rest summary
TRANSCRIPT
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DNV GL © 2013
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25 November 2016 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER1 DNV GL © 2013 AM002
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25 November 2016
Reliable Sensor Technologies (REST)
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Scope of REST Project To examine factors that lead to long-term performance deterioration of sensor
systems.
To assess the reliability of the sensor components vs total system (power, communications, data processor, and inter-connections).
To investigate using modelling analysis (e.g. Bayesian networks) for predicting and evaluating sensor system reliability.
To explore business opportunity for DNV GL in the field of sensor systems reliability.
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Importance of REST Digitalization– Sensor Technology itself is an important part of Digitalization.– DNV GL relies on reliable sensor data for surveying, inspection, monitoring, digital approval,
risk assessment etc. Business Opportunities– Verification/validation of sensors performance; Prediction of sensor reliability; Assessment of
risk.
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Definition
A sensor is a device that measures a physical quantity by generating a functionally related output which can be read by an observer or by an electronic instrument.
A working sensor system is a composite of four distinct parts: – Sensing element produces electrical response
when stimulated by external factors;– Signal conditioning element modifies and
processes the electrical signal to be understood properly by the receiver;
– Sensor interface allows the device to acquire, store, and communicate with an external interface;
– Power system provides external power resources or to harvest energy.
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Sensor System Reliability
The ability of a sensor system to perform its required functions under stated conditions for a specified period of time. For this reason, the reliability of a sensor system will be strongly dependent upon its age, context and application.
A high reliability is especially critical for the following application scenarios:– Complex and smart sensor systems (e.g. Sensor Fusion)– Highly integrated miniature sensor systems (e.g. MEMS
sensors)– Long term monitoring requirements (e.g. Condition
Monitoring) – High Consequence/Mission Critical applications (e.g.
Leak Detection)– Application requires dynamic response (e.g. DPS)– Harsh and extreme working environments (e.g. HTHP).
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Factors Affecting Sensor Reliability Each component of the sensor system, design, manufacturing, packaging,
installation, maintenance, calibration, and the software used by a sensor system can affect its reliability.
One method for assessing sensor system reliability is Failure Mode, Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA), where a risk assessment is made of each failure mode to determine its criticality. Criticality is derived from an assessment of the probability that a particular failure will occur combined with the severity of the failure if it does occur (i.e. the consequence).
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Generic Ranking of a Pressure Sensor To carry out an FMECA for a sensor system, a systematic analysis need to be
performed based on the sensing mechanism, the working environments and the overall redundancy.
Table below shows the criticality of a pressure sensor (generic) used in subsea processing, where the criticalities were divided into five categories of Very Low, Low, Medium, High, and Very High.
Sensor System Components Failure Modes CriticalityVery low Low Medium High Very
HighSensor elements Degradation of Sensing Material
Thermal Induced Signal Processing Components
Degradation of contacts or connections
Thermal Induced Degradation of Signal Processors
Power System
Degradation of contacts or connections
Faulty Electronics Loss of Power
Interface Communicating Components
Degradation of contacts or connections
Faulty Electronics Poor/Insecure Signal
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Improving Sensor System Reliability
Design/Manufacturing. Choosing the Suitable Sensor Systems. A Strictly Enforced Maintenance and Calibration Plan.
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Design/Manufacturing
The most effective strategy to improve sensor system reliability is through careful system design and well-controlled manufacturing quality.
A current tendency is to rely on a single vendor who can perform the entire process of sensor design, manufacturing, and testing.
Example: A variable capacitance silicon accelerometer used in implantable devices with no field failures among the four million parts was designed and manufactured using MEMS technology.
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Choosing the Suitable Sensor Systems
The reliability of a sensor system will be strongly influenced by the working environment into which it is applied.
For mission critical purposes or long term usage such as condition monitoring of infrastructures, certain levels of testing (normally including destructive testing) are necessary before deploying sensors into the field.
There have been attempts to develop computer based models such as “Multi Criteria Decision Making” models for aiding sensor selection.
In practice, the majority of sensor selections is based on manufacturer provided technical data sheets, sensor users’ past experience, or expert knowledge and recommendations.
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Choosing the Suitable Sensor SystemsClassification Societies Roles: DNV GL’s Recommended Practices on Reliable
Sensor System for Maritime Monitoring. Objective: to lead to more reliable sensor
systems and subsequently improved quality of the data collected for analysis and decision support in condition and performance monitoring of equipment, environmental monitoring and sensing systems Methodology: to ensuring system level reliability through defining the minimum requirements of the lowermost level, i.e. sensor components in a future maritime condition monitoring system.
Component
Failure modes Sensors
OutputComponent Sensor Requirements
(Reliable Sensor Technology
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A Strictly Enforced Maintenance and Calibration Plan A practical maintenance plan must be determined based on previous experience
and intensive testing in both lab and field to ensure that sensor systems can be used with high reliability, efforts must be taken to eliminate human errors.
After deployment, sensors require occasional testing and replacement of wear-out components. Most sensor manufacturers will provide guidance for the maintenance requirements, but users have to adopt these requirements into their own procedures.
Calibration is essential for establishing the accuracy of a sensor in relation to standards. Some modern “smart” sensing systems have the capability of self-calibration due to integration with an ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit).
