public opinion on foreign influence and violent extremismidentified as susceptible to radical...

Bosnia and Herzegovina: Public Opinion on Foreign Influence and

Violent Extremism

March 7, 2019 – March 26, 2019

Detailed Methodology

2

• The survey was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in

Survey Research by Ipsos Bosnia and Herzegovina.• Data was collected between March 7 and 26, 2019, through in-home, in-person interviews using the

CAPI (Computer Assisted Personal Interviewing) method.

• A total of 2,190 interviews were completed with an overall margin of error of +/- 2.1% at the midrange of the 95-percent confidence level for the full sample.

• A nationally representative sample was based on a multistage stratification proportionate to population sample distribution, with a random selection of households and respondents within each Primary Sampling Unit (PSU). The first level was the region and the second level was urbanity.

• Using data from the 2013 census as statistical reference for sample design, the sample is made up of citizens of BiH, aged 18+.

• Sampling frame: address registry within strata defined by region and type of settlements (urban and rural).

• Targeted oversampling was conducted in four areas of Bosnia and Herzegovina that have been

identified as susceptible to radical tendencies: Zenica-Doboj Canton (n=148), Una-Sana Canton (n=188), Herzegovina-Neretva Canton (n=206) and Republika Srpska East (n=102). Oversampling in

these areas sought to yield more specific insights into the public’s perception of the role of religion in society, the presence of extremism, and interethnic tension, among others.

• Households were selected by a random route technique.

• Respondent selection was made using random selection, any member of a household with the same probability (SRSWoR).

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.• The survey was funded by the National Endowment for Democracy.

Map of BiH Administrative Divisions

3

1 Una-Sana Canton

2 Posavina Canton

3 Tuzla Canton

4 Zenica-Doboj Canton

5 Bosnian-Podrinje Canton

6 Central Bosnia Canton

7 Herzegovina-Neretva Canton

8 West Herzegovina Canton

9 Canton Sarajevo

10 Livanjski Canton

11 Brcko District

12 North Republika Srpska

13 East Republika Srpska

4

Frequently Cited Bases

Disaggregate Disaggregation Category Base

Ethnicity Bosniaks n=1,114

Croats n=246

Serbs n=707

Age 18-35 n=661

36-55 n=775

56+ n=754

Education Elementary or less n=636

Secondary n=1245

University/master’s/doctoral degree n=279

IRI Polls Base

2019 National Poll of BiH n=2,190



5

Frequently Cited Bases (cont’d.)

RegionDisaggregation

CategoryBase

Herzegovina-Neretva Canton Canton/Region n=307

Una-Sana Canton Canton/Region n=306

Zenica-Doboj Canton Canton/Region n=305

Republika Srpska East Canton/Region n=307

Attitudes on Problems and Security

In your opinion, what is the biggest problem facing the country?(Spontaneous response)

7

1%

6%

1%

1%

2%

3%

5%

6%

8%

8%

13%

16%

25%

30%

31%

34%

35%

43%

46%

73%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Don't know/refused to answer

Other

No problems

Pollution

Conflict between religious groups

Conflict between ethnic groups

Poor infrastructure

Declining moral values in society

Education system

Social protection system

Health care system

The gap between rich and poor

Politicians and political parties

Emigration/departure from BiH

Low standard of living

Crime

Low salaries/pensions

Economy

Corruption and bribery

Unemployment

Note: All mentions shown.

8

Answers Age 18-35 Age 36-55 Age 56+ Total

Unemployment 44% 41% 40% 42%

Corruption and bribery 12% 11% 13% 12%

Economy 12% 10% 9% 10%

Politicians and political parties 4% 8% 9% 7%

Low salaries/pensions 5% 5% 7% 6%

Emigration/departure from BiH 7% 6% 4% 5%

Crime 5% 5% 4% 5%

Low standard of living 6% 5% 3% 4%

Healthcare system 1% 2% 2% 2%

The gap between rich and poor 1% 1% 2% 1%

Declining moral values in society 1% 1% 0% 1%

Other 2% 2% 5% 5%

Don't know/refused to answer 0% 0% 0% 1%

In your opinion, what is the biggest problem facing the country?

(Spontaneous response)

Note: First mentions with a share of 1% or more shown.

9

Answers Elementary or

lessSecondary

University/

Master’s/

Doctoral

degree

Total



Economy 8% 11% 11% 10%


Low salaries/pensions 7% 5% 4% 6%

Emigration/departure from BiH 6% 5% 6% 5%

Crime 4% 5% 3% 5%


Health care system 3% 1% 1% 2%



Other 3% 4% 8% 5%

Don’t know/refused to answer 1% 0% 0% 1%

In your opinion, what is the biggest problem facing the country?



10

Answers Up to 500

KM

501-

1,000 KM

1,001-

1,500 KM

More than

1,500 KMNo answer Total

Unemployment 48% 39% 33% 25% 45% 42%

Corruption and bribery 13% 13% 10% 9% 12% 12%

Economy 6% 10% 10% 12% 12% 10%

Politicians and political parties 6% 8% 10% 4% 7% 7%

Low salaries/pensions 6% 7% 7% 8% 4% 6%

Emigration/departure from BiH 5% 5% 8% 10% 4% 5%

Crime 4% 3% 7% 11% 4% 5%

Low standard of living 3% 4% 7% 11% 4% 4%

Health care system 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2%

The gap between rich and poor 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%

Declining moral values in society 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Other 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5%

Don’t know/refused to answer 1% <1% <1% 0% 1% 1%

In your opinion, what is the biggest problem facing the country?(Disaggregated by household monthly income. All respondents, spontaneous response: n=410for up to 500 KM; n=517 for 501-1,000 KM; n=256 for 1,001-1,500 KM; n=123 for more than

1,500 KM; n=884 for no answer)


