public opinion on integration and immigration - how does britain compare? bobby duffy head of...
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Public opinion on integration and immigration - how does Britain compare?
Bobby Duffy Head of International Social Trends UnitFebruary 2007
2
I believe Britishness is defined not on ethnic and exclusive grounds but through shared values, our history of tolerance, openness and internationalism...
David Blunkett 2005
Britain - tolerant and open?
We are a nation comfortable with the open world of today… our tolerance is part of what makes Britain, Britain.
Tony Blair 2006
3
In lots of ways we are…
4
Wish to live in an area where almost nobody is of a different race, colour or ethnic group from most
people living in this country
44%
42%
39%
37%
34%
32%
32%
31%
27%
25%
22%
20%
Finland
Portugal
Sweden
Denmark
Greece
Belgium
Spain
The Netherlands
The UK
Italy
Ireland
Germany
Base: European Social Survey 2002/03
% agreeing
5
78%
66%
54%
51%
43%
37%
37%
33%
33%
29%
29%
29%
17%
Netherlands
Germany
France
Canada
Spain
Banning head scarves
United States
Russia
Poland
Great Britain
India
% thinking that banning the wearing of head scarves by Muslim women is a good idea
Lebanon
Turkey
Pakistan
Source: Pew Survey 2005 GB data from April/May
6
51%
50%
47%
43%
37%
36%
34%
30%
26%
22%
14%
Netherlands
Germany
France
Canada
Spain
Views of Muslims
United States
Russia
Poland
Great Britain
Source: Pew Survey GB data from April/May 2005
China
India
% UNFAVOURABLE view of Muslims
7
But that all changes when it comes to
immigration…
8
31%
25%
24%
23%
22%
21%
20%
17%
14%
11%
11%
10%
Finland
Portugal
Sweden
Denmark
Greece
‘Strongly agree’ that people who come and live here should be given the same rights as everybody else
Belgium
Spain
The Netherlands The UK
Italy
Ireland
Germany
Base: European Social Survey 2002/03
% strongly agreeing
9
44%
42%
23%
19%
18%
11%
24%
Most worrying issues nationally – Immigration control
Germany
Most cause for concern
Spain
France
United Kingdom
Italy
USA
Q Which three of the following eleven topics do you find the most worrying in your country? – Immigration control
Total
Base: c.1,000 interviews in each countrySource: Ipsos MORI International Social Trends Monitor, Nov 2006
10
Q: Please tell me whether you are confident in the current government, or not, when it comes to … promoting the integration of foreign populations into your country’s society
45%
37%
34%
34%
32%
25%
34%
Confidence in government to promote the integration of foreigners into society
Spain
France
Germany
The US
Italy
Great Britain
G6 average
% Confident
Source: Ipsos Global Consumers and Citizens Monitor, November 2005 Base: c.1,000 interviews in each country
11
81%
80%
70%
64%
62%
61%
60%
56%
47%
47%
29%
15%Finland
Portugal
Sweden
Denmark
Greece
‘Far many more people’ come to live in this country compared to other European countries of
about the same size
Belgium
Spain
The Netherlands
The UK
Italy
Ireland
Germany
Base: European Social Survey 2002/03
% agreeing
12
Based on huge overestimate of numbers…
Base: All GB adults aged 16+ (822)
Q What proportion of GB residents are immigrants?
6%
26%
Actual level
Average estimate
CHECK KULLY?
13
Based on huge overestimate of numbers…
Base: All GB adults aged 16+ (822)
Q What proportion of GB residents are immigrants?
6%
26%
Actual level
Average estimate
14
0
10
20
30
40
50
Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends
Q What do you see as the main/other important issues facing Britain today?
Base: c. 1,000 British adults 18+
Race relations/ Immigration
No significant variation by class/income – across Europe
15
Offends our sense of fairness?
16
23%
18%
14%
23%
22%
Base: c2,000 respondents 2003
Q To what extent do you agree or disagree that other people seem to get unfair priority over you when it comes to public services and state benefits?
Tend to disagree
Definitely agreeDon’t know
Tend to agree
Definitely disagree
Asylum-seekers 20New immigrants 19Lone parents 8
Who is getting priority?
%
Fairness – or is it “free-rider phobia”?
AGREE
ABC1 = 37%
C2DE = 52%
17
63%
71%
88%
83%
90%
68%
56%
Views on immigration laws
C2
C1
AB
Base: 975 British adultsSource: Ipsos MORI, Aug 2006
DE
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
% Agree laws on immigration should be much tougher/immigration should be stopped altogether
18
63%
71%
88%
83%
90%
68%
56%
Views on immigration laws
C2
C1
AB
% Agree laws on immigration should be much tougher/immigration should be stopped altogether
Base: 975 British adultsSource: Ipsos MORI, Aug 2006
DE
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrat
19
72%
14%16%
34%23%
13%
53%
27%42%
22%8%
Profile of core BNP/NF supporters
Work full-time
Male
E
C2C1AB
D
Source: MORI aggregate data, c100,000 interviews, 2002-2004
Council/RSL
MortgageOwn outright
Private rent
National49%
19%
10%
29%
24%27%
21%17%
45%
43%
7%
20
45%
72%
But pessimism a defining characteristic of BNP/NF supporters…
All GB
BNP/NF supporters
Source: MORI aggregate data, c100,000 interviews, 2002-2004
% Believe that economic condition of country will get worse in next 12 months
21
45%
72%
But pessimism a defining characteristic of BNP/NF supporters…
All GB
BNP/NF supporters
Source: MORI aggregate data, c100,000 interviews, 2002-2004
% Believe that economic condition of country will get worse in next 12 months
22
Race relations / immigration
1.81Read the Daily Mail
1.32Owner-occupier
1.29
Vote Conservative
1.65Read the Daily Express
1.65Read the Sun
1.16
Work Full-time
More likely to see as key issue
0.59
0.58
0.75
0.75
Satisfied with the Government
Read the Guardian
Satisfied with Kennedy
Social Classes AB
Less likely to see as key issue
Key drivers of people saying race/immigration is key issue facing Britain
This time we CAN blame the media… a bit
