retention reconsidered: a promising approach to an ongoing challenge dr. brent m. drake, assistant...

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RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis & Reporting Purdue University Dr. Andrew K. Koch, Executive Vice President John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Undergraduate Education 2013 NCA HLC Annual Conference Chicago, IL

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Page 1: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE

Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis & Reporting Purdue University

Dr. Andrew K. Koch, Executive Vice PresidentJohn N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Undergraduate Education

2013 NCA HLC Annual Conference ▪ Chicago, IL

Page 2: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Session Overview

Welcome and Introductions Context

The John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Undergraduate Education

Overview of Foundations of Excellence (FoE) The Studies

Retention. Retention-Related Tuition Impact, and Return on investment Analyses

Promising Practices – “What They Did” Retention Related Practices Lessons Learned from Survey of High

Implementers Questions and Discussion

Page 3: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Session Goals

To share the context of and research supporting the benefits associated with creating a plan for new student success

To show some promising practices associated with plans for new student success

To share why, when it comes to retention, creating and implementing a plan for new student success is a promising approach for an ongoing challenge

Page 4: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

The Context

Page 5: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Who We Are . . .

Who We Are

Page 6: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Th

e G

ard

ner

Inst

itu

te

jngi.org

Page 7: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

(C) John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Undergraduate Education

Foundations of Excellence Institutions: 2003-2013

Page 8: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Foundations of Excellence

VoluntaryComprehensiveInstitution-wide Self-studyTask force-based assessmentPlanning process

Defi

ned

©John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Education

Page 9: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Foundations of Excellence produces:

An action plan which must be executed 

A new strategic vision for the first-year/transfer student experience

©John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Education

Page 10: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

The BIG Take Away

A Program is NOT a Plan . . .

Page 11: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

The core intellectual assumptions:

©John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Education

Page 12: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

The components of theFoE self-study process:

FoEtec®

Current Practices Inventory

Surveys & Performance Indicators

Information Webinars

Feedback / Guidance

Final Action Plan

©John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Education

Page 13: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Task F

orc

eFoE Process Campus Organization

Liaisons (project managers)

Steering committee

Dimension committees (teams)

©John N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Education

Page 14: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Linking with Accreditation Efforts

Page 15: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Why was the study necessary?

Focus on Excellence, but . . .

Growing emphasis on accountability

Public calls for productivity amidst rising higher education costs

National Completion Agenda

Performance-Based Funding

Page 16: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

The Studies

Page 17: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Method

March and April of 2010 staff of Gardner Institute electronically surveyed 144 institutional participants in the Foundations of Excellence program (FoE) Survey asked questions about year of self study, year of implementation of action plan,

level of implementation, and efficacy beliefs about the plan

12 email messages never received so total survey population was 132

103 institutions responded to survey (78% response rate) Survey results were replicated across the 3 site locations of what institution since each

campus participated in the program

Fall to Fall one-year retention rates were pulled from the Integrated Postsecondary Educational Data System (IPEDS) and matched to institutional survey results Most recent available retention rate was as of fall 2008 (fall 2007 cohort) Retention rates gathered for institutions who had taken part in FoE self-study in fall 2008 or

earlier

Page 18: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Method

91 Institutions had viable one-year retention rates report for fall 2008 or earlier 83 of 91 institutions fell into the analysis based on the year of their self study

(self-study conducted prior to 2008-09) 71 of 91 institutions fell into the analysis based on the year of their

implementation (implemented action plan at some level in 2008-09 or earlier) 8 institutions reported conducting the self study and implementation both in

2008-09 and thus were in the implementation analysis (71) but not the self-study analysis (81)

Repeated measures (within-subjects) ANOVA utilized to examine time series differences in one-year retention rates Retention rate differences between self-study year and subsequent years Retention rate differences between year prior to implementation of action

plan, year of implementation, and subsequent years

Page 19: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Overall Rates Post Self-study

1-year post self study

2-years post self study

3-years post self study

4-years post self study

5-years post self study

Change in Rate -0.93 -0.06 2.39** 1.64 2.85

N 83 66 43 19 19* p< .10, ** p< .05

1 yr post 2yr post 3yr post 4yr post 5yr post-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Chart 1. All Institutions' Change in 1-yr Retention Rates by Length of Time

Page 20: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Overall Rates Post Implementation

