results presentation - mpact.co.zampact.co.za/investors-and-media/presentations/2018/year_end... ·...
TRANSCRIPT
3
2017 in context
The most challenging year
Persistent subdued consumer confidence and demand
Record high recovered paper costs
Supply shortage of virgin PET raw material during peak production period
Drought in the Eastern Cape and Western Cape
Mpact Polymers targets not yet realised
Good progress on strategic investments such as
Felixton mill rebuild, Jumbo bin expansion, new closure lines, corrugators
(PE and Brakpan)
Awarded contracts for continued supply of preforms and closures as well as
distribution of containerboard
Product innovation – Gold Pack and Fta Flexographic awards
Mpact Foundation Trust – 22 bursaries awarded
R950 million debt successfully re-financed
5
3,983 4,414 4,688 4,833
4,634 5,134
5,411 5,287
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2014 2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
HY1 HY2
8 6179 548
10 099 10 120
270342 322
169
481
567
462
288
8.7%9.5%
7.8%
4.5%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2014 2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
HY1 HY2 margin
751
909
784
457
Revenue in line with prior year
External sales volumes were
unchanged
Domestic volumes down 4.3%
offset by increased exports
Subdued demand – consumer
spending and drought
Underlying operating profit down to R457m
Higher recovered paper costs
Felixton mill planned shut R30m (non-
recurring)
Virgin PET resin shortage
Underlying earnings of 166.3 cents per
share
Gearing at 34.8% (December 2016: 33.6%)
ROCE of 7.7% (December 2016: 14.2%)
Total dividend of 55 cps
Group revenue
Underlying operating profit
Financial review
7
2,923 3,280 3,463 3,720
3,371 3,780 3,962 4,025
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2014 2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
HY1 HY2
281 315 292177
430488
372
266
11.3% 11.4%
8.9%
5.7%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2014 2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
HY1 HY2 margin
711
803
664
443
Revenue up 4.3% to R7.7bn
Sales volumes in line with prior year
Lower domestic volumes of 4.1%
offset by increased exports
Average prices adversely affected by sales
mix
Drought affecting fruit packaging volumes
Underlying operating profit down to R443m
Higher recovered paper costs
Supply demand imbalance
Change in Chinese import regulation
Benchmark prices peaked mid-year
Felixton mill planned shut R30m (non-
recurring)
Demand for Felixton mill products encouraging
77% 86%
6 2947 060
7 4257 745
Segment revenue
Underlying operating profit
Paper business
Revenue Operating profit
8
2 3442 533
2 7522 455
Segment revenue
Underlying operating profit
1,070 1,148 1,265 1,157
1,274 1,385
1,487 1,298
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2014 2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
HY1 HY2
44
8770
27
88
112
98
43
5.6%
7.9%
6.1%
2.8%
0
50
100
150
200
250
2014 2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
HY1 HY2 margin
Revenue down 10.8% to R2.5bn
Plastics converting volumes down 6.9%
Zimbabwe closure in prior year and
virgin PET resin shortage
Lower average price, adverse sales mix
Underlying operating profit down to R70m
Plastics converting of R142m offset by loss in
Mpact Polymers
Subdued demand and increased
competition in trays and films
Lower sales volumes
Mpact Polymers loss decreased by R14m
23% 14%
132
199
168
70
Plastics business
Revenue Operating profit
Notes:
1. Plastics converting is defined as the Plastics business excluding Mpact Polymers.
10
Revenue
Underlying operating profit
Underlying EPS
Total dividend
ROCE
Gearing %
0.2%
1.2
R10.1 billion
R457 million
166 cents per share
55 cents per share
7.7%
34.8%
Financial summary
41.8%
34.2%
42.1%
6.5
11
Notes:
