public choice theory a case study
DESCRIPTION
Public Choice Theory A Case Study. Strategic Voting Behavior Microeconomics Dr. D. Foster. Public Choice Case Study: 1986 Congressional Race District #1 – State of Hawaii. Mid-summer 1986. Cec Heftel wants to run for Governor ! He is currently the US Representative for District 1. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Public Choice TheoryA Case Study
Strategic Voting BehaviorMicroeconomics
Dr. D. Foster
![Page 2: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Public Choice Case Study: Public Choice Case Study:
1986 Congressional Race1986 Congressional RaceDistrict #1 – State of HawaiiDistrict #1 – State of Hawaii
![Page 3: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Cec Heftel Cec Heftel wants to run for Governor !
He is currently the US Representative for District 1.
Mid-summer 1986
One problem: He must resign to run !
So, he resignsSo, he resigns
![Page 4: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Need #1Need #1: Fill vacancy through Jan. 1987.
Need #2Need #2: Select nominees for general election.
Need #3Need #3: Elect Congressman in November.
Mid-summer 1986
PrimarySeptember
GeneralNovember
Elections
Solution: Combine #1 & #2 in September.Solution: Combine #1 & #2 in September.
![Page 5: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
The PlayersThe Players Mid-summer
1986Primary
SeptemberGeneral
November
Elections
Pat Saiki (R)Pat Saiki (R)
Neil Abercrombie (D)Neil Abercrombie (D)
Mufi Mufi Hanneman (D) Hanneman (D)
![Page 6: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
The RulesThe RulesAnyone can vote in the primary.Anyone can vote in the primary.
Mid-summer 1986
PrimarySeptember
GeneralNovember
Elections
The TwistThe TwistSaiki has no discernable competition.Saiki has no discernable competition.
![Page 7: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
A graphical look at public supportA graphical look at public support
Mid-summer 1986
PrimarySeptember
GeneralNovember
Elections
N.A. M.H. P.S.
![Page 8: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
September Results:September Results:
Pat Saiki wins Pat Saiki wins Republican primary.Republican primary.
Mufi Hanneman wins Mufi Hanneman wins Democratic primaryDemocratic primary
Mid-summer 1986
PrimarySeptember
GeneralNovember
Elections
Neil Abercrombie wins Neil Abercrombie wins Special Election !!!Special Election !!!
![Page 9: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
November Results:November Results:
Mid-summer 1986
PrimarySeptember
GeneralNovember
Elections
Pat Saiki wins Pat Saiki wins election !!!election !!!
![Page 10: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
RepublicansRepublicans voted for voted for MufiMufi in in primary - the “weaker” candidate, primary - the “weaker” candidate, and and he winshe wins!!!!!!
RepublicansRepublicans & & DemocratsDemocrats have an have an incentive to vote for their favorite in incentive to vote for their favorite in the special election; the special election; Neil winsNeil wins!!!!!!
Abercrombie supporters Abercrombie supporters voted for voted for Saiki in general election - Saiki in general election - retribution against Mufi’s campaign.retribution against Mufi’s campaign.
What happened ?What happened ?
![Page 11: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
SaikiSaiki won a second term (1988-1990). won a second term (1988-1990). SaikiSaiki ran for senate in 1990 - lost ran for senate in 1990 - lost
-- was selected to run SBA by Bush I. -- was selected to run SBA by Bush I. AbercromieAbercromie ran again, and won, in 1990. ran again, and won, in 1990.
-- served until 2010. -- served until 2010. HannemanHanneman lost 1990 race for District 2. lost 1990 race for District 2.
-- later served on Honolulu City Council. -- later served on Honolulu City Council. Cec Cec HeftelHeftel lost bid for governorship. lost bid for governorship.
DebriefDebrief
![Page 12: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
AbercromieAbercromie wants to be governor in 2010. wants to be governor in 2010. -- resigns from District 1 seat in 2010! -- resigns from District 1 seat in 2010!
HannemanHanneman becomes Honolulu mayor in 2004. becomes Honolulu mayor in 2004. -- re-elected in 2008. -- re-elected in 2008. -- wants to be governor in 2010! -- wants to be governor in 2010!
AbercromieAbercromie wins primary and general elections. wins primary and general elections. DjouDjou becomes interim Rep. for District 1. becomes interim Rep. for District 1.
-- loses general election. -- loses general election.
Debrief IIDebrief II
![Page 13: Public Choice Theory A Case Study](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062301/5681491d550346895db65468/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Public Choice TheoryA Case Study
Strategic Voting BehaviorMicroeconomics
Dr. D. Foster