reduced stock with price target of rs.66 of andhra bank’s - india equity analytics today
TRANSCRIPT
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8/13/2019 Reduced Stock with Price Target of Rs.66 of Andhra Banks - India Equity Analytics today
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ANDHRABANK: "REDUCE" 2nd Jan 2014
During quarter (3QFY14) Andhra Banksstock performance was ahead of fundamental in our view as there are multiple headwinds associate
with bank like earnings quality, impairment of asset, deposits cost etc. Asset quality of bank remained high at 5% and expected to remain aelevated level along with higher restructure asset. According to banksmanagement, restructure and non performing asset would consists 18%
of total asset in FY14 means 82% of assets has to service 100% of liability which itself challenging especially when bank with average earning
high cost of fund and downward trajectory of provision coverage ratio. ...................................... ( Page : 2-4)
IT Industry; from 2013 to 2014:"a year of innovation and transformation" 1st Jan 2014
2nd Jan, 201
Edition : 175
IEA-Equity
Strategy
31th Dec 2013
"HOLD"
Last week, V Balakrishnan a former CFO and member of Board director resigned from the company to turn entrepreneur of Private Equity spac
Currently, he is the head of Infosys business process outsourcing unit, the company's core banking software Finacle, its India business and
chairman of Infosys Lodestone. This was now the 8th senior and top level departure after the taking charges by Company founder Narayan
Murthy. At a CMP of Rs 3486, it trades at 19.2x FY14E and 16.7x FY15E earnings. We retain our BUYview on the stock with a target price o
tar et rice of Rs 3620............................... Pa e : 19- 20
DCB is currently trading at 1.3 times of one year forward book which is almost upper side of valuation band. We value the bank at Rs.62/shar
which is 1.4 times of one year forward book and 15 times of FY14E earnings. Valuation multiple is justified at present fundamental in our vie
but has potential to expand the multiple once visibility of ROE improvement clearly come to on the floor after 1-2 quarter......................................................... ( Page : 16-18)
J&K Bank is one of our prefer bank in mid cap private sector banking space. Currently bank is trading at 1 times of one year forward book and 4.
times of one forward earnings which we believe bank is still trading at attractive valuation post recent rally. We advice our investor to hold th
stock as bank is trading at lower valuation in comparison to private sector banks despite of having sound fundamental. We value bank a
Rs.1578/share which is 1.1 times of FY15s book and 5.2 times of FY15s earnings. ................................... ( Page : 13-15)
30th Dec 2013J&K BANK :
"BUY"RELIANCE : Good Growth Ahead
Reliance Industries Limited registered a turnover of Rs 197112 Cr for the half year ended 30th September 2013, up 4.7% YoY while it had mad
turnover of Rs 188,193 Cr in 1HFY13. The exports were higher by 19.3% YoY to Rs 134455 Cr for 1HFY14.. ( Page : 10-12)
With a cash-rich balance sheet and strong visibility over production growth of zinc, lead and silver over FY2013-15, we are positive on HZL.Th
Rampura Agucha underground mine project is operational via ramps (tunnel driven downward from the surface) and commercial production w
ramp up in Q3 and Q4 of FY14. The Kayad mine project will also commence commercial production in the current fiscal year. A cash-rich balanc
sheet, low cost of production and inexpensive valuations make HZL an attractive bet at the current price levels. But looking at the lower LM
prices for silver and lead we are neutral for this financial year.we Valuing the stock at this level, we recommend Neutral rating on HZL with
tar et rice of Rs.143 for FY14........................ Pa e : 7-9
Year 2014 promises to be bigger and stronger than the last two years, which were marked by bloodbath in global markets due to Euro-zon
crisis and falling consumer confidence in the US. Demand is set to pick up in sectors like BFSI, healthcare, retail and transportation globally in th
year ahead. FY 15E is going to be better that FY14E, which was better than FY13. It will be good for us as well as th
industry............................................ ( Page : 5-6)
DCB : "REDUCE" 27th Dec 2013
Infosys : Bala exit; a pros and cons? "BUY" 26th Dec , 2013
"Neutral"Hindustan Zinc LTD :
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
India Equity Analytics
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8/13/2019 Reduced Stock with Price Target of Rs.66 of Andhra Banks - India Equity Analytics today
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64
66-
4
-
1M 1yr YTD
bsolute 0.5 -46.2 -46.2
el.to Nifty -1.4 -52.7 -52.7
Current 4QFY13 3QFY1
omoters 58.0 58.0 58.0
I 13.3 13.3 13.0
I 12.4 14.6 15.2
hers 16.4 14.1 13.8
Financials Rs, Cr
2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
NII 2195 3759 3757 4143 4694
Total Income 3159 4619 4804 5529 6081
PPP 1810 2815 2767 2765 3344
Net Profit 1046 1345 1289 1131 1433
EPS 22.6 24.0 23.0 19.2 24.3
kt Capital (Rs Cr)
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
ock Performance
wk Range H/L
hange from Previous
ndhra Bank Vs Nifty
hare Holding Pattern-%
1.09lac
fty 6304
MP
arget Price
Dur ing quar te r (3QFY14) Andhra Banks per fo rmance was ahead
fund amental in our view as there are mu lt iple headwind s assoc iated with ban
like earning s quality, impairm ent of asset, depos its cost etc. At the end 2QFY14, banksrestructu re acco unt co nsis ts of 10.6% of total ass et which w
go up 13% of total ass et in full year alon g with 5% of NPA acc ord ing to th
manag ement. This imp lies that 82% of total asset has to serv ice 100%
liabil i ty wh ich wo uld be real challeng es for the bank as per our view. In th
regards, we analyze trend of imp airment ass et, earning qu ality and cos t
dep os its and tweak ou r earnin gs estim ate and value bank at 0.4 tim es of boo
Banksvaluat ion m ay com e down to 0.3 t imes (histor ica l low) looking
banksown stress and fund amental. We have reduced rat ing on the stock w i
pr ice targ et of Rs.66.130/47.15
SE Code 532418
SE Symbol ANDHRABANK
ompany UPDATE REDUCE
ANDHRABANK
High impairment asset with downward trajectory of PCR
We observed that banksdeterioration in asset quality was much ahead of peegroup in term of fresh slippage and restructure assets. BanksGNPA and net NP
during the last quarter was 5.3% and 3.5% much above of industry average of 3.5
and 2.5% respectively. Asset quality trend is likely to remain at elevated level as p
management. Total restructure asset consist of 10.6% of total asset and anoth
Rs.3000 cr are in the pipeline means around 13% of total asset will go for restructu
and about 50% of fresh restructure slip into non performing asset. If the tren
continued then GNPA would be 5.5% which would itself alarming specially for t
bank because its provision coverage ratio without technical write off was low at 33%
Bank has been continuous downward trajectory of PCR which implying very lit
cushion for its future earnings.
