richard maue, chief financial officer · 1/29/2019  · i&s acquisition (closed 1/31/2020)...

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Crane Co. Financial Overview Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer

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Page 1: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

Crane Co. Financial Overview

Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer

Page 2: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

AGENDA

2

2019 Results

2020 Outlook

Multi-Year Outlook

Capital Deployment

Summary

Page 3: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

FULL-YEAR 2019 EARNINGS SUMMARY

3

FY 2019 FY 2018 Change

Sales $3,283 $3,346 (2%)

Operating Profit* $494 $485 +2%

Operating Margin* 15.0% 14.5% +50 bps

Earnings per Share* $6.02 $5.99 +1%

Free Cash Flow** $325 $305 +7%

FY 2019

Core Growth (0.4%)

Acquisitions, net +0.1%

FX Translation (1.6%)

Total Sales Change (1.9%)

FY 2019

Diluted EPS: GAAP $2.20

Asbestos Provision $2.98

Repositioning $0.43

Environmental and Other $0.41

Diluted EPS: non-GAAP $6.02

Additional Details

$ Millions Except per-share Amounts

* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details. ** Free cash flow is defined as cash provided by operating activities less capital spending. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.

Page 4: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

FY 2019 SEGMENT RESULTS VS. ORIGINAL GUIDANCE**

4

Core Sales Growth Segment Margin*

ActualOriginal

GuidanceChange Actual

Original Guidance

Change

Fluid Handling +3.9% +4% (10 bps) 13.6% 13.0% +60 bps

Payment & Merchandising Technologies (6.1%) (7%) +90 bps 16.2% 19.0% (280 bps)

Aerospace & Electronics +7.5% +4% +350 bps 24.1% 23.5% +60 bps

Engineered Materials (14.2%) Flat NM 12.9% 15.0% (210 bps)

Crane Co. (0.4%) (2%) to +1% +10 bps 15.0% 15.8% (80 bps)

* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.** Original segment guidance as provided on January 29, 2019.

Page 5: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

2019 EPS* GUIDANCE (AS PRESENTED FEBRUARY 28, 2019)

5* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.

+13%

Non-Repeating

Benefits from 2018

Page 6: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

2019 ACTUAL EPS* BRIDGE

6* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details. 2019G refers to EPS guidance as originally provided on January 28, 2019.

Non-Repeating

Benefits from 2018

+7%

Page 7: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

AGENDA

7

2019 Results

2020 Outlook

Multi-Year Outlook

Capital Deployment

Summary

Page 8: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

OperatingMargin*

11.2% 12.1% 13.2% 14.4% 14.0% 13.8% 14.0% 14.7% 14.5% 15.0% 15.0%

$244

$303

$341

$373

$410

$379 $384$409

$485 $494

$525

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020G

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

• SOLID LONG-TERM TRACK RECORD

8

Total Sales ($ Billions)

Operating Profit* ($ Millions)

$2.2

$2.5$2.6 $2.6

$2.9$2.7 $2.7 $2.8

$3.3 $3.3

$3.5

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020G

* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details. ** Reflects midpoint of core growth guidance range.

CoreGrowth

+0.6% +9.8% +4.3% +0.0% +0.3% (1.2%) 2.0% 1.1% 2.8% (0.4%) (0.5%)

**

»

Page 9: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

2020 GUIDANCE SUMMARY

9

2019 2020G Change****

Net Sales* $3,283 $3,510 +7%

Earnings per Share** $6.02 $6.20–$6.50 +5%

Free Cash Flow*** $325 $330–$360 +6%

2020G Other 2020 Guidance Details

Core Growth (2%) to +1% • Adjusted tax rate of ~21.5%

• Corporate expense of ~$67 million

• Non-operating expense, net**, of

~$39 million (inclusive of ~$47

million of net interest expense)

• Diluted share count of ~60 million

• Capital expenditures of $75 millionAcquisitions +8%

FX Translation (0.5%) to (1%)

Total Sales Change +7%

$ Millions Except per-share Amounts

* For 2020G, we included acquisition-related revenue, which constitutes revenue reflected as pre-acquisition deferred revenue that would otherwise be recognized but for the purchase accounting treatment of acquisitions. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details. ** Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details. *** Free Cash Flow is defined as Cash Provided by Operating Activities, less Capital Spending. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.**** Reflects midpoint of guidance range.

