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  • 8/12/2019 Purser Human Fire Behaviour 24June09

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    David Purser

    HER

    Institution of Fire Engineers 2009 AGM Conference and Exhibition

    1-2 July 2009

    Human Fire Behav iou r

    - and Per fo rmance Based Des ign

    Prof. David PurserHartford Environmental Research

    Visiting professor: Universities of Greenwich, Bolton and Maryland

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    Why should a fire engineer consider

    human behaviour? Because life safety in fire depends on escape time which is greatly affected by

    aspects of human behaviourAvailable Safe Escape Time > Required Safe Escape Time by an appropriate safety margin

    Benefits of understanding human behaviour: Enables improved design to better reflect the needs of occupants

    e.g. useless to design a building:

    with four expensive escape stairs if occupants will always use only the one

    they came in by an alarm sounder that occupants ignore because they dont believe it

    represents a fire, or that is activated late because it depends on the actionof a badly trained security guard

    Enables accurate calculations of escape time, taking into account

    quantitative data for all different phases of RSET

    Good behavioural design not only makes evacuation more efficient, but

    decreases the uncertainties in escape time calculations increasingconfidence in performance based design

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    Basic thesis

    Behavioural responses of individuals to alarms or seeing fires can be complex and

    unpredictable, especially time to start evacuation (pre-movement time)

    For groups of people, pre-movement times become more predictable, depending mainly on

    a few key qualitative features relating to the nature of the occupants and the type of

    occupancy (e.g. office, hotel, airport) and their normal activities. These can be classified

    into a small set of design behavioural scenarios for which quantitative data (pre-

    movement time distributions) can be measured.

    Times for travel phase of evacuation can be calculated from physical parameters (occupant

    numbers and densities, escape route dimensions, walking speeds) but a small set ofbehavioural parameters (wayfinding, exit choice, merge behaviour) is also important

    Well designed systems have a high level of affordance for occupants. This means that

    warnings and staff guidance should be clear and encouraging, so occupants are motivated

    to respond, and emergency exits should be attractive giving occupants confidence and

    motivatation to use them (e.g. emergency exits part of normal circulation routes, green

    flashing lights no signs saying alarmed emergency exit do not use)

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    David Purser

    HER

    About British Standard PD7974-6This lecture centres on PD7974-6 which contains a method developed for

    RSET design calculations applicable to a range of different premises. Also:

    ISO/TR 16738 an international version about to be published

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    David Purser

    HER

    Escape time formula

    RSET (?tesc) = ?tdet + ?ta + ?tpre + ?ttrav

    (RSET) depends upon:

    Time from ignition to detection (? tdet )

    Time from detection to general alarm (? ta )

    Evacuation time, which has two phases

    Pre-movement time (time from alarm to when occupants begin

    to move towards the exits) ? tpre

    Travel time (the time for occupants to travel to a place ofsafety) ? tpre

    Total egress for each customer leaving a Restaurant

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

    Individual Customers (1-11)

    Time(seconds)

    Flow Time

    Response Time

    Pre-movement Time

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    Time to detection and alarm

    Level A1 alarm system: Automatic detection activating immediate general alarm

    ?ta = 0 Alarm time effectively zero

    Level A2 (two stage) alarm system: Automatic detection providing a pre-alarm to security,

    manually (or automatic time-out delay) activated general alarm. Alarm time should be takenas the fixed delay. For a voice alarm system add message time x 2

    ?ta = time out delay (usually 2 or 5 minutes)

    Level A3 alarm system: Local automatic detection and alarm near the fire or no automaticdetection with manually activated general alarm.

    ?ta = likely to be long and unpredictable

    Time to automatic detection calculated from fire dynamics

    Time to alarm depends on system may include behavioural aspects

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    Pre-movement process

    Pre-movement process

    Starts at alarm or cue - ends when travel to exit

    begins.

    Has two components:

    Recognition - starts at alarm or cue ends with

    first response

    Response - starts at first response - ends with

    travel to exit

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    Pre-movement processesRecognition: occupants continue with pre-alarm activities

    e.g. Working, Shopping, sitting, eating, watching football

    Response: occupants carry out a range of activities:Investigative behaviour to find source of fire

    Stopping machinery, securing money or other risks

    Gathering children and other family members (for example who have gone to the toilets)

    Wayfinding

    Alerting others

    Fighting fire

    Passivity

    Relative action sequences

    Dwellings

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4

    Relative action number

    Frequency

    Investigate

    Mitigate fire

    Help others

    Call for help

    Other

    Passive

    Wait for help

    Collect items

    EscapeGo for help

    All people who reported a "get

    out" action, N=80

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    Evacuation time

    For a population of occupants both pre-movement and travel

    follow time distributions

    ? tPre = ? tPre(first occupants) + ? tPre(occupant distribution)

