public opinion survey residents of ukraine · 2019. 12. 13. · the sample is representative by...

Public Opinion SurveyResidents of Ukraine

September 28 – October 7, 2016

Methodology

2

• The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the International Republican Institute.

• The survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied territories of Crimea and part of the Donbas)

from September 28 to October 7, 2016, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.

• The sample consisted of 2,400 residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. The sample is

representative of gender, age, region, and settlement size. Additionally, 1,156 respondents were surveyed in Kharkiv

oblast. Multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for

respondent selection.

• Stage One: 25 official administrative regions of Ukraine were defined (24 regions of Ukraine and Kyiv). All

regions of Ukraine were surveyed except the occupied territories of Crimea and the Donbas region.

• Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into

subtypes according to their size:

• Cities with population over 1 million

• Cities with population 500,000-999,000



• Cities with population up to 50,000

• Villages

• Cities and villages were selected by means of the random sampling method. The number of selected

cities/villages in each of the regions is proportional to the share of population living in cities/villages of a

certain type in each region.

• Stage Three: Primary sample points (PSP) were defined.

• The margin of error does not exceed 2.0 percent.

• The average response rate was 66.9 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was financed by the Government of Canada.

http://ratinggroup.ua/enhttp://www.iri.org/program/center-insights-survey-researchhttps://www.canada.ca/en.html

Methodology

3

Kharkiv Oblast Oversample

• The survey was conducted throughout Kharkiv oblast from September 28 to October 7, 2016, through face-to-face

interviews at respondents’ homes.

• The sample consisted of an additional 1,156 citizens of Kharkiv oblast aged 18 and older and who have the right to vote.

The sample is representative by sex, age, and settlement size.

• Multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent

selection.

• Stage One: The sample was proportionally split between all rayons of Kharkiv oblast.

• Stage Two: The territory of each rayon of the oblast was split into village and city units. Settlements were split

into types by the number of residents: Cities with population over 1 million




• Cities with population up to 50,000

• Villages

• Cities and villages were selected at random. The number of respondents in selected cities/villages of each

rayon is proportional to the share of the population living in cities/villages of a certain rayon.

• Stage Three: Primary sample points (PSP) were defined.

• The margin of error does not exceed 2.8 percent.

• The average response rate was 64.1 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

4

Geographical Key

Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents of Crimea and

the separatist-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts were not included in this poll.

Mood of the Country

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

6

13% 14%15%

18%

34%

29%

15%17%

15%

11%13% 11%

71%

66%69%

64%

48%51%

72%68%

70%

76%71% 72%

16%20%

16%

17% 18%20%

13% 15%15%

13% 15%17%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

11%

8%

14%

14%

10%

15%

20%

29%

28%

31%

37%

34%

33%

34%

57%

60%

51%

44%

54%

45%

40%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

4%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer

Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Ukraine changed?

7

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

6%

6%

9%

14%

8%

9%

8%

3%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

37%

39%

45%

37%

46%

41%

44%

46%

37%

19%

14%

18%

20%

15%

18%

23%

36%

34%

30%

27%

30%

30%

31%

29%

34%

37%

29%

34%

36%

36%

38%

37%

18%

18%

13%

15%

14%

17%

14%

18%

22%

40%

55%

45%

40%

47%

40%

36%

2%

3%

3%

5%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

November 2011

March 2012

May 2012

September 2012

May 2013

September 2013

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened a lot Difficult to answer

Over last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed?

8

Demographics

9

18%

35%

34%

11%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

We need to save money for food

We have enough money for food, but we need to save orborrow money for buying clothes and shoes

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing andshoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other

purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuumcleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and otherpurchases, but we need to save or borrow money forpurchasing more expensive things (e.g., appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, andexpensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money

for purchases like a car or an apartment

Difficult to answer

FAM

ILY F

INAN

CES

How would you describe the financial situation of your family?(As Taken from the Demographics Section of this Poll)

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

11

Do you think it is acceptable for groups of people to use each of

the following methods of protests?

