report for q2 2019 - alfa laval · q2 19 q2 18 yoy %-change q1 19 orders 3,144 4,685 -32.9 4,963...
TRANSCRIPT
| www.alfalaval.com| © Alfa Laval
Report for Q2 2019 Tom Erixon
President and CEO
Alfa Laval Group
17/07/2019 2
| www.alfalaval.com| © Alfa Laval17/07/2019 3
Key figures
Q2 2019 Q2 2018 %-change %-▲,org
Order intake 10,025 12,062 -17 -16
Net sales 11,339 10,475 8 7
Adjusted EBITA* 1,870 1,698 10
Adjusted EBITA-margin (%) 16.5 16.2
*) Positive currency effect SEK 95 million. **) Positive currency effect SEK 190 million.
1H 2019 1H 2018 %-change %-▲,org
Order intake 22,238 22,087 1 -1
Net sales 21,497 19,326 11 8
Adjusted EBITA** 3,598 3,195 13
Adjusted EBITA-margin (%) 16.7 16.5
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Orders received
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
50 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q215 Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219
SEK million SEK million R 12
-17%
+25%
+19%
-11%
+2%
= Order intake per quarter
= Order intake per quarter “large” = Rolling twelve months value
= % development by quarter, year on year+XX%
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* Adjusted EBITA – ”Earnings before interests, taxes, amortization of goodwill and step up values and comparison distortion items.”
0,0
3,0
6,0
9,0
12,0
15,0
18,0
21,0
24,0
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
2 000
Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219
17/07/2019 5
Adjusted EBITA/margin*− SEK millions and in percent of sales
SEK million Percent of sales
16.516.215.815.6
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Energy division− Highlights and comments
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Orders from the hydro carbon chain were overall
higher, driven by increased demand for equipment for
midstream oil & gas. Drilling oscillated at a low level
and refinery and petrochemicals declined overall, but
the base business showed continued growth.
• HVAC down from last year’s record level. Base
business however, remained on a high level, driven
by investments in data centers and energy
efficiency solutions.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• Improved mainly due to higher volumes and a
better mix within capital sales.
Q2 19 Q2 18 YoY %-
change
Q1 19
ORDERS 3,566 3,401 +4.9 3,448
SALES 3,531 3,215 +9.8 2,807
EBIT 558 490 399
EBIT (%) 15.8 15.2 14.2
0
200
400
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1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
Q215
Q315
Q415
Q116
Q216
Q316
Q416
Q117
Q217
Q317
Q417
Q118
Q218
Q318
Q418
Q119
Q219
Sales EBIT
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Food & Water division− Highlights and comments
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Dairy and waste & water were both flat y-o-y.
Brewery showed good growth and edible oil, which
declined due to fewer larger orders, saw continued
growth in the underlying business.
• The project-driven business in Pharma & biotech
declined. Market sentiment is however still positive.
• Aftermarket grew, supported by good development
for service scopes in most end markets.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• An improved mix within capital sales and between
capital sales and service, could not compensate for a
decline in volume and higher costs, which weighed
on profitability in the quarter.
Q2 19 Q2 18 YoY %-
change
Q1 19
ORDERS 3,520 3,589 -1.9 3,480
SALES 3,335 3,390 -1.6 3,153
EBIT 473 507 524
EBIT (%) 14.2 15.0 16.6
0
200
400
600
800
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
Q215
Q315
Q415
Q116
Q216
Q316
Q416
Q117
Q217
Q317
Q417
Q118
Q218
Q318
Q418
Q119
Q219
Sales EBIT
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Marine division− Highlights and comments
MARKETS & ORDER INTAKE
• Pumping systems dropped due to fewer product and
chemical tankers being contracted. Offshore declined
amid fewer large orders, however the market
sentiment remains positive.
• Scrubbers were down as uncertainties on fuel price
delta led to lower market activity. The market also
prioritize fast delivery ahead of 2020.
• The rest of the business grew, including boilers and
PureBallast.
• Service showed a continued positive development.
PROFITABILITY (EBIT)
• Strong volume growth contributed to an improved
profitability in the quarter, even as costs were up and
the fact that the sales growth also led to a negative
mix between capital sales and service.