    Variable delay followed by a log-normal distribution

    Frequency distribution of pre-movement times

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    00:00 00:20 00:40 01:00 01:20 01:40 02:00

    Time (seconds)

    Frequency

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    Main qualitative and quantifiable aspects

    The main qualitative features used to define the scenarios are :

    Occupant alertness (awake or sleeping) Occupant familiarity (familiar or unfamiliar) Single or multi-enclosures

    Further qualitative features influencing response times in any particular scenario:

    ? Alarm system? Spatial complexity

    ? Fire safety management system

    These are classified into three levels of performance

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    Table 1: Design behavioural scenario categories

    Category Occupantalertness

    Occupantfamiliarity

    Occupantdensity

    Enclosures/complexity

    Occupancy type (ADB purposegroups)

    A Awake Familiar Low One or many Office or industrial (3,6,7a)

    B1

    B2

    Awake

    Awake

    Unfamiliar

    Unfamiliar

    High

    High

    One or few

    One with focal

    point

    Shop, restaurant, circulation space (4)

    Cinema, theatre (5)

    Ci

    Cii

    AsleepLong term:individualoccupancy.Managedoccupancy:

    Familiar Low Few Dwelling (1a-c)Without 24 hour on site management.

    Serviced flats halls of residence etc

    Ciii Asleep Unfamiliar Low Many Hotel, hostel (2b) D Medical care Unfamiliar Low Many Residential (institutional) (2a)

    E Transport Unfamiliar High Many Railway station Airport (5)

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    Occupant behaviourTime from ignition

    (min.sec)

    Fire visible on camera approximately half metre flame height. Customersees fire and warns shop assistant who investigates and goes to fetch fireextinguisher.

    Assistant fighting fire with extinguisher, flame height approximately 1metre, fire quite large, fails to extinguish and moves away

    All this time people are entering the shop, passing the fire, shopping andwaiting at the checkout to pay for goods

    Shop filling with smoke, people reluctant to leave shopping

    People evacuating thought thick smoke

    Staff evacuating

    A few people occasionally re-enter near doorway

    Front doors shut from outside

    0.19

    1.19

    1.19-3.30

    3.30

    4.00

    4.15

    4.00-5.00

    5.00

    Sequence of events in clothing store

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    Food hall pre-movement time distribution

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    0 20 40 60 80

    Tine (seconds)

    Personsstartingper5seconds

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.25

    Fractionofpopulationper5seconds

    freq

    Series2

    Customers ignore sounder but well-trained staff achieve efficient evacuation

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    Total egress for each customer leaving a Restaurant

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

    Individual Customers (1-11)

    Time(seconds)

    Flow Time

    Response Time

    Pre-movement Time

    Spokenmessage begins

    Shopping centre evacuation

    behaviour measurements

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    ? Location out of view of camera. Occupant position guessed

    * Re-enters to collect jacket. Leaves again at 84 sec

    1

    Coat-rack Coffee

    2 3

    4

    5

    6

    12?11?10?9?8

    7

    Sounder: 4 sec, message: 13s, Total: 17s

    Recognition time: time until first movement of

    egress behaviour

    Response time: time to prepare to leave

    Travel time: time to turn to face exit and leave

    ROOM

    Person Recognition

    time (sec)

    Response

    time (sec)

    Travel time

    (sec)

    Evacuation

    time (sec)

    1 16 40 5 61

    2 15 17 5 37

    3 17 20 2 39

    4 20 30 3 53

    5 16 30 6 52

    6 18 39 5 62

    7 ? ? 3 67

    8 16 30 13 59*

    9 ? ? ? 55

    10 ? ? ? 65

    11 ? ? 2 71

    12 ? ? 4 51

    Mean 17 29 5 56

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    Results

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    Results Significant differences between PTAT recognition times and alarm types P< 0.05

    Short voice alarm: shortest times, but less reliable response since no one left in Trial 6.

    Long voice alarm: slightly longer but most reliable

    Sounder: longest and most variable

    Recognition time (time to cease normal activity) was main component

    With voice alarms occupants tended to wait for message to be repeated before responding

    Mean Recognition and Response

    times (pooled data)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Sounder Long short

    Time(sec)

    Response time

    Recognition time

    Mean Recognition and Response

    times (individual trial data)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    T1 T4 T2 T5 T3 T7

    Time(sec)

    Response time

    Recognition time

    First and Last Pre-movement

    times

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    Sounder Long short

    Time(sec)

    Last out

    Fiirst out

    Message

    9 s Message

    4 s

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    HER

    Unnannounced evaucations of BRE buildings - total evacuation times

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

    Time (min)

    Frequency

    For offices and other workplaces with well-trained staff a simple sounder

    is sufficient to obtain an efficient evacuation

    Office and workshop evacuations

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    HER

    Design Behavioural Scenarios for Evacuation Time

    Quantification

    Pre-movement time is often the greater part of evacuation time.