11

Answers Bosniak Croat Serb Total



Economy 9% 9% 11% 10%


Low salaries/Pensions 5% 7% 7% 6%

Emigration/Departure from BiH 6% 6% 4% 5%

Crime 6% 3% 3% 5%


Healthcare system 2% 3% 0% 2%



Other 3% 2% 3% 5%

Don’t know/refused to answer 1% 0% <1% 1%




12

1%

5%

1%

1%

2%

4%

5%

5%

6%

7%

10%

12%

42%

1%

3%

1%

1%

4%

4%

4%

7%

5%

8%

8%

57%

5%

1%

4%

2%

4%

6%

7%

8%

9%

55%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Declining moral values in society

The gap between rich and poor

Health care system

Low standard of living

Emigration/Departure from BiH

Crime

Low salaries/Pensions

Politicians and political parties

Economy

Corruption and bribery

Unemployment

2017 2018 2019


In your opinion, what is the biggest security threat facing the country?


13

9%

7%

8%

9%

10%

11%

13%

14%

22%

34%

50%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Climate change

Natural disasters

Attack by foreign power

Domestic terrorist groups

International terrorist groups

No threats



Organized crime


In your opinion, what is the biggest security threat facing our country today?


14

* Option unavailable in 2017 and 2018


9%

6%

2%

3%

3%

4%

3%

9%

14%

17%

32%

20%

3%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%

10%

16%

35%

11%

6%

4%

1%

4%

2%

2%

7%

11%

21%

31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Financial problem

Politics/political conflicts, disagreement

Climate change

Domestic terrorist groups

Natural disasters

Attack by foreign power

International terrorist groups


No threats*


Organized crime

2017 2018 2019

15


Organized crime 30% 32% 37% 32%

Conflict between ethnic groups 16% 25% 13% 17%

Conflict between religious groups 9% 12% 7% 9%

International terrorist groups 3% 1% 6% 3%

Domestic terrorist groups 3% 2% 4% 3%

Attack by foreign power 3% 1% 6% 4%

Natural disasters 3% 2% 2% 3%

Climate change 2% 1% 1% 2%

No threats 16% 14% 10% 14%

Other 4% 1% 9% 6%

Don’t know/refuse to answer 10% 8% 5% 9%

In your opinion, what is the biggest security threat facing our country today?



Country’s Direction and Governance

Generally speaking, would you say that BiH is heading …

17

13%

83%

4%

In the right direction

In the wrong direction

Don't know/Refusal

Generally speaking, would you say that BiH is heading…

18

4%

84%

12%

2%

88%

10%

3%

79%

18%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal



Serb Croat Bosniak

Generally speaking, would you say that BiH is heading…

19

4%

83%

13%

5%

86%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal



2018 2019

20

2%

43%

35%

19%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Very dissatisfied

Somewhat dissatisfied

Somewhat satisfied

Very satisfied

How satisfied are you with the current political order in your country?

21

1%

2%

1%

17%

10%

29%

32%

41%

37%

48%

45%

33%

2%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know/Refusal

How satisfied are you with the current political order in your country?

Thinking about how you are treated in interactions with government authorities, which of the following statements comes

closest to your opinion?

22

4%

4%

14%

45%

33%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

I always receive unfair treatment

I generally receive unfair treatment

I generally receive fair treatment, but there areexceptions

I always or almost always receive fair treatment

Thinking about how you are treated in interactions with government authorities, which of the following statements

comes closest to your opinion?

23

31%

26%

41%

43%

48%

43%

15%

14%

12%

6%

6%

1%

5%

6%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

I always or almost always receive fair treatment I generally receive fair treatment, but there are exceptions

I generally receive unfair treatment I always receive unfair treatment

Don’t know/Refusal

Thinking about how you are treated in interactions with security personnel, which of the following statements comes closest to

your opinion?

24

4%

4%

13%

43%

37%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

I always receive unfair treatment

I generally receive unfair treatment

I generally receive fair treatment, but there areexceptions

I always or almost always receive fair treatment

Thinking about how you are treated in interactions with security personnel, which of the following statements comes

closest to your opinion?

25

36%

25%

44%

40%

49%

41%

14%

18%

10%

4%

5%

2%

6%

4%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

I always or almost always receive fair treatment I generally receive fair treatment, but there are exceptions

I generally receive unfair treatment I always receive unfair treatment


If you have a concern about a government service, department, or employee, how satisfied are you with the options available to you

to address this concern?

26

7%

17%

31%

38%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Very unsatisfied

Somewhat unsatisfied

Somewhat satisfied

Very satisfied

If you have a concern about a government service, department, or employee, how satisfied are you with the

options available to you to address this concern?

27

7%

4%

8%

39%

32%

40%

30%

42%

31%

17%

20%

13%

7%

3%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied Very unsatisfied Don’t know/Refusal

Media Preferences

From which source do you get most of your daily political news?(Spontaneous response)

29

2%

1%

2%

12%

18%

64%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

10%

18%

66%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Print media

Radio

Family/friends

Social media

Internet portals and sites

TV

2018 2019

From which source do you get most of your daily political news?

