reinventing the ccrc
TRANSCRIPT
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Ziegler Senior Living Finance
SHARON BROOKS
President & CEO, SB&A Integrated MarketingPartner, Brooks Adams Research
ZIEGLER CAPITAL MARKETS Dat e
Reinventing The CCRC
11th Annual National Senior Living CFO Workshop April 29 May 1, 2009
Part of the Ziegler CFO Workshop SeriesSM
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Objectives
Alternative Session Title: The Frugal CFO s Guide t oIncreasing Occupancy and Revenue!
How can CCRCs deal with poor occupancy and/or dated
facilities, and re-tool their services/products WITHOUTengaging in expensive repositioning projects?
This session will provide attendees with revenueenhancement alternatives.
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Define Expensive
Whats the cost of empty residences?
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Define Expensive
Whats the cost of continued falling census?
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Two current real life examples:
90% Occupancy
Unrealized Entry Fee Revenue = $9,680,000*
Unrealized Monthly Fee Revenue = $662,496*
Marketing Budget: $435,000
74% Occupancy
Unrealized Entry Fee Revenue = $18,022,000*
Unrealized Monthly Fee Revenue = $2,246,400* Marketing Budget: $365,000
* These amounts dont include anticipated attrition
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Dont tell anyone, but.
The marketing task is never completely accomplished in
our field
Jim Collins flywheel and doom loop are real and they
can both be found in marketing
Yesterdays no big deal is todays the sky is falling
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Typical Scenario
Years of strong marketing performance without high
investment in capital improvement or marketing
Slow decline and denial
Rapid increase of competition from 2000 to 2005
Rapid proliferation of other options
Dramatic impact of the last two years real
estate and stock market busts
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Typical Scenario
Attrition has been higher than normal
Wait list is soft
Suddenly occupancy has fallen below 90%
Amenities are not up to par
Residential finishes are not up to par
Marketing staff is not aggressively sales focused
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Top ten signs your amenities arent up to par
Mauve and teal
Queen Anne furniture Plastic or silk floral stuff everywhere Signs Cutesy stuff The only pool you have is an
old billiards table Theres a fan bike in your fitness center Big brass chandeliers Heavy draperies Lots of wall paper borders
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Top ten signs your residences arent up to par
Oak cabinets
Sheers or skinny mini blinds No washer and dryer A kitchenette Big speakers for the community PA Pull cords 7-foot ceilings Small windows
Choppy floor plans Little wooden check to see if Im dead knobs
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Whats a CFO to do?
Cash covenants vs. marketing covenants
What if I spend money and nothing happens?
Marketing has a two-mile long list of demands and
theyre holding our sales projections hostage
How do we justify cutting back on staffing and servicesand then spend money on window dressing andexpensive advertising?
Oh, by the way, marketing is demanding more oftheir fellow staff members, and people arestressed out and fed up.
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Priority # 1: Stop throwing good money after bad
Stop implementing knee-jerk changes
Dont build new old
Get some expert advice
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Priority # 2: Audit/Research
Find out whats really driving your occupancy problems
Changing demographics? Financial options? Health care options? Pricing?
Program? Home sales challenges? Product issues? Poor marketing and sales?
If you dont know the REAL problem, youre likelyto waste money on the wrong things Develop a short-term plan Develop a long-term plan
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Priority # 3: Button up Marketing
Make sure that when you do spend money, you wont
sacrifice your hard-earned ROI with poor sales practices Identify your brand and market position
Recognize that marketing is a system
Spend more on marketing, but spend it wisely Dont neglect Internet and direct e-mail marketing its
a great value
Youre faith-based, right? So have faith. It cant allbe tracked immediately or perfectly. Find someone youbelieve in and partner with them. But watch closely,and hold the team to task.
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Key Marketing Issues
Order takers wont make it in this market
Training Job description should be SALES not community relations
or management
Can you afford a non-selling DOM or should yououtsource that function?
Lead management
Critical success factors
Working hours and compensation structure Time management and accountability
Other responsibilities
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Priority # 4: Identify and implement allof the free and cheap changes that you can make
Clean up clutter throw away, stow away
Take down signs Landscaping Paint Fresh flowers and live plants Open up windows replace heavy drapes with plantation
blinds or shutters Artwork on the walls More light New furniture in key spaces and in models
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Free and Cheap Changes (contd)
Smiles
Energy Great programs
Creative events that are FUN
Resources for home sales support and moving Staged or full models
A small incentive menu that lets buyers know youre ontheir side
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Free and Cheap Changes*
New financial options that will make a difference
100% refundable? Traditional?? Rental??? AOTA???? Modified life care for those with LTCI? Free days or discounted health care?
Service options
Dining options that allow more freedom Monthly dining credit Any venue, any meal, guest meals, even catering
*Consult your actuarial and financial feasibility experts
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Priority # 5: Address the two 800- PoundGorillas: The Housing Market and Portfolio Losses
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Whats working?
Understand and befriend the customer
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Whats the consumer thinking?
Its too dangerous to do anything
If I wait a year or two, my home value will return My portfolio is down I shouldnt liquidate anything
Can I even afford to do this?
What if my children lose their jobs? I cant make any more money Im vulnerable
What if this community goes bankrupt?
