qcom b davidson_william_blair_6_17_10_final
TRANSCRIPT
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William Blair Growth Stock ConferenceJune 17, 2010
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Bill Davidson
Senior Vice President, Global Marketing & Investor Relations
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Safe Harbor
Before we proceed with our presentation, we would like to point out that the following discussion will contain forward-looking statements from industry consultants, Qualcomm and others regarding industry trends, anticipated future results and product availability, potential market size, market shares and other factors that inherently involve risks and uncertainties, including the rate of development, deployment and commercial acceptance of CDMA- and OFDMA-based networks and technology and fluctuations in the demand for CDMA- and OFDMA-based products, services or applications. These and other risks and uncertainties relating to Qualcomm’s business are outlined in detail in
our most recent 10-Q and 10-K forms filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Please consult those documents for a more complete understanding of these risks and
uncertainties.This presentation includes a discussion of "non-GAAP financial measures" as that term is defined in Regulation G. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and information reconciling these non-GAAP financial measures to the Company's financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP have been included at the end of this presentation.
DISCLAIMER Nothing presented here today, in any video, slide presentation, demonstration or otherwise, is an
offer to sell any components or devices. Certain components for use in the U.S. are available only through licensed suppliers. Some components are not available for use in the U.S.
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180+ 3G licensees
Broadly licensed patent portfolio:~12.6K U.S. and ~59.2K international granted patents and pending patent applications
700+ devices launched in FY09 based on QCT Chipsets
9 royalty-bearing single-mode 4G licensees (including Top 3 OEMs)
World’s largest fabless semiconductor company, #1 in wireless
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Strong Global 3G Subscriber and Network Growth3G GROWTH THE KEY DRIVER FOR QUALCOMM
Source: Wireless Intelligence (Jan 2010), GSMA and CDG, December 2009
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100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2005 2009
3G Operators
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100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2005 2009
3G Subscribers (Millions)
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Trends Driving Data Growth
AT&T Has Seen 5000% Mobile Data Growth Over Past 3 Years
3G subscriber growth
Application stores
Shift to cloud computing
Flexible data rates
Broadband connectivity
Source: AT&T
Video downloads
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The Cell Phone Has Become the Biggest Platform Created
Note : 3G includes CDMA2000, WCDMA and TD-SCDMA
Source: Wireless Intelligence estimates as of April 19, 2010 for the quarter ending March 31, 2010; number of unique wireless connections.
>1B 3G Subscribers TodayExpected to be ~2.8B by 2014
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3G HANDSET SHIPMENTS* (MILLIONS)
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200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E
Migration From 2G to 3G Continues to Accelerate
3G
GSM
Note: Average does not include IDC and Strategy AnalyticsSources: Average of ABI Research (Mar 10), Informa (1Q2010) and Yankee (Mar10)
*Shipments refer to sell-through numbers from Informa Telecoms & Media and Yankee and sell-in from ABI Research.
~75% 3G Handset Shipments
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CDMA-Based Device Shipment EstimatesCALENDAR YEAR, MILLIONS, AS OF APRIL 21, 2010
CY2006 CY2007 CY2008* CY2009* CY2010CDMA2000 WCDMA
297
382
476500-516
600-650e
CDMA Growth is a Key Stockholder Value DriverNote: As with our prior estimates of CDMA-based device ASPs and unit shipments, the reported quarterly estimated ranges of ASPs and unit shipments are determined based on the information as reported to us by our licensees during the relevant period and our own estimates of the selling prices and unit shipments for licensees that do not provide such information. Not all licensees report selling prices and/or unit shipments the same (e.g., some licensees report selling prices net of permitted deductions, such as transportation, insurance and packing costs, while other licensees report selling prices and then identify the amount of permitted deductions in their reports), and the way in which licensees report such information may change from time to time. The midpoints of the estimated ASP and device shipment ranges for the relevant periods are identified for comparison purposes only and do not indicate a higher degree of confidence in the midpoints. WCDMA includes TD-SCDMA. * Applying adjusted assumptions (as per April 21, 2010 announcement).