Average quality of earnings asset and stress in other segment keep NIM at lo
During 2QFY14, banksadvance grew by 15% YoY and yield on advance declined
11.4% as against average run rate of 12%. We model 15% of advance growth w
11% of loan yield for FY14E and FY15E largely due to challenging econom
environment and present running trend. Earnings asset especially with loan a
investment yield have nothing extraordinary as far as we observed and are likely
remain at average quality. With average quality of earnings asset and stress in oth
segment would keep NIM at low.
verage Daily Volume
1473
evious Target Price
arket Data
pside
"REDUCE"2nd Jan, 2014
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
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8/13/2019 Reduced Stock with Price Target of Rs.66 of Andhra Banks - India Equity Analytics today
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aluation Band
ANDHRABANK
Source:Company/Eastwind
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
ASA trend declined; high cost of deposits
ankslow cost of deposits (CASA) trend has been declining from 35% in FY07 to 24%
2QFY14. We observed that banks CASA ratio remained stick to 24% in last 7-8
arters. In rising interest rate scenario, cost of deposits could not be sustained at 7.5 to
% without adequate support of CASA. In term of deposits cost, Andhra bankscost ofeposits remain high at 7.7 %( 2QFY14) as compare to peers average of 7%. However
e model 7.5% of cost of deposits and 24% of CASA for FY14E and FY15E in line with
esent trend.
ew & Valuation
ndhra Banks stock performance during the quarter (3QFY14) was ahead of
ndamental in our view. There are multiple headwinds regarding the earnings and asset
uality which would erode the book value in FY14. At the end of 2QFY14, banks
structure account consists of 10.6% of total asset which will go up 13% of total asset in
l year along with 5% of NPA according to the management. This implies that 82% of
tal asset has to service 100% of liability which would be real challenges for the bank as
er our view. In the regards, we analyze trend of impairment asset, earning quality and
st of deposits and tweak our earnings estimate and value bank at 0.4 times of book.
anks valuation may come down to 0.3 times (historical low) looking at banks own
ress and fundamental. We have reduced rating on the stock with price target of Rs.66.
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
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8/13/2019 Reduced Stock with Price Target of Rs.66 of Andhra Banks - India Equity Analytics today
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ANDHRABANK
Source: Eastwind/Company
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
ncome Statement 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
terest Income 6373 11339 12910 15555 17818
terest Expense 4178 7579 9153 11412 13124
II 2195 3759 3757 4143 4694
hange (%) 34.9 71.3 -0.1 10.3 13.3
on Interest Income 965 860 1047 1387 1387
otal Income 3159 4619 4804 5529 6081
hange (%) 32.1 46.2 4.0 15.1 10.0
perating Expenses 1350 1804 2037 2765 2736
re Provision Profits 1810 2815 2767 2765 3344
hange (%) 40.5 55.5 -1.7 -0.1 21.0
rovisions 374 991 996 1215 1382
BT 1436 1824 1771 1549 1963
AT 1046 1345 1289 1131 1433
hange (%) 60.2 28.6 -4.1 -12.3 26.7
alance Sheet
eposits( Rs Cr) 77688 105851 123796 142365 163720
hange (%) 31 36 17 15 15
f which CASA Dep 22864 27947 31759 34168 39293
hange (%) 23 22 14 8 15
orrowings( Rs Cr) 5852 8241 11119 13225 15209
vestments( Rs Cr) 20881 29629 37632 43565 50100
oans( Rs Cr) 56114 83223 98373 113129 130099
hange (%) 27 48 18 15 15
atio
vg. Yield on loans 9.2 11.1 10.5 11.0 11.0
vg. Yield on Investments 5.7 6.7 6.6 7.0 7.0
vg. Cost of Deposit 4.9 6.6 6.9 7.51 7.51
vg. Cost of Borrowimgs 6.4 7.7 5.4 5.5 5.5
aluation
ook Value 91 134 151 166 190
MP 108 119 95 63.6 63.6
/BV 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3
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IT Industry; from 2013 to 2014
Favorable supply side scenario:
SMAC as new emerging opportunity:
fty and CNX IT Performance(2013); IT Industry with perception "I can do it better"
The year 2013 has proved a year of innovation and transformation for IT indust
across all verticals and geographies led by healthy demand environment and posit
factors for Industry, Indian IT Industry came to track with positive surprise a
opportunities. The resilient of $120bn plus IT Industry returned to higher grow
trajectory in 2013 and expecting to retain its momentum in the ensuring year fo
greater share of global multi-billion dollar IT Industry.
"a year of innovation and transformation"
Euro zone was a pleasant surprise in 2013 with no bad news surfacing from that part
the world. But that does not mean the sovereign debt problems have been solv
permanent. The attractiveness of Europe as a market is being reflected in the acquisit
activity within Tier-I IT (Valuesource, Equinox and C1 Group by Cognizant, Alti by TCS a
Infosys' acquisition of Lodestone).
Though attrition remained higher than last year, especially among the bellwethe
campus hiring and fresh offers declined during the year. However, utilization ra
especially on onsite and offshore are on increasing mode, it indicates favorable supp
side scenario for the industry.
Pleasant surprise from Euro zone:
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
With its top 4 bellwethers TCS, Infosys, Wipro and HCL- have been consolidated
presence in software service sector. Now, new players with expertise in new emerg
services have entered into the marathon race and performing well in all aspec
Indian IT Industry has been successful to maintain double-digit growth again in exp
as well as in the domestic markets.
INR Depreciation:
Factors behind the success story of IT Industry in 2013:
R/USD&CNX IT Performance(2013);
SMAC (social, mobile, analytics and cloud ) is throwing up huge opportunities as firm
want to optimise investments in current technology and drive growth by using digi
technologies and platforms. The digital forces of SMAC will reach mainstream status
2014 and create requirements, drive new purchasing and establish new competiti
realities.