30

67%

61%

44%

61%

81%

90%

67%

31%

64%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Rural

Urban

University/Master's/Doctoral degree

Secondary

Elementary or less

Age 56+

Age 36-55

Age 18-35

Total

TV

(Spontaneous response; n=943 for urban; n=1,247 for rural)



31

16%

22%

34%

20%

9%

3%

18%

36%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Rural

Urban


Secondary

Elementary or less

Age 56+

Age 36-55

Age 18-35

Total

Internet portals and sites




32

13%

11%

16%

14%

5%

2%

10%

26%

12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Rural

Urban


Secondary

Elementary or less

Age 56+

Age 36-55

Age 18-35

Total

Social media





33

2%

1%

1%

5%

12%

31%

39%

49%

83%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Religious leaders

Print media

Radio

Family/friends

Social media

Internet portalsand sites

TV


Which specific media outlet do you trust the most for your news?(Spontaneous response)

34

9%9%

1%1%

1%1%1%

2%3%3%

3%4%4%4%4%

5%5%

6%10%

11%15%

0% 10% 20%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

WEB - 6yka.com

WEB - Vijesti.ba

TV - PINK TV

WEB - Avaz.ba

TV - RTL Hrvatska

TV - ATV

WEB - Klix.ba

TV - RTS

TV - N1

TV - NOVA TV

TV - FACE TV

TV - OBN

TV - HAYAT TV

TV - Al Jazeera Balkans

TV - HRT 1, 2

TV - BHT

TV - RTRS

TV - BN TV

TV - FTV


How often do you use social media as a source of daily news?(Spontaneous response)

35

1%

35%

7%

19%

39%

2%

37%

10%

17%

34%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Never

Rarely

Occasionally

Every day

2018 2019


36

66%

40%

13%

19%

25%

12%

4%

9%

6%

10%

25%

68%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Every day Occasionally Rarely Never Don't know/Refusal

How often do you use social media as a source of daily news?

37

26%

42%

55%

14%

21%

18%

5%

8%

4%

55%

29%

22%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Elementary or less

Secondary

University/Master’s/ Doctorate degree

Every day Occasionally Rarely Never Don't know/Refusal

How often do you use social media as a source of daily news?

Foreign Influence

In your opinion, who is the biggest foreign donor to BiH?(Spontaneous response)

39

13%

12%

<1%

3%

3%

7%

7%

7%

9%

18%

22%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

None of these

UK

Croatia

Middle Eastern/Gulf countries

Serbia

Germany

U.S.

Russia

Turkey

EU

In your opinion, who is the biggest foreign donor to BiH?

40


EU 25% 23% 17% 22%

Turkey 29% 5% 5% 18%

Russia 1% 2% 24% 9%

Germany 7% 13% 4% 7%

U.S. 7% 8% 6% 7%

Serbia 0% 1% 19% 7%

Middle Eastern/Gulf countries 3% 5% 4% 3%

Croatia 1% 22% 0% 3%

UK 0% 1% 0% 0%

None of these 15% 6% 9% 12%

Don’t know/Refusal 12% 15% 11% 13%

41

7%

8%

10%

17%

17%

18%

28%

33%

35%

34%

32%

42%

30%

43%

23%

29%

24%

23%

19%

23%

12%

23%

21%

24%

19%

14%

21%

11%

15%

6%

8%

10%

8%

7%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Saudi Arabia

Croatia

U.S.

Russia

Turkey

Serbia

EU

Mostly positive Somewhat positive Somewhat negative Mostly negative Don't know/Refusal

What is your opinion of the role of the U.S., Russia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Croatia and the EU in BiH? Is it mostly positive, somewhat positive, somewhat

negative or mostly negative?

42

80%

79%

55%

48%

77%

29%

30%

29%

89%

55%31%

22%

77%

43%38%

31%

31%

88%

56%

53%

22%

16%

16%

39%

47%

16%

64%

61%

61%

8%

31%

48%

67%

17%

46%

52%

57%

53%

8%

35%

36%

72%

4%

5%

6%

4%

7%

7%

9%

11%

3%

15%

22%

11%

6%

11%

10%

12%

16%

4%

10%

11%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

BosniakCroatSerb

BosniakCroatSerb

BosniakCroatSerb

BosniakCroatSerb

BosniakCroatSerb

BosniakCroatSerb

BosniakCroatSerb

Mostly or somewhat positive Mostly or somewhat negative Don't know/Refusal

What is your opinion of the role of the U.S., Russia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Croatia and the EU in BiH? Is it mostly positive, somewhat positive, somewhat

negative or mostly negative?

U.S.

Russia

Turkey

Saudi Arabia

Serbia

Croatia

EU

43

What is your opinion of the role of the U.S., Russia, Turkey and Saudi Arabia in BiH? Is it mostly positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or mostly negative?

7%

10%

13%

17%

21%

23%

17%

20%

24%

10%

13%

16%

33%

25%

25%

42%

32%

32%

32%

25%

27%

34%

26%

33%

23%

19%

20%

19%

16%

18%

23%

21%

21%

24%

21%

22%

23%

27%

28%

14%

19%

19%

19%

22%

21%

24%

26%

23%

15%

6%

14%

8%

8%

8%

10%

8%

8%

8%

14%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


U.S.

Russia

Turkey

Saudi

Arabia

2017

2018

2019

2017

2018

2019

2017

2018

2019

2017

2018

2019

In your opinion, from the listed countries, which is BiH’sgreatest ally?

44

10%

17%

1%

4%

7%

20%

15%

25%

18%

16%

1%

2%

8%

13%

15%

29%

21%

1%

3%

9%

24%

16%

26%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

None

UK

China

U.S.

Germany

Russia

Turkey

2017 2018 2019

In your opinion, from the listed countries, which is BiH’s greatest ally?

45


Turkey 40% 11% 7% 25%

Germany 21% 43% 9% 20%

Russia 1% 4% 44% 15%

U.S. 7% 13% 6% 7%

China 1% 3% 10% 4%

UK 1% 2% 1% 1%

None 18% 13% 16% 17%


To what extent do you support or oppose BiH’s accession to NATO?

46

5%

27%

8%

21%

38%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

47

58%

42%

3%

25%

30%

11%

5%

11%

15%

8%

9%

68%

5%

7%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know/Refusal



48

5%

27%

8%

21%

38%

7%

31%

7%

19%

37%

5%

30%

7%

21%

38%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

2017 2018 2019

Why do you support BiH’s accession?

