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Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector Submitted by: P.O. Box 66047, Beach Haven, Auckland 0749 0800 507 555 / 09 480 5057 [email protected] Submitted to [email protected] on 03 February 2021

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Page 1: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

Response To

Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

Submitted by:

P.O. Box 66047, Beach Haven, Auckland 0749

0800 507 555 / 09 480 5057

[email protected]

Submitted to [email protected] on 03 February 2021

Page 2: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 2 of 25

Introduction

United Fresh is the only pan-produce industry body in New Zealand. Our membership includes

growers, grower organisations, packhouses, wholesalers, and service & logistics providers, as well as

retailers. Our industry aims to provide New Zealand a healthy and safe supply of quality produce.

Our vision is to create a sustainable fresh fruit and vegetable industry for New Zealand.

United Fresh represents an industry that almost every New Zealander interacts with on a daily basis.

Our most visual connection to consumers are our 5+ A Day programme, and our Fruit In Schools

initiative.

The 5+ A Day Charitable Trust was formed in 2007 for the benefit of the general public and specifically

the children of New Zealand.

The highly recognized and respected programme encourages all Kiwis to eat five or more servings

of colourful, fresh fruit and vegetables every day for health and vitality.

5+ A Day is responsible for a variety of nutrition education and marketing initiatives and the brand is

recognized by over 90% of New Zealanders.

5+ A Day is a powerful tool committed to increasing the consumption of fresh fruit and vegetables

for better health in all New Zealanders.

Fruit & Vegetables in Schools (FIS) is a government-funded initiative that provides daily fresh fruit and

vegetables to children in low-decile schools. United Fresh manages this initiative and the 5+ A Day

Charitable Trust supports FIS by providing curriculum-linked resources that support learning.

The initiative was piloted in 25 schools in 2004 and grown to reach:

• 21 regions across New Zealand

• 559 schools (around 25% of NZ primary schools)

• Over 123,000 children and staff

• Over 26 million servings of fresh fruit and vegetables every year

During COVID-19 Lockdowns, United Fresh has also been an active participant in providing

consumers unable to access produce during the lockdowns with up to 10,000 fruit & vegetable boxes

per week. This response was coordinated by United Fresh on behalf of the industry, and made for

daily interaction with wholesale markets, producers, and consumer channels, at an unprecedented

time of crisis.

On behalf of the New Zealand Produce Industry, United Fresh therefore wishes to make a submission

on “Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector”.

United Fresh also welcomes the opportunity to comment on the study by way of this submission, as it

provides us, as the pan-produce industry body, with the opportunity to enhance our membership’s

understanding of the issues that have led to the study of the retail grocery sector.

Prepared by the United Fresh Technical Advisory Group:

Dr Hans Maurer, Chair,

Jacob Lawes, Senior Project Officer.

Page 3: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 3 of 25

Objectives of this Submission

With this submission, United Fresh aims to respond to the Commerce Commission (CC) Preliminary Issues Paper,

with a specific focus on fresh produce. United Fresh wishes to discuss its views as the pan-industry body for fresh

produce, and how the issues raised in the ComCom Paper are affecting the industry.

This submission is not an in-depth technical analysis, but a high-level response to the questions raised by

ComCom from a United Fresh perspective.

Food is one of New Zealand consumers’ largest and most consistent annual purchases, forming the

second largest weekly household expenditure in Statistics New Zealand data.1 Any impact on the

fruit & vegetable range, and the fresh produce industry resulting from the ComCom study, is therefore

likely to have repercussions on consumer wallets.

Fresh produce represents a significant amount of the consumer spend, and the fruit & vegetable

category is likely to increase its “share of plate” further, based on current trends and the wider global

direction towards more sustainable food production & consumption.

Situation Overview

On November 16th, 2020, the Minister for Commerce and Consumer Affairs authorised the Commerce

Commission to carry out a competition study into any factors that may affect competition for the

supply or acquisition of groceries by retailers in New Zealand. Matters to be considered in the study

included, but are not restricted to:

• The structure of the grocery industry at the wholesale and retail levels;

• The nature of competition at the wholesale and retail levels of the grocery industry;

• The pricing practices of the major grocery retailers;

• The grocery procurement practices of the major grocery retailers; and

• The price, quality, product range and service offerings for retail customers.

On 10 December 2020, ComCom released its Preliminary Issues Paper, entitled, “Market Study Into

The Retail Grocery Sector”. The Study includes 51 questions, to which ComCom is seeking feedback.

It is understood that further opportunities to provide feedback will arise later in 2021.

ComCom intends to make its final report for this study publicly available by 23 November 2021.

1 Statistics NZ “Household expenditure statistics: Year ended June 2019” (3 March 2020). https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-

releases/household-expenditure-statistics-year-ended-june-2019. (Viewed on 21 December 2020). ‘Food’ in the Statistics NZ household

economic survey includes non-alcoholic beverages, restaurant meals and ready-to-eat food.

Page 4: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 4 of 25

Requested Feedback

The ComCom Preliminary Issues Paper seeks to engage with industry and consumers to assist ComCom in

assessing the factors affecting competition in the grocery sector, as well as competitive outcomes for the sector.

During the ComCom’s initial consideration of competitive factors for the development of the Paper, ComCom

identified a range of potential competitive issues in the industry. ComCom is now seeking feedback on these

potential issues, to assist in making a decision of where to focus efforts during the Market Study.

ComCom has grouped the discussion of factors that may affect competition under four headings:

• Competition at the retail level.

• Competition at the wholesale and supplier levels.

• The grocery procurement practices of the major grocery retailers.

• Grocery retailers’ pricing practices and consumer purchasing behaviour.

ComCom has also identified three potential factors relating to competitive outcomes:

• Prices, choice, quality, and innovation in the sector.

• The margins and profitability of grocery retailers.

• Whether there are other outcomes that are not consistent with those expected in a

workably competitive market.

United Fresh Feedback in this submission is structured to provide ComCom with an appreciation of

the complexities as a category within the retail grocery sector offering.

Page 5: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 5 of 25

Discussion

The complexity of ComCom’s task to perform this Market Study cannot be underestimated. Access

to food, food safety, and increasingly, food security, are of more than just passing interest to the

population at large.

Food retail in all its manifestations has replaced the hunting grounds of our forebears. The New

Zealand of today has one of the most deregulated economies within the OECD, and the food retail

sector mirrors that broader economic position.

In order for the system of getting food onto retail shelves to succeed on a consistent basis, very

sophisticated supply mechanisms need to be in place, and function, regardless of whether the

shelves in question belong to a corner dairy or the largest supermarket in the country.

For consumers, a retail food store is where they expect to be able to purchase what it is that they

need to sustain life as they know it. For professional retailers, and their supply communities, the

existential challenge revolves around consistently keeping those shelves full, just about every day of

the year, whilst operating within the framework of deregulated commerce environments, which

come with the opportunity of generating incomes and profits, as well as encountering risks and

financial losses.

The food retail industry has changed significantly in the last 40 years. The two authors of this submission

on behalf of United Fresh have both seen significant change in their respective careers to date,

which in both cases, included a period of time being employed in supermarket produce

environments.