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
013 has been a year of innovation and
transformation
The Indian IT governing body NASSCOM is expecting to clock 12-14% revenue growth
USD term for FY14E, while Industry had reported 10-12% range of growth in FY13
Now, we expect higher growth with stable margin trajectory for FY 15E than previo
years led by healthy demand scenario and offering new delivery platform like analytimobility, cloud, social media and emerging verticals such as healthcare and medic
devices.
NASSCOM on positive mood:
The Indian Rupee (INR) has depreciated against USD roughly by around 13-14% since J
1, 2013. The INR depreciation is favorable for all exporters and IT companies. As
thumb rule, a 1% change in value of the rupee against the US dollar has an impact of 3
40 bps on the operating margins of a company. During the 2QFY14, across the IT spac
companies reported healthy ramp up in operating margin.
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
59.5%
6.8%
59.5%
13%
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8/13/2019 Reduced Stock with Price Target of Rs.66 of Andhra Banks - India Equity Analytics today
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- Govt mulls fresh incentives for IT companies,
-Software exports to grow 12-14% to clock $84-87 billion in FY14E,
-Domestic market to also grow 14% to $185 billion in FY14E,
-N.R. Narayana Murthy returns to Infosys as chairman,
-8 top executives quit Infosys in 6 months,
-Wipro hives off non-IT business as separate enterprise,
-Industry diversifies into offering new services & products,
-Campus hiring and fresh offers dip despite higher attrition,
-Thrust on providing IP-led solutions on multiple platforms,
e have seen a significant increase in global technology spending this year, creating
pportunities for the Indian software services sector to post double digit growth again in
port as well as in the domestic markets.
FY 15E is going to be better that FY14E
which was better than FY13. It will be
good for us as well as the industry
(Source: Company/Eastwi
ghlights of 2013: Performance of Our IT Coverage
oncerns:
owever, hardening of regulatory related to visa approval in USA, Canada and Australia
uld spoil the party. Even, the approval of Immigration Bill attached with higher visa fee,
age requirements and enhanced audit by US agencies could turn the growth story of
dian IT players adversely. If passed in its current form, the Bill could hurt the margins
the Indian IT export sector, which derives almost 55-60% of its revenues from USA.
014 and IT Industry: Another year of flawless ride
anks to playing a pivotal role of technology across transforming delivery of diverse
rvices in the government and private sector, the domestic market is also maturing and
one of the fastest in the developing countries.
(Source: Company/Eastwin
IT Industr ; from 2013 to 2014
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
ar 2014 promises to be bigger and stronger than the last two years, which were marked
bloodbath in global markets due to Euro-zone crisis and falling consumer confidence in
e US. Demand is set to pick up in sectors like BFSI, healthcare, retail and transportation
obally in the year ahead.
ew and Valuation;
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
CMP Upside
(31.12.13) % FY13 FY14E FY15E FY13 FY14E FY15E FY13 FY14E FY15
S 2170.95 BUY 2369.1 9.1% 71.82 90.74 102.37 30.23 23.92 21.21 36.42% 36.22% 32.95
FOSYS 3485.5 BUY 3982.7 14.3% 164.2 181.1 208.2 21.23 19.25 16.74 24.8% 23.0% 22.2
CLTECH 1263.1 BUY 1415.5 12.1% 58.10 71.87 83.49 21.74 17.57 15.13 30.72% 29.10% 26.39
PRO 559.05 NEUTRAL 469.97 25.0 25.15 27.4 22.32 22.23 20.40 21.7% 18.9% 17.8
CHM 1838.05 BUY 2329.5 26.7% 85.48 144.15 161.64 21.50 12.75 11.37 35.91% 38.31% 30.38MC 1632 BUY 1692.5 3.7% 75.27 101.56 110.07 21.68 16.07 14.83 24.10% 25.81% 22.92
TTECH 360.5 BUY 408.32 13.3% 36.28 44.03 53.38 9.94 8.19 6.75 20.0% 19.6% 19.3
IT 171.55 BUY 177.33 3.4% 10.80 13.07 15.95 15.88 13.13 10.75 20.10% 19.80% 19.75
XAWARE 131.75 BUY 140.59 6.7% 11.1 13.1 14.3 11.87 10.09 9.21 27.2% 27.0% 26%
RSISTENT 980.05 REDUCE 960.51 46.12 63.40 76.92 21.25 15.46 12.74 18.1% 20.5% 20.4
LERX 1068.5 BUY 1357.9 27.1% 64.25 71.61 83.65 16.63 14.92 12.77 43.8% 37.9% 34.4
TAELXSI 415.65 REDUCE 236.85 10.63 17.53 19.76 39.10 23.72 21.03 16.94% 23.55% 22.37
NSARTECH 355.85 BUY 439.43 23.5% 40.03 57.16 74.62 8.89 6.23 4.77 23.22% 26.07% 26.34
RoE-%mpany View Target
EPS-Rs P/E-x
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Hindustan Zinc LTD.
133
143
NA8%
NA
500188 Revenue increased due to Depreciation in Rupee
56133
5613
6291
1M 1yr YTD
solute 4.3 -1.7 -3.4
l. to Nifty 0.0 9.2 11.3
2QFY14 1QFY14 4QFY13
omoters 64.9 64.9 64.9
1.8 1.5 1.5
31.4 31.5 2.0
hers 1.8 2.1 31.6
Investment Concern
Financials : Q2FY14 Y-o-Y % Q-o-Q % Q2FY13 Q1FY1
Net Revenue 3826 13.0 6.2 3387 360EBITDA 1883 28.2 25.3 1469 150
Depriciation 186 6.3 1.1 175 18
Tax 254 -6.3 -4.9 271 26
PAT 1640 6.5 -1.2 1540 166(In Cr
erage Daily Volume (Nos.)