49

(Respondents who strongly and somewhat support BiH’s accession to NATO: n=1,292; spontaneous response)

2%

1%

2%

6%

12%

23%

54%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

BiH belongs to the West (ally)

To counter malign foreigninfluence/threats

Faster EU integration

More investments/Economicdevelopment

Greater security


Why do you oppose BiH’s accession?

50

(Respondents who strongly and somewhat oppose BiH’s accession to NATO: n=784; spontaneous response)

5%

1%

8%

8%

9%

13%

54%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Potential conflict with non-NATOmembers who are BiH's neighbors

Economic burden/Increased defensespending/Fees

US/Western meddling

Involvement in foreign conflicts

NATO interventions in the Balkans(1990s)


To what extent do you support or oppose BiH’s accession to the EU?

51

4%

8%

9%

24%

54%

6%

11%

7%

26%

49%

3%

13%

9%

28%

49%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

2017 2018 2019

52

70%

56%

27%

18%

28%

34%

4%

9%

17%

3%

4%

19%

4%

3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know/Refusal

To what extent do you support or oppose BiH’s accession to the EU?

Which of the following two statements comes closer to your opinion?

53

19%

64%

17%

NATO accession is more important to me than EU accession.

EU accession is more important to me than NATO accession.

Don't know/Refusal

54

28%

14%

4%

59%

73%

71%

12%

13%

25%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

NATO accession is more important to me than EU accession.

EU accession is more important to me than NATO accession.


Which of the following two statements comes closer to your opinion?

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of the following world and regional leaders?

55

3%

4%

7%

16%

17%

21%

26%

24%

21%

22%

36%

21%

23%

41%

22%

27%

28%

19%

20%

22%

15%

22%

39%

32%

17%

33%

25%

10%

17%

4%

5%

5%

4%

3%

3%

13%

6%

7%

8%

7%

6%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Theresa May

Donald Trump

Kolinda Grabar

Kitarovic

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Aleksandar Vucic

Vladimir Putin

Angela Merkel

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable

Very unfavorable Never heard of Don't know/Refusal

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of the following world and regional leaders?

56

52%

44%

67%

48%

50%

61%

44%

55%

64%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Recep TayyipErdogan

Vladimir Putin

Angela Merkel

2017 2018 2019

Answers: very favorable + somewhat favorable

Who is the biggest foreign investor in BiH?

57

18%

2%

1%

2%

4%

5%

5%

5%

6%

7%

10%

16%

21%

23%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

6%

7%

9%

20%

21%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

UK

Croatia

Saudi Arabia/Gulf states

Austria

China

U.S.

Serbia

Russia

Germany

Turkey

EU

2018 2019

Who is the biggest foreign investor in BiH?

58


EU 23% 20% 18% 21%

Turkey 26% 6% 5% 16%

Germany 11% 19% 6% 10%

Russia 1% 3% 18% 7%

Serbia <1% 2% 17% 6%

U.S. 6% 11% 3% 5%

China 1% 3% 11% 5%

Austria 6% 2% 3% 5%

Saudi Arabia/Gulf states 3% 2% 5% 4%

Croatia 1% 16% <1% 2%

UK 1% 1% <1% 1%

Other 1% 0% 1% 2%


59

Are you aware of any major Russian investments in BiH?

13%

80%

7%

Yes No Don't know/Refusal

Which major Russian investment are you aware of?

60

(Respondents aware of any major Russian investment in BiH: n=293; spontaneous response)

10%

10%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

5%

8%

8%

45%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Investing in infrastructure

Refineries

Economic support

Sberbank

Modrica refinery

Ugljevik power plant

Highway

Nestro petrol

Investing in the oil industry

Gas/Gas pipeline

Gazprom gas company

Brod oil refinery


61

Are you aware of any major Turkish investments in BiH?

13%

79%

8%


Which major Turkish investment are you aware of?

62

(Respondents aware of any major Turkish investment in BiH: n=280; spontaneous response)

16%15%

1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%3%3%3%3%3%4%

10%10%

18%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Turkish Cooperation and Coordination Agency (TIKA)

Construction of playgrounds and parks

Various donations

Turkish Ziraat Bank

Cultural center in Trebinje

Faculty buildings

Old town in Trebinje

Investing in infrastructure

Construction and opening of companies

Natron Hayat

Religious facilities

Old bridge in Mostar

Investing in hospitals

Help for returnees

Construction of mosques

Investing in education

Highway Sarajevo-Belgrade

Highways and roads


63

Are you aware of any major investments from Saudi Arabia or other Gulf states in BiH?

5%

85%

10%


Which major investments from Saudi Arabia or other Gulf states are you aware of?

64

(Respondents aware of any major investments from Saudi Arabia or other Gulf states in BiH: n=110; spontaneous response)

27%

20%

5%

4%

7%

37%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Construction of a settlement in Sarajevo

Investing in education

SCC - Sarajevo City Center

Mosques


Which statement best describes your opinion of Russia’s impact on European security?

65

20%

52%

28%

30%

48%

22%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Russia should be considered apartner in European security,

and brought into Europeansecurity structures. Keeping

Russia out makes us less secure.

Russia is a continuous, externalthreat to Europe, and must becountered by a strong security

alliance.

2018 2019

66

36%

34%

11%

41%

39%

79%

23%

27%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Russia is a continuous, external threat to Europe, and must be countered by a strong security alliance.

Russia should be considered a partner in European security, and brought into European securitystructures. Keeping Russia out makes us less secure.

Don't know/Refusal

Which statement best describes your opinion of Russia’s impact on European security?

Which statement best describes your opinion of the role of the United States in European security?

67

19%

51%

30%

28%

44%

28%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

The United States should not play a rolein European security, and in fact its

presence in Europe increases tensionsand insecurity.

The United States is a natural partnerfor European security, and its presence

in NATO contributes to the peace ofEurope.

2018 2019

68

42%

33%

11%

37%

45%

77%

20%

22%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

The United States is a natural partner for European security, and its presence in NATO contributes to thepeace of Europe.