3%

4%

5%

6%

10%

12%

22%

26%

32%

51%

8%

10%

9%

14%

19%

22%

33%

33%

35%

29%

23%

23%

25%

25%

32%

33%

20%

19%

15%

10%

57%

55%

55%

48%

32%

26%

19%

18%

13%

6%

8%

7%

6%

7%

8%

7%

7%

6%

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Blocking of airports

Blocking of railway lines

Occupation of buildings orenterprises

Blocking of major roads

Strikes without permission

Demonstrations withoutpermission

Boycott

Legal strikes

Legal demonstrations

Collecting signatures forpetition, letter

Fully acceptable More acceptable than unacceptableMore unacceptable than acceptable Fully unacceptableDifficult to answer

Assessment of UkrainianAuthorities’ Performance

9%

11%

15%

3%

4%

3%

2%

3%

3%

33%

36%

40%

21%

20%

22%

15%

16%

17%

20%

19%

22%

34%

29%

28%

32%

36%

30%

27%

24%

13%

33%

40%

42%

43%

37%

44%

11%

11%

10%

8%

6%

6%

8%

9%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

Feruary 2016

June 2016

September 2016

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer

Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko?

13

12%

16%

13%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

34%

36%

35%

10%

11%

11%

6%

19%

12%

17%

16%

27%

32%

29%

25%

25%

30%

28%

27%

24%

15%

52%

54%

57%

64%

29%

51%

9%

8%

10%

6%

5%

5%

4%

21%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016


Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Cabinet of Ministers under the leadership of Volodymyr Hroisman?

14* Volodymyr Hroisman was appointed Prime Minister of Ukraine in April 2016.

2%

6%

6%

3%

1%

1%

11%

32%

33%

14%

9%

10%

10%

5%

9%

7%

30%

24%

24%

36%

35%

35%

31%

29%

35%

29%

50%

26%

26%

37%

49%

48%

52%

59%

46%

58%

8%

11%

11%

9%

6%

6%

7%

6%

9%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

Feruary 2016

June 2016

September 2016


Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Parliament of Ukraine?

15

What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians and members of the Ukrainian government?

1%

3%

4%

1%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

6%

6%

3%

4%

5%

4%

7%

7%

7%

11%

11%

11%

14%

13%

14%

16%

18%

18%

19%

17%

17%

21%

21%

22%

23%

22%

19%

19%

30%

27%

19%

32%

29%

23%

29%

28%

29%

29%

27%

32%

25%

26%

24%

66%

45%

58%

53%

45%

50%

52%

45%

42%

33%

44%

41%

39%

35%

42%

37%

37%

29%

27%

13%

6%

7%

2%

1%

6%

1%

4%

11%

1%

1%

5%

8%

5%

13%

10%

12%

11%

8%

8%

8%

10%

17%

7%

9%

11%

13%

7%

7%

14%

15%

15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Former Prime Minister of Ukraine, Arseniy Yatsenyuk

One of the Leaders of the "UKROP" Party, Hennadiy Korban

Member of Parliament (Opposition Bloc), Mikhaylo Dobkin

Mayor of Kharkiv, Hennadiy Kernes

Minister of Internal Affairs, Arsen Avakov

Leader of the "Svoboda" Party, Oleh Tyahnybok

Member of Parliament and Leader of Opposition Bloc, Yuriy Boyko

Prime Minister of Ukraine Volodymyr Hroisman

Speaker of Parliament Andriy Parubiy

Former Head of the State Security Services (SBU), Valentyn Nalyvaychenko

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko

General Prosecutor Yuriy Lutsenko

Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klitschko

Governor of Odesa Oblast, Mikheil Saakashvili

Member of Parliament and Leader of the Fatherland Party, Yulia Tymoshenko

Member of Parliament and Leader of Radical Party, Oleh Lyashko

Member of Parliament (Fatherland), Nadiya Savchenko

Mayor of Lviv Andriy Sadovyi

Head of the Political Party “Civic Position,” Anatoliy Hrytsenko

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Very unfavorable Have not heard Difficult to answer

