refining & marketing welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under...

62
Refining & Marketing Welcome November 30th 1

Upload: others

Post on 22-Sep-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Refining & Marketing Welcome

November 30th

1

Page 2: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Iain Conn Chief Executive –

Refining and Marketing

November 30th

3

Page 3: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Cautionary statement

Forward-looking statements -

cautionary statementThis presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward-looking statements with respect to the operations and businesses

of BP and certain of the plans and objectives of BP with respect to these items. These statements generally, but not always, are identified by the use of words such as “will”, “expected to”, “is intended to”, “project”

or similar expressions. In particular, these include certain statements regarding:

anticipated improvements, increases, sources and timing in operating cash flow and margins; refinery divestment plans; anticipated timing of exploration and production projects to come on stream by 2014 and the expected margins from such projects;

repositioning of US Fuels Value Chains and halving US refining exposure; the anticipated timing for completion of and final proceeds from

the disposition of certain BP assets; the timing and composition of major projects including expected start up, completion and margins; expectations regarding the impact on costs of turnaround and related maintenance expenditures; expectations or plans for increased investment; investments in technology and capability; improvements in refining efficiency; expectations for fourth-quarter refining margins; the disclosure of refining and marketing results in BP’s Group financial reporting; the timing for completion of the Whiting refinery upgrade, other

refining upgrades and logistics optimization; the expected level of operating cash flow to be generated and production potential following the Whiting refinery upgrade; the projected marketing to refining cover after the Carson and Texas City divestments; the expected impact on fourth-quarter production of the ongoing seasonal turnaround activity across BP’s portfolio; expected fourth-quarter and full-year 2011 production; expectations for returns and earnings momentum in refining and marketing; the ability of the fuels business to continue to deliver competitive returns; performance

outlook including the anticipated level of earnings delivery in

2011 and earnings growth by the end of 2012; earnings and returns momentum beyond 2012; the proportion of earnings derived from growth markets; the anticipated level of market growth in Australasia, Turkey, South Africa and Poland; the level of further earnings growth generated by the base business; the increase of investment that will deliver sustainable growth; the

projected volume of petrochemicals and lubricants growth and demand by 2020; the deployment of Cativa

to the joint venture with Indian Oil Corporation; improvements in Eastern hemisphere Fuels Value Chains including growth in access; the deliverability of new technologies and growth projects in the Middle East and Asia and growth earnings from the Petrochemicals business; the proportion of earnings from non-OCED markets by 2015 in the lubricants business; relationships with large resource holders. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur

in the future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors including the timing of bringing new fields onstream; future levels of industry product supply; demand and pricing; OPEC quota restrictions; PSA effects; operational problems; general economic conditions; political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world; changes in laws and governmental regulations; changes in taxation or regulation; regulatory or legal actions including

the types of enforcement action pursued and the nature of remedies sought; the impact on our reputation following the Gulf of Mexico oil spill; exchange rate fluctuations; development and use of new technology; the

success or otherwise of partnering; the successful completion of certain disposals; the actions of competitors, trading partners, creditors, rating agencies and others; natural disasters and adverse weather conditions; changes in public expectations and other changes to business conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties”

in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011 and under “Risk Factors”

in our Annual Report and Form 20-F 2010 as filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Reconciliations to GAAP -

This presentation also contains financial information which is not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). A quantitative reconciliation of this information to the

most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP can be found on our website at www.bp.com.Statement of Assumptions:

The operating cash flow projection for 2014 stated in this presentation reflects our expectation that all required payments into the $20 billion Trust Fund will have been completed prior to 2014. The projection does not reflect any cash flows relating to other liabilities, contingent liabilities, settlements or contingent assets arising from the Macondo incident which may or may not arise at that time. As disclosed in the Stock Exchange Announcement, we are not today able to reliably estimate the amount or timing of a number of contingent liabilities.Cautionary note to US investors:

We use certain terms in this presentation, such as “resources”, “non-proved resources”

and references to projections in relation to such that the SEC’s

rules prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-06262. This form is available on our website at www.bp.com. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or by logging on to their website at www.sec.gov. Tables and projections in this presentation are BP projections

unless otherwise stated.