Implement Action Plan

VariablePre-implement to Implement

Pre to 1-year post implement

Pre to 2-year post implement

Pre to 3-year post implement

Pre to 4-year post implement

Yes

Change in Rate

-0.07 -0.54 0.97 2.70 2.92

N 71 54 39 20 13* p< .10, ** p< .05

Implement year 1yr post 2yr post 3yr post 4yr post-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Chart 2. Institutions' Change in 1-yr Retention Rates by Length of Time Post Implementation

Page 21: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Level of Implementation

Implement Action Plan

Variable1-year post self study

2-years post self study

3-years post self study

4-years post self study

5-years post self study

Not at all

Change in Rate

-8.20* -0.50 0.00

N 5 2 1

Limited Degree

Change in Rate

-0.28* -0.25 1.11 1.50 1.25

N 14 12 9 4 4

Medium Degree

Change in Rate

-1.53* -1.80 0.93 -3.20 -2.40

N 32 26 13 5 5

High Degree

Change in Rate

1.04* 1.43 4.66 4.57 5.86

N 25 21 15 7 7* p< .10, ** p< .05

Page 22: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Level of Implementation

Implement Action Plan

VariablePre-implement to Implement

Pre to 1-year post

implement

Pre to 2-year post

implement

Pre to 3-year post

implement

Pre to 4-year post

implement

Limited Degree

Change in Rate

0.00 -0.70* 1.50* 2.00 -0.50

N 12 10 8 4 2

Medium Degree

Change in Rate

-1.28 -2.40* -2.06* 1.84 -2.00

N 35 25 17 6 3

High Degree

Change in Rate

1.67 2.00* 4.35* 3.50 5.62

N 24 19 14 10 8* p< .10, ** p< .05

Page 23: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Level of Implementation

Implement year

1yr post 2yr post 3yr post 4yr post-2.5

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

5.5

6

6.5

1.672

4.34999999999999

3.5

5.62

-0.949999999999989

-1.92

-0.920000000000002

1.89999999999999

-1.40000000000001

Change in 1-yr retention rates post implementation of FOE action plan by level of im-plementation

high degreeNot high degree

Perc

enta

ge P

oin

t Change in

Rate

Page 24: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Follow Up Studies

Examination of full and part-time retention rates at two-year institutions 30 of 31 institutions match self-study criteria 25 of 31 institutions match implementation criteria

Examination of full-time retention rates at private institutions 22 of 22 institutions match self-study criteria 19 of 22 institutions match implementation criteria Conducted a year later so now could see 6 years post self study and 5 years post

implementation

Revenue Analysis 111 institutions data from 2007 through 2009 Examine retention revenue gain/loss separately from overall enrollment revenue

gain/loss Change in enrollment multiplied by tuition and fee revenue per student, retention

gain/loss of students multiplied by tuition and fee revenue

Page 25: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Two Year Institutions

Saw gains in both part time and full-time retention rates post self study

1-year post 2-years post 3-years post 4-years post 0

0.5

1

1.5

2

Chart 1. All Institutions Change in Part-Time 1-yr Retention Rates by Length of

Time Post Self-Study

1-year post 2-years post 3-years post 4-years post -2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Chart 2. All Institutions Change in Full-Time 1-yr Retention Rates by Length of Time Post

Self-Study

Page 26: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Two Year Institutions

Results by implementation are mixed, low implementers and high implementers saw gains in part and full-time retention rates, but medium implementers decreased

However, given the lack of sample size (cell sizes < 5, often < 2 past the 1 year post implementation mark) it is difficult to draw firm conclusions

All institutions that participated in both FoE and Achieving the Dream had success All had implemented FoE action plan to at least a medium level Gains were made in both part time and full time rates post

implementation Must be considered with caution as it only consists of 4 schools

Page 27: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Private Institutions

Results similar to overall analysis, but even larger gains,

1-yr post 2-yr post 3-yr post 4-yr post 5-yr post 6-yr post-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

Institutions' Change in 1-yr Retention Rates by Length of Time Post Self-Study

Perc

enta

ge P

oin

t Change

in R

ate

Implement Year

1yr post 2yr post 3yr post 4yr post 5yr post0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Institutions' Change in 1-yr Retention Rates by Length of Time Post Implementation

Perc

enta

ge P

oin

t Change in

R

ate

Page 28: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Private Institutions

High Implementers see a 12 percentage point (17.5%) gain in full-time retention rates 5 years post implementation

Implement Year

1yr post 2yr post 3yr post 4yr post 5yr post-4-3-2-10123456789

10111213

Chart 4. Change in 1-yr Retention Rates post Implementation of FoE Action Plan by Level of Plan Implementation

high degreemedium degreelimited degree

Page 29: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Revenue Analysis

Overall the institutions saw revenue gains from increased enrollment in 2008 and 2009