E Code
HINDZINCE Symbol
wk Range H/L
kt Capital (Rs Crores)
143/94
fty
Hind Zinc reported net sales of Rs3559 Cr up by 24% YoY and 19% QoQ. The growth wa
mainly due to higher sales volume and improvement in realisation per tonne. The ne
realsation per tonne of zinc increased by 15% on YoY basis and 9% QoQ at Rs.131794. Th
net realization per tonne of Lead remained almost flat on YoY basis and increased by 5%
in QoQ basis. The increase in net realization per tone is due to depreciation in rupeeZincscost of production before royalty during the quarter was Rs.50522 , 8% higher i
Rupee and 3% lower in USD terms on YoY basis.
side
ange from Previous
MP
rget Price
evious Target Price
Mined metal production in Q2FY14 was 221k tonnes against 190k tonnes YoY basis
growth of 8.5% and 238k tonnes in Q1 FY14. The increase is due to higher production a
Rampura Agucha and restarting of Zawar mines. Integrated Refined Zinc production wa
at 195k tonnes in Q2FY14 against 153k tonnes in Q2FY13 increase of 28%. IntegrateLead Production was at 29k tonnes against 22k tonnes growth of 31% YoY basis. Silve
production was at 83 tonnes in Q2FY14 against 77 tonnes YoY basis. The increase i
Production of Zinc and lead was on account of improved utilization of smelter capacity.
ompany Update Neutral
arket Data
The cost of production benefited from higher production volume and operation
efficiencies, which were more than offset by rupee depreciation and over Rs 3000/M
decline in by-product credits On YoY basis. The Net Realization per tonne of Silve
slumped by 24% on YoY basis. This fall in realization was due to fall in price of silver in
LME as company adopts the import parity price. The CompanysEBIDTA zoomed by 28%
YoY basis at Rs 1,883 Cr and 30% QoQ basis. Net profit was up 7% to Rs. 1,640 Cr in Q2
The positive impact of higher EBITDA was partly offset by lower other income due t
mark-to-market losses on investments during the quarter.
HZLsrevenues are directly linked with the global market for products essentially, Zin
and Lead which are priced with reference to LME prices and Silver to LBMA (Londo
Bullion Metal Association) prices.
Disruptions in mining due to equipment failures, unexpected maintenance problems
non-availability of raw materials of appropriate price, quantity and quality for our energ
requirements, disruptions to or increased cost of transport services or strikes an
industrial actions or disputes.Lower than expected demand by galvanizing industries fo
zinc and industrial batteries, car batteries industries for lead would affect the compan
estimates.
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
ock Performance-%
are Holding Pattern-%
yr Forward P/B
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
"Neutral"31st Dec' 13
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
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wer other income mutes PAT growth: LME Price/Ton
om the Management Corner :
utlook and valuation:
LME Price/Ton
LME Price/Ton
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E
9912 11405 12700 13577
979 1543 2032 1787
10891 12948 14732 15364
1023 1228 1070 1291
492 568 696 707
4417 5336 6218 6484
5496 6069 6482 7093
475 611 647 718
19 14 29 371059 1419 921 1097
4900 5526 6899 6967
21.8 20.7 21.4 18.5
8
terest Costet tax expense / (benefit)
AT
OE%
epriciation
Hindustan Zinc LTD.
L PERFORMANCE
et Revenue from Operation
her Income
tal Income
e other income declined by 48.7% yoy to 267cr due to mark to market losses booked
the company during the quarter while depreciation expenses also increased by 6.8%
y to 186cr. Consequently the adjusted net profit growth was muted at 10.5% yoy to
701cr (in-line with our estimate of 1,722cr).
ith a cash-rich balance sheet and strong visibility over production growth of zinc, lead
d silver over FY2013-15, we are positive on HZL.The Rampura Agucha underground
ne project is operational via ramps (tunnel driven downward from the surface) and
mmercial production will ramp up in Q3 and Q4 of FY14. The Kayad mine project will
so commence commercial production in the current fiscal year. A cash-rich balance
eet, low cost of production and inexpensive valuations make HZL an attractive bet at
e current price levels. But looking at the lower LME prices for silver and lead we are
utral for this financial year.we Valuing the stock at this level, we recommend Neutral
ting on HZL with a target price of Rs.143 for FY14.
olatile Desel Price and high Sulphuric acid price affecting the company,s PAT
versly.Company is tracking on 95% capacity utilization.Captive plants enjoy the lower
x rate and company enjoys zero tax from tax free geographycal areas. Smelting Plants
e improvised and management is confident that the smelting plants will maintain
eir stance for the coming quarters also.
wer, fuel & water
pairs
penditure
ITDA
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
0
200
400
600
800
10001200
1400
1600
1800
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Silver(rs/ounce)
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000160000
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Lead
90000
95000
100000
105000
110000
115000
120000
125000
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Zinc
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FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
are 423 845 845 845
serve & 17701 21688 26036 31431
tal equity 18124 22533 26881 32276
ng-term 0 0 0 0ort-term 60 0 0 0
ng-term 0 0 0 0
ade 478 475 410 484
ort-term 340 567 504 825
tal 20238 25053 29485 35465
tangibles 109 109 47 10
ngible 6071 7145 8466 8474
pital 1113 875 445 1082
ng-term 361 594 876 1898
ventories 452 762 798 1111
ade 152 209 332 403
sh and 928 5633 5255 6942
ort-term 96 158 233 373
tal 20238 25053 29485 35465
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
B 3.2 2.2 2.1 1.7
S 95.6 11.6 13.1 16.3
ebtor to 1.9 2.1 2.9 3.2
editors to 6.0 4.8 3.6 3.8
ventories 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
sh from 4001 4483 4553 4935anges In 77 -212 -61 -183
et Cash 4077 4272 4492 4752
sh From -3881 -3658 -3499 -3234
sh from -187 -363 -1242 -1257
et Cash 8 250 -248 262
Hindustan Zinc LTD.
ZinC Productions:
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
S PERFORMANCE
rading At :
ATIOS
ASH FLOWS
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
Source - Comapany/EastWind Research
EBIDTA & Margin :
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000 NIFTY HINDZINC
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BUY
1M 1yr YTD
bsolute 4 6 11
el. to Nifty 0.5 -1 -7
Current 1QFY14 4QFY1
omoters 45.3 45.3 45.3
17.7 17.4 17.8
I 11.8 11.6 11.0
hers 25.2 25.7 25.9
Rs, Cro
2QFY14 1QFY14 (QoQ)-% 2QFY13 (YoY)-%
Revenue 103758 90336 14.9 87645 18.4
EBITDA 9909 9610 3.1 9818 0.9
PAT 5490 5352 2.6 5409 1.5
EBITDA Margin 9.6% 10.6% (110bps) 11.2% (170bps
PAT Margin 5.3% 5.9% (60bps) 6.2% (90bps)
Half Year ly Bus iness Performance
wk Range H/L 954/765
SE Symbol RELIANCE
OIL AND GAS (EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION) BUSINESS:
Company for half year ended earned Rs 2918 Cr from this business segment down 38.7% YoY mainly due to Fall in production from KG-D6 owing to geological complexand natural decline in the fields.The EBIT margin for the segment in 1HFY14 was 24.3% .
