puget sound basin dynamics, what a concentration
TRANSCRIPT
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Puget Sound basin dynamics, what a concentration represents,
and mechanisms for nutrient fluxes
Jan NewtonUniversity of Washington APL and WOAC
Al Devol, John Mickett, Wendi Ruef, Mark Warner, and many technicians over the years
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Puget Sound Chesapeake Bay
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e
Newton, Stormer, UW-COFS; Data source: NGDC
Bathymetry
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0 meters
200 meters
Puget Sound
is fjord-like;
a glacial-cut
estuarine
system
• It is deep
• Its nearshore
is narrow
Newton, Stormer, UW-COFS; Data source: NGDC
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Implications of a steep nearshore for
the ecosystem:
• It is only a narrow “fringe” of nearshore
habitat that supports many species at some
point in their life cycle
• Because narrow, we have less ‘leeway’
regarding destruction of nearshore habitat
• Removing or degrading a portion of the
nearshore habitat in Puget Sound does not
have the same proportional effect on the
living system as in a shallow, flat estuaryPhoto: PSAT 2004 State of Sound
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0 meters
200 meters
Puget Sound is deep, with strong tides, but sills too
Newton, Stormer, UW-COFS; Data source: NGDC
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Puget Sound circulation is retentive
TacomaStrait of Juan de Fuca
Sill
Stormer, UW; Data source: The Sound CD-ROM” UW-APL, WA Sea Grant, 1997
“reflux”
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Implications of reflux for ecosystem:
• Inputs to Puget Sound stay around for a long
time…
– Long-lasting effects that can be
de-coupled from source elimination
• Biota in Puget Sound have a high degree of
residency
• Both good and bad: this is why Puget Sound is
highly productive, but also highly retentive of
contaminants
Photos: PSAT 2004 State of Sound
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Ebbesmeyer
et al., 1984
BASINS AND SILLS
PSAMP, 2002
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Puget Sound Basins
Source: Puget Sound Partnership
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Puget Sound Tidal Range
Finlayson, 2006
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river
ocean
Estuarine circulation
Buoyant river water flows out of an estuary on surface,
dense ocean water flows in at depth, but there is mixing,
and sills cause “reflux” of water back in to an estuary.
Thomson, 1994
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fast
medium slow
medium
slow
very slow
Residence Times (relative)
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Basins
• Hood Canal: slow circulation, strong stratification
• Main Basin: fastest circulation, strong mixing
• Whidbey Basin: most freshwater input
• South Sound: strong mixing in some locations, slower circulation
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“The many faces of Puget Sound”By Eric Sorensen
Seattle Times science reporter; Monday, June 25, 2001
“Here's how some of the Sound's personalities work:
• The South Sound is so dynamic, with channels and inlets of varying depth, that different samplings show wildly different profiles.
• The Whidbey Basin off Everett is wonderfully productive in its top layer to the point where the phytoplankton below 30 feet is shaded out by the phytoplankton above and the incoming sediment of the many rivers. In the lower levels, ocean water can linger and last as long as a year.
• The north part of the Sound's main basin is well-mixed, with strong tides and sills turning the water regularly.
• The southern part of the basin is more stable, letting phytoplankton develop more easily.
• Hood Canal has so much phytoplankton that it goes off the researchers' graphs. It's also less turbulent, with upper layers letting the waters warm so much that by midsummer temperatures can top 70º F. By comparison, what's 48º F in Friday Harbor in November will be 48º F in June.”
http://community.seattletimes.nwsource.com/archive/?date=20010625&slug=pugetsound25m0
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Thomson, 1994
Oceanic control is strong
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Emmett, et al., 2000
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Emmett, et al., 2000
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WARM
COLD
temperature salinity determine density
FRESH
SALTY
+
less dense
more dense“thermocline”
or “pycnocline”
Water StructureWater Structure
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WARM
FRESH
COLD
SALTY
“stratified” “mixed”
Density structure can be two different ways:
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Lo nutrient Hi oxygen
Phytoplankton present
Hi nutrient Lo oxygen
No phytoplankton
And more things vary than just temp. and salinity:
Phytoplankton present
No phytoplankton
{ CO2 + H2O C(H2O) + O2 }
sunlight
nutrientsPhotosynthesis
Respiration
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Basins
• Hood Canal: slow circulation, strong stratification
• Main Basin: fastest circulation, strong mixing
• Whidbey Basin: most freshwater input
• South Sound: strong mixing in some locations, slower circulation
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4625
3225
3412
2900
2360
19832340
2186
1500
~3000
~2000
n=19
n=19
n=5 x 80
n=30
n=8
Primary Production
(mg C m-2 d-1)
>1000-2000
>2000-3000
>3000-4000
>4000-5000
Newton et al., 2000
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127
67
48
27
3041
Chlorophyll a
(mg chl m-2)
<30
>30-50
>50-70
>70
32
Newton et al., 2000
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-31/372
29/50
85/77
0/0
64/1159/54
(P / B) percent
increase
compared to SJF
<10
>10-50
>50-100
>100
5/19
Newton et al., 2000
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What makes Puget Sound unique?
