recent trends in corporate finance in ireland peter crowley chief executive, ibi corporate finance...
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Recent Trends in Corporate Finance in Ireland
Peter Crowley
Chief Executive, IBI Corporate Finance
30 March 2006
2
Contents
I. Introduction
II. Recent Activity in the Irish Market
III. Trends in the Irish Capital Markets
IV. Looking to the Future
V. Summary
VI. About IBI
Section I
Introduction
4
Introduction
Just completed my 6th year as CEO of IBI – a period characterised by unprecedented levels of market activity and record fee levels
In addition to the historic strength in our plc franchise, a growing driver of activity has been the emergence of a healthy mid-market in private company activity. Ted Webb leads our activities in that area.
Activity driven by all the factors evident in the UK market together with specific local factors in particular the confidence generated by 14/15 years of uninterrupted economic growth
5
Key Drivers
Low corporation tax rates
Low CGT
Strength of property market
Period of uninterrupted economic growth
Educated labour force
International trade/open economy
Strong consumer demand (boosted by SSIA spend)
Boost from immigrant population
Irish Economy
Supportive market conditions
Low interest rates
Debt market liquidity and aggressive local banking competition
Availability of private equity
High net-worth investors
Ability to form syndicates
Strong competition for quality assets
Strong management teams
Succession and estate planning
Market consolidation
Diversification
M & A Activity
Section II
Recent Activity in the Irish Market
7
Recent Activity in the Irish Market
5,707
7,364
6,198
4,921
5,723
3,995
10.3
15.6
9.9
8.3
10.7
7.7
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20050.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
€bnISEQM&A Activity (value)
Esat TelecomElan AerFi GroupCRHHibernian GroupHamburg AirportOcean CommunicationsChase de Vere
Eircell Eircom Esat Digfone IN&M GreencoreTSBICCGolden Vale
Jefferson Smurfit Green PropertyElanMusgravesFirst Rate Travel BWG FoodsBIAMGolden Pages
AllfirstElanCRHRiverdeepArnottsDunloe EwartJefferson SmurfitGrafton Group
The Savoy GroupFirst ActiveClondalkin Group CRHTullow OilKerry GroupJarvis Hotels Waterford Wedgewood
Smurfit/KappaDanske Bank Jurys Hotels SuperquinnMeteor CRHThe Savoy GroupKingspan
8
Deal Volumes/Type
Upward trend in volume of deal flow from 2000 to 2004 (140% increase overall) Value of deals continued to rise in 2005 despite lower volume Growing frequency of smaller but still substantial deals now being undertaken (69% of 2005 disclosed deals valued at less than €50m) Private equity/MBO deals now form a much more significant portion of the Irish deal landscape – 23% of deals in 2005 compared to 8%
in 2000
No of Deals
5569
57
87
117
88
5
816
17
26
27
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
No. of Deals
Private Equity / MBO
Trade Sale
9
Corporate Finance Activity by Sector
2004 By Volume5%
9%
10%8%7%
10%
9%
17%
5%
20%
Media & Publishing Food & Food Services IT & Telecoms Support Services & Logistics
Construction & Property Health & Pharma Financial Services Leisure & TravelRetail & Industrial Oil, Gas & Exploration
2005 By Volume5%
14%
9%
7%9%14%
9%
19%4%
10% The Industrial and Retail sector
accounted for the highest proportion of deals in 2005 (19%), replacing Food and Food Services (down from 20% in 2004 to 10%)
IT and Telecoms sector showing a strong recovery (now up to 14% of deals) after the dot.com crash in the early 2000s
The Financial Services sector is a continuing driver of deal activity (14% of deals) followed by Support Services & Logistics and Leisure & Travel (both at 9%)
10
Deal Types: Cross-Border V Domestic
No of Deals
5570
6172
9784
5
712
32
46
31
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
No. of Deals
Domestic
Cross border
Due to the open nature of the Irish economy, cross-border deals form the vast majority of transactions in Ireland (74% of deals in 2005). Growth in in-bound activity from 2003 on, indicates strategic buyers comfortable with economic outlook
