public opinion in macedonia - iri2017/09/18  · • data was collected from august 4 to 21, 2017,...

155
Public Opinion in Macedonia August 4 - 21, 2017

Upload: others

Post on 16-Sep-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Public Opinion in Macedonia

August 4 - 21, 2017

Page 2: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Detailed Methodology• The survey was conducted on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research by Brima market research firm

(member of Taylor Nelson Sofres and Gallup International).

• Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals.

• A nationally representative sample size of 1,105 respondents ages 18 and over was surveyed. The margin of error

was plus or minus three percent at the midrange of the 95 percent confidence level. The response rate was 71

percent.

• In addition to the national sample, six oversamples were conducted in the municipalities of Gjorce Petrov (n=213),

Shtip (n=214), Tetovo (n=213), Gostivar (n=214), Kumanovo (n=214) and Ohrid (n=215). The margin of error does

not exceed 6.7 percent in each of the oversampled municipalities. Respondents from the city of Skopje (n=284)

were analyzed as a separate sample, with a margin of error of 5.8 percent.

• Both the national sample and the six oversamples were prepared using State Statistical Office data (2002 census

results) for the population aged 18 and older. It also considered the structure of the population according to age,

gender, housing type, national affiliation and region, and was updated accordingly with estimates and primary

information collected by Brima.

• A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for

respondent selection.

• Stratification was based on three stages:

• Stage One: The number of respondents for each of the regions was specified in proportion to the size of

its population (aged 18 and older).

• Stage Two: The sampling plan consisted of 323 sampling points located according to urban/rural split,

municipality size and nationality diffusion.

• Stage Three: The selection of households was based on a random route method. In urban areas, every

third household on the left-hand side of the street was selected. In rural areas, the “wave-wise” approach

was applied, in which the interviewer selects every fourth inhabited house/dwelling on both sides of the

interviewer’s route/track, counting from the first house on the left.

Page 3: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

• The “next birthday method” was used to select respondents.

• Figures in charts and tables may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• Any data cited from previous surveys comes from surveys with comparable methodology.

• This poll was conducted with support from the United States Agency for International Development.

3

Detailed Methodology cont.

Page 4: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

• VMRO-DPMNE: Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization –Democratic Party for Macedonian National Unity

• SDSM: Social Democratic Union of Macedonia

• DUI: Democratic Union for Integration

• BESA: Movement BESA

• AA: Alliance of Albanians, coalition MR-DPA, NDR and Uniteti

• MR-DPA: Movement for Reforms of Democratic Party of Albanians

• NDR: National Democratic Revival

• DPA: Democratic Party of Albanians

• GROM: Citizens Option for Macedonia

• DOM: Democratic Renewal of Macedonia

• LDP: Liberal Democratic Party

• TDP: Turk Democratic Party

4

Glossary of Political Parties

Page 5: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Local Government and Local Governance

Page 6: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

6

23%

24%

37%

40%

35%

33%

5%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2017

August 2017

Right direction Wrong direction

Neutral – neither right nor wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer

Overall, are things in your municipality moving in the right or wrong direction?

Page 7: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

9%

11%

12%

12%

12%

15%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

5%

3%

9%

4%

4%

7%

6%

15%

6%

14%

7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Don't know

Other

Sport and recreation

Responsiveness/Efficiency of local government

Street lighting

Safety/Crime

Kindergartens/Elderly care/Social care

Education and schools

Pollution/The environment

Local government corruption

Public transport

Public hygiene/Garbage collection

Healthcare

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Urban planning and development

Unemployment/Local economy

Water supply and sewage service

First mention

Second mention

8%

6%

8%

5%

6%

3%

5%

In your opinion, what are the most serious problems facing your municipality today?

7

22%

26%

18%

27%

17%

16%

8%

13%

5%

5%

Page 8: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

8

How well-informed are you about the work of each of the following:

14%

21%

42%

46%

33%

27%

9%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

I am well-informed I am somewhatinformed

I am not informedat all

I am not interestedin this type of information

Page 9: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

9

59%

61%

23%

25%

18%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2017

August 2017

National government Local government Don't know/Refused to answer

Which has more of an impact on your quality of life?

Page 10: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

10

30%

24%26%

13%

7%

35%33%

18%

11%

4%

Nationalgovernment

Localgovernment

Both Neither Don't know/Refused to

answer

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

March 2017 August 2017

Page 11: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

How satisfied or unsatisfied are you with the past performance of each of the following:

11

7%

7%

0

12%

13%

32%

28%

0

32%

25%

21%

21%

0

19%

19%

26%

32%

0

32%

39%

14%

12%

0

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Mar-17

Aug-17

Mar-17

Aug-17

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied

Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied

Don't know/Refused to answer

Your mayor

Your

municipal

council

Page 12: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

12

Would you agree or disagree that the local government in your municipality needs to change?

69%

24%

7%Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 13: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

13

Does the mayor in your municipality do her/his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections or

do you think that a new mayor should be elected?

23%

15%

29%

25%

8%

Yes, she/he does her/his job wellenough and deserves to be re-elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, another candidate from the same party should be elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, another candidate from a different party should be elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, an independent candidate should be elected

Don’t know/Refused to answer

Page 14: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

14

43%

52%

48%

42%

9%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2017

August 2017

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer

Would you vote for a candidate from another ethnic community for mayor (e.g. Albanian, Macedonian, Serb, Roma, Turk, Vlach) if you

thought she/he would better represent you?

Page 15: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Views of Government and National Priorities

Page 16: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

In your opinion, what are the two most serious problems facing Macedonia today?

(Open-ended)

9%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

6%

7%

10%

16%

34%

3%

15%

3%

2%

4%

3%

1%

4%

1%

1%

2%

11%

7%

9%

16%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Don't know

Other

Law and order, rule of law

Agriculture, low prices of agricultural products

High prices

Crime

Endangering the national unity by adopting the language law

Corruption

Poor performance of the current government

Name issue*

Emigration/ of the youth

Low or non-payment of salary or pension

General political situation

Economic crisis

Poverty, low standard of living, problems of common people

Unemployment

First mention

Second mention

19%

14%

3%

3%

6%

5%

4%

24%

3%

16*There is an ongoing diplomatic dispute between Macedonia and Greece over the official name

of Macedonia.