The older of the two authors arrived in New Zealand in 1981. From a produce perspective, the

auctions system was alive and well, importation of bananas, grapes, and citrus fruit was regulated

and influenced by Government, stores were closed on Sunday, Saturday trading had just been

reintroduced a year earlier (1980), and every supermarket had one late shopping night per week,

typically Fridays. Sunday trading was still 9 years away.

In 1981, store produce managers used to ring their orders for next day delivery through to produce

buying clerks at the companies’ head offices. These formed the basis of what stores could expect to

receive the following day, subject to availability and buyers’ discretion.

In 2014, when the younger of the two authors became involved in produce replenishment and stock

management systems at the store level, at his place of work, produce clerks taking telephone orders

had been replaced by algorithms that compared optimum stock levels against withdrawals

generated by way of customers paying for goods at checkouts, calculating replenishment rates,

adding additional factors that might affect the next order (such as seasonality or specials), and

submitting the anticipated delivery in draft format to individual stores for sign-off.

The way our food retail environments are continuing to evolve, influences dramatically how

consumer demands are being met. Or, should this possibly be the other way around?

The reality is that consumers are very good at expressing displeasure with a high level of clarity and

volume and at a low threshold level, and are often less willing or able to constructively contribute

towards finding working solutions that fit the times. Part of this relates to the level of sophistication our

food systems have reached, and the communication and education deficit related to the elasticity

and tolerances of these systems when they come under stress.

United Fresh is New Zealand’s pan-industry produce association, covering the entire supply chain

from seed to plate, directly as well as indirectly. In other words, our members include Horticulture New

Zealand and seed/seedling suppliers to New Zealand growers at one end of the spectrum, both

major grocery retailers in New Zealand, as well as organisations providing services to this direct value

Page 6: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 6 of 25

chain, such as Plant & Food Research, Jenkins Labels, Zespri, The AgriChain Centre, and GS1, to name

a few.

This breadth of membership does not always make it easy for United Fresh to find a common position

when subsector specific matters arise, that ought to be commented on. With this in mind, the 51

questions ComCom would like answered in this submission fall into 3 categories.

• Category 1, the majority of questions, have been answered on the basis of United Fresh’s

deep knowledge on how the fresh produce industry in New Zealand, and elsewhere, works.

• Category 2 are questions that require answers not specifically focused on produce, but are

covering the wider realm of the grocery sector. We have answered those questions we

believe we are in a position to answer.

• Category 3 are questions relating directly to price, and under our Constitution and Operating

Framework, these are not questions we believe we are in a position to answer.

Page 7: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 7 of 25

Question and Response Section

1. Do you agree with our preliminary view on the grocery products to be considered in the study, as

described in paragraph 29 and Table 1? Why/why not?

United Fresh agrees that fresh fruit & vegetables should be considered in the study.

2. Does Table 1 appropriately reflect how products are categorised in the grocery sector?

Table 1 does not appropriately reflect how products are categorised.

United Fresh would like to point out that fresh fruits & vegetables are considered to be a category on

their own, within the supermarket environment, and are managed entirely separate from dried and

canned fruits & vegetables. We would therefore suggest that dried and canned fruits & vegetables

need to be considered within the wider dry grocery sector. United Fresh will focus in its entire produce

response on fresh fruits and vegetables only.

3. Are some product categories more competitive than others, either in terms of the acquisition of

groceries from suppliers, or the supply of groceries to retail customers? If so, please explain.

There is no simple answer to this question. In order to answer this question fully, one must separate out

the value drivers of “competitive”.

Within the wider grocery sector covered by the Market Study, the core meat categories of beef,

pork, and lamb, for example, are competing for each other, starting with access to meat works, and

all the way through to shelf space allocation at retail.

From a produce perspective, the entire category is managed very competitively, due to product

perishability. Waiting for product to sell “eventually” is simply not an option, although the timeline of

“eventually” differs for strawberries when compared to potatoes.

In the soft drinks category, for example, shelf life considerations are similar for Pepsi as well as for

Coke, and competitiveness is driven by an entirely different set of factors.

4. Are there any product categories we should consider in greater detail than others? If so, which

ones and why?

United Fresh cannot comment on other product categories, as we are not experts in their supply

chains or pricing mechanisms.

We would, however, point out that produce reaches New Zealand consumers through a multitude

of supply channels. Based on a combination of retailer preference, and product constraints,

domestic produce either reaches the retail shelf through:

• direct purchases from growers,

• direct deliveries from growers (not necessarily the same as direct purchases),

• wholesale produce markets,

• supermarket operated distribution centres,

• wholesale produce markets and supermarket operated distribution centres,

• purchases enacted by head of supermarket buying teams, and,

• purchases conducted by individual store owners.

Page 8: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 8 of 25

Imported produce can enter supermarkets either through:

• retailers purchasing from produce wholesale market import divisions,

• retailers purchasing from specialist importers who are not conducting general market import

activities, and,

• retailers who are importing produce on their own account.

The network of pathways produce takes to reach the consumer via supermarkets is complex, and

the routes chosen have the potential to impact on the quality/price equation. The principle of

“comparing apples with apples” does therefore not automatically apply.

5. If we do focus on certain product categories, are the factors set out in paragraph 34 appropriate

to guide our focus? Are there any other factors we should also consider?

The factors set out in Paragraph 34, Factors 34.1 to 34.4, are, in principle, appropriate. Factor 34.2,

however, represents an additional degree of complexity when it comes to fresh fruits & vegetables.

Factor 34.2 currently reads, “which grocery products have had significant price changes over time?”

Fresh fruits & vegetable prices naturally change “over time”, but not necessarily in the linear fashion

anticipated in other product categories. Mention has already been made of the high perishability of

the fresh fruits & vegetables category. This perishability is the result of exposure to a range of direct

risks during the production cycle that relate to weather events, climatic conditions, disease

outbreaks, and potential disruptions occurring in the physical supply chain during delivery to market.

What would your definition of “over time” be, within the context of Factor 34.2? If “over time” were

to extend back to 1984, ComCom would find that fruits like bananas, citrus, and grapes were subject

to import licensing, with regulator determined banana wholesale and retail pricing. The deregulation

of the New Zealand Apple Industry occurred in 2001. Prior to this, supply was regulated by the New

Zealand Apple & Pear Board’s domestic division.

We suggest therefore, that if Factor 34.2 is applied to the fresh produce category, that a to-be-

examined time window is clearly defined, and any related constraints clearly identified.

6. Would considering the supply of grocery products to commercial customers assist in our

assessment of competition in the retail grocery sector? If so, how?

Yes, considering the supply of produce to commercial customers would assist in your assessment of

competition in the retail grocery sector.

Fresh produce, and in particular vegetables, are meal components, that are commercially not just

offered to consumers within a food service context and hospitality context, but also within hospitals,

aged care facilities, and increasingly, educational environments. Availability and pricing of fresh

produce in the market, at any given point in time, does not just impact what consumers see on retail

grocery shelves, but extends into the other areas identified here as well.

7. Is our description of New Zealand’s major grocery retailers accurate?

Yes, United Fresh agrees that ComCom has described New Zealand’s two largest grocery retailers

accurately.