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

16


17

29%

43%

63%57%

27% 27% 27%19% 20% 20%

55%

41%30% 34%

63%68% 66%

73% 71% 73%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep. 16

Favorable Unfavorable

32% 34%

53% 54%

10% 13% 12% 7% 6% 5%

60% 59%

40% 39%

83% 82% 83%89% 87% 89%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep. 16

19%25%

20% 23%15% 15%

23%15%21%

33%

62% 62%68% 70%

63%

77%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep. 16

54%48%

46%

50%

24% 25% 27%19% 23% 21%

37%

42%

47%

45%

63% 63% 60%66% 65% 68%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

May 13 Sep.13 Feb.14 Apr.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep. 16

Petro Poroshenko Arseniy Yatsenyuk

Volodymyr Hroisman Vitaliy Klitschko


18

32% 31% 33% 34%

22% 25% 25% 20% 23% 23%

58% 61% 58% 59%

68% 68% 68%72%

68% 69%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%



Yulia Tymoshenko

43%

34% 34%26%

22%

42%

51% 50%

61% 64%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep. 16

28%24%

28% 29%

19% 16% 18% 15% 15% 14%

63% 66% 62% 65%69%

74% 73% 76% 75% 77%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%


Mikheil Saakashvili

Oleh Tyahnybok

18% 17% 16%

52%58% 56%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Nov.15 Jun.16 Sep. 16

Valentyn Nalyvaychenko


19

46%

24%

34%

62%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Jun.16 Sep. 16


13% 13% 12% 13%17% 15%

70% 72% 72% 70% 67%71%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep. 16

Nadiya Savchenko Yuriy Boyko

Energy and UtilityIssues in Ukraine

Considering the increase in prices for housing and communal services, are you going to take any steps this year for efficient

energy-savings to decrease your communal services consumption?

21

30%

42%

13%

6%

9%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

*Historically, the Ukrainian government has subsidized the price of utilities for households; however, the International

Monetary Fund has required that Ukraine decrease its subsidies—a move that would increase the prices of utilities for

families during a period of ongoing economic hardship. As such, it is a deeply politicized issue.

22

Considering the increase in prices for housing and communal services, are you going to take any steps this year for efficient

energy-savings to decrease your communal services consumption?

29%

30%

30%

32%

36%

42%

46%

46%

13%

5%

4%

3%

9%

9%

9%

9%

13%

15%

11%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Very poor

Poor

Low income

High income

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Difficult to answer Somewhat no

(Financial Status)

5%

22%

3%

2%

12%

13%

57%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Will not do anything to reduce the consumption of coldwater

Other

Purchase of a dishwasher

Installation/replacement of water meters

Replacing old plumbing

Reducing water consumption

What exactly do you plan to do in order to decrease your consumption of water?

23

Among Those Who Use the Centralized Water Supply Services (n=1,796)

9%

32%

3%

2%

3%

4%

5%

7%

7%

9%

13%

15%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Difficult to answer

Will not do anything to reduce heating services' consumption

Other

Using alternative energy sources for heating

Installing/replacing individual heating meters in yourapartment

Replacing old radiators with new ones

Switching to individual heating by means of gas/electricboilers

Reducing heat energy consumption

Installing/replacing heat meters in your house

Installing a water boiler

Adding additional insulation to buildings

Adding insulation to old windows

Installing energy-efficient windows

What exactly do you plan to do for energy-savings to decrease your centralized heating consumption?

24

Among Those Who Use the Centralized Heating Services (n=1,119)

5%

21%

4%

7%

9%

11%

14%

51%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Will not do anything to reduce the consumption of gas

Other

Installing modern gas equipment (boiler, etc.)

Installing/replacing gas meters

Adding additional insulation to your apartment

Adding additional insulation to buildings

Reducing gas consumption

What exactly do you plan to do for energy-savings to decrease your gas consumption?

25

Among Those Who Use the Centralized Gas Services (n=2,166)

4%

13%

2%

5%

8%

46%

56%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Will not do anything to save electricity

Other

Purchasing new energy-saving appliances

Installing two-tariff meters (day/night tariff)

Usage of energy-saving lamps

Reducing energy consumption

What exactly do you plan to do for energy-savings to decrease your electricity consumption?

