renewable energy p.n
DESCRIPTION
Renewable Renewable RenewableTRANSCRIPT
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PLN COMMITMENT in RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT towards
ACCHIEVING NEW &RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
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INDONESIA EBTKE CONEX 2014Jakarta, june 4, 2014
Moch. [email protected]
Head of New & Renewable Division of PT PLN (Persero)
Electricity Demand Forecast 2013-2022High demand growth as of 8.4% annually.
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Tahun 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Demand (TWh) 189 207 226 244 264 284 306 329 356 385
Elec. Ratio ( % ) 79.6 82.6 85.9 88.9 91.9 93.7 96.3 96.8 97.4 97.7
New Power Plant Capacity Addition (Incl. IPP)
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• Total additional capacity until 2022 is around 59,5 GW.
• Contribution of IPP will be increased.
.
Additional capacity :
CFPP : 37,7 GWGeoPP: 6,2 GWCCGT : 4,8 GWGT/Gas Engine : 3,6 GWHidro/Mini Hidro : 7,1 GWOthers : 0,2 GW
Generation Mixed Projection
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214 683 GWh 437 207 GWh
Coal
Coal
-
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
18,0
20,0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Total Investasi PLN+IPP Total Investasi PLN Pembangkit PLN+IPP
Transmisi Distribusi Pembangkit PLN
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Investment for 2013-2022IPP Investment total share of 43 % ( 58 % IPP share in generation )
Generation PLN : 38,1 billion US$Generation PLN+IPP : 89,9 billion US$Transmission : 17,4 billionUS$Distribution : 14,5 billion US$
Total PLN : 68,3 billion US$Total PLN+IPP : 121,8 billion US$
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Billion US$
Additional Capacity of Renewable Energy( RUPTL 2013-2022)Total Capacity : 14.531 MW ))
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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Other 54 114 141 94 87 123 158 170 180 185
Geothermal 0 60 30 85 580 495 1665 650 670 1825
MHPP 33 42 96 149 237 192 186 156 190 200
HEPP 0 20 45 0 1381 284 386 1121 1623 824
0
500
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3500
Inst
alle
d Ca
paci
ty (M
W)
Year
Other
Geothermal
MHPP
HEPP
Other : 1306 MWGeothermal : 6060 MWMW
MHPP : 1481 MW HEPP : 5684 MW
Additional Capacity of Geothermal as of PLN - RUPTL 2013-2022(Total 6060 MW)
• Most geothermal plants are expected to be commissioned between 2017 –2022.
• Exploration and financing are the critical factors. Some of those WKP not yet offered to investors/bidding has not taken place.
• Strong Regulatory and permits are required .
• Most geothermal (93%) will be developed in Java and Sumatra, 89 % will be developed by IPP.
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RENCANA TAMBAHAN KAPASITAS PLTP MASUK SISTEM PLN SESUAI RUPTL 2013-2022TAHUN 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 TOTALSUMATRA 0 0 0 55 330 445 360 490 405 770 2855JAWA-BALI 0 55 30 30 225 0 1275 110 220 855 2800LUAR JBS 0 5 0 0 25 50 30 50 45 200 405TOTAL 0 60 30 85 580 495 1665 650 670 1825 6060KOMULATIF 0 60 90 175 755 1250 2915 3565 4235 6060
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
MW
Pengembangan PLTP sesuai RUPTL (2013-2022)
IPP/Liswas
PLN
Hydropower Development Plan( Add. Capacity : 5.684 MW + 1.480 MW small Hydro )
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200
400
600
800
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1200
1400
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Inst
alled
Cap
acity
(MW
)
Year
Java-Bali
West Indonesia
East Indonesia
• FTP II (11 projects with total 1753 MW)o PLN Projects : 3 large hydro power projects with the total 1269 MW (174 MW
under construction, 1040 MW Pre construction and 55 MW under study and design)o IPP Projects : 8 large hydro power projects with the total 484 MW (45 MW HEPP
under construction)
• Non FTP II :o 4 PLN’s hydropower projects (266.4 MW) under constructiono 4 IPP’s hydropower projects (1,409 MW) under PPA negotiationo 42 Mini hydro ( PLN & IPP ) projects (190 MW) under construction
Hydropower Development StatusConstruction (1,525.4MW), PPA nego (1,819 MW) & Study/Design (2,131 MW)
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NORTH SUMATERA ( 219 MW )
1. ASAHAN III (174 MW) 2. WAMPU (45 MW)
ACEH ( 86.4 MW )
1. PEUSANGAN 1&2 (86.4 MW)
WEST JAVA ( 1,150 MW )
1. UPPER CISOKAN PS (1,040 MW) 2. JATIGEDE (110 MW)
PAPUA ( 70 MW )
1. GENYEM (20 MW)2. BALIEM (50 MW)
LAMPUNG( 56MW )
1. SEMANGKA(56MW)
JAMBI ( 350 MW )
1. MERANGIN (350 MW)
ACEH( 144 MW )
1. PEUSANGAN IV (85 MW) 2. MEUREBO-2 (59 MW)
WEST JAVA( 40 MW )
1. RAJAMANDALA (40 MW)
SOUTH & WEST SULAWESI( 640 MW )
1. MALEA (90MW) 2. BONTOBATU (100 MW)3. KARAMA ( 450 MW )
NORTH SUMATERA ( 589 MW )
1. BATANG TORU (550 MW) 2. HASANG (39 MW)
TAHAP KONSTRUKSI
NEGOSIASI PPA
TAHAP STUDY / DESIGN
NORTH SUMATERA ( 90 MW )
1. SIMANGGO-2 (90 MW) WEST SUMATERA ( 52 MW )
1. MASANG-2 (52 MW)
KALIMANTAN ( 313 MW )
1. KUSAN (65 MW) 2. NANGA PINOH (98 MW)3. KELAI (150 MW)
SULAWESI ( 437 MW )
1. SAWANGAN (12 MW) 2. BAKARU II (126 MW)3. POKO (234 MW)4. KONAWE-1 (50 MW)5. WATUNOHU (15 MW)
MOLUCCU ( 54 MW )
1. TALA (54 MW)
PAPUA( 56.5 MW )
1. WARSAMSON (46.5 MW)2. ORYA-2 (10 MW)
NUSA TENGGARA( 34.5 MW )
1. WAI RANCANG (16.5 MW)2. BEH-1 (18 MW)
JAVA( 1,094 MW )
1. KARANGKATES 4&5 (100 MW)2. KESAMBEN (32 MW)3. KALIKONTO (62 MW)4. MATENGGENG PS (900 MW)
Key Issues
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Strong Regulatory • Permits, integrated planning• Land compensation• Social issues• Project Developer Qualification
Financing and tarif• Subsidy policy.• Electricity tariff (automatic adjusted mechanisme to customer )• Risk allocation ( exploration risk in Geothermal )• Incentives ( taxes, fiscal )
Sector Restructuring• Power wheeling• Business model
HRD & Technology support• HRD and Domestic industry support• Grid integration for intermittent power• Utilization of CPO for Diesel Generator
Thank You
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