4

Page 4: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Agenda

Refining & Marketing overview

Iain Conn and Richard Hookway

Fuels

Steve Cornell and Tufan Erginbilgic

Breakout sessions:

Petrochemicals

Nick Elmslie

Lubricants

Tufan Erginbilgic

Fuels & lubricants technology tour

Angela Strank

Wrap up

Iain Conn

5

Page 5: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

The R&M team here today

Charles Cameron

Head of Technology

Refining & Marketing

Richard Hookway

Chief Financial Officer

Refining & Marketing

Steve Cornell

Chief Operating Officer

US Fuels

Angela Strank

Technology Vice President

Fuels & Lubricants

Iain Conn

Chief Executive Refining & Marketing

Jeanne Johns

Head of S&OR

Refining & Marketing

Nick Elmslie

Chief Operating Officer

Global Petrochemicals

Tufan Erginbilgic

Chief Operating Officer Eastern Hemisphere Fuels, Global Lubricants, Aviation and LPG

6

Page 6: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving BP Forward Safety : Trust : Value Growth

Putting safety and operational risk management at the heart of the company•

New Safety and Operational Risk organization•

Investment in maintenance•

Reorganized upstream

Rebuilding trust•

$20bn Trust Fund: now 50% funded •

Settlements with Mitsui/Weatherford/Anadarko

Pursuing value growth•

Dividend resumed•

$19bn(1)

divestments agreed•

New access: India, Trinidad, Australia, Azerbaijan, UK, Indonesia, South China Sea, Brazil

Iraq initial production•

Refining & Marketing earnings momentum continues

(1)

Excluding the proposed sale of BP’s interest in PAE. This sales agreement was terminated on 6th

November. 7

Page 7: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving BP Forward A 10 point plan

What you can expect1.

Relentless focus on safety and managing risk

2.

Play to our strengths

Exploration

Deepwater

Giant fields

Gas value chains

World class downstream business

Relationships and technology

3.

Stronger and more focused

4.

Simpler and more standardized

5.

More visibility and transparency to value

8

Page 8: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving BP Forward A 10 point plan

What you can measure

6.

Active portfolio management to continue

Further $15bn over the next two years including two US refineries

7.

New upstream projects onstream with higher margins

Unit cash margins on new wave of projects expected to be double existing average(1)

8.

Generate around 50% more annually in operating cash flow by 2014

versus 2011 at $100/bbl

Around half from ending US Trust Fund payments(2)

/ around half from operations

9.

Half of incremental operating cash for re-investment, half for other purposes including distributions

10.

Strong balance sheet

Gearing in lower half of 10–20% range

(1)

Assuming a constant $100/bbl oil price and excluding TNK-BP(2)

See Statement of Assumptions under Cautionary Statement 9

Page 9: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Safety and operational risk management

WILG

Safety and

operational risk

Organization

Risk identification and mitigation planning

Operating management system

Likelihood1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

H

Likelihood1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

H

Imp

act

10

Page 10: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

The evolving challenge of energy demand

(1)

Today’s borders*

Includes biofuelsSource:

BP Energy Outlook 2030

Bill

ion

to

e

Renewables* NuclearHydro Gas OilCoal

US

0

1

2

3

4

1990 2010 2030

EU(1)

0

1

2

3

4

1990 2010 2030

China

0

1

2

3

4

1990 2010 2030

11

Page 11: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

R&M operates three business models

Fuels:

Integrated refining, marketing, logistics, supply, optimization and trading linked to global markets

Lubricants:

High growth, high return global business leveraging brand, technology and relationships

Petrochemicals:

High growth, high returns with leading technology –

Asia focused with strong global

market shares

12

Page 12: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

R&M: How we are organized

Fuels Petrochemicals Lubricants

Safety and operational risk

Finance

Technology

Information technology and BSCs(1)

HR, PSCM(2)

and other functions

Strategy / Policy / Code of Conduct

Supply optimization and trading

11 11Number of strategic performance units

(1)

Business service centre(2)