REFINING & MARKETING BUSINESS
hange from Previous -
18%pside
Yr Price Movement Vs Nifty
(Source: Company/Eastwi
283929
verage Daily Volume 52019
fty 6313
Financials
Reliance Industries Limited registered a turnover of Rs 197112 Cr for the half year end30th September 2013, up 4.7% YoY while it had made turnover of Rs 188,193 Cr1HFY13.The exports were higher by 19.3% YoY to Rs 134455 Cr for 1HFY14.
Revenue from Refining and Marketing segment during 1HFY14 increased by 5.7% YoYRs 178,914 Cr, while EBIT was up 8.3% YoY at Rs 6,125 Cr. GRMs averaged $ 8.0/bduring 1H FY14 and the refineries achieved an average utilization rate of 112%. 1H FY
export of refined products was at 22.1 MMT as compared to 19.2 MMT in 1H FY13.
PETROCHEMICALS BUSINESS
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Half Year ly Financial Perform ance
The operating EBITDA during 1HFY14 was Rs 14924 Cr up 2.3 % YoY on the backhigher margins in refining and petrochemicals business. The cost RM increased by 3 %Rs 162,094 from Rs 156,975 Cr due to higher crude prices. The employee cost for 1HFYwas Rs 1707 Cr largely flat on yearly basis. The other expenditure increased by 13.6% Yto Rs 13,101 Cr primarily due to higher expenses on account of power & fuel consumptand higher selling expenses on account of higher exports.
The profit after tax was higher by 9.4% at Rs 10,842 Cr as against Rs 9,912 Cr in tcorresponding period of the previous year. The other income for 1HFY14 stands Rs 4595 up 14 % YoY mainly due to higher investment income.
1HFY14 revenue from the Petrochemicals segment increased by 6.7% YoY to Rs 46,8Cr. Higher prices accounted for 7.4% growth in revenue. EBIT margin improved to 9.4%1H FY14 as compared to 8.0% a year ago. The production during 1HFY14 was 11 MTones verses 11.1 Mn Tonnes in 1HFY13.
RELIANCEGood Growth Ahead
ock Performance-%
hare Holding Pattern-%
kt Capital (Rs, Cr)
arket Data
SE Code 500325
Abou t the Company
Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) is a conglomerate with business in the energy amaterials value chain. The Company operates in three segments: petrochemicals, refini
and oil & gas.
ompany UpdateMP 878
arget Price 1040
evious Target Price -
"BUY" 30thDec' 13
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(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
RELIANCE
ontinued.
ew and Valuat ione stock is trading at Rs 878 and in light of half yearly performance, business outlook and
anagement commentary we recommend BUY for the stock with Target Price Rs
40.
QFY14 SEGMENTAL REVENUE BREAK UP
raphical Depict ion
e net addition to fixed assets for the half year ended 30th September 2013 was Rs,154 Cr including exchange rate difference capitalization. Capital expenditure wasncipally on account of ongoing expansions projects in the petrochemicals and refiningsiness at Jamnagar, Dahej, Silvassa and Hazira.
e Outstanding debt as on 30th September 2013 was Rs 83,982 Cr compared to Rs,427 Cr as on 31st March 2013. The company had cash and cash equivalents of Rs,540 Cr. These were in bank deposits, mutual funds, CDs and Government securities /nds. RIL is debt free on a net basis as at 30th September 2013.
anagement Commentary
e management of the company on their half yearly performance said that diversified andegrated petrochemicals business captured margins across segments and delivered nearcord profit levels even as the domestic economy slowed. The management further saidat optimal utilization of best-in-class refinery assets and inherent flexibility in sourcing,
oduct delivery contributed to healthy operating profits from our refining business .
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BITDA & OPM %
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
AT & NPM %
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
The improved margin and higher volume
the petrochemical (petchem) business w
the major drivers of the profit in Q2FY2014
Despite a healthy revenue growth, O
remain flat due to a lower margin in
refining and exploration segments
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
RELIANCE
les Trend (Rs/Bn)
A better realisation with a weaker rupee aimproved volume were the key drivers of
sales growth of both petchem and refin
businesses.
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J&K BANK
1411
15781420
12
11
1M 1yr YTD
bsolute 3.6 7.8 7.8
el.to Nifty -12.9 -0.8 -0.8
Current 4QFY13 3QFY1
omoters 53.2 53.2 53.2
I 24.8 24.5 24.3
I 5.0 4.9 4.9
hers 17.1 17.4 17.7
Financials Rs, Cr2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
NII 1544 1838 2316 2595 3091
Total Income 1908 2172 2800 2979 3817
PPP 1149 1370 1811 1906 2443
Net Profit 615 803 1055 1128 1478
EPS 126.9 165.7 217.6 232.6 304.9
Strong balance sheet growth con t inued with margin expansion
J&K bank aggressively expanding its loan growth outside of the state and witness
20.3% growth whereas within state loan grew by 26.4% in 2QFY14. Manageme
guided loan growth of 20-25% in FY14 premium of industry average of 15
Deposits growth would be 17-18% in FY14 according to management. BanksCAS
ratio at the end of 2Q stood at 39% which keep cost of deposits at 6% of level, o
of the lowest in industry. Low cost and high yield asset helped bank to maintain N
at 4.33%. Banks management guided NIM 4%+ level in FY14.
Sustainable high return ratio makes a strong case to trade at premium
valuation
J&K bank has sustainable high return ratio like ROE of 23%+ and ROA of 1.5%
which help bank to maintain high valuation premium. Operating leverage (operati
cost to total asset) of the bank remains at 1.4 to 1.6 times in last few quarters wh
restrict cost income escalate beyond 36%. Capital adequacy ratio of 13.2
according to basel-II helps bank to maintain high growth trajectory with raising capi
in next few years.