Page 9: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 9 of 25

8. What are the key characteristics of a supermarket, compared to other retail grocery stores?

ComCom is conducting a “Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector”, with the explicit objective

of determining “whether markets could work better for consumers”. The question therefore needs to

be, in the first instance, addressed from a consumer perspective.

The consumers’ definition of “supermarket” is driven by their learnt expectation over time of being

able to find what they consider to be an appropriate choice of products, across as many product

categories as are required to satisfy their household needs, during a singular shopping trip to a

particular store location. The consumers’ entire focus is on a mix of range, quality, choice, price,

freshness, and convenience. This focus mix potentially reprioritises during every shopping trip, based

on exactly what is that consumers want to purchase.

During their shopping experience, consumers do not worry about whether they are shopping in a

national chain store branch, whether the produce on the shelf is purchased from a wholesale market,

or whether it has arrived directly in-store from the grower. As long as the store in question offers a

sufficient range of product categories of interest to the consumer, consumers will consider themselves

to be in a “supermarket” rather than an “other retail grocery store”.

9. How does our description of other grocery retailers in New Zealand fit with your understanding of

the sector?

From a technical perspective, United Fresh agrees with the statements made in Paragraph 46, That

accurately segment the retail offer. Nevertheless, with reference to 46.1, we would like to refer you

back to the later part of our answer to Question 8. Specifically, “as long as the store in question offers

a sufficient range of product categories of interest to the consumer, consumers will consider

themselves to be in a ‘supermarket’ rather than an ‘other retail grocery store’”.

10. Are there any other grocery retailers or types of retailers we should have regard to in the study?

Yes. United Fresh notes that limited ranges of shelf stable groceries (not produce) are also sold at The

Warehouse stores.

11. How does our high-level summary of the supply chain in the New Zealand grocery sector (as

shown in Figure 3 above) fit with your understanding of the sector?

United Fresh agrees with the statement your document contains in Paragraph 54, i.e., the “high level

summary” in Figure 3 is indeed “a simplified version of the supply chain”.

We would however be concerned if the Figure 3 high level summary illustrated were to form the basis

for a sub-study into the retail produce sector, as part of this wider grocery study. We therefore attach

a simplified 2020 design of the New Zealand produce supply chain, as captured by United Fresh

member The AgriChain Centre Ltd., as part of an industry COVID-19 response project that had been

commissioned by MPI.

Page 10: Response To Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 10 of 25

12. Are there any other key steps or participants in the supply chain which should be included?

Yes. United Fresh believes that an increasing number of consumers are relying on food box delivery

services, e.g. My Food Bag, Hello Fresh, and others. The consumer uptake of such services does

impact on marketplace elasticity in relation to variations in the supply and demand equation.

This change in marketplace elasticity restricts the traditional supply and demand driven cost

adjustments prevalent in produce supply chains.

13. In your view, what impact (if any) have online shopping and meal kits had on the New Zealand

grocery sector? What impact do you think these trends will have in the future?

Online shopping initially was focused on the sale of shelf stable products, as perishable categories

such as meat, dairy, and produce, all required distribution solutions which initially were not realistic

due to the level of investment needed.

This has changed, to the extent that both major grocery retailers are now offering a comprehensive

fresh produce & perishables product list for selection, and even niche category growers of high value

produce, e.g. cherries, are offering online purchases of their product.

As far as fresh produce inclusion in major grocery online activity is concerned, the ability of chilled

delivery alone does not necessarily guarantee the arrival of produce at the expected quality upon

delivery. Utilising instore “home shoppers” to assemble orders of shelf stable groceries does not

equate to consistent product quality upon delivery.

The minute this “home shopper” is tasked to pick a consumer produce order, the potential risk for the

consumer increases. There is no material difference between two cans of baked beans. There can

be a world of difference between two bunches of bananas from a quality difference.

Consumer uptake of fresh produce online shopping solutions is therefore not growing at the same

rate as the non-perishable categories.

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United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 11 of 25

14. Are there any other developments in how consumers purchase groceries which might impact

competition? How should we take these into account in our study?

The online shopping segment of grocery purchases is beginning to further segment in its own right.

Online shopping in its pure form has customers actioning purchases via a retailer specific

website/app, and having those purchases delivered by a vehicle contracted/operated by the

retailer.

The variation that has recently come onto the scene is “click and collect”, which has consumers

ordering online via retailer app, but saving themselves the delivery fee by agreeing to collect the

assembled order at an advised time. Collection can occur either at the store service desk, or from a

locker, located at the store. In 2017, Farro supermarkets started offering a “click and collect” scheme

at the Auckland Downtown ferry terminal building, but this offsite collection appears to have been

discontinued.

Produce purchasing online is viewed as problematic by many consumers, despite the fact that the

retailer offer now includes chilled bags for distribution.

High-value single seasonal crop growers, e.g. strawberry and cherry growers, are taking a leaf out of

their meat colleagues books, and are offering their products online directly to consumers via door-

to-door delivery.

15. Do you agree that the study should primarily focus on traditional retail grocery stores?

What is your definition of “traditional” please? This phrase appears for the first time in paragraph 58,

and is not otherwise defined in your glossary. Where, for example, would Farro fit? To all intents and

purposes, it is a non-traditional fresh food supermarket, with a very limited range of food related dry

goods. In other words, anyone looking for a lightbulb, basic garden supplies, or a toothbrush is most

certainly in the wrong place. Yet, the produce offer is as comprehensive as that of a supermarket of

a similar size, and capable of matching quality and value on any given day.

In order to achieve a comprehensive picture of the nature of competition in food supply chains,

purely focusing on “traditional” brick and mortar retail grocery stores is unlikely to achieve the desired

depth of understanding.

16. Are there any changes to the New Zealand grocery sector due to COVID-19 that we should

consider in our study? If so, what are these changes and what effect, if any, are they likely to have

in the future?

The COVID-19 pandemic’s arrival in New Zealand led to a temporary shutdown of a wide range of

retail businesses, which included greengrocers and open-air produce markets. Produce supply chain

participants, including growers, wholesalers, and retailers, saw a severe negative impact on their

businesses, and members of vulnerable communities were challenged in procuring fruits &

vegetables through their usual channels, in their usual volumes, or at all.

Supermarkets which were Government’s designated “go-to” sources for food, struggled to cope with

the additional volume of produce they were expected to carry, particularly as this would have

involved expanding their number of Stock Keeping Units (SKUs) carried, due to different quality and

size/grade standards typically being offered via those channels that were no longer available to

members of the vulnerable communities sector, i.e., open-air markets and greengrocers.

Growers and importers were not only impacted by the temporary closure of greengrocers and open-

air markets, but also by the decisions that led to the hospitality trade needing to close its doors as

well.

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United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 12 of 25

The resulting disruptions in the supply chain were substantial, with significant volumes of produce

going to waste, due to one channel, i.e. the supermarket channel, being understandably unable to

cope with being the sole retail supply point.

These Government enforced restrictions on the produce industry resulted in an abnormal distortion

on the supply and demand curves throughout the restriction period, as a result of consumers being

unable to access some retail outlets, while the supply chain was forced to adjust to reduced

productivity from labour shortages, increased health & safety requirements, and bottlenecks

throughout the supply chain from attempting to redirect almost one fifth of the entire supply at one

to two days’ notice.