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Evaluation of Sensor System Reliability Testing can be performed at different levels depends on the application scenarios. Testing is to verify the reliability of a sensor system, but can not improve it. Accelerated Life Testing (ALT) is typically employed to assess the long-term
performance of a sensor in a short period of time. ALT stresses the sensor systems by exposure to purposely harsh environments to
induce field failure at a much faster rate, which should include: 1. Define the scope 2. Collect required information 3. Determine the mechanisms of degradationto establish appropriate types and levels of stresses 4. Conduct the accelerated tests 5. Predict the field life of the sensor system
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Prediction of Sensor System Reliability Four categories of detection methods can applied to
develop algorithms to detect faulty sensor data as a screening tool prior to passing information on to decision-aid tools: – Rule-based methods define heuristic rules/constraints
that the sensor readings must satisfy.– Estimation methods define “normal” sensor behavior by leveraging spatial correlation in measurements at different sensors.– Time series analysis based methods compare a sensor
measurement against its predicted value based on time series forecasting to determine if it is faulty .
– Learning-based methods infer statistically established models to identify faulty sensor readings using training data.
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Prediction of Sensor System Reliability There exists the need to estimate the
uncertainty attached to the sensor data being received, useful in the situation where sensor systems can degrade over time in service, and thus the data may need to be corrected or compensated before decisions can be made.
Knowing enough information about a sensor system, including the working mechanism of sensors, its technical specifications, failure modes and working environments, it is feasible to construct a Bayesian network model for filtering and assessing unreliable sensor data.
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Generic structure of a simplified Bayesian network to predict the reliability of sensor data under the influence of degradation and aging of the sensor components.
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A Case Study: Digital Downhole Digital downhole refers to the entire instrumented drill string system, the sensor
communication system, and the digital twin model. Sensor systems assessing the conditions downhole and reporting them to the
operations managers. Sensors of significance include pressure, flow, temperature and fluid chemistry
monitoring sensors.
The sensor data flowing back to the operations center provides the inputs needed to construct the real-time digital representation (i.e. the digital twin) of the downhole system, so that operators see an exact picture of the state of health, and can make adjustments to correct any deviations or initiate emergency procedures.
The Digital Downhole instrumented by pressure and flow sensors
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A Case Study: Digital Downhole System Constraints on Sensor Data Physics engine places constraints upon “normal sensor data” based on type and
position:
Internalizing these constraints allows cross-checking via analytical redundancy relations
Downhole pressure (pd) linked to pump pressure (pp), hydraulic pressure (gravity, Gd) and friction in drillstring (friction factor θd and flow, q)Annular pressure (pa) linked to downhole pressure (pd), and friction across the bore (friction factor θb and flow, q)
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Fault isolation and detection in digital downhole.
Using Analytical Redundancy Relations to generate digital “fingerprints” for normal operations versus failure modes.
Each failure mode for the downhole system will correspond to a unique pattern of deviation in analytical redundancy relations. These unique patterns can be used as fingerprints that allow fault detection and isolation within the Digital Downhole system.
Data smoothing and p-value hypothesis testing required to discern true constraint-breaking from noise.
A Case Study: Digital Downhole
Sensor issues Process issues
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A Case Study: Digital Downhole
Combined survival probability models with fingerprinting and the Digital Twins technology for sensor reliability assessment.
As the Digital Downhole system collects
data and reports on sensor performance through the use of analytical redundancy relations, the sensor reliability models can be updated.
Conversely, the updatable sensor reliability models can be used to assess the likelihood of a sensor failure. (i.e. to distinguish a true constraint-breaking event from the background noise.) Sensors reliability model constructed through
lab-based testing, but are then updated in real-time by data coming in through “fingerprint” analysis performed by the Digital Twin
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A Potential Business Case• With digital communication:
-Either there is communication or not. There is no accuracy reduction along the signal chain.- Only degradation is inside the sensor.
• Pressure Sensor: +/- 0.35 Bar when “out of the box” +/- 9.1 Bar after 25 years• Temperature Sensor: +/- 0.6 C “out of the box” +/- 5.6 C after 25 years
WEPS-100 Series Subsea Sensors Pressure and Temperature by SIEMENS
• The mechanism leads to the huge drift is unclear but may be related to operation temperature etc.
• An unplanned maintenance of each module could cost Akers millions $ per day.
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A Potential Business CaseDNV GL can help through: Consulting with sensor manufacturer on product details and test results. Consulting with end-users on operation condition and field test results. Creating a Bayesian networks model integrating all factors resulting in sensor drift. Predicting the effect of sensor drift in field operation, i.e. what is the “real” reading. Testing to validate and improve the models.
Year
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Potential Business Models: Verification and Classification Control/Mitigate Risk for Customer:
- Accurate interpretation of the sensor data (considering the sensor reliability); - Better selection of sensors (predicting the sensor reliability in the field); - Modify the sensor life curve by considering the sensor degradation mechanism and
operation conditions etc.- Create models from top down, i.e. from inputs to results.
Verify/ Qualify Sensors for certain applications: – Using customer provided sensor data as input to an BN model for validation.– Output from the model: * Whether sensor accuracy is within range of actual value and its
frequency. * Whether the signal is a false positive and its frequency, and *Whether the signal quality or accuracy degrades with time.
Explore methods for sensor system reliability assessment as a base for future certification services. – Type approval of sensors for condition monitoring purpose, where sensor data transferred
to class is part of a (semi)real-time survey scheme: CMC.– Outline Class notation on newbuilds and retrofits
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SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
Shan Guan, [email protected]