Page 10: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

2020 EPS* GUIDANCE

10

+5%

* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.

Page 11: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

Core Growth

2020 GROWTH OUTLOOK

11

• OVERALL CORE GROWTH EXPECTED TO DECLINE SLIGHTLY

% of Crane

(2020G*)2016 2017 2018 2019 2020G* Comments

34%Fluid

Handling(6%) +2% +4% +4% Flat

+ Growth initiatives

- Process end markets

38%Payment &

MerchandisingTechnologies

+9% +6% +2% (6%) +1%

+ Payment & international currency demand

- U.S. Government currency destocking

- Merchandising demand

22%Aerospace & Electronics

+8% (7%) +8% +8% (3%)

+ Solid defense spending

+ New program wins

- 737 MAX production pause

- Decelerating commercial aftermarket

6%Engineered

Materials+1% +7% (12%) (14%) (1%)

+ Solid execution and pricing

- RV retail / wholesale demand soft

* Reflects midpoint of guidance range.

»

Page 12: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020G Comments

Fluid Handling 10.9% 11.1% 11.7% 13.6% 14.0%+ Productivity and repositioning

- I&S initially margin dilutive

Payment & MerchandisingTechnologies

17.9% 20.5% 17.4% 16.2% 16.0%

+ Productivity and repositioning

- Cummins Allison initially margin dilutive

- Mix (lower USG sales)

Aerospace & Electronics 20.1% 21.8% 22.2% 24.1% 23.5%+ Productivity

- Volume

Engineered Materials 19.1% 18.0% 15.5% 12.9% 13.5%+ Productivity and price

- Volume

2020 SEGMENT MARGIN* OUTLOOK

• EXPECT FLAT CONSOLIDATED ADJUSTED OPERATING MARGIN DESPITE CORE SALES DECLINE

AND ACQUISITION RELATED MARGIN DILUTION12

Segment Margin*

* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.

»

Page 13: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

AGENDA

2019 Results

2020 Outlook

Multi-Year Outlook

Capital Deployment

Summary

13

Page 14: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

Across-the-Cycle Target 2020G*

Avg. Core Growth Segment Margin Core Growth Segment Margin**

Fluid Handling +2%–4% 13%–18% Flat 14.0%

Payment & MerchandisingTechnologies

+3%–5% 18%–22% +1% 16.0%

Aerospace & Electronics +3%–5% 21%–24% (3%) 23.5%

Engineered Materials GDP 12%–16% (1%) 13.5%

LONG-TERM FINANCIAL EXPECTATIONS BY SEGMENT

• EXPECT LONG-TERM CORE EBIT GROWTH OF APPROXIMATELY 6% TO 8%

14* Reflects midpoint of guidance range.** Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.

»

Page 15: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

PATH TO $7.50+ EPS IN 2021

$0.45+

* Excludes Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.15

$7.50+

Page 16: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

AGENDA

2019 Results

2020 Outlook

Multi-Year Outlook

Capital Deployment

Summary

16

Page 17: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

STRUCTURAL FREE CASH CONVERSION* IMPROVING

• STRONG TRACK RECORD ON OPERATIONAL FREE CASH FLOW

17

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Average 94%

Average 78%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Average 107%Average 99%

Free Cash Conversion Free Cash Conversion (Excluding Asbestos)

* Free Cash Flow is defined as Cash Provided by Operating Activities less Capital Spending. Free Cash Flow conversion is defined as Free Cash Flow divided by Net Income excluding Special Items. Please see non-GAAP Financial Measures tables for details.