• 2nd largest estuary in the US, one of most productive in the world
• Deep, glacial fjord average depth 62.5m, max ~280m: • Chesapeake Bay average depth 6.4m
• San Francisco Bay average 7.6 m, max 30.5m
• Large tidal exchange: 3-4m
• Ocean-dominated salinity: Puget Sound 83% seawater vs 50% seawater for Chesapeake Bay
• Distinct basins
Source: Puget Sound 2015 Fact book, Puget Sound Institute
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Problems
• Not all basins work the same, so our
monitoring needs to be distributed.
• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial
variation
• Can be strong temporal variation
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High variability
370 profiles
in July 2008
Representativeness critical to understanding change in highly dynamic environment.
Sensor drift was found to vary 10% for the ORCA buoy oxygen sensors over one month. Using
samples from monthly versus every 6 hours intervals was found to account for 50-300% variation
or error, based on Monte Carlo sub-sampling simulations of 6-h frequency data (Devol et al.2007). Devol & Ruef
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Strong spatial variationL
atitu
de
N
Longitude W
Oct 08
Surface maps of dissolved oxygen and
chlorophyll concentrations around the ORCA
mooring in April 2007.
Note correlations of concentration fields.
Distance (m) Distance (m)
Dis
tan
ce (
m)
Distance (m) Distance (m)
Dis
tan
ce (
m)
DO chl
Devol & Ruef
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Problems
• Not all basins work the same, so our
monitoring needs to be distributed.
• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial
variation
• Can be strong temporal variation
• What does a nutrient concentration really
mean?
• Do we understand the system?
• How will things be changing?
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Nutrients & Chlorophyll
• Low nutrients could indicate lack of
phytoplankton (persistence of lack of
nutrients, thus low biomass)
• Low nutrients could indicate a bloom
(sudden uptake of nutrients with high
biomass)
• High nutrients could indicate eutrophication
• High nutrients could indicate upwelling
• High nutrients could indicate lack of
sunlight and slow growth
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“In general, the symptoms contributing most to high eutrophic
conditions were elevated levels of chlorophyll a, coupled with various
combinations of macroalgal abundance, nuisance/toxic algal blooms,
and low dissolved oxygen. High chlorophyll a concentrations is also a
fairly common natural condition in some North Pacific estuaries due
to naturally occurring seasonal blooms.”
Bricker, S.B., et al., 1999
“These particular
systems are influenced
by inflows of upwelled
oceanic water which is
low in dissolved oxygen,
and therefore contributes
to dissolved oxygen
problems which might
otherwise be attributed
to human influence.”
Bricker et al., 2007
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?
Differences between Hood Canal
and Puget Sound
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Near Admiralty InletWithin Hood Canal
“ORCA” buoy data
Devol, Ruef (UW)
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Water quality impacts from
eutrophication• Dependent on stratification
no light
no nutrients
Stratified: Well-mixed:
O2 debt
Spri
ng:
Su
mm
er:
no light
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32
28
13
10
159
4
1115
% increase in
integrated prod’n
<5
>5-15
>15-25
>25-35
Newton et al., 2000
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32/
79
28/78
13/17
10/16
15/209/14
4/11
11/
15215/
51
% increase in
integrated /
surface prod’n
<5 / <10
>5-15 / >10-30
>15-25 / >30-50
>25-35 / >50-70
>35 / >70
Newton et al., 2000
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Hood Canal Vertical stratification strong
0
20
40
60
80
0 20 40 60
0
20
40
60
80
0 50 100
Chl a (ug/L)
21 Oct 1999
18 Aug 1999
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Jan Feb Mar Apr May SepAugJulJun DecNovOctJan Feb Mar Apr May SepAugJulJun DecNovOct
Annual cycle
2006
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-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Perc
en
t in
cre
ase in
su
rface p
rod
ucti
on
Admiralty
Central Hood
South Hood
Hood Canal
Newton et al., 2000
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South Sound Phytoplankton blooms appear spatially
variable and dynamicSurface chl Surface NO3
Albertson et al., 2002
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-100
0
100
200
300
400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Perc
en
t in
cre
ase in
su
rface p
rod
ucti
on
Carr
Nisqually
Case
Hammersley
Totten
South Sound
Newton et al., 2000
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Effect of nutrient spike
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
O-9
8
J-9
9
M-9
9
M-9
9
J-9
9
A-9
9
S-9
9
O-9
9
J-0
0
M-0
0
M-0
0
J-0
0
J-0
0
A-0
0
S-0
0
De
lta
Pro
du
ctio
n
(mg C
m-2
d-1
)Point Wells Admiralty Inlet West Point
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
S-9
8
D-9
8
A-9
9
J-9
9
O-9
9
F-0
0
M-0
0
A-0
0
N-0
0
Pro
du
cti
on
(mg
C m
-2 d
-1)
Main Basin Strong temporal variability
Nakata & Newton 2004
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-100
0
100
200
300
400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Perc
en
t in
cre
ase i
n s
urf
ace p
rod
ucti
on West Point
Point Wells
Admiralty Inlet
Possession Sound
Main Basin
Newton et al., 2000
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Regional patterns
• Hood Canal: 1.0 - 1.5 kg C m-2 y-1
– highest P, B, ~ constant nutrient sensitivity
• South Sound: 0.7 - 1.1 kg C m-2 y-1
– high and variable P, B, nutrient sensitivity
• Main Basin: 0.8 kg C m-2 y-1
– dynamic and moderate P, B, variable nutrient
sensitivity
• Strait of Juan de Fuca: 0.5 kg C m-2 y-1
– lowest P, B, strong ocean influence
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Problems
• Not all basins work the same, so our
monitoring needs to be distributed.
• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial
variation
• Can be strong temporal variation
• What does a nutrient concentration really
mean?
• Do we understand the system?
• How will things be changing?
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Sources of N to Puget Sound
• Land
– ground water
– surface water: rivers, streams, storm water, etc.
– point sources: sewage, industrial
• Water
– recycled from consumers: zpk, fish, benthos, etc.
– flux from marine sediments
– import from other marine areas: ocean, etc.
• Air
– atmospheric nitrogen equilibrium with water
– rain
– fallout of particles
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Ocean
Atmosphere
Groundwater
Rivers
Surface
? %
? %
? %
? %
? %
? %‘Storage’
Benthic ? %
Watershed? %
Upward flux to photic zone ? %
Load estimates:
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20 -
40 -
60 -
0-
Lower Hood Canal
3.2
Freshwater input
(incl. 2.4 from septics)
9.5
Denitrification
removal
40
84 Transport in*
28.5 Transport out*
9 dNO3/dt
Union Belfair
Lower Hood Canal N-Budget (Mt/mo; JJAS):
39.5
dPN/dt
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Concentration x flow = flux !
Nitrate Currents
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The answer you get depends on how you sample…
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Ocean
Atmosphere
Groundwater
Rivers
Surface
? %
? %
? %
? %
? %
? %‘Storage’
Benthic ? %
Watershed? %
Upward flux to photic zone ? %
Load estimates:
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Respiration and Decay (R) : [O2]
CH2O + O2 CO2 + H2O + nutrients
Photosynthesis (P) : [O2]
CO2 + H2O + nutrients CH2O + O2
Nutrients
Str
atif
icat
ion
Devol 2003
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Photosynthesis (P) : [O2]
CO2 + H2O + nutrients CH2O + O2
Respiration and Decay (R) : [O2]
CH2O + O2 CO2 + H2O + nutrients
Nutrients
Str
atif
icat
ion
Photosynthesis (P) : [O2]
CO2 + H2O + nutrients CH2O + O2
Devol 2003
Euphoti
c zo
ne
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Problems
• Not all basins work the same, so our
monitoring needs to be distributed.
• Within a basin, there can be strong spatial
variation
• Can be strong temporal variation
• What does a nutrient concentration really
mean?
• Do we understand the system?
• How will things be changing?
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Monthly solar radiation SeaTac airport (48N)
Ebbesmeyer
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Variation in spring bloomN2
Chlorophyll
Solar
2005 2006 2007
Ruef
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Interannual
variation
Eisner et al., 1997
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PNW estuaries
have strong
influence from
climate
Global influence on:
ocean conditions
watershed conditions
local weather
NASA SeaWiFS
Image
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<0%
0-30%
30-49%
50-69%
>70%
Percent change instratification
(10-y mean – Oct 00-Sep 01/10-y mean)
Mean = 56%
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Joint Effort to Monitor the Strait (JEMS)
JEMS line
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fresher,
warmer water
from Puget
Sound and
Georgia
Basin flowing
outcolder, salty
water from
Pacific Ocean
flowing in
North
Canada
South
U.S.A.
Flow in Strait of Juan de Fuca:
Thomson, 1994
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S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A
0
20
40
60
80
100
Dep
th (
m)
Geostrophic Velocity (cm/s)
-60
-50
-50
-40
-40
-40
-30
-30
-30
-30
-20 -20
-20
-20
-20
-20
-20 -2
0
-20
-20
-20
-10
-10 -1
0
-10
-10
-10
-10
-10
-10
-10
-10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2000 2001 2002
Geostrophic Velocity (cm/sec)Low River Flow
Weak Density
Gradient
Decreased
Outflow
Velocity
Water stays in
Puget Sound
longerFour-fold difference in speed
of inland water outflow.
(this means how fast the water flows
out the Strait)
Newton et al., 2003
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Conclusions
• Drought period increased the salinity of estuarine waters, leading to higher density surface layer and weaker stratification.
• Higher salinity surface waters with weaker vertical density gradient result in decreased outflow velocity and longer residence timein estuary.
• Implications for oxygen, phytoplankton blooms, trophic transfer, and transport or retention of larvae, species, and pollutants need further investigation.
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Deep Salinity:
Precipitation:
wet dry wet
Carr @ 35 m Twanoh @ 25 m
Ruef et al., 2017 Marine Waters Overview
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Solutions?
• More focus on mechanisms
– Fluxes
• Sustain long-term monitoring
– Plankton, rates
• Keep finding time for analysis
– Including models
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Thank you !