ratios of elliot wave
TRANSCRIPT
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Ratios of Elliot waves
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wave 2 Retracements
12% of 38.2%
73% between 50% to 60%
15% below 62%
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wave 3
1.62 x length of wave 1
2.62 x length of wave 1
4.25 x length of wave 1
We can anticipate 45% of wave 1 between 1.62% to 1.75% x wave1
We can anticipate 30% of wave 1 between 1.75% to 2.62% x wave1
only 8% goes beyond 2.62% x wave1
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Wave 4
24% of Wave 3, or
38% of Wave 3, or
50% of Wave 3, or
62% of Wave 3
We can anticipate 15% Retracement between 24% to 30% x wave 3
We can anticipate 60%Retracement between 30% to 50% X wave 3
We can anticipate 15% Retracement between 50% to 62% x wave 3
we can anticipate 10% Retracement 62% or greater
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Wave 4 Retracement calculates two ways from end of W2 to end of W3,
backup is from beginning W1 to end of W3
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Wave 5
If wave 3 is more than 1.62% of wave 1 then
wave 5 might be equal to
= wave 1, or
= 1.62 x wave 1, or
= 2.62 x wave1
OR
If wave 3 is less than 1.62% of wave1 then
wave 5 Ratios might be
5 = .618 x (1--3) beginning of Wave 1 TO top of wave 3
5= 1 x ( 1--3) beginning of wave 1 To top of wave 3
5= 1.618 X ( 1--3) beginning of wave1 To top of wave 3
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It is always anticipated that retracement to anystock will happen at 38.2%.
But circumstances may even lead to retracement happening to 50% level or
closer to 61.8%.
What are Expansion levels:
Coomon Expansion levels are .618 / 1 / 1.618
The calculation are as follows
.618 = .618 ( B -A ) + C
1 = B -A + C
1.618 = 1.618 (B - A ) + C
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.618 of Expansion level is called TGT I. 1 of expansion level is called TGT II
and 1.618 of Expansion level is called TGT III
Hypothetical uptrend example: POINT A is Rs.20, Point B is 100 and the
retracement of POINT C is 60.
TGT I = .618(100-20)+60 = 109.45
TGT II = 100- 20 + 60 =140
TGT III = 1.618 (100-20)+60 =189.45
That means what ?? If you enter long at 60, your TGTs are 109.45 / 140 /
189.45
Now let us take the downtrend: Point A is 180 and point B is 100 and point C
on retracement is 140
Now the TGTs are as follows:
TGT I = .618(100-180)+140 = 90.56
TGT II = 100-180+140=60TGT III = 1.618 (100-180)+140=10.56
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There are many ways to apply Fibonacci studies to technical analysis and we also look for Fibonacci
ratio relationships between the related waves in a cycle. Here are some
common ratios to look for....
Wave 3 to wave 1 1, 1.618, 2.618, 4.236...
Wave 5 to wave 1 0.5, 0.618, 1, 1.27, 1.382, 1.618...
When one of the impulse waves extend, there are some common
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relationships to look for and an example of this can be seen in these
charts.
Common retrace ratios for corrections are
Wave 2 0.616, 0.786
Wave 4 0.382, 0.5
B waves 0.5, 0.618, 1.00, 1.27
Wave 2s are often sharp and deep. In an ideal world they would retrace
0.618 or 0.786 most of the time. Wave 4s tend toward a shallower retrace
and will often find support at the 0.382 level of wave 3.
B waves are generally less consistent and tend to vary in length more.
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