r: innovating at the bureau of labor statistics · 3 —u.s. bureau of labor statistics •bls.gov...
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1 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
R: Innovating at the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Arcenis RojasEconomist
Division of Consumer Expenditure Surveys
Federal Committee on Statistical MethodologyMarch 2018
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2 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov2 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Overview
IPP: Division of International Prices
PPI: Division of Industrial Prices and Price Indexes
CE: Division of Consumer Expenditure Survey
OCWC: Office of Compensation and Working Conditions
OSMR: Office of Survey Methods and Research
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3 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov3 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Overview
Automation (IPP)
Quality control (PPI)
Real-time response rates (OCWC)
Data visualization (CE)
Other R Shiny applications
R packages
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4 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
R Shiny Applications
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5 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov5 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Sample Refinement Automation
International Prices Program
Receive data from Census and Customs
Must verify Establishment ID Number (EIN), name, and address to provide to field economists
1700 export collections units per sample
2400 import collection units per sample
6 IPP sample team members
16 copies, 20 pastes, and 46 clicks per unit
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6 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov6 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Data Sources
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Left Side
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Right Side
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Search Results
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11 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov11 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Export Addresses at a Glance
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12 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov12 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
80-100 hours per sample of time savings
Much less clicking
Better and more thorough sample review
More time to review more problematic collection units
Benefits of Automation
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13 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov13 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Sample Refinement Automation
Ara Khatchadourian: [email protected]
Rob Sutton: [email protected]
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14 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov14 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Industrial Prices Visualization Dashboard
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15 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov15 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Index Comparisons
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16 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov16 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Index Review and Revision
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Visualization Dashboard
Neil Wagner: [email protected]
Steve York: [email protected]
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
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19 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov19 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
CE Public-Use Microdata (PUMD)
Public-Use Microdata
Family-level characteristics
Expenditures by Universal Classification Code (UCC)
Member-level characteristics
Expenditures and their characteristics by type of expenditure (EXPN… > 50 files each year!)
And more!
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Files Required for Analysis
Family Characteristics File (34,177 Observations)
Expenditures File(1,720,755 Observations)
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21 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov21 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Required Resources / Skills
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
Error Bars
Mean = $30,040.00
CV = 24.12%
Sample Size = 3
Lower Bound = $15,548.70
Upper Bound = $44,531.30
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28 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov28 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Benefits to the user
Accessibility: The user can access the app for
free as long as they have internet access on
a device with a web browser
Usability: The user operates only the clean, user-friendly UI to get data, results, and visualizations
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Interactive CE Visualization Tool
Arcenis Rojas: [email protected]
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30 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov30 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Real-time Response Rate Tool
Office of Compensation and Working Conditions
Provide real-time response rates to field offices
Focus on problem collection areas
Improved sample representativity
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31 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov31 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Real-time Response Rate Tool
Response rates by region and/or establishment size
Detailed summaries for each region
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32 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov32 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Real-time Response Rate Tool
Brandon Kopp (OSMR): [email protected]
Randall Powers (OSMR): [email protected]
Arcenis Rojas (CE): [email protected]
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33 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov33 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Other Shiny Applications
Choropleth maps of unemployment data (OSMR)
Energy Information Administration analyzer (PPI)
Text analysis Shiny App (Survey Methods)
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R Packages
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35 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov35 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
R Packages
rpms: Recursive Partitioning for Modeling Survey Data package (Survey Methods)
growfunctions: Bayesian Non-Parametric Dependent Models for Time-Indexed Functional Data package (Survey Methods)
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36 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov36 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
rpms
Fits a linear model to survey data in each node obtained by recursively partitioning the data.
Adjusts for complex sample design features used to obtain the data.
Produces design-consistent coefficients to the least squares linear model between the dependent and independent variables.
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37 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov37 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
rpms
The main function returns the resulting binary tree with the linear model fit at every end-node.
Daniell Toth (OSMR): [email protected]
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38 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov38 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
growfunctions
Bayesian Non-Parametric Dependent Models for Time-Indexed Functional Data package (Survey Methods)
Estimates a collection of time-indexed functions under either of Gaussian process (GP) or intrinsic Gaussian Markov random field (iGMRF) prior formulations
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39 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov39 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
growfunctions
Dirichlet process mixture allows sub-groupings of the functions to share the same covariance or precision parameters
The GP and iGMRF formulations both support any number of additive covariance or precision terms, respectively, expressing either or both of multiple trend and seasonality.
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growfunctions
Terrance Savitsky (OSMR): [email protected]
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Challenges
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Challenges
Data confidentiality
Need for an R server to make apps/programs public
Can only put Shiny apps on a webpage via iFrames or setting up an account on a cloud server (i.e., Digital Ocean, R Studio)
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Contact Information
43 — U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS • bls.gov
Arcenis RojasEconomist
Division of Consumer Expenditure Surveyswww.bls.gov/cex