richard sheffield john - usc dana and david dornsife ... · curriculum vitae 15 november, 2018...

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CURRICULUM VITAE 15 November, 2018 Richard Sheffield John Contact Information Department of Psychology University of Southern California 3620 S. McClintock Ave. Los Angeles, California 90089-1061 Office: (213) 740-4011 Mobile: (310) 227-6186 email: [email protected] Education Ph.D. University of Southern California 1984 Psychology (Quantitative) M.S. University of Southern California 1983 Applied Mathematics B.S. Georgia Institute of Technology 1976 Applied Mathematics summa cum laude Current Positions Associate Professor, Department of Psychology, University of Southern California Associate Director for Research and Strategic Planning, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California Professional Experience Department of Psychology, University of Southern California 1990- Associate Professor 1989-1990 Assistant Professor Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), USC 2017- Associate Director for Research and Strategic Planning, 2016-2017 Associate Director for Strategic Planning and Transition 2004- Faculty Research Associate University Park Institutional Review Board (UP-IRB), USC 2006-2014 Chair Institute of Safety and Systems Management, USC 1990-1997 Associate Professor 1984-1990 Assistant Professor 1983-1984 Instructor

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CURRICULUM VITAE 15 November, 2018

Richard Sheffield John Contact Information Department of Psychology University of Southern California 3620 S. McClintock Ave. Los Angeles, California 90089-1061 Office: (213) 740-4011 Mobile: (310) 227-6186 email: [email protected] Education Ph.D. University of Southern California 1984 Psychology (Quantitative) M.S. University of Southern California 1983 Applied Mathematics B.S. Georgia Institute of Technology 1976 Applied Mathematics summa cum laude Current Positions Associate Professor, Department of Psychology, University of Southern California Associate Director for Research and Strategic Planning, Center for Risk and Economic

Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California Professional Experience Department of Psychology, University of Southern California 1990- Associate Professor 1989-1990 Assistant Professor Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), USC 2017- Associate Director for Research and Strategic Planning, 2016-2017 Associate Director for Strategic Planning and Transition 2004- Faculty Research Associate University Park Institutional Review Board (UP-IRB), USC 2006-2014 Chair Institute of Safety and Systems Management, USC 1990-1997 Associate Professor 1984-1990 Assistant Professor 1983-1984 Instructor

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Current Research Contracts and Grants 6/2018-6/2019 Scurich, N. (PI), John, R. S. (co-PI). Enhancing aviation security

through the use of Signal Detection Theory. Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Center for Accelerating Operational Efficiency (CAOE), Arizona State University. ($231,211.; John allocation $101,055.)

12/2017-6/2020 Pynadath, D. (PI), John, R. S. (co-PI), & 4 other co-PIs. Graphical

encoding of first principles for agent-based social simulation. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) ($2,397,553.; John allocation $200,757.)

9/2017-1/2019 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Risk assessments of

homeland security threats, Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). ($800,000.; John allocation $65,592.)

8/2017-6/2019 Rose, A. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Soft target countermeasures

(STC): Does enhanced security improve business performance? Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). ($300,000.; John allocation $126,763.)

9/2016-6/2019 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). COE R&D

comprehensive impact (Landscape) study, Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). ($1,520,000; John allocation $101,317.)

9/2016-9/2020 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Strategic resource

assessments for land ports of entry (LPOE), Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). ($2,400,000; John allocation $263,435.)

Previous Research Contracts and Grants 9/2015-9/2016 Abbas, A. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Dynamic aviation risk

management solution (DARMS), Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). ($800,000; John allocation $37,746.)

11/2014-10/2017 Pynadath, D. (PI), John, R. S. (co-PI), & Rosoff, H. (co-PI). OpenMind.

Army Research Office (ARO), Institute for Creative Technology (ICT). (John allocation $26,794.)

9/2013-3/2016 Orosz, M. (PI), John, R. S., (co-PI), & 3 other co-PIs. Understanding

and influencing security and privacy decision-making. National Science

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Foundation (NSF), SBE: Medium, Information Systems Institute (ISI). ($600,000; John allocation $46,396.)

5/2013-5/2014 von Winterfeldt (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Decision analysis and

experimental design. Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Domestic Nuclear Detection Office (DNDO), Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) ($550,000; John allocation $27,025.)

6/2011-8/2017 Tambe, M. (PI), John, R. S. (co-PI), & Maheswaran, R. (co-PI).

Scalable, stochastic and spatiotemporal game theory for real-world human adversarial behavior. Army Research Office (ARO), ONR BAA 10-026, ARMY FY2011 MURI TOPIC #22: Game Theory for Adversarial Behavior. ($6,000,000.; John allocation $429,071.)

10/2010-6/2017 John, R. S. (PI). Behavioral modeling for terrorism events continuation.

Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Sub-award from the Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) (John allocation ~$400,000.)

10/2010-5/2011 Hora, S. (PI), John, R. S. (co-PI), & 2 other co-PIs. Adversary decision

modeling for terrorism risk management. Department of Homeland Security (DHS). ($293,556.; John allocation ~$12,112.)

3/2010-6/2011 Hora, S. (PI), John, R. S. (co-PI), & Rosoff, H. (co-PI). Response to a

large-scale anthrax attack in Seattle: Public and business decisions to stay or leave. Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Office for Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Risk Management. ($300,000.; John allocation ~$24,223.)

10/2008-9/2010 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Understanding terrorism

risk perception. Department of Energy (DOE), Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), ($600,000.; John allocation ~$46,000.)

4/2004-9/2010 John, R. S. (PI). Behavioral modeling for terrorism events. Department

of Homeland Security (DHS), Sub-award from the Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) (John allocation ~$175,000.)

10/1999-9/2004 Petak, W. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Pre-event strategic planning.

National Science Foundation (NSF), Directorate for Engineering, Engineering Education and Centers Division, sub-award from SUNY Buffalo, Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (MCEER). ($197,800.; John allocation ~$93,000.)

