regional climate change: findings of ipcc ar5 wgi...•regional detection and attribution...
TRANSCRIPT
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© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude
Regional climate change: Findings of
IPCC AR5 WGI
Krishna Kumar Kanikicharla
(CLA, Chapter 14)
Present Affiliation: Qatar Meteorology Department
Doha, Qatar
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Outline
•Observed Changes
•Regional Detection and Attribution
•Regional Projections
Chapters of Relevance Chapter 2 Observations: Atmosphere and Surface
Chapter 12 Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility
Chapter 14 Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change
Annex I Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections
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Ob
se
rve
d C
ha
ng
es
Temperature
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Observed changes in Precipitation – AR4 vs. AR5 O
bs
erv
ed
Ch
an
ge
s
AR5
AR4
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Dete
cti
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ttri
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Regional Scale Detection and Attribution
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Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation P
roje
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Changes in Extremes P
roje
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Regional examples
Monsoons
Tropical Cyclones
ATLAS
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Portraying regional climate change in WGI – through
important climate phenomena
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Monsoon systems R
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Tropical cyclones R
eg
ion
al C
ha
ng
es
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Annex I: Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections
42 global climate models
2 variables (Winter/Summer) Temperature, Precipitation
4 scenarios RCPs 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, 8.5
Maps for 3 time horizons
2016-35, 2046-65, 2081-2100
reference period 1986-2005
35 Regions
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RC
P4.5
An
ne
x-I
Atl
as
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An
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x-I
Atl
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© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude
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