reg copd control working group meeting 25/9/15
TRANSCRIPT
2015 ERS EVENTS
DATE: FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 25TH
VENUE: Wyndham Apollo Hotel, AmsterdamMEETING ROOM: BoardroomTIME: 15:30-17.00PM
CHAIR: Marc Miravitlles, Chest Physician and Senior Researcher in the Department of Pneumology at the Hospital Universitari Vall d’Hebron
COPD CONTROL WORKING GROUP MEETING
Agenda
3
Lowclinical impact
Clinical control
Stability
Impa
ctHighclinical impact
Cross-sectional evaluationof impact
Stability(Improvement or
absence of changes)
Inestability(Clinical worsening)
V1 V2 V3 V4
Definition of Control
Concept & Validation:
• Concept:o Control is not a prediction toolo Concept of control can potentially be used
to motivate and educate patientso It may help to step up or down treatment
and establish the frequency of clinical visits
• Validation of Clinical Validity & Utility:o Prospective trial pilot work in Spain (x2 studies)o Database pilot work in the UK (x1 study)o International prospective trial
STUDY 1: changes in control vs changes in severity over 6 monthsSTUDY 2: comparison of control and symptoms over 6 months
Observational Pilot Work in Spain
Study 1: changes in control vs severity
• Objectiveso Compare variability in control with variability in
severity (FEV1 and BODE/BODEx) over a 6-month observational outcome period.
• Update / results summaryRecruitment started in July 2015. Participating centers: 40Patients recruited at Sep 15th: 89Objective: 400 patients included
Study 2: comparison of symptoms & control
• Objectiveso Compare the changes in control with the prevalence and
changes in EXACT Respiratory Symptoms (E-RS).
• Update / results summary6 mo. FU and 3 visitsSample size 150 ptsAt ethics c. of different centersDeveloping the eCRF and questionnaire by smart
phones
Cross-sectional, non-interventional database study using the Optimum Patient Care Research Database (OPCRD) as a lead-in to the prospective trials
UK Database pilot
Criteria to establish degree of control:
Soler-Cataluña et al. ERJ. 2014;44:1069-72
Validation of concept study:
Aims: • Characterize COPD patients treated in UK routine primary care in terms of
their COPD control • Evaluate the clinical implications of control status
Data sources:• The UK’s Optimum Patient Care Research Database (OPCRD)• Fully anonymised UK primary care data• Historical medical records for >2.2 million patients from >550 primary care
practices across the UK • Ethical approval for medical research & used for multiple peer-review
publications
Study Design:
• 12- and 3-month baseline periods & 1-year outcome period• An index date: the date of receipt of the patients completed
COPD Assessment Test (CAT)
Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria:
Inclusion CriteriaCOPD diagnosis (physician-diagnosed COPD),
Aged ≥40 years
Current or ex-smokers
Recorded COPD Questionnaire data• ≥3 months continuous clinical records immediately prior to the index date• ≥1 year of continuous clinical records immediately following the index date
Exclusion Criteria
Any chronic respiratory condition other than COPD, asthma or bronchiectasis (e.g. cystic fibrosis, lung fibrosis)Patients with potential severe comorbidity at index date, defined as those with a recorded data of death within the 24 months following index date