10/1998-3/2000 Petak, W. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Evaluation of new and emerging

technologies for earthquake preparedness and response, National Science Foundation (NSF), Directorate for Engineering, Engineering

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Education and Centers Division, sub-award from SUNY Buffalo, Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (MCEER). ($29,981.; John allocation ~$17,000.)

6/1998-6/2002 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Probability elicitation with

groups of experts. National Science Foundation (NSF), Division of Social, Behavioral and Economic Research, Decision and Risk Management Science (DRMS). ($236,638.; John allocation ~$51,000.)

9/1989-8/1996 Margolin, G. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Marital conflict: Intrapersonal

and interpersonal factors (NIMH MH36595 continuation). National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH), Center for Crime and Delinquency. ($1,282,259.; John allocation ~$100,000.)

3/1989-2/1991 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Communicating

multiattribute risks. International Life Sciences Institute, Risk Science Institute. ($99,014.; John allocation ~$13,000.)

9/1985-8/1989 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Description, review, and

evaluation of the scientific bases of assumptions used in risk assessment (NSF-PRA-85-20692) National Science Foundation, Division of Policy Research and Analysis. ($250,000.; John allocation ~$48,000.)

9/1985-3/1988 Margolin, G. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Marital conflict: Intrapersonal

and interpersonal factors (NIMH MH36595 continuation). National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH), Center for Crime and Delinquency. ($202,000.; John allocation ~$36,000.)

9/1985-3/1987 Petak, W. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Developing risk assessment

methods for use in integrated emergency management at the local level of government (NSF-PRA-85-00754 continuation). National Science Foundation (NSF), Division of Policy Research and Analysis. ($54,924.; John allocation ~$12,000.)

5/1985-4/1987 von Winterfeldt, D. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Communicating risk

information to laypersons: A review and assessment of the literature (NSF-PRA-85-13014). National Science Foundation, Division of Policy Research and Analysis. ($149,983.; John allocation ~$23,000.)

10/1984-2/1985 Petak, W. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Evaluation of risk assessment

methodologies for prioritizing remedial dam safety projects (NSF-PRA-85-00754). National Science Foundation (NSF), Division of Policy Research and Analysis. ($49,947.; John allocation ~$11,000.)

Internal USC Grants

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8/2010-8/2014 Tambe, M. (PI) & John, R. S. (co-PI). Game theory and human behavior. USC Collaboration Fund, Office of Research. ($120,000.)

7/1989-6/1990 John, R. S. (PI). System dynamics of marital conflict and violence.

USC Faculty Research and Innovation Fund (FRIF). ($9,750.) 9/1986-8/1987 John, R. S. (PI). Developing expert systems software for structuring

decision problems. USC Project Socrates. (~ $5000. equipment grant.) 9/1985 – 8/1987 John, R. S. (PI). Developing software for teaching decision analysis.

USC Project Socrates. (~$5000. equipment grant.) Professional Affiliations Member, American Psychology & Law Society (AP-LS), APA Div. 41 Member, Decision Analysis Society (DAS) Member, Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) Member, Psychonomic Society Member, Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM) Member, Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Grant Review Panels National Science Foundation (NSF), Decision, Risk, and Management Science (DRMS)

Panel member. (2017-2019) National Science Foundation (NSF), Humans, Disasters, and Built Environment

Program Panel member (2017) Journal Reviewer Behavior Research Methods, Instruments, and Computers (BRM) Behavioral Assessment Behavioral Sciences and the Law (BSL) Computers and Operations Research Decision Analysis (INFORMS) EURO Journal on Decision Processes Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics

Quantitative Psychology and Measurement Frontiers in Psychiatry Public Mental Health Frontiers in Psychology Cognition Clinical and Health Psychology Organizational Psychology

Personality and Social Psychology Quantitative Psychology and Measurement

Interfaces (INFORMS) International Journal of Aviation Psychology (IJAP)

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Journal of Behavioral Decision Making (JBDM) Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Making (JMCDM) Management Science (INFORMS) Operations Research (INFORMS) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (OBHDP) Psychology and Aging Risk Analysis (SRA) Manuscripts Under Review (* indicates student author) *Chen, Z. & John, R. S. (Under review). Self vs. other differences in decision

dilemmas involving risk, loss, and ambiguity. Decision Analysis.

*Kusumastuti, S., Rosoff, H., Blythe, J., & John, R. S. (Under review). An empirical behavioral study of deterrence: An analog cyber attack simulation game. Risk Analysis.

*Nguyen, K. & John, R. S. (Under review). Resolution and calibration of verbal judgements of aleatory uncertainty. International Journal of Forecasting.

Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (Under review). The dark figure of sexual recidivism.

Behavioral Sciences and the Law. von Winterfeldt, D., Farrow, S., John, R. S., Eyer, J., Rose, A., & Rosoff, H. (Under

review). The value of homeland security research. Risk Analysis. *Zhao, M. & John, R. S. (Under review). Detection of false information in social media

following soft-target terror attacks: A signal detection ROC analysis. Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications (CR:PI).

Published Journal Articles (Google Scholar h-index = 36; Web of Science h-index = 23)

73 *Kusumastuti, S., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (In press). Characterizing conflicting user values for cyber authentication using a virtual public values forum. Decision Analysis.