Procurement supply chain management 13

Page 13: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Our five priorities since 2007

Safe operations and OMS(1)

Behaviours and core processes

Restoring missing revenues and earnings momentum

Business simplification

Repositioning cost efficiency

(1)

Operating Management System 14

Page 14: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

13 Strategic Performance Units (SPUs)

Focused on quality, not quantity

Two significant divestments in progress

Texas City refinery and Southern West Coast fuels business(1)

On-track for record earnings(2)

in 2011

50%+ of earnings2

sourced from growth markets(3)

Pre-tax operating returns(4)

of ~11%

Material contribution to Group operating cash flow growth

R&M today

(1)

Including Carson refinery(2)

Based on pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit which is pre-tax replacement cost profit or loss adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

(3)

Asia (including China and India), Australasia, Central and Eastern Europe, Former Soviet Union, Southern Africa, Middle East, South and Central America

(4)

Pre-tax returns based on pre-tax average capital employed including goodwill (based on 12 months to 30 Sep 2011)15

Page 15: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

R&M key financial and operating dimensions

12 months to end Sept 2011

Pre-tax capital employed inc goodwill ~$55bn

Earnings(1) ~$6bn

Organic investment(2) ~$4bn

Pre-tax operating returns(3) ~11%

Refining capacity(4) ~2,700 kbpd

Total marketing sales ~3,300 kbpd

Petchems capacity(4),(5) ~18,300 ktpa

No. of countries R&M markets within ~70

No. of employees ~35,000Plus ~15,000 site employees

(1)

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit or loss adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects(2)

Organic capital expenditure excluding acquisitions and asset exchanges(3)

Pre-tax returns based on pre-tax average capital employed including goodwill (4)

As at 31st December 2010(5)

Including Gelsenkirchen and Mulheim petrochemical volumes which are financially reported within the Fuels business 16

Page 16: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

2011 YTD

2010

20092008

2007

20062005

2004

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

0 4 8 12 16 20

BP's Refining Marker Margin (RMM) $/bbl

Pre

-tax

un

der

lyin

g R

C p

rofi

t $/

bb

l

Underlying performance improvement

Performance recovery complete by 2009

+$5bn earnings in 2007 environment

On-track to deliver +$2bn of incremental earnings by end 2012 vs 2009

Yellow regression line represents $2bn incremental earnings guidance, 2012 vs 2009(1) RMMs

are simplified regional margin indicators based upon product yields and a "marker" crude oil deemed appropriate for the region.

~$5bn incremental earnings in 2009 vs 2007 environment

>$2bn incremental earnings vs 2009

(1)

17

Page 17: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Note: BP Net Income = Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit (less 30% notional tax rate) divided by refining capacityCompetitor set = ExxonMobil, Shell, Total and ConocoPhillips

Competitive position –

Net Income per barrel

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

1Q05

2Q05

3Q05

4Q05

1Q06

2Q06

3Q06

4Q06

1Q07

2Q07

3Q07

4Q07

1Q08

2Q08

3Q08

4Q08

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

4Q09

1Q10

2Q10

3Q10

4Q10

1Q11

2Q11

3Q11

BP

Excluding chemicals –

rolling 4 quarters

$/bbl

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

1Q05

2Q05

3Q05

4Q05

1Q06

2Q06

3Q06

4Q06

1Q07

2Q07

3Q07

4Q07

1Q08

2Q08

3Q08

4Q08

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

4Q09

1Q10

2Q10

3Q10

4Q10

1Q11

2Q11

3Q11

$/bbl

Including chemicals –

Rolling 4 quarters

BP

CompetitorsCompetitors

18

Page 18: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Historical portfolio performance

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit by business - $bn

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Ref

inin

g &

Pet

chem

s M

argi

n En

viro

nmen

t

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Lubr

ican

ts B

ase

Oil

Pric

e

Fuels RMM

PetrochemicalsVCM

LubricantsBase Oil Price

Business Environment(Indexed 2004 = 100)

(1)

Segment costs have been allocated to the Fuels business(2)

2011 data is BP estimateRMM = Refining Marker MarginVCM = Variable Contribution Margin

