reaction to fpe strat plan from eap mallari_may 2015

Innovative conservation since 1903


Dr. Neil Aldrin Mallari Country Director, Fauna & Flora International Philippines

#hugoatngmgaconservationists

Para sa mga umibig, nasaktan, ngunit umibig pa rin.

You know, tatanga-tanga


Hugoat #1

Alin sa tatlo ang pipiliin mo:

- Indian?

- Pana?

- Pag-ibig?

FPE through its Partners

(vehicle is the stratplan)

Biodiversity and Sustainable

Development


Conserve

biodiversity

Site Management

Species Management

Capacity Building

Policy

Livelihood

IEC

Research

Stratplan

• Where do

Hugoat #2

A C B

Time or disturbance intensity

Eco

syst

em

Fu

nct

ion

Recovery only

Requires

improved

management or

plant removal

or management

Recovery

Requires

vegetation

manipulation

Recovery

Requires

modification of

physical

environment

Primary processes

are fully functional Primary processes

are functional Primary processes

are nonfunctional

Transition threshold

controlled by biotic

interactions

Transition threshold

controlled by abiotic

limitations

Increasing degradation

11

State-Pressure-Response Model

State1: Quantity and Quality of a

Site (biodiversity and

human wellbeing)

Pressures: Threats to the Site

Response Conservation action

applied to address threats

State2: (Business as usual)

decline

State2: (FPE intervention scenario)

Improved state

or

State 1

State 2

State 3

State 4

State 5

State 6

Biotic threshold Abiotic threshold

Intact Degraded

No

n-f

un

ctio

na

l F

ull

y-f

un

ctio

na

l

Leve

l o

f sy

ste

m F

un

ctio

n

Ecosystem State

Forest degradation Forest fragmentation

Forest loss Desertification

Apathy

Dependency

Community

leadership and

empowerment

Forest rehab/Avoidance of

destruction

Corridoring

Analog forests (modified)

Rainforestation

Phyto-Remediation

Hugoat #3

+ Results of the Habitat Change Analysis

Municipalities Land

Area

Forest (in ha) Non-Forest (in ha) Net Change

(in ha) 2007 2009 2007 2009

Cajidiocan 15,160.94 12,226.06 12,182.32 2,934.87 2,978.62 43.75

Magdiwang 9,064.93 7,162.69 6,945.47 1,902.26 2,119.47 217.21

San Fernando 18,616.26 15,370.24 15,379.83 3,246.02 3,236.43 9.59

Sibuyan Island 42,842.13 34,758.99 34,507.62 8,083.15 8,334.52 251.37

Annual deforestation rate

in the island was computed

at 0.36%

The rate of degradation is 24%

OG and ASG

ESG

There is net loss of 251.37 ha of forest from 2007 to 2009, largely contributed by Magdiwang

It indicates that even though the forest

cover was not significantly reduced, the

quality of forest is decreasing. This can

have substantial effects on the capacity of

forest ecosystems to maintain their original

biodiversity.

+

Municipalities

Old growth Forest Advanced Secondary growth Forest Early Secondary growth forest Cultivated and other areas

2007 2009 Net Change 2007 2009 Net

Change 2007 2009

Net

Change 2007 2009

Net

Change

Cajidiocan 7,480.17 6,676.25 803.93 2,870.34 1,160.84 1,709.49 1,875.55 4,345.23 2,469.68 2,934.87 2,978.62 43.75

Magdiwang 4,252.92 3,566.01 686.91 1,705.17 619.38 1,085.78 1,204.60 2,760.07 1,555.48 1,902.26 2,119.47 217.21

San

Fernando 9,220.26 8,585.63 634.63 3,602.03 1,537.57 2,064.46 2,547.95 5,256.63 2,708.68 3,246.02 3,236.43 9.59

Sibuyan

Island 20,953.36 18,827.89 2,125.46 8,177.54 3,317.80 4,859.74 5,628.10 12,361.93 6,733.83 8,083.15 8,334.52 251.37

Summary of net changes of forest cover of Sibuyan Island.

Results of the Habitat Change Analysis

+ Sibuyan Island Forest cover (2007-

2009)

+

Change Detection of Habitat quality showing changes from OG to ASG, vegetation regrowth, and no changes in habitat quality.

Results of the Habitat Change Analysis

+

Projected forest quality (in hectares) versus the increasing projected population Sibuyan residents.

Population growth vs. Forest quality

+

HCVAs

BASED ON

TREE AND

BIRD

SPECIES

SDM using MaxEnt for 23 trigger

species (13 trees and 10 birds) in

Sibuyan Island. Proposed HCVA

sites are indicated by black arrows.

HCVA No.1 Agtiwa-Mabini-Mabulo-Agutay-Agsao-Dulangan (San Fernando-Magdiwang) HCVA No. 2 Silum (Magdiwang) HCVA No. 3 Taclobo-Canjalon-Lumbang Weste (San Fernando-Cajidiocan)

Innovative conservation since 1903 Innovative conservation since 1903

Where are these Conservation

targets/goals?

• coverage of FPE project portfolio has expanded by X% in X years

• XX hectares by year 10 from a baseline of

XXXX hectares

• drivers of destruction/habitat degradation are quantified (as baselines) by year XXX.

•


• No further loss in 10 (or 20?) years?

• No net loss?

• Reduction of rate of degradation by XX% in

XXXyears (by 20% 50% 75%?)

• Decrease in the size of non forest habitats by

X% in XX years

• Recovery (restoration/gain of biomass) in XX

hectares in XXX of XXX habitat type in Xxyears

• Livelihoods improved by XX%

Where are these Conservation

targets/goals?


Hugoat #4


• Papaano natin tatapusin ito?

• Ano ang ending ng FPE?

• O walang ending talaga?

reaction to fpe strat plan from eap mallari_may 2015

Environment