26

Among Those Who Use the Electricity Services (n=2,400)

Electoral Moods

28

30%

34%

11%

15%

10%

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Very unlikely

Difficult to answer

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections?

29

22%

29%

38%

36%

33%

32%

12%

10%

9%

17%

18%

12%

12%

9%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-35 years old

36-50 years old

51+ years old

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Difficult to answer

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections?(By Age)

Do you support the idea of pre-term parliamentary elections in Ukraine?

30

15%

18%

20%

17%

18%

27%

23%

25%

21%

24%

22%

20%

19%

22%

19%

23%

23%

22%

25%

21%

14%

17%

14%

16%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer

34%

40%

39%

46%

34%

34%

41%

42%

49%

42%

29%

34%

28%

28%

26%

31%

33%

33%

32%

33%

36%

34%

35%

33%

32%

32%

35%

40%

33%

34%

30%

33%

7%

9%

8%

5%

8%

7%

8%

5%

4%

7%

9%

4%

10%

9%

10%

9%

13%

11%

14%

11%

19%

20%

10%

12%

11%

15%

20%

16%

20%

21%

22%

19%

12%

8%

8%

5%

4%

5%

6%

8%

3%

5%

8%

6%

9%

7%

11%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

November 2011

March 2012

May 2012

September 2012

May 2013

September 2013

February 2014

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

June 2016

September 2016

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Definitely no Difficult to answer

If pre-term parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, would you vote?

31

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the elections, for which

political party would you vote?

32

18%

21%

4%

1%

1%1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

5%

6%

6%

8%

9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Difficult to answer

I would not vote

Other

Democratic Alliance

People's Front

Right Sector

Agrarian Party of Ukraine

People’s Control

Nash Krai Party

Social Democatic Party

National Movement of D.Yarosh

Left Opposition

UKROP

Party of Saakashvili, Hvylya

Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)

Strong Ukraine

Svoboda

For Life Party (Za Zhyttia)

Civic Position

Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)

Radical Party

Opposition Bloc

Bloc Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist”

Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna)

(Among All Respondents)



33

(Among Likely Voters, n=1539)

18%5%

1%1%

1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%

5%5%5%

7%8%9%

10%13%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Difficult to answer

Other

Democratic Alliance

People's Front

Right Sector

Agrarian Party of Ukraine

Social Democratic Party

Nash Krai Party

People’s Control

National Movement of D.Yarosh

Left Opposition

Party of Saakashvili, Hvylya

Strong Ukraine

UKROP

Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia)

For Life Party (Za Zhyttia)

Svoboda

Civic Position

Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich)

Opposition Bloc

Radical Party

Bloc Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist”

Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna)

34

(Among All Respondents)

Jul.15 Sep. 15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16

Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna) 6% 9% 8% 9% 9% 9%

Bloc Petro Poroshenko “Solidarnist” 8% 10% 11% 7% 7% 8%

Opposition Bloc 6% 8% 8% 8% 10% 6%

Radical Party 5% 5% 3% 5% 5% 6%

Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich) 7% 9% 7% 8% 5% 5%

Civic Position 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 4%

For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) - - - - - 3%

Svoboda 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3%

Strong Ukraine 1% 1% - 1% - 2%

Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) - 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%

Party of Saakashvili, Hvylya - - - - 2% 1%

UKROP 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%

Right Sector 5% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1%

Other Party 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 10%

I would not vote 24% 16% 25% 27% 26% 21%

Difficult to answer 20% 19% 17% 16% 19% 18%



Views on Issues

Which three of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine?

36

1%

3%

1%

4%

4%

5%

6%

8%

12%

16%

17%

22%

24%

27%

28%

29%

38%

53%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Other

Status of Russian language

Land property rights

Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electric power, water

Russian presence in Crimea

Delay in salaries/pensions payments

Relationships with Russia

Crime

Hryvnia devaluation

Political instability

Social protection for poor

Government incompetence

Control over prices' growth

Low industry production

Unemployment

Corruption within state bodies

Military conflict in Donbas

Which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally?

