q1 2015 earnings slides final
TRANSCRIPT
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh CorporationFirst Quarter Fiscal 2015
January 27, 2015
Charles L. SzewsChief Executive Officer
Wilson R. JonesPresident and Chief Operating Officer
David M. SagehornExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Patrick N. DavidsonVice President, Investor Relations
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Forward-Looking StatementsThis presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. When used in this presentation, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergency markets, which are particularly impacted by the strength of U.S. and European economies; the strength of emerging market growth and projected adoption rates of work at height machinery; the expected level and timing of DoD and international defense customer procurement of products and services and funding thereof;risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertainDoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy, including the Company’s ability to successfully manage the cost reductions required as a result of lower customer orders in the defense segment; the Company’s ability to win a U.S. JLTV production contract award and international defense contract awards; the Company’s ability to increase prices to raise margins or offset higher input costs; increasing commodity and other raw material costs, particularly in a sustained economic recovery; risks related to facilitiesexpansion, consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings maynot be achieved; global economic uncertainty, which could lead to additional impairment charges related to many of the Company’sintangible assets and/or a slower recovery in the Company’s cyclical businesses than Company or equity market expectations; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risks related to production or shipment delays arising from quality or production issues; risks associated with international operations and sales, including foreign currency fluctuations and compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; the impact of severe weather or natural disasters that may affect the Company, its suppliers or its customers; cyber security risks and costs of defending against, mitigating and responding to a data security breach; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long-term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Form 8-K filed today. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 2
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Solid Start to FY15
Adjusted EPS* of $0.41
Solid execution and timing of MOVE related spend drove higher than expected results
Strong orders and backlogs for all non-defense segments
Repurchased 1.9 million shares for $88.1 million
Maintaining FY15 adjusted EPS* estimate range of $4.00 to $4.25 despite negative FX impact expected in Q2-Q4
Net
Sal
es(b
illio
ns)
Adjusted EPS*
OSK Fiscal Q1 Performance
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 3
$1.4 $1.5
$0.41
$0.63
$0.00
$0.25
$0.50
$0.75
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
$1.8
FY15 FY14Net Sales Adjusted EPS*
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
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Defense Remain focused on efficient,
operational execution
Driving toward mid February JLTV production proposal submission date− Expect decision on winning bidder
late Summer 2015
Continue pursuit of meaningful international opportunities– M-ATVs
– Canadian MSVS Program
FY15 DoD budget finalized in December− Positive funding results for OSK
programs
Incremental OCO opportunities
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 4
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Access Equipment
Solid start to FY15− Higher mix of telehandlers due to Tier 4
engine emissions standards changes
Strong orders and backlog evidence continued market strength
Broad end market demand expected to support FY15 outlook– Customer sentiment in North America
remains positive Strong construction activity, despite energy
sector concerns
– Outlook remains mixed in other regions
Building on FY14 MOVE success
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 5
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Fire & Emergency
Continued to execute operational efficiency roadmap− Q1 results better than expected
New Enforcer and Saber chassis driving customer demand
Stable North American fire truck market – Modest market growth expected
in FY15
Additional international success− ARFF orders in Asia, Australia and
Latin America
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 6
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Commercial Strong North American concrete
mixer market recovery over last several years
− Driven by slowly improving housing market
RCV market picked up after a down 2013
Split-bin and automated RCV models generating incremental demand
MOVE investments continue
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 7
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Consolidated Results
Sales impacted by:‒ Lower defense segment sales
‒ Planned fire truck production rate decrease
Higher access equipment and commercial segment sales
EPS impacted by:‒ Lower defense segment
operating income
‒ Heavier mix of telehandlers in access equipment segment
‒ MOVE investments
Comments
(Dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
First Quarter
Net Sales $1,353.3 $1,530.2% Change (11.6)% (12.6)%
Adjusted Operating Income* $62.3 $96.5
% Change (35.5)% (0.1)%% Margin 4.6% 6.3%
Adjusted EPS* $0.41 $0.63% Change (34.9)% 1.6%
2015 2014
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 8
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Updated Expectations for FY15
Additional expectations Corporate expenses of $140 - $145 million Refinancing of 8.5% Sr. Notes Tax rate of ~31% CapEx of ~$150 million Free cash flow* ~$200 million Assumes share count of ~80 million
Segment information
Measure Access Equipment Defense Fire &
Emergency Commercial
Sales(billions) $3.7 - $3.8 ~$1.0 ~$0.80 ~$1.0
Operating Income Margin ~15.0% Slightly above
break even ~4.25% ~6.5%
Revenues of $6.5 billion to $6.6 billion Adjusted operating income* of $510 million to $540 million Adjusted EPS* of $4.00 to $4.25
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 9
Q2 Commentary Expect adjusted EPS in range of Q2 FY14
adjusted EPS* Continued higher telehandler sales mix due to Tier 4 FHTV break in production until contract extension
is finalized