I cant afford for Mom to go to AL Illkeep her here at home
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Whats working?
Educating the consumer
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Whats working?
Selling security
Enhance health care benefits rather than cut prices
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Whats working?
Home sales support programs
Brand your program
Partner with respected realtor or relocation firm
Full menu of services
Potential to evolve into home- and community-basedservices
Introduce services EARLY
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Whats working?
Delayed entry fee payment
Bridge loans
Promissory notes
Rent until sale
Discount incentive for immediate entry feepayment
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Whats working?
Guaranteed buy programs
Equity lock
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Whats working?
Back to the basics
The value proposition: Certainty in Uncertain Times
Security
Financial predictability Health care in place
Control of future
No burden to children Sense of community
Freedom
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Whats working?
Working harder
Critical success factors
Follow up
Relationship building and trust
Referral source education
Strong lead management
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Whats working?
Investing more
Senior living must invest in marketing
Study national benchmarks
Compare cost of lost revenue
Systems marketing!
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Help your clients re-think things
The real estate boom was irrational exuberance
Not in synch with fundamental predictors of real estatepricing: construction costs, rental rates, demand,
interest rates, employment
Fueled by predatory/irresponsible lending
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Help your clients re-think things
Your home was still a great investment!
1985 Purchase Price $ 80,000
2005 Paper Profits $500,000
2009 Sale Price $400,000
Profit 400%
Annual Profit 11%
Annual Gain $ 21,300
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Help your clients re-think things
2005 level pricing wont return for a long time
The market will stabilize and re-index to thefundamentals
Slow, steady growth from that point
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Help your clients re-think things
In a way, the CCRC decision is easier you wont be
leaving an investment that is rapidly appreciating soyoure free to make the right decision without feelingthat youre sacrificing too much
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Help your clients re-think things
Remember:
Prices are local and regional
Media doesnt necessarily apply to your unique situation
Homes ARE selling every day; 4.9 million homes sold in
2008 You CAN sell your house if you approach it armed with
the facts
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Help your clients re-think things
The bottom line life goes on through all sorts of
economic times. People are born, get married, buy andsell homes, have children and retire on their ownschedule not that of the economy
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Help your clients re-think things
The key is planning ahead, patience, good advisors, and
astute thinking. Dont sit back and see what happens
Make it happen the way you want it to.
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Help your clients re-think things
When youre ready to enjoy the lifestyle, freedom and
peace of mind of a CCRC, good advisors and goodplanning can ensure that your home wont prevent youfrom enjoying the best life has to offer.
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Preparing for the Recovery
Build your brand
Educate your market
Take time for strategic planning and research
Take advantage of opportunities to renovate and re-
configure
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Preparing for the Recovery
Recognize that the world will never be the same
Change will be more rapid
Competition will be tougher
Professional marketing and sales will be more important
than ever
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Priority # 6: Residences
Focus first on the place where people will spend most of
their time in their home
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Touch them where they LIVE
Washers and dryers
Walk in showers or spa tubs Color palettes
Open up the floor plans
Small jewels Closet systems Beautiful kitchens
Flat screen TVs
Built in storage
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Priority # 7: Merchandize what you DO have
What do you have that the consumer LOVES?
Merchandize it well
This requires creativity and an engaged staff work withHR and include training in your investment category
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Transform
An empty lounge into a coffee bar in the morning and a
wine bar at night An auditorium into a cultural arts center
An empty room into a Brain Gym
A rooftop into a garden An activities calendar into an events series or a 360
program
A country store into a boutique
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Transform
A bathing room into a spa room
A cavernous dining room into three dining options: buffet,waiter served, exhibition kitchen or station dining
Dark halls into bright halls even if its only pale yellow orvanilla white paint, surface mounted cove lighting and light
colored artwork A model apartment into a vision of the future
A marketing office into an information center
A wing of small apartments into a Catered Living
Neighborhood with higher service level and added fees
Your expertise into a home- and community-based
services spin-off that generates revenue inside and out
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Priority #8: Pick a few great investments
Let your research be your guide
Renovate the area or areas that are most important toyour prospects
Include first impressions in this category
Make sure that its part of a professionally led long-termmaster plan
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Giving Up is Not an Option
I see too many people willing to settle for 85% occupancy
Marketing is not a mystery or a voodoo exercise its asystem; it WILL work
You cant afford to lie down and let the truck roll overyou
Its better to make more than to spend less
Fight for your market share
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Ziegler Senior Living Finance
Questions & Answers
11th Annual National Senior Living CFO Workshop
B.C. Ziegler and Company is registered with the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy(NASBA) as a sponsor of continuing professional education on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. Stateboards of accountancy have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit.Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be addressed to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors, 150
Fourth Avenue North, Suite 700, Nashville, TN, 37219-2417. Web site: www.nasba.org. Attendees areeligible to receive up to 12 credits for attendance at the 2009 Ziegler AAHSA National CFO Workshop. Noprerequisites are required for this group-live educational conference. Program level is basic.
For more information regarding administrative policies such as complaint and refund, please contact ouroffices at 410-884-8300. Fees for this workshop are detailed on the registration form.
2009 B.C. Ziegler and Company Member SIPC and FINRA