Stable asset quality with lowest restructure asset comparison to peers
ompany Update HOLD
MP
arget Price
Jammu and Kas hm ir Bank (J&K Bank ) is one of our prefer bank in mid ca
private sector ban king s pace. Currently bank is trading at 1times of one ye
forw ard book and 4.6 times of one forw ard earnings wh ich w e believe bank st i l l t rading at at t ract ive valuat ion despi te of recent ra l ly . We advice o
inves tor to hold the stoc k as bank is trading at low er valuat ion pr emium
com pariso n to peers despite of havin g soun d fundamental. We value bank
Rs.1578/share which is 1.1 times o f FY15sbook and 5.2 times o f FY15
earnings. Look ing atbanksmetric s lik e Tier1 cap ital of 13.2%, GNPA of 1.7
PCR at 92% mak e it stron g for trading at premium valu ation as com pare
peers group.
evious Target Price
arket Data
pside
SE Code 532209
wk Range H/L
hange from Previous
&k Bank Vs Nifty
hare Holding Pattern-%
21053
fty 6314
verage Daily Volume
6841
1695/1130
SE Symbol J&KBANK
kt Capital (Rs Cr)
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
ock Performance
At the end of 2QFY14, bank reported GNPA of 1.7% and in absolute basis, GNP
grew by mere 4% QoQ despite of current phase of economy cycle. Restructure loa
declined by 70 bps to 3.6% of loans whereas fresh restructure was low at 70 bps
loan. Provision coverage ratio declined by 250 bps QoQ to 89% (without technic
write-off) made net NPA to 0.2% from 0.1% in 1QFY14.
"HOLD"30th Dec, 2013
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J&K BANK
Source: Eastwind/Company
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
aterly Result (Rs. Cr) 2QFY14 1QFY14 2QFY13 % YoY Gr % QoQ Gr
erest/discount on advances / bills 1244 1184 1061 17.3 5.0
ome on investments 396 423 417 -5.0 -6.3
erest on balances with Reserve Bank of India 10 17 23 -57.4 -42.8
hers 0 0 0
tal Interest Income 1650 1624 1501 9.9 1.6
hers Income 99 92 91 9.4 7.9
tal Income 1749 1716 1592 9.9 1.9
erest Expended 968 969 948 2.1 -0.1
682 655 553 23.4 4.1
her Income 99 92 91 9.4 7.9
tal Income 781 747 644 21.4 4.6
ployee 177 176 143 23.6 0.6
her Expenses 108 90 78 38.7 19.4
erating Expenses 285 266 221 28.9 7.0
P( Rs Cr) 496 481 423 17.5 3.2
ovisions 56 36 33 69.7 53.7
T 441 445 390 13.1 -0.9
x 138 137 120 14.8 1.0
t Profit 303 308 270 12.3 -1.7
ance Sheet Data ( Rs Cr)
t Worth 5475 5173 4609 18.8 5.9
posits 61171 58601 54927 11.4 4.4rrowings 1346 758 922 45.9 77.7
vances 41121 39282 34272 20.0 4.7
estment 22316 21734 22521 -0.9 2.7
set Qaulity ( Rs Cr)
PA 709 665 709 0.0 6.5
PA 78 56 78 0.0 38.2
PA(%) 1.7 1.7 2.1
PA(%) 0.2 0.1 0.2R(%) 89 92 89
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J&K BANK
Source: eastwind/Company
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
L 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015Eerest/discount on advances / bills 2342 2630 3394 4318 4959 5703
ome on investments 705 1066 1403 1723 1892 2085
erest on balances with Reserve Bank of India 11 17 39 97 53 53
hers 0 0 0 0 0 0
tal Interest Income 3057 3713 4836 6137 6904 7841
hers Income 416 365 334 484 383 727
tal Income 3473 4078 5170 6621 7287 8568
erest on deposits 1841 2069 2902 3741 4217 4639
erest on RBI/Inter bank borrowings 83 46 41 26 91 111
hers 14 54 54 54 0 0
erest Expended 1938 2169 2997 3821 4308 4750
1119 1544 1838 2316 2595 3091
Growth(%) 37.9 19.1 26.0 12.1 19.1
her Income 416 365 334 484 383 727
tal Income 1536 1908 2172 2800 2979 3817
ployee 366 524 521 652 633 811
her Expenses 211 235 281 337 440 563
erating Expenses 577 759 802 989 1072 1374
P( Rs Cr) 958 1149 1370 1811 1906 2443
ovisions 446 534 567 756 779 965
t Profit 512 615 803 1055 1128 1478
t Profit Grwoth(%) 20.1 30.6 31.4 6.9 31.1
y Balance sheet data
posits 37237 44676 53347 64221 70643 77707
posits Growth(%) 20.0 19.4 20.4 10.0 10.0
rrowings 1100 1105 1241 1075 1230 1500
rrowings Growth(%) 0.4 12.3 -13.4 14.4 22.0
an 23057 26194 33077 39200 45080 51843
an Growth(%) 13.6 26.3 18.5 15.0 15.0
estments 13956 19696 21624 25741 20124 22178
estments Growth(%) 41.1 9.8 19.0 -21.8 10.2
stwind Calculation
ld on Advances 10.2 10.0 10.3 11.0 11.0 11.0
ld on Investments 5.0 5.4 6.5 9.4 9.4 9.4
ld on Funds 7.7 7.5 8.3 8.9 10.6 10.6
st of deposits 4.9 4.6 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.0
st of Borrowings 8.8 9.1 7.7 7.4 7.4 7.4
st of fund 5.1 4.7 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.0
luation
ok Value 621 718 844 1003 1186 1441
BV 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.0
E 6.4 6.9 5.5 5.9 6.1 4.6
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57.25
6262
8
-
1M 1yr YTD
bsolute 19.2 20.4 20.4
el.to Nifty 15.6 13.1 13.1
Current 4QFY13 3QFY1
omoters 18.5 18.5 18.5
I 11.4 11.4 11.1
I 14.1 12.5 13.0
hers 56.1 57.7 57.5
Financials Rs, Cr2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
NII 189 228 284 127 190
Total Income 301 328 401 272 334
PPP 86 84 126 95 127
Net Profit 21 55 102 95 127
EPS 1.1 2.3 4.1 3.8 5.1
DCB
hange from Previous
CB Vs Nifty
hare Holding Pattern-%
2158026
fty 6279
Developm ent Credit Bank (DCB) cur rent ly trading at 1.3 times o f one ye
forw ard book whic h is now alm ost of higher side of our valuat ion range. W
valu e the bank at Rs.62/sh are at the high er side whi ch is 1.4 tim es of one yeforw ard book and 15 times of FY14Esearnings. Present valuat ion mult ip
jus t if ied on account of DCBscon sis tent improv ement in its return rat io an
management guided simi lar t rend of growth in FY14,however bank ci te
marg in could be com press ed by 25-30 bps . We cantrule out the valuat io
mu ltip le exp ans ion s but there is need to watch 1-2 qu arters mo re as per o
view
verage Daily Volume
1437
evious Target Price
arket Data
pside
Well capitalized and stable asset quality
Bank is well capitalized with tier 1 ratio of 13% means no need to raise money
short term. Banksmanagement guided loan and deposits growth of 25-27% and 3
32% in FY14 which seen possible looking at present scenario. Management is al
very focus on low ticket size loan (prefer less than 30 mn) on account of avoidilarge slippage. At the 2QFY14, bank reported slippage of Rs.21 cr which was 1.3
in annualized basis. Fresh slippage ratio remains in the range of 1.1-1.5 times in la
few quarters, so we believe bank would maintain similar trend in term of fre
slippage which restrict GNPA out of control. Provision coverage ratio at the end
2QFY14 stood at 84% (without technical write off) and management reiterate PCR
maintain above of 80%.