37

1%

6%

2%

3%

6%

6%

8%

10%

12%

12%

13%

14%

20%

30%

31%

33%

35%

48%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Other

Status of Russian language

Russian presence in Crimea

Land property rights

Relationships with Russia

Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electric power, water

Delay in salaries/pensions payments

Political instability

Crime

Government incompetence

Low industry production

Corruption within state bodies

Hryvnia devaluation

Social protection for poor

Unemployment

Military conflict in Donbas

Control over prices' growth

Which three of the following issues should be a priority for the national authorities of Ukraine?

38

5%

4%

2%

3%

4%

6%

6%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

11%

12%

13%

16%

17%

18%

22%

29%

32%

42%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Difficult to answer

Other

Deregulation

Reform of public procurement

Reform of electoral legislation

Reform of state property management

Tax reform

Reform of financial sector

Constitutional reform

Program to promote interests of Ukraine around the world

Educational reform

Reform of law enforcement system

Decentralization

Reform of national security and defense system

Reform of public administration

Energy independence program and energy reform

Entrepreneurship development

Agricultural reform

Judicial reform

Reform of healthcare system

New faces in government

Anti-corruption reform

7%

4%

15%

16%

18%

20%

24%

32%

33%

37%

47%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Other

State officials who had occupied top positions during the previous regime are dismissed (‘lustrated’)

Well-known representatives of the former regime are arrested andsentenced

All budgets are made public

A procedure on bribery investigations is introduced in order toinvestigate and punish persons involved in corruption

The process of obtaining licenses, approvals, etc. is made as easy aspossible

Well-known current authorities who were found to have beeninvolved in corruption are arrested and sentenced

Current authorities who were caught on bribery are arrested andsentenced

A clear anti-corruption mechanism that would hold officialsresponsible is introduced

Immunity of MPs and judges is abolished

When will you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction?

39

Three Responses

Made a Request

If so, did an official

ask you to pay a

bribe or expect a

bribe?

Did you pay a

bribe to the

official to solve

your problem?

Do you feel that this

institution has become

more or less corrupt in

recent years?

Yes No Yes No Yes No Less More

Same/

Difficult

to answer

Communal services 34% 66% 10% 90% 7% 93% 23% 10% 68%

Medical establishments 57% 43% 25% 75% 28% 72% 16% 24% 60%

Educational establishments 22% 78% 27% 73% 25% 75% 16% 15% 68%

Police, including traffic

police8% 92% 31% 69% 26% 74% 25% 12% 63%

Tax services institutions 6% 94% 24% 76% 17% 83% 14% 16% 70%

Social services provision

institutions27% 73% 5% 95% 3% 97% 23% 11% 66%

Registration and licensing

services institutions 18% 82% 14% 86% 10% 90% 19% 15% 66%

Customs service and border

guard service3% 97% 39% 61% 26% 74% 13% 18% 69%

Courts 2% 98% 34% 66% 31% 69% 11% 21% 68%

Prosecutor’s office 1% 99% 23% 77% 17% 83% 12% 17% 71%

40

In the last 12 months, have you personally made a request of the following Ukrainian institutions?

In the last 12 months, have you personally made a request of the following Ukrainian institutions?

Made a Request

If so, did an official ask

you to pay a bribe or

expect a bribe?

Did you pay a bribe to

the official to solve your

problem?

May

2012

June

2016

Sept.

2016

May

2012

June

2016

Sept.

2016

May

2012

June

2016

Sept.

2016

Communal services 33% 36% 34% 6% 6% 10% 4% 4% 7%

Medical establishments 55% 59% 57% 25% 26% 25% 28% 30% 28%

Educational establishments 20% 20% 22% 33% 27% 27% 31% 25% 25%

Police, including traffic police 13% 9% 8% 40% 28% 31% 37% 25% 26%

Tax services institutions 5% 6% 6% 16% 14% 24% 14% 13% 17%

Social services provision

institutions12% 27% 27% 6% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3%

Registration and licensing services

institutions 15% 18% 18% 14% 12% 14% 11% 13% 10%

Customs service and border guard

service2% 2% 3% 19% 31% 39% 19% 27% 26%

Courts - 3% 2% - 34% 34% - 25% 31%

Prosecutor’s office - 1% 1% - 41% 23% - 25% 17%

41

Values of the Positive Responses are Given

42

Do you feel that this institution has become more or less corrupt in recent years?