During this period, multiple businesses began online grocery retail sales to consumers, several of

which have continued operation into 2021. However, not all of these included perishable products

such as produce, so the impact of online retail activity was more limited for produce than on other

industries.

Following the resumption of business at COVID Alert Level 1 throughout New Zealand after the

second lockdown (August 2020), consumer purchasing habits and industry behaviours have mostly

returned to pre-COVID positions. However, the seasonal labour shortages resulting from border

closure, as well as the increased cost in importing and exporting produce, is having efficiency and

financial effects on the supply chain.

These effects are likely to continue until such time as fully normalised operations with open borders

can resume. The produce industry element of the ComCom Study should therefore need to take

these impacts into account.

17. Has COVID-19 changed the manner or frequency with which consumers shop? If so, do you think

that these changes have persisted, or will continue to persist, following the COVID-19 lockdown

period? What effect might this have on smaller retailers?

Yes, COVID did affect the manner and frequency with which consumers shop with regards to

produce.2 Data generated during and following the lockdowns for the produce industry has shown

the following changes in consumer purchasing habits:3

• Increased fruit & vegetable purchases, but fewer shopping trips.

• A slight change in the most balance of produce purchasing locations.

• More domestic produce purchasing as a result of altered ranges.

• An increase in spend on meal kits & food boxes.

• Increased shopping at single stores over multiple specialty stores.

• Restricted spending due to worsening financial situations.

• A reduction in eating out, and an increase in eating at home.

These changes have continued to a degree following the resumption of Level 1 operations.

2 Staff (2020.) Constrained & Insulated Shoppers: Purchase Of Fresh Fruit And Vegetables. Prepared for United Fresh by The Nielsen Company. 3 Ibid.

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United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 13 of 25

18. Has COVID-19 had any long-term impacts on other retailers (including specialist retailers) and

their suppliers?

Pre-COVID, annual New Zealand produce consumption across all consumer supply channels

included $800 million worth of imported produce.4 The shipping bottlenecks that have arisen globally

as a consequence of COVID and mankind’s response means that New Zealand consumers, just like

their counterparts in other countries, have seen some restriction on availability of certain product

categories. One example is Californian grapes. New Zealand key produce exporters, such as

Summerfruit, apple, kiwifruit, and avocado exporters, face the same challenges as their colleagues

in the Californian grape industry.

In the New Zealand domestic supply chain, COVID-19 has also had ongoing consequences for all

retailers and suppliers of domestic produce. We use field grown lettuce as an exemplar, with a similar

scenario applying to a range of other produce.

The sudden closure of greengrocers in the March/April Lockdown meant that lettuce destined to

travel through the supply channels traditionally used by those retailers whose doors had been closed

by Government decision meant that harvested lettuce already in the pipeline, when the decision

was announced, either ended up being sold below cost, or turned to waste, as supermarkets were

unable to cope with the unexpected additional volumes entering their distribution channels.

Within days, lettuce ready to be harvested was left in the ground, because it had nowhere to go to.

That lifted the wholesale prices for lettuces still being traded, with the inevitable conclusion that retail

prices increased as well. In the meantime, growers typically focused on other retailer or food service

supply chains were not only no longer able to harvest, but also no longer able to plant lettuce

seedlings for harvesting in 8-12 weeks’ time, as the space needed to plant the new crop was being

occupied by a ready to harvest crop that couldn’t go anywhere.

This whole scenario then had further implications, in terms of the number of growers able and willing

to plant lettuces, and therefore being part of the collective equilibrium between supply and demand

that is a necessary function of attempting to achieve affordable wholesale and retail price points.

Depending on the nature of the crop, the ramifications of this deliberate interruption of normal supply

that occurred nationwide in March 2020, and on an Auckland basis in August 2020, will continue to

be a factor for at least the first 6 months of 2021.

19. Do you have any comments on our proposed high-level approach to the study as discussed in

paragraphs 66 to 70 above?

United Fresh understands the rationale behind ComCom’s proposed high-level approach to the

study, as per Paragraphs 66 to 70. However, we need to reinforce our point that there are significant

differences in the way perishable categories in general, and the produce category in particular,

need to be managed during the procurement process, as well as during the time-in-store process, in

order to succeed as being a part of a credible and comprehensive consumer offer. This fact is

reflected in our answers throughout this document.

4 Statistics New Zealand Infoshare database. Accessible at http://infoshare.stats.govt.nz/.

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United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 14 of 25

20. Would international comparisons of grocery prices and profitability of retailers provide insights into

the level of competition in the retail grocery sector? If so, how should we undertake these

comparisons? For example, which measures of profitability are relevant in this context?

In short, the structures and behaviours of fresh produce supply chains in the developed world do not

differ substantially from those applying in New Zealand, when taking a high-level approach. The devil,

however, lies in the detail:

• Countries comparable to New Zealand typically have more than 2 major grocery retailers.

Norway, a country with a population of 5.3 million, has 3 major grocery retailers. Denmark, a

country of 5.8 million, has 5 major grocery retail chains. Singapore, with a population of 5.7

million, also has 5 major grocery retail chains.

• Most countries comparable to New Zealand in terms of OECD criteria show a far greater

integration of their export and domestic produce categories than we see in the New Zealand

market. This is due either to their membership of a trading block, such as the EU, or due to

their closer proximity to other markets, i.e., not being stuck at the bottom of the South Pacific.

• Not many countries comparable to New Zealand consist of two substantial islands separated

by a four hour ferry ride.

• Australia, in our view, is not a country that New Zealand should compare itself to, as one of

our two major grocery retailers is owned by Australia in any event, the Australian population

base is more than 4 times New Zealand’s, and the geographic dynamics between Australia

and New Zealand differ substantially.

Nevertheless, measuring “all of store” major grocery retailer profitability would best be done at EBITDA

level. The same cannot be said at merchandise department level, i.e., a typical New Zealand

produce department has an average of around 200 SKUs, compared to a typical US produce

department, which can have around 600 SKUs5. This is of particular importance, as non-perishable

SKUs being merchandised and sold as part of the produce category typically attract higher unit

prices at lower margins than produce, for example, salad dressings.

Measuring the performance of a merchandise category, e.g. produce, is typically done at gross

margin percentage level.

21. How do major grocery retailers set their service offerings (such as price, quality, product range

and opening hours)? For example, are prices set centrally, regionally, and/or on a store-by-store

basis?

This question is best answered by the grocery retailers themselves. In principle, however:

• Opening hours are determined on the basis of demographics, demand, and local authority

regulations.

• Product range and quality are a function of brand positioning.

• Price is a consequence of the above.

5 https://www.producemarketguide.com/article/future-retail. Accessed 18 January 2021.

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22. How closely do smaller grocery retailers compete with the major grocery retailers? What are the

main similarities and differences between them? Does this vary regionally and/or locally? Does it

vary by product category?

This question is best answered by the grocery retailers themselves. In principle however:

• Competition closeness is likely to be to a large extent driven by physical proximity between

smaller retailers and a major grocery retailer.

