walls
• More Wetting Potential
• Less Drying Potential
• Adv. Insulation System– More Insulation
– Quality Installation
– Complete System
• Advanced Windows
• More Air Tightness
Water Protection System:• Roofs
• Walls/Openings
• Site/Foundation
• Materials
• Vapor Control Layer
• Colder Walls
• More Wetting Potential
• Less Drying Potential
Comprehensive Building ScienceBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficiency
DisasterResist.
• Ultra-Low HVAC Loads– Lower Air Flow/Mixing
– Longer Swing Seasons
– Less Humidity Control
• Adv. Insulation System– More Insulation
– Quality Installation
– Complete System
• High-Perf. Windows
• More Air Tightness
Comprehensive Building ScienceBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficiency
DisasterResist.
Optimized Low-Load Comfort System
– Efficient Equipment– Right-Sized/Variable Speed– Properly Installed – Complete (Heating, Cooling, &
RH)– Tested
Comprehensive Building ScienceBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficiency
DisasterResist.
• Ultra-Low HVAC Loads– Lower Air Flow
– Longer Swing Seasons
– Less Humidity Control
Efficient ComponentsBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
• Solar Ready Home
• Efficient Components
• Components and MEL’s = >50% Energy Use
• Ultra-Low Space Conditioning Loads
Indoor Air QualityBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficiency
DisasterResist.
• Less Dilution
• Less Filtration
• Adv. Insulation System– More Insulation
– Quality Installation
– Complete System
• Advanced Windows
• More Air Tightness
• Complete IAQ System:– Contaminant Control– Fresh Air System– High-Capture
Filtration
Indoor Air QualityBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
• Less Dilution
• Less Filtration
Indoor vs. Outdoor Air Pollutants:
On average 2-5 times greater
Up to 100 times greaterWhile Americans Spend
90% of time indoors
Source: EPA
Indoor Air QualityBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
“If your child doesn’t use an inhaler,consider yourself a lucky parent because,
1 in 10 children in the U.S. suffers from asthma.”
Source: Remarks for Administrator McCarthy, Announcement of Clean Power Plan,
Washington, DC, June 2, 2014
Indoor Air QualityBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
$20 Billion$40 Billion
Willingness to Pay for HealthBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
BuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
Water Efficiency Imperative
BuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
Water Efficiency Imperative
• Indoor Fixtures- Plumbing Fixtures
- Appliances and Other Equipment
• Distribution- Service Pressure
- Metering (for Multi-Family Homes)
- Leak Prevention
- Hot Water Distribution
• Outdoor- Landscape Design
- Irrigation (if installed)
BuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
Water Efficiency System
• WeatherResistance
• Natural EventResistance
• PestResistance
Disaster Resistant SystemBuildingScience
EfficientComps.
CompleteIAQ
WaterEfficient
DisasterResist.
• Floods
• Wildfires
• Earthquakes
• Wind (all regions)
• Hurricanes
• Tornado or Hail
• Severe Winter Weather
• Termites
• Integrated Pest Man.
Module 3 – High-Performance Homes
High-Performance Innovations
• Commit to high-performance from top down
• Hire or Retain a ‘Home Performance’ Expert to oversee all construction decisions
• Invest in all five high-performance components for comprehensive risk management
• Hold trade partners accountable to high-performance standards/training
MODULE 4:
QUALITY INNOVATION
OPPORTUNITIES
QualityAssurance
LeanProduction
ProvenInnovations
[6-Step Process]
[7 Forms of Waste]
[3 Strategies]
Module 4 – Quality Home Construction
What is Quality Construction
Applying Proven Innovations Strategically
3 Strategies:
• Check the Building Science
• Check the Ingredients
• Verify Durability
Quality Assurance
LeanProduction
ProvenInnovations
Building Science Failures
• “Ghost Mark” Complaints with Steel Framing
• Manufactured Stone Veneer Moisture Problems
• EIFS Dry Rot and Mold
• Rot and Mold Without Window Pan Flashing
• HUD Code Vinyl Interior Wall Mold Problems
• SIP Roof Moisture Damage in Juneau, Alaska
• Early Heat Pump Comfort Problems
• California Multi-Family Class-Action Litigation
• Mid-Rise Wood Frame Building Failures
Quality Assurance
LeanProduction
ProvenInnovations
Ingredient Failures
• FEMA Trailer Health Problems
• Urea Formaldehyde Insulation Health Problems
• Chinese Drywall
Quality Assurance
LeanProduction
ProvenInnovations
Durability Failures
• Cracked Foundations with Expansive Soils
• Fire-Retardant Treated (FRT) Sheathing
• Hardboard Siding
