result update (parent basis): q2 fy15breport.myiris.com/firstcall/dbcorp_20141020.pdf · radio...
TRANSCRIPT
CMP 364.65
Target Price 420.00
ISIN: INE950I01011
OCTOBER 20th
2014
D B CORP LTD
Result Update (PARENT BASIS): Q2 FY15
BUYBUYBUYBUY
Index Details
Stock Data
Sector Publishing
BSE Code 533151
Face Value 10.00
52wk. High / Low (Rs.) 393.25/232.00
Volume (2wk. Avg.) 75000
Market Cap (Rs. mn.) 66949.01
Annual Estimated Results (A*: Actual / E*: Estimated)
YEARS FY14A FY15E FY16E
Net Sales 18562.09 20789.54 22868.49
EBITDA 5235.25 5563.81 6066.58
Net Profit 3062.85 3132.35 3437.51
EPS 16.69 17.06 18.72
P/E 21.85 21.37 19.48
Shareholding Pattern (%)
1 Year Comparative Graph
D B CORP LTD S&P BSE SENSEX
SYNOPSIS
D B Corp Ltd. is engaged in printing and publication
of Newspaper in four languages across 14 states, in
Radio Business with "My FM" Radio station in 7
states and 17 cities along with strong web presence
in India.
Net Profit for the quarter was up by 9.66% at Rs.
681.27 million against Rs. 621.23 million,
corresponding quarter of previous year.
Revenue for the quarter rose by 10.57% to Rs.
4799.60 million from Rs. 4340.74 million, when
compared with the prior year period.
EBDITA or operating profit of the company rose by
12.13% from Rs. 1133.58 million to Rs. 1271.08
million in the current September quarter.
During Q2 FY15, Consolidated revenue increased by
9.2% to Rs. 4838 million from Rs. 4430 million.
Print business EBIDTA margins stand at 26.3% at
Rs. 1195 million and PAT stands at Rs.646 million
(14% PAT margin).
DBCL’s core markets tier II and tier III cities
(population less than 4 million) witnessing
exponential growth in internet users.
Advertising Revenues grew by 9% to Rs. 3610
million as against Rs. 3311 million in the same
period last year.
Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to
grow at a CAGR of 13% and 14% over 2013 to
2016E respectively.
PEER GROUPS CMP MARKET CAP EPS P/E (X) P/BV(X) DIVIDEND
Company Name (Rs.) Rs. mn. (Rs.) Ratio Ratio (%)
D B Corp Ltd 364.65 66949.01 16.69 21.85 5.85 42.50
Jagran Prakashan Ltd 123.10 40242.80 7.03 17.51 4.23 150.00
Hindustan Media Ventures Ltd 166.50 12220.10 16.53 10.07 2.01 12.00
HT Media Ltd 108.15 25359.50 6.01 18.00 1.80 20.00
QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS (PARENT BASIS)
Results updates- Q2 FY15,
Months Sep-14 Sep-13 % Change
Net Sales 4799.60 4340.74 10.57
PAT 681.27 621.23 9.66
EPS 3.71 3.39 9.55
EBITDA 1271.08 1133.58 12.13
The company net profit jumps to Rs. 681.27 million against Rs. 621.23 million in the corresponding quarter
ending of previous year, an increase of 9.66%. The company achieved a turnover of Rs. 4799.60 million
registering an increase of 10.57% for the 2nd quarter of the current year 2014-15 as against Rs. 4340.74 millions
in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Reported earnings per share of the company stood at Rs. 3.71
a share during the quarter as against Rs. 3.39 over previous year period. Profit before interest, depreciation and
tax is Rs. 1271.08 million as against Rs. 1133.58 million in the corresponding period of the previous year.
Break up of Expenditure
Particulars
Rs. Millions
Q2 FY15 Q2 FY14
Raw Materials consumed 1620.92 1503.58
Depreciation 207.87 157.00
Employees Benefit Expenses 839.97 716.17
Other Expenditure 1113.19 1024.93
Latest Updates
� DBCL’s core markets tier II and tier III cities (population less than 4 million) witnessing exponential growth
in internet users.
� DB Digital subsuming of six digital portals has breached 14 million unique visitors mark.
� The properties saw phenomenal progress in Q2 with Unique Visitors growing by 56% and a growth of 83%
in Pages per Visit – the highest in the industry.
� DBCL’s newest digital property saw a significant growth of 155% increase in page views and 43% in unique
visitors.
� Dainik App active user base has grown by 260%, over last quarter to have 250,000 active users.