• Smaller grocery retailers are typically supplied by produce wholesalers, whilst corporate major

grocery retailers are supplied by proprietary distribution centres. Cooperatively owned major

grocery retailers often source both from wholesalers and proprietary distribution centres.

23. To what extent do grocery service offerings (such as price, quality, product range and opening

hours) differ across the country? What are the causes of differences?

This question is best answered by the grocery retailers themselves.

24. What factors do consumers consider most important when deciding which grocery retailers to

shop at, and which brands to purchase? How far will consumers travel to purchase groceries?

Does this depend on where the consumer lives? Have any changes in consumers’ purchasing

behaviour affected the distance or time they are prepared to travel or take in order to shop?

Fruits & vegetables are typically not purchased by brand, but on the basis of perceived quality. There

is some brand presence within fresh produce, but at best, brands are used as an indicator, rather

than a determinant.

The balance of answers to this question should be sourced from the retail sector.

25. Should we compare grocery prices across regions within New Zealand? If so, how should we

undertake these comparisons?

The distribution of groceries, which included fruits & vegetables, from central points to a range of

locations across the country, attracts a direct, and identifiable, cost. The cost of buying and

distributing groceries, and/or fresh produce, in multiple regional locations, also attracts costs. It would

be a fair assumption to consider the cost of transporting groceries across a longer distance being

potentially more expensive than across shorter distances, but other factors also come into play.

The major grocery retailers have moved away from having produce buyers located in every town

and city in New Zealand, purchasing local requirements at local produce markets, and using local

transport to deliver from markets to local stores. The economies of scale concept, and the ability to

purchase larger homogenous volumes of produce, and therefore being able to offer consumers a

more consistent range, across the entire store network, is also part of the wider pricing mechanisms

applied.

26. Do you have any other views on competition in New Zealand’s retail grocery sector which you

would like to share?

The perishable nature of produce is able to contribute to supply, and therefore competition

scenarios, that are reflective of the behaviours of an economy where natural competition is

constrained in any event, on the basis of population size.

For example, should a major grocery retailer plan a large new seasonal potato promotion for a

particular week in the middle of September, there is already a likelihood that parties aware of such

an intent will attempt to avoid the second major grocery retailer picking the identical week for their

new season potato promotion, as both major retailers being on promotion with the same produce

at the same time can potentially lead to major demand spikes.

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If such a situation were to occur, and the main supply region for potatoes to Auckland were to have

a major weather event, that was to make it impossible to dig said potatoes, regardless of their

destination, potato prices would potentially go through the roof, without either of the two major

grocery retailers being able to do a thing about it.

27. To what extent do you think there is accommodating behaviour between retailers in the New

Zealand grocery sector? Please explain.

This is not an area where United Fresh is qualified to comment on, with regards to the present situation.

We are however able to provide an example of how a degree of “accommodating behaviour” has

actually led to increased competition in the New Zealand produce industry.

The year is 1990. Progressive Enterprises Ltd., the then operators of Foodtown and Three Guys stores,

and Woolworths New Zealand, the then operators of Woolworths and Big Fresh stores, were both

considering, separately from each other, their options with regards to the banana import monopoly

having been deregulated, by the 1984 Lange Labour Government. The competition between these

two chains in anything they were doing, was already fairly intense.

Bananas being the signature produce department item, and usually representing 1% of store

turnover, were considered by both companies as a perfect opportunity to further increase their

market share of the produce basket.

The Government appointed importer that had been in place since the early 1950s, Fruit Distributors

Ltd., was primarily importing Bonita bananas from Ecuador, as part of a triangular arrangement

between the Noboa Group in Ecuador, who were the owners of the Bonita brand, the banana

wholesaler Fruit Distributors Ltd., and the by then majority shareholder of Fruit Distributors Ltd., Turners

& Growers Ltd.

Fruit Distributors Ltd. determined the volume and frequency of banana imports, and set wholesale

prices per carton, as well as per kg retail prices. The supermarket industry had welcomed market

deregulation, and the major retailers were now working through the practical consequences of this

decision.

The ultimate decision on how to proceed, ended up being driven by an economic reality that had

nothing to do with the bananas themselves, and everything to do with the fact refrigerated shipping

is not a social service, but occurs on a for-profit basis, and every vessel heading to New Zealand is

also looking for a way to make money taking freight out of the country. This means that there is a

minimum threshold to the load capacity of a refrigerated vessel before it becomes uneconomic for

a vessel to set out for New Zealand.

The solution that emerged was that both major retailers committed a significant amount of their

future annual banana purchases to Chiquita, a Bonita competitor, who was capable of supplying

what the New Zealand market required, in terms of quality, volume, and price, and therefore

competition. Chiquita advised both supermarket chains individually that it had entered into supply

agreements with their respective competitor, pointing out that without the tacit agreement of both

companies to put up with this unusual arrangement, Chiquita could not be relied upon to supply

New Zealand, as the numbers otherwise simply would not have stacked up for the supplier.

The ability of two major grocery retailers out of the three existing at the time (the third one being

Foodstuffs)to tolerate this situation, led to New Zealand consumers for the first time in 50 years seeing

a real degree of competition in the banana category.

28. Which, if any, aspects of grocery retailers’ offerings may be subject to accommodating behaviour

(for example, location of store openings, prices, promotional schedules)?

This question is best answered by the grocery retailers themselves.

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29. To what extent do grocery retailers monitor or respond to one another’s behaviour? Which specific

factors are monitored and how often are comparisons made?

This question is best answered by the grocery retailers themselves.

30. What factors affect entry and expansion in the New Zealand retail grocery sector? How significant

are these factors in affecting entry and expansion from retailers?

New Zealand already has one of the highest densities in terms of supermarkets per head of

population in the developed world. The already operating major grocery retailers are busy further

segmenting the demographic landscape by increasing the amount of “metro” stores under their

banners, which carry, within a smaller footprint, a more limited range of product, including fresh

produce, than their full sized stores, with the range being specifically targeted towards a narrower

consumer band – apartment dwellers in central Wellington for example.

Whilst any potential new entry into online shopping could affect this, without the need for brick and

mortar retail investment, and instead focusing on distribution facilities and a distribution network, the

reality is that this train has left the station. Progressive was a very early entry into online shopping,

Foodstuffs by comparison was most certainly a late entry. Nevertheless, both chains appear

committed to further growing their online shopping in parallel to their brick and mortar store portfolio,

to the extent that the first purpose designed “dark stores” are being opened, in an attempt to get

brick and mortar grocery aisles decluttered from store employed home shoppers.

In 2006, the Warehouse group found to its peril that entry into the retail grocery sector is not for the

faint hearted, and its experiment to integrate full scale grocery operations into their existing

Warehouse stores was terminated in 2008 after store 4 had been remodelled.

Aldi, the original German discount operator with global reach, has been rumoured to be planning

an imminent entry into New Zealand for the last 20 years. Although the group now has about 150

stores in Australia, New Zealand is still waiting. The limited size of our market, the competition that

already exists, and the fact that the Aldi model revolves around constructing circa 10 stores more or

less simultaneously, and servicing these through a to-be-built-at-the-same-time distribution centre, is

seen to be responsible for the Aldi concept having failed to gain traction in New Zealand.