51%

32%

17%

5%

3%

6%

3%

Page 17: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

3%

7%

1%

1%

2%

3%

3%

3%

5%

7%

7%

12%

17%

29%

5%

8%

4%

3%

3%

2%

1%

6%

4%

8%

10%

12%

15%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Don’t know

Other

Stopping emigration

Education

Health Care

Albanian rights/Language law

Preserving the country's national identity/Agreement with Bulgaria/Language law

Integration in EU and NATO

Ending the political crisis

Curbing corruption/Rule of law/Urgent reform priorities

Decreasing poverty

Higher wages and pensions/Lower prices and taxes

Growing the economy

Creating new jobs

First priority

Second priority

17%

9%

4%

5%

5%

5%

15%

8%

In your opinion, what should the top two priorities of the new government be in the next two months?

(Open-ended)

17

47%

32%

24%

15%

9%

4%

Page 18: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

18

Which of the following are the two most important priorities for improving the status of ethnic Albanians in Macedonia?*

(Respondent sample: Ethnic Albanians; Aug 2017: n=276; March 2017: n=280; margin of error 5.9%)

*Aggregated two responses.

2%

14%

19%

12%

28%

28%

34%

33%

2%

13%

15%

16%

24%

33%

36%

38%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Don't know

Non-partisan judiciary which treats all ethnicitiesequally and fights corruption

Proportional representation for ethnic Albanianemployees in state and public institutions

Efficient institutions with equal treatment of ethnicAlbanians without ethnic and partisan influence

Wider official use of the Albanian language

Creating jobs/Increasing employment of ethnic Albanians

Increasing the standard of living/Decreasing poverty ofethnic Albanians

Integration with EU and NATO

August 2017

March 2017

Page 19: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Which three ministers in the Government of Macedonia make the best impression on you and are doing the best job they can?

(Multiple responses)

14%

32%

4%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

5%

9%

15%

8%

7%

2%

3%

2%

6%

2%

4%

2%

5%

3%

7%

4%

6%

10%

2%

3%

1%

4%

1%

2%

3%

4%

4%

6%

1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know/Refused to answer

None

Other

Mila Carovska (Minister of Labor and Social Policy)

Renata Treneska Deskoska (Minister of Education)

Dragan Tevdovski (Minsiter of Finance)

Radmila Sekerinska (Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense)

Hazbi Lika (Deputy Prime Minister for Implementation of the Ohrid Framework Agreement

Bujar Osmani (Deputy Prime Ministerfor European Affairs)

Koco Angushev (Deputy Prime Minister of Economy)

Oliver Spasovski (Deputy Prime Ministerand Minister of Internal Affairs)

Nikola Dimitrov (Minister of Foreign Affairs)

Arban Taravari (Minister of Health)

Zoran Zaev (Prime Minister)

First mention

Second mention

Third mention

19

20%

22%

12%

13%

8%

9%

12%

6%

5%

8%

6%

21%

32%

28%

Page 20: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Which three ministers in the Government of Macedonia leave the worst impression on you and are not doing their job as they should?

(Multiple responses)

27%

32%

10%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

5%

10%

5%

14%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

3%

7%

2%

5%

15%

1%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

2%

2%

4%

3%

0%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Don't know/Refused to answer

None

Other

Nikola Dimitrov (Minister of Foreign Affairs)

Edmond Ademi (Minister of Diaspora)

Ramiz Merko (Minister of Foreign Investments)

Hazbi Lika (Deputy Prime Minister for Implementation of the Ohrid Framework Agreement)

Koco Angushev (Deputy Prime Minister of Economy)

Arban Taravari (Minister of Health)

Sadula Duraku (Minister of Environment)

Bujar Osmani (Deputy Prime Ministerfor European Affairs)

Oliver Spasovski (Deputy Prime Ministerand Minister of Internal Affairs)

Radmila Sekerinska (Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense)

Zoran Zaev (Prime Minister)

First mention

Second mention

Third mention

20

12%

15%

10%

6%

5%

6%

3%

3%

4%

3%

4%

39%

32%

37%

Page 21: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Using the scale used in Macedonian schools, where one is unsatisfactory and five is excellent, what grade would you

give for the... ?

2.67

2.59

2.76

2.68

2.51

2.76

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

Policies of thegovernment so far

Ability of thegovernment to

communicate itspolicies to you as an

individual

Ability of thegovernment to

communicate itspolicies to thegeneral public August 2017

December 2014

21*Answers from December 2014 refer to the Government led by Nikola Gruevski, VMRO-DPMNE.

Page 22: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Based on its actions and behavior, do you consider the Government of Zoran Zaev to be transparent or non-

transparent?

43%

47%

10%

46%

35%

19%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Transparent Non-transparent Don't know/Refused to answer

December 2014 August 2017

22*Answers from December 2014 refer to the Government led by Nikola Gruevski, VMRO-DPMNE.

Page 23: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Overall, is Macedonia moving in the right or wrong direction?

23

38%34%

32%

25%24%

26%

29%31%

23%

19%22%

27%

31%

39%

36%

29%

23%24%

28%

20%

26%

14%

27%

28%31%

33%

36% 38%

40%

29% 32%

45% 43%

48%

44%41%

33%

39% 39%

48% 48%46%

58%

48%

56%

40%

32% 33% 33%

38%

36%

32%

40%

35%31%

36%

30%

27%

26% 27%24%

31%

28%26%

24%

21%

24%

28%

31%

2% 3% 2% 1%3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%

2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Right direction Wrong direction Neutral Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 24: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

In the next two years, will the economy in Macedonia get better, get worse, or stay the same?

24

33%

29%

31% 30%31%

34%

29%

23%

28%25%25% 26%

21%23%

19% 20%

26%

21%

24%

21%

33%

29%

30%

29%30%

37%

30%32%

36%

34% 34%

40%40%

44% 43% 43%

33%

32%

36%

33%35%

31%

37%35% 35%

28%30%

35%37%

33%35% 29% 29% 29% 29%

33%

32%

35%

27% 31%

23%

7%

4% 5% 5%4% 5%

4% 4% 4%6%

5%6% 7%

5%

9% 9%10% 11%

13%15%

9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Better Same Worse Don't know/Refused to answer

43%

Page 25: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

18%

28%

25%

9%

12%

9%

18%

26%

32%

7%

11%

6%

13%

31%

29%

4%

17%

6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Increaseda lot

Increasedsome

Decreasedsome

Decreaseda lot

The same Don't know/Refused to

answer

November 2016 March 2017 August 2017

25

In your opinion, has unemployment increased or decreased over the last year?

