q2 2015 presentation v5
TRANSCRIPT
Owens CorningPositioned for Growth
Q2 2015This presentation shared at the following event:
6/4/15 OC Roadshow Hosted by Zelman & Associates – San Francisco Michael McMurray, Chief Financial Officer
5/27/15 Owens Corning Roadshow – New York Mike Thaman, Chief Executive Officer
5/26/15 OC Roadshow Hosted by Bank of America Merrill Lynch – Boston Mike Thaman, Chief Executive Officer
This presentation consists of this slide deck and the associated remarks and comments, all of which are integrally related and are intended to be presented and understood together.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as “anticipate,” “appear,” “assume,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “should,” “seek,” “will,” and other terms of similar meaning or import in connection with any discussion of future operating, financial or other performance that reference future periods. We caution you against relying on these statements as they involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict and the Company’s actual results may differ materially from those projected in these statements. Our future performance may be affected by risks and uncertainties including, without limitation, levels of residential and commercial construction activity; competitive and pricing factors; levels of global industrial production; demand for our products; relationships with key customers; industry and economic conditions that affect the market and operating conditions of our customers, suppliers or lenders; foreign exchange and commodity price fluctuations; our level of indebtedness; weather conditions; availability and cost of credit; availability and cost of energy and raw materials; issues involving implementation and protection of information technology systems; international economic and political conditions, including new legislation or other governmental actions; our ability to utilize our net
Forward-Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Measures
systems; international economic and political conditions, including new legislation or other governmental actions; our ability to utilize our net operating loss carry-forwards; research and development activities and intellectual property protection; interest rate movements; labor disputes and litigation; uninsured losses; issues related to acquisitions, divestitures and joint ventures; achievement of expected synergies, cost reductions and/or productivity improvements; defined benefit plan funding obligations; and, factors detailed from time to time in the Company’s U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) filings.
For purposes of this presentation, any discussion referring to “year to date” or last twelve months (“LTM”) refers to the period ended on the last calendar day of the quarter preceding the date of the investor event referred to on the first page of this document. Otherwise the information in this presentation speaks as of the date of the investor event, and is subject to change. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise except as required by federal securities laws. Any distribution of this presentation after the date of the investor event is not intended and should not be construed as updating or confirming such information.
This presentation contains references to certain "non-GAAP financial measures" as defined by the SEC. Management uses non-GAAP measures for various purposes, including reporting results of operations to the Board of Directors, analysis of performance and related employee compensation measures. Although management believes these measures, and exclusions from GAAP therein, provide a usefulrepresentation of performance, non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for GAAP measures. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles can be found in Appendix A. Adjusted EBIT is earnings before interest, taxes and other items that management does not allocate to our segment results because it believes they are not a result of the Company’s current operations.
2
Owens Corning at a Glance
� Founded in 1938, an industry leader in glass fiber insulation, roofing and glass fiber reinforcements
� 2014 net sales: $5.3 billion
� 15,000 employees in 26 countries
� Fortune 500 company for 60 consecutive years
� Component of Dow Jones Sustainability World Index for five consecutive years
3
Investment Highlights
Composites Roofing Insulation
4
Three Market-Leading Businesses
Market-leading business with improving economic
conditions and higher utilization rates
Strong market position in
consolidated industry
Progress supports confidence in return to historical profitability
Highlights and Outlook
� Maintained a high level of safety performance in Q1 2015
� Delivered adjusted EBIT of $60 million
� Insulation delivered 15th consecutive quarter of EBIT growth
� Composites grew EBIT by $33MM; delivering the 7th consecutive quarter of EBIT improvementquarter of EBIT improvement
� Lower Roofing volumes in the first quarter position the business for improved performance for the remainder of the year
� Board of Directors approved a $90 million investment in a new mineral wool plant
� Anticipate continued growth in U.S. housing starts and global industrial production in 2015
5
’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14
Insulation
Strong PortfolioPositioned for Growth
Roofing
Composites
Sources: Owens Corning’s SEC filings since 2006 . For comparability purposes, prior years have been provided based on Owens Corning’s SEC filings, internal management reports, and management estimates.
