quantification of post-human development, paper presented at the proceedings of the 5th beyond...
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Quantification of Post-human Development. paper presented at the Proceedings of the 5th Beyond Humanism Conference, The Posthuman: Differences, Embodiments, Performativity 2013 Accompanying slides available here: http://www.slideshare.net/stuartcalimport/quantification-of-posthuman-developmentTRANSCRIPT
Beyond Humanism Conference Rome, September 2013
Quantification of Post-Human Development
Calimport, S. R. G
Introduction
The primary aim of this research was to develop a database of categorised
variables that could be tracked that would lead towards or away from a state
of post-human development – this research would act as a proof-of-principle
and stimulus for discussion and more advanced planning, categorization and
action. The secondary aim of the research was to utilise current self-tracking
tools to start to track multiple personal metrics, particularly metrics that where
linked to longevity, wellbeing and cognitive capacity. By recording the health,
wellbeing and cognitive metrics and effectors of the researcher carrying out
the finding and categorization of variables – this research also aims to explore
the possibility of tracking whether the individual, be they a decision maker or
stakeholder, categorizing is healthy and well, and to create a dataset where
this issue can be further explored.
By making abstract and qualitative claims about post-humanism this
fundamentally hinders progress to a post-human state and may lead to
changes that do not progress us towards a post-human state or particular
post-human state of interest. We are already living in an era of big data
(Letouze, 2011), digitalisation and self-quantification (Quantified Self, n.d;
Health 2.0, n.d.). Website click through rates, gross domestic product, heart
rate variability and many other variables are being constantly tracked and
analysed by individuals and multiple other entities. The extent to which
quantifiable and scientifically objective processes can aid post-human
development will be explored.
Many metrics we are already tracking could have an effect on our
development into a post-human state, but there exists an abundance of
metrics we are not yet analysing that could also be of use for quantifying post-
human development. If we are aiming to attain a post-human state –
quantification of and by citizens, decision makers and stakeholders is
essential as is the identification of actions to take, areas to address and
objective milestones that can be reached.
There are two key issues revolving around underutilisation of current metrics:
Firstly, the fraction of private and publicly funded research that analyses
current data for how it might lead to post-human state is miniscule. Although,
there are a few researchers using current data to address topics related to
post-humanism such as increases in longevity (Mathers et al, 2001),
decreases in violence (World Report on Violence and Health, 2002; Google
Ideas, n.d.), and whether artificial intelligence can recognize humans
(Chellappa et al, 2010). The potential for using the data that is already being
generated to quantify post-human development is enormous, and growing
bigger every minute of every day as more data, meta-data and more diverse
data types become available. The second issue regarding the underutilization
of current metrics is that there are few researchers, businesses and institutes
that are explicitly stating that they are aiming to measure and create a post-
human world. There is currently a lack of statement of values, and a lack of
transparency and dialogue on this subject.
Typical goals of researchers, venture capitalists, politicians, businesses and
institutes might include short to medium term goals that may or may not be
aligned with post-human development – such as curing a type of cancer,
creating an artificial heart, reducing violence, increasing innovation and
entrepreneurship and improving education and healthcare. Other individuals,
decision makers and stakeholders may not even state their long-term goals,
or measure them openly. The case needs to be made that the self-tracking
and institution-based tracking of individuals, decision makers and
stakeholders if done correctly, could enhance our ability to perform, set goals,
meet milestones and do so in a manner that is not invasive, imbalanced or
unethical – but serves to assist and empower individuals to make better
decisions and take better action personally and also for and with others.
Quantification, implemented ethically, may also allow for greater
understanding of others so that interventions and assistance can be given.
Transparency, mutual understanding, education and mutual goal finding and
setting are key to a post-human future.
The declaring of long-term post-human goals and values would transform
society and inform day-to-day actions and decision-making. It would also
allow us to specifically address social, legal, political and educational issues
and engage with those demographics that did not know whether they wanted
a post-human future or not, and unreached demographics that do not know
what a post-human future means. Statistics on these demographics would
also be important for polling, quantification, tracking and optimisation
purposes.
Next - We need to address the following questions - What should we be
quantifying now, that we are not already quantifying? And what novel things
do we need to be doing and quantifying? Current trends and emerging fields
can aid us in answering these questions and play a role by providing case
studies and assist in the creation of an interdisciplinary science of post-human
development.
The Quantified Self – Quantified Self is a community of citizen scientists and
self-trackers as well as collection of methods, tools and devices that utilise
personalised analytics. The Quantified Self concept shows promise for
performing experiments that lead to a post-human state. In addition, self-
tracking methods allow for states and qualities previously and widely
considered qualitative to be quantified. States such as emotional states,
elegance of form, brain states, interpersonal interaction and lifespan
predictors, for some parameters, can be measured quantitatively through
posture cue devices, electrocardiogram devices, social media tools and
biometric sensors (Quantified Self Guide To Self Tracking, n.d.). Through self-
tracking and biofeedback the individual can track, monitor and modify their
thoughts, behaviour, lifestyle and environment in order to assist the
development of post-human states. Self-tracking also includes sharing
knowledge on how to develop into a post-human and The Quantified Self
community offers a select of lead users as case studies and consultants for
post-human for development.