72 *Zhao, M., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2018). Disaster exposure effects on public risk perception and response to escalating tornado warnings: A natural experiment. Risk Analysis. doi: 10.1111/risa.13205

71 *Chen, Z. & John, R. S. (2018). Foresight, risk attitude, and utility maximization in

naturalistic sequential high-stakes decision making. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 86, 41-50. doi: 10.1016/j.jmp.2018.08.004

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70 *Baucum, M., Scurich, N., & John, R. S. (2018). Lay judgements of the probable cause standard, 17, 225-242. Law, Probability, and Risk. doi: 10.1093/lpr/mgy010

69 Dillon, R., Burns, W., & John, R. S. (2018). Insights for critical alarm-based warning

systems from a risk analysis of commercial aviation passenger screening. Decision Analysis, 15(3), 154-173. doi: 10.1287/deca.2018.0369

68 *Baucum, M., Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Burns, W., & Slovic, P. (2018). Modeling public

responses to soft-target transportation terror. Environment, Systems, and Decisions, 38, 239-249. doi: 10.1007/s10669-018-9676-7

67 *Baucum, M. & John, R. S. (2018). Causal evidence in risk and policy perceptions:

Applying the covariation/mechanism framework. Acta Psychologica, 186, 90-103. doi: 10.1016/j.actpsy.2018.03.003

66 *Cui, J., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2018). Public response to a near-miss nuclear

accident scenarios varying in causal attributions and outcome uncertainty. Risk Analysis, 38(5), 947-961. doi: 10.1111/risa.12920

65 Ryutov, T., Sintov, N., Zhao, M., & John, R. S. (2017). Predicting information

security policy compliance intention and behavior for six employee-based risks. Journal of Information Privacy and Security, 13(4), 260-281. doi: 10.1080/15536548.2017.1418632

64 *Nguyen, K., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2017). Valuing information security from a

phishing attack. Journal of Cybersecurity, 3(3), 159-171. doi: 10.1093/cybsec/tyx006

63 *Nguyen, K., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2017). Valuing equal protection in aviation

security screening. Risk Analysis, 37(12), 2405-2419. doi: 10.1111/risa.12814

62 *Cui, J., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2017). A polytomous Item Response Theory model for measuring near-miss appraisal as a psychological trait. Decision Analysis, 14(2), 75-86. doi: 10.1287/deca.2017.0345

61 Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2017). Jurors’ presumption of innocence. The Journal of Legal Studies, 46(1), 187-206. doi: 10.1086/690450

60 *Cui, J., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2016). Cumulative response to sequences of terror-attacks varying in frequency and trajectory. Risk Analysis, 36(12), 2272-2284. doi: 10.1111/risa.12577

59 *Ridinger, G., John, R. S., McBride, M., & Scurich, N. (2016). Attacker deterrence

and perceived risk in a Stackelberg security game. Risk Analysis, 36(8), 1666-1681. doi: 10.1111/risa.12547

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58 Weiss, D., John, R. S., Rosoff, H., Baumert, T., Buesa, M., Gomez, J., Valeno, A., Shavit, T., Rosenboim, M. (2016). Worth the risk? Terrorism induced fear of flying. Universitas Psychologica, 15(3), 118-135.

57 *Nguyen, K., Rosoff, H. & John, R. S. (2016). The effects of attacker identity and

individual user characteristics on the value of information privacy. Computers in Human Behavior, 55, 372-383. doi: 10.1016/j.chb.2015.09.031

56 Scurich, N., Nguyen, K., & John, R. S. (2016). Quantifying the presumption of

innocence. Law, Probability, and Risk, 15(1), 71-86. doi: 10.1093/lpr/mgv016 55 Siebert, J., von Winterfeldt, D., & John, R. S. (2016). Identifying and structuring the

objectives of the “Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant” (ISIL) and its followers. Decision Analysis, 13(1), 26-50. doi: 10.1287/deca.2015.0324

54 Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2014). Perceptions of randomized security schedules.

Risk Analysis, 34(4), 765-770. doi: 10.1111/risa.12126

53 Rosoff, H., Cui, J., & John, R. S. (2013). Heuristics and biases in cyber security dilemmas. Environment, Systems, and Decisions, 33(4), 517-529. doi: 10.1007/s10669-013-9473-2

52 *Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2013). Mock jurors' use of error rates in DNA database trawls. Law and Human Behavior, 37(6), 424-431. doi: 10.1037/lhb0000046

51 *Yang, R., Kiekintveld, C., Ordonez, F., Tambe, M., & John, R. S. (2013). Improving resource allocation strategies against human adversaries in security games: An extended study. Artificial Intelligence Journal, 195(2), 440-469. doi: 10.1016/j.artint.2012.11.004

50 Rosoff, H., Siko, R., John, R. S., & Burns, W. (2013). Should I stay or should I go? An experimental study of health and financial risk communication following a severe biological attack. Environment, Systems, and Decisions, 33(1), 121-137. doi: 10.1007/s10669-012-9431-4

49 *Scurich, N., Monahan, J. & John, R. S. (2012). Innumeracy and unpacking: Bridging the nomothetic/idiographic divide in violence risk assessment. Law and Human Behavior, 36(6), 548-554. doi: 10.1037/h0093994

48 *Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2012). A Bayesian approach to the group versus individual prediction controversy in actuarial risk assessment. Law and Human Behavior, 36(3), 237-246. doi:10.1037/h0093973

47 *McArdle, S., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2012). Identifying moderators of changing worries, concerns, and behavioral avoidance following 9/11. Risk Analysis, 32(4), 744-761. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01814.x

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46 Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Prager, F. (2012). Flu, risks, and videotape: Escalation of fear and avoidance behavior. Risk Analysis, 32(4), 729-743. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01769.x

45 Dillon, R. L., Lester, G., John, R. S., & Tinsley, C. (2012). Differentiating conflicts in beliefs vs. value trade-offs in the domestic intelligence policy debate. Risk Analysis, 32(4), 713-728. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01747.x

44 Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Burns, W., & Siko, R. (2012). Structuring uncertainty and conflicting objectives for life or death decisions following an urban biological catastrophe. Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management, 2(1), 1-21. doi: 10.5595/idrim.2012.0035

43 *Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2012). Prescriptive approaches to communicating the risk of violence in actuarial risk assessment. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 18(1), 50-78. doi:10.1037/a0024592

42 *Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2011). Constraints on restraints: A signal detection analysis of the use of mechanical restraints on adult psychiatric inpatients. Southern California Review of Law and Social Justice, 21(1), 75-107.

