reinventing the ccrc

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    Ziegler Senior Living Finance

    SHARON BROOKS

    President & CEO, SB&A Integrated MarketingPartner, Brooks Adams Research

    [email protected]

    ZIEGLER CAPITAL MARKETS Dat e

    Reinventing The CCRC

    11th Annual National Senior Living CFO Workshop April 29 May 1, 2009

    Part of the Ziegler CFO Workshop SeriesSM

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    Objectives

    Alternative Session Title: The Frugal CFO s Guide t oIncreasing Occupancy and Revenue!

    How can CCRCs deal with poor occupancy and/or dated

    facilities, and re-tool their services/products WITHOUTengaging in expensive repositioning projects?

    This session will provide attendees with revenueenhancement alternatives.

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    Define Expensive

    Whats the cost of empty residences?

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    Define Expensive

    Whats the cost of continued falling census?

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    Two current real life examples:

    90% Occupancy

    Unrealized Entry Fee Revenue = $9,680,000*

    Unrealized Monthly Fee Revenue = $662,496*

    Marketing Budget: $435,000

    74% Occupancy

    Unrealized Entry Fee Revenue = $18,022,000*

    Unrealized Monthly Fee Revenue = $2,246,400* Marketing Budget: $365,000

    * These amounts dont include anticipated attrition

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    Dont tell anyone, but.

    The marketing task is never completely accomplished in

    our field

    Jim Collins flywheel and doom loop are real and they

    can both be found in marketing

    Yesterdays no big deal is todays the sky is falling

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    Typical Scenario

    Years of strong marketing performance without high

    investment in capital improvement or marketing

    Slow decline and denial

    Rapid increase of competition from 2000 to 2005

    Rapid proliferation of other options

    Dramatic impact of the last two years real

    estate and stock market busts

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    Typical Scenario

    Attrition has been higher than normal

    Wait list is soft

    Suddenly occupancy has fallen below 90%

    Amenities are not up to par

    Residential finishes are not up to par

    Marketing staff is not aggressively sales focused

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    Top ten signs your amenities arent up to par

    Mauve and teal

    Queen Anne furniture Plastic or silk floral stuff everywhere Signs Cutesy stuff The only pool you have is an

    old billiards table Theres a fan bike in your fitness center Big brass chandeliers Heavy draperies Lots of wall paper borders

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    Top ten signs your residences arent up to par

    Oak cabinets

    Sheers or skinny mini blinds No washer and dryer A kitchenette Big speakers for the community PA Pull cords 7-foot ceilings Small windows

    Choppy floor plans Little wooden check to see if Im dead knobs

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    Whats a CFO to do?

    Cash covenants vs. marketing covenants

    What if I spend money and nothing happens?

    Marketing has a two-mile long list of demands and

    theyre holding our sales projections hostage

    How do we justify cutting back on staffing and servicesand then spend money on window dressing andexpensive advertising?

    Oh, by the way, marketing is demanding more oftheir fellow staff members, and people arestressed out and fed up.

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    Priority # 1: Stop throwing good money after bad

    Stop implementing knee-jerk changes

    Dont build new old

    Get some expert advice

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    Priority # 2: Audit/Research

    Find out whats really driving your occupancy problems

    Changing demographics? Financial options? Health care options? Pricing?

    Program? Home sales challenges? Product issues? Poor marketing and sales?

    If you dont know the REAL problem, youre likelyto waste money on the wrong things Develop a short-term plan Develop a long-term plan

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    Priority # 3: Button up Marketing

    Make sure that when you do spend money, you wont

    sacrifice your hard-earned ROI with poor sales practices Identify your brand and market position

    Recognize that marketing is a system

    Spend more on marketing, but spend it wisely Dont neglect Internet and direct e-mail marketing its

    a great value

    Youre faith-based, right? So have faith. It cant allbe tracked immediately or perfectly. Find someone youbelieve in and partner with them. But watch closely,and hold the team to task.

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    Key Marketing Issues

    Order takers wont make it in this market

    Training Job description should be SALES not community relations

    or management

    Can you afford a non-selling DOM or should yououtsource that function?

    Lead management

    Critical success factors

    Working hours and compensation structure Time management and accountability

    Other responsibilities

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    Priority # 4: Identify and implement allof the free and cheap changes that you can make

    Clean up clutter throw away, stow away

    Take down signs Landscaping Paint Fresh flowers and live plants Open up windows replace heavy drapes with plantation

    blinds or shutters Artwork on the walls More light New furniture in key spaces and in models

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    Free and Cheap Changes (contd)

    Smiles

    Energy Great programs

    Creative events that are FUN

    Resources for home sales support and moving Staged or full models

    A small incentive menu that lets buyers know youre ontheir side

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    Free and Cheap Changes*

    New financial options that will make a difference

    100% refundable? Traditional?? Rental??? AOTA???? Modified life care for those with LTCI? Free days or discounted health care?

    Service options

    Dining options that allow more freedom Monthly dining credit Any venue, any meal, guest meals, even catering

    *Consult your actuarial and financial feasibility experts

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    Priority # 5: Address the two 800- PoundGorillas: The Housing Market and Portfolio Losses

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    Whats working?

    Understand and befriend the customer

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    Whats the consumer thinking?

    Its too dangerous to do anything

    If I wait a year or two, my home value will return My portfolio is down I shouldnt liquidate anything

    Can I even afford to do this?

    What if my children lose their jobs? I cant make any more money Im vulnerable

    What if this community goes bankrupt?