5%

4%

7%

8%

10%

12%

15%

17%

16%

18%

22%

20%

20%

17%

24%

14%

14%

10%

12%

15%

73%

76%

73%

75%

66%

74%

71%

73%

72%

67%

Courts

Prosecutor's office

Customs service and borderguard service

Tax services institutions

Medical establishments

Educational establishments

Registration and licensingservices institutions

Communal services

Social services provisioninstitutions

Police, including trafficpolice

Less More Same/Difficult to answer

11%

12%

13%

14%

16%

16%

19%

23%

23%

25%

21%

17%

18%

16%

24%

15%

15%

10%

11%

12%

68%

71%

69%

70%

60%

68%

66%

68%

66%

63%

Courts

Prosecutor's office

Customs service and borderguard service

Tax services institutions

Medical establishments

Educational establishments

Registration and licensingservices institutions

Communal services

Social services provisioninstitutions

Police, including trafficpolice

Less More Same/Difficult to answer

June 2016 September 2016

11%

11%

9%

20%

54%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Other

During last six months, you personally had to give bribes

During last six months, your friends or relatives had togive bribes

You know about high level of corruption from massmedia

Which key factor leads you to the conclusion about the level of corruption in Ukraine?

43

44

June 2016 September 2016

You are aware of the high level of corruption from

mass media.53% 54%

During the last six months, your friends or relatives

had to pay a bribe.22% 20%

During the last six months, you personally had to

pay a bribe.10% 9%

Other 4% 6%

Difficult to answer/No answer 11% 11%

Which key factor leads you to the conclusion about the level of corruption in Ukraine?

Foreign Policy

46

If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, with which of the following should it be?

42%

36%

37%

32%

40%

42%

41%

52%

53%

59%

55%

57%

57%

55%

54%

51%

40%

43%

41%

42%

37%

37%

36%

27%

24%

17%

14%

17%

15%

15%

15%

19%

3%

4%

5%

6%

5%

5%

9%

6%

10%

9%

12%

12%

12%

14%

12%

14%

15%

17%

17%

20%

18%

17%

14%

14%

13%

15%

20%

14%

16%

15%

19%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

November 2011

March 2012

May 2012

September 2012

May 2013

September2013

February 2012

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

Feruary 2016

June 2016

September 2016

European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer

47

If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, with which of the following should it be?

24%

37%

59%

79%

40%

22%

12%

3%

15%

25%

11%

7%

21%

16%

18%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

East

South

Center

West

European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer

If a referendum on Ukraine joining NATO were held today, how would you vote?

34%

38%

43%

41%

48%

48%

45%

39%

43%

43%

40%

31%

30%

28%

30%

30%

32%

29%

9%

7%

17%

14%

8%

10%

10%

12%

11%

13%

15%

8%

15%

17%

13%

16%

17%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2014

April 2014

September 2014

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

Feruary 2016

June 2016

September 2016

Would vote for Ukraine joining NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO

Would not vote Difficult to answer

48

If a referendum on Ukraine joining NATO were held today, how would you vote?

49

17%

36%

47%

68%

47%

39%

24%

8%

13%

12%

11%

9%

23%

14%

18%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

East

South

Center

West

Would vote for Ukraine joining NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO

Would not vote Difficult to answer

3%

3%

4%

5%

7%

8%

8%

7%

8%

10%

12%

15%

20%

25%

30%

31%

33%

33%

34%

36%

41%

41%

24%

61%

59%

52%

42%

47%

51%

50%

40%

41%

39%

28%

11%

8%

10%

14%

9%

6%

6%

10%

6%

6%

29%

4%

3%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Russia

Turkey

Moldova

Germany

United States

Lithuania

Canada

Georgia

European Union

Belarus

Poland

Very warm Warm Neutral Very cold Difficult to answer

2%

2%

1%

How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries?

50

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Women and Youth in Ukraine

52

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women.”