COPD Severity: BODEx Index
Body mass index, airflow Obstruction; Dyspnea, and Exacerbations (BODEx) index:
COPD Control defines a BODEx of: • ≤4 points as mild/moderate COPD• ≥5 points as severe/very severe COPD
Patient BODEx
BODEx Score COPD Patients n, (%)
0 592 (21.23)
1 647 (23.21)
2 551 (19.76)
3 430 (15.42)
4 291 (10.44)
5 148 (5.22)
6 86 (3.03)
7 34 (1.20)
8 9 (0.38)
Total 2788 (100)
Mild to moderate
Severe to very severe
Definition of COPD impact, by COPD severity
^ Sputum colour is not routinely collected in the OPC COPD questionnaire. The question:“I have no phlegm (mucus) on my chest” will be used as a proxy*CCQ is not currently captured in the OPCRD, so only the CAT score will be used
Low impact: all criteria must be satisfied;High impact: fulfillment of any criterion of high impact results in a classification of high impact
Stability Measures
• Stability assessed by the presence or absence of exacerbations
• Changes in CAT/CCQ scores could not be evaluatedo CCQ scores are not collected in the OPCRDo Only CAT score at IPD evaluated
Patient control status:Excluded:1. Patients with no MRC Score (n=
179)2. Patients with incomplete CAT
Questionnaire (n= 502)3. No BMI data (n= 80)
Controlled COPD Patients:
Total of 2788 patients assessed
Low impact*
Mild to moderate(BODEx ≤4)n=2511
Severe to very severe (BODEx ≥5)n=277
Number of patients excluded, n
Dyspnea (mMRC) 987 249
Rescue medication 1064 25
Daily physical activity 261 2
CAT Score 100 1Sputum Colour 1 -Exacerbations 9 -Total Excluded 2422 277Total Included 89 0
Summary of patients excluded during analysis of low impact and stability
*Low impact: all criteria must be satisfied. Therefore a sequential analysis was completed
Uncontrolled COPD Patients:
Total of 2788 patients assessed
High impact
Mild to moderate (BODEx ≤4)
Severe to very severe (BODEx ≥5)
Number of patients that did not fulfill the specific criteria, n
Dyspnea (mMRC) 1436 28
Rescue medication 549 20
Daily physical activity 806 105
CAT Score 553 71
Sputum Colour 2199 171
Summary of the number of patients that did not fulfill the specific criteria*
*High impact: fulfillment of any criterion of high impact results in a classification of high impact
ALL patients fulfilled one or more of the criteria
Descriptive Analysis: Demographics
Demographics COPD Cohort (n=2788)
Control Status
Controlled(n= 89)
Uncontrolled (n=2699) p-value
Age (years), Median (IQR) 71 (94, 42) 71 (82, 52) 71 (94, 42) 0.349*
Gender, n (% male) 1630 (58.46) 56 (62.92) 1574 (58.32) 0.444*
Smoking Status
Current 806 (28.91) 33 (37.08) 773 (28.64)
0.084**Former 1982 (71.09) 56 (62.92) 1926 (71.36)
Non 0 0 0
*Mann-Whitney U test**Chi Square
Descriptive Analysis: Comorbidities
Evidence of comorbidities (in study period), n (%)
COPD Cohort (n=2788)
Control Status
p-value*Controlled
(n=89)Uncontrolled
(n=2699)
Asthma 833 (29.88) 15 (16.85) 818 (30.31) 0.006
Cardiovascular disease 1122 (40.24) 36 (40.45) 1086 (40.24) 0.999
Ischemic Heart Disease 621 (22.27) 21 (23.60) 600 (22.23) 0.796
Heart Failure 178 (6.38) 3 (3.37) 175 (6.48) 0.280
Hypertension 168 (6.03) 5 (5.62) 163 (6.04) 0.999
