Reading the Tea Leaves

READING THE TEA LEAVESGlobal Trends and Opportunities for Tomorrows MuseumsRobert Stein, Deputy DirectorDallas Museum of Art@rjstein

Flickr Credit ~karochkinGLOBAL ISSUES IMPACTGLOBAL MUSEUMS

Flickr Credit ~arthurjohnpicton

Flickr Credit ~mediotanqueGLOBAL POPULATIONis growing by 80m people each year

Global population is growing by roughly 80M people per year. This is the same as adding the population of Germany to the world each year.4

Source http://www.eoearth.org/view/article/153596/

Flickr Credit ~fab0570% OF THE GLOBAL POPULATION WILL LIVE IN ONE BY 2050CITIESSource: Guardian Cities, Jan 2014http://www.theguardian.com/cities/2014/jan/27/guardian-cities-site-urban-future-dwell-human-history-welcome

That would require a city with a population of at least 1M to be built every five days between now and then

The rapid urbanization of the worlds population over the twentieth century is described in the 2005 Revision of the UN World Urbanization Prospects report. The global proportion of urban population rose dramatically from 13% (220 million) in 1900, to 29% (732 million) in 1950, to 49% (3.2 billion) in 2005. The same report projected that the figure is likely to rise to 60% (4.9 billion) by 2030.

"World Urbanization Prospects: The 2005 Revision, Pop. Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, UN".

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Flickr Credit ~Elena LagariaNegotiating the circumstances of everyday life in any true city tends over time to create a broad-minded, feisty, opinionated personality type we'd have no problem recognizing, wherever and whenever it appears in human history. City people may well be tolerant of diversity not out of any personal commitment to a utopian politics, but because that's just what the daily necessity of living cheek-by-jowl with people who are different imposes upon you. Adam Greenfield, The Dark Side of the Smart City

1% OF THE POPULATION OWNS 46% OF THE WEALTHSource: Oxfam, Working for the Few

85 RICHEST OWN AS MUCH AS THE POOREST 50%Source: Oxfam, Working for the Few

GROWTH OF THEINTERNETIt might not be what you expect

GLOBAL INTERNET ADOPTION IS SLOWINGWEALTH DRIVES THE INTERNETNOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND

MARY MEEKER, KLEINER PERKINS, MAY 2014http://www.slideshare.net/kleinerperkins/internet-trends-2014-05-28-14-pdf

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MIND THE GAPA disparity in access to the Internet creates a correspondinggap in access to information and global online culture

MUSEUMS CAN BECATHEDRALS FOR CULTURE

MUSEUMS ARE PLACES TO THRASH OUT BIG IDEAS[Museums] have become cathedrals for a secular culture, storehouses of collective values and diverse histories, places where increasingly we seem to want to spend our free time and thrash out big issues. We put our faith in few traditional institutions these days, but the museum is still one of them.

Museums in a Quandary: Where Are the Ideals?Michael Kimmelman, New York Times, August 26, 2001

The potential of art to create indelible images, to express difficult ideas through metaphor, and to communicate beyond the limits of language makes it a powerful force for illuminating civic experience.

Animating Democracy, Americans for the Arts

Begin with art, because art tries to take us outside ourselves. It is a matter of trying to create an atmosphere and context so conversation can flow back and forth and we can be influenced by each other.W. E. B. Du Bois

Even after controlling for age, race and education, we found that participation in the arts, especially as audience, predicted civic engagement, tolerance and altruism.

Ranallo, A. B. Interest in Arts Predicts Social Responsibility: StudyUniversity of Illinois at Chicago. August 16, 2012. CULTURE CREATESBETTER CITIZENS

Flickr Credit ~purewightphotographyROBOTOVERLORDSPREPARE FOR THECOMING OF OUR

Flickr Credit ~in2photosTRUCK DRIVERSAccording to the US Bureau for Labor StatisticsTruck Diver is the most common job for men in America Source: http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/employment_occupations/cb12-225.html

Flickr Credit ~purewightphotographyOur findings thus imply that as technology races ahead, low-skill workers will reallocate to tasks that are non-susceptible to computerization i.e., tasks requiring creative and social intelligence.

The Future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerizationFrey and Osborne, Sept 17, 2013

Flickr Credit ~stevensnodgrassA CHANGE IN THE NATURE OF WORK

Flickr Credit ~stevensnodgrassA CHANGE IN THE NATURE OF WORKAutomation will drive shorter work-weeks in order to provide jobs for displaced workersAs routine skills disappear, a need for creative-classworkers will be a key point of concern for tomorrowscompanies.Shorter work-weeks will result in more non-workhours available to the public.

For workers to win the race, however, they will have to acquire creative and social skills.Frey and Osborne, 2013

Flickr Credit ~asbjorn_flodenMUSEUMS CAN TEACH CREATIVITYAND INNOVATION

CREATIVITYcited by 1500 CEOs as the single most crucial factor for future successIBM, 2010 http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/31670.wss)

The future [of knowledge] is to let the machines do the heavy lifting and for us humans to focus on connecting the dots, discovering context, meaning and relevance, and to make human sense of it all.THE FUTURE OF KNOWLEDGEGerd Leonhard. The Future of Knowledge. Jan 7, 2014https://connect.innovateuk.org/web/creativektn/article-view/-/blogs/the-future-of-knowledge

Flickr Credit ~aftabCURIOSITYTHE SNEAK ATTACK OF MUSEUM-LEARNING

This work suggests that once you light that fire of curiosity, you put the brain in a state thats more conducive to learning. Once you get this ramp-up of dopamine, the brain becomes more like a sponge thats ready to soak up whatever is happening.

Curiosity improves memory by tapping into the brains reward systemIan Sample, The Guardian, Oct 2, 2014

CURIOSITY

Over the next twenty years the earth is predicted to add another two billion people. Having nearly exhausted natures ability to feed the planet, we now need to discover a new food system. The global climate will continue to change. To save our coastlines, and maintain acceptable living conditions for more than a billion people, we need to discover new science, engineering, design, and architectural methods, and pioneer economic models that sustain their implementation and maintenance.

THE WORLD NEEDS TO LEARN HOW TO DISCOVER

The many rich and varied human cultures of the earth will continue to mix, more rapidly than they ever have, through mass population movements and unprecedented information exchange, and to preserve social harmony we need to discover new cultural referents, practices, and environments of cultural exchange. In such conditions the futures of law, medicine, philosophy, engineering, and agriculture with just about every other field are to be rediscovered.

American Schools Are Training Kids for a World That Doesnt Exist David Edwards, WIRED Magazine

THE WORLD NEEDS TO LEARN HOW TO DISCOVER

Flickr Credit ~motografTHANK YOU@rjsteinhttp://slideshare.net/rstein