republic of the philippines philippine statistics authority 1 paris21 annual meetings 2014...

Republic of the Philippines

Philippine Statistics Authority

1 PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014LVC/Paris ,France, 2-4 April 2014

Philippine Statistical Development Program (PSDP) 2011-2017

Medium-term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) for Statistics

The Philippine Experienceby

Lina V. CastroInterim National Statistician

PARIS21 Annual Meetings 2014 Strengthening National Capacities to Bridge Development Data Gaps

Paris, France 2-4 April 2014




Outline of Presentation

I. Background and MTEF Concept

II. Preliminary results

III. Latest developments in the PSS

IV. ASEAN Community Statistical System (ACSS) Strategic Plan, 2011-2015 Mid-Term Review




PSDP Assessment* (WB, 2010)• Statistical development not a priority in national and local

government budget allocation; no predictability in budget approval process

• Existing government policy biased towards attrition• ‘Exodus’ of some trained and experienced senior statisticians

from MSAs• Dwindling human capital

• Delays in production of key indicators, e.g., from censuses, surveys, etc.

• Data gaps; quality gaps; capacity gaps• Inefficient statistical and business processes• Minimal R&D, innovation, and technology use• Capacity gaps within and between major statistical

agencies and other data producers


* To provide recommendations on how to improve the preparation, implementation, coordination, monitoring, and evaluation of the next PSDP during 2011-16.




PSDP goals and broad outcomes

Goal Broad outcome

To deliver better quality statistics in support of evidence-based policymaking, program implementation and monitoring

More timely, accessible, coherent, comparable, comprehensive and relevant statistics

To increase user understanding, capacity and trust for wider and rational use of statistics

Increased user understanding and rational use of statistics

To enhance capacity of major statistical agencies and other data producers in government at the national and local levels, and to strengthen cooperation of respondents and other data providers for better quality statistics

Enhanced statistical capacities of data producers, providers and users





Goal Broad outcome

To strengthen statistical governance, coordination, and research and development at the national and local levels

Improved coherence, effectiveness and efficiency of the statistical system

To increase investment and institutionalize a sustainable resource mobilization strategy for statistics

Increased and sustained resources for statistics

PSDP goals and broad outcomes





MTEF is a management tool that integrates policymaking, planning, and budgeting.

“Medium-term” as data is on prospective basis, e.g., budget year n+1, n+2,…,n+m.

Rolling annual process reduces imbalance between what is affordable and what is demanded.

Adjustments are made through changes in policy thrusts.

Top-down estimate of available resources

Bottom-up estimate of

costsreconciliation

Budget

MTEF defined





A good MTEF should

• link priorities with a budget that is within sustainable spending boundaries

• highlight tradeoffs between competing objectives (result of prioritization)

• links budgets with policy choices or intended outcomes, and

• improve outcomes by increasing transparency, accountability, and the predictability of funding.

MTEF defined





To secure increased resources and to sustain investment in statistics that are results-based through

• a rationalized and transparent expenditure planning and allocation process that is directly linked to statistical development outcomes,

• optimal human resource framework, and

• strategies for sustainable financing and resource mobilization.

MTEF goals





• Increased use of statistics in governance

• Availability of quality statistics [timely, accessible, relevant, reliable, comparable, and coherent]

--------------------------------------------------------------

• A good mix of data sources- stable program of censuses and surveys- dependable administrative information systems

• Efficient business processes using technology and innovation and with quality R&D support

• Comparably high level of statistical capacity of statistical institutions and other data producers

• Strong, effective policy and coordination

--------------------------------------------------------------

Sustained, optimal investment in statistics

MTEF outcomes





• PSDP 2011-2017 and international commitments, including UNFPOS, MAPS, DDS, BAPS

• Sectoral statistical development plans

• Agency strategic plans• Rationalization plans

• National development goals• Government budget policies

and guidelines

Transparency

Predictability

Accountability

General principles/considerations





• Anchor on data quality assurance framework

• Focus on efficiency of statistical and business processes

• Build on past gains• Rationalize processes

• Highlight institutional building to ensure continuity and sustainability

• Prioritize activities

General principles/considerations





• Indicative resource requirements of regular and developmental activities, as well as reforms needed in the PSS, including possibly a human resource frameworko By agency and sectoro By administration level

