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RCS THE GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
DAVID O’BYRNE, PROGRAMME DIRECTOR - GSMA
RCS LAUNCH STATUS
60 RCS Launches
90 Announced
Multiple RCS launches
RCS launched
RCS launch forecast for 2018
Forecast to go from one to multiple launches in 2018
100% launched
Facebook Messenger
The 3 Waves of Communications and Messaging
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Millions WhatsApp
We Chat
KIK
iMessage
Viber
LINE
SnapChat
BBMTelegram
AIM
Nimbuzz!
Tango
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Millions
Facebook Messenger
Mobile Messaging Has Reach!
We Chat
Global SMS/MMS
The US in Unique
Source: Ovum, Juniper, Statista, GSMA; Delta Partners analysis; Note (1): Unique subscribers; (2) Excludes A2P
82% 82% 82% 82%
33%44%
50%55%
2014 2015 2016 2017
Text messages OTT Instant messaging
Monthly active users as % of wireless phone users1, USA(%)
Number of SMS2 sent per month per wireless phone user1, USA(#)
229 211
191 177
2014 2015 2016 2017
89% 88% 84%73%
66%58% 55%
Penetration of IM per country, 2017
US Sees Higher Usage of SMS/MMS vs Other Countries
Source: Ovum, GSMA; Delta Partners analysis; Note (1): Unique subscribers; (2) Excludes A2P
177
93
31 20
10 4 3
Number of SMS sent per month per subscriber, 2017
RCS BUSINESS MESSAGING REVENUE
To protect and grow messaging revenue: Operators need to deploy RCS and move from Messaging to Messaging as a Platform
*Sources: GSMAi, Portio research, company press releases,
industry estimates. No estimations for OTT A2P before 2016
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
P2P SMS Messaging A2P SMS Messaging
P2P OTT Messaging A2P OTT Messaging A2P SMS is still growing (~5% CAGR) to reach $74bn by 2021
OTT apps do not yet rival SMS for penetration or trust
Vo
lum
e. B
n
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
7000
6000
1000
0
3000
2000
5000
4000
OTT
SMS
VOLUME Bn
A2P Business Messaging
EXPANSION OF OTT PLAYERS BUSINESS MESSAGING SOLUTIONS
Aggressive expansion in Business Messaging (A2P) from OTT players
Apple, WhatsApp and Facebook have all launched business messaging, with forecasts indicating the volume of OTT business messages already exceeds that of business SMS (PortioResearch).
OTT messaging providers are aggressively targeting digital marketing revenue, monetising their scale and reach, already surpassing premium SMS Business messaging traffic volumes, capturing the attention of Brand investment.
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
7000
6000
1000
0
3000
2000
5000
4000
OTT
SMS
VOLUME Bn
RCS BUSINESS MESSAGING VS OTT POSITIONING
Evolution from SMS A2P with rich content
Massive potential reach & SMS fallback
Trusted MNO channel
Business pays to send to end users
P2A chatbot support
Independent & open
Allow businesses to reach opted-in users
Customer service and notifications
WhatsApp Business app for SMEs
WhatsApp Enterprise API for larger businesses
Pricing now published
Opens up iMessage for users to engage brands
Prime use case is Customer Service
User always in control
Deep integration to iOS for great UX
RCS Business Messaging WhatsApp Apple Business Chat
Chatbot platform
Primarily P2A initiated
Businesses can pay FB to market to FB users
Free to send messages
Facebook Messenger
6462595654
Revenue operators could capture in the
future through advertising
Revenue operators capture today from
A2P
86
86
85
109
144185
87
88
217
247
248
285
329
346
399
Non-mobile digital ad spend
Mobile ad spending
A2P Revenue
2016 2017 2018 2019 20202016Source: http://strathcom.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/eMarketer_Worldwide_Ad_Spending-eMarkerters_Updates_Estimates_and_Forecast_for_2015202/pdf
DIGITAL ADVERTISING REVENUE POTENTIAL FOR OPERATORS
Proxy size of the addressable digital advertising market for operators ($b)
Code of Conduct
David O’Byrne – GSMA October2018Future Networks Programme
RCS BUSINESS MESSAGING VS OTT POSITIONING
Evolution from SMS A2P with rich content
Massive potential reach & SMS fallback
Trusted MNO channel
Business pays to send to end users
P2A chatbot support
Independent & open
Allow businesses to reach opted-in users
Customer service and notifications
WhatsApp Business app for SMEs
WhatsApp Enterprise API for larger businesses
Pricing now published
Opens up iMessage for users to engage brands
Prime use case is Customer Service
User always in control
Deep integration to iOS for great UX
RCS Business Messaging WhatsApp Apple Business Chat
Chatbot platform
Primarily P2A initiated
Businesses can pay FB to market to FB users
Free to send messages
Facebook Messenger
CHARGING MODELS
Per event Replicating existing SMS model
Initial launches using this model – this emulates the current A2P SMS model
Session based Time based (5m, 1d, 1w, etc) or series of messages (i.e. 10 messages = 1 session) Discount scheme?
Based on feedback from initial launches session(s) will be defined
Access based Flat fee for unlimited
messages to the base or Access to base + charge
per unique user
Revenue share Outside scope of interconnect
likely to be fulfilled through commercial arrangements
Other models may be deployed depending on demand
RCS BUSINESS MESSAGING: RECOMMENDED GOOD PRACTICES
The RCS Business Messaging: Recommended Good Practices (formerly known as MaaP Code of Conduct) is a key enabler for the scale up and adoption of RCS Business Messaging Services
Promotes the adoption of consistent RCS and RCS Business Messaging practices by all ecosystem participants
Details 9 Principles that clarify how RCS will handle issues such as: Unsolicited A2P RCS
messages Combating spam, fraud
and grey routes Customer complaints Data privacy
Publication on GSMA.com/future networks