Page 26: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Is there any member of your household who has emigrated to live and/or work abroad?

26

9%

10%

14%

66%

1%Yes, in the last year

Yes, in the last three years

Yes, over three years ago

No

Refused to answer

Page 27: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

How is your family’s economic situation compared to one year ago?

27

2% 2% 3%1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4%

2% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3%1% 2%

14%

10%12%

15%

11% 11%10%

12%

11%

12%

13% 12%13%

11% 12%

15%

13%12%

10%

14%

42%44%

43% 44%

45%43% 43% 44%

43%

51%53%

54%54%

51%52%

45%

50%51%

54%

61%

25%<1% <1% 26% 26% 26% <1% 26% 26%

20% <1%20%

22% 22%

18%

23%

21% 20%23%

16%17%18%

17%

15%

16%

19% 19%

16%18%

14%

10% 10% 10%

13% 15%

12%

14% 13%11%

6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse

Page 28: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Speaking personally, is your overall quality of life…?

28

15%

13%

16%16%

14%17%

13%15%

13%17%

15%13% 12%

11%14%

18%

13% 13%

9%

15%

50%

49% 48%50%

48%45%

47% 47% 48%51%

53%

47%

53% 52%50%

45%44%

50%52%

60%

35%37%

36%33%

37% 38%40%

37%39%

31% 32%

38%34%

37% 36% 37%42%

37% 38%

24%

0% 1% <1% 1% 0% 0% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 0% 0% 1% <1% 1% <1% 0% 0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Getting better Staying the same Getting worse Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 29: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Political Stability and Rule of Law

Page 30: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

How would you describe the current internal political situation in Macedonia?

30

23%

44%

53%54%

51%

56%

44%

28%

48%

42%

40% 39%

44%

39%42%

15%

29%

19%

5%

21%

5%

44%

61%

43%36% 36%

38%35%

43%

55%

41% 43%

45% 45%

41%

46%43%

61%

51%

59%

55%

57%

62%

44%

13%

10%8%

7% 7% 6%10%

15%

9%13% 13% 12%

9%12%

12%

23%

16% 19%

38%

17%

32%

10%

3% 3% 4% 3% 4%

3%

3% 2% 2% 3% 3%4%

6%

4% 4% 2%4%

3% 2%5%

2% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Peaceful and stable Intense and uncertainCritical and unstable Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 31: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Is the Republic of Macedonia more or less stable today than it was one year ago?

31

26%

33%30%

24%21% 22%

27%25%

14%

19%

18%21%

23%22%

18%

16%5%

18%15%

5%13%

4%

28%

25%

17%23%24%

17% 19% 18%20%

43% 26%29%

28%33%

27%31%

31%

58%

42% 47%

67%

40%

70%

25%

46% 47% 46%51%

60%58%

54% 54%

42%

54%53%

50%

43%45%

47%51%

35%

38%35%

25%

44%

25%

45%

2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%5% 4% 2%

2%3% 3% 3%

2% 2%2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

More Less Same Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 32: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

The rule of law in a democracy can be understood as “a state where all people and institutions are accountable to the law and the Constitution,

and the Constitution and the law are equally applied to all.”

How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement:

“The rule of law exists in Macedonia.”

32

17%

12%

18%

30%

26%

23%

20%

21%

19%

28%

36%

36%

6%

6%

4%

November 2016

March 2017

August 2017

Completely agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Don't know

Page 33: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

33

31%

27%

12%

20%

10%

36%

25%

11%

20%

8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Veryimportant

Somewhat important

Somewhatunimportant

Not importantat all

Don't know

March 2017 August 2017

In your opinion, how important is the work of the Special Public Prosecutor in ensuring the rule of law in

Macedonia?

Page 34: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Do you think your phone conversations are…?

34

52%

50%

46%

31%

35%

39%

18%

15%

15%

June 2015

October2015

August 2017

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Not private and safe? That is, there is a possibility that your conversations are being listened to and/orrecorded by a third party.

Private and safe? That is, you and the other person in the conversation are the only ones aware of theconversation.

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 35: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Elections and Electoral Conditions

Page 36: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Do you think conditions are in place in the country to hold free and fair elections?

29%

24%

37%

33%

33%

37%

17%

19%

13%

12%

14%

9%

9%

10%

4%

November 2016

March 2017

August 2017

Definitely yes Probably yes Probably no Definitely no Don't know

36

Page 37: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

37

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?

3%

6%

2%

5%

21%

63%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Don't know/Refused to answer

Would not vote

Very unlikely

Somewhat unlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 38: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

38

If local elections were held today, for which party’s candidate would you vote to be mayor of your municipality?*

20%

8%

1%

2%

6%

7%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

4%

5%

7%

18%

19%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

None/Will destroy my ballot

I will vote for a person, not a party

I would not vote

Independent candidate

Other

LDP

TDP

GROM

DPA

BESA

AA

DUI

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 39: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

39

If local elections were held today, which party would you vote for municipal council?*

25%

9%

2%

6%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

4%

5%

8%

17%

19%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Don't know/Undecided

No answer/Refused to answer

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

Other

I will vote for a person, not a party

TDP

GROM

DPA

BESA

АА

DUI

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 40: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

If parliamentary elections were held today, how likely is it that you would vote?

40

62%

22%

4% 4% 4% 5%

59%

18%

7%3%

6% 7%

61%

22%

4% 2%

8%

2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhatunlikely

Very unlikely Would not vote Don't know/Refused to

answer

November 2016 March 2017 August 2017

Page 41: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

If parliamentary elections were held today, how likely is it that you would vote?