41 *Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2011). Trawling genetic databases: When a DNA match is just a naked statistic. Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, 8(S1), 49-71. doi: 10.1111/j.1740-1461.2011.01231.x

40 Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Burns, W., & Maya, I. (2011). Scenario simulation group reactions to the aftermath of the Great Shake-Out magnitude 7.8 earthquake. Earthquake Spectra, 27(2), 597-614. doi:10.1193/1.3574450

39 *Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2011). The effect of framing actuarial risk probabilities on involuntary civil commitment decisions. Law and Human Behavior, 35(2), 83–91. doi:10.1007/s10979-010-9218-4

38 *Scurich, N. & John, R. S. (2010). The normative threshold for psychiatric civil commitment. Jurimetrics Journal, 50(4), 425-452.

37 Silverton, L., Mednick, S., Holst, C. & John, R. S. (2008). High social class and suicide in persons at risk for schizophrenia. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 117(3), 192-197.

36 *Doumas, D. M., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (2008). Spillover patterns in single-earner couples: Work, self-care, and the marital relationship. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 29(1), 55-73. doi:10.1007/s10834-007-9091-6

35 Damos, D. L., John, R. S., & Lyall, E. A. (2005). Pilot activities and the level of cockpit automation. International Journal of Aviation Psychology, 15(3), 251-268. doi:10.1207/s15327108ijap1503_3

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34 Majchrzak, A., Malhotra, A. & John, R. S. (2005). Perceived individual collaboration know-how development through information technology-enabled contextualization: evidence from distributed teams. Information Systems Research, 16(1), 9-27.

33 *Delsol, C., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (2003). A typology of maritally violent men and correlates of violence in a community sample. Journal of Marriage and Family, 65(3), 635-651. doi:10.1111/j.1741-3737.2003.00635.x

32 *Doumas, D. M., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (2003). The relationship between daily marital interaction, work, and health-promoting behaviors in dual-earner couples: An extension of the work-family spillover model. Journal of Family Issues, 24(1), 3-20. doi:10.1177/0192513X02238518

31 Gatz, M., Reynolds, C. A., Johansson, B., Mortimer, J. A., Pedersen, N. L., & John, R. S. (2002). Telephone screening to identify potential dementia cases in a population-based sample of older adults. International Psychogeriatrics, 14(3), 273-289.

30 Dillon, R. L., John, R. S., & von Winterfeldt, D. (2002). Assessment of cost uncertainties for large technology projects: A methodology and an application. Interfaces, 32(4), 52-66.

29 *Gordis, E. B., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (2001). Parents’ hostility in dyadic marital and triadic family settings and children’s behavior problems. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 69(4), 727-734. doi:10.1037/0022-006X.69.4.727

28 Margolin, G., Gordis, E. B., & John, R. S. (2001). Coparenting: A link between marital conflict and parenting in two-parent families. Journal of Family Psychology, 15(1), 3-21. doi:10.1037/0893-3200.15.1.3

27 *Halloran, E. C., Doumas, D. M., John, R. S., & Margolin, G. (1999). The relationship between aggression in children and locus of control beliefs. The Journal of Genetic Psychology: Research and Theory on Human Development, 160(1), 5-21. doi:10.1080/00221329909595376

26 Damos, D. L., John, R. S., & Lyall, E. A. (1999). The effect of level of automation on time spent looking out of the cockpit. International Journal of Aviation Psychology, 9, 303-314.

25 Margolin, G., John, R. S., & Foo, L. (1998). Interactive and unique risk factors for husbands’ emotional and physical abuse of their wives. Journal of Family Violence, 13(4), 315-344. doi:10.1023/A:1022880518367

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24 *Erel, O., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1998). Observed sibling interaction: Links with the marital and the mother–child relationship. Developmental Psychology, 34(2), 288-298. doi:10.1037/0012-1649.34.2.288

23 *Garcia-OHearn, H., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1997). Mothers’ and fathers’ reports of children’s reactions to naturalistic marital conflict. Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, 36(10), 1366-1373. doi:10.1097/00004583-199710000-00018

22 Damos, D. L., John, R. S., Parker, E. S., & Levine, A. M. (1997). Anti-retroviral therapy and cognitive function. Aviation, Space, and Environmental Medicine, 68(10), 900-906.

21 *Gordis, E. B., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1997). Marital aggression, observed parental hostility, and child behavior during triadic family interaction. Journal of Family Psychology, 11(1), 76-89. doi:10.1037/0893-3200.11.1.76

20 Damos, D. L., John, R. S., Parker, E. S., & Levine, A. M. (1997). Cognitive function in asymptomatic HIV infection. Archives of Neurology, 54, 179-185.

19 Margolin, G., Christensen, A., & John, R. S. (. (1996). The continuance and spillover of everyday tensions in distressed and nondistressed families. Journal of Family Psychology, 10(3), 304-321. doi:10.1037/0893-3200.10.3.304

18 *OBrien, M., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1995). Relation among marital conflict, child coping, and child adjustment. Journal of Clinical Child Psychology, 24(3), 346-361. doi:10.1207/s15374424jccp2403_12

17 *Olin, S. S., John, R. S., & Mednick, S. A. (1995). Assessing the predictive value of teacher reports in a high risk sample for schizophrenia: A ROC analysis. Schizophrenia Research, 16(1), 53-66. doi:10.1016/0920-9964(94)00063-E

16 *Doumas, D., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1994). The intergenerational transmission of aggression across three generations. Journal of Family Violence, 9(2), 157-175. doi:10.1007/BF01531961

15 *OBrien, M., John, R. S., Margolin, G., & Erel, O. (1994). Reliability and diagnostic efficacy of parents’ reports regarding children’s exposure to marital aggression. Violence and Victims, 9(1), 45-62.

14 *Burman, B., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1993). America’s angriest home videos: Behavioral contingencies observed in home reenactments of marital conflict. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 61(1), 28-39. doi:10.1037/0022-006X.61.1.28

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13 *Burman, B., John, R. S., & Margolin, G. (1992). Observed patterns of conflict in violent, nonviolent, and nondistressed couples. Behavioral Assessment, 14(1), 15-37.

12 *OBrien, M., Margolin, G., John, R. S., & Krueger, L. (1991). Mothers and sons cognitive and emotional reactions to simulated marital and family conflict. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 59(5), 692-703. doi:10.1037/0022-006X.59.5.692

11 *Brennan, P. A., Mednick, S. A., & John, R. S. (1989). Specialization in violence: Evidence of a criminal subgroup. Criminology, 27, 437-453.