Diabetes 710 (25.47) 22 (24.72) 688 (25.49) 0.903
Bronchiectasis 142 (5.09) 2 (2.25) 140 (5.19) 0.239
Rhinitis 342 (12.27) 13 (14.61) 329 (12.19) 0.510
Eczema 567 (20.34) 15 (16.85) 552 (20.45) 0.428
Osteoporosis 348 (12.48) 5 (5.62) 343 (12.71) 0.049
Gastroesophageal reflux disease 274 (9.38) 8 (8.99) 266 (9.86) 0.859
Chronic Kidney Disease 480 (17.22) 10 (11.24) 470 (17.41) 0.153*Mann-Whitney U test
Results: Exacerbations
*Mann-Whitney U test
Group Mean time (days) to first COPD exacerbation ( SD, median, range) p value*
Controlled (n=89) 161.95 (104.06, 172.5, 17-359)0.163
Uncontrolled (n=2699) 130.42 (97.87, 110, 1-365)
*Count of exacerbation events (acute oral steroids, antibiotics with respiratory event, emergency and inpatient respiratory admissions). Events within 2 weeks are assumed to be the same exacerbation
**Mann-Whitney U test
Exacerbations*
Baseline Outcome
Total Controlled Uncontrolled Total Controlled Uncontrolled p** value
Yes n (%) 661 (23.71) 0 661 (24.49) 1190 (42.67) 20 (22.47) 1170 (43.35)
<0.0001No n (%) 2127 (76.29) 89 (100) 2038 (75.51) 1598 (57.32) 69 (77.53) 1529 (56.65)
Total 2788 (100) 89 (100) 2699 (100) 2788 (100) 89 (100) 2699 (100)
Exacerbations baseline and outcome:
Time to first exacerbation:
*Mann-Whitney U test
Summary:
• In a COPD cohort of 2788 patients, only 89 patients (3.19%) were defined as Controlled, using the definitions outlined in Soler-Cataluña et al. 2014
• Uncontrolled patients in the baseline were more likely to have exacerbations in the outcome period than Controlled patients (43% vs. 22%)
• Time to first exacerbation in outcome period was shorter for COPD Uncontrolled patients
Limitations:
• Various proxies used for BODEx • Sputum proxy• CCQ is not currently captured in the OPCRD, so only
the CAT score (at index date) assessed• Stability measures proxy
• Using only exacerbations in prior 3-months
Next steps:• Steering committee review & discussion of possible sensitivity
analyses to explore the proxies / thresholds used• Exploration of sputum codes to replace sputum proxy• Exploration of prescribed SABA dose as an alternative to CAT
reliever question proxy for symptoms criterion• Determine if there is a difference between patients controlled vs
uncontrolled in terms of:o Exacerbation rate over the 1-year outcome periodo Demographic and clinical characteristics associated with poor
COPD control, including:– Age, Sex, Height, Weight, Therapy, Airway Obstruction,
Smoking History
21.4 ± 7.1
26.2 ± 6.5
31.1 ± 5.9
16.6 ± 7.1
p<0.0001
I III
II IV
Niveles de gravedad (GesEPOC) y CAT (impacto)
Pro
porc
ión
de p
acie
ntes
(%)
TOTAL0
25
50
75
100
40.4%
59.6%
Loja Requena
42.6%
57.4%
24.3%
75.7%
p<0.001
Control en EPOC: proyectos de investigación4
Estudios descriptivos: Loja/RequenaControl clínico
Mal control
Control en EPOC: proyectos de investigación4
Estudios descriptivos: Loja/Requena
Loja(Granada)
(n=116)
Requena(Valencia)(n=107) p
Edad 71 ± 10 71 ± 9 NS
Género (Hombres, %) 100 93 0,003
Tabaquismo activo (%) 28 11,6 0,002
FEV1 postbd (%) 57 ± 17 53 ± 17 NS
CAT basal (±SD) 19,0 ± 7,9 11,3 ± 7,2 <0,001
Fenotipo clínico:- No agudizador- Mixto (EPOC-Asma)- Agudizador con enf.- Agudizador con BC.