(Disaggregated by age)

41

51%

60%

73%

29%

22%

14%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

1%

11%

7%

5%

3%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-34 Years old

35-54 Years old

55+ Years old

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely

Very unlikely Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 42: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Which party would you vote for if parliamentary elections were held today?*

42

11%

22%

6%

5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

4%

5%

7%

17%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Refused to answer

Don't know/Undecided

Would not vote

None/Will destroy my ballot

Other

LDP

TDP

DPA

BESA

AA

DUI

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 43: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Political Parties

Page 44: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Which political party do you belong to or would consider joining?*

44

12% 11%

7%

5% 4%

1% 2%

10%

41%

7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM DUI AА BESA DPA Other Undecided Would notjoin

Refused toanswer

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 45: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Which party, in your opinion, is most active in your village/town/city?

45

16%

12%

4%

3%

1%

2%

4%

8%

11%

40%

16%

10%

3%

2%

1%

2%

6%

9%

11%

40%

13%

14%

3%

1%

1%

4%

4%

8%

17%

35%

Don't know/Refused to answer

None

Other

DPA

GROM

BESA

DUI

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

August 2017

March 2017

November 2016

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

*

*The March 2017 result refers only to MR-DPA one of the members of the Alliance of Albanians.

Page 46: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

In your opinion, which party works hardest for your support?

46

24%

13%

4%

3%

5%

2%

7%

14%

29%

25%

13%

3%

2%

6%

2%

7%

13%

29%

29%

10%

2%

1%

1%

4%

5%

8%

20%

22%

None

Don't know/Refused to answer

Other

DPA

GROM

BESA

DUI

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

August 2017

March 2017

November 2016

*The March 2017 result refers only to MR-DPA one of the members of the Alliance of Albanians.

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

*

Page 47: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

47

26%

17%

8%14% 8% 7% 11%

22% 21%23%

25%

15%

8% 2%3% 6%

8%

10%

21%

28%

-15%-12% -13%

-20% -18%-14%

-11%-15%

-11% -10%

-25%

-50%

-65%

-44%

-62%

-58% -61%

-45%-43%

-30%

11%

-30%

-62%

-48%

-69%

-59%-53%

-28%

-12%

11%

Zoran Zaev, Prime

Minister

NikolaGruevski,leader of

VMRO-DPMNE

AliAhmeti,

leader of DUI

LiljanaPopovska,

leader ofDOM

MenduhThaci,

leader of DPA

BilallKasami,

leader ofBESA

Ziadin Sela,

leader ofAlliance ofAlbanians

Talat Xaferi, President of

theParliament

GjorgeIvanov,

President

KaticaJaneva, Special

Prosecutor

■ Very unfavorable

■ Somewhat unfavorable

■ Very favorable

■ Somewhat favorable

I will read you a list of political leaders in Macedonia. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat

unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of that party.

Page 48: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

48

19%25%

9% 8%15%

8%12%

14%

22%

6% 2%

2%5%

8%

-11%-16% -15%

-18% -17%-14% -13%

-49%

-29%

-61%-62%

-44%

-61%-56%

-27%

2%

-61%

-70%

-43%

-62%

-49%

VMRO-DPMNE SDSM DUI DPA DOM BESA AА

■ Very unfavorable

■ Somewhat unfavorable

■ Very favorable

■ Somewhat favorable

I will read you a list of political parties in Macedonia. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat

unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of that party.

Page 49: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

49

33%37% 23%

17%8%

11%

-18%-24%

-21%

-23%-22%

-36%

9%

-1%

-23%

The Government The Parliament The opposition

■ Very unfavorable

■ Somewhat unfavorable

■ Very favorable

■ Somewhat favorable

I will read you a list of institutions in Macedonia. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or

very unfavorable opinion of that institution.

Page 50: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

50

When you think about people in political life, who is the one person in Macedonia who you view most favorably?

37%

1%

3%

0%

4%

2%

3%

6%

19%

9%

32%

1%

1%

1%

5%

3%

9%

5%

16%

10%

31%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

11%

16%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

None

Branko Crvenkovski

Menduh Thaci

Nikola Popovski

Arben Taravari

Bilall Kasami

Ziadin Sela

Gjorge Ivanov

Ali Ahmeti

Nikola Gruevski

Zoran Zaev

August 2017

March 2017

November 2016

(Open-ended)

Page 51: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Support for Euro-Atlantic Integration

Page 52: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of the EU?

52

96%94% 93% 92% 95% 93% 96% 94% 92% 90%87%

84%

76%72% 72%

76%80%

72% 72% 71%76%

72%77%

3% 4% 5% 7%4% 6% 4% 6% 7% 9% 9%

12%

19% 20%23%

20%

14%

22% 22% 23%19%

21% 20%

1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%4% 4% 6%

8%5% 4%

6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 53: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Do you think Macedonia is closer to EU entry today, or was it closer when it first received its EU

candidate member status?

53

32%

39%

32%28%

21%25% 24%

18%24%

13%

41%45%

34%

43% 44%

51% 50% 50%

56%

47%

59%

35%

23%27%

25%28%

28%26% 26% 26%

29%

28%24%

Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Nov-16 Mar-17 Aug-17

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Closer today

When first received its EU candidate status

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 54: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

What is most important for Macedonia's accession into the EU?

54

5%

13%

16%

24%

42%

Don't know/Refused to answer

All of the above

Implementation of domesticreforms requested by the EU

Political will by the EU toaccept Macedonia in the EU

Resolution of the name issue

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Page 55: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of NATO?