However, the volume and proportion of domestic and outward bound deals is on the increase with 30 such transactions in 2005 (or 26%), compared to only five in 2000 (8% of total deal activity)
This reflects the increasing scale of Irish companies and the enhanced financial resources available to them
Section III
Trends in Capital Markets
12
Overseas Strategic Acquirers Active in Irish Market
Strategic overseas buyers back in the landscape, attracted by the impressive Irish growth rates; examples include the following:
Company Sector
Emap, UK Media
Johnston Press, UK Media
BT Group, UK IT & Telecoms
Danske Bank, Denmark Financial Services
Landsbanki, Iceland Financial Services
Imprint, UK Support Services
Stericycle, USA Waste
Wolseley, UK Construction
VWR International, USA Healthcare
Smiths Group, UK Industrial & Retail
UTV, UK Media
Certain media driven concerns about overheating of the Irish economy have been allayed for Irish investors
13
Irish Companies Active Overseas
Irish companies are increasingly active in overseas markets; prominent examples include the following:
Company Sector(s)
CRH Construction & Industrial
Kerry Group Food & Foodservices
Bank of Ireland Financial Services
Grafton Group Construction & Industrial
Tullow Oil Oil, Gas & Exploration
Greencore Group Food & Foodservices
Smurfit Kappa Group Industrial
Quinn Group Industrial, Financial Services & Leisure
DCC Healthcare, Industrial, IT, Food & Oil
United Drug Healthcare
Kingspan Construction & Industrial
Alphyra Electronic Payment Processing
Glen Dimplex Industrial
14
Emergence of HNW Investors as Nimble Aggressive Buyers
Irish HNWs have become key players in overseas property transactions and now are also beginning to diversify into non-property related transactions
Acquirer Target
Property
Quinlan Private The Estate
Quinlan Private The Savoy Hotel Group
Sloane Capital Standard Chartered Bank HQ
Quinn Group The Belfry Hotel & Golf Club
Sloane Capital Unilever HQ
BOI Private Banking IT Tower, Brussels
Warren Private Clients Goldman Sachs Building, Fleet St
BOI Private Banking Cité de Retiro, Paris
BOI Private Banking Stuten 12, Stockholm
Non-property
Kayterm Jarvis Hotels
Fruitfield Nestlé Ireland
Barry Family Batchelors
Longhill Investments Maybin Support Services
Select Retail Holdings Superquinn
15
International Private Equity regards Ireland as a 2nd Home Market
The following is a selection of private equity firms who have invested in Ireland:
Madison Dearborn Merrill Lynch
Summit Partners Montague
3i HG
Graphite Barclays
BC Partners Bridgepoint
Warburg Pincus Electra
Cinven Providence
Babcock & Brown
Permira
Alchemy
Legal & General
16
Steady stream of Public to Private Transactions
There has been a relatively high number of take private transactions in Ireland in recent years, notable examples of which include:
Target Sector Value
Jurys Doyle Leisure €1.06bn
Athlone Extrusions Industrial €55m
Alphyra IT and Telecoms €93m
Arnotts Retail €255m
Sherry Fitzgerald Real Estate €25m
Riverdeep IT and Telecoms €320m
Dunloe Ewart Building & Construction €197m
Green Property Building & Construction €1.05bn
Jefferson Smurfit Print & Paper €3.6bn
17
Trends in Capital Markets
Company Mkt Cap(€bn)
AIB 7.3BoI 7.0Elan 4.5CRH 4.0Smurfit Group 2.7Irish Life 1.6Kerry Group 1.6Independent News& Media 1.2AWG 1.0NIE 1.1
Company Mkt Cap(€bn)
Elan 17.5AIB 11.5BoI 10.5CRH 10.3Ryanair 5.1IL&P 3.2Smurfit Group 2.7Kerry Group 2.5Anglo Irish 1.3IndependentNews & Media 1.2
Company Mkt Cap(€bn)
AIB 15.7CRH 13.3BoI 12.9Anglo 8.8Ryanair 6.4Elan 4.9IL&P 4.7Kerry Group 3.5Grafton 2.2Eircom 2.1
Top 10 ISEQ Companies
€ 32bn
€ 66bn€ 74bn
-€ 10bn
€ 10bn
€ 30bn
€ 50bn
€ 70bn
€ 90bn
€ 110bn
€ 130bn
€ 150bn
Dec '97 Dec-01 Dec '05
83 companies
68 companies
59 companies
Greater Concentration of Top 10 Companies within ISEQ
18
Trends in Capital Markets
ISEQ Index
68.4%
81.7%
78.5%
40.4%
34.0%
45.9%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
Dec '97 Dec-01 Dec '05
Top Ten as % of Total Index
Financial stocks as % of Total
Re-emergence of Concentration on Financial Stocks
19
Trends in Capital Markets
Key Leavers