10 Margolin, G., Burman, B., & John, R. S. (1989). Home observations of married couples reenacting naturalistic conflicts. Behavioral Assessment. Special Issue: Coding Marital Interaction, 11(1), 101-118.

9 Margolin, G., John, R. S., & OBrien, M. (1989). Sequential affective patterns as a function of marital conflict style. Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology, 8(1), 45-61.

8 Margolin, G., John, R. S., & Gleberman, L. (1988). Affective responses to conflictual discussions in violent and nonviolent couples. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 56(1), 24-33. doi:10.1037/0022-006X.56.1.24

7 Stillwell, W., von Winterfeldt, D., & John, R. S. (1987). Comparing hierarchical and non-hierarchical weighting methods for eliciting multiattribute value models, Management Science, 33, 442-450.

6 *Burman, B., John, R. S., & Margolin, G. (1987). Effects of marital and parent-child relations on children’s adjustment. Journal of Family Psychology, 1(1), 91-108. doi:10.1037/h0080439

5 Margolin, G., Hattem, D., John, R. S., & Yost, K. (1985). Perceptual agreement between spouses and outside observers when coding themselves and a stranger dyad. Behavioral Assessment, 7(3), 235-247. doi:10.1007/BF00960755

4 John, R. S., Mednick, S. A., & Schulsinger, F. (1982). Teacher reports as a predictor of schizophrenia and borderline schizophrenia: A Bayesian decision analysis. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 91(6), 399-413. doi:10.1037/0021-843X.91.6.399

3 von Winterfeldt, D., John, R. S., & Borcherding, K. (1981). Cognitive components of risk ratings, Risk Analysis, 1, 277-287.

2 Barron, F. H., & John, R. S. (1980). Reference effects: A sheep in wolf’s clothing. Organizational Behavior & Human Performance, 25(3), 365-374. doi:10.1016/0030-5073(80)90034-3

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1 Eils, L. C., & John, R. S. (1980). A criterion validation of multiattribute utility analysis and of group communication strategy. Organizational Behavior & Human Performance, 25(2), 268-288. doi:10.1016/0030-5073(80)90067-7

Peer Reviewed Proceedings Papers 20 *Baucum, M. & John, R. S. (In press). Gradients of fear and anger in social media

response to soft-target terror attacks. Proceedings of the 52nd Annual Hawaiian International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS), Maui, Hawaii, Jan. 8-11, 2019.

19 *Baucum, M., John, R. S., Mayorga, M., Slovic, P., Burns, W., Portney, K. &

Mumpower, J. (2018). The dynamics of risk perception for soft target terrorism. In Proceedings of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-14) Bi-Annual Conference. Los Angeles, Sept. 16-21, 2018.

18 *Nguyen, K., Rosoff, H. & John, R. S. (2017). Assessing U.S. travelers’ trade-offs

for aviation safety objectives: A natural experiment. In Proceedings of the 50th Annual Hawaiian International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS-2017), Kona, Hawaii, Jan. 4-7.

17 Pynadath, D., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2016). Semi-Automated Construction of

Decision-Theoretic Models of Human Behavior. In Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS-2016), Singapore, May 9-13.

16 Scurich, N., Nguyen, K., & John, R. S. (2015). Jurors’ presumption of innocence:

Impact on cumulative evidence evaluation and verdicts. In Proceedings of the 10th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies (CELS), Washington University School of Law, St. Louis, October 30-31.

15 Rosoff, H., Cui, J., & John, R. S. (2014). Behavioral experiments exploring victims’

response to cyber-based financial fraud and identity theft scenario simulations. In Proceedings of the Symposium on Usable Privacy and Security (SOUPS). Menlo Park, California, July 9-11.

14 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. (2014). Validation of proxy random utility models for

adaptive adversaries. In Proceedings of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-12) Bi-Annual Conference. Honolulu, Hawaii, June 22-27.

13 Scurich, N., Lee, R. & John, R. S. (2013). The presumption of innocence and the

involuntary bookmaker. In Proceedings of the 8th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies (CELS), Univ. of Pennsylvania Law School, October 25-26.

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12 *Pita, J., John, R. S., Maheswaran, R., Tambe, M., & Kraus, S. (2012). A robust approach to addressing human adversaries in security games. In Proceedings of the 20th European Conference on Artificial Intelligence (ECAI-2012). Montpellier, France, August 27-31.

11 *Pita, J., John, R. S., Maheswaran, R., Tambe, M., & Kraus, S. (2012). A robust

solution concept for human bounded rationality in security games. In Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS-2012), Workshop on Human-Agent Interaction Design and Models (HAIDM), Valencia, Spain, June 4-8.

10 *Pita, J., John, R. S., Maheswaran, R., Tambe, M., Yang, R., & Kraus, S. (2012). A

robust approach to addressing human adversaries in security games: Extended. In Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS-2012), Valencia, Spain, June 4-8.

9 *Pita, J., Yang, R., Tambe, M., & John, R. S. (2011). Toward addressing human

behavior with observational uncertainty in security games. In Proceedings of the 25th Annual Conference of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-2011), Workshop on Applied Adversarial Reasoning and Risk Modeling (AARRM), San Francisco, California, August, 7-11.

8 *Yang, R., Kiekintveld, C., Ordonez, F., Tambe, M. & John, R. S. (2011). Improving

resource allocation strategy against human adversaries in security games. In Proceedings of the 22nd International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-2011), Barcelona, Spain, July 16-22.

7 *Yang, R., Kiekintveld, C., Ordonez, F., Tambe, M. & John, R. S. (2011). Including

human behavior in security games. In Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2011), Workshop on Optimization in Multi-Agent Systems (OPTMAS),Taipei, Taiwan, May, 2-6.

6 *Yang, R., Kiekintveld, C., Ordonez, F., Tambe, M. & John, R. S. (2011). Improved

computational models of human behavior in security games: Extended. In Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS-2011), Taipei, Taiwan, May, 2-6.