6
Margin >= 10% 0%<= Margin < 10% Margin < 0%
$ (in millions)Q1
2015Q1
2014Change
Net sales* $379 $355 $24
EBIT $7 $1 $6
EBIT as % of sales 2% 0% 2%
D&A $24 $25 ($1)
Insulation Business
Q1 2015 Highlights� Delivered 15th consecutive quarter of EBIT growth
� EBIT increased by $6MM on improved pricing
� Expect 2015 results to benefit from growth in U.S. new construction, pricing, and operating leverage
2014 Revenue by End Market*
7
* before inter-segment eliminations
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM
Five-Year Financial Performance
Sales* EBIT as % of sales*In millions
International
16%
U.S. & CanadaNew Residential
Construction
40%
U.S .& CanadaResidential Repair
& Remodeling
20%
U.S. & CanadaCommercial& Industrial
24%
*Owens Corning management estimates; estimated error margin below 5%
Source: Owens Corning management estimates and Owens Corning SEC filings; comparability may differ over time
* before inter-segment eliminations
Owens Corning Insulation EBIT Progress
039
4
18
39
1
18
43 46
7
$0
$20
$40
EB
IT in
Mil
lio
ns
of
Do
lla
rs
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
8
Consistent Quarterly EBIT Progression Since 2011
-47-38
-12
-34
-16-21
-$80
-$60
-$40
-$20
2011 Actual 2012 Actual 2013 Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Actual
Source: Owens Corning quarterly and annual SEC filings
EB
IT in
Mil
lio
ns
of
Do
lla
rs
20%
30%
EBIT Margin Avg EBIT Margin '85-'08 (15%)
Owens Corning InsulationWell Positioned to Return to Historical Margins
-10%
0%
10%
'84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14
9Source: Owens Corning management estimates and Owens Corning SEC filings, comparability may differ over time;
Historically Delivered 15% EBIT Margins at 1.5 Million Housing Starts
2015 Industry Capacity Utilization
70%
80%
90%
60%
80%
100%
Insulation IndustryNorth American Fiberglass
0%
20%
40%
Total Capacity Operating Plants Operating Lines
10
Capacity Utilization Tightening as U.S. Housing Recovers
Source: Owens Corning management estimates as of February 2015 rounded to nearest 5%. Products sold primarily to North American residential market. Excludes heavy density and loosefill products. Based on 2015 estimate of 1.1MM unlagged U.S. housing starts and other macro assumptions.
Toronto
Edmonton
Delmar
Candiac
Owens Corning Insulation North American Fiberglass Network
Eloy
Santa Clara
NewarkKansas City
WaxahachieFairburn
Mt. Vernon
Nephi
Lakeland
Continued Discipline in OC Capacity Management
Capacity utilization based as on estimated average 2015 total insulation production using melter capacitySource: Owens Corning management estimates 11
2015 Estimated Average Utilization:
Near full capacity
Below full capacity
Not in operation
Positioned to Grow with Our Markets
Insulation End-Use Markets
% of Full-Year 2014 Revenue
Expected Market Growth Drivers
Mid-Term Growth
U.S. and CanadaResidential New Construction
40%
U.S. and CanadaRepair and Remodel
� Housing starts� Building energy code adoption� Household formation
� Aging housing stock
12Source: Owens Corning management estimates.
Repair and Remodel20%
U.S. and CanadaCommercial and Industrial
24%
Latin America and Asia Pacific
16%
� Aging housing stock� Energy efficiency policies
� Code and “green” specification driven
� Owner/operator focus
� Growing middle class � Infrastructure improvements� Urbanization of China
Targeting Double-Digit Revenue Growth as Market Recovers
$ (in millions)Q1
2015Q1
2014Change
Net sales* $393 $497 ($104)
EBIT $20 $80 ($60)
EBIT as % of sales 5% 16% (11%)
D&A $9 $9 $0
Roofing Business
Q1 2015 Highlights� Delivered mid-single digit EBIT margins on lower
sales and production volumes, and lower pricing
� Industry shipments declined 35% on lower discounting
� The business is positioned for stronger volumes at better margins for the remainder of the year
2014 Revenue by End Market*
13
* before inter-segment eliminations
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM
Five-Year Financial Performance
Sales* EBIT as % of sales*In millions
U.S. & CanadaNew Residential
Construction
10%
U.S. & CanadaResidential Repair
& Remodeling
73%
U.S. & CanadaCommercial& Industrial
16%
*Owens Corning management estimates; estimated error margin below 5%
Source: Owens Corning management estimates and Owens Corning SEC filings; Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association, Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments . Comparability may differ over time.
.
International
1%
U.S. Asphalt Shingle Industry Consolidation
’70s ’80s ’90s Current
OCFRYGAFELK
CERTAINTEEDTAMKO
CELOTEXMANVILLE
IKOBIRD
ATLAS
OCGAFELK
CERTAINTEEDTAMKO
CELOTEXMANVILLE
IKOBIRD
ATLASGEORGIA PACIFIC
OCGAFELK
CERTAINTEEDTAMKO
CELOTEXIKO
ATLASGEORGIA PACIFIC
GS ROOFING
OCGAF/ELK
CERTAINTEEDTAMKO
IKOATLASPABCO
MALARKEY
Source: Owens Corning management estimates and various industry sources and publications 14
Top 90% 16 13 10 4
Total 21 17 13 8
ATLASGEORGIA PACIFIC
FLINTKOTEGLOBEPABCO
MALARKEY
LUNDAY THAGARDCUSTOM ROOFING
BIG CHIEFBEAR
PHILIP CAREY
PABCOMALARKEY
LUNDAY THAGARDCUSTOM ROOFING
GEORGIA PACIFICGENSTAR
GLOBEGLOBEPABCO
MALARKEY
MALARKEY
Favorable Industry Structure for the Future
New construction
Re-roof Demand
Major StormsMM Sq.