31,924,111,232,8
55,715,714,813,9
<0,001
BODEx:- Q1 (0 – 2)- Q2 (3 – 4)- Q3 (5 – 6)- Q4 (7 – 10)
52,236,311,5
0
55,333,39,61,8
NS
Tratamiento:- LAMA- LABA- LAMA+LABA- LABA+CsI- LAMA+LABA+CsI- IFD-4
65,2
27,617,242
25,9
14,83,513,010,458
17,5
0,007
Pro
porc
ión
de p
acie
ntes
(%)
Nivel de gravedadI
0
25
50
75
100
Nivel de gravedadII
Nivel de gravedadIII-IV
n=223CONTROLBajo impacto: CAT≤10 puntosEstabilidad: Cambio CAT≤2 puntos
CONTROLCAT≤20 puntosCambio CAT≤2 puntos
Control en EPOC: proyectos de investigación4
Estudios descriptivos: Loja/RequenaControl clínico
Mal control
Pro
porc
ión
de p
acie
ntes
(%)
No agudizador
0
25
50
75
100
Agudizador con enfisema
Agudizador con bronquitis crónica
Fenotipomixto
Control en EPOC: proyectos de investigación4
Estudios descriptivos: Loja/RequenaControl clínico
Mal control
International Prospective Validation StudyMulticenter, international and prospective study to validate the concept of control in COPD and its implications for clinical practice
Protocol summary
HypothesisControl in COPD is a new conceptual dimension requiring demonstration of both low impact and clinical stability. The developers of the concept hypothesize that a status of control in COPD will be associated with better clinical outcomes (reduced frequency of exacerbations and mortality and improved health-related quality of life); reduced rate of decline in lung function and/or BODE/BODEx and reduced direct COPD-related healthcare costs.
ObjectivesPrimary: to evaluate, in an international cohort of routine care/unselected COPD patients, the:• Levels of COPD control (vs poor COPD control), and• Clinical implications of control status.
Secondary:• Compare the utility of the COPD Control (as defined) as a tool to
identify COPD impact and stability with the CAT and CCQ; • Evaluate the role of “adequate” (i.e. guideline-recommended) treatment
prescribing on COPD control.• Identify demographic and clinical characteristics associated with COPD
control status• Evaluate the cost-utility of patients with controlled (as compared to
poorly controlled) COPD.
Design
21 months prospective pragmatic trial, comprising 5 evaluation points: one screening evaluation and 4 follow-up evaluations
3 months 6 months(9 months from screening visit)
6 months(15 months from screening visit)
6 months(21 months from screening visit)
Visit -1(Screening visit)
Visit 0(Baseline visit)
Visit 1(Follow-up visit)
Visit 2(Follow-up visit)
Visit 3(Follow-up visit)
Clinician-guided (“usual care”) treatment throughout the study
Screening assessment
Baselineassessment
Control 1
Control 2
Control 3
Visit Summary
Visit -1: Screening Visit (I)14. History of exacerbations in the last 12 months Number of exacerbations: Treated in the ambulatory setting Requiring visit to the Emergency Department and/or hospitalization
15. Symptoms
Visit -1: Screening Visit (I)
Demographic data:1. Date of Birth _______
2. Gender Man Woman
3. Living Status: Alone; In a couple; With relatives; In an institution; With carers
4. Level of Education: No studies; Primary school; Secondary School; Degree/College
5. Employment status: Working; Unemployed; Retired; Incapacity or permanent disability
6. Smoking status: – Former Smoker– Smoker: number of cigarettes per day & Years of smoking
7. Weight Kg
8. Height , m.
9. Charlson Comorbidity Index
Visit -1: Screening Visit (II)
COPD data:10. Year of diagnosis
11. COPD characteristics: Chronic Bronchitis; Emphysema; Asthma-COPD; Exacerbator; Overlap syndrome
12. Data of last spirometry (last 12 months)Pre-bronchodilatation valuesFVC ml % FEV1 ml % FEV1/FVC %
Post-bronchodilatation valuesFVC ml % FEV1 ml % FEV1/FVC %
KCO % TLC % RV %
Visit -1: Screening Visit (III)COPD data continued
13. Respiratory comorbidities (Yes / No)o Bronchiectasis; o Obstructive sleep apnea
14. History of exacerbations in the last 12 months Number of exacerbations: Treated in the ambulatory setting Requiring visit to the Emergency Department and/or hospitalization
15. Symptoms continued…
Sputum: Absent or white Dark Rescue medication in the last week: Average puffs per day: _____Days a week: ____ Total CAT scoreTotal CCQ score 16. Physical activityTime walked per day in minutes: ____ min.6 Minutes Walking Test: _________ m
Visit -1: Screening Visit (I)
16. TreatmentCheck Yes / No boxes:o SABAo SAMAo LABAo LAMAo ICSo Theophyllineo Macrolideso IPD4o LTOTo NIVo Influenza vaccineo Pneumonia vaccineo Respiratory rehabilitation
Others: ………………………………………………………..