5 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. (2011). Modeling effects of counterterrorism initiatives for

reducing adversary threats to transportation systems. Journal of Homeland Security, Proceedings of the 2011 DHS Science Conference – 5th Annual University Network Summit, focused on Catastrophes and Complex Systems: Transportation, Washington, D.C., March 30–April 1.

4 *Scurich, N., & John, R. S. (2010). DNA database trawling: Effects on judgments of

guilt and the interpretation of non-genetic evidence. In Proceedings of the 5th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies (CELS), New Haven, Yale Law School, November 5-6

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3 *Rosoff, H. & John, R. S. (2009). Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist.

In Proceedings of the 21st International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-2009), Workshop on Quantitative Risk Analysis for Security Applications (QRASA), Pasadena, California, July 11-17.

2 Damos, D. & John, R. S. (1992). Identifying early cognitive impairment caused by

HIV. In Proceedings of the 20th Conference of the Western European Association of Aviation Psychology, Hamburg, Germany, September.

1 Homer, J., John, R. S., & Cotreau, W. (1986). A dynamic model for understanding

eating disorders. In Proceedings of the 4th International System Dynamics Conference, (pp. 203-222), Seville, Spain, July.

Book Chapters 13 *Cui, J., Nguyen, T., Pita, J., John, R. S. (2017). Methods for addressing the

unpredictable real-world element in security. In A. Abbas, M. Tambe, & D. von Winterfeldt (Eds.), Improving homeland security decisions (pp. 574-603). Cambridge University Press.

12 Rosoff, H. & John, R. S. (2017). Decision analysis by proxy for the adaptive

adversary. In A. Abbas, M. Tambe, & D. von Winterfeldt (Eds.), Improving homeland security decisions (pp. 709-729). Cambridge University Press.

11 *Cui, J., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2017). Deterrence of cyber attackers in a three-

player behavioral game. In S. Rass, B. An, C. Kiekintveld, F. Fang, & S. Schauer (Eds.), Decision and game theory for security: GameSec 2017 (pp. 718-736). New York: Springer.

10 *Nguyen, K., Rosoff, H., & John, R. S. (2017). Valuing information security from a

phishing attack. In D. Nicholson (Ed.), Advances in human factors in cyber security: AHFE 2017 (pp. 146-157). New York: Springer.

9 *Nguyen, K. & John, R. S. (2017). Perceptions and affective responses to

alternative risk-based airport security. In N. A. Stanton (Ed.), Advances in human aspects of transportation: AHFE 2017 (pp. 27-37). New York: Springer.

8 *Cui, J., & John, R. S. (2014). Empirical comparisons of descriptive multi-objective

adversary models in Stackelberg security games. In R. Poovendran & W. Saad (Eds.), Decision and game theory for security: GameSec 2014 (pp 309-318). New York: Springer.

7 Brougham, R. & John, R. S. (2009). Time perspective: Health, income, and age. In

R. Brougham (Ed.), New directions in aging research. New York: Nova Biomedical Books.

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6 Marjchrzak, A., Malhotra, A. & John, R. S. (2008). Enabling knowledge sharing effectiveness in structurally diverse distributed teams with organizational memory information systems. In I. Becerra-Fernandez & D. Leidner (Eds.), Knowledge management: An evolutionary view of the field (pp. 248-269). Armonk, New York: M. E. Sharpe, Inc.

5 Brougham, R. & John, R. S. (2007). Age differences in preventative health

decisions. In P. ONeal (Ed.), Motivation of health behavior (pp. 49-63), New York: Nova Science Publishers.

4 *Laumakis, M. A., Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1998). The emotional, cognitive and

coping responses of preadolescent children to different dimensions of marital conflict. In G. W. Holden, R. Geffner & E. N. Jouriles (Eds.), Children exposed to marital violence: Theory, research, and applied issues. (pp. 257-288). Washington, DC, US: American Psychological Association. doi:10.1037/10257-008

3 Margolin, G., & John, R. S. (1997). Children’s exposure to marital aggression:

Direct and mediated effects. In G. K. Kantor, & J. L. Jasinski (Eds.), Out of darkness: Contemporary perspectives on family violence. (pp. 90-104). Thousand Oaks, CA, US: Sage Publications, Inc.

2 Margolin, G., John, R. S., Ghosh, C. M., & Gordis, E. B. (1996). Family interaction

process: An essential tool for exploring abusive relations. In D. D. Cahn, & S. A. Lloyd (Eds.), Family violence from a communication perspective. (pp. 37-58). Thousand Oaks, CA, US: Sage Publications, Inc. [Chosen for 1996 Distinguished Book Award, Applied Communication Division, Speech Communication Association.]

1 John, R. S., von Winterfeldt, D. & Edwards, W. (1983). The quality and user

acceptance of decision analysis performed by computer and analyst, In P.C. Humphreys, O. Svenson, and A. Vari (Eds.), Analysing and aiding decision processes, (pp. 301-319). Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Co.

Research Reports 15 Fassbender, L., Brewster, M.E., Brothers, A.J., Gajewski, S.W., Harper, B.L., Eppel,

T., John, R. S., Hill, J.G., Hunter, V.L., Seaver, D.A., Wood, T.W., von Winterfeldt, D., & Ulvila, J.W. (1996). Application of value of information to tank waste characterization: A new paradigm for defining tank waste characterization requirements. (PNNL-11395 UC-630), Richland, Washington: Pacific Northwest National Lab.

14 Fassbender, L., Gregory, R., von Winterfeldt, D., & John, R. S. (1993). Assessing Technology Needs for Nuclear Waste Clean Up. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Institute of Safety and Systems Management.

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13 Fassbender, L., Gregory, R., von Winterfeldt, D., & John, R. S. (1993). Establishing Mixed Waste Problem Priorities for Nuclear Waste Clean Up. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Institute of Safety and Systems Management, 1993. [Abstract: Use of decision analysis techniques to determine Hanford cleanup priorities. Transactions of the American Nuclear Society, 65, CONF-920606, 1992.]

