rapid transit and surrey's needs - part 3: assessing the impacts

7/29/2019 Rapid Transit and Surrey's needs - Part 3: Assessing the impacts

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Assessingthe impacts

Conclusions gathered Modal shift rates on all proposed Surrey Rapid Transit

clearly inferior to Vancouver achievements

Surrey-wide achievements after 20 years of rapid trancompletely inferior to what Vancouver has achieved ayears

Auto use to remain dominant in the City of Surrey whVancouver has already met goals and other cities withrapid transit will follow.

Vehicles entering/within Surrey will increase with popjobs, and the city will require millions of dollars to addissue as a tradeoff for not enough investment in rapi

Comparing the plannedimpact of the Surrey

Rapid Transit alternativesvs. what rapid transit hasdone in Vancouver

Scroll down for more inf


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Modal shift inVancouver1996-2006

During this period, the MillenniumLine SkyTrain line as well as the 99and 98 B-Lines were introduced.As well, Mark II train service wasinitiated on the Expo Line toimprove service and ride quality.

Source: Vancouver Transportation Plan Updatehttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf
http://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdfhttp://www.tac-atc.ca/english/annualconference/tac2012/docs/session18/krueger.pdf


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Modal shift inVancouver1996-2006During this period, the 99 B-Line, 98B-Line and Millennium LineSkyTrain line were introduced. As

well, Mark II train service wasinitiated on the Expo Line toimprove service.



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Surrey rapidtransit modalshift expectation2021-2041

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

BRT

network

LRT to

Langley +

BRT

Full LRT

network

RRT to

Langley +

BRT

Study area mode share

(to/from/within)

2021 (opening year) to 2041

Mode share in 2021 (opening day) Mode share in 2041

3.18 3.28

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

BRT network LRT to

Langley +BRT

Study area m

2021 (opening y

Additional mode sha

26.72%27.80%

20%

22%

24%

26%

28%

30%

BRT

network

LRT to

Langley +

BRT

Study area m

2021 (opening y

Mode-share

Source: Final Analysis PDF page 342-344


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Comparison 1Surrey 2021-2041 vsVancouver 1996-2006

3.01

3.183.28

3.21 3.17

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Vancouver

1996-2006

Surrey 2021-

2041, BRT1

Surrey 2021-

2041, LRT5a

Surrey 2021-

2041, LRT1

Surrey 2021-

2041, RRT1

Expected modal shift to transit

Additional transit mode-share captured in %

Vancattracomshiftcomexpeappr

afterany r

Sources: Final Analysis PDF page 342-344,

Vancouver Transportation Plan Update

TDM adjustments are not included in this comparison as such measures had not been implemented

of Vancouver. See report: Assessing the potential for road and parking charges to reduce demand focommuting in the Greater Vancouver region, page 9 - http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/Washbroo
http://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdfhttp://research.rem.sfu.ca/theses/WashbrookKevin_2002_MRM298.pdf


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0.3

0.159 0.164 0.1605 0.1585

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

Vancouver1996-2006

Surrey 2021-2041, BRT1

Surrey 2021-2041, LRT5a

Surrey 2021-2041, LRT1

Surrey 2021-2041, RRT1

Average yearly modal shift to transit

Average yearly additional transit mode-share captured in %

PreviotransitcapturtwiceannuatransitSurreyoption






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1.73%

1.34%1.39% 1.36%

1.29%

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

1.00%

1.20%

1.40%

1.60%

1.80%

2.00%

Vancouver

1996-2006

Surrey 2021-

2041, BRT1

Surrey 2021-

2041, LRT5a

Surrey 2021-

2041, LRT1

Surrey 2021-

2041, RRT1

Average yearly modal shift

Average yearly transit mode share growth

Surreyannuawith atransitVancoseen p

Canad






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Sub-area transitmode-shares inSurrey andLangley

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

Transit mode-shares for study sub-are

with BRT network with LRT to Langley + BRT with full LRT network with

Source: Final Analysis PDF page 87


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Modal shift inDowntownVancouver

1996-2006

Vancouver has sreduced amountentering downtoin 15 years, desppopulation and j

Opened in this pMillennium LineSkyTrain, 99 and

Line up until intrCanada Line



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Modal shift inDowntownVancouver

1996-2006



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Comparison 4Downtown Surrey 2041 vsDowntown Vancouver 2006Both cases are measurements 20years after rapid transit

41.28%

26.60% 26.60% 26.50% 26.90%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

Downtown

Vancouver

2006

Downtown

Surrey 2041

with BRT1

Downtown

Surrey 2041

with LRT5a

Downtown

Surrey 2041

with LRT1

Downtown

Surrey 2041

with RRT1

Measurement of transit mode-share

Transit mode share* (see note)

Downtoto have mtransit mDowntow

* Downtown Surrey estimates consider trips leaving City Centre (i.e. onthe Expo Line towards Burnaby and Downtown Vancouver, or reversecommutes), whereas Downtown Vancouver numbers do not. Downtown

Vancouver numbers average to/within trip mode share.


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Most pedestrianfriendly city inCanada

These argood trareductio

Vancouvpedestrin Canad

Of all ne

downtowpedestrineighboVancouv


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Comparison 5Proposed Surrey bus networkvs. 2006 Vancouver network(bus networks after 20 years ofrapid transit)

All rapid transit alternatives to be complemented with BAU trSource: Final Analysis PDF page 242-245


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Comparison 5Proposed Surrey bus networkvs. 2006 Vancouver network(bus networks after 20 years ofrapid transit)

Surrey 2041 bus nbe far more estabVancouvers 2006routes to maintaservice within 15Surrey/SOF after transit.

Busy Vancouver bof frequent transi2006 (i.e. 20 yearsincluded: 17, 25, 4

Vancouver bus ronot existbefore 2

Many Vancouver years after rapid tprovide service wpeak hour (26, 27,

Mode share goalsVancouver for intin 2006 are not myears of rapid tranmore established Source: Final Analysis PDF page 242-245,

TransLink 2008 press releaseCPTDB Wiki on CMBC bus routes

Full tables on final analysis PDF page 242-245

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