Fuels(1) Lubricants Petrochemicals

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011(2)

$bn

19

Page 19: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2007 2008 2009 2010 4Q10 to

3Q11

pre

tax

unde

rlyin

g re

plac

emen

t cos

t pro

fit ($

bn)

Fuels

R&M Total

LubricantsPetchems

R&M earnings volatility

20

Page 20: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Net Investment

(1) Includes $8.3bn proceeds for Innovene sale(2) 2011 BP projections(3) Total net investment = organic capital expenditure less proceeds from disposals

$bn Total Net Investment (3)

Organic Capex

Depreciation

-7

-6

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

2005(1) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011(2)

21

Page 21: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Value growth –

world class downstream business

The highest quality downstream business

Hydrocarbon value chains delivering leading returns and cash flow growth

Incorporating three business models:

Fuels (including optimization and trading)

Lubricants

Petrochemicals

22

Page 22: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

World class downstream business

Safe and reliable operations•

Becoming a leader in process safety•

Industry leading reliability and availability

Excellent execution•

Compliance, rigour, discipline, efficient use of resources•

Effective organization and capability

Portfolio quality and integration driving leading cash margin capability•

Right asset configuration, technology, channels, brands and integration •

Enables advantaged operations to deliver leading utilization rates•

Drives cash margins and cash flow delivery

Growing margin share –

exposure to growth•

Expansion of competitive margin capability•

Building growth market positions

Disciplined investment and portfolio management•

Financial framework•

Operating cash flow growth

23

Page 23: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Earnings momentum

Sources of earnings growth in a 2009 refining environment

BP projections

Growth market positions and cash margin capability

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Act

ual

pre

-tax

ret

urn

s %

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

9

10

Delta in

cremen

tal earnin

gs $b

n

Restoring missing revenuesGrowing gross margin Cost efficiency

Pre-tax returns based on pre-tax average capital employed including goodwill (%); actual 2007-2010, 2011 BP projection

24

Whiting Refinery Modernization Project

8

Page 24: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Operating cash flow momentum

Sustaining leading returns in the base•

Invest to maintain competitive position•

Improve efficiency and margin capture capabilities

Working capital efficiency

Improving cash margin capability•

Whiting Refinery Modernization Project−

on-stream 2013•

Cherry Point clean diesel•

Toledo continuous catalytic reforming•

Integration, trading and optimization•

Premium fuels, Castrol Edge •

Petrochemicals and lubricants technology•

Marketing channel management

Growth market positions•

Petrochemicals Asia•

Lubricants growth markets•

Refining and fuels developments

Operating cash flow

Divested operations and environment 2

Growth drivers

2011 operating cash at

$12/bbl RMM 1

$113/bbl crude

2014 operating cash at

$11/bbl RMM 1

$100/bbl crude

WRMP

Other cash margins & growth markets

(1)

Refining Marker Margin(2)

Includes working capital movements 25

Page 25: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving R&M forward

What you can expect •

Focus on safe, reliable, excellent operations

Delivery of >$2bn pa of pre-tax underlying performance improvement by 2012 vs 2009

Industry leading returns

Material earnings and operating cash flow growth

Portfolio management −

Focus on cash margin quality

Exposure to growth markets•

Leveraging technology innovation

Disciplined investment

Increased transparency of performance

What you can measure•

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit growth

Annual net income per barrel

Annual pre-tax operating returns

26

Page 26: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Fuels Steve Cornell and Tufan Erginbilgic

November 30th

28

Page 27: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Sales and marketing

Cru

de

Mar

ket

Pri

ce

Refining and manufacturing

Supply and distribution

Cru

de

Co

nsu

mer

s

The fuels business Fuels value chain supply enabled by optimization and trading

Rac

k (T

erm

inal

) P

rice

Ref

ined

pro

du

ct

Supply optimization and trading

29

Page 28: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Fuels: Where we operate