55

92%90% 90% 89%

94% 92% 94%91% 89% 89% 91%

87% 85%

78% 77%83% 83%

74%76%

73%77%

71%75%

5%8% 8% 9%

6% 7% 5%8% 10% 10%

6%9% 11%

16% 15% 13% 12%

19% 18% 20% 18%21% 21%

3%2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 7%4% 5% 7% 7%

8% 5%8%

4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 56: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

56

27%

20%

25%

30%

26%

27%

35%

31%

40%

40%

32%

46%

41%

33%

47%

49%

42%

55%

25%

30%

27%

23%

26%

23%

30%

34%

33%

31%

35%

31%

27%

31%

25%

27%

31%

25%

13%

15%

15%

13%

14%

14%

12%

14%

11%

11%

13%

9%

11%

12%

10%

7%

9%

6%

23%

19%

24%

24%

23%

29%

12%

9%

9%

7%

9%

8%

13%

14%

13%

9%

10%

10%

12%

16%

9%

10%

11%

7%

11%

12%

7%

10%

12%

6%

9%

10%

5%

8%

8%

4%

Nov-16Mar-17Aug-17

Nov-16Mar-17Aug-17

Nov-16Mar-17Aug-17

Nov-16Mar-17Aug-17

Nov-16Mar-17Aug-17

Nov-16Mar-17Aug-17

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know

European

Union

America

Turkey

Germany

China

Russia

How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements: “Macedonia’s interests are best served by maintaining strong relations

with…”

Page 57: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

57

11%

5%

19%

3%

5%

6%

16%

19%

15%

10%

4%

17%

3%

6%

11%

15%

17%

17%

6%

5%

18%

1%

6%

6%

18%

18%

22%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Don't know

All of them

None of them

China

Germany

Russia

Turkey

European Union

United States of America

August 2017

March 2017

November 2016

Which one of these countries helps Macedonia’s national interests the most?

Page 58: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Sources of Political News

Page 59: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

What is your primary source of political news?(Multiple answers)

59

86%

5%

12%

32%

9%

32%

89%

3%8%

27%

7%

35%

85%

4% 6%

27%

4%

39%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Television Radio Print media Family/Friends

Political parties Internet/Websites

November 2016 March 2017 August 2017

Page 60: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Which television station do you watch most often for political news?

(Open ended; Multiple answers)

60

9%

3%

1%

1%

1%

9%

16%

13%

12%

11%

20%

1%

2%

2%

5%

3%

5%

9%

11%

17%

13%

0

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

6%

9%

5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Do not watch TV

MTV (Albanian language)

Alfa

TV Shenja

TV21

MTV (Macedonian language)

Alsat M

24 Vesti

Telma

Kanal 5

Sitel

First mention Second mention Third mention

Page 61: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

61

24%

19%

21%

35%

I followed all of it

I followed most of it

I followed some of it

I didn't follow any of it

How much did you follow political news yesterday?

Page 62: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Where did you follow political news yesterday?(Open ended; Multiple answers)

62

89%

6%

26%

6%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Television Print media Family/Friends

Multiple sources(TV, internet,

newspapers, friends)

Internet/Websites

Page 63: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Attitudes towardsDemocracy, Women, and Youth

Page 64: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

64

15%10% 10% 6%

11%16% 17%

25%

85%90% 90% 94%

89%84% 83%

75%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Sep-11 Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Oct-16 Nov-16 Mar-17 Aug-17

Yes No

*Responses before 2014 are taken from previous surveys not conducted by IRI.

Have you engaged in activities to address a social or community

problem in the last 12 months (e.g. participated in a protest, filed

a complaint, initiated or supported an online petition)?

Page 65: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a

prosperous economy?

65

28%

33%

32%

33%

29%

40%

13%

14%

15%

18%

18%

17%

20%

21%

18%

20%

17%

18%

32%

27%

27%

24%

30%

22%

7%

6%

7%

3%

6%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

January 2016

April 2016

November 2016

March 2017

August 2017

Democracy is definitely more important to me Democracy is somewhat more important to me

Prosperity is somewhat more important to me Prosperity is definitely more important to me

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 66: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement?“Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of

young people.”

66

66%

28%

6%

65%

26%

8%

71%

23%

6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Agree Disagree Don't know/Refused to answer

November 2016 March 2017 August 2017

Page 67: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of

women.”

67

51%

40%

9%

47%

41%

12%

61%

31%

8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Agree Disagree Don't know/Refused to answer

November 2016 March 2017 August 2017

Page 68: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one

is a man and one is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?

68

11%14%

73%

12%15%

72%

10%

18%

71%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Man Woman Makes no difference to me

November 2016 March 2017 August 2017

Page 69: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

City of Skopje

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284)

Page 70: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

3%

5%

1%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

6%

7%

8%

8%

9%

10%

12%

15%

10%

4%

2%

4%

5%

3%

7%

4%

2%

6%

5%

8%

12%

13%

12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Don't know

Other

Kindergartens/Elderly care/Social care

Street lighting

Local government corruption

Safety/Crime

Public transport

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Skopje 2014

Water supply and sewage service

Public hygiene/Garbage collection

Healthcare

Unemployment/Local economy

Pollution/The environment

Unequal development of the city

Urban planning and development

First mention

Second mention

13%

14%

9%

10%

11%

7%

8%

7%

4%

5%

15%

3%

What are the two most serious problems facing Skopje today?

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

70

27%

25%

22%

17%

Page 71: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

How well-informed are you about the work of Skopje Mayor Koce Trajanovski?

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

71

22%

47%

23%

7%

1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

I am well-informed I am somewhat informed

I am not informed at all I am not interested in this type of information

Don't know

Page 72: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

How well-informed are you about the work of the city council of Skopje?

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

72

15%

36%38%

9%

2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

I am well-informed I am somehat informed

I am not informed at all I am not interested in this type of information

Don't know

Page 73: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

73

60%

28%

12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

National government Local government Don't know/Refused to answer

Which has more of an impact on your quality of life?(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

Page 74: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

74

42%

31%

16%

8%

3%

National government

Local government

Both

Neither

Don't know

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

Page 75: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

75

Would you agree or disagree that there is a need for the local government in Skopje to change?

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

68%

26%

6%Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 76: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

76

Does the Mayor of Skopje, Koce Trajanovski, do his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections, or do you think that a new mayor of Skopje should be elected?

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

34%

8%28%

16%

14%

Yes, he does his job well enough anddeserves to be re-elected

No, he doesn’t do his job well enough, another candidate from the same party should be elected

No, he doesn’t do his job well enough, another candidate from a different party should be elected

No, he doesn’t do his job well enough, an independent candidate should be elected

Don’t know/Refused to answer

Page 77: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

77

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

2%

5%

1%

5%

21%

66%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Don't know

Would not vote

Very unlikely

Somewhat unlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 78: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

78

If local elections were held today, for which party’s candidate would you vote to be mayor of Skopje?*

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

19%

6%

5%

5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

6%

9%

16%

23%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Independent candidate

I would not vote

None/Will destroy my ballot

GROM

DOM

LDP

DPA

AA

BESA

DUI

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 79: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

79

If local elections were held today, which party would you vote for the council of Skopje?*

(Respondents from Skopje: n=284; margin of error 5.8%)

23%

7%

5%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

6%

9%

17%

22%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

I would not vote

None/Will destroy my ballot

Positive Alliance of Macedonia

DOM

DPA

GROM

AA

BESA

DUI

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 80: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Gjorce Petrov

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213)

Page 81: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

81

Overall, are things in your municipality moving in the right or wrong direction?

