q3 2010 presentation-final w speakers · 11/4/2010 · turkcell turkey: strong uptake in mobile...
TRANSCRIPT
CTURKCELLhi d fThird Quarter of 2010
November 4, 2010
Notice
This presentation may contain statements that arep yforward looking. These statements are based oncurrent expectations and assumptions that are subjectto risks and uncertainties which may cause actualresults to differ materially due to factors discussed inff y fthis presentation, in our press release, in the RiskFactors section of Turkcell’s most recent Form 20‐F orin other reports and filings with the US Securities andExchange Commission. We undertake no duty toExchange Commission. We undertake no duty toupdate or revise any forward looking statements,whether as a result of new information, future eventsor otherwise.
Please note that all financial data areconsolidated whereas non‐financial data areunconsolidated unless otherwise specifiedunconsolidated unless otherwise specified.
2
• BUSINESS OVERVIEWBUSINESS OVERVIEW
• FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Turkcell Group: Continued to improve profitability in Q3
R d li d b 1 7% Y Y d
Turkcell Group
(TRY1 mn • Revenue declined by 1.7% YoY due to reduction in MTRs and maximum price cap
• Revenue grew by 3 8% QoQ
(TRY mnConsolidated)
Q309 Q210 Q310 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Revenue 2,368.0 2,241.2 2,327.4 (1.7%) 3.8% • Revenue grew by 3.8% QoQmainly due to– 10% growth in mobile internet
& services revenue of Turkcell
, , , ( )
EBITDA2 813.7 724.4 863.6 6.1% 19.2%
Turkey– 3% increase in voice3 revenues
of Turkcell TurkeyEBITDA Margin2 34.4% 32.3% 37.1% 2.7pp 4.8pp
• EBITDA margin uptake of 2.7pp YoY and 4.8pp QoQ due to reduction in costs
Net Income 496.8 422.3 556.3 12.0% 31.7%
reduction in costsAvg. TRY / $ rate 1.4910 1.5266 1.5109 1.3% (1.0%)
1 TRY figures in this slide are based on IFRS TRY figures2 EBITDA is a non‐GAAP financial measure. 3 Includes outgoing and incoming call revenues and roaming revenues
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Turkcell Turkey: Positive ARPU and MoU trends continue
MoU (min)
89% 87% 85% 85% 85%• 32.6% YoY higher
Mobile Line Penetration*
32.6%
148.6 171.0 197.1
17%15% 14% 14% 13%
MoU owing to positiveeffects of retention campaigns
Q309 Q210 Q310Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310
Penetration (%) Multiple simcard usage (%)
• QoQ increase mainly due to seasonality
ARPU (TRY)
36 0 33 9
Penetration (%) Multiple simcard usage (%)
Bl d d ARPU i d
Subscribers (mn)
41 8 40 5
26 9 24 2 24 0
9.1 9.8 9.9
33.9 36.0 33.9 • Blended ARPU improved 3.6% YoY despite MTR decrease:― Increased postpaid
b
41.8 40.5 41.0
12.5 11.2 12.0
19.7 19.4 20.4
26.9 24.2 24.0
Q309 Q210 Q310Prepaid Postpaid
base― Increase in MoU― Higher mobile
internet & service Q309 Q210 Q310Postpaid Prepaid Blended
5
Prepaid Postpaidrevenues
* Based on our best estimations, operators’ and ICTA announcements
Turkcell Turkey: Strong uptake in mobile internet and services revenues
YoY % Chg.9M10: 1,197FY09: 1,281
Mobile internet and services revenues* (TRYm) Mobile internet revenues (TRYm)
83.7%
388333
425341 28%
29%Q2
Q3
Q4
65 6107.1 120.5
305 383301
388
FY09 9M10
29%
26%Q1
Q2 65.6
Q309 Q210 Q31009 9 0
Mobile internet and services revenues % of total revenues
4.9pp
• Turkcell branded smartphone: T10― Aiming to increase smartphone
penetration through affordable
15.6%
19.6% 20.5%
15.1%18.7% 19.5%
• Monthly average mobile internet users increased
p gprices together with best internet and Turkcell experience
Q309 Q210 Q310
Monthly average mobile internet users increased to 8.1mn
• On Turkcell’s network there are now― 5.8 mn 3G devices
1 6mn smartphones
6
Turkcell Turkey Consolidated
* Includes revenues from SMS/MMS, mobile internet and other services
― 1.6mn smartphones
Superonline: Fiber optic expansion on track
• Strong revenue growth at 32 3%
TRY mn Q309 Q210 Q310 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Revenue 68 8 80 9 91 0 32 3% 12 5% • Strong revenue growth at 32.3% YoY with share of non‐Group revenues 59% in Q310
Revenue 68.8 80.9 91.0 32.3% 12.5%