• Analysis of resource gaps

• Multi-year expenditure/investment plan

• Recommendations on interim cost standards for selected processes [not feasible at this time]

MTEF outputs





• Tier approach in resource analysis and planning

• Resource gap analysis

• Projections based on intended outcomes

Formulation process/approach





Tier 1: Base case

Essential or core operational requirements

1. Organizational resource requirements to undertake core activities and services, e.g. essential organic human resources to run core (regular) operations and personal services, operating expenses, e.g., travel, transportation, utilities, and other services

2. Direct costs to carry out core activities, e.g. designated statistical activities, including improvements thereof , priority and critical non-designated statistical activities






Tier 2: Developmental case

Developmental activities’ requirements

1. Organizational resource requirements, e.g. minor augmentation of statistical human resources of NGAs and LGUs, training and education on new statistical areas relative to capacity level and needs of NGAs and LGUs

2. Requirements of new and pioneering activities e.g. new designated statistical activities or major improvement of existing designated activities






Tier 3: Reforms case

Requirements to achieve medium- to long-term vision and goals, e.g., increase ratio of total statistics budget to GDP, increased use of statistics in governance

1. Structural changes, organizational expansion/rationalization based on human resource framework, e.g., statistician for every municipality, creation of statistical units, massive expansion of human resources

2. Requirements of

• statistical activities for more advanced research and other uses

• acquisition of large-scale or high-end technology

• advanced R&D including acquisition of physical assets such as land, building, and the likes






Priority/critical national and local development indicators

- Designated statistics- Non-designated MDG indicators- Uber priority indicators

Human resources

MOOECapital outlay+ +

Updated/improved/new indicators

- Significantly improved/new designated statistics

- Revised/updated data series- New indicators

• New/improved statistical infrastructure and business processes

• Significant organizational changes/expansion

• Large-scale asset acquisition

Human resources


Human resources


+

+

Tier 3

Tier 2

Tier 1






Statistical activities that were costed• Periodic, pilot, and one-time censuses and surveys• Administrative data systems• Statistical processes to extract/generate data from administrative

registration/reporting systems, except the civil registration system which is covered in full

• Framework and indicators development• Statistical management and coordination• Development and maintenance of statistical information systems• Statistical education, training and capacity building• Statistical advocacy• Research and development• Technical cooperation and assistance






Done thru intensive consultations/meetings and creation of Adhoc Working Group on Financing Statistics

1. Define baseline situation and analyze past trends

2. Identify core requirements

3. Define resource requirements for developmental and reforms cases

4. Determine available resources

5. Analyze resource gaps and reconcile

6. Formulate the MTEF which includes a reconciled budget and remaining resource gaps, as well as recommendations on financing and resource mobilization strategies

General steps





Organizational resources

PILOT AGENCIESNSCB DOH DENRNSO DepEd DILGBAS DOTBLESSRTCBSP

PSDP Vol 2 requirements

MTEF2011-2017





Statistical budget, 2005-2012

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Total budget, MSAs Total core budget, MSAs

Expenditure for statistics at current prices appears to have increased in general (smoothed)…





0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

4000000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

thousand pesos

Total expenditure for statistics by MSA, 2005-2012

SRTC

BLES

BAS

NSCB

NSO

The bulk of expenditure for statistics has been allocated to primary data collection…





Core statistical budget by expenditure, 2005-2012

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Personal services MOOE Capital outlay

Core expenditure for statistics at current prices follows the same increasing trend (smoothed) except in 2012 …





Regular expenditure of the major statistical agencies, 2005-2012Nominal prices; in thousand pesos

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Total 1,177,617 1,263,576 1,308,907 1,380,909 1,484,405 1,573,522 1,609,736 1,504,269

NSO 823,358 874,467 898,574 978,757 1,049,935 1,067,603 1,112,896 1,000,245 NSCB 66,823 80,228 81,265 82,207 89,403 81,868 91,519 92,587 BAS 250,541 268,264 272,395 262,963 283,541 383,227 364,681 362,388 BLES 17,650 20,904 21,071 23,607 26,157 22,937 25,648 29,672 SRTC 19,245 19,713 35,602 33,376 35,369 17,887 14,992 19,377

Source of basic data: Agency submission of NSO, NSCB, BAS, BLES, and SRTC

Notes: Regular expenditure refers to spending (or approved budget) on regular appropriate programs of the agency. It does not include expenditure/budget for locally-funded and foreign-assisted projects.