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

14%

52%

34%

Right direction

Wrong direction

Neutral (neither right norwrong direction)

Page 82: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

3%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

5%

5%

7%

9%

10%

19%

23%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

6%

5%

7%

3%

7%

8%

3%

5%

6%

8%

4%

20%

6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Don't know

Other

Public transport

Culture

Sports and recreation

Healthcare

Pollution/The environment

Responsiveness/Efficiency of local government

Education and schools

Safety/Crime

Unemployment/Local economy

Street lighting

Kindergartens/Elderly care/Social care

Local government corruption

Water supply and sewage service

Public hygiene/Garbage collection

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Urban planning and development

First mention

Second mention

10%

8%

12%

10%

6%

9%

7%

8%

2%

3%

6%

3%

What are the most serious problems facing your municipality today?(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

82

29%

39%

14%

17%

13%

2%

Page 83: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

83

How well-informed are you about the work of each of the following:

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

13%

18%

46%

53%

36%

24%

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

I am well-informed I am somewhatinformed

I am not informedat all

I am not interestedin this type of information

Page 84: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

84

54%

27%

14%

5% National government

Local government

Both

Neither

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 85: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

85

How satisfied or unsatisfied are you with the past performance of each of the following:

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

4%

6%

25%

21%

31%

22%

33%

50%

7%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied Don't know

Page 86: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

86

Would you agree or disagree that the local government in your municipality needs to change?

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

84%

12%

4% Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 87: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

87

11%

22%

36%

27%

4%

Yes, she/he did her/his job wellenough and deserves to be re-elected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom the same party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom a different party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, an independentcandidate should be elected

Don't know/Refused to answer

Does the mayor in your municipality do her/his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections, or do you think

that a new mayor should be elected?(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 88: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

88

Would you vote for a candidate from another ethnic community for mayor (e.g. Albanian, Macedonian, Serb, Roma, Turk, Vlach) if you

thought she/he would better represent you?(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

46%

50%

4%

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 89: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

89

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

1%

3%

5%

17%

74%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Don't know

Would not vote

Somewhatunlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 90: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

90

If local elections were held today, for which party’s candidate would you vote to be mayor of your municipality?*

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

18%

4%

10%

1%

3%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

26%

30%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Independent candidate

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

Other

LDP

BESA

DPA

DUI

GROM

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 91: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

91

If local elections were held today, for which party would you vote for municipal council?*

(Respondents from Gjorce Petrov: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

28%

5%

1%

3%

5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

25%

30%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

Other

DPA

BESA

DUI

GROM

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 92: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Shtip

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214)

Page 93: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

93

Overall, are things in your municipality moving in the right or wrong direction?

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

39%

24%

31%

6%

Right direction

Wrong direction

Neutral (neither rightnor wrong direction)

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 94: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

9%

3%

1%

2%

3%

3%

5%

5%

6%

6%

6%

7%

11%

12%

21%

11%

5%

2%

3%

7%

4%

8%

6%

9%

5%

14%

10%

9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know

Other

Pollution/The environment

Street lighting

Education and schools

Local government corruption

Urban planning and development

Kindergartens/Elderly care/Social care

Public transport

Public hygiene/Garbage collection

Safety/Crime

Water supply and sewage service

Unemployment/Local economy

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Healthcare

First mention

Second mention15%

14%

5%

10%

5%

3%

8%

20%

What are the most serious problems facing your municipality today?(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

94

30%

22%

25%

12%

12%

9%

3%

Page 95: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

95

How well-informed are you about the work of each of the following:

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

7%

15%

33%

40%

43%

29%

16%

16%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

I am well-informed I am somewhatinformed

I am not informed at all

I am not interestedin this type of information

Don’t know

Page 96: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

96

21%

36%22%

12%

9%

National government

Local government

Both

Neither

Don't know

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 97: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

97

How satisfied or unsatisfied are you with the past performance of each of the following:

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

11%

32%

38%

30%

12%

7%

25%

23%

14%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied

Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 98: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

98

Would you agree or disagree that the local government in your municipality needs to change?

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

45%

41%

14%

Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 99: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

99

Does the mayor in your municipality do her/his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections, or do you think

that a new mayor should be elected?(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

44%

5%

27%

9%

15%

Yes, she/he does her/his jobwell enough and deserves to bere-elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, another candidate from the same party should be elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, another candidate from a different party should be elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, an independent candidate should be elected

Don’t know/Refused to answer

Page 100: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

100

Would you vote for a candidate from another ethnic community for mayor (e.g. Albanian, Macedonian, Serb, Roma, Turk, Vlach) if you

thought she/he would better represent you?(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

57%

35%

8% Yes

No

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 101: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

101

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

5%

5%

2%

1%

6%

82%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Don't know/Refused to answer

Would not vote

Very unlikely

Somewhat unlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 102: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

102

If local elections were held today, for which party’s candidate would you vote to be mayor of your municipality?*

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

21%

19%

7%

2%

4%

4%

19%

23%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Independent candidate

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

I will vote for a person, not a party

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 103: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

103

If local elections were held today, for which party would you vote for municipal council?*

(Respondents from Shtip: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

29%

18%

7%

4%

3%

17%

21%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Third option/New party

I would not vote

None/Will destroy my ballot

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 104: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Tetovo

(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213)

Page 105: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

105

Overall, are things in your municipality moving in the right or wrong direction?