ESAT Telecom
Golden Vale
ICC Bank
Jones Group
Clondalkin Group
Key Leavers
Heitons
Green Property
Arnotts
Jefferson Smurfit
Jurys Doyle
Movement In ISEQ Constituents
21
7
-34
-28
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
1997-2001 2001-2005 Leavers
Joiners
Growth in Net Leavers from the ISE
20
Trends in Capital Markets A number of key trends are noticeable in the ISEQ Index in recent
years despite growth in the overall index: Decrease in the number of listed companies A general increase in concentration with the top 10 companies now
accounting for c. 80% of the overall market cap of the index
Steady stream of take privates has disimproved spread of exposure for investors to the Irish economic story. Financials now account for c. 45% of total index
AIM/IEX emerging as a meaningful source of activity and funding Now 33 Irish companies on AIM
Section IV
Looking to the Future
22
Likely Active Sectors
Healthcare – driven by infrastructure deficit
Waste / Environmental – consolidation and new technologies
Media / New Internet – impacted by global consolidation
Financial Services – new entrants and disintermediation
Business Services – outsourcing
Retail – consolidation of local operators
23
HNW’s to emerge as aggressive non-property investors
Need to diversify from property exposure
Desire for return (and increased interest rates) will focus investors on benefits of equity risk premium in broader corporate deals
Increased sophistication of key players
Wall of liquidity – No repeat of previous boom/bust cycle
High confidence levels and ability to move quickly will give them an edge
24
Crossroads for the ISE?
Ongoing trend of public to privates
Apart from Aer Lingus, few new entrants - possibly Airtricity, Smurfit Kappa in time
Flow of small companies onto IEX/AIM offers some hope
Further concentration of index in the financials not healthy
Position in global exchange consolidation as yet unclear
25
Future Trends / Rules
Irish economic backdrop to remain positive - favour “soft landing” view with low level of accompanying indigestion
Levels of M & A / market activity to remain high – further departures from ISE likely driven by private equity
Biggest potential risk (although limited) is a series of highly levaraged defaults followed by a debt liquidity squeeze
Modest levels of interest rate increases not likely to dampen activity unduly
A drift towards labour market inflexibility through embracing “European-Style” labour laws would cause problems for inward investment
Global liquidity generally and particularly high levels of local market liquidity will continue to drive strong demand/competition for assets
Section V
Summary
27
Summary
Irish Stock Exchange at an all-time high Value of deal activity in the market likely to continue at historically high
levels Ireland is still the fastest-growing economy in the EU, although infrastructure
deficiencies and emerging risk of lack of competitiveness remain a concern Concerns that the Irish economy was overheating have disappeared for
international strategic acquirers Certain sectors remain particularly buoyant, e.g. healthcare, Media/IT,
financial services, outsourcing, waste/alternate technologies Increasing number of overseas financial investors/private equity players
looking at Ireland for investment opportunities Irish high net-worth investors looking abroad for property underpinned
opportunities in addition to seeking to diversify away from property investments into trading businesses
Global liquidity equally evident as a market driver in Ireland assisted by particularly high levels of local investor liquidity buoyed by business confidence
The Future Remains Bright
Section VI
About IBI
29
Introduction to IBI
IBI is Ireland’s longest-standing corporate finance house with 40 years’ experience in the Irish market
IBI is an independent, wholly-owned subsidiary of Bank of Ireland – Market Cap c.€15 billion
IBI has consistently been ranked the leading corporate finance adviser in Ireland and has advised more companies than any other Irish adviser
Only specialist CF adviser operating on a 32 country basis, North and South
