“religion and the 2004 u.s. presidential election” university of mainz october 13, 2005 luis...
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“Religion and the 2004 U.S. Presidential Election”
University of MainzOctober 13, 2005
Luis LugoPew Forum on Religion and Public Life
Washington, D.C., USA
Voting Priorities
Certain Bush79 Terrorism78 Moral Values67 Iraq63 Economy58 Education54 Abortion52 Health Care51 Gay Marriage40 Energy38 Environment36 Budget Deficit
Percent ranking each as a very important issue.
Certain Kerry88 Health Care87 Economy80 Education78 Iraq75 Terrorism75 Environment72 Budget Deficit66 Energy55 Moral Values36 Abortion23 Gay Marriage
Swing Voters79 Economy76 Health Care71 Terrorism68 Education62 Iraq58 Budget Deficit57 Moral Values55 Energy46 Environment42 Abortion26 Gay Marriage
Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life Poll, August 2004
What Mattered Most in Your Vote?
Fixed Open- List* end**
% %Moral values (Net) 27 14 Moral values -- 9 Social issues^ -- 3 Candidate’s morals -- 2Iraq 22 25Economy/Jobs 21 12Terrorism 14 9Health Care 4 2Education 4 1Taxes 3 1Other 4 31Don’t know 1 5
100 100
Data from Pew post elect survey, Nov 5-8, 2004
* First choice among the seven items provided on the exit poll list.** Unprompted verbatim first response to open-ended question.^ Abortion, gay marriage, stem cells
‘Moral Values’ – What comes to mind?
Chose Did not “Moral values” choose
% %Social policies (Net) 44 18 Gay marriage 29 11 Abortion 28 8 Stem cells 4 3Other policies 9 8
Candidate qualities 23 17
Religious references 18 11Traditional values 17 35
Negative responses 1 12Other (Vol.) 4 6Means nothing/DK 2 15
Data from Pew post elect survey, Nov 5-8, 2004
Weekly/more Monthly/less Seldom/never
Education 5% 2% 4%
Iraq 16 23 29
Terrorism 14 17 12
Economy 10 33 25
Moral Values
43 14 13
Health Care 5 3 4
Source: November 2004 poll, Moral Values: How Important? Pew Research Center for The People & The Press
2004 Voting Priorities: By Church Attendance
2004 Voting Priorities: By Religious Denomination
All Voters
White Protesta
nt
Evangelical
Non-Evangelic
al
White Non-
Hispanic
Catholic
Secular
Education 4% 2 2 2 2 4
Iraq 22% 15 9 22 36 28
Terrorism 14% 15 11 21 19 18
Economy 21% 16 10 25 18 20
Moral Values
27% 37 55 14 17 17
Health Care 4% 5 5 5 4 5
November 2004 poll, Moral Values: How Important? Pew Research Center for The People & The Press
Source: Fourth National Survey of
Religion and Politics, Bliss
Institute, University of
Akron, March-May 2004
Friendly Neutral Unfriendly DK / Refused
Republican Party **
55% 23% 9% 13%
Conservatives
51 25 10 14
Democratic Party **
29 38 20 13
Liberals 26 33 27 14
Professors 18 40 26 16
News Media
16 41 34 9
Hollywood 16 31 45 8
How the Public Rates Institutions’ Attitudes Toward Religion
Source: Religion and Politics, Contention and Consensus, July 2003 ; ** Numbers from August 2005 survey