    Pre-movement time

    ? variable, depending on a range of occupant and building systemcharacteristics.

    ? generally short and predictable when fire safety management cultureand building systems are good, and occupants are alert and welltrained.

    ? likely to be long and unpredictable otherwise.

    Situations differ fundamentally in different types of occupancy

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    HER

    Sounders, voice alarms and

    evacuation management

    Simple sounders were found to be effective in buildings with well-trained andwell-managed occupants familiar with the building and systems

    Voice alarms were more effective where occupant unfamiliar with the buildingand systems

    Reinforcement of evacuation by trained staff found to be very effective in all

    cases

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    HER

    Frequency distribution of pre-movement times

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    00:00 00:20 00:40 01:00 01:20 01:40 02:00

    Time (seconds)

    Frequency

    Most important are the times for the first few people to

    move and the last few people to move

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    HER

    Methods fo r s ingle reta i l enclosu re

    For a crowded case - evacuation time for an enclosure (? tevac) is given by:

    ? tevac = ? tpre(1st percentile) + ? ttrav(walking) + ? ttrav(flow) (1)

    ? tpre(1st percentile) = time from alarm to movement of first few occupants

    ? ttrav(walking) = walking time (unimpeded average walking speed x average travel distance to exits).

    ? ttrav(flow) = time of total occupant population to flow though available exits.

    For a sparsely occupied case - Evacuation time from an enclosure is then given by:

    ? tevac = ? tpre(99th percentile) + ? ttrav(walking) (2)

    ? tpre(99th percentile) = time from alarm to movement to time of movement of last few occupants

    (= time to first percentile plus time from first to 99 th percentile)

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    Interactions between pre-travel, presentation and flow times and effects

    on evacuation times

    Total evacuation time - Sprucefield premovement

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    0 200 400 600 800 1000

    Population of space

    Time(s)

    %95

    %99

    last out

    N & M

    %95

    %99

    Design

    populationSprucefield 99% out

    %99

    presentation

    Total evacuation time Sprucefield PTAT distribution

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    HER

    Effect of fire safety management level on pre-movement time

    Persons/sec

    Alarm

    ? tpre(occupant distribution)

    Time

    Pre-movement time of first occupants to move and

    subsequent pre-movement time distribution is lengthened by

    progressively lower levels of fire safety management

    ? tpre(first occupants)

    Premovement time distribution - Level M1 managementPre-movement time distribution - Level M2 management

    Pre-movement time distribution - Level M3 management

    D idP

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    Table 2: Suggested pre-times for different design behavioural scenario

    categories

    Scenario category and modifier ? tpre (first

    percentile)

    (min)

    ? tpre (99th percentile)1

    (min)

    A: awake and familiar:M1 B1 B2 A1 A2

    M2 B1 B2 A1 A2M3 B1 B2 A1 A3

    For B3 add 0.5 for wayfindingM1 would normally require voicealarm/P.A. if unfamiliar visitors likely tobe present

    0.5

    1>15

    1.0

    2>15

    B: awake and unfamiliarM1 B1 A1 - A2

    M2 B1 A1 A2M3 B1 A1 - A3For B2 add 0.5 for wayfinding

    For B3 add 1.0 for wayfindingM1 would normally require voicealarm/P.A

    0.5

    1.0>15

    2

    3>15

    Ci: sleeping and familiar( e.g. dwellings - individual occupancy)

    M2 B1 A1M3 B1 A3For other units in a block assume 1

    hourCii: managed occupancy(e.g.serviced apartments, hall of

    residence)M1 B2 A1 A2M2 B2 A1 A2M3 B2 A1 A3

    Ciii sleeping and unfamiliar(e.g. hotel, boarding house)M1 B2 A1 A2M2 B2 A1 - A2

    M3 B2 A1 A3For B3 add 1.0 for wayfindingM1 would normally require voicealarm/P.A.

    510

    1015

    >20

    1520

    >20

    5>20

    2025

    >20

    1520

    >20

    1total pre-movement time = ? tpre (first percentile) 1st percentile + ? tpre (99th percentile)

    Figures with greater levels of uncertainty are italicised

    D idP

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    Cases where a long period of maintained structural

    performance is required

    Any sleeping risk (residential domestic, institutional orother [e.g. hotel or HMO]), health care.