We have significantly expanded our private company/client activities in recent years – seek to bring our public company ethos to a broader range of clients
IBI’s team of 23 experienced professionals has an unparalleled long-term track record in advising on a wide range of complex public and private transactions
30
Introduction to IBI
IBI is the leading Irish Corporate Finance house having consistently advised on more transactions in the Irish market than any other player
Rated No. 1 Irish Corporate Finance
Advisor
2005
Rated No. 2 Irish Corporate Finance
Advisor
2004
Rated No. 1 Irish Corporate Finance
Advisor
2003
Rated No. 1 Irish Corporate Finance
Advisor
2002
" IBI Corporate Finance was the Merger and Acquisitions adviser with the most deals under its belt last year. It was involved in fourteen deals with more than €1.7bn, according to mergers &
acquisition intelligence source, Mergermarket"
(RTE Radio, 6 January 2006)
No. 1 Adviser in Irish transactions
31
IBI Credentials – Transaction Experience
Unrivalled track record of sound advice in high-profile transactions
Private Equity
Govt/Semi-State
Take-overs & Buyouts
IPO
“Sell-Side”/ Public Offers
32
Sample Public Company Deals
Adviser to Jurys Doyle Hotel Group plc on the €1.25bn offer by JDH
Acquisitions plc
Adviser to Heiton Group plc on the €353m
recommended offer by Grafton Group plc
Adviser to Bank of Ireland Group on its
US$184m acquisition of 71.5% of Guggenheim
Alternative Asset Management
Acted for Unidare plc in relation to the €55m Class 1 disposal of
Daalderop BV, capital distribution and related
party transaction
Adviser to Jurys Doyle Hotel Group plc on the
€260m Class 1 disposal of the Jurys Ballsbridge Hotel, the Towers and
the Berkeley Court apartments to Padholme
Acted as joint lead manager of the C&C
Group plc €398m Global Offer and listing on the Irish and London Stock
Exchanges
Adviser to Kayterm plc on the Stg£159m
recommended offer for Jarvis Hotels plc
Adviser to the Independent Committee of the Board of Arnotts
plc on the €257.3m recommended offer by Nesbitt Acquisitions Ltd
Adviser to Renlin Ltd, the management team's
bidding vehicle, on the €25.8m MBO of Sherry FitzGerald Group plc
Adviser to Green Property plc on the
€1.05bn recommended offer by Rodinheights Ltd
Adviser to the Independent Directors of
the Board of Jefferson Smurfit Group plc on the
€3.6bn takeover by Madison Dearborn
Partners
Adviser to Murryhill Ltd on its Stg£35.2m
recommended cash offer for PGA European Tour
Courses plc
Adviser to e Island plc on its €3bn offer for eircom
plc
Adviser to Golden Vale plc on the €253m
recommended offer by Kerry Group plc
Adviser to Ryanair plc on its €379.8m flotation on Dublin and NASDAQ
Stock Exchanges
33
Sample Private Company Deals
Adviser to Kandel Ltd on its €90m disposal to
Investcorp Techhnology Ventures & InfoNXX
Adviser to Eason Electronic Ltd on its disposal to Alphyra
Group plc
Adviser to Donegal Highland Radio Ltd on its €7m disposal to Scottish Radio Holdings plc/Emap
plc
Adviser to Sigma Communications Group
Ltd on its €29.5m disposal of Sigma
Wireless Technologies Ltd to US-based PCTEL
Inc
Adviser to CR2 on its management buy-out
and private equity fundraising
Adviser to Premier Group on its €9m acquisition of Nigel Lynn Associates
Ltd
Adviser to Brindley Media Group on its
disposal to Aegis Group plc
Adviser to Portmarnock Hotel & Golf Links Ltd on
its €70m disposal to Capel Ltd
Adviser to Kish Media Ltd (Channel 6) in a
private equity fundraising of €14m
Adviser to Bank of Scotland (Ireland) Ltd and Barry's Tea on the
€62m acquisition of Batchelors
Sale of Newhill Ltd and co-investment by
Newhill's shareholders in the Electra Partners
Europe-backed acquisition of BWG,
valued at €321m
Adviser to Treaty Radio Ltd on its €15.7m
acquisition by UTV plc
Adviser to City Hopper Airports Ltd on the
disposal of Wolverhampton Airport Ltd to a consortium led by Mar Properties Ltd
Adviser to SHS Group Ltd on its Stg£36.7m
recommended offer for Merrydown plc
Advisers to management on the buyout of Maybin Support Services on the acquistion by Longhill
Investment Ltd