12 Gregory, R., John, R. S., von Winterfeldt, D., & Caban, A. (1993). Incorporating Nonmarket Values into Forest Fire Management Decisions. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Institute of Safety and Systems Management.

11 Chung, J., John, R. S., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1991). Qualitative and Quantitative Attributes of Societal Risk Judgments. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Institute of Safety and Systems Management.

10 Wertenbroch, K., John, R. S., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1991). Modeling Risk Judgments with Qualitative and Quantitative Attributes. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Institute of Safety and Systems Management.

9 John, R. S., Petak, W., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1987). Multiple Hazards Risk Assessment Methodology. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Institute of Safety and Systems Management, Risk and Emergency Management Laboratory.

8 Von Winterfeldt, D. & John, R. S. (1986). Value Tree Analysis of Alternative Ordinances for Earthquakeproofing Masonry Buildings in Los Angeles. Green Bay: University of Wisconsin, Center for Public Administration and Policy Science.

7 John, R. S., Keeney, R., Petak, W., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1985). Evaluation of Risk Assessment Methodologies for Prioritizing Remedial Dam Safety Projects. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Institute of Safety and Systems Management, Risk and Emergency Management Laboratory.

6 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. (1982). Learning and Recovering Additive and Multiplicative Value Functions: A Criterion Validation of Multiattribute Utility Techniques (Tech. Rep. No. 82-1), with D. von Winterfeldt. Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Social Science Research Institute.

5 John, R. S., Collins, L., & Edwards, W. (1980). A Comparison of Importance Weights for MAU Analysis Derived from Holistic, Indifference, Direct Subjective, and Rank Order Judgments (Tech. Rep. No. 80-4). Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Social Science Research Institute.

4 John, R. S. & Edwards, W., von Winterfeldt, D., & Barron, F.H. (1980). Equal Weights, Flat Maxima, and Trivial Decisions (Tech. Rep. No. 80-2). Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Social Science Research Institute.

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3 John, R. S. & Edwards, W. (1978). Subjective versus Statistical Importance Weights: A Criterion Validation (Tech. Rep. No. 78-5). Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Social Science Research Institute.

2 John, R. S. & Edwards, W. (1978). Importance Weight Assessment for Additive, Riskless Preference Functions: A Review (Tech. Rep. No. 78-3). Los Angeles: University of Southern California, Social Science Research Institute.

1 Adams, E., Armistead, S. Chandler, K., John, R. S., Johnson, S., Keenan, M., Riche, C., & York, C. (1976). Attitude and Behavior Change in Electrical Energy Consumption (Research Rep. NSF-SOS Grant SMI76-08121), Atlanta: Georgia Institute of Technology.

Invited Research Presentations

19 John, R. S. A conceptual framework for quantifying the Value of Deterrence. Invited talk at the 10th Annual Workshop on Security and Human Behavior (SHB-2017), Cambridge University, UK, May 25-26, 2017.

18 John, R. S. A taxonomy of ISIL followers. Invited talk at ISAT Workshop on the Technology of Mass Empowerment meets Radicalization: Threats, Mitigations, and Consequences, Information Science and Technology (ISAT), Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), MIT Endicott House, Dedham, Massachusetts, February 16-17, 2017,

17 John, R. S. Adversary Risk Analysis (ARA): An application of behavioral, normative and prescriptive decision sciences. Invited colloquium presentation, Department of Management, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK, November 25, 2016.

16 John, R. S. Bayesian reasoning: Biases, de-biasing, and applications. Invited lecture, Seminar on Behavioral Decision Science for Management and Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK, November 24, 2016.

15 John, R. S. Value of deterrence (VoD) analysis: A decision analytic framework. Invited Colloquium Presentation, School of Business and Economics, Loughborough University, UK, November 23, 2016.

14 John, R. S. Simulation of public response to a biological attack. Invited presentation at the ISAT Symbiotic Architectures for Social Simulation (SASS) Workshop, Information Science and Technology (ISAT), Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), Institute for Creative Technologies, Playa Vista, California, October 28-29, 2016.

13 John, R. S., Siebert, J., & von Winterfeldt, D. Convergent validation of a methodology for identifying and structuring the objectives of the “Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant” (ISIL) and its followers. Invited presentation at the 2nd Workshop on Validating Adversary Models, Niagra Falls, N.Y., August 2-4, 2015.

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12 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Validation of adversary utility assessment by proxy. Invited presentation at the 1st conference Validating Utility Models of Adversary Behavior. Buffalo/Niagara Falls, June 23-26, 2013.

11 John, R. S. and Rosoff, H. Effects of propinquity and causal origin on the dynamics of affect and behavioral intention during a two week video simulation of an escalating and deadly flu outbreak. Invited presentation at the Workshop on Risk Perception and Risk-Related Behaviors: Anticipating and Responding to Crisis, USC, Los Angeles, California, March, 2010.

10 John, R. S. Invited Discussant of “Estimating the probability of false conviction for criminal defendants who are sentenced to death” (O'Brien, B., Hu, C., & Gross, S.), Proceedings of the 4th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies (CELS), University of Southern California Law School, November 20-21, 2009.

9 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Value focused thinking for counterterrorism risk analysis.

Invited presentation at the annual Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Summit Meeting. Washington, D.C., March 17-18, 2009.

8 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Perspective taking: Avoiding the zero-sum trap. Invited

presentation at the Conference on Behavioral Economics and Terrorism, USC, Los Angeles, California August 15-16, 2008.

7 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Probabilistic project management for a terrorist planning a

dirty bomb attack on a major US port. Invited presentation at the Naval Postgraduate School Workshop on Critical Infrastructure, Monterrey, California, June 6-7, 2008.

6 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Random utility modeling for the rational terrorist. Invited

presentation at the 3rd Annual Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Risk Symposium, Santa Fe, New Mexico, March 11-13, 2008.