U.S. Asphalt Shingle Market
Total Existing Home Sales
MM
33
3 27
8
18
8
322
17
6
1911
6 6
7.5180
Total 143 136 143 144 154 161 173 155 129 135 120 108 122 118 111 107
15Source: Asphalt Roofing Manufacturers Association, Summary of Asphalt Roofing Industry Shipments. National Association of Realtors existing home sales and Owens Corning management estimates
33 30 31 32 34 37 39 3526
17 11 11 11 14 17 18
107103
109 110 113116 116
112
100
9693 91 93 94
8883
0.00'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
Strong Market Position in Consolidated Industry
� Track record of strong financial performance
– Delivered average operating margins in excess of 20% during 2009-2013 period
� Re-roof demand over the last few years has been sluggish
– Housing activity forecasts support some demand growth– Housing activity forecasts support some demand growth
– Glass fiber mat and laminate advancements in the 1980s and 1990s could be extending replacement cycle
� Soft demand and competitive activity put pressure on margins in 2014
� Strong market position; outlook for 2015 largely determined by competitive pricing dynamics, asphalt cost deflation, and market demand
16
$ (in millions)Q1
2015Q1
2014Change
Net sales* $478 $477 $1
EBIT $60 $27 $33
EBIT as % of sales 13% 6% 7%
D&A $32 $34 ($2)
Composites Business
Q1 2015 Highlights� Delivered 7th consecutive quarter of EBIT
improvement
� EBIT more than doubled on improved pricing and favorable product mix
� Anticipate 2015 EBIT improvement of $45MM, including impact of foreign currency translation
2014 Revenue by End Market*
17
* before inter-segment eliminations
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
$0
$600
$1,200
$1,800
$2,400
2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM
Five-Year Financial Performance
Sales* EBIT as % of sales*In millions*Owens Corning management estimates; estimated error margin below 5%
Source: Owens Corning management estimates and Owens Corning SEC filings; comparability may differ over time
* before inter-segment eliminations
International
61%
U.S. & CanadaNew Residential
Construction
3%
U.S. & CanadaResidential Repair
& Remodeling
8%
U.S. & CanadaCommercial& Industrial
28%
Glass Fiber A $7.5 Billion Global Market
Construction34%
Consumer16%
Wind9%
• Residential• Commercial• Water transportation
& storage
• Appliances• Electronics• Recreation
18
Transportation28%
Industrial13%
Glass reinforcements market defined as glass fiber reinforcements and direct conversion products as consumed, excluding yarnsSource: Owens Corning management estimates as of Feb 2015
• Cars• Trucks, buses, trains• Marine
• Factories• Mining• Offshore platforms
A Key Material Enabling Solutions Essential to Everyday Life
Owens Corning Composites
� Global megatrends, continued growth in industrial production, and material substitution support glass fiber market growth at a 5-7% CAGR Price RealizationPrice Realization
Cost LeadershipCost Leadership
� Strategic focus on core building material markets with sustainable solutions
� Clear agenda to deliver improved returns
19Source: Owens Corning management estimates as of February 2015
Leader in an Industry Entering a Phase of Supply Tension
Product LeadershipProduct Leadership
Capital EfficiencyCapital Efficiency
Owens Corning CompositesPositioned to Win
#1 Position Emerging Position
25%30%
% Market
Revenue
% OC
Revenue
Europe
26%
10%
% Market
Revenue
% OC
Revenue
China
20Sources: Owens Corning management estimates
% Market Revenue = market revenue in region as % of 2014 global market size % OC Revenue = OC revenue in region as % of OC Composites global 2014 salesGlass reinforcements market defined as glass fiber reinforcements and direct conversion products as consumed, excluding yarns
#1 Position
#1 Position
Leading Market Positions and an Unrivaled Supply Network
OC glass fiber manufacturing siteOC downstream fabrication site
34%
46%
% Market
Revenue
% OC
Revenue
Americas
15% 14%
% Market
Revenue
% OC
Revenue
Rest of World
3,000
4,000
5,000
Glass Fiber Market DemandG
lass F
iber
K T
on
s
Glass Fiber Demand Has Grown at 1.6 Multiple of Industrial Production Growth
-
1,000
2,000
1981 1992 2003 2014
21
Gla
ss F
iber
K T
on
s
Glass fiber market demand excludes E-glass yarnsSources: Fiber Economics Bureau, Glass Fiber Europe, Global Trade Information Services, Inc. and Owens Corning management estimates
Historical Glass Fiber Market Growth Averaging 5%
1.1
1.7
80%
90%
100%
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Glass Fiber Industry Estimated Capacity
90% Threshold
Est
ima
ted
Ca
pa
city
Uti
liza
tio
n
China Emergence