Big Data – Big Data and data science are the terms for handling and
analysing large complex datasets. Big data is being handled primarily for
business, investment and marketing uses as well for crisis response such as
terrorism and natural disasters (Letouze, 2011; Google Ideas, n.d., NSA/CSS
Strategy, n.d.) as well as the physical and social sciences. In its current state
Big Data and Big Data analytics is being under-utilised as it could be being
used specifically to analyse post-human development and factors that could
dramatically increase lifespan
Other fields that could be tracked and combined into the interdisciplinary field
of post-human development include - cosmetic surgery, implant surgery,
regenerative medicine (Jungebluth et al., 2012), personalised medicine,
preventative surgery, exosuit design, brain-computer interfacing,
cryopreservation, cryostasis and hibernation (Zancanaro e al., 2004), user
experience design, interface design, next-generation human habit prototyping
(Seasteading Institute, n.d, The Venus Project, n.d.) data warehousing and
brain banking (MRC Brain Banking - science, n.d.). Big data, self-
quantification and machine learning would be at the top of the hierarchy,
analysing post-human development and informing research and decision-
making.
Methods
Variable/metric finding
Variable and metric finding was performed via reading, travelling, networking,
researching and exposing oneself to many types of experiences, situations
and ideas.
Variable/metric logging
When a variable or metric was found that was predicted to have an impact on
post-human development and lifespan – it was logged in a database. Health,
wellbeing, fitness, cognition, nutrition, stress and longevity metrics were also
recorded simultaneously with variable logging (Calimport. S.R.G., 2013a).
Variable/metric categorising
Variables were categorised by whether they were predicted to positively or
negatively affect post-human development and longevity.
Longitudinal Study
The study was longitudinal and biometrics as well as variables to optimise for
post-human development were logged either continuously or at multiple time
points over the 2 year span of the project.
Open Science Commons
The variables and metrics recorded are available as an open science
commons (Calimport, S.R.G., 2013b) as the dataset is a proof-of-principle
dataset that is intended to stimulate thinking and action for post-human
development.
Feedback and editing As the project progressed, many variables and metrics were edited due to
new sources of intelligence, feedback, introspection and comparative analysis
versus biometrics for mood and cognition. This highlights that the variable
finding and categorisation is a mutual and developmental process.
Results
The primary creation of the longitudinal project was a database of categorised
processes, states and objects that may lead us towards or away from a post-
human existence with dramatically increased lifespans. This may be the first
project of its kind that seeks to catalogue processes, states and objects that
we could enrich for or remove from existence in order to attain dramatically
increased lifespans. This cataloging will enable milestones to be created,
experiments to be performed, actions to be quantified and goals to be
reached. The research is also a primer and invitation to you to think about
how data could be used for post-human development and what metrics could
be tracked and how to track them?
A dataset of over 34,000+ variables that were predicted to be non-conducive
to post-human development and 5,000+ variables that were predicted to be
conducive to post-human development were recorded. These variables
include instances of objects, processes, states and phrases that could be
tracked and quantified. It is important to note that there are a lot of variables
and factors that have been predicted to be non-conducive to post-human
development, and as individuals, a society, and as decision makers we need
to be both intellectually honest and rigorous about the notion that the need to
deal with these negative variables in an open and ethical way.
As an experiment to test the relationship between biometric data and
generation of variables – miles per day on foot versus variables predicted to
be conducive to post-human development was analysed. A negative
correlation between physical activity and variables predicted per day was
found – showing the influence of lifestyle on both health, and decision-making
processes for post-human development (Calimport, S.R.G., 2013a).
Some variables that could be tracked, quantified and reduced that were
identified include: platitudes used, design by deception, deadly biodiversity,
ageing, decorated traps, ritual sacrifice of animals, survival lotteries,
narratives that lead to death and quantified ageing and dying rather than
quantifying health and regeneration. Some variables that could be tracked,
quantified and increased that were identified include: gamification for post-
human development, utilisation of programmable matter, PR for post-
humanism, crowdfunding post-humanism, efficiency of participation
incentives, speed of machine learning, scaling of data warehousing and
numbers of preventative surgeries.
Core variables to attempt to quantify are whether a person wants to attain a
post-human state and whether a person is successful in their role to attain a
post-human state. This creates 4 distinct classes of individual – 1) those that
want to attain a post-human state and are on track with the metrics and
milestones being tracked 2) those that want to attain a post-human state but
are not on track and need help and assistance 3) those that do not currently
want to attain a post-human state for whatever reason but are actually
contributing to it and 4) those who do not currently want to attain a post-
human state and are not contributing to it. The possibility for individuals to
move between these classes over time would be expected and between some
classes –empowered and encouraged. Gathering this data would also serve
as engagement and polling for researchers and proponents of post-
humanism.