BP owned refineryJoint BP owned refinery

Key sales & marketing operations

Refineries announced for divestment

Global aviation fuels and LPG

Global supply optimization and trading operations30

Page 29: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

How we capture refining margins

Strategic value driver:Configuration and scale

External value driver: Product Cracks/Margins

HighMediumLow

Operational value driver:AvailabilityEfficiency

Ref

inin

g M

arg

in

Coking

Cracking

HSK*

Yield of gasoline and distillateHSK*

-

Hydroskimming

31

USGC Product Cracks vs Mars, $/bbl

0

10

20

30

40

2008 2009 2010 2011

Gasoline

Diesel

Page 30: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

How we optimize supply/distribution margins

Strategic value driver:Tankage capacityMarket position

External value driver: Volatility

Operational value driver:Crude selection

Inventory optimizationChannel of trade

Crude

Product

Bra

nd

ed

Ret

ail

Un

Bra

nd

edR

esel

ler

Demand profile: ratable

Demand profile: variable

time

Daily sales volume optimization

Volum

e/price elasticity

High

Low

Buying

:Early / Late

Selling :Fast / Slow

Capture market opportunities:Price Zone differences

Daily price changes

US market daily price change

Supply optimization and trading32

Page 31: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

High-graded portfolio -

Refining

Global refining quality

Size represents absolute scale of Refining portfolio Source: Oil & Gas Journal 2010

Nelson Complexity

100

150

200

250

7 8 9 10 11

Alliance MombasaCoryton ReichstettGrangemouth Salt LakeLavera Singapore Mandan Yorktown

BP Divestments ’ 00 – ‘ 10

Ave

rag

e R

efin

ery

Siz

e (k

bd

)

Alliance Mombasa

BP Divestments ’ 00 –‘ 09BP Divestment plans ’ 11 –‘ 12Texas City

Carson

Divested00>12

Current

Post 2013

Size represents absolute scale of Refining portfolio Source: Oil & Gas Journal 2010

Nelson Complexity

100

150

200

250

7 8 9 10 11

Alliance MombasaCoryton ReichstettGrangemouth Salt LakeLavera Singapore Mandan Yorktown

BP Divestments ’ 00 – ‘ 10

Ave

rag

e R

efin

ery

Siz

e (k

bd

)

Alliance Mombasa

BP Divestments ’ 00 –‘ 09BP Divestment plans ’ 11 –‘ 12Texas City

Carson

Divested00>12

Current

Post 2013

Refining utilization vs competition(1)

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

1Q04

2Q04

3Q04

4Q04

1Q05

2Q05

3Q05

4Q05

1Q06

2Q06

3Q06

4Q06

1Q07

2Q07

3Q07

4Q07

1Q08

2Q08

3Q08

4Q08

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

4Q09

1Q10

2Q10

3Q10

4Q10

1Q11

2Q11

3Q11

Competitor RangeBP

Competitors

BP

(1)

Competitor set is other International Oil Companies reported crude throughput divided by crude capacity33

Page 32: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

High-graded portfolio –

fuels marketing

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2.2

10% 15% 20% 25%

Estimated market share 3

Mar

ket E

ffect

iven

ess

Rat

io (4

)

Germany East of RockiesWest Coast US IberiaSouthern Africa AustraliaUK PolandBubble 9

Marketing cover(1)

of refining capacity Retail asset quality

(1)

Total marketing sales divided by refining crude distillation capacity(2)

Competitors include ExxonMobil, Shell and Total(3)

BP share of industry retail sales –

BP data estimates(4)

BP market share divided by BP share of site numbers for branded sites –

BP data estimates

Better than industry average

Lower than industry average

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

BP

Competitors 2

34

Page 33: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

How we drive sales and marketing margins

0

5

10

15

20

25

Gasoline Diesel

6255

29

18 15 14 14 13

Fuel p

rice

Loca

tion

Hours

Brand

Fast s

ervice

Friend

ly se

rvice

Fuel q

ualiy

Carwas

h

Strategic value driver:Format / Operating Efficiency

External value driver: Consumer preferences

Operational value driver:Differentiated Offers

Germany –

Importance of site factors to consumers

Premium Fuels

BP UK –

Relative fuel margin required for cash break even

UK Relative Fuel MarginsPremium v Standard Fuels

Premium fuel

Standard grade fuel

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

No fuel marginrequired

Fuel marginrequired

M&S C-Store Kiosk

35

Page 34: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

BP and M&S in the UK: How we secure sales and marketing margins

BP/M&S partnership now extends to 135 stores

Strong growth in store sales in M&S partnership stores post conversion

Format is the market leader in the forecourt industry

Source: Experian Catalyst Q3, 2011, BP internal data

Source: Experian Catalyst Q3, 2011, BP internal data

36

Page 35: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Repositioned US Fuels business