(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

11%

51%

30%

8%Right direction

Wrong direction

Neutral (neither right norwrong direction)

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 106: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

4%

5%

1%

2%

3%

4%

6%

9%

10%

10%

15%

31%

1%

7%

1%

3%

5%

4%

8%

10%

13%

10%

18%

15%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Don't know

Other

Responsiveness/Efficiency of local government

Education and schools

Healthcare

Public transport

Urban planning and development

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Unemployment/Local economy

Public hygiene/Garbage collection

Pollution/The environment

Water supply and sewage service

First mention

Second mention

20%

12%

5%

What are the most serious problems facing your municipality today?(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

106

46%

33%

23%

19%

14%

8%

8%

5%

2%

Page 107: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

107

How well-informed are you about the work of each of the following:

(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

17%

20%

31%

34%

36%

31%

13%

11%

3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

I am well-informed I am somewhatinformed

I am not informed at all

I am not interestedin this type of information

Don’t know

Page 108: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

108

14%

38%34%

8%

6% National government

Local government

Both

Neither

Don't know/Refused to answer

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 109: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

109

How satisfied or unsatisfied are you with the past performance of each of the following:

(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

3%

7%

22%

17%

30%

23%

39%

48%

6%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied

Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 110: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

110

Would you agree or disagree that the local government in your municipality needs to change?

(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

84%

7%

9%

Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 111: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

111

Does the mayor in your municipality do her/his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections, or

do you think that a new mayor should be elected?(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

7%

14%

33%

38%

8%

Yes, she/he does her/his jobwell enough and deserves to bere-elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, another candidate from the same party should be elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, another candidate from a different party should be elected

No, she/he doesn’t do her/his job well enough, an independent candidate should be elected

Don’t know/Refused to answer

Page 112: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

112

Would you vote for a candidate from another ethnic community for mayor (e.g. Albanian, Macedonian, Serb, Roma, Turk, Vlach) if you

thought she/he would better represent you?(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

55%

30%

15%

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 113: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

113

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

11%

6%

1%

4%

36%

42%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Don't know/Refused to answer

Would not vote

Very unlikely

Somewhat unlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 114: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

114

If local elections were held today, for which party’s candidate would you vote to be mayor of your municipality?*(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

20%

5%

5%

4%

3%

1%

5%

6%

8%

9%

15%

19%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Independent candidate

I would not vote

None/Will destroy my ballot

Socialist Party

VMRO-DPMNE

DPA

BESA

AA

SDSM

DUI

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 115: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

115

If local elections were held today, for which party would you vote for municipal council?*

(Respondents from Tetovo: n=213; margin of error 6.7%)

24%

5%

4%

3%

5%

7%

8%

9%

15%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

I would not vote

None/Will destroy my ballot

VMRO-DPMNE

DPA

BESA

AA

SDSM

DUI

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 116: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Gostivar

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214)

Page 117: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

117

Overall, are things in your municipality moving in the right or wrong direction?

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

17%

50%

31%

1%Right direction

Wrong direction

Neutral (neither rightnor wrong direction)

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 118: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

4%

5%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

6%

7%

10%

12%

16%

25%

9%

2%

6%

10%

3%

6%

3%

3%

10%

10%

13%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Do not know

Other

Water supply and sewage service

Pollution/The environment

Responsiveness/Efficiency of local government

Public transport

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Urban planning and development

Safety/Crime

Local government corruption

Education and schools

Healthcare

Unemployment/Local economy

First mention

Second mention

4%

13%

8%

4%

14%

What are the most serious problems facing your municipality today?(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

118

29%

45%

22%

20%

10%

9%

10%

6%

Page 119: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

119

How well-informed are you about the work of each of the following:

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

14%

15%

56%

56%

24%

24%

4%

3%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

I am well-informed I am somewhatinformed

I am not informedat all

I am not interestedin this type of information

Don't know

Page 120: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

120

30%

33%

30%

3%4%

National government

Local government

Both

Neither

Don't know/Refused to answer

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 121: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

121

How satisfied or unsatisfied are you with the past performance of each of the following:

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

6%

5%

21%

19%

43%

35%

28%

38%

3%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied

Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 122: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

122

Would you agree or disagree that the local government in your municipality needs to change?

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

72%

20%

8%Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 123: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

123

14%

9%

25%

43%

9%

Yes, she/he did her/his job wellenough and deserves to be re-elected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom the same party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom a different party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, an independentcandidate should be elected

Don't know/Refused to answer

Does the mayor in your municipality do her/his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections, or do you think

that a new mayor should be elected?(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 124: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

124

Would you vote for a candidate from another ethnic community for mayor (e.g. Albanian, Macedonian, Serb, Roma, Turk, Vlach) if you

thought she/he would better represent you?(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

59%

36%

5%

Yes

No

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 125: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

125

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

3%

4%

6%

10%

48%

29%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Don't know/Refused to answer

Would not vote

Very unlikely

Somewhat unlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 126: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

126

If local elections were held today, for which party’s candidate would you vote to be mayor of your municipality?*

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

21%

11%

5%

3%

4%

1%

2%

3%

9%

10%

11%

21%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Independent candidate

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

TDP

DPA

BESA

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

DUI

AA

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 127: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

127

If local elections were held today, for which party would you vote for municipal council?*

(Respondents from Gostivar: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

25%

11%

3%

4%

2%

1%

1%

4%

9%

9%

11%

21%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

Other

DPA

TDP

BESA

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

DUI

AA

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 128: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Kumanovo

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214)

Page 129: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

129

Overall, are things in your municipality moving in the right or wrong direction?

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

21%

49%

27%

4%

Right direction

Wrong direction

Neutral (neither right norwrong direction)

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 130: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

3%

2%

2%

4%

4%

4%

4%

8%

9%

11%

13%

16%

19%

8%

6%

5%

2%

4%

7%

7%

13%

8%

7%

4%

21%

8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Other

Education and schools

Local government corruption

Public transport

Safety/Crime

Street lighting

Kindergartens/Elderly care/Social care

Unemployment/Local economy

Healthcare

Public hygiene/Garbage collection

Urban planning and development

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Water supply and sewage service

First mention

Second mention

8%

8%

17%

18%

17%

21%

6%

7%

8%

11%

What are the most serious problems facing your municipality today?(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

130

27%

37%

11%

11%

8%

Page 131: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

131

How well-informed are you about the work of each of the following:

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

15%

20%

31%

35%

41%

36%

9%

6%

4%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

I am well-informed I am somewhatinformed

I am not informedat all

I am not interestedin this type of information

Don't know

Page 132: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

132

23%

26%21%

28%

2%

National government

Local government

Both

Neither

Don't know/Refused to answer

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 133: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

133

How satisfied or unsatisfied are you with the past performance of each of the following:

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

5%

7%

22%

22%

14%

17%

43%

50%

15%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied

Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 134: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

134

Would you agree or disagree that the local government in your municipality needs to change?