The United States should not play a role in European security, and in fact its presence in Europeincreases tensions and insecurity.

Don't know/Refusal

Which statement best describes your opinion of the role of the United States in European security?

Religious Views

How would you evaluate the level of influence of religious communities in the country?

70

3%

11%

27%

39%

19%

6%

10%

27%

35%

22%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

No influence whatsoever

Small influence

Important but not overwhelming

Great influence

2018 2019

71

20%

27%

14%

37%

36%

44%

26%

26%

33%

15%

8%

6%

3%

3%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Great influence Important but not overwhelming Small influence

No influence whatsoever Don't know/Refusal

How would you evaluate the level of influence of religious communities in the country?

Oversampled regions: How would you evaluate the level of influence of religious communities in the country?

72

9%

10%

37%

33%

41%

40%

39%

42%

39%

31%

16%

10%

10%

16%

4%

13%

1%

4%

4%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

RepublikaSrpska East

Zenica-DobojCanton

Una-SanaCanton

Herzegovina-NeretvaCanton

Great influence Important but not overwhelming Small influence

No influence whatsoever Don't know/Refusal

How would you evaluate that influence?

73

(Respondents who answer “Great influence” in reference to the influence of religious communities in the country: n=421)

3%

33%

27%

24%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Mostly negative

Somewhat negative

Somewhat positive

Mostly positive

74

12%

21%

16%

20%

40%

26%

25%

24%

34%

40%

10%

19%

2%

3%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb


How would you evaluate that influence?

Should religious studies be a mandatory subject in elementary schools?

75

5%

40%

55%

7%

36%

57%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

No

Yes

2018 2019

Should religious studies be a mandatory subject in elementary schools?

76

51%

47%

68%

45%

46%

27%

3%

7%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb


Oversampled regions: Should religious studies be a mandatory subject in elementary schools?

77

77%

32%

69%

66%

21%

62%

27%

29%

2%

6%

5%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


Zenica-DobojCanton

Una-SanaCanton



Radicalization, Extremism and BiHFighters on Foreign Battlegrounds

How would you evaluate the security situation in the country?

79

38%

59%

3%

Satisfactory Unsatisfactory Don't know/Refusal

Oversampled regions: How would you evaluate the security situation in the country?

80

56%

32%

26%

33%

44%

63%

71%

59%

1%

5%

3%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


Zenica-DobojCanton

Una-SanaCanton


Satisfactory Unsatisfactory Don't know/Refusal

How big of a problem is violent extremism in BiH?

81

5%

13%

39%

30%

13%

15%

17%

29%

29%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Not a problem

Small problem

Somewhat of a problem

Big problem

2018 2019

82

10%

16%

15%

34%

37%

48%

33%

30%

29%

18%

13%

5%

5%

5%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Not a problem Small problem Somewhat of a problem Big problem Don't know/Refusal

How big of a problem is violent extremism in BiH?

In your opinion, what kind of extremism is more present in BiH?

83

9%

22%

18%

51%

10%

29%

19%

42%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Neither

Religious

Ethno-nationalist

2018 2019

In your opinion, what kind of extremism is most present in BiH?

84

18%

20%

21%

48%

56%

56%

27%

15%

14%

9%

10%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Religious Ethno-nationalist Neither Don't know/Refusal

Oversampled regions: In your opinion, what kind of extremism is most present in BiH?

85

10%

9%

20%

24%

60%

46%

56%

49%

25%

34%

14%

17%

5%

11%

11%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


Zenica-DobojCanton

Una-SanaCanton


Religious Ethno-nationalist Neither Don't know/Refusal

Would you say that inter-ethnic relations in BiH in the past few years…

86

51%

31%

14%

4%

Are on the same level they were in the previous few years

Have gotten worse

Have improved

Don't know/Refusal

Would you say that inter-ethnic relations in BiH in the past few years…

87

48%

39%

59%

32%

44%

25%

16%

11%

14%

4%

6%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Are on the same level they were in the previous few years Have gotten worse Have improved Don't know/Refusal

Oversampled regions: Would you say that inter-ethnic relations in BiH in the past few years…

88

68%

46%

51%

25%

14%

33%

34%

54%

17%

13%

7%

12%

1%

8%

7%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

Are on the same level they were in the previous few years Have gotten worse Have improved Don't know/Refusal

How would you rate the level of intensity of inter-ethnic tension in your community?

89

2%

4%

10%

32%

23%

29%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Very tense

4

3

2

No inter-ethnic tension at all

How would you rate the level of intensity of inter-ethnic tension in your community?

90

28%

20%

36%

25%

21%

20%

30%

32%

34%

10%

19%

7%

4%

6%

2%

2%

3%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

No inter-ethnic tension 2 3 4 Very tense Don’t know/Refusal

Oversampled regions: How would you rate the level of intensity of inter-ethnic tension in your community?

91

28%

15%

46%

9%

27%

26%

13%

19%

35%

37%

23%

45%

8%

15%

4%

19%

2%

6%

12%

3%

1%

1%

3%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika Srpska East

Zenica-DobojCanton

Una-SanaCanton


No inter-ethnic tension 2 3 4 Very tense Don't know/Refusal

Who would you say is most responsible for existing ethno-nationalist tensions?

92

4%

1%

4%

4%

6%

8%

16%

58%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Others

Other ethnic groups

Religious communities

Foreign powers

No tensions

Media

Political parties/leaders


93

Who would you say is most responsible for existing ethno-nationalist tensions?


Political parties/Leaders 54% 58% 62% 58%

Media 16% 17% 15% 16%

Foreign powers 4% 5% 9% 6%

Religious communities 4% 6% 4% 4%

Other ethnic groups 5% 8% 2% 4%

No tensions 11% 4% 4% 8%

Others 1% 0% 2% 1%



94

Oversampled Regions: Who would you say is most responsible for existing ethno-nationalist tensions?