    I cant afford for Mom to go to AL Illkeep her here at home

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    Whats working?

    Educating the consumer

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    Whats working?

    Selling security

    Enhance health care benefits rather than cut prices

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    Whats working?

    Home sales support programs

    Brand your program

    Partner with respected realtor or relocation firm

    Full menu of services

    Potential to evolve into home- and community-basedservices

    Introduce services EARLY

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    Whats working?

    Delayed entry fee payment

    Bridge loans

    Promissory notes

    Rent until sale

    Discount incentive for immediate entry feepayment

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    Whats working?

    Guaranteed buy programs

    Equity lock

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    Whats working?

    Back to the basics

    The value proposition: Certainty in Uncertain Times

    Security

    Financial predictability Health care in place

    Control of future

    No burden to children Sense of community

    Freedom

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    Whats working?

    Working harder

    Critical success factors

    Follow up

    Relationship building and trust

    Referral source education

    Strong lead management

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    Whats working?

    Investing more

    Senior living must invest in marketing

    Study national benchmarks

    Compare cost of lost revenue

    Systems marketing!

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    Help your clients re-think things

    The real estate boom was irrational exuberance

    Not in synch with fundamental predictors of real estatepricing: construction costs, rental rates, demand,

    interest rates, employment

    Fueled by predatory/irresponsible lending

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    Help your clients re-think things

    Your home was still a great investment!

    1985 Purchase Price $ 80,000

    2005 Paper Profits $500,000

    2009 Sale Price $400,000

    Profit 400%

    Annual Profit 11%

    Annual Gain $ 21,300

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    Help your clients re-think things

    2005 level pricing wont return for a long time

    The market will stabilize and re-index to thefundamentals

    Slow, steady growth from that point

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    Help your clients re-think things

    In a way, the CCRC decision is easier you wont be

    leaving an investment that is rapidly appreciating soyoure free to make the right decision without feelingthat youre sacrificing too much

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    Help your clients re-think things

    Remember:

    Prices are local and regional

    Media doesnt necessarily apply to your unique situation

    Homes ARE selling every day; 4.9 million homes sold in

    2008 You CAN sell your house if you approach it armed with

    the facts

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    Help your clients re-think things

    The bottom line life goes on through all sorts of

    economic times. People are born, get married, buy andsell homes, have children and retire on their ownschedule not that of the economy

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    Help your clients re-think things

    The key is planning ahead, patience, good advisors, and

    astute thinking. Dont sit back and see what happens

    Make it happen the way you want it to.

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    Help your clients re-think things

    When youre ready to enjoy the lifestyle, freedom and

    peace of mind of a CCRC, good advisors and goodplanning can ensure that your home wont prevent youfrom enjoying the best life has to offer.

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    Preparing for the Recovery

    Build your brand

    Educate your market

    Take time for strategic planning and research

    Take advantage of opportunities to renovate and re-

    configure

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    Preparing for the Recovery

    Recognize that the world will never be the same

    Change will be more rapid

    Competition will be tougher

    Professional marketing and sales will be more important

    than ever

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    Priority # 6: Residences

    Focus first on the place where people will spend most of

    their time in their home

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    Touch them where they LIVE

    Washers and dryers

    Walk in showers or spa tubs Color palettes

    Open up the floor plans

    Small jewels Closet systems Beautiful kitchens

    Flat screen TVs

    Built in storage

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    Priority # 7: Merchandize what you DO have

    What do you have that the consumer LOVES?

    Merchandize it well

    This requires creativity and an engaged staff work withHR and include training in your investment category

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    Transform

    An empty lounge into a coffee bar in the morning and a

    wine bar at night An auditorium into a cultural arts center

    An empty room into a Brain Gym

    A rooftop into a garden An activities calendar into an events series or a 360

    program

    A country store into a boutique

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    Transform

    A bathing room into a spa room

    A cavernous dining room into three dining options: buffet,waiter served, exhibition kitchen or station dining

    Dark halls into bright halls even if its only pale yellow orvanilla white paint, surface mounted cove lighting and light

    colored artwork A model apartment into a vision of the future

    A marketing office into an information center

    A wing of small apartments into a Catered Living

    Neighborhood with higher service level and added fees

    Your expertise into a home- and community-based

    services spin-off that generates revenue inside and out

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    Priority #8: Pick a few great investments

    Let your research be your guide

    Renovate the area or areas that are most important toyour prospects

    Include first impressions in this category

    Make sure that its part of a professionally led long-termmaster plan

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    Giving Up is Not an Option

    I see too many people willing to settle for 85% occupancy

    Marketing is not a mystery or a voodoo exercise its asystem; it WILL work

    You cant afford to lie down and let the truck roll overyou

    Its better to make more than to spend less

    Fight for your market share

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    Ziegler Senior Living Finance

    Questions & Answers

    11th Annual National Senior Living CFO Workshop

    B.C. Ziegler and Company is registered with the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy(NASBA) as a sponsor of continuing professional education on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. Stateboards of accountancy have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit.Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be addressed to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors, 150

    Fourth Avenue North, Suite 700, Nashville, TN, 37219-2417. Web site: www.nasba.org. Attendees areeligible to receive up to 12 credits for attendance at the 2009 Ziegler AAHSA National CFO Workshop. Noprerequisites are required for this group-live educational conference. Program level is basic.

    For more information regarding administrative policies such as complaint and refund, please contact ouroffices at 410-884-8300. Fees for this workshop are detailed on the registration form.

    2009 B.C. Ziegler and Company Member SIPC and FINRA