Q2 19 Q2 18 YoY %-
change
Q1 19
ORDERS 3,144 4,685 -32.9 4,963
SALES 4,329 3,486 +24.2 3,932
EBIT 809 571 761
EBIT (%) 18.7 16.4 19.4
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
Q215
Q315
Q415
Q116
Q216
Q316
Q416
Q117
Q217
Q317
Q417
Q118
Q218
Q318
Q418
Q119
Q219
Sales EBIT
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Service, by division − Order intake Q2, share and development
ENERGY FOOD & WATER MARINE
Q219: 26%
Absolute
development
YoY
Absolute
development
YoY
Absolute
development
YoY
+ +
Q219: 31% Q219: 38%
+
= Service share of total order intake
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Divisional sales and profitability
ENERGY FOOD & WATER MARINE
Q2 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018
Sales 3,531 3,215 3,335 3,390 4,329 3,486
Op. profit 558 490 473 507 809 571
Op. margin, % 15.8 15.2 14.2 15.0 18.7 16.4
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Orders received by region− April – June 2019 & development Q2 vs Q2 and 1H vs 1H, at constant rates
19%;
North America
-38% / -2%
-12% / +2%
+27% / +19%
-33% / -11%
-10% +8%
+29% / -13%
2%;
Africa & Oceania7%; Nordic
23%;
Western Europe
8%;
Central- & Eastern
Europe36%; Asia
5%;
Latin America
-10% / -25%
April - June vs Q2 2018/vs 1H 2018
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Report for Q2 2019 Jan Allde
CFO
Alfa Laval Group
| www.alfalaval.com| © Alfa Laval17/07/2019 13
Sales− MSEK
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19
= Sales per quarter = Rolling 12-months value
= % development year on year+XX%
+8%
+18%
-0.5
%
-12%
+21%
11,339
SEK million R 12SEK million
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Gross profit margin− In percent of sales
30
35
40
45
Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219
35.9
35.436.436.2
Q2 2018 35.4
Mix/price =
Load/volume -
PPV/metals +
FX +
Structure =
Q2 2019 35.9
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Key figures− April – June, SEK million
Q2 2019 Q2 2018
Sales 11,339 10,475
Gross profit 3,812 3,441
Sales & Admin -1,772 -1,647
R&D -272 -254
Net other cost/income 39 -86
Operating income 1,808 1,463
Financial net 24 36
Profit before tax 1,832 1,499
Taxes -420 -382
EPS 3.36 2.65
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Cash-flow statement− SEK Million
Q2
2019
Q2
2018
1H
2019
1H
2018
Cash flow from- operating activities- investing activities
609203
1,377-240
1,584-291
2,043-350
Financial net paid 41 49 208 -8
Total 853 1,186 1,501 1,685
Pro Forma Free cash-flow* 479 1,109 1,188 1,608
*Incl. operating activities, capital expenditure and financial net paid.
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Foreign exchange− Estimated impact on adjusted EBITA from FX fluctuations, in SEK Million
Q2 2019 1H 2019 FY 2019 FY 2020*
Transaction effect 45 65 225 220
Revaluation 5 25 - -
Translation effect 45 100 170 -
Total 95 190 395 220
Projected FX-effect for 2019 communicated with Q1 report: SEK 385 million
*) Based on EUR/USD 1.167 and EUR/SEK 10.555
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Order backlog as per June 30− SEK billion
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q215 Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418 Q119 Q219
1.03
24.6
13.5
11.0
21.5
9.2
12.3
book to bill1.201.12 0.881.15
= For delivery this year
= For delivery after 2019
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Sales− FY 2019, SEK billion
1H sales 21.5
Backlog, for delivery current year +13.5
Subtotal 35.0
Price
“In-for-out”*
FX translation
Acquisitions
Full year 2019
*IFO Q3-Q4 2018 was SEK 8.7 bln.
For you to consider:
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“We expect that demand in the third quarter will be somewhat higher than in the second quarter.”
Outlook for the third quarter:
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Activity split O&G, total− Distribution of orders Q2 2019 (MSEK)
Marine
Alfa Laval
Share of totalAlfa Laval
Energy
Drilling Processing &Transportation
PetrochemicalsRefinery
Grand total SEQ/YOY
1,311 (+/+)
269 (-/-)
=1,580*(-/-)
= 15.8%1.9% 4.5%2.4%7.0%
75
112
= 187
540
157
= 697
238
0
= 238
458
0
= 458
*) incl. aftermarket
(SEQ/YoY)
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Marine Division’s industry split− Distribution of orders LTM, end of June
Share
Driver
Marine Offshore oil and gas
Engine power Service
World trade &
fleet capacity
Oil & gas demand
and prices
Electrical
power needs
World trade
Environment & Energy, Marine
Legislation &
fuel cost
25%2%
23%
42%
8%
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Marine Division’s industry split− Distribution of sales LTM end of June
Share
Driver
34%
Marine Offshore oil and gas
Engine power Service
3%
26%
World trade &
fleet capacity
Oil & gas demand
and prices
Electrical
power needs
World trade
Environment & Energy, Marine
27%
Legislation &
fuel cost
10%
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Top ten markets*− SEK million at prevailing rates
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000
India
Benelux
Mid Europe
South East Asia
Adriatic
Japan
South Korea
Nordic
China
United States
*The order intake development of the 2018 top ten markets.
= WY 2018
= Q2 LTM 2019
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Organic growth pace− Compared with same quarter last year (%), excluding currency effects
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Q314Q414Q115Q215Q315Q415Q116Q216Q316Q416Q117Q217Q317Q417Q118Q218Q318Q418Q119Q219
= order intake growth
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Cautionary statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the
current expectations of the management of Alfa Laval Group.
Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-
looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, no assurance can be
given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results
could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a
result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive
conditions, changes in the regulatory environment, other government actions
and fluctuations in exchange rates. Alfa Laval undertakes no obligation to
publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements, other than as
required by law or other regulations.