• Polybutylene (PB) Plastic Water Pipe Leaks
• Aluminum Electric Wiring
Quality Assurance
LeanProduction
ProvenInnovations
Module 4 – Quality Home Construction
Quality Home Construction Innovations
Invest in:• Comprehensive Construction Documents
• ‘Building Science Manager’ Responsible for:- Comprehensive Building Science- Durability- Ingredients
• Quality Assurance Processes
• Lean Production Practices
• Proven New Technologies/Practicesthat Solve Problems/Reduce Risk/Improve Consumer Experience
MODULE 5:
SALESINNOVATION
OPPORTUNITIES
RightMessage
RightProcess
CustomerService
[5 Rules]
[10 Rules, 5-Step Process]
[3 Components]
Module 5 – Effective Home Sales
What is Effective Homes Sales
Module 5 – Effective Home Sales
Why Homes Sales is Broken
• A strong ‘Brand’ is a terrible thing to waste
• Lack of sales agent skills [asking questions, conveying benefits, using experiences]
• Over-promising, and under-delivering
• Obsession with first-cost vs. value
• Inadequate investment in sales training
• Failure to own customers for life
Module 5 – Effective Home Sales
Effective Sales Opportunities
• Build a ‘Brand’
• Invest in Training Sales Agents
• Create Experiences [over 25 in book]
• Hold Sales Agents Accountable
• Customer Education [seminars, tours, manuals]
• Leverage Your New Sales Force; Your Buyers
• Back-up performance with 30-year Warranty
• Complement Warranty with Service Center
• Recognize Value in the Transaction Process
INNOVATIONSTRATEGY
‘Old’ Business Model
Uninformed Customer:
Minimize First CostNAHB estimates for every $1,000 increase
in sales price, nearly 250,000 households fail to qualify for a mortgage on a typical new home.
‘New’ Business Model
The Informed Customer:
Maximize ExperienceWith proven innovations
homebuyers never knew they wanted,but have to have
once they try them.(e.g., make buying a new home compelling again)
“If I had asked my customers what they wanted,
they would have said a faster horse.”
Quote attributed to Henry Ford on the first car he ever built
vs.
Profit
Old Cell Phone Cost i-Phone Cost
Innovation/Value Premium
Profit
Price Based on ‘Value’, NOT Cost
New RevenueWillingness to Pay for
Added ‘Value’
Innovation Business Model
Right-Sized HomeHard Costs
Healthy Air
Home Performance
Site/Landscaping
Over-Sized HomeHard Costs
Minimum Finish
Design Experts
Customer Service
Healthy Air
Home Performance
Site/Landscaping
Right-Sized HomeHard Costs
Premium Finish
Design Experts
Customer Service
BAU Home Innovation Home
Marketing CostsMarketing Costs
Waste
Waste
Innovation/Value Premium
Profit Profit
Design ExpertsDesign ExpertsHome
Performance
Home PerformanceMinimum Finish
Premium Finish
Healthy Air Healthy Air
Site/LandscapingSite/LandscapingCustomer ServiceCustomer ServiceWaste Waste
Marketing CostsMarketing Costs
Service Center
Over-Sized HomeHard Costs
BAU Home Innovation HomeIncremental CostsCumulative Costs
Applying the Innovation
Business Model to Housing
Same Cost
Higher Profit
New Revenue
The Innovation Home Builder Story
Welcome to the Future of Housing
You can see the beauty of our communities and homes.
Now learn about our innovations.
Innovations that will transform homeownership.
Homes are often the largest purchase of a lifetime…
It’s time to hold them to a higher standard.
Enduring Value
The Innovation Home Builder Story
Better Community ExperienceCommunity Spaces
Gathering Spaces
Activity Spaces
Walking Spaces
Quality Features
Quality Details
Natural Comfort
Expert Landscaping
Special Details
Maintained Properties
Architectural Excellence
A Special Place
Special DetailsExteriors That Work Interiors That Work
The Innovation Home Builder Story
Better Design Experience
Outdoor Spaces No Clutter System
Rich Trim/Color
Lighting Design
Quality vs. Size
How You Live Floor PlanNatural Comfort
Sense of Community Open Layouts
Lasts BetterLives Better Works Better
The Innovation Home Builder Story
Better Performance Experience
Forward-Looking
Minimal Pests/Dust No Moisture Problems Disaster Resistance
Engineered Comfort
Assured Fresh Air SystemChemical-Free Materials Improved Durability
Ultra Low/No Utility Bills
Quality ProcessesQuality Features Quality Technology
Quality Components
Advanced Comfort
Home Automation
The Innovation Home Builder Story
Better Quality Experience
Quality Finishes
Advanced Construction Minimal Defects
Minimal Waste
Quality ControlQuality Equipment
Trust ServiceSee the Difference
The Innovation Home Builder Story
Better Buying Experience
Quality
Technology
Brand ‘X’
Protection
PITI&E&MBetter Home for Less After-Sale Service
Select Builder
LIfetime Warranty
Expert Sales Agents
Verified Performance
Sam Rashkin