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

73%

21%

6%Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 135: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

135

12%

30%

22%

28%

8%

Yes, she/he did her/his job wellenough and deserves to be re-elected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom the same party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom a different party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, an independentcandidate should be elected

Don't know/Refused to answer

Does the mayor in your municipality do her/his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections, or do you think

that a new mayor should be elected?(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 136: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

136

Would you vote for a candidate from another ethnic community for mayor (e.g. Albanian, Macedonian, Serb, Roma, Turk, Vlach) if you

thought she/he would better represent you?(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

56%

36%

8%Yes

No

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 137: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

137

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

6%

10%

4%

4%

21%

55%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Don't know/Refused to answer

Would not vote

Very unlikely

Somewhat unlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 138: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

138

If local elections were held today, for which party’s candidate would you vote to be mayor of your municipality?*

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

14%

5%

9%

5%

7%

2%

1%

3%

3%

4%

15%

32%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Independent candidate

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

Other

Socialist Party

BESA

AA

DUI

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 139: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

139

If local elections were held today, which party would you vote for municipal council?*

(Respondents from Kumanovo: n=214; margin of error 6.7%)

20%

7%

5%

7%

2%

1%

4%

4%

4%

15%

31%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

Other

DPA

DUI

BESA

AA

VMRO-DPMNE

SDSM

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 140: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Ohrid

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215)

Page 141: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

141

Overall, are things in your municipality moving in the right or wrong direction?

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

28%

27%

37%

8%

Right direction

Wrong direction

Neutral (neither rightnor wrong direction)

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 142: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

3%

10%

3%

4%

4%

6%

7%

9%

13%

20%

21%

5%

19%

4%

2%

6%

7%

7%

14%

13%

15%

6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Don't know

Other

Safety/Crime

Water supply and sewage service

Local government corruption

Kindergartens/Elderly care/Social care

Public hygiene/Garbage collection

Infrastructure/Roads/Streets

Healthcare

Unemployment/Local economy

Urban planning and development

First mention

Second mention

23%

14%

10%

7%

29%

What are the most serious problems facing your municipality today?

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

142

27%

35%

26%

13%

6%

8%

Page 143: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

143

How well-informed are you about the work of each of the following:

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

8%

12%

34%

45%

53%

40%

4%

2%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

I am well-informed I am somewhatinformed

I am not informedat all

I am not interestedin this type of information

Don't know

Page 144: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

144

37%

38%

12%

6%

7%National government

Local government

Both

Neither

Don't know/Refused to answer

Which level of government is more responsive to citizen concerns?

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 145: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

145

How satisfied or unsatisfied are you with the past performance of each of the following:

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

9%

12%

33%

35%

14%

18%

28%

27%

15%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Your municipalcouncil

Your mayor

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfiedSomewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfiedDon't know/Refused to answer

Page 146: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

146

Would you agree or disagree that the local government in your municipality needs to change?

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

60%

30%

10%

Yes, the local government needs tochange

No, there is no need for the localgovernment to change

Refused to answer

Page 147: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

147

23%

12%

23%

24%

18%

Yes, she/he did her/his job wellenough and deserves to be re-elected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom the same party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, another candidatefrom a different party should beelected

No, she/he did not do her/his jobwell enough, an independentcandidate should be elected

Don't know/Refused to answer

Does the mayor in your municipality, do her/his job well enough to be re-elected in the upcoming local elections, or do you think

that a new mayor should be elected?(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

Page 148: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

148

Would you vote for a candidate from another ethnic community for mayor (e.g. Albanian, Macedonian, Serb, Roma, Turk, Vlach) if you

thought she/he would better represent you?(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

53%42%

5% Yes

No

Don't know/Refused to answer

Page 149: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

149

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming local elections?(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

3%

7%

5%

2%

15%

68%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Don't know/Refused to answer

Would not vote

Very unlikely

Somewhat unlikely

Somewhat likely

Very likely

Page 150: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

150

If local elections were held today, which party’s candidate would you vote for to be mayor of your municipality?*

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

34%

14%

4%

4%

1%

1%

1%

2%

17%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Don't know/Undecided

Refused to answer

Independent candidate

I would not vote

I will vote for a person, not a party

None/Will destroy my ballot

AA

DUI

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 151: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

151

If local elections were held today, for which party would you vote for municipal council?*

(Respondents from Ohrid: n=215; margin of error 6.7%)

37%

14%

3%

4%

2%

2%

18%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Undecided/Don't know

Refused to answer

None/Will destroy my ballot

I would not vote

Other

DUI

SDSM

VMRO-DPMNE

*See glossary of political parties on Slide 3.

Page 152: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Demographics

Page 153: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Demographics

11%

25%

64%

32%

36%

32%

50%

50%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Other

Albanian

Macedonian

55+

35-54

18-34

Male

Female

ETH

NIC

ITY

AG

EG

EN

DER

153

Page 154: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

Demographics

21%

53%

21%

5%

20%

28%

24%

21%

8%

22%

4%

11%

5%

10%

20%

20%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Higher Education/University

Secondary

Elementary

None/Incomplete elementary

Don't know/Refused to answer

27,001+ Denars

18,001-27,000 Denars

9,001-18,000 Denars

0-9,000 Denars

Blue collar worker

Agricultural worker

White collar worker

Professional

Housewife

Retired

Unemployed

Student

ED

UCATIO

NH

OU

SEH

OLD

IN

CO

ME

(MO

NTH

LY)

OCCU

PATIO

N

154

Page 155: Public Opinion in Macedonia - IRI2017/09/18  · • Data was collected from August 4 to 21, 2017, through face-to-face interviews by trained professionals. • A nationally representative

www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls

Center for Insights in Survey Research

202.408.9450 | [email protected]