Highlights Q1 FY15 (Consolidated)
� During Q2 FY15, Consolidated revenue increased by 9.2% to Rs. 4838 million, from Rs. 4430 million.
� PAT margin stands at 14.1% to Rs. 681 million against Rs. 602 million, in Q2 of last year, with YOY growth of
13.2%.
� Advertising Revenues grew by 9% to Rs. 3610 million as against Rs. 3311 million in the same period last
year.
� The Company, Radio Business advertising revenue grew by 33.3% to Rs. 228 million in Q2 FY15 of current
period, against Rs. 171 million in Q2 FY14 of last fiscal. Radio business EBIDTA stands at Rs. 86 million (38%
margin). The business PAT stands at Rs. 43.4 million (19% margin).
� DB Corp Ltd, Digital business revenue grew by 57% to Rs. 63 million from Rs. 40 million of last year. Digital
business EBIDTA losses reduced to Rs. 9.6 million from Rs. 22 million of last year.
� During Q2 FY 2015, Total Revenue of print business at Rs. 340 million increase on YOY basis and the Print
business PAT stands at Rs. 646 million (14% PAT margin). EBIDTA margin of Print business stand at 26.3%
at Rs. 1195 million.
� Print business advertising revenues increase to Rs. 3319 million from Rs. 3099 million, reflecting a growth of
7.1% YOY basis.
COMPANY PROFILE
DB Corp Ltd. is India’s largest print media company that publishes 7 newspapers with Dainik Bhaskar 37
editions, Divya Bhaskar 7 editions, & Divya Marathi 7 editions with 199 sub-editions in 4 multiple languages
(Hindi, Gujarati, English and Marathi) across 14 states in India. The Company flagship newspapers Dainik
Bhaskar (in Hindi) established in 1958, Divya Bhaskar and Saurashtra Samachar (in Gujarati) have a combined
average daily readership of 19.8 million, making us one of the most widely read newspaper groups in India with
presence in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab, Chandigarh, Himachal Pradesh,
Uttrakhand, Delhi, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Jammu. Other noteworthy newspaper brands are Dainik
Divya Marathi, DB Star and, DNA (in Gujarat & Rajasthan) on a franchisee basis. DBCL is the only media
conglomerate that enjoys a leadership position in multiple states, in multiple languages and is a dominant player
in its all major markets.
The company’s other business interests also span the radio segment through the brand "My FM" Radio station in
7 states and 17 cities along with strong web presence in India.
Coverage Area
49% of Indian urban Population resides in D B Corp Market across 14 states. The Hindi daily Dainik Bhaskar is
present in 12 states with 37 editions. Its Gujarati Newspaper Divya Bhaskar is present in Gujarat and
Maharashtra with 7 editions. Its Marathi Newspaper Dainik Divya Marathi is present in Maharashtra with 7
editions. The company also has presence in Business Daily (Business Bhaskar) and English Daily through
franchisee model of DNA.
D B Corp Limited recently extended its presence to 7th language Marathi with launch of its 66th edition Dainik
Divya Marathi newspaper in Amravati, Maharashtra on 11th August, 2013. Since in last 2 Years DB Corp has
launched 6 more editions from Nasik, Jalgaon, Ahmednagar, Solapur, Akola and Amravati of its Marathi
newspaper Dainik Divya Marathi, increasing our strength to 7 editions in Maharashtra.
Newspaper and Magazines Brands
� Dainik Bhaskar
'Dainik Bhaskar', the flagship Newspaper brand is established since 1958. This newspaper spreads in 12
states with 37 editions and 163 district editions.
� Divya Bhaskar
Divya Bhaskar became No.1 from Day 1 of it’s launch in June 2003, out placing more than 50 year old local
Gujarati newspaper in Ahmedabad city and became a case study at IIM Ahmedabad. This newspaper has its
presence in Gujarat and Mumbai with 7 editions and 28 district editions.
� Dainik Divya Marathi
D B Corp Ltd has begun its journey in Maharashtra with the launch of Marathi language newspaper Dainik
Divya Marathi newspaper in Amravati, Maharashtra on 11th August, 2013. The newspaper has emerged as the
most popular paper in the city from day 1 of its launch. This newspaper has its presence in 1 state with 7
editions, Aurangabad, Nashik, Jalgaon , Ahmednagar, Solapur, Akola and Amravati.
� MYFM
MYFM launched in 2006 and has span the radio segment through the brand "My FM" Radio station with
presence in 7 states and 17stations, and a strong online presence in internet portals.
� Magazines
� Aha Zindagi!