    Hotels and hostels an immediate simultaneous evacuationstrategy may be used, but long periods are needed and

    some occupants may not evacuate. (one hour or more)

    Each room or suite needs to be a compartment, at least in

    relation to the common escape routes

    For apartment blocks of flats or maisonettes the main

    strategy is to defend in place. Only the affected unit and

    adjacent areas are evacuated. The structure thus needs to withstand burnout of any

    particular unit

    D idP

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    Multi-enclosure multi-storey building case

    Floor clearance times for 10-storey two stair office

    building:

    Modelled in GridFlow

    Validation using monitored experimental evacuations

    In model and experiments time to clear each floor

    very depended upon three parameters:

    The maximum specific flow rates (persons/minute/metrewidth) through storey exits, on stairs and through finalexits - range of different values used

    The standing capacity on the stair between storeys which for a given stair depends upon the assumed

    packing density taken up by the occupants as theydescend the stair limited data available

    The merge ratio at the storey exits between occupantson the stair and those from the floor. limited dataavailable

    100 stair 0 floor clears from top down

    0 stair 100 floor - clears from bottom up

    50:50 clears from bottom up

    DavidPurser

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    Representation of stair in Gridflow

    Link to floor belowLink to floor above

    People descending from floorabove lend to move towards centre

    line and slow for the turn

    This creates a space for people at

    storey exit to merge into the left

    hand flow, even under crowded

    conditions

    The result tends to a 50:50 merge

    ratio

    Door link formingstorey exit

    DavidPurser

    Elapsedtimeandnumber

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    Gridflow simulation: Simultaneous evacuation of a 10-storeys served two stair building

    lobbystair

    element Storey andhalf landings

    links

    Elapsed time and numberof occupants in enclosure

    Top

    Floor

    Occupants descending frommid landing above

    Occupants descendingto next mid-landing

    DavidPurser Fl d t di it f t i

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    Flow and standing capacity of stairs

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

    Time (min)

    Occupantnumber

    10th floor 9th stair 10th stair 9th floor 8th stair 7th stair 6th stair 5th stair

    4th stair 3rd stair 2nd stair 1st stair 9th lobby 10th lobby Final flight 8th floor

    8th lobby 7th floor 7th lobby 6th floor 6th lobby 5th floor 5th lobby 4th floor

    4th lobby 3rd floor 3rd lobby 2nd floor 2nd lobby 1st floor 1st lobby

    9

    lobby

    8t

    lobby

    1st

    lobby

    10t

    lobby1st lobby

    clears10th lobby

    clears

    1st lobby

    clears8th lobby

    clears

    9th lobby

    clears

    9th(fire) floorclearance

    Simultaneous evacuation of a 10-storeys served 2

    stair building designed for phased evacuation

    Maximum stair capacity 66 persons at 4 persons/m2

    DavidPurser Times toprotectedstair simultaneous

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    Times to protected stair - simultaneousEffect of occupant density on stairs: Default is 4 persons/m2 which is verycrowded, 2 persons/m2 is considered more reasonable and likely.

    This increases evacuation times into protected stair

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12

    Floor served

    Timetoprotectedstair(min)

    10 served 4/m^2

    10 served 2/m^2

    5 served 2/m^2

    5 served 4/m^2

    Time for evacuation into a protected stair for two-stair buildings prescriptively designed for simultaneous

    evacuation: 5 and 10 storeys served, 2 or 4 persons/m2 maximum occupant density on stair

    DavidPurser

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    HER

    Effects of exposure to fire or smoke

    Most building occupants will only be aware of alarms and not see smoke

    Occupants more likely to start evacuation if more than one cue, sohearing alarms and seeing smoke more effective than alarm alone But occupants underestimate threat from fire and smoke and often go

    towards fire to fight it, so being in the same enclosure as the fire doesnot necessarily result in instant evacuation

    ? Occupants reluctant to enter smoke-logged escape routes, so affectsexit choice

    ? When exposed to smoke, optical opacity and irritancy slow movementspeed

    ? Exposure to asphyxiant gases or heat leads to incapacitation when asufficient dose had been inhaled

    These effects on evacuation time can be calculated using a combination of evacuation andfractional effective dose modelling

    DavidPurser

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    Conc lus ions

    Human behaviour can be adequately incorporated into engineering design by

    consideration of a small number of key parameters

    Good design with high affordance enables efficient and predictable evacuation

    calculations

    RSET calculations need to consider detection, alarm, pre-movement andtravel times

    Pre movement times most variable but distribution data can be collected for

    a simple set of design behavioural scenarios (first and last occupant times the

    most important)

    Travel times depend mainly on physical parameters, but behavioural aspects

    including exit choice, merging behaviours and densities can also be important