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TRANSCRIPT
Quantifying Development Needs:
An Energy-centered Approach to
Climate Justice
Narasimha D. Rao
Our Common Future
Paris, July 2015
We agree that deep cuts in global emissions are required…below 2 degrees C…
take action…on the basis of equity…bearing in mind that social and economic development
and poverty eradication are the first and overriding priorities…
Copenhagen Accord
Equitable access to sustainable development
Cancun Agreement
Right of everyone to an adequate standard of living for himself and his family,
including adequate food, clothing and housing, and to the continuous
improvement of living conditions”
Article 11.1, International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights.
‘Development’ in Climate Negotiations
Narasimha D. Rao
Past ‘Development Thresholds’
Narasimha D. Rao
“Greenhouse Development Rights – $7,500
Baer, Kartha, Athanasiou 2007
“BASIC Proposal (South Africa) – HDI
Emissions “Floor” – 1 ton CO2eq
Chakravarty et al 2009
Energy
PovertyClimate
ForcingPoverty
Narasimha D. Rao
2°C World Allows Limited Energy Growth
CO2
from Energy
(GTons)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Global Energy Assessment, IIASA
Annex I Countries’
Emissions Pathways
(2˚C)
Narasimha D. Rao
Steckel et al., 2013
Baseline450ppm
Final Energy
Do we have sufficient energy for basic
human development in a 2°C World?
Narasimha D. Rao
Historical Trends in Human Development
Lamb & Rao, Glob. Env. Ch,Narasimha D. Rao
Estimate (Top-Down) Energy for HD
1990
20102050
Narasimha D. Rao
Lamb & Rao, Glob. Env. Ch,
South Asia
Narasimha D. Rao
Estimate (Top-Down) Energy for HD
Lamb & Rao, Glob. Env. Ch,
(Final) Energy Consumption 2010-2050
Narasimha D. Rao
Lamb & Rao, Glob. Env. Ch,
Cumulative Carbon Budget 2010-2050
Narasimha D. Rao
4.1 tCO2eq
6.7 tCO2eq
4.2 tCO2eq
Lamb & Rao, Glob. Env. Ch,
Population GHG Emissions
Basic Development Share of Global 2°C Budget
2010-2050
Narasimha D. Rao
• Basis for “graduation” from intensity targets to
absolute targets
• Exemption threshold, beyond which allocation
rules apply
Practical Applications
Narasimha D. Rao