� Bal Bhaskar
� Lakshya
� Young Bhaskar
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHT (PARENT BASIS) (A*- Actual, E* -Estimations & Rs. In Millions)
Balance Sheet as at March31, 2013 -2016E FY13A FY14A FY15E FY16E
I EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
A) Shareholder's Funds
a) Share Capital 1833.75 1834.86 1834.86 1834.86
b) Reserves and Surplus 8910.10 9609.18 11434.92 13493.21
Sub-Total- Total Net worth 10743.85 11444.04 13269.78 15328.07
B) Non Current Liabilities
a) Long-term borrowings 878.01 726.81 617.79 537.48
b) Deferred Tax Liabilities 833.74 885.13 858.58 815.65
c) Other Long Term Liabilities 310.25 346.38 363.70 370.97
Total Non Current liabilities 2022.00 1958.32 1840.06 1724.10
C) Current Liabilities
a) Short-term borrowings 495.85 536.93 483.24 444.58
b) Trade payables 958.48 1116.83 971.64 874.48
c) Other Current liabilities 1565.08 1558.62 1589.79 1605.69
d) Short term Provisions 941.35 1048.35 922.55 830.29
Sub-Total- Current Liabilities 3960.76 4260.73 3967.22 3755.04
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES (A + B + C) 16726.61 17663.09 19077.07 20807.21
II APPLICATION OF FUNDS
D) Non-Current Assets
Fixed Assets
i. Tangible assets 7595.62 8248.73 8743.65 9443.15
ii. Intangible Assets 294.15 234.91 246.66 266.39
iii. Capital work-in-progress 70.25 22.24 24.91 27.15
a) Sub-Total-Total Fixed Assets 7960.02 8505.88 9015.22 9736.68
b) Other non-current assets 64.39 48.50 52.87 56.04
c) Non-current investments 1584.09 735.16 769.73 831.31
d) Long Term loans and advances 983.79 1855.19 2133.47 2432.15
Sub-Total-Non-Current Assets 10592.29 11144.73 11971.28 13056.18
E) Current Assets
a) Inventories 1298.20 1732.34 1992.19 2310.94
b) Trade receivables 3038.92 3274.17 3503.36 3716.96
c) Cash and Bank Balances 1247.28 1120.44 1187.67 1270.80
d) Short-terms loans & advances 534.05 375.54 405.58 433.97
e) Other Current Assets 15.87 15.87 16.98 18.34
Sub-Total-Total Current Assets 6134.32 6518.36 7105.78 7751.02
TOTAL ASSETS (D+E) 16726.61 17663.09 19077.07 20807.21
Annual Profit & Loss Statement for the period of 2013 to 2016E
Value(Rs. mn) FY13A FY14A FY15E FY16E
Description 12m 12m 12m 12m
Net Sales 15788.60 18562.09 20789.54 22868.49
Other Income 247.33 238.62 262.48 280.86
Total Income 16035.93 18800.71 21052.02 23149.35
Expenditure -11945.65 -13565.46 -15488.21 -17082.77
Operating Profit 4090.28 5235.25 5563.81 6066.58
Interest -79.78 -75.34 -58.01 -67.87
Gross profit 4010.50 5159.91 5505.80 5998.71
Depreciation -573.07 -641.54 -795.51 -890.97
Profit Before Tax 3437.43 4518.37 4710.29 5107.74
Tax -1131.37 -1455.52 -1577.95 -1670.23
Net Profit 2306.06 3062.85 3132.35 3437.51
Equity capital 1833.74 1834.86 1835.64 1835.98
Reserves 8910.10 9609.18 11434.92 13493.21
Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
EPS 12.58 16.69 17.06 18.72
Quarterly Profit & Loss Statement for the period of 31st Mar, 2014 to 31st Dec, 2014E
Value(Rs. mn) 31-Mar-14 30-Jun-14 30-Sep-14 31-Dec-14E
Description 3m 3m 3m 3m
Net sales 4630.46 4891.52 4799.60 5471.54
Other income 81.80 94.98 36.14 33.25
Total Income 4712.26 4986.50 4835.74 5504.79
Expenditure -3640.04 -3544.58 -3564.66 -3994.23
Operating profit 1072.22 1441.92 1271.08 1510.57
Interest -14.17 -15.73 -14.52 -10.16
Gross profit 1058.05 1426.19 1256.56 1500.40
Depreciation -169.42 -203.61 -207.87 -209.95
Profit Before Tax 888.63 1222.58 1048.69 1290.45
Tax -186.85 -430.06 -367.42 -406.49
Net Profit 701.78 792.52 681.27 883.96
Equity capital 1834.86 1835.64 1835.98 1835.98
Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
EPS 3.82 4.32 3.71 4.81
Ratio Analysis
Particulars FY13A FY14A FY15E FY16E
EPS (Rs.) 12.58 16.69 17.06 18.72
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.91 28.20 26.76 26.53
PBT Margin (%) 21.77 24.34 22.66 22.34
PAT Margin (%) 14.61 16.50 15.07 15.03
P/E Ratio (x) 29.00 21.85 21.37 19.48
ROE (%) 21.46 26.76 23.60 22.42
ROCE (%) 38.48 46.25 44.25 42.65
Debt Equity Ratio 0.13 0.11 0.08 0.06
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.35 12.78 12.03 11.04
Book Value (Rs.) 58.59 62.37 72.29 83.49
P/BV 6.22 5.85 5.04 4.37
Charts
OUTLOOK AND CONCLUSION
� At the current market price of Rs. 364.65, the stock P/E ratio is at 21.37 x FY15E and 19.48 x FY16E
respectively.
� Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY15E and FY16E is seen at Rs. 17.06 and Rs.
18.72 respectively.
� Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 13% and 14% over 2013 to 2016E
respectively.
� On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 12.03 x for FY15E and 11.04 x for FY16E.
� Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 5.04 x and 4.37 x respectively for FY15E and FY16E.
� We expect that the company surplus scenario is likely to continue for the next three years, will keep its
growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of
Rs. 420.00 for Medium to Long term investment.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
As per a FICCI-KPMG report, India’s media and entertainment (M&E) industry reaches 161 million TV
households, 94,067 newspapers (12,511 dailies), about 2000 multiplexes, and 214 million internet users of
which 130 million are mobile internet users.
The year 2013 saw growth in the digitisation of media products and services, as well as development of regional
media. Gaming and digital advertising were two sub-sectors which recorded strong growth compared to 2012.
Today, the industry continues to grow, playing an important role in bringing about awareness on many issues
that impact the populace. India’s massive consumer base also gives the M&E industry a tremendous opportunity
for progress and the sector has the tools to exploit this potential. The current industry is armed with digital
technologies, state-of-the-art mobile devices, penetration of broadband internet and digital cinema, not to
mention backing from the country’s government.
Market size
In calendar year 2013, India’s M&E industry registered a growth of 11.8 per cent over 2012 and touched Rs 918
billon (US$ 14.93 billion), as per a report by FICCI-KPMG. The industry has the potential to grow at 14.2 per cent
to more than Rs 1.78 trillion (US$ 28.95 billion) in the next four years.
The television industry in India is anticipated to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.2 per
cent over 2013-18, to reach Rs 885000 million (US$ 14.39 billion). Digital advertising is projected to have the
highest CAGR of 27.7 per cent with other sub-sectors projected to grow at a CAGR in the range of 9-18 per cent,
till 2018.
The foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in the information and broadcasting (I&B) sector (including print
media) in the period April 2000 - July 2014 stood at US$ 3,735.77 million.
Government Initiatives
The Indian and Canadian governments signed an audio-visual co-production deal in early 2014 that would help
producers from both countries to harness their technical, creative, artistic, financial and marketing resources for
co-productions and, subsequently, lead to exchange of culture and art amongst them.
The Centre has given the go-ahead for licences to 45 new news and entertainment channels in India. Among
those who have secured the licenses include established names such as Star, Sony, Viacom and Zee. Presently,
there are 350 broadcasters which cater to 780 channels. “We want more competition and we wanted to open it
up for the public. So far, we have approved the licences of 45 new channels. It’s a mix of both news and non-news
channels.
Road Ahead
Digitisation will drive India’s M&E industry forward. The internet user base which is already over 200 million
will likely generate vast revenue. Some time back, telecom companies began to focus on data as a means to create
revenue. Additionally, advertising agencies began competition with each other to acquire in the digital and social
media domains. These developments suggest growth for the M&E industry in India. Opportunities outside the
country also beckon. Africa and the Middle East are two burgeoning M&E markets, and Indian M&E companies
will do well to tap the regions’ potential.
Disclaimer:
This document prepared by our research analysts does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale
of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. The information contained herein is
from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable but do not represent that it is accurate or
complete and it should not be relied on as such. Firstcall India Equity Advisors Pvt. Ltd. or any of it’s affiliates shall
not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the
information contained in this report. This document is provide for assistance only and is not intended to be and must
not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision.
Firstcall India Equity Research: Email – [email protected]
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