Answers Herzegovina-

Neretva Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Republika

Srpska EastTotal

Political parties/Leaders 65% 78% 52% 58% 58%

Media 9% 15% 8% 14% 16%

Religious communities 9% 0% 7% 5% 4%

Other ethnic groups 8% 0% 10% 4% 4%

Foreign powers 3% 3% 4% 11% 6%

No tensions 2% 1% 6% 7% 8%

Don’t know/Refusal 4% 4% 13% 2% 4%


Are there groups or individuals in your community that are prone to violent extremism?

95

8%

81%

11%


Oversampled regions: Are there groups or individuals in your community that are prone to violent extremism?

96

11%

8%

8%

8%

82%

81%

74%

76%

7%

11%

18%

16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton


Can you name one or more groups which you consider extremist?

97


78%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

6%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Hooligans

Politicians

Migrants

Ravnogorski movement

Chetniks

Al Qaeda

Wahabi

ISIL


Which of the following manifestations of violent extremism is present in your town/city?

98

48%

61%

64%

65%

66%

26%

16%

18%

17%

15%

16%

11%

9%

9%

8%

5%

3%

3%

3%

4%

5%

9%

9%

6%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Violence at sports

events

Violent attacks on

minority groups (such

as LGBT and other

minorities)

Violent attacks

against other ethnic

groups

Violent attacks on

religious communities

Violent attacks on

returnees

Not present at all Minor presence Moderate presence Major presence Don’t know/Refusal

Are you aware of any messages in your community that are inviting citizens to become more radical?

99

3%

92%

5%


Oversampled regions: Are you aware of any messages in your community that are inviting citizens to become more radical?

100

2%

3%

2%

2%

96%

92%

88%

85%

2%

6%

10%

13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton


Do you believe there are radical groups in BiH who are ready to commit terrorist attacks in BiH?

101

10%

60%

30%

13%

52%

35%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

No

Yes

2018 2019

Do you believe there are radical groups in BiH who are ready to commit terrorist attacks in BiH?

102

19%

25%

49%

70%

61%

46%

11%

13%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb


Oversampled regions: Do you believe there are radical groups in BiH who are ready to commit terrorist attacks in BiH?

103

23%

15%

32%

12%

73%

77%

51%

66%

5%

8%

17%

22%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton


Do you believe that the number/size of radical individuals and/or groups in BiH is increasing, staying about the same or decreasing?

104

21%

49%

16%

14%

Increasing Staying the same Decreasing Don't know/Refusal

Do you believe that the number/size of radical individuals and/or groups in BiH is increasing, staying about the same or

decreasing?

105

12%

24%

33%

55%

46%

45%

19%

17%

10%

13%

13%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Increasing Staying the same Decreasing Don’t know/Refusal

Oversampled regions: Do you believe that the number/size of radical individuals and/or groups in BiH is increasing, staying about the same or

decreasing?

106

16%

12%

15%

17%

63%

70%

39%

45%

16%

10%

13%

18%

5%

8%

33%

19%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

Increasing Staying the same Decreasing Don't know/Refusal

Have you heard of ISIL/ISIS/the Islamic State (IS)?

107

91%

7%2%


Oversampled regions: Have you heard of ISIL/ISIS/the Islamic State (IS)?

108

96%

87%

93%

92%

3%

10%

5%

6%

1%

3%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


Zenica-DobojCanton

Una-SanaCanton



What is your opinion of ISIL/IS? Is it mostly positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or mostly negative?

109

4%

83%

9%

3%

1%

4%

79%

12%

4%

2%

3%

89%

5%

2%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Mostly negative

Somewhat negative

Somewhat positive

Mostly positive

2017 2018 2019

(Respondents who have heard of ISIL/IS: n=1994)

What is your opinion of ISIL/IS? Is it mostly positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or mostly negative?

110

Answers Bosniak

(n=991)

Croat

(n=212)

Serb

(n=679)Total

Mostly positive 1% 1% 1% 1%

Somewhat positive 3% 5% 1% 3%

Somewhat negative 13% 11% 3% 9%

Mostly negative 77% 79% 92% 83%

Don't know/Refusal 6% 3% 1% 4%

(Respondents who have heard of ISIL/IS)

Oversampled Regions: What is your opinion of ISIL/IS? Is it mostly positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or mostly

negative?

111

1%

1%

1%

2%

4%

1%

5%

6%

7%

8%

7%

9%

86%

84%

79%

82%

2%

6%

8%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


(n=295)

Zenica-DobojCanton(n=266)

Una-SanaCanton(n=118)

Herzegovina-NeretvaCanton(n=281)



To what extent do you agree or disagree that ISIL/IS represents a threat to BiH?

112

6%

16%

17%

28%

33%

9%

17%

16%

30%

28%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Strongly disagree

Somewhat disagree

Somewhat agree

Strongly agree

2018

2019

(Respondents who have heard of ISIL/IS: n=1994)

To what extent do you agree or disagree that ISIL/IS represents a threat to BiH?

113

Answers Bosniak

(n=991)

Croat

(n=212)

Serb

(n=679)Total

Strongly agree 22% 26% 51% 33%

Somewhat agree 26% 31% 31% 28%

Somewhat disagree 21% 26% 10% 17%

Strongly disagree 23% 13% 5% 16%

Don't know/Refusal 8% 3% 3% 6%

(Respondentswho have heard of ISIL/IS)

Oversampled regions: To what extent do you agree or disagree that ISIL/IS represents a threat to BiH?

114

50%

16%

35%

22%

32%

30%

23%

22%

10%

22%

13%

30%

7%

21%

21%

16%

2%

11%

8%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

(n=295)

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

(n=266)

Una-Sana

Canton

(n=283)

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

(n=281)

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/Refusal


To what extent do you support or oppose legal consequences, including prison terms, for returning BiH citizens who participated

in foreign conflicts?