Visit -1: Screening Visit (I)
Visits 0 & 1–3: Baseline & Follow-up (I)
1. Exacerbations since last visit Exacerbations treated in the ambulatory setting: _____ ; Date of first episode: __/__/__ Date of second episode: __/__/__ Exacerbations requiring visit to Emergency Department and/or hospitalization: _______Date of first episode: __/__/__ Date of second episode: __/__/__ 2. Symptoms
2. Symptoms continued…
Sputum: Absent or white Dark Rescue medication in the last week: Average puffs per day: _____Days a week: ____ Total CAT scoreTotal CCQ score 3. Physical activityTime walked per day in minutes: ____ min.
Visits 0 & 1–3: Baseline & Follow-up (II)
4. Treatment Changes Changes in treatments from the last visit (check Yes / No boxes)
SABA; SAMA; LABA; LAMA; ICS; Theophylline; Macrolides; IPD4; LTOT; NIV; Influenza vaccine; Pneumonia vaccine; Respiratory rehabilitation
Others: ………………………………………………………..
5. Continuation Status Continue in the study yes no
If no, please indicate the reason for discontinuation from: • Death: Respiratory; Cardiovascular; Cancer; Other • Withdrawal of consent • Lost to follow-up• Other
Visits 0 & 1–3: Baseline & Follow-up (III)
Eligibility CriteriaInclusion criteria: Eligible patients must meet the following inclusion criteria:• Spirometry-defined COPD (i.e. post-bronchodilator FEV1/FVC<0.7)• Age ≥40 years• Smokers or ex-smokers of at least 10 pack-years• In stable state (as judged by the investigator) at point of recruitment
Exclusion criteria: Patients will be excluded from the trial if any of the following are true, they:• Have any chronic concomitant respiratory condition other than asthma or
bronchiectasis (e.g. cystic fibrosis, lung fibrosis) • Have severe comorbidity with a life expectancy shorter than 2 years• Are unable to understand the instructions of the study or to fill the
questionnaires• Are unwilling to sign the informed consent• Are participating in another clinical study or clinical trial.
Endpoints: primary
Difference between patients controlled vs uncontrolled at baseline in (annualized) rates of the composite endpoint:• Unscheduled visits to the physician or emergency room
attendance for COPD• An exacerbation of COPD• All-cause: hospitalization or mortality
Endpoints: secondary• Difference between patients controlled vs uncontrolled at baseline in terms of:
o The (annualized) rate of exacerbations o Time to the first composite event o Time to the first exacerbations
• Comparison of CAT and CCQ as tools to identify impact and stability in COPD
• Distribution of control level across in those receiving guideline vs non-guideline recommended therapy (i.e. stratification of control across different treatment groups)
• Demographic and clinical characteristics associated with poor control of COPD
• Differences in utilities between patients controlled and uncontrolled (measured by the EQ-5D).