The jury is out on how well the recently confirmed Costco arrival will fare in West Auckland.

31. To what extent does the size and geography of New Zealand affect the possibility of entry and

expansion?

To a very large extent. Added to this comes distance from international supply chains or support

infrastructure.

32. Are there recent examples of actual or potential entry or expansion in the sector that we should

be aware of? What are these?

See our comments in answer to Question 30.

33. Are there existing wholesalers who are willing and able to supply new entrants to the retail market?

Which product categories do these wholesalers supply?

As far as produce wholesalers are concerned, any retailer able to confirm that they can meet their

financial commitments will be supplied.

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34. Are there any barriers to entry and expansion at the wholesale level of the New Zealand grocery

sector we should be aware of? If so, how significant are they?

The produce industry has been undergoing a degree of rationalisation at wholesale level in the last

20 years. The most recent example is the purchase of the Freshmax market division by T&G Global

Ltd. That purchase was subject to the Overseas Investment Office approval, and the associated

investigations and reports should allow ComCom to form a clearer picture of the New Zealand

produce wholesale market sector.

The major grocery retailers are increasingly implementing their preference for direct purchases from

growers, or if wholesale markets are involved in these transactions, these transactions are most likely

resulting in direct physical transactions between grower/packhouse and retail store locations.

It is unlikely that we will see an expansion of the wholesale produce sector.

35. Do you have any other views on competition at the wholesale level of the New Zealand grocery

sector which you would like to share?

The produce wholesale sector currently consists of three large national produce wholesalers offering

the entire range of available produce twelve months of the year, and half a dozen smaller operators,

operating on a range/category specific level.

The two larger produce wholesale companies of the three are, to all intents and purposes, presenting

as two corporate entities, but they do come from different heritage, and today show some significant

difference in their operating behaviour.

The heritage of one of them is built around successive family generations achieving a substantial

national market dominance, before the business was acquired by a German corporate. The Munich-

based parent company has a substantial focus on its New Zealand subsidiaries’ ability to act as an

export conduit, across several key categories. Parallel to building that capacity, the company is

building its wholesale market share, as per our answer to Question 34.

The other major produce wholesaler started life as a regional (Wellington) growers’ co-operative in

the 1920s, and whilst it is today operated as a limited liability company, that company is owned by

the growers co-operative.

The different nature of these two wholesalers does not impact on the greengrocer who turns up at

these markets to purchase their daily needs, but as ComCom will appreciate, with the underlying

fundamentals in ownership being so different, the fact that we have a grower owned market

competing head on with an international corporate owned market suggests that some

consideration should be given to how the development of the wholesale sector is likely to evolve

under these circumstances.

The third produce wholesaler that fits into the larger national wholesaler category is a family-owned

business, that emerged circa 30 years ago, built on the history and expertise of the original

shareholders of what is today T&G Global, and by now has the fifth generation working in the

business.

Of further interest in connection with the wholesale structure is that a greengrocer needing to

purchase and collect his wares at an early morning market, has not got the time to go wandering

about, like a consumer shopping for discounts. Greengrocers are therefore prone to build deeper

relationships with one or the other of the two major wholesalers, and supplement this key relationship

with whatever other relationships are necessary, to ensure their entire range is covered.

Directly linked to this situation is the fact that the entry barriers to being a banana importer have

been significantly lowered as a result of refrigerated container technology developing to the extent

that it can now cope with bananas. That means that smaller wholesalers are able to sell a limited

number of banana containers, as long as they have access to a small ripening facility, whereas in

years gone by, being a banana importer required being able to fill an entire reefer vessel, which

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limited competition in that area, even after Government deregulated the import restrictions on fruit

in the 1980s.

One of the larger wholesale companies is no longer partnering with just one banana brand, but

imports a portfolio of brands, typically on a container by container basis. The other major wholesaler

has for 25 years now been partnering with a global banana brand, with some of those bananas still

coming in by reefer.

The lower barriers to banana imports have therefore increased the opportunity for competition in the

wholesale produce sector, at the same time as the major grocery retailers have increasingly

preferred to purchase their domestically grown produce from growers, or through wholesaler

brokerage structures that would ensure delivery directly into retail distribution centres, and without

physically passing through a wholesalers trading floor.

36. Are there any factors affecting competition at the supplier level we should be aware of and

consider during our study?

The New Zealand produce grower supplier base is aging, and shrinking. Rising rural property values,

the urban encroachment into prime horticultural land (for example Pukekohe), and the competition

from dairy in terms of arable land use, means that we will ultimately see fewer growers on larger

properties, growing higher value monocrops – and with more of these growers being corporate

growers rather than the standard independent family farm model. A recent example is the

emergence of central Otago as an undercover cherry production area.

Nevertheless, the horticultural industry has managed to achieve some of its significant development

export goals, as articulated in its Horticultural Industry Strategy 2009-2020 document (and subsequent

updates). This has also led to further professionalisation of the supply industry.

The efforts of Tangata Whenua to build a meaningful presence within the wider horticultural supply

industry, and of key sectors within (e.g. kiwifruit, avocados, and apples), should be noted, as this

certainly has the potential to contribute to future competition.

37. What impact, if any, do private label products have on competition at the supplier level?

Private label products were, for a long time, not been prevalent within the produce range. Their

potential impact on competition at the supplier level was therefore negligible.

More recently, one of the two major grocery retailers has been introducing its house-brand across a

number of pre-packed produce items.

Fruit & vegetables are not manufactured, but grown. Unlike a can of baked beans, where differences

between proprietary and FMCG branded product can be adjusted of the basis of ingredient

composition, produce offers limited options for such differentiation.

Adding to this is the global megatrend of eliminating, or at the very least, reducing unnecessary

packaging in favour of a more environmentally friendly offering, which impacts on the ratio of loose

vs pre-packed produce being offered for sale.

The core concept of branding is one that in many produce categories still has not evolved from outer

packaging branding, and probably never will, unless a store moves to selling everything in a pre-

packaged format, which is clearly not realistic.

The overall impact of private label products, within the produce category, on competition at the

supplier level is therefore limited.

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38. Do you have any other views on competition at the supplier level of the New Zealand grocery

sector which you would like to share?

“Supplier” is a very broad definition, and within the produce supply chain, could mean a grower, a

packhouse, a wholesale trading floor, or a broker. One of the fundamental truths of the produce

business is that a degree of consolidation, and therefore rationalisation, has to occur at some point

in the supply chain, in order to satisfy the retailers requirements for consistency in availability,

consistency in quality, consistency in volume, and consistency within a given value range.

Only the largest growers operate their own packhouses these days. Growers below a certain size

supply third party packhouses. Retailers with their own distribution centres obviously use those

distribution centres as their consolidation point of first choice, but the processes involved in

generating store orders, separating those store orders into consolidated product orders, arranging

for supplier notification of those product orders, and ensuring that all those product orders are

delivered into a distribution centre, deconsolidated and reassembled into store orders, when one

has hundreds of stores that need to be supplied on a daily basis, does create a range of constraints.