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For informationcontact:
Patrick N. DavidsonVice President, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
Jeffrey D. WattDirector, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 10
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Net Sales $716.7 $668.6% Change 7.2% 15.0%
Operating Income $77.2 $90.3% Change (14.5)% 84.6%% Margin 10.8% 13.5%
First Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2015 2014
Appendix: Access Equipment
Sales impacted by: Higher North American
telehandler and lower AWP sales Higher volume in all regions,
except Latin America Operating income impacted by:
Product mix Higher NPD and operating costs Prior year military contract
finalization Higher sales volume
Backlog up 69% vs. prior year to $793 million
Comments
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 11
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Appendix: Defense
Sales impacted by: Lower sales to U.S. DoD Prior year international M-ATV
sales
Operating income impacted by: Lower sales volume Prior year unfavorable contract
pricing adjustment Favorable aftermarket product
mix
Backlog down 59% vs. prior year to $670 million
Comments
Net Sales $269.3 $481.3% Change (44.1)% (41.9)%
Adjusted Operating Income* $6.4 $24.8
% Change (74.2)% (59.3)%% Margin 2.4% 5.2%
First Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2015 2014
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 12
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
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Net Sales $167.0 $198.0% Change (15.6)% 8.7%
Operating Income $1.5 $6.9% Change (77.6)% 28.5%% Margin 0.9% 3.5%
First Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2015 2014
Appendix: Fire & Emergency
Sales impacted by: Planned reduction in fire truck
production rate to implement operational improvements
Prior year large international ARFF shipment
Operating income impacted by: Lower sales volume Favorable warranty performance
Backlog up 38% vs. prior year to $700 million
Comments
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 13
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Appendix: Commercial
Sales impacted by: Higher RCV unit volume Higher aftermarket parts &
service
Operating income impacted by: Higher sales volume Favorable warranty performance Investments in MOVE initiatives
Backlog up 39% vs. prior year to $238 million
Comments
Net Sales $210.2 $192.6% Change 9.1% 8.6%
Operating Income $12.4 $10.2% Change 20.9% 27.7%% Margin 5.9% 5.3%
First Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2015 2014
January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 14
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Appendix: Commonly Used Acronyms
15January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call
ARFF Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting MECV Modernized Expanded Capability VehicleAWP Aerial Work Platform MRAP Mine Resistant Ambush ProtectedCapEx Capital Expenditures MSVS Medium Support Vehicle System (Canada)CNG Compressed Natural Gas NOL Net Operating LossDGE Diesel Gallon Equivalent NPD New Product DevelopmentDoD Department of Defense NRC National Rental CompanyEAME Europe, Africa & Middle East OCO Overseas Contingency OperationsEMD Engineering & Manufacturing Development OH OverheadEPS Diluted Earnings Per Share OI Operating IncomeFHTV Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles OOS Oshkosh Operating SystemFMS Foreign Military Sales OPEB Other Post-Employment BenefitsFMTV Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles PLS Palletized Load SystemGAAP U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles PUC Pierce Ultimate ConfigurationHEMTT Heavy Expanded Mobility Tactical Truck R&D Research & DevelopmentHET Heavy Equipment Transporter RCV Refuse Collection VehicleHMMWV High Mobility Multi-Purpose Wheeled Vehicle RFP Request for ProposalIRC Independent Rental Company ROW Rest of WorldIT Information Technology SMP Standard Military Pattern (Canadian MSVS)JLTV Joint Light Tactical Vehicle TACOM Tank-automotive and Armaments CommandJPO Joint Program Office TDP Technical Data PackageJROC Joint Requirements Oversight Council TPV Tactical Protector VehicleJUONS Joint Urgent Operational Needs Statement TWV Tactical Wheeled VehicleL-ATV Light Combat Tactical All-Terrain Vehicle UCA Undefinitized Contract ActionLVSR Logistic Vehicle System Replacement UIK Underbody Improvement Kit (for M-ATV)M-ATV MRAP All-Terrain Vehicle UK United Kingdom
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January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 16
Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
• The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):
2015 2014
Adjusted earnings per share - diluted (non-GAAP) 0.41$ 0.63$ OPEB curtailment gain, net of tax 0.02 - Earnings per share - diluted (GAAP) 0.43$ 0.63$
Adjusted operating income (non-GAAP) 62.3$ 96.5$ OPEB curtailment gain 3.4 - Operating income (GAAP) 65.7$ 96.5$
Adjusted defense segment operating income (non-GAAP) 6.4$ 24.8$ OPEB curtailment gain 3.4 - Defense segment operating income (GAAP) 9.8$ 24.8$
Three Months EndedDecember 31,
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January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 17
Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
• The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):
Low High
Adjusted operating income (non-GAAP) 510.0$ 540.0$ OPEB curtailment gain 3.4 3.4Operating income (GAAP) 513.4$ 543.4$
Adjusted earnings per share - diluted (non-GAAP) 4.00$ 4.25$ OPEB curtailment gain, net of tax 0.02 0.02Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax (0.11) (0.11)Earnings per share - diluted (GAAP) 3.91$ 4.16$
Fiscal 2015Expectations
Net cash flows provided by operating activities 372.0$ Additions to property, plant and equipment (150.0) Net additions to equipment held for rental (22.0) Free cash flow 200.0$
Fiscal 2015 Expectations
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January 27, 2015OSK First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call 18
Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
• The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures:
Three Months EndedMarch 31, 2014
Adjusted earnings per share - diluted (non-GAAP) 0.80$ Reduction of valuation allowance on net operating loss carryforward 0.14 Pension curtailment, net of tax (0.03) Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax (0.08) Earnings per share - diluted (GAAP) 0.83$