Recruitment
• Study power:o ≥285 patients are required to power the primary endpointo >285 patients may will permit subgroup analyses to be
conducted and give sufficient power to evaluated significant differences in some of the secondary endpoints
• Recruitment distribution:o To include ≥6 countrieso To recruit ~50 patients per countryo To achieve ~even distribution between national contributions
Participating Collaborators & CentresParticipating Collaborator Affiliation Country Recruiting Estimated # of
PatientsMarc Miravitlles Pneumology Department, Vall d' Hebron University
Hospital, Barcelona Spain Yes TBC
Juan José Soler-Cataluña Pneumology Department, Hospital Arnau de Vilanova, Valencia, Spain Spain Yes 50
Bernardino Alcazar Navarrete
Respiratory Department, Hospital de Alta Resolucion, Granada Spain Yes 75
Miguel Roman Rodriguez Institituto de Investigacíon Sanitaria de Palma (IdISPa), Palma de Mallorca, Spain Spain (Mallorca) Yes TBC
David Price University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen UK Yes 250
Jennifer Quint University College Hospital, London UK No NA
David Halpin Department of Respiratory Medicine, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Exeter UK Maybe NA
Dermot Ryan Honorary Fellow at the University of Edinburgh UK No NA
Alberto Papi S. Anna University Hospital, Ferrara Italy No TBC
Nicolas Roche* University of Paris Descartes, Paris France Yes 50
Richard Costello Royal College of Surgeons, Dublin Ireland Yes 50
Faisal Yunus Department of Pulmonology and Respiratory Medicine, Universitas Indonesia (FMUI), Jakarta Indonesia No NA
Helgo Magnussen Pulmonary Research Institute at Lung Clinic Grosshansdorf Germany No 0
Akio Niimi Department of Respiratory Medicine, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine Japan No 0
Jean Bourbeau Montreal Chest Institute, Montreal, Quebec Canada Yes TBC
Donald Sin University of British Columbia Canada Yes ≤50
Theresa Lapperre Singapore General Hospital Singapore Yes 50
Total ~600
Green indicates national coordinating centre; *2-3 active centres under Initiatives BPCO be included
Indicative Timelines
Next steps
• Ethics applications / requirements, by country• Organisational roles & responsibilities• Operational requirements
o Language translationso eCRF development
2015 ERS EVENTS
ICS CESSATION IN COPD: A REAL-LIFE STUDY Prof. Dr. Dirkje S. Postma Department of Pulmonary Medicine and Tuberculosis, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
Background (III)
• Studies seeking to address whether combination ICS/LABA therapy improves COPD stability have traditionally concluded that withdrawal of ICS therapy is associated with:1–3 o An increase in exacerbations and symptoms; o Reduction in health-related quality of life o An acceleration in lung function decline.
• Investigators have also concluded that ICS lack sustained disease-modifying effects after ICS cessation following a recent comparative study of lung function decline, AHR, and QOL over a 5-year follow-up period.4
1. Wouters EF, et al. Thorax. 2005;60:480-7; 2. Lapperre TS, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2009 Oct 20;151:517-27. 3. van der Valk P, et al. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2002;166:1358-63;
4. Kunz LI, et al. Chest. 2015;148:389-96.
Background (III): WISDOM
• A recent large (n=2485) RCT evaluating the effect of gradual ICS withdrawal in COPD patients on triple therapy (ICS/tio/salmeterol) observed that:o Exacerbation rates were similar in patients continuing versus
discontinuing ICS therapyo No significant differences in outcomes between ICS withdrawal and
triple therapy patients across subgroups in which a greater degree of dependence on ICS might be expected
o No significant between group difference in the rate of dropout o However… a greater decrease in lung function decline was observed in
patients discontinuing ICS therapy in the final step of ICS withdrawal.
1. Magnussen H, et al. NEJM. 2014;371:1285-94.
Study Concept
• The aim of the study is to evaluate the effect of ICS cessation (and reduced ICS exposure) on COPD lung function (and exacerbation rates) in patients with COPD managed in a routine care, “real-life” setting.
Design: overviewUsing electronic primary care records data from the UK’s Optimum Patient Care Research Database (OPCRD), the study will include 3 x 2-way matched analysis:
Patient PopulationInclusion criteria• Have a COPD diagnosis:
o Physician-diagnosed COPD (presence of a COPD Read code); and/oro Spirometry-defined COPD: post-bronchodilator FEV1/FVC<0.7
• Aged ≥40 years• Current or ex-smokers• Have ≥2 years’ of continuous patient records
o Have ≥1 years’ of continuous patient records prior to index date (baseline) o Have ≥2 years’ of continuous patient records post index date (outcome)
• Be on active ICS/LABA or ICS/LABA/LAMA therapy (receive prescriptions covering ≥6 of the 12 months) in the baseline year
• ≥1 year of continuous clinical records immediately following the index date.