One way of managing these constraints is by delegating parts of the volume and quality consistency

equation to a key supplier, whose role is to ensure that orders are filled, regardless. This can involve

key suppliers developing supply relationships with other suppliers, aimed at satisfying retailer

consolidation demands. Various models have been tried over the years within this framework, and

we would recommend that the ComCom Market Study team attempts to establish what current

practices are, in order to ensure context can be properly considered.

39. What are your views on the relative bargaining power of retailers and suppliers in the New Zealand

grocery sector? How, if at all, does the relative bargaining power differ based on the specific

retailers and suppliers involved?

The commonly used argument that a large grocery retailer is able to dominate his suppliers, and

therefore able to distort the market, is in our view, too simplistic a view to put forward. Any

supermarket operator, regardless of size, needs to be considered an investor, and investors are

looking for ways to recoup their investment. In the case of a retailer, that involves having customers

who repeatedly, at regular intervals, come into the retailers store, and select from the retailers’

shelves, and pay for their selections.

A critical element of the selection process is customers demanding choice. Choice in terms of the

product range, and choice in terms of the volume available in any given product category, e.g.

tomatoes. Any retailer, and particularly the major grocery retailers, intrinsically understand that

having shelves sufficiently full during all opening hours to provide the consumer with the reality and/or

perception of choice, is critical to its ongoing success.

A further element of success relates to consistency. Consumers ideally like to see a similar range of

produce on the supermarket shelves, every time they go into the store, seasonality changes

notwithstanding.

As supermarket chains have grown in size and store locations, with extended opening hours, keeping

shelves full and offering consumers real or perceived choice has become a key focus, and an

increased business risk, because in order to create a degree of certainty that shelves will not be

empty, supermarkets are looking for assurances about supply, and this is most likely possible when

dealing with fewer/larger suppliers than more/minor suppliers.

A major supermarket retailer which has grown over a period of time, and has taken a network of

suppliers on that journey with them, i.e., those suppliers have grown as well, has no choice but to

treat those suppliers as business partners, as opposed to organisations upon which unreasonable

bargaining power could be unleashed.

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A falling out with a major supplier, particularly in a major perishable produce category, leads

potentially to empty shelves over an extended period of time, which is not something produce

shoppers tolerate, and major grocery retailers, as well as the retail community at large, are therefore

at pains to avoid.

40. Is the relative bargaining power between retailers and suppliers impacting competition in the New

Zealand grocery sector? If so, how?

As United Fresh is not directly involved in trading activities, we cannot comment on this question.

41. Is there any specific behaviour or conduct between retailers and suppliers we should consider in

our study?

We believe that our answer to Question 40 applies here as well.

42. How relevant do you consider consumers’ access to information is to our study?

In principle, consumers should have access to all the information that is practically feasible to be

available at the point of sale. This includes clear pricing, clarity on unit of measure (each, multiple of

each, or kg), country of origin, and whatever quality focused information retailers are obligated to

provide under the law.

Fresh fruits & vegetables are, in essence, commodities. Commodities tend to follow a variety of supply

channels to reach a consumer. The supply channels for fresh produce in New Zealand extend in

complexity from major grocery retailers at one end of the continuum, to farmgate and roadside sale

at the other.

On one level, a roadside vendor of strawberries is in direct competition with the major grocery retailer,

who offers strawberries as part of their overall produce range. Do consumers typically understand

that the major grocery retailers has to follow more stringent food safety & traceability regulations

than someone operating a roadside stall? Do consumers understand the costs involved to get the

produce into the supermarket, as opposed to beside the gate? Are those strawberries in the

supermarket and those at the gate likely to be of the same quality? The answer to these questions is,

in all likelihood, “No”.

Do consumers, nevertheless, make a value judgement about where they should buy their

strawberries? Yes, they do.

The answer to the Question in relation to produce therefore is: “it depends…”.

43. How do consumers compare offerings across grocery retailers? Where do consumers access the

information they need to make these comparisons (for example, advertising by grocery retailers,

price comparison websites)?

The supply chain participants with the most direct consumer contact are the retailers, which is where

we would suggest this question needs to be directed to.

44. How easy is it for consumers to compare product offerings once in store? What factors influence

this?

The produce offering is either visible, because the produce is sold in unpackaged/loose format, or if

packaged, it is typically packaged in such a way that relevant information is available on the

packaging (e.g. bags of prepacked potatoes).

From a ranging perspective, it is entirely possible, for example, for the iceberg lettuce section in a

produce department to contain lettuces from more than one supplier. As these lettuces are sold

unwrapped, there is no opportunity for consumers to “compare” product offerings, as the offering is

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being presented in a homogenous fashion. Consumers will not attribute any possible quality

differences between lettuces sourced from different suppliers automatically to that possibility, as they

lack the necessary reference point.

The situation is different in the case of produce that is typically sold branded. A banana display may

well contain bananas obtained from different suppliers, and consumers will understand that this is the

case, by virtue of the different brand stickers the bunches of bananas will carry. Nevertheless, the

preselection criteria for consumers wanting to purchase bananas is unlikely to be the brand, but the

quality of the bananas in front of them, particularly as brand on loose bunches of bananas is not

treated as a price differentiator in the produce retail business. Other factors such as “organically

grown” or “fair trade product”, however, do trigger consumer choice in this category.

45. What strategies do New Zealand grocery retailers use when setting prices for their products,

including promotional prices? What are the benefits and potential harms to consumers of these

strategies?

Grocery retailer pricing schemes for fresh produce around the world are closely aligned to the

perishability of the overall range itself, the key categories within that range, and individual products

within these ranges. Just like any other business, it cannot be the function of a grocery retailer, or the

produce department within that grocery retailer’s store, to operate at a loss.

The function of a business is to generate a profit. The produce department, just like any other

department within a grocery store, is therefore tasked with generating a certain overall gross profit

margin, typically expressed as a percentage of turnover.

The profit margin expected by product category may differ. Highly perishable produce, e.g.

strawberries, will typically attract a lower margin, compared to produce with a longer shelf life

expectation, e.g. pumpkin. Within a large single product category, e.g. the tomato category,

different margin expectation can exist, depending on whether the product is classified as “loose”,

“grown on the vine”, “pre-packed”, or a quantity of cherry tomatoes packed in a clamshell.

In order to achieve the margin expectation set by the business, the managers responsible for the

performance of the fresh produce department are on a weekly, and sometimes daily, basis,

attempting to understand and balance product movement at various price points, the share of the

produce basket individual products or categories have, and the level of anticipated “instore shrink”

which fluctuates between seasons based on the composition of the range. For example, a range

that at the same time includes strawberries, cherries, nectarines, and apricots, as well as larger

volumes of salad vegetables, is likely to experience a higher shrink percentage than a range that is

focused on apples, oranges, and winter vegetables.

46. Why is the percentage of grocery products sold on promotion high in New Zealand relative to

other countries? Does this benefit or harm New Zealand consumers?

United Fresh cannot in detail comment on the wider grocery offer in relation to this question. One

possible explanation is that supermarket income streams do not just come from retail sales, but also

from suppliers attempting to improve their market share, when compared to their market

competitors, and there is clearly a limit as to how substantial a weekly catalogue or newspaper

advert can be.