kt Capital (Rs Cr)
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Potential to expand valuation multiple, need to watch growth trajectory 1
quarters more
On valuation front, DCB valuation could be expanded if visibility of RO
improvement is clearly seen. ROE improvement could be possible in two front- firreducing cost income ratio which will boost the profit and second loan grow
specially in high yield segment like SME and MSME. We observed that banksCo
Income ratio was higher at 66.2% at the end of 2QFY14. Cost income ratio wou
reduce to less than 65% in FY14 and would further reduce to 60% in FY15 accordi
to management. To reduce the cost, bank initiated to invest high yield segme
planning to maintain CASA at 30% in long run while in short term does not expe
below of 27% and escalating branch network. In FY13 bank opened 10 branches b
in 1HFY14, DCB opened 9 branches and will go upto 120-125 branches in FY14.
54.85/38
ock Performance
ompany Update Book Profit
MP
arget Price
SE Code 532772
SE Symbol DCB
wk Range H/L
"Book Profit"27th Dec,2013
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DCB
Source: Company/Eastwind
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
uarterly Result( Rs Cr) 2QFY14 1QFY14 2QFY13 % YoY % QoQ
erest/discount on advances / bills 205.2 201.5 170.9 20.1 1.8
come on investments 57.9 56.7 47.6 21.8 2.1
erest on balances with Reserve Bank of India 5.5 2.3 1.1 378.2 142.4
hers 0.2 0.2 0.4 -45.6 -9.7
tal Interest Income 268.8 260.7 219.9 22.2 3.1
hers Income 27.3 45.1 27.5 -0.9 -39.5
tal Income 296.1 305.8 247.5 19.6 -3.2
erest Expended 177.6 177.6 153.0 16.1 0.0
91.3 83.1 67.0 36.3 9.8
her Income 27.3 45.1 27.5 -0.9 -39.5
tal Income 118.5 128.2 94.5 25.5 -7.6
mployee 38.8 37.7 34.1 13.9 2.9
her Expenses 39.6 39.2 33.9 16.8 1.1
erating Expenses 78.4 76.9 68.0 15.4 2.0
P( Rs Cr) 40.1 51.3 26.5 51.4 -21.8
ovisions 7.0 8.5 4.4 60.8 -17.4
T 33.1 42.8 22.1 49.5 -22.7
x 0.0 0.0 0.0
t Profit 33.1 42.8 22.1 49.5 -22.7
lance Sheet (Rs Cr)
t Worth 1079 1046 902 19.6 3.2
posits 8788 8320 7137 23.1 5.6
an 6677 6472 5671 17.7 3.2
set quality (Rs Cr)
NPA 235 226 226 4.0 4.0
A 57 54 38 50.0 5.6
GNPA 3.5 3.5 4
NPA 0.9 0.8 0.7
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DCB
Source: Eastwind/ Company
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
come Statement 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
terest Income 459 536 717 916 1090 1279
terest Expense 317 347 489 632 963 1089
I 142 189 228 284 127 190
hange (%) -28.2 33.6 20.4 24.9 -55.3 49.1
on Interest Income 107 112 100 117 145 145
otal Income 249 301 328 401 272 334
hange (%) -21.6 21.2 8.9 22.4 -32.3 23.0
perating Expenses 201 215 244 275 177 207
e Provision Profits 48 86 84 126 95 127
hange (%) -36.5 79.9 -2.6 50.5 -24.5 33.5
ovisions 121 57 29 24 0 0
BT -73 29 55 102 95 127
AT -79 21 55 102 95 127
hange (%) -10.1 -127.2 157.1 85.3 -6.7 33.5
alance Sheet
eposits( Rs Cr) 4787 5610 6336 8364 9618 11061
hange (%) 3 17 13 32 15 15
which CASA Dep 1693 1975 2035 2272 2597 1825
hange (%) 17 17 3 12 14 -30
orrowings( Rs Cr) 504 861 1123 1526 1697 1952
vestments( Rs Cr) 2018 2295 2518 3359 2886 3318
ans( Rs Cr) 3460 4271 5284 6586 7903 9484
hange (%) 6 23 24 25 20 20
atio
vg. Yield on loans 10.4 9.4 10.1 10.8 9.7 9.7
vg. Yield on Investments 4.7 5.8 6.9 5.8 6.8 6.8
vg. Cost of Deposit 5.9 5.2 6.4 6.4 5.9 5.9
vg. Cost of Borrowimgs 6.8 6.4 7.2 6.4 6.0 6.0
aluation
ook Value 30 31 36 40 44 49
MP 32.2 45.9 45 45 57.3 57.3BV 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.2
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Infosys
How do we see the impacts of this buzz?