Variables ranged in difficulty to track, similarity to variables we track now, our
to quantify them, ability to analyse the, granularity of data, and spanned
multiple disciplines of expertise. Initial analysis also showed that the types
metrics recorded and how they were phrased varied greatly due to nutrition,
exercise, location and mood – which shows promise for the possibility of
controlling for cognitive biases and environmental effects. For the variables
and factors that might be hard to quantify or attain metrics for, as most
transactions and communications are being monitored already by private
industry (Google Ideas, n.d.), governments (NSA/CSS Strategy, n.d.) and
individuals (Quantified Self, n.d.), and the potential of data analytics
increasing daily – the prospect is getting progressively easier and the future of
humanity would be considered by all to be an ethical use of data that is
already being collected and analysed.
Discussion
The primary aim - to develop a database of objects, processes and properties
that may be optimal or sub-optimal for post-human development was a
success in terms of generating a case study dataset of quantifiable variables
as well as a host of other personal metrics. As a hypothesis generating and
variable finding experiment, recording many predictions and observations for
what may lead to a post-human state is perhaps the first step in the process.
Data for a single individual (n=1) can be powerful for personalised medicine
and to assess and inform the individual, but for mutual post-human
development we need metrics on individuals and whole systems. Database
entries were based on personal predictions, experience and empirical
measures – therefore database items will need to be tracked, tested and
validated as to whether they are optimal for post-human development
conducive to dramatically increased longevity.
This proof-of-principle attempted to demonstrate the wider potential and
impact that ‘quantification of post-human development’ could have on a
personal, governmental and international level. By quantifying our ability to
reach milestones towards post-humanity, we can start to track, optimise,
model and expedite that which we want to improve on over and above the
current level of humanity. We could track increases in longevity, intelligence,
philanthropy, innovation, accountability, organ transplants, social connectivity,
synthetic implants, cryopreservation, and increases in beautiful, peaceful
environments and individuals. We could track decreases in incidences of
violence, accidental deaths, both infectious and non-infectious diseases, and
the use of words and phrases that are correlated with individuals that have
short lifespans or shorten the lifespans of others. We may also want to use
metrics for how accurately devices and artificial intelligence can classify us
based on algorithms that are optimised for identifying humans as a metric of
changes in morphology and phenotype, to see which morphologies are living
longer or associated with other milestones in post-human development.
Currently big data, personal data and augmentation bring up issues such as
privacy, autonomy concerns, power imbalances, and issues of discrimination
and access. By adding quantification of post-human development to the
narrative of human progress this could inform bioethical inquiry, investment,
governance and policy. A quantified and machine intelligence assisted
approach is not meant to replace human decision-making, but augment
decision makers, be they citizens or governmental bodies with the tools to
assist us in how best to augment ourselves and improve society.
A meta-analysis of the health, intelligence and wellbeing of stakeholders and
decision makers as well as finding common metrics to track between
stakeholders and decision makers – would increase both objectivity and
inclusivity. The multi-layered quantification of systems, individuals and
decision makers would allow for an objective, inclusive, quantitative approach
to post-human development that includes accountability on the behalf of
society and decision makers.
Call to Action
I would like to end with a call to action –a call to create a social, professional
and academic environment that is not only conducive to the quantification of
and development of a post-human future, but is actively, explicitly and openly
working towards it.
At present there are at least 5 identifiable actions we can perform to enhance
the quantification of post-human development.
1) Increase the number of researchers and stakeholders that are involved
in the research fields conducive to post-human development and
longevity – namely those that utilise diverse interdisciplinary datasets,
big data, self-tracking data, and machine learning.
2) Increase the number of stakeholders with access to the data and
skillsets needed to perform quantification experiments for post-human
development. Including in private industry, academia, data science and
government institutes. This may include the creation of a range
projects that utilise crowdsourcing, citizen science, international
partnerships and utilisation of institutes that specialise in increasing
lifespan and prototyping environments and lifestyles.
3) Increase interest in the concept of quantifying and optimising post-
human development as a transdisciplinary, scientifically grounded and
ethical discipline.
4) Increase the willingness and ability for professional scientists and key
stakeholders to stand up and speak out and say that they want to use
the most scientific, rigorous and advanced trans-disciplinary techniques
for post-human development. This includes being able to speak openly
about dramatic, healthy increases in lifespan and the creation of next
generation habitats. This would also include the creation of a social
and professional environment where scientists and stakeholders can
state that their long-term goals for dramatically increased lifespans,
astroengineering and creation of paradise-like environments – in an
environment that values and supports this.
5) Increase political lobbying, social engagement, collective action and
personal relations on issues of post-human development so that
parties and policies start to reflect post-human ideals. Through political
action we can develop countries and work environments whose
primary aims are to dramatically increase longevity and create proto-
paradises.
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