5 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Random utility modeling of terrorist preferences to estimate

terrorist attack probability. Invited presentation at the 2nd Annual Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Risk Symposium, Santa Fe, New Mexico, March 25-26, 2007.

4 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Modeling terrorist motivations and beliefs. Invited presentation at the Annual Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Summit Meeting, Washington, D.C., March 15-16, 2007.

3 John, R. S. On the uses of expert judgment for complex technical problems. Invited

presentation at the CEC/DOE Workshop on Uncertainty Analysis in Consequence Assessments, Santa Fe, New Mexico, November, 1989.

2 John, R. S. Comparison of multiattribute utility software. Invited presentation at the

FAW Workshop on Decision Analysis and Knowledge-Based Reasoning, Ulm, West Germany, September, 1989.

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1 John, R. S. Convergence of rule-based expert systems and multiattribute utility

models. Invited presentation at the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Expert Judgment and Expert Systems, Porto, Portugal, August, 1986.

Selected Conference Presentations

110 John, R. S. On the problem of using machine learning for individual risk assessment. Research paper presented at the 11th Annual Workshop on Security and Human Behavior (SHB-2018), CMU, Pittsburgh, May 24-25, 2018.

109 John, R. S. & Baucum, M. Preemptive self-defense: A signal detection perspective.

Research paper presented at the Annual American Psychology and Law Society Conference, (AP-LS 2018), Memphis, March 8-10, 2018.

108 John, R. S. On spotting the terrorist in a crowd. Research paper presented at the

56th Annual Bayesian Research Conference. Fullerton, California, March 2-3, 2018.

107 John, R. S. A signal detection model and analysis of risk-based threat assessment. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Arlington, Va., December 11-13, 2017.

106 John, R. S. & Nguyen, K. Comparing verbal and numeric forecasts: New findings

and implications. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Arlington, Va., December 11-13, 2017.

105 John, R. S. Using representative priors in terrorism risk assessment for individuals:

A signal detection framework. Research paper presented at the 25th International Meeting of the Brunswik Society, Vancouver, November 9, 2017.

104 John, R. S. Individual terrorism risk assessment: A signal detection theory

framework. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Houston, October, 22-25, 2017.

103 John, R. S. Modeling the value of deterrence. Research paper presented at the

Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, San Diego, December 12-14, 2016.

102 John, R. S., von Winterfeldt, D., Seibert, J. Identifying, structuring, and comparing the objectives of terrorists. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, San Diego, December 12-14, 2016.

101 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. The influence of priors during criminal investigation on posterior likelihood of guilt and verdict. Research paper presented at the Psychonomic Society annual meeting, Boston, November 18-20, 2016.

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100 John, R. S., von Winterfeldt, D. Seibert, J., Keeney, G., & Rosoff, H. Identifying and structuring the objectives of terrorists. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Nashville, November 13-16, 2016.

99 John, R. S. Behavioral experimentation on deterrence. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Nashville, November 13-16, 2016.

98 John, R. S. A framework for assessing the value of deterrence. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual International meeting of the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Kona, Hi. June 12-15, 2016.

97 John, R. S., Cui, J. & Rosoff, H. Deterrence and coordination in a three-player cyber security game. Research paper presented at the 9th Annual Workshop on Security and Human Behavior (SHB-2016), Harvard Law School, Cambridge, June 8-9, 2016.

96 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Prior expectations of future evidence. Research paper presented at the 54th Annual Bayesian Research Conference. Fullerton, California, April 8-9, 2016.

95 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Jurors’ perception of innocence: Impact on cumulative evidence evaluation and verdicts. Research paper presented at the Annual American Psychology and Law Society Conference, (AP-LS 2016), Atlanta, March 10-12, 2016.

94 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Individual risk assessment for terrorism. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Arlington, Va., December 7-9, 2015.

93 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. A framework for assessing the value of deterrence. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Arlington, Va., December 7-9, 2015.

92 John, R. S., Nguyen, K., & Scurich, N. Bayesian analysis of the prior probability of guilt and the presumption of innocence. Poster presented at 36th annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Chicago, November 21-23, 2015.

91 John, R. S., Nguyen, K., & Scurich, N. Bayesian analysis of the prior probability of guilt and the presumption of innocence. Research paper presented at the Psychonomic Society annual meeting, Chicago, November 19-22, 2015.

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90 John, R. S., Siebert, J., & von Winterfeldt, D. Identifying and structuring the objectives of ISIL and its followers. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Philadelphia, November 1-4, 2015.

89 John, R. S., Cui, J., & Rosoff, H. Conceptualizing perceptions of near misses. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Philadelphia, November 1-4, 2015.

88 John, R. S., Siebert, J., & von Winterfeldt, D. Identifying and structuring the objectives of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). Research paper presented at the Military Operations Research Society (MORS) 83rd research symposium, Alexandria, Va, June 22-25, 2015.

87 John, R. S., Nguyen, K., & Rosoff, H. Valuing security and privacy. Research paper presented at the 8th Annual Workshop on Security and Human Behavior (SHB-2015), Georgetown University, Washington, D.C., June 8-9, 2015.

86 John, R. S., Nguyen, K., & Scurich, N. Quantifying the presumption of innocence. Research paper presented at the 53nd Annual Bayesian Research Conference. Fullerton, California, March 13-14, 2015.

85 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., & von Winterfeldt, D. Modeling values and trade-offs of cybersecurity stakeholders. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Denver, December 8-10, 2014.

84 John, R. S., Nguyen, K., & Rosoff, H. Application of MAU to obtain public trade-offs in aviation security screening. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Denver, December 8-10, 2014.

83 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., & von Winterfeldt, D. Framing value-driven decision models for different classes of cyber adversaries. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), San Francisco, November 9-12, 2014.

82 John, R. S., Nguyen, K., & Rosoff, H. Convergent validation of a methodology for eliciting trade-offs for protected (sacred) values. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), San Francisco, November 9-12, 2014.

81 John, R. S., & Rosoff, H. Prescriptive multi-attribute models for disaster response for individuals. Research paper presented at the 2014 Advances in Decision Analysis Conference, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