Exclusion criteria• Patients with any other chronic respiratory condition will be excluded from
the analysis
Cohort A: ICS Cessation
• Rationale: conscious clinical decision to stop ICS therapy by issuing no further ICS prescriptions (but continuing bronchodilator therapy) for a period of at least 12 months.
• Index date: date at which patient receive their first LABA or LABA/LAMA prescription following a prior ICS/LABA or ICS/LABA/LAMA therapy
• Outcome period: 12-month primary outcome period, outcomes will also be evaluated at 121 weeks (3 months) and at annual intervals 1 year (primary endpoint), 2, 3, 4 and 5years2 (exploratory endpoints) following index date.
• Additional inclusion criteria: received ≥3 ICS-containing prescriptions during the 6 months immediately prior to index date
1. Kunz LI, et al. Chest. 2015;148:389-96. 2. Magnussen H, et al. NEJM. 2014;371:1285-94.
Cohort B: ICS Reduction (prescribed)
• Rationale / clinical inference: conscious clinical decision to reduce ICS exposure by lowering prior ICS dose.
• Index date: date at which patient receive their ICS or ICS/LABA at ≥50% lower prescribed dose• Outcome period: annual intervals 1 year (primary endpoint), 2, 3, 4 and 5 years (exploratory
end points) following index date• Additional inclusion criteria: Patient must receive ≥2 ICS-containing prescriptions at index
date dose in the 1-year primary outcome period (and each of the consecutive one-year evaluation periods).
Cohort C: ICS Reduction (“consumed”)
• Rationale / clinical inference: reduction in ICS exposure (i.e. absolute number of prescriptions) evidenced by a reduction in ICS medication possession ratio (implying a patient-driven reduction in use / repeat prescription activity)
• Baseline: 1-year immediately prior to index date• Outcome period: 1-year immediately following index date• Index date: date where after a ≥50% reduction in ICS MPR over the following 12 months is
observed compared to baseline ICS MPR.
EndpointsOutcome period:• 1 year (primary) and at annual intervals thereafter out to 5 years.1
• To reflect the 12-week outcome period used by in WISDOM the endpoints (where evaluable) will be censored at 12 weeks.2
Co-primary endpoints• Change in FEV1 (FEV1)**“Baseline FEV1”: measurement closest to index date; valid measures must not precede index date by more than 24 months. “Outcome FEV1”: valid measures must be recorded within 3 months of the intended outcome date (i.e. for FEV1 at 1 year,
data must be recorded within the 9–15 months post index date)
Secondary endpoints• Time to first moderate/severe COPD exacerbation:• Exacerbation rate over the 1-year outcome period• COPD-related hospitalisations• Time to first COPD-related hospitalisation1. Magnussen H, et al. NEJM. 2014;371:1285-94;
2. Kunz LI, et al. Chest. 2015;148:389-96.
Interaction analysisThe interaction between the follow patient / clinical features and the study outcomes will be explored:• Number of baseline exacerbations• Comorbid baseline respiratory therapy:• Comorbid asthma• Current vs ex-smoking status• Blood eosinophil level (i.e. presence of eosinophilia) • Prescribed baseline ICS particle size (extra-fine vs non-
extrafine)
Feasibility: OPCRD Patient NumbersCOPD patients NumberCOPD diagnosis ever 132,962
On Triple Therapy (≥1 prescription for ICS, LAMA and LABA in latest 12-month period)
25,987
On triple therapy and discontinue ICS *(on prescription of ICS, LABA and LAMA in baseline with only LABA and LAMA in outcome (using any LABA/LAMA prescription as index date)
687
On triple therapy and discontinue ICS* with ≥1 FEV1 during baseline year and FEV1 reading in the 0-5 years following ICS cessation/reduction
356