Regular expenditure for statistics as percentage of GDP at current prices

-

0.050

0.100

0.150

0.200

0.250

0.300

0.350

0.400

0.450

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Regular at current prices

Regular at constant prices

However, as percentage of the GDP, expenditure for statistics has been on a downtrend both at current and constant prices…





Statistical human resources in terms of number have been on steady decline…





Statistical personnel to general government workers, 2005-2012

0.250

0.270

0.290

0.310

0.330

0.350

0.370

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Statistical human resources (and thus services) are getting relatively smaller relative to the government workforce…





Statistical personnel to population ratio (number of persons per statistician), 2005-2012

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Theoretically, the clientele per statistician has been expanding…





Total proposed indicative budget of the major statistical agencies, 2013-2017Nominal prices; in thousand pesos

MSA 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Total 1/ 5,170,117 3,420,593 2,896,978 2,986,388 3,151,666 NSO 4,569,726 2,623,375 2,090,179 2,102,948 2,200,388

NSCB 2/ 105,694 178,682 169,815 181,381 186,850

BAS 3/ 416,490 524,628 533,796 590,621 637,420 BLES 33,906 35,823 37,437 40,687 41,166

SRTC 4/ 44,301 58,085 65,751 70,751 85,842 Source of basic data: Agency submission of NSO, NSCB, BAS, BLES, and SRTC

Notes:

4/ Includes budget for endowment fund for research and development and training

1/ Includes forward estimates of budget for regular programs as well as activities such as surveys and censuses normally charged to locally-funded projects.

2/ Includes the requirements of new NSCB regional divisions, in Regions II, III, IVA, IVB, VII, X, XIII, ARMM

3/ Includes budget for regular activities charged to operations of the Department of Agriculture





Republic Act No. 10625, otherwise known as

The Philippine Statistical Act of 2013

“AN ACT REORGANIZING THE PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL SYSTEM, REPEALING FOR THE PURPOSE EXECUTIVE

ORDER NUMBER ONE HUNDRED TWENTY-ONE ENTITLED “REORGANIZING AND STRENGTHENING THE

PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL SYSTEM AND FOR OTHER PURPOSES”





The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)

•The PSA shall be constituted from among the existing personnel of the major statistical agencies engaged in primary data collection and compilation of secondary data:

• National Statistics Office (NSO)• Technical Staff of the National Statistical

Coordination Board (NSCB)• Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS)• Bureau of Labor and Employment Statistics

(BLES)






Objective :To identify on-going challenges, new challenges and define major thrusts for the Strategic Plan 2016-2020

Engagement :Brunei Darussalam and the Philippines, with the support of ASEANStats conducted a Mid-Term review of the ACSS Strategic Plan 2011-2015, identified remaining challenges, and future challenges and major thrusts for 2016-2020

Activities :• First Draft Mid-Term Review- discussed at the 4th ACSS Sub-

Committee on Planning and Coordination (SCPC) held in Manila, 5-6 June 2013;

• 2nd Draft-discussed at the 5th SCPC held in Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei Darussalam, 20-22 August 2013





Broad Strategies:• Institutional strengthening, enhancement of ACSS and its

sustainability;• Improvement of the response to ASEAN data needs;• Enhancing dissemination and communication, visibility and

use of statistics;• Catching up and narrowing development gaps




References

• Philippine Statistical Development Program 2011-2017, Multi-Year Expenditure Framework for the Philippine Statistical System, 29 October 2012

• Republic Act No. 10625, “Philippine Statistical Act of 2013”




Mabuhay and Thank you!

republic of the philippines philippine statistics authority 1 paris21 annual meetings 2014...

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