22%

26%

20%

22%

33%

30%

31%

33%

32%

28%

21%

23%

24%

24%

17%

5%

5%

8%

8%

10%

21%

15%

15%

15%

13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

September 2016

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly disagree Difficult to answer

1%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people.”

53

29%

34%

28%

27%

36%

33%

37%

37%

35%

32%

16%

16%

17%

18%

14%

4%

4%

6%

7%

8%

18%

10%

12%

12%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

July 2015

September 2015

November 2015

February 2016

September 2016

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly disagree Difficult to answer

Kharkiv Region (n=1,156)

September 28 – October 7, 2016

55

In your opinion, which institution is most responsible for improving the standard of living and quality of life for Ukrainians?

11%

3%

6%

20%

29%

31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Difficult to answer

Other

Local authorities

Parliament

Government under the leadership of current Prime Minister

President

In your opinion, should more rights be transferred from central authorities to local authorities and communities?

56

29%

44%

5%

3%

19%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

57

In your opinion, are your local authorities and communities able

to cope with more responsibilities that might result from

decentralization reform?

23%

43%

7%

4%

23%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

Who do you think should hold the most responsibility for addressing local issues and providing services to your community?

14%

5%

6%

7%

9%

10%

13%

18%

18%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Difficult to answer

Government and central government agencies

Council of your rayon

Council of your oblast

Governor of your rayon

Council of your village

Governor of your oblast

Council of your city/town

Your local mayor

58

In your opinion, which areas should be a priority for the authorities of your oblast?

59

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

5%

5%

6%

7%

8%

8%

16%

17%

18%

22%

23%

29%

33%

43%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Other

Right to speak native language

Sport

Culture

Taxation

Ecology

Deregulation and support of entrepreneurship

Lustration*

Schools and kindergartens

Youth

Law-enforcement agencies, including local police

Education and science

Energy

Defense and military

Pensions and social benefits

Agriculture and land

Healthcare

Industry

Security in the city/village

Fight against corruption

Infrastructure (roads, etc.)

Housing and communal economy

Three Responses

*In Ukraine, the term lustration refers to the exclusion from public office of civil servants who worked under Ukrainian

President Viktor Yanukovych for more than a year and civil servants who were active in the Communist Party of the Soviet

Union. They may be excluded for five to 10 years (Source: Kyiv Post).

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/politics/lustration-law-faces-sabotage-legal-hurdles-369135.html

Do you approve or disapprove the activities of the Mayor of Kharkiv, Gennadiy Kernes?

60

30%

28%

10%

10%

22%

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Difficult to answer

What is your opinion of the following politicians?

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

7%

12%

25%

8%

9%

15%

17%

20%

21%

43%

29%

10%

8%

10%

5%

10%

6%

6%

8%

36%

19%

20%

16%

22%

11%

12%

22%

23%

39%

27%

39%

20%

28%

6%

1%

23%

24%

27%

21%

25%

28%

21%

15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

MP Anton Gerashchenko (Narodnyi Front)

MP of Kharkiv city council Taras Sytenko (Samopomich)

MP Dmytro Svyatash (Vidrodzhennia)

First Deputy of city mayor Ihor Terehov

Head of Kharkiv oblast council Ihor Rainin

Businessman Oleksandr Yaroslavskiy

MP Oleksandr Feldman

Mayor of Kharkiv Gennadiy Kernes

Very favorable Somewhat favorable

Very unfavorable Have not heard Difficult to answer

61

62

In your opinion, which of the following should Ukraine do?

21%

1%

2%

7%

8%

61%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Difficult to answer

Other

Be divided into several countries

Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea

Become a federal country

Remain a unitary country

Do you feel that citizens of Ukraine whose native language is Russian are under pressure or threat because of their language?

63

2%10%

18%

63%

7%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

64

Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation to send its army “to protect Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine?”

1%

11%

81%

7%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Somewhat no

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

65

How do you evaluate Russia’s actions toward Crimea?

21%

7%

9%

63%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Difficult to answer

Other

It is a lawful protection of Russian-speaking citizens ofUkraine

It is an illegal invasion and occupation of independentUkraine

In your opinion, are Ukrainian authorities doing enough to ensure the return of Crimea?