EBITDA 4.5 10.5 11.2 148.9% 6.7%
EBITDA Margin 6 6% 13 0% 12 3% 5 7 (0 7 ) • Increased Group synergies:
― Superonline further increased its share in Turkcell’s transmission
EBITDA Margin 6.6% 13.0% 12.3% 5.7pp (0.7pp)
Capex 62.3 65.8 112.3 80.3% 70.7%
share in Turkcell s transmission costs to more than 40%
― In terms of capacity Superonline carries approx 66% of Turkcell’s42%
Share in Turkcell’s transmission costs
carries approx. 66% of Turkcell s transmission
• Fiber optic network reached 18.4 th d k
13%20% 24%
30% 33% 37%42%
thousand kmQ109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310
Consolidated Transmission costs trendSuperonline's share in Turkcell's transmission costs
7
Ukraine: Further improvement in EBITDA margin
• Continued focus on profitability
USD mn Q309 Q210 Q310 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Revenue 93.2 89.5 84.9 (8.9%) (5.1%)
• Close down of non‐profitable carrier business line
EBITDA 7.4 20.3 21.5 190.5% 5.9%
EBITDA Margin 7 9% 22 7% 25 3% 17 4pp 2 6pp • Resulted in a revenue decline of 8.9% in USD terms YoY
• EBITDA margin improvement
EBITDA Margin 7.9% 22.7% 25.3% 17.4pp 2.6pp
Capex 31.9 12.9 5.0 (84.3%) (61.2%)
$
25.3%
EBITDA margin improvement maintained owing to:― Decline in interconnect costs mainly
due to tarrif redesigns and lower
Continued improvement in EBITDA margin
Avg. UAH/$ rate 7.8357 7.9223 7.8965 0.8% (0.3%)
7.9% 7.4% 7.0%
22.7%due to tarrif redesigns and lower interconnect rates
― Effective cost control measures resulting in declining selling expenses
4.6% 2.7%7.4% 7.0%
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310
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Turkcell Group: Investing for future growth
C t C
Building on Value & Profitability Changing World & Needs
Sales & Marketing
Training & Support
Customer Care
“Strong BRAND” “MOBILITY”Smartphones
Sales & Marketing
Applications
Project Management“Best CUSTOMER
& USER “INTERNET”
New emerging business lines
Device/Handset
Applications
3G Network
& USER EXPERIENCE”
INTERNET
Higher speed access
3G Network
Fiber Backbone
2G Network “Superior INFRASTRUCTURE”
“CONVERGENCE” Total telecom solutions
Fiber Backbone
Well‐positioned for the “New World”
9
p f
• BUSINESS OVERVIEW
• FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
NOTICE:
Please note that all financial data are consolidated whereas non‐financial data are unconsolidated unlessotherwise specified.EBITDA is a non‐GAAP financial measure. Please refer to the press release for the reconciliation of EBITDA to netcash from operating activities.All non‐financial data are unconsolidated, prepared in accordance with IFRS and expressed in US$ and/or TRY.The figures used in this presentation are rounded while percentage changes are calculated based on the figuresdisclosed in the Q3 2010 result announcement press release.
Turkcell Group: Revenue
2,368 Δ in Turkcell Turkey: ∑ (TRY 66.7mn)
YoY: (1.7%)
2,327
(158.7)92.0
26.1YoYQ310 vs Q309
Revenue Q309 Δ in Voice and others
Δ in Mobileinternet&services
Δ in Subsidiaries Revenue Q310
2 327Δ in Turkcell Turkey: ∑ TRY 89.2mn
QoQ: 3.8%
2,241
2,327
52.037.2 (3.0)
u ce u ey ∑ 89
QoQQ310 vs Q210
Revenue Q210 Δ in Voice and others
Δ in Mobileinternet&services
Δ in Subsidiaries Revenue Q310
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Turkcell Group: EBITDA margin
34.4%37.1%
1 7pp (0 9pp) 1.9pp
YoY: 2.7pp
1.7pp (0.9pp) 1.9pp
YoY net EBITDA impact of interconnect: TRY ‐65 million (Turkcell Turkey)
YoYQ310 vs Q309
EBITDA Q309 Δ in Direct costof revenues
Δ in General & Admin. Exp.
Δ in Selling &Marketing exp.
EBITDA Q310*
32 3%37.1%
QoQ: 4.8pp
32.3%0.7pp 1.0pp
3.2ppQoQ
Q310 vs Q210
EBITDA Q210 Δ in Direct costof revenues
Δ in General & Admin. Exp.
Δ in Selling &Marketing exp.
EBITDA Q310*
12*Depreciation and amortization expenses are not included
Turkcell Group: Net Income
(34 5) (3 3) 12 1 77.2 6.7 1.3
YoY: 12.0%
496.8 556.3
(34.5) (3.3) 12.1 .
Δ in EBITDA 49.9
Δ in Depreciation (84.4)
YoYQ310 vs Q309
Net income Q309
Δ in EBIT Δ in Interest Inc./Exp.
Δ in Equity in Net
Inc./Loss
Δ in FX Gain/Loss
Δ in Other Inc./Exp.
