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Schaefer et al. Radiation Research 49:245-271(1972) Radiation Monitoring on Apollo XI 1

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  • Schaefer et al. Radiation Research 49:245-271(1972)

    Radiation Monitoring on Apollo XI

    1

  • Schaefer et al. Radiation Research 49:245-271(1972)

    Radiation Monitoring on Apollo XI

    2

  • Schaefer et al. Radiation Research 49:245-271(1972)

    Radiation Monitoring on Apollo XI

    3

  • F. A. Cucinotta and M. Durante. Space Radiation Element Evidence Report on: Risk of Radiation Carcinogenesis. In Human Research

    Evidence Book 2008, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Houston, TX 2008.4

  • What amount of fatal cancer risk is acceptable?

    REID

    • Risk of Exposure-Induced Death

    • Fatal cancer REID is 3%at upper 95% confidenceinterval

    • Permissible exposurelimits are for risk, notdose.

    5

  • How is the risk calculated?

    The model is based on epidemiological data from low LET, acute exposures.

    6

  • REID values for 1-y missions in deep space at the average solar minimum for 20g/cm2 of aluminum shielding.

    Cucinotta, Kim, Chappell, Space Radiation Cancer Risk Projections and Uncertainties - 20127

  • Career Dose Limits (Sv)

    Age at first exposure, (yr)

    Space agency Sex 30 35 45 55

    NASA (USA) Female 0.47 0.55 0.75 1.1

    Male 0.62 0.72 0.95 1.5

    JAXA (Japan) Female 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1

    Male 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2

    ESA (Europe) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Roscomos (Russia) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    CSA (Canada) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Durante & Cucinotta, Rev. Mod. Phys 83, 1245. 20118

  • Lifetime risks for 940 d Mars Design Reference mission for average solar minimum

    %REID, Cancer %REID, Circulatory %REID, Combined

    45-y Females

    U.S. Average 5.32 [0.95, 14.3] 1.48 [0.57, 3.05] 6.57 [1.38, 14.8]

    Never-Smokers 3.56 [0.51, 8.87] 1.55 [0.58, 3.20] 4.98 [1.77, 10.6]

    45-y Males

    U.S. Average 3.52 [0.66, 8.23] 1.53 [0.64, 3.05] 4.94 [1.91, 9.78]

    Never-Smokers 2.75 [0.63, 6.52] 1.62 [0.68, 3.12] 4.28 [1.86, 8.22]

    Table 1, truncated9

  • Cucinotta, F.A. and Durante, M. Lancet Oncol. 7: 431–35 (2006). Original image by Frank McDonald

    Particle Tracks in Nuclear Emulsions

    HZ=1

    LiZ=3

    BZ=5

    CZ=6

    SiZ=14

    HeZ=2

    CaZ=20

    50 mm

    TiZ=22

    FeZ=26

    BeZ=4

    High Linear Energy Transfer (LET)Densely Ionizing

    10

  • NASA Space Radiation Laboratory

    11

  • Hepatocellular Carcinoma

    M.M. Weil, et al, PLoS.One., 9: e104819, 2014.

    0 1 2 3 4

    0

    2 0

    4 0

    6 0

    D o s e in G y

    Tu

    mo

    r In

    cid

    en

    ce

    (%

    )

    300M eV /n2 8

    S i

    600 M eV /n5 6

    F e

    1 3 7C s g a m m a ra y s

    7 2 S P E P ro to n s

    12

  • Dose (Gy)

    0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

    Inc

    ide

    nc

    e o

    f A

    ML

    (%

    +/-

    S.E

    .)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Weil et al Radiat. Res. 172, 213-219 (2009)

    Myeloid Leukemia

    1 GeV/n 56Fe137Cs g-rays

    13

  • Modified from Upton AC, Randolph ML, Conklin JW, Melville GS, Conte

    FP, Sproul JA. 1970. Radiat. Res. 41:467

    Radiation-Induced Myeloid Leukemia in RF Mice

    DOSE (Gy)

    1 3 5 7

    INC

    IDEN

    CE

    (%) 0.8 Gy/min

    0.56 to 0.037 mGy/min

    14

  • PROTRACTION EFFECT ON BONE-SARCOMAINDUCTION OF 224Ra IN CHILDREN AND ADULTSHEINZ SPIESS and CHARLES W. MAYS

    in Radiation Carcinogenesis. (C. L. Sanders et al., Eds.) pp. 437-450.USAEC Symposium Series 29, CONF-720505, 1973

    • 897 patients mostly with bone tuberculosis orankylosing spondylitis treated with repeatedinjections of 224Ra (alpha emitter, 3.62-day half life),53 developed bone sarcomas

    • Injections were generally made a weekly intervalsspanning a few weeks to 2.5 years, some patients hada single injection

    • For a fixed dose the bone sarcoma incidence washigher with protraction

    15

  • • Protraction over 15 months instead of 5 monthsdoubles bone sarcoma risk

    16

  • Inverse dose rate effect in uranium miners

    BEIR VI17

  • Chronic Neutron ExposureMammary Tumors

    10 mGy/day

    Ullrich,R.L. Radiat.Res, 97: 587-597, 1984.18

  • THE NEUTRON RADIATION FACILITY AT COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY

    19

  • 4720

  • Interindividual Differences in Susceptibility to Radiogenic Cancers

    • Germline mutation/polymorphism

    • Somatic mutations• Pre-neoplastic cells

    • Dormant microtumors

    21

  • Second Cancers Following Radiotherapy for Hereditary Retinoblastoma

    Wong et al. (1997) Cancer Incidence After Retinoblastoma. JAMA 278:1262-67.

    Photo courtesy of Gail Tomlinson

    The Biology of Cancer (Garland Science 2007)

    22

  • Nevoid Basal Cell Carcinoma

    Syndrome (Gorlin Syndrome)

    Atahan, I.L. (1998) Basal cell carcinomas developing in a case of medulloblastoma associated with Gorlin's

    syndrome. Pediatric Hematology and Oncology 15(2): 187 - 191 23