66

6%

7%

25%

35%

27%

Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

67

In your opinion, how should Ukraine act regarding Crimea today: use all possible resources in order to return Crimea to Ukraine or

accept the transfer of Crimea to Russia?

27%

22%

51%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Difficult to answer

Accept the transfer of Crimea to Russia

Use all possible resources to return Crimea to Ukraine

In your opinion, are the national authorities of Ukraine doing enough to keep the liberated areas of the Donbas under

Ukrainian control?

68

9%

13%

19%

29%

30%Definitely yes

Somewhat yes

Definitely no

Difficult to answer

69

In your opinion, which status should the Donbas territories under the control of Russian-backed separatists have?

19%

1%

1%

2%

9%

10%

58%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Difficult to answer

Other

Become part of Russia

Become an independent country

Be part of Ukraine but with a special status

Be part of Ukraine but with extended responsibilitiesresulting from decentralization reform

Be part of Ukraine as before

70

In your opinion, which status should all of the Donbas have (the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts)?

19%

1%

1%

1%

2%

7%

12%

58%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Difficult to answer

Other

The territories controlled today by the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics should be separated and the

rest of the territory should stay within Ukraine

Become part of Russia

Become an independent country

Become an autonomous region within Ukraine

Be part of Ukraine but with extended responsibilitiesresulting from decentralization reform

Be part of Ukraine as before

Demographics

Demographics

45%

55%

34%

25%

42%

48%

32%

21%

3%

24%

38%

35%

24%

1%

18%

2%

30%

4%

9%

7%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Males

Females

18-35

36-50

51+

Ukrainian

Russian

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally

Primary/Non-complete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Non-complete higher

Worker

Farmer

White collar

Higher or medium level executive

Pensioner (not working)

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

Other

SEX

AG

E

LAN

GU

AG

ESPO

KEN

AT

HO

ME

ED

UCATIO

NO

CCU

PATIO

N

72

Demographics

73

30%

25%

9%

1%

1%

5%

24%

2%

4%

70%

30%

24%

31%

23%

22%

0% 50% 100%

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)

Greek Catholic

Catholic

Protestant

Atheist

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion

Other

Difficult to answer

City

Village

West

Center

South

East

RELIG

ION

TYPE O

FSETTLEM

EN

TREG

ION

S

Demographics

74

18%

35%

34%

11%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

We need to save money for food

We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrowmoney for buying clothes and shoes

We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes,but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good

suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner

We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and otherpurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more

expensive things (e.g., appliances)

We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensivepurchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a

car or an apartment

Difficult to answer

FAM

ILY F

INAN

CES

Demographics

45%

55%

33%

25%

42%

4%

23%

33%

40%

22%

1%

19%

1%

30%

4%

9%

8%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Males

Females

18-35

36-50

51+

Primary/Non-complete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Non-complete higher

Worker

Farmer

White collar

Higher or medium level executive

Pensioner (not working)

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

Other

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UCATIO

NO

CCU

PATIO

N

75

Kharkiv Oversample

Demographics

76

38%

12%

1%

7%

1%

5%

6%

81%

20%

15%

58%

27%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)

Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)

Protestant

Atheist

I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion

Other

Difficult to answer

City

Village

Ukrainian

Russian

Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally

RELIG

ION

TYPE O

FSETTLEM

EN

TLAN

GU

AG

ESPO

KEN

AT H

OM

E

Kharkiv Oversample

Demographics

77

24%

31%

31%

12%

www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls

Center for Insights in Survey Research

202.408.9450 | [email protected]

This presentation was undertaken with the financial support of the Government of Canada provided

through the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development (DFATD)

Programme réalisée avec l’appui financier du gouvernement du Canada accordé par l’entremise du

ministère des Affaires étrangères, du Commerce et du Développement (MAECD)
http://www.international.gc.ca/international/index.aspx?lang=enghttp://www.international.gc.ca/international/index.aspx?lang=enghttp://ratinggroup.ua/enhttp://ratinggroup.ua/en

public opinion survey residents of ukraine · 2019. 12. 13. · the sample is representative by...

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