1. Paper business raw materials include purchased paper, wood, pulp, bagasse and recovered paper.
2. Plastic raw materials include styrene, PET, HDPE, PVC, polypropylene and post consumer PET bottles
3. Other variable costs include chemicals, packaging costs and stock movements.
Source: RISI – PPI Asia, Old Corrugated Containers (OCC), CNF China US$,
converted to ZAR
80
100
120
140
160
180
Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Ind
ex
(De
ce
mb
er
201
5 =
100
)
ZAR US$
Benchmark recovered paper
prices (OCC)
Variable costs
2,8242,918
3,178
552 603644
1,2411,323
1,162
755788
827511
649663
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
Paper business raw materials EnergyPlastic raw materials Selling & distribution costsOther
5 883
6 474
+3.1%
Source: Mpact
3
2
5.0%
12.2%
6.8%
8.9%
2.2%
1
80
90
100
110
120
130
Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Ind
ex(Z
AR
)(D
ecem
ber
2015 =
100)
P1 P2 P3 P4
Benchmark polymer prices
Higher recovered paper cost
Lower plastic raw material cost
Volumes down 6.8%
Customer moving to hard-tolling arrangement
6 281
12
1,465 1,581 1,625
881964 1,017
410
488547
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2015 2016 2017
Depreciation and amortisation
Maintenance and net operating expenses
Personnel costs
Fixed costs
12.2%
5.6%
2.7%
+5.2%
2 756
3 0333 189 Fixed cost, excluding depreciation and
amortisation up 3.8%
Personnel cost on a continuing basis
increased by 4.0%
Lower performance bonus provision
Reduced overtime worked
Cost capitalised to the Felixton mill
upgrade project
Depreciation up 12.2%
Completed capital projects
R m
illio
n
13
R million 2016 2017 change HY1
2016
HY2
2016
HY1
2017
HY2
2017
Underlying operating profit 784 457 (41.8%) 322 462 169 288
Net finance costs (191) (203) (6.1%) (91) (100) (100) (103)
Earnings from equity accounted
investees, profit on disposals and other
fair value gains24 20 (17.0%) 6 18 5 15
Underlying profit before tax 617 274 (55.6%) 237 380 74 200
Tax (charge)/credit before special items (191) 21 (>100%) (82) (109) (22) 43
Non-controlling interests (6) (12) >100% 3 (9) 6 (18)
Underlying earnings 420 283 (33.3%) 158 262 58 225
Special items, net of tax (30) (7) 76.7% 0 (30) 0 (7)
Reported earnings for the year 390 276 (29.6%) 158 232 58 218
Underlying earnings per share (cps) 252.7 166.3 (34.2%) 95.2 157.5 34.3 132.0
Financial review
14
1,303
1,592
2,001
2,244
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2014 2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
n
Net debt
1. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is based on underlying operating profit plus share of equity accounted investees’ net earnings divided by average capital
employed before impairments.
18.1%18.9%
14.2%
7.7%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2014 2015 2016 2017
RO
CE
%
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
ROCE and net debt1
ROCE of 7.7% (December 2016: 14.2%)
Investments in new capital projects
and weaker trading
Net debt increased to R2.2bn
Investments in capital projects offset
by
Improvement in trade working
capital
Gearing at 34.8% (December 2016:
33.6%)
15
1,420 1,660
1,851 1,719
16.5%17.4%
18.3%
17.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2014 2015 2016 2017
Trade working capital % of revenue
Lower finished goods stock at the
Paper mills
Increased purchases at favourable
terms
R m
illio
nTrade working capital
16
(2 001)
1,031
(856)
(232)(114)
(47) (25)
(2 244)-2,500
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
Net debt atDecember
2016
Cashgenerated
fromoperations
after workingcapital
Capitalexpenditure
Interest paid Income taxpaid
Dividend paidto equityholders
Other items Net debt atDecember
2017
R m
illio
nMovement in net debt
17
Net finance cost higher by
6.1%
Borrowing cost capitalised
on the Felixton mill project
of R27.5m
Excluding borrowing cost,
net finance cost increased
by 14.3%
Average net debt up 17.9%
Successfully completed the
re-financing of R950m
R million 2016 2017 change
Net debt - close 2 001 2 244 12.1%
Net debt - average 1 964 2 316 17.9%
Net finance costs 191 203 6.1%
Gearing % 33.6% 34.8% 1.2
Interest cover (underlying EBIT)
(times)4.1 2.3
Net debt to EBITDA (times) 1.6 2.2
1,450
1,010
456
0
400
800
1200
1600
Between 2 -3years
Between 4 -5years
Between 6 -7years
R m
illio
n
Maturity profile of committed facilities
1. Includes Standard Bank & RMB, KZN Growth Fund and IDC
committed facilities.
Net finance cost and net debt
18
Effective tax rate negative, primarily due to:
Tax benefits received from S12I incentives
Felixton mill upgrade project (R114m) and other qualifying assets (R8m)
Deferred tax on certain tax losses not recognised in Mpact Polymers
R million 2016 2017 change
Taxation charge/(credit) 183 (26) (>100%)
Effective tax rate 31.5% (10.1%) (>100%)
Tax paid 142 114 19.7%
Taxation
19
400
280
179
2015 2016 2017
Paper business Plastics business
R m
illio
n
501
531
569
2015 2016 2017
R m
illio
nCapital expenditure cash flows
1. Excludes Corporate capital expenditure of R100 million which comprise spends related mainly to the purchase of Land and Buildings.
1
20
30 3015
8065
40
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2015 2016 2017
Cents
per
share
Interim Final
Dividends
110
95
55
Scrip distribution with an option to receive a cash dividend
Salient dates for the 2017 Final Scrip Distribution and Cash Dividend alternative
Last day to trade to be eligible for the Scrip Distribution and Cash Dividend alternative Monday, 26 March 2018
Shares commence trading “ex” the Scrip Distribution and Cash Dividend alternative Tuesday, 27 March 2018
Record date in respect of Scrip Distribution and Cash Dividend alternative Thursday, 29 March 2018
Scrip Distribution certificates posted and Cash Dividend payments Tuesday, 3 April 2018
22
Encouraged by improved consumer and business confidence
Possibly tempered by factors such as drought, higher VAT rate, sugar tax and
increased competition
Capital investments expected to contribute to future earnings
Improvement in Mpact Polymers albeit at a slower rate than initially planned
Planning to reach Felixton design capacity by year-end
Lower recovered paper prices
Focus on earnings growth initiatives and project optimisation
Outlook