115

8%

11%

11%

27%

42%

11%

11%

12%

24%

42%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Strongly oppose

Somewhat oppose

Somewhat support

Strongly support

2018

2019

116

32%

32%

59%

28%

30%

26%

13%

17%

6%

16%

11%

4%

11%

10%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/Refusal

To what extent do you support or oppose legal consequences, including prison terms, for returning BiH citizens who participated in foreign conflicts?

Oversampled regions: To what extent do you support or oppose legal consequences, including prison terms, for returning BiH citizens who

participated in foreign conflicts?

117

55%

25%

59%

30%

31%

23%

18%

23%

7%

20%

6%

16%

3%

17%

7%

13%

3%

15%

10%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don't know/Refusal

Do you believe BiH citizens returning from fighting in foreign conflicts represent a security threat?

118

11%

33%

56%

15%

36%

49%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

No

Yes

2018 2019

119

42%

56%

78%

43%

31%

18%

15%

13%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb


Do you believe BiH citizens returning from fighting in foreign conflicts represent a security threat?

Oversampled regions: Do you believe BiH citizens returning from fighting in foreign conflicts represent a security threat?

120

80%

25%

60%

43%

17%

62%

24%

35%

3%

14%

17%

23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton


In your opinion, what are the most important reasons people leave BiH to fight in foreign conflicts?

121

7%

1%

15%

32%

37%

63%

63%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Seeking adventure

Personal/family problems

Mental health issues

Religious/ideological beliefs

Lack of economic opportunities andpoverty

Note: All responses shown.

Oversampled Regions: In your opinion, what are the most important reasons people leave BiH to fight in foreign conflicts?

122

Note: All responses shown.


Neretva Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Republika

Srpska East

Total

Lack of economic opportunities

and poverty64% 60% 56% 64% 63%

Religious/ideological beliefs 53% 71% 51% 80% 63%

Personal/family problems 39% 18% 46% 39% 32%

Mental health issues 26% 39% 17% 41% 37%

Seeking adventure 12% 9% 13% 19% 15%

Other 0% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Don’t know/ Refusal 11% 11% 16% 3% 7%

How would you evaluate the work of the BiH Ministry of Security?

123

8%

23%

29%

32%

8%

14%

20%

27%

30%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Mostly negative

Somewhat negative

Somewhat positive

Mostly positive

2018

2019

124

8%

5%

9%

35%

22%

34%

26%

42%

28%

26%

22%

18%

7%

8%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb


How would you evaluate the work of the BiH Ministry of Security?

Oversampled regions: How would you evaluate the work of the BiHMinistry of Security?

125

13%

6%

3%

8%

51%

22%

38%

18%

23%

30%

22%

40%

8%

34%

30%

21%

5%

7%

7%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton


What would you do if someone close to you, such as a friend, relative or family member, indicated an interest in leaving to

fight in a foreign conflict?

126

4%

<1%

13%

19%

62%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

I would report him/her to authorities

I would not interfere

I would try to talk him/her out of it

I would support his/her decision

Oversampled Regions: What would you do if someone close to you, such as a friend, relative or family member, indicated an

interest in leaving to fight in a foreign conflict?

127


Neretva Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Republika

Srpska EastTotal

I would support his/her decision 2% 0% 3% 2% 2%

I would try to talk him/her out of it 56% 67% 32% 73% 62%

I would not interfere 20% 17% 40% 13% 19%

I would report him/her to

authorities13% 10% 16% 9% 13%

Don’t know/Refusal 9% 7% 9% 3% 4%

Would you support or oppose the rehabilitation and reintegration of returnees from foreign conflicts into

BiH society?

128

13%

53%

35%

19%

47%

34%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Oppose

Support

2018 2019

129

40%

32%

25%

45%

56%

66%

14%

13%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb

Support Oppose Don't know/Refusal

Would you support or oppose the rehabilitation and reintegration of returnees from foreign conflicts into BiH society?

Oversampled regions: Would you support or oppose the rehabilitation and reintegration of returnees from foreign conflicts into BiH society?

130

25%

35%

52%

15%

72%

42%

35%

62%

4%

23%

14%

24%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

Support Oppose Don't know/Refusal

Who should be working on that rehabilitation and reintegration?

131

(Respondents who support the rehabilitation and reintegration of returnees from foreign conflicts into BiH society: n=765)

4%

1%

3%

8%

17%

68%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Non-governmental organizations

Religious communities

Families

State institutions

Note: First mentions shown.

Can you name one or more public personalities in BiH whom you associate with the fight against violent extremism?

132

86%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Other

Zeljko Komsic

Husein ef Kavazovic

Dragan Lukac

Milorad Dodik

Dzevad Galijasevic

Dragan Mektić


Note: Responses with a share of 1% or more shown.

133

10%

7%

15%

28%

20%

21%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Excellent

4

3

2

Very bad

How would you evaluate the work of Dragan Mektic as Minister of Security?

How would you evaluate the work of Dragan Mektic as Minister of Security?

134


Very bad 20% 26% 21% 21%

2 19% 21% 21% 20%

3 29% 20% 28% 28%

4 16% 13% 13% 15%

Excellent 9% 2% 6% 7%

Don‘t know/Refusal 7% 19% 11% 10%

Oversampled regions: How would you evaluate the work of Dragan Mektic as Minister of Security?

135

14%

25%

12%

21%

19%

32%

17%

15%

32%

27%

40%

32%

19%

7%

15%

18%

8%

2%

5%

5%

7%

6%

11%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

Very bad 2 3 4 Excellent Don't know/Refusal

How would you evaluate the Ministry of Security’s efforts to raise public awareness of violent extremism?

136

20%

74%

6%

Sufficient Insufficient Don't know/Refusal

Oversampled regions: How would you evaluate the Ministry of Security’s efforts to raise public awareness of violent extremism?