Strategic Fit of US Portfolio•

Highly integrated value chains focused in northern tier of US

Significant location advantage for Canadian crude access

Pipeline access provides unique competitive flexibility related to mid continent crudes

Product logistics provide good support for refinery production1

JV refinery

Gulf Coast Crude

ANS Crude

Traded Product Supply

Canadian Crude

Cherry Point

Toledo1Whiting

ANS Crude adv +$1-2 /bbl

Canadian Crude adv +$3-4 /bbl

37

Page 36: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Whiting Refinery Modernization Project

Indexed Pre-tax underlying RC profit $/bbl of capacity

Mid West historical performance range

Whiting post project performance for a range of WTI –

Lloydminster differentials

Regression line established from rolling 4Q average 1Q’02–1Q’07Based off nameplate capacity as stated in F&OI = maximum sustainable rate for a 30 day period

On-stream performance at average 3Q 2011 refining environment

Before After

Light, sweet crude

Medium, sour crude

Heavy, sour crude

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2 4 6 8 10 12Mid West Refining Marker Margin $/bbl

Whiting’s capacity to process heavy crude is transformed

Whiting’s sources of value

38

Page 37: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Key global margin capture opportunities

Key sales & marketing operations

US Margin growth•

Whiting refining modernization project

Cherry Point clean diesel

Toledo continuous catalytic reforming

Margin growth•

Gelsenkirchen yield improvement

Global•

Aviation: Building positions in growth markets especially BRIC(1)

countries

(1) Brazil, Russia, India and China

Eastern HemisphereMarket growth•

Fuels: Australasia, Turkey, South Africa, Poland, China

Convenience: Rhine, Australasia, Poland, UK

New access•

China: pursuing refining options

39

Page 38: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving the fuels business forward

What you can expect•

Focus on safe, reliable, excellent operations

Industry leading refining availability and utilization

Active portfolio management–

Re-position US fuels business

Continued focus on quality

Strengthen “winning”

fuel value chain positions

Whiting investment

Focus on margin capability

Focus on growth geographies and market segments

Continued focus on efficiency

Competitive returns

What you can measure•

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit

Annual pre-tax operating returns

Solomon availability and refining utilization

40

Page 39: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Lubricants Tufan Erginbilgic

November 30th

42

Page 40: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Lubricants: What is the business

7300 employees

~70% of sales

Automotive~30% of sales

Industrial, Aviation, Marine

45 countrieswith direct operations

We create superior value for our customers & consumersthrough the development & sale of differentiated lubricants and

related products

43

Page 41: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Lubricants: Profit track record

Important source of growth for R&M

~$1billion of pre-tax profit added since 2006

Profit driven by top line and efficiency

Gross margin growth of 7%pa 2006-10

Costs below 2006 level

Capital employed below 2006 level

Pre-tax returns on capital employed now in excess of 20%

0

100

200

300

400

2006 2007 2008 2009 201050

100

150

Indexed pre-tax underlying replacement profit

Pre-taxProfit

Gross Margin

Data indexed to 2006Total cost includes cash & non-cash costs

Indexed Gross Margin & Total Costs

Total Cost

44

Page 42: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Automotive lubricants: Where we participate

Core lubricant marketsLubricant growth marketsOther country presence

45

Page 43: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Lubricants value chain

Limited / noparticipation

Activeparticipation

Selectiveparticipation

AdditivesManufacturing

Base OilManufacturing

Blending Marketing& Sales

FormulationProcurement

Activeparticipation

Activeparticipation

46

Page 44: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

The lubricants environment

0

2

4

6

OECD BRIC Rest ofWorld

Increase in lubricants demand(1)

2010 to 2020

Billions of litres per annum

(1) based on external industry estimates of Inland lubricants demand

0%

2%

4%

Premium Non-premium

Growth in premium lubricants(1)

2010 to 2020

Annual growth rate

47

Page 45: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

How do we win?

