q3 market update presentation final - the vault highest cost debt redeemed using internal ... rcf...
TRANSCRIPT
RESULTS FOR THE THREE MONTHSended 30 September 2016
14 NOVEMBER 2016
MARKET UPDATE
Certain statements contained in this document, other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, those concerning the economic outlookfor the gold mining industry, expectations regarding gold prices, production, total cash costs, all-in sustaining costs, all-in costs, cost savings and otheroperating results, productivity improvements, growth prospects and outlook of AngloGold Ashanti’s operations, individually or in the aggregate, including theachievement of project milestones, commencement and completion of commercial operations of certain of AngloGold Ashanti’s exploration and productionprojects and the completion of acquisitions, dispositions or joint venture transactions, AngloGold Ashanti’s liquidity and capital resources and capitalexpenditures and the outcome and consequence of any potential or pending litigation or regulatory proceedings or environmental health and safety issues,are forward-looking statements regarding AngloGold Ashanti’s operations, economic performance and financial condition.
These forward-looking statements or forecasts involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause AngloGold Ashanti’sactual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the anticipated results, performance or achievements expressed or implied in theseforward-looking statements. Although AngloGold Ashanti believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and forecasts arereasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those set outin the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, social and political and market conditions, the success ofbusiness and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, including environmental approvals, fluctuations ingold prices and exchange rates, the outcome of pending or future litigation proceedings, and business and operational risk management.
For a discussion of such risk factors, refer to AngloGold Ashanti’s annual report on Form 20-F, which was filed with the United States Securities andExchange Commission (“SEC”). These factors are not necessarily all of the important factors that could cause AngloGold Ashanti’s actual results to differmaterially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. Other unknown or unpredictable factors could also have material adverse effects onfuture results. Consequently, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. AngloGold Ashanti undertakes no obligationto update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect theoccurrence of unanticipated events, except to the extent required by applicable law. All subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements attributable toAngloGold Ashanti or any person acting on its behalf are qualified by the cautionary statements herein.
The financial information contained in this news release has not been reviewed or reported on by the Company's external auditors.
This communication may contain certain “Non-GAAP” financial measures. AngloGold Ashanti utilises certain Non-GAAP performance measures and ratiosin managing its business. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, the reported operating results orcash flow from operations or any other measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. In addition, the presentation of these measures maynot be comparable to similarly titled measures other companies may use. AngloGold Ashanti posts information that is important to investors on the mainpage of its website at www.anglogoldashanti.com and under the “Investors” tab on the main page. This information is updated regularly. Investors shouldvisit this website to obtain important information about AngloGold Ashanti.
DISCLAIMER
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 2
POSITIONED TO CREATE VALUE THROUGH THE CYCLE
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 3
Focus on sustainable improvements to margins and cash flow
Consistent delivery on targets; improving cost management on key metrics
Decisive action on operations, and improving balance sheet flexibility
Maintaining optionality to deliver value-adding growth
Ongoing portfolio improvements and rationalisation
Working towards zero harm through the elimination of high consequence events
We continue to respond decisively and proactively to the current market conditions, to remain ahead of the curve in volatile times
We continue to respond decisively and proactively to the current market conditions, to remain ahead of the curve in volatile times
SAFETY PERFORMANCE
4SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE
• Four fatalities in Q3 - three in South Africa in July and
one in Brazil in September
• Group Fatal Injury Frequency Rate of 0.07 YTD,
down 16% compared to YE’15 (0.09)
• AIFR in the Continental Africa Region improved by
22% compared to Q2, 2016
• In the South Africa Region:
oVaal River Mines achieved 2 million Fatality Free shifts
oMoab Khotsong achieved one calendar year fatal free
oKopanang achieved 1 million Fatal Free shifts
Focus continues towards reaching zero harm in the workplaceFocus continues towards reaching zero harm in the workplace
7.83
7.487.36
7.18
7.95
8.56
7.60
7.80
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016YTD
1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'160
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
All
inju
ry f
requ
ency
rat
e
Fat
aliti
es
All Injury Frequency Rate and Fatalities
All Injury Frequency Rate Fatalities
1266
1041
994
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
928
920
723
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
THIRD QUARTER 2016 – KEY INDICATORS
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 5
AISC $/oz
14%of Q3 production
121 kozAustralia
26%of Q3 production
235 kozSouth Africa
37%of Q3 production
333 kozContinental Africa
23%of Q3 production
211 kozAmericas
AISC $/oz
946
881
815
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
AISC $/oz
1211
995
919
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
AISC $/oz
*AISC based on World Gold Council standard