»

Page 18: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT PRIORITIES

• Internal investments to drive organic growth

– Capital Expenditures

– Research & Development

– Sales & Marketing

• Acquisitions to enhance growth

• Competitive returns to shareholders

– Target total payout ratio of 40%–50%

» Growing dividends in-line with earnings

» Opportunistic share repurchases

• Pension and legacy liability requirements

18

• FOCUS ON BOTH ORGANIC AND INORGANIC GROWTH

Maintain Investment Grade Credit Rating While Funding:

»

Page 19: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

TARGET LEVERAGE LEVELS

• Target 2x–3x adjusted debt to EBITDA, excluding Special Items

– Adjusted debt =

» Gross financial debt

» + Pension liability

» + After-tax net asbestos

• Deploy cash balances and debt capacity

– Internal investments

– Acquisitions

19

• COMMITTED TO CURRENT INVESTMENT GRADE RATING

Debt to EBITDA*

12/31/2017 ~2.7X

1/31/2018 ~4.1X

12/31/2018 ~2.5X

12/31/2019 ~2.9X(PF for I&S acquisition)

»* Debt to EBITDA calculated using the methodology published by Moody’s including adjustments for asbestos, pension, leases, Special Items and other adjustments. For 12/31/2019, Debt

to EBITDA is pro forma for the I&S acquisition.

Page 20: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

LEVERAGE CALCULATIONS

20

• CURRENT ADJUSTED PRO FORMA DEBT-TO-EBITDA OF ~2.85X»

Adjusted Debt ($ Millions) Adjusted EBITDA

Gross Debt (12/31/2019 Balance Sheet) $991 2019 Non-GAAP Operating Profit $494

Asbestos (net of tax and insurance) $485 2019 Interest, net ($44)

Pension, leases, and other adjustments ~$370 2019 Other adjustments, including pension $14

Adjusted Debt as of 12/31/2019 ~$1,846 Non-GAAP Pre-Tax Income $464

I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction

~$75 Interest Expense $47

Adjusted Debt pro forma for I&S acquisition ~$1,921 Depreciation & Amortization $114

Adjustments (pension, leases, etc.) ~$12

2019 Adjusted EBITDA $637

2019 Adj. EBITDA from Cummins Allison and I&S $38

2019 Adjusted EBITDA pro forma for Cummins Allison and I&S acquisitions

$675

* Debt to EBITDA calculated using the methodology published by Moody’s including adjustments for asbestos, pension, leases, Special Items and other adjustments.

Page 21: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

COMMITMENT TO RETURN CASH

• WILL MAINTAIN DIVIDEND PAYOUT BETWEEN 25%–30%,

BUT M&A PRIORITIZED OVER REPURCHASES IN RECENT YEARS21

33%28% 29% 27% 28%

32% 31% 29%23% 26% 27%

32% 39%

23%19% 10%

9%14%

22%

65%67%

52%

27%

47%

42%

31%

38%37%

47%

27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020G*

Dividend Payout Repurchase Payout

Avg. Range

40%–50%

»* 2020G based on adjusted EPS guidance midpoint of $6.35 and annual dividend of $1.72.

Page 22: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT POTENTIAL

• ADDITIONAL VALUE CREATION POTENTIAL

22

»

$2.5–$3.0 Billion Available from 2018–2021

OperatingCash Flow

Repatriated Cash

IncrementalDebt Capacity

Capital Expenditures

Dividends

M&A & Repurchases Committed in 2019

M&A and/orRepurchases

Sources Uses

~$1.5B to $2B

Available for M&A

and/or Repurchases while

Retaining Credit Metrics

Consistent with Existing

Investment Grade Rating

Page 23: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

»

ACQUISITIONS DRIVING SIGNIFICANT BUSINESS WIDE SAVINGS

23

Forecast Synergies Actual Synergies

Instrumentation &

Sampling

~1.5x-2x

Over Past 10 Years, Acquisition Synergy Realization ~1.5x to 2x Original Forecast

Page 24: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

AGENDA

2019 Results

2020 Outlook

Multi-Year Outlook

Capital Deployment

Summary

24

Page 25: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

WHY INVESTORS SHOULD HAVE CONTINUED CONFIDENCE

25

Portfolio of healthy, high ROI businesses across portfolio

Leading, 'sticky' positions in long-cycle demand markets

Outstanding operator with differentiated CBS capability

Significant free cash generator

Disciplined capital allocator

High value M&A potential in core segments

High-performance culture based on ethics and integrity

Page 26: Richard Maue, Chief Financial Officer · 1/29/2019  · I&S acquisition (closed 1/31/2020) purchase price, net of cash-on-hand used in the transaction ~$75 Interest Expense $47 Adjusted

» www.craneco.com