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Connecting the Unconnected
BY 2011, EMERGING REGIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REPRESENT
HANDSET SHIPMENTS
Note: Emerging Markets include Americas, Eastern Europe, Middle East & Africa, India, China and Developing APAC * Shipments refer to sell-through numbers. Source: Informa Telecoms & Media (Q1 2010)
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CHINA
CDMA SUBSCRIBERGROWTH FROM 2009-2014
Source: Average WCIS and Wireless Intelligence
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INDIA
CDMA SUBSCRIBERGROWTH FROM 2009-20143G and BWA Spectrum Auctions Completed
Source: 2009-TRAI Report as of Dec 09. 2014-Avg. of WI (April 10) and WCIS (May 2010)
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LATIN AMERICA
CDMA SUBSCRIBERGROWTH FROM 2009-2014
Source: Average WCIS and Wireless Intelligence
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Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL)WELL POSITIONED FOR TODAY AND LONG-TERM IN A GROWING INDUSTRY
Covering 3G and Multi-Mode 3G/4G
180+ LICENSES9 ROYALTY-BEARING
LICENSEES, INCLUDING TOP 3 OEMs
3GCDMA
4GOFDMA
Covering Non-3G, Single-Mode 4G
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Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT)OUR POSITION IN THE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY
Source: IC Insights, Company Report 2Q ’09; iSuppli, Q3 Update, September ‘09
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And The Need for More Compute PowerALL THE POWER OF A LAPTOP IN YOUR POCKET
ARM MCU< 20 MIPS
ARM7TDMI23 MIPS* (27 MHz)Intel 80186
10 MIPS(~2.5 MHz) * Dhrystone 2.1
** ARM Instruction Set
Multimedia PlatformARM9
Up to 160 MIPS*(146 MHz)
Enhanced PlatformARM9
Up to 250 MIPS*(225 MHz)
ConvergenceDual-Core
ARM9 + ARM11Up to 740 MIPS*
(400 MHz)
2010 2012
Snapdragon FamilyQualcomm Enhanced CPU**
(1-1.5GHz)
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QCT Strategy for Growth
Continue to ExpandSmartphones
Make Computers Smartphones(Smartbooks)
Drive Mobile Broadband into Consumer Electronics
Drive Mass Market Phones
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Expansion Into Adjacent MarketsExtending wireless leadership to include consumer electronics and mobile entertainment
Tracking
MP3
Handheld Games
eReaders
Embedded Modules
Smartbook
Netbook
PMP
PND
M2M
Telematics
Femto Box
Set-top Box
Router
LBS
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New Devices, New Categories, New Opportunities
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A New Mobile Computing Experience
Always-OnConnectivity
All-DayBattery Life
Instant On(NO standby/sleepstates)
LocationAware
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Chipset Innovation Driving Device Choice and Growth
$20 3G DEVICES FOR EMERGING
MARKETS
1.5GHZ MOBILE
PROCESSORS
SUPPORT FOR MULTIPLE POPULAR
OPERATING SYSTEMS
POWERCONSUMPTION
INTEGRATION MULTIMEDIA PROCESSING MULTIMODE FOOTPRINT
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4G Success Enhanced by 3G Experience
LTE 3G
LTE Boosts Data Capacity in Dense Urban Areas
Evolved 3G ensures similar user experience outside LTE coverage
Qualcomm is uniquely positioned to support first multimode LTE/3G deployments
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mirasol™: Disruptive Display Technology
MORE EFFICIENT THAN LCD
VISIBLE OUTDOORS
FULL COLOR ANDVIDEO CAPABLE
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WWAN
BROADCAST
Offloading Data Traffic
By 2014, Monthly Worldwide Mobile Data Traffic Expected to Exceed 2008 Total
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Well Positioned for Future Growth
2G to 3G Migration Continues
OFDMA Licensing Momentum
Technology Leadership
Expanding Partnerships
New Market Opportunities
Strategic Investing for Long-term Growth
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Thank You