Capacity Overbuild
Macro Adjustment
Excess Inventory
Supply Tension
Improved Returns
0.5
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.5
2005-09 2010-12 2013-16
50%
60%
70%
80%
22
Tighter Capacity Environment Expected in the Near Term
Glass fiber market demand excludes E-glass yarnsSources: Fiber Economics Bureau, Glass Fiber Europe, Global Trade Information Services, Inc. and Owens Corning management estimates as of February 2015
(high probability additions)
0.1/ yr 0.3/ yr 0.1/ yr 0.1/ yr0.4/ yr 0.2/ yr
Change in global demand (MM T)
Change in global capacity (MM T)
Est
ima
ted
Ca
pa
city
Uti
liza
tio
n
Owens Corning Composites Focused on Creating Shareholder Value
� Significant actions, including capital and cash restructuring, to achieve goal of 75% low-delivered cost
– Extensive restructuring of high-cost assets in Europe, Japan and Canada
– Successful sale and closure of a high-cost facility in China
– Constructed several new low-cost production lines, while essentially – Constructed several new low-cost production lines, while essentially maintaining flat overall capacity
– Entered into creative alliances with China-based manufacturers
� Suspended melting capacity investments since 2012
� Delivered seven consecutive quarters of price improvement
23
Business Actions Have Contributed to ROC Improvement
Sustaining a Strong Balance Sheet
� Maintaining investment-grade financial strength is a pillar of Owens Corning’s strategy
� Maintained investment-grade credit ratings from Standard & Poor's and Fitch
� $800 million revolving credit facility maturing in 2018
� $250 million accounts receivable securitization facility maturing in 2018
� $1.8 billion senior notes outstanding with 2016, 2019, 2022, 2024 and 2036 maturities
� Ample liquidity to support growth
� Capital markets remain open to Owens Corning
24
Tax Position is a Significant Asset
� Benefit from $2.2 billion NOL with estimated present value of approximately $5 per share
� Delivering cash tax savings of about $60 million per year
� Expect long-term book tax rate of 30% to 32% based � Expect long-term book tax rate of 30% to 32% based on geographic mix of earnings and tax planning
� Cash tax rate of 10% to 12% over the next few years
25Source: Owens Corning management estimates
Disciplined Capital Allocation Strategy
� Drive shareholder returns by enabling organic and inorganic growth and supporting the balance sheet
– Maintain investment grade
� Capital allocation strategy
– Investing in attractive organic growth– Investing in attractive organic growth
– Returning excess cash to shareholders
– Pursuing value-creating acquisitions
� Quarterly dividend initiated in 2014 conveys confidence in long-term financial outlook and cash flow generation; 6% dividend increase announced in 2015
� As of March 31, 2015, 7.4 million shares remain available for repurchase under existing authorization
26
($ in millions, except per share data) Q1 2015 Q1 2014
Net sales $1,207 $1,278
Net earnings attributable to Owens Corning $18 $120
Diluted earnings per share attributable to Owens Corning common stockholders
$0.15 $1.01
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) $58 $108
Key Financial Data
Adjusted EBIT $60 $77
Adjusted Earnings $22 $35
Adjusted EPS (diluted) $0.19 $0.29
Adjusted EBIT as a % of sales 5% 6%
Marketing and administrative expenses $129 $132
Depreciation and amortization $75 $76
Cash flow from / (used for) operating activities ($149) ($272)
Total debt (excluding rate swap), net of cash $2,205 $2,306
27
2015 Corporate Environment & Guidance
Macro Environment
� Continued growth in U.S. housing starts; generally forecasted in 1,100,000-1,200,000 range
� Moderate global industrial production growth
Primary Guidance
� Insulation: should continue to benefit from growth in U.S. residential new construction, improved pricing and operating leverage
� Composites: expect majority of $45MM EBIT improvement to come from price
� Roofing: market dynamics in the first quarter positioned the business for stronger volumes at better margins for the remainder of the year
� Corporate expenses of $120-$130MM� Interest expenses about $110MM� Capital expenditures about $380MM, including
about $80 million for the construction of a non-woven facility and a mineral wool plant
� Depreciation & amortization about $310MM� Cash tax rate of 10-12% and book tax rate of
30-32%* on adjusted pre-tax earnings
* Excluding significant tax reserve reversalsSource: Owens Corning management estimates as of April 2015
Other Guidance Items
28
Appendix ANon-GAAP Reconciliations
29
Appendix ANon-GAAP Reconciliations
30