2008 2009$0.00

$250,000.00

$500,000.00

$750,000.00

$1,000,000.00

$1,250,000.00

$1,500,000.00

$1,750,000.00

$2,000,000.00

$2,250,000.00

Revenue Gain from Enrollment 2008-09 and 2009-10 Academic

Years

Page 30: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Revenue Analysis

Retention gains contributed to the revenue gains with institutions who implemented their FoE action plans seeing slightly larger gains

2008 2009$0.00

$25,000.00

$50,000.00

$75,000.00

$100,000.00

$125,000.00

$150,000.00

$175,000.00

$200,000.00

$225,000.00

Revenue Gain from Reten-tion, self studyRevenue Gain from Reten-tion, implementation

Page 31: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Revenue Analysis

Institutions that fully implemented saw revenue growth from retention gains, while institutions that did not fully implement had to enroll more students to offset the lack of revenue growth from retention

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Actual Enrollment Revenue Change

Revenue Gain from Retention

Enrollment Revenue without Retention

Revenue

$0.00

$500,000.00

$1,000,000.00

$1,500,000.00

$2,000,000.00

$2,500,000.00

Not Fully ImplementFully Implement

Page 32: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Revenue Analysis

ROI =

(Gain from investment – Cost of investment)

Cost of investment

Page 33: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Revenue Analysis

151 Institutions in 5 Cohorts Between 2003-04 and 2008-09

Average FoE Fee Paid by Institutions = $18,119 Average Retention Revenue 2008 = $496,321

ROI = $496,321 - $18,119 / $18,119

ROI = $26.39

For every $1 invested, average ROI is $26.39

Over a 2500% return on the investment

Page 34: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Conclusion / Next Steps

Analysis indicates that implementation of FoE action plans is significantly positively related to increases in first-year retention rates across different institution types

Institutions on average saw a more than 2500% return on their investment for one year of revenue

Mitigating factors in the relationship between FoE and retention consist of time and resources to allow for a full implementation of action plan

Plan to re-run the full analysis with the updated survey &

more recent retention rate data

Page 35: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

The BIG Take Aways

A Program is NOT a Plan.

You have to IMPLEMENT the Plan.

Page 36: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

What the Institutions Did

Promising Practices

Page 37: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

What Did They Do?

It Depends . . .

Page 38: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Actions Most Commonly Implemented By the Most Successful Institutions

Implemented or revised a specific first-year program

16

Revised advising program (includes requirements and # of advisors)

7

Curriculum changes (includes general education, core and FYS courses)

7

Improved, reinstated or required pre-enrollment orientation

5

Added to faculty development (includes TA/adjunct training)

5

Revised a policy or procedure (e.g., placement, enrollment, scheduling)

5

Page 39: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Instituted FYE committee/ council 3

Created a one-stop office for student success services

3

Implemented an early alert system 3

Hired a Director for FY programs (faculty and/or student services)

3

Used research/data and program assessment more effectively

3

Actions Most Commonly Implemented By the Most Successful Institutions

Page 40: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Approximately, how much resource investment did your institution make in implementing its FoE action plan?

I do not know

$0 $1 to $10,000 annually

$10,001 to

$25,000 annually

$25,001 to

$50,000 annually

$50,001 to

$75,000 annually

$75,001 or more annually

Total0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

All institutionsHigh implementers

Who implement

ed?

Page 41: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

From where did that money come?

36%

64%

current reallocationnew resource

76%

24%

High Implementers

current reallocationnew resource

What did we learn?

Page 42: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

What can you take away?

Some money is necessary for implementation, but new money is not required.

Many high implementers used 10k or less (21%)

Many high implementers used 75k or more (37%) BUT most high implementers reallocated money (76% of money was reallocated)

Page 43: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Common Themes

The Plan!(Context Matters)

Page 44: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Common Themes

Implement The Plan!

Page 45: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Questions & Discussion

Page 46: RETENTION RECONSIDERED: A PROMISING APPROACH TO AN ONGOING CHALLENGE Dr. Brent M. Drake, Assistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis

Contact Information

Dr. Brent M. DrakeAssistant Vice Provost & Director of Enrollment Management Analysis &

ReportingPurdue [email protected]

Dr. Andrew K. KochExecutive Vice PresidentJohn N. Gardner Institute for Excellence in Undergraduate [email protected] www.jngi.org