Δ in Taxation
Net income Q310
108 3 (17.0) 7.5 50.9 9.3 (25.0)
QoQ: 31.7%
422.3556.3
108.3 (17.0) 7.5
Δ in EBITDA 139.2
Δ in Depreciation (30.9)
QoQQ310 vs Q210
Net income Q210
Δ in EBIT Δ in Interest Inc./Exp.
Δ in Equity in Net
Inc./Loss
Δ in FX Gain/Loss
Δ in Other Inc./Exp.
Δ in Taxation
Net income Q310
13
Turkcell Group: Balance Sheet Higlights
TRY mn Q309 Q210 Q310
Cash & Cash Equivalents 3,916 4,193 4,623QoQ: 10.2%
Net Cash Flow (TRY mn)
q 3,916 , ,
Total Assets 13,153 14,071 14,496
Total Debt (1,722) (2,664) (2,609)
864 (310) 64 156 (344)
4,1934,623
Net Cash 2,194 1,529 2,014
Total Equity 8,547 8,740 9,322
Equity ratio 65.0% 62.1% 64.3%
• Strong balance sheet is maintained• Strong balance sheet is maintained
– Equity ratio is around 64.3%
• Consolidated debt of TRY2.6bnk ll k 0 6b Cash at
30‐Jun‐10EBITDA Capex Net
interestincome/expense
Net change in debt
Other Cash at 30‐Sep‐10
– Turkcell Turkey :TRY0.6bn– Astelit Ukraine: TRY0.9bn
14
• AppendixAppendix
Summary Income Statement as per CMB1 Financials (TRY million)
(TRY1 m Consolidated)
Q309 Q210 Q310 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Revenue 2,368.0 2,241.2 2,327.4 (1.7%) 3.8%
Direct Cost of 2
(1,243.2) (1,217.7) (1,269.0) 2.1% 4.2%Revenues2
( ) ( ) ( )
S&M (430.9) (436.3) (379.3) (12.0%) (13.1%)
G&A (100.8) (137.6) (120.6) 19.6% (12.4%)
EBITDA 813.7 724.4 863.6 6.1% 19.2%
EBITDA Margin 34.4% 32.3% 37.1% 2.7pp 4.8pp
Net Income 499 4 425 2 557 6 11 7% 31 1%
1 Capital Markets Board of Turkey2 Depreciation and amortization is included
Net Income 499.4 425.2 557.6 11.7% 31.1%
16
Consolidated Cash Flow ($ million)
Q309 Q210 Q310 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
EBITDA 545.4 474.1 570.7 4.6% 20.4%
LESS:
Capex and Licence (326.1) (220.8) (253.0) (22.4%) 14.6%Capex and Licence (326.1) (220.8) (253.0) (22.4%) 14.6%Turkcell (196.4) (136.5) (122.1) (37.8%) (10.5%)
Euroasia (Ukraine) (31.9) (12.9) (5.0) (84.3%) (61.2%)
Investments & Marketable S i i
30.6 30.0 ‐ ‐ ‐Securities
30.0
Interest income/expense 45.4 53.4 42.7 (5.9%) (20.0%)
Other (25.5) (160.5) 57.4 (325.1%) (135.8%)
Net change in debt 409.0 180.7 104.8 (74.4%) (42.0%)
Dividends paid by Turkcell ‐ (573.5) ‐ ‐ ‐
Cash Generated 678.8 (216.4) 522.6 (23.0%) (341.5%)Cash Generated 6 8.8 (216.4) 522.6 (23.0%) (341.5%)
Cash Balance 2,642.3 2,662.7 3,185.3 20.6% 19.6%
17
Consolidated Balance Sheet ($ million)
Q309 Q210 Q310 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Cash & bank 2 642 2 663 3 185 20 6% 19 6%Cash & bank 2,642 2,663 3,185 20.6% 19.6%
CURRENT ASSETS 3,833 3,910 4,487 17.1% 14.8%
Fixed assets, net 4,479 4,504 4,873 8.8% 8.2%Other long term assets 563 522 629 11.7% 20.5%Other long term assets 563 522 629 11.7% 20.5%Total Non‐current Assets 5,042 5,026 5,502 9.1% 9.5%
Total Assets 8,875 8,936 9,989 12.6% 11.8%
S/t debt 602 629 417 (30.7%) (33.7%)
Total Current Liabilities 2,025 1,993 1,790 (11.6%) (10.2%)
L / t debt 561 1,063 1,381 146.2% 29.9%
Total Non‐current Liabilities 1,082 1,393 1,776 64.1% 27.5%
Minority Interest 33 (1) (10) (130.3%) 900.0%
Share Capital 1,636 1,636 1,636 0.0% 0.0%
Total Equity 5,767 5,550 6,424 11.4% 15.7%
Total Equity and Liabilities 8,875 8,936 9,989 12.6% 11.8%
18
q y , , ,