1M 1yr YTD
solute 4.1 52.1 27.2
l. to Nifty -0.3 44.9 23.3
Current 4QFY13 3QFY13
omoters 16.04 16.04 16.04
40.52 40.55 39.42
17.51 18.7 18.33
hers 25.93 24.71 26.21
Financials2QFY14 1QFY14 (QoQ)-% 2QFY13 (YoY)-%
Revenue 12965 11267 15.07 9858 31.5
EBITDA 2836.9 2664 6.49 2597 9.2
PAT 2406.9 2374 1.39 2369 1.6
EBITDA Margin 21.9% 23.6% (170bps) 26.3% (440bps
PAT Margin 18.6% 21.1% (250bps) 24.0% (540bps
(b) V Balakrsihnansresignation is not one night decision and not an affect of intern
hiccups. Post declaration of his resignation V Balakrishnan stated to media itwas m
long term plan and we were waiting for SEBI approval for my new Private Equity firm
Even, he sold 1,00,000 shares in the company for Rs 33 crore in the open market on
Nov 2013 (50,000 shares each held by his daughters), it indicates its earlier decisio
Therefore, we think Balas exit is a part of an ongoing strategy to reshuffle the t
management at Infosys.
(c) The top management conundrum has not been new to Infosys. Even, as Infosy
hyper-growth story played out over the course of three decades, powered by not just
seven cofounders but also several talented employees that came on later on. Even, mo
of company founders have churned out and company has been working for growth sto
and committing for strategy 3.0.
are Holding Pattern-%
year forward P/E
Rs, Cro
(Source: Company/Eastwi
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
(d) Post Narayana Murthy, company has committed for future transformational chang
and next generation growth plan. Recently, the company has undertaken a clear shift
direction where it has been focusing on higher-margin businesses, a strategy that riv
TCS that has successfully implemented.
For near term, there could be some small sort of rally on the stock because of this kn
jerk and as the December quarter is generally expected to be a bit tepid for t
technology sector. Although, the street will forget all things after a good quart
earnings or a strong commentary on the business outlook. For long term, we do n
see any major pressure because of cos poster boy exit.
Bala exit; a pros and cons?
MP 3486
rget Price 3622
ompany update BUY Does Balakrishnan departure from Infosys would affect the companys bread a
butter?
Last week, V Balakrishnan a former CFO and member of Board director resigned fro
the company to turn entrepreneur of Private Equity space. Currently, he is the headInfosys business process outsourcing unit, the company's core banking softwa
Finacle, its India business and chairman of Infosys Lodestone. This was now the
senior and top level departure after the taking charges by Company founder Naraya
Murthy.arket Data
ock Performance
160944
(a) We think, there would not be any major impact on qualitative and quantitative sen
and company would not see any major gap between sales executives and clients. Ythe magnitude of the exits could create a leadership vacuum. However, very so
company will try to turn into smoothie organization structure.
evious Target Price 3390side 4%
E Code 500209
kt Capital (Rs Crores)
erage Daily Volume 1240448
fty 6268
E Symbol INFY
ange from Previous 7%
Behind the top-level departure, only one cause reflects on the picture that is the tus
of CEO post. Current CEO Shibulal is going to complete its tenure by next yea
Among the front-runner of this post, Balakrishnan was strong contender for the po
of CEO race.
wk Range H/L 3570/2190
"BUY"26th Dec' 13
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onsidering the revised guidance by management and its growth priority than margin
ching up strategy, we are positive on the stock. At a CMP of Rs 3486, it trades at 19.2x
Y14E and 16.7x FY15E earnings. We retain our BUY view on the stock with a target
ice of target price of Rs 3622.
Infos s.
iew and Valuation:fosys seems to be on its way to rediscovering its past mojo with revenue momentum
cking, its past strategy of under-promising and over delivering - remember present
idance now factors flat gorwth in next 2 qtrs, and the NRN invisible hand in play.
rther announcement of strategic acquisitions, better utilization of cash balances, ramp-
p in sales investment ,better deal win, consistent client traction and revenue
omentum would help the company to bridge the gap with rivals such as TCS and HCL
ch.
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.
nancials
(Source: Company/Eastwind)
Narnolia Securities Ltd,
s in Cr, FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E
ales, INR 22742 27501 33734 40352 48659.6 55939.
mployee Cost 12085 14856 18340 22565 27736.0 32165.
Other expenses 2792 3677 4671 6254 7785.5 9230.0
otal Expenses 14877 18533 23011 28819 35521.5 41395.
BITDA 7865 8968 10723 11533 13138.1 14544.
epreciation 905 854 928 1099 1325.3 1523.5
Other Income 982 1211 1904 2365 2433.0 3356.4
BIT 7942 9325 11699 12799 14245.8 16377.
nterest Cost 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0
BT 7942 9325 11699 12799 14245.8 16377.
ax 1681 2490 3367 3370 3846.4 4421.8
AT 6261 6835 8332 9429 10399.4 11955.
rowth-%
ales 4.8% 20.9% 22.7% 19.6% 20.6% 15.0%
BITDA 9.3% 14.0% 19.6% 7.6% 13.9% 10.7%
AT 4.6% 9.2% 21.9% 13.2% 10.3% 15.0%
Margin -%
BITDA 34.6% 32.6% 31.8% 28.6% 27.0% 26.0%
BIT 34.9% 33.9% 34.7% 31.7% 29.3% 29.3%
AT 27.5% 24.9% 24.7% 23.4% 21.4% 21.4%
xpenses on Sales-%
mployee Cost 53.1% 54.0% 54.4% 55.9% 57.0% 57.5%
Other expenses 12.3% 13.4% 13.8% 15.5% 16.0% 16.5%
ax rate 21.2% 26.7% 28.8% 26.3% 27.0% 27.0%
aluation
MP 2615.1 2765.1 2865.0 2400.0 3486 3486
o of Share 57.4 57.4 57.4 57.4 57.4 57.4
W 23049.0 25976.0 31332.0 37994.0 45236.1 53832.
PS 109.1 119.0 145.1 164.2 181.1 208.2
VPS 401.7 452.4 545.6 661.7 787.8 937.5
oE-% 27.2% 26.3% 26.6% 24.8% 23.0% 22.2%
ividen Payout ratio 25.1% 45.9% 24.0% 45.1% 23.8% 20.7%
/BV 6.5 6.1 5.3 3.6 4.4 3.7
/E 24.0 23.2 19.7 14.6 19.2 16.7
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8/13/2019 Reduced Stock with Price Target of Rs.66 of Andhra Banks - India Equity Analytics today
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