137

37%

9%

10%

10%

60%

86%

82%

72%

2%

5%

8%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

Sufficient Insufficient Don't know/Refusal

Do you believe government agencies are taking sufficient measures to prevent terrorist attacks?

138

9%

66%

24%

15%

57%

28%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

No

Yes

2018 2019

139

23%

18%

33%

68%

71%

60%

9%

11%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bosniak

Croat

Serb


Do you believe government agencies are taking sufficient measures to prevent terrorist attacks?

Oversampled regions: Do you believe government agencies are taking sufficient measures to prevent terrorist attacks?

140

46%

8%

20%

12%

52%

87%

65%

68%

3%

6%

15%

20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton


141

2%

61%

27%

9%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Never be justified

Rarely be justified

Sometimes be justified

Often be justified

Do you personally feel that this kind of violence can often be justified, sometimes be justified, rarely be justified or never be justified?

Oversampled regions: Do you personally feel that this kind of violence can often be justified, sometimes be justified, rarely be justified or

never be justified?

142

<1%

<1%

<1%

2%

3%

15%

4%

7%

16%

32%

16%

31%

79%

51%

76%

56%

1%

1%

3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Republika

Srpska East

Zenica-Doboj

Canton

Una-Sana

Canton

Herzegovina-

Neretva

Canton

Often be justified Sometimes be justified Rarely be justified Never be justified Don't know/Refusal

For each of the examples below, would you say that physical violence is definitely justified, somewhat justified or not justified at all?

143

2%

2%

2%

10%

4%

7%

6%

24%

91%

88%

88%

61%

3%

4%

4%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

For one’s political

beliefs

For one’s religious

beliefs

For one’s ethnic

group/nationality

For one’s essential

livelihood

Definitely justified Somewhat justified Not justified at all Don't know/Refusal

Herzegovina-Neretva Canton: For each of the examples below, would you say that physical violence is definitely justified, somewhat

justified or not justified at all?

144

3%

4%

3%

5%

8%

11%

9%

15%

84%

80%

82%

76%

4%

6%

7%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


beliefs


beliefs

For one’s ethnic

group/nationality


livelihood


Una-Sana Canton: For each of the examples below, would you say that physical violence is definitely justified, somewhat justified or not

justified at all?

145

1%

10%

2%

4%

4%

19%

95%

94%

92%

70%

2%

2%

4%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


beliefs


beliefs

For one’s ethnic

group/nationality


livelihood


Zenica-Doboj Canton: For each of the examples below, would you say that physical violence is definitely justified, somewhat justified or

not justified at all?

146

<1%

1%

1%

6%

3%

5%

6%

21%

89%

88%

87%

66%

7%

6%

7%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


beliefs


beliefs

For one’s ethnic

group/nationality


livelihood


Republika Srpska East: For each of the examples below, would you say that physical violence is definitely justified, somewhat justified or

not justified at all?

147

1%

0%

2%

5%

1%

3%

3%

14%

97%

93%

94%

78%

1%

4%

1%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


beliefs


beliefs

For one’s ethnic

group/nationality


livelihood


How trustworthy is each organization as a source of information?

148

3%

3%

3%

3%

7%

10%

13%

13%

53%

35%

26%

30%

26%

44%

42%

50%

45%

31%

33%

33%

31%

31%

27%

25%

21%

20%

9%

27%

35%

25%

35%

14%

19%

14%

15%

6%

5%

9%

11%

6%

8%

9%

2%

8%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Media outlets

Government officials

Social media

Parliament

Civil society

organizations

Religious figures

Police

Armed forces

Friends and family

Very trustworthy Somewhat trustworthy Somewhat untrustworthy Very untrustworthy Don't know/Refusal

Demographics

Demographics

150

n Percentage

Type of settlementUrban 943 43%

Rural 1,247 57%

Region

US Canton 164 8%

Tuzla Canton 274 13%

Zenica-Doboj Canton 222 10%

Central Bosnia Canton 154 7%

Herzegovina-Neretva Canton 138 6%

West Herzegovina Canton 57 3%

Canton Sarajevo 258 12%

Livanjski Canton 53 2%

North Republika Srpska 487 22%

East Republika Srpska 289 13%

Posavina Canton 27 1%

Bosnian-Podrinje Canton 15 1%

Brčko District 52 2%

Gender Male 1,060 48%

Female1,130 52%

Age18-35 661 30%

36-55 775 35%

56+ 754 34%

Education

Elementary or less 636 29%

Secondary 1,245 57%

University/Master’s/Doctoral degree 279 13%

Don’t know/Refusal 31 1%

Ethnicity

Bosniak 1,114 51%

Croat 246 11%

Serb 707 32%

Other 103 5%

Don’t know/Refusal 20 1%

Working statusEmployed

711 33%

Unemployed 1,400 67%

Refusal 79 4%

Monthly household income

Up to 500 Bosnian convertible marks (KM) 410 19%

501-1000 KM 517 24%

1001-1500 KM 256 12%

More than 1500 KM 123 6%

Refusal 884 40%

What is your religion?

151

1%

1%

1%

12%

32%

54%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

None

Other

Catholic Christian

Orthodox Christian

Muslim

Compared to other people of your religion, do you observe religious practices and rules much more strictly, somewhat more

strictly, somewhat less strictly or much less strictly?

152

4%

29%

44%

17%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Much less strictly

Somewhat less strictly

Somewhat more strictly

Much more strictly

(Respondents who identified as Muslim, Catholic Christian and Orthodox Christian: n=2,140)

How religious would you say you are?

153

1%

7%

33%

44%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Don't know/Refusal

Not religious at all

Not very religious

Somewhat religious

Very religious

(Respondents who identified as Muslim, Catholic Christian and Orthodox Christian: n=2,140)

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