The produce part of this equation differs from that within the wider grocery side of the business. There

are typically less than six, and often significantly less than six, produce items on promotion at any one

time, as the impact of any one successful promotion within a limited number of SKUs really has the

ability to impact on overall departmental gross profit expectations.

The produce category is also not the place in a supermarket where consumers suddenly increase

their regular purchasing volume substantially, in order to stock up for a rainy day, as consumers

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instinctively understand the perishable nature of fresh produce. Produce promotional items therefore

have two impacts:

• Consumers responding to a promotional offer on broccoli are less likely to purchase

cauliflower in the same week. The net result is meal component substitution.

• Consumers who typically do not purchase produce at a major grocery retailer, but frequent

other outlets instead, are enticed to take up the produce offer in a particular week, in the

perennial hope to turn these opportunity customers into more loyal customers.

Retailers and suppliers have learned the hard way that produce promotions at deep price cuts will

typically lead to increased volumes being sold in the week the product is being offered, but do not

lead to increased consumption over a period of time. That, for example, is one reason why

promotional offers of 20kg bags of potatoes that were common 20 years ago are rarely seen today.

Yes, sales of that item increased dramatically in the week the product was offered, but:

• Consumers who bought 2 bags of 20kg potatoes in the week of the promotion then spent the

next month and half eating those potatoes without purchasing any more.

• The offer bastardised the entire potato category, as sales of smaller/loose potato offerings

plummeted, and took weeks to recover, with the net effect of seriously impacting produce

department profitability for three weeks, due to the size of the potato category within that

range.

47. How are pricing promotions funded? Do these typically result in lower margins to retailers or

suppliers?

As United Fresh is not directly involved in trading activities, we cannot comment on this question.

48. How important are loyalty programmes in New Zealand’s retail grocery sector? What impact, if

any, are grocery retailers’ loyalty programmes having on the sector?

One of the authors of this submission was the Project Manager for the “Foodtown Card” in the early

1990s, which was the first supermarket loyalty card scheme in New Zealand. The Foodtown Card

evolved into the “Onecard” when Progressive Enterprises Ltd. and Woolworths New Zealand Ltd.

merged in the early 2000s.

The motivation of introducing the Foodtown Card at the time was built on the following:

• Advances in IT technology had reached the point where the company began to develop a

better understanding about opportunistic customers searching for specials, and regular

shoppers who took advantage of specials as part of their main shop.

• Supermarket margins typically operate in the mid-single digit range, when measured by

EBITDA. Under-projecting the potential impact of a deep discount special in a key category

can have significant consequences for an entire categories/departments weekly profitability.

• A substantial New Zealand consumer segment at the time, particularly outside of Auckland,

where distance and traffic was less of a consideration, viewed “supermarket grazing” as an

essential part of their weekly activity. In practice, this meant customers fitting this category

filling their trolleys, entirely with discounted weekly specials, would contribute to turnover, but

not necessarily margin.

• As market share pressures increased, the focus of the company moved towards finding a

solution that would allow it to reduce its reliance on the weekly deep cut discount model, in

favour of another mechanism, which would allow them to reward repeat customers for

shopping regularly with the company.

Like many supermarket strategies and behaviours, the concept originated in the US, where loyalty

programmes were seen as a continuation of that country’s primary promotional mechanism, i.e.,

coupons. New Zealand had abandoned that strategy by the mid-1970s.

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Upon introduction of the Foodtown card, the company initially reduced its promotional spend

available to customers in general and targeted Foodtown Card holders once a certain membership

threshold had been reached.

Questions about today’s impact would need to be directed to organisations actively participating

in the supply chain to the major grocery retailers.

49. To what extent do consumers base their purchasing decisions on the benefits associated with

loyalty programmes? Do consumers typically participate in more than one loyalty programme?

This Question would be best answered by the major grocery retailers or their shelf stable grocery

suppliers.

50. Are there any other specific features of loyalty programmes offered by grocery retailers we should

consider in our study?

Our general observation is that membership of a loyalty programme is based on a consumer’s

decision to participate. Furthermore, loyalty programmes are by no means limited to major grocery

retailers, but are also offered by food retailers in other categories, hardware stores, pharmacy chains,

airlines, farm supply companies, banks, and more. Any study into loyalty programmes in the

supermarket industry should therefore be conducted within a broader framework that goes beyond

examining the impact of loyalty programmes within just one part of the economy.

51. Are there any other issues not raised in this paper that could impact competition in New Zealand’s

retail grocery sector?

There are shifts occurring within consumer perception, and purchasing behaviours, in relation to food.

Some of the trends that are impacting on produce are these:

• The emphasis of produce on many consumer plates is shifting. Produce is moving from being

a meal component to becoming the “main event”.

• Vegetable products are being positioned as “meat replacements”, e.g., the plant protein

based burger patties now available for sale.

• Increased consumption of fruit & vegetables is not only seen as beneficial for human health

& wellbeing, but is promoted as such by Government agencies and industry associations

around the globe, e.g. 5+ A Day, and other similar programmes.

• The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals are encouraging mankind to reduce the

emphasis on meat based diets and opting for plant proteins as a viable alternative.

• The functional foods category is creating new realities: a New Zealand example is the low-

carb “Lotatoes™”,6 launched by one of New Zealand’s major wholesale produce

companies, which actually happens to be in the process of turning itself into a vertically

integrated grower-marketer in key categories.

The sum of these trends, and others not mentioned within this context, suggest that fresh produce

production will steadily need to increase in the medium to long term, to satisfy the demand of new

and non-traditional consumer produce channels, in addition to the ongoing demands of traditional

established channels. Any industry that is competitively trying to manage the natural equilibrium of

supply and demand, inevitably will need to focus on three factors, these being:

• The availability of labour to handle those aspects of production cycles that cannot be left to

technology alone.

• The level of education in the science, technical, and business disciplines required by the

labour force.

• The impact new and non-traditional channels will have on existing and traditional channels.

6 https://tandg.global/our-produce/lotatoes/. Accessed 18 January 2021.

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United Fresh Response to The Commerce Commission on the Market Study Into The Retail Grocery Sector

03 February 2021 Page 25 of 25

If production increases needed to satisfy demand are not able to occur at the same pace as

additional consumer channel demand is generated, then invariably, traditional channels may end

up having to pay more for fruit & vegetables than is currently the case.

Yet, consumers in the traditional channels may not have a choice. A simplified example of this

proposition is the fact that under trading conditions prior to COVID, the price New Zealanders paid

for top-cut meat products was linked to what meat exporters could achieve pricewise in export

markets.

Concluding Comment We have aimed in our submission to provide ComCom with sensible answers to the questions posed,

wherever we felt sufficiently knowledgeable to answer. We have also attempted to convey the

message that a category, such as produce, within the wider grocery range, does not necessarily

conform to typical shelf-stable grocery norms, behaviours, or assumptions, due to its complexity and

perishability.

As a result of its pan-industry focus, United Fresh is in the unique position of providing overviews and

linkages from one end of the produce value chain to the other, and has done this here in good faith.

We are available to provide further inputs, if and as required.