HIGHLIGHTS Q3 2016• Free cash flow $161m (before $30m bond premium)
• Net debt improved to $1.972bn
• Production at 900koz at a total cash cost of $797/oz
• All-in sustaining costs* of $1,071/oz
SOUTH AFRICA OPERATIONS OVERVIEW
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 6
Good performances from Moab and Mponeng despite safety-related stoppages and slow start after shutdowns
Good performances from Moab and Mponeng despite safety-related stoppages and slow start after shutdowns
*World Gold Council standard
Total cash costsAll-in sustaining costs*
Production koz
Costs $/oz
253 252
236
250
235
Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
959
776 786 831
997
870
1,211
Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 2016 YTD
1,176
919988 9951,041
• Production and costs negatively affected by• lower grades• safety-related stoppages • costs were also affected by inflationary pressures due
to power and labour cost increases
• Vaal River production• Moab Khotsong up 14% y-on-y; and the lowest-cost
producer for the region at total cash cost of $736/oz
• Kopanang impacted by the fall of ground incident, lack of face length availability and a decrease in grades
• West Wits production• Mponeng up 6% y-on-y, quarter impacted by fewer
safety challenges, partly offset by lower grades
• TauTona most affected by safety-related stoppages
657 619674 665
724688
927995
Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 2016 YTD
702745
625 633665
Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS OVERVIEW
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 7
Kibali staged a strong recovery from previous quarter. International Ops affected by lower grades y-on-yKibali staged a strong recovery from previous quarter. International Ops affected by lower grades y-on-y
*World Gold Council standard
Total cash costsAll-in sustaining costs*
Production koz
Costs $/oz
826786
822
915
• Production down • Obuasi no longer operational and CC&V sold• Lower grades as planned, at both Tropicana and Geita• Kibali impact from H1 sulphide treatment challenges
• Strong recovery at Kibali from the previous quarter
• Production improvement at Iduapriem, Siguiri and Serra Grande
• Costs impacted by lower production, lower grades, inflation and higher capex; AISC up 20% year-on-year
• Australia costs up due to Sunrise Dam’s increased spend in underground mining costs and an additional jumbo. Tropicana’s costs impacted by lower planned grades and a higher drawdown of stockpiles
FOCUS ON MARGINS
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 8
We remain focused on margins while we reinvest in the low-capital, high return options within the business
We remain focused on margins while we reinvest in the low-capital, high return options within the business
1597
1312 1341
1170
1017 9931052 1034 1005
920 928 937860 860
962
1071
965
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
YTD2016
$/o
z
All-in sustaining costs, All-in costs and Average gold price
All-in sustaining costs* Average gold price All-in costs*
*World Gold Council standard
COST PERFORMANCE
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 9
850
900
950
1,000
1,050
1,100
937 61 10 4 11 40 8 1,071 965
Q3 2015 Cash Cost Rehab and othernon cash cost
Corporate Cost Exploration Cost Sustainingcapex
Inventory andOther
Q3 2016 YTD 2016
All-in sustaining cost $oz soldExcluding Stockpile NRV and other adjustments
600
640
680
720
760
800
840
735 -24 -8 -28 43 56 14 9 797 737
Q3 2015 Exchange By products Efficiency Inflation Volume andgrade
Stockpilesand inventory
Other Q3 2016 YTD 2016
Cash cost $/oz vs prior year quarter
BALANCE SHEET FLEXIBILITY
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 10
Highest cost debt redeemed using internal proceeds; ample liquidity, no near-dated maturities, and sufficient covenant headroom
Highest cost debt redeemed using internal proceeds; ample liquidity, no near-dated maturities, and sufficient covenant headroom
Last-12-months adjusted EBITDA ratio based on restated results
Net debt and Net debt to Adjusted EBITDA
1.811.70
1.94 2.02 1.95
1.54 1.49 1.47 1.441.26
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Net
deb
t $m
Net
deb
t to
Adj
uste
d E
BIT
DA
Net debt to Adjusted EBITDA Net debt
Covenant: 3.5x
Available facilities*At 30 September 2016
*Total calculated with ZAR facility at R13.71/$ (excluding DMTNP), AUD facility at 0.7654$ to A$
A$210mRCF
R3.4bnRCF
US$820mRCF
US$276mCash
$1.505bn
GUIDANCE
11
Previous
Guidance Updated Guidance
Notes
Production (000oz) 3,600-3,800 3,600 – 3,650Production affected primarily by safety-related stoppages inSouth Africa, which have resulted in losses of about 82,800ozin the first nine months of the year.
Costs
All-in sustaining costs ($/oz) 900 - 960 980 – 1,010 Cost guidance revised primarily due to strengthening of local currencies. Assumptions : ZAR14.60/$, $0.75/A$, BRL3.50/$ and AP14.80/$; Brent $43/bl - All averages for the year; AISC includes group corporate costs. Cost guidance includes the rebate of certain port duties in Argentina.
Total cash costs ($/oz) 680 – 720 730 – 750
Capex Total ($m) 790 – 850 790 – 820 Capital expenditure guidance narrowed.
Full year guidance revised and narrowed; production and capex remains within original guidance
Production and cost estimates assume neither labour interruptions, power disruptions and changes to asset portfolio and/or operating mines. Other unknown or unpredictable factors could also have material adverse effects on our future results.
As in prior years, the fourth quarter earnings will be affected by year-end accounting adjustments including any reassessment of useful lives and carrying value of mining tangible assets, inventory stockpile and investments, reset of environmental rehabilitation provisions, redundancy provisions, and indirect and taxation provisions.
CONCLUSION
SEPTEMBER 2016 MARKET UPDATE 12
• Mixed operating performance
• Strong free cash flow generation
• Deleveraging continued
• Kibali shows signs of improvement
Focus areas
•SA – safety and production
•Continued joint efforts on Kibali
•Cost management
•Invest in long-term of key assets:
Geita, Tropicana, Iduapriem, Sunrise
Dam, Siguiri, Sadiola
•Colombia PFS for reserve declaration