WILG

Technology CustomerRelationships

Brand

48

Page 46: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Lubricants: Competitive positioning

(1)

Based on a Millward

Brown 2011 survey of customers in 18 key automotive market-segment combinations(2)

BP estimates based on available industry data and internal analysis. Expressed as a percentage of total automotive engine lubes

sales.

Global Brand Equity(1) %

0

25

50

75

100

CategoryAverage

Loyal

Prefer

AcceptAware

BP partnerships with vehicle OEMs

Global partnerships

Ford

VW

Audi BMW

Land Rover

Jaguar

Seat

Volvo

TataSkoda

MAN

Regional partnerships

Peugeot

Toyota

Honda

Mazda

Citroen

SAIC

Synthetic/Premium Lubes (2)

0%

25%

50%

Market BP

0

1

2

Non-premium

Premium

Relative BP unit marginsProportion of Sales (2)

Synthetic/Premium Lubes (2)

0%

25%

50%

Market BP

0

1

2

Non-premium

Premium

Relative BP unit margins

0

1

2

Non-premium

Premium

Relative BP unit marginsProportion of Sales (2)

Synthetic/Premium Lubes(2)

49

Page 47: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Lubricants: Supply chain efficiency and simplification

Number of blending plants(1)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010(1) wholly owned by BP and joint ownership

OECD

Non-

OECD

Number of product and pack variants

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Automotive

Other (2)

(2) Industrial, Marine and Aviation products

Number of countries with direct presence

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

50

Page 48: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Lubricants: Our portfolio and performance

Castrol India LimitedMarket Capitalisation

End 2006 End Oct 2011

$0.6bn

$2.5bn

Profit Growth(1)

RoW

2010

OECDBRICs

RoW

2006

OECDBRICs

(1)

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit –

size of pie represents relative size of profit(2)

Rolling four quarters, pre-tax basis (3) Based on average 2006-10 performance of around 3,000 consumer sector companies 51

Return on Sales(2)

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2008 2009 20102007

Fuchs

BPValvoline

Median (3)

Consumer sector companies

Top Quartile Midpoint (3)

Consumer sector companies

2006

Page 49: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving the lubricants business forward

What you can expect•

Focus on safe, reliable, excellent operations

Growing margin share−

Increasing exposure to growing non-OECD markets

Increasing premium share of sales•

Ongoing disciplined investment in−

Lubricant technology

Brand−

Customer relationships

Sustaining leading returns in the industry

What you can measure•

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit

Annual return on sales

Annual ratio of premium to total lubricant sales

52

Page 50: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Petrochemicals Nick Elmslie

November 30th

53

Page 51: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Manufacture at Scale Market our Products

Petrochemicals: A global manufacturing and marketing business

Strategic RelationshipsJoint Venture Model in Asia

Independent Manufacturing & Marketing Companies

2,500employees

Feed

stoc

ks

Dev

elop

and

Dep

loy

Prop

rieta

ry T

echn

olog

y

10JVs in Asia

Cus

tom

ers

Sinopec

Mitsui ChemicalsSamsung

CPC CorporationPetronas

FormosaChemicals

54

Page 52: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

PTA sites

Acetyls sites

PX sites

O&D site

Capacity focused in Asia

By Product -

2010 By Region1 – mtpa2

Petrochemicals: Where we operate

PX

Acetyls

O&DPTA

(1)

Excludes Gelsenkirchen and Mulheim volumes reported within fuels

business (2)

Million Tonnes per Annum 55

Product Total(mtpa) #1 #2 #3

14% 10% 7%BP Yisheng Mitsubishi

11% 10% 8%Sinopec ExxonMobil BP

22% 18% 9%Celanese BP SOPO

PTA

PX

Acetic Acid

Share of Global Capacity

53

38

14Asia

US & Europe

0

4

8

12

16

2004 20100

4

8

12

16

2004 2010

Page 53: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Value chains –

PTA, PX & Acetic Acid

Automotive, Construction, Coatings, Consumer GoodsCarbon

Monoxide

MethanolAceticAcid

RefineryReformer

PX1 PolyesterPTA2MixedXylenes

PET Resin, Fibre, Films & Specialities

(1)

Paraxylene(2)

Purified Terephthalic Acid 56

Page 54: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Value chains –

Olefins and Derivatives (O&D)

NaphthaFeedstock

1.3mtpaEthylene

Propylene

Ethylene

Polyethylene

Polypropylene

Polystyrene

Butadiene

Acrylonitrile

57

Page 55: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

The petrochemicals environment

PTA & Acetic Acid are forecast to grow at 6.5%pa

China PTA demand has grown by 15% CAGR(1)

over the last decade

Petrochemical margins driven by supply demand balance

Acetic Acid - Global Operating Rate & China Spread

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Mar

gin

over

Met

hano

l, $/

te

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

Glo

bal O

pera

ting

Rat

e, %

Global Operating Rate

China Spread

PTA - China Capacity / Demand & Global Utilisation

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Cap

acity

, Dem

and,

m

tpa

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

Glo

bal U

tilis

atio

nChina DemandChina CapacityGlobal Utilisation

58(1) Compound annual growth rate

Page 56: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Petrochemicals: Our performance

Performance vs. our competitors is top of the range in terms of RoS

Differentiated returns are the result of advantaged technology, market access and operational efficiency

In 2010 our profit exceeded $1bn for the first time with 60% coming from the high growth markets of Asia

Return on sales

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102004

Competitor rangeBP

Competitor average

(1)

Post tax adjusted to comparable basis(2)

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit indexed to 2004(3)

Cash Fixed Costs indexed to 200459

Indexed profit(2) & Unit Costs(3)

Indexed to 2004=100

0

100

200

300

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Inde

xed

prof

it(2)

40

60

80

100

Uni

t Cos

ts(3

)

Profit(2)

Unit costs(3)

(1)

Page 57: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Petrochemicals: How do we win?

PetrochemicalsTechnology

Operational Excellence

StrategicRelationships

Joint Ventures Co-location

Sinopec

MitsuiChemicals

Samsung

CPCCorporation

Petronas

Indorama

ChinaResources

JBFFormosaChemicals

60

Page 58: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Advantaged technology –

PTA example

PTA Technology Evolution, $/te Indexed

Industry Average and Best Available are calculated using The PCI

Consulting Group published information61

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

1980'sPlants

1990'sPlants

Zhuhai1

Zhuhai2

Zhuhai3

IndustryAverage

BestAvailable

Fixed costVariable costEnergyCapital

Page 59: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving Petrochemicals forward

What you can expect•

Focus on safe, reliable, excellent operations

Growing margin share−

Extension of JV model in Asian growth markets

Development of next generation technologies•

Deployment of new and existing technology

Ongoing disciplined investment−

Sustain leading cost position

Focus on cash generation in US / Europe

What you can measure•

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit

Petrochemical volumes

Annual return on sales

62

Page 60: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Iain Conn Chief Executive –

Refining and Marketing

November 30th

63

Page 61: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Value growth –

world class downstream business

The highest quality downstream business

Hydrocarbon value chains delivering leading returns and cash flow growth

Incorporating three business models:

Fuels (including optimization and trading)

Lubricants

Petrochemicals

65

Page 62: Refining & Marketing Welcome · terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed under “Principal risks and uncertainties” in our Form 6-K for the period ended 30 June 2011

Moving R&M forward

What you can expect •

Focus on safe, reliable, excellent operations

Delivery of >$2bn pa of pre-tax underlying performance improvement by 2012 vs 2009

Industry leading returns

Material earnings and operating cash flow growth

Portfolio management −

Focus on cash margin quality

Exposure to growth markets•

Leveraging technology innovation

Disciplined investment

Increased transparency of performance

What you can measure•

Pre-tax underlying replacement cost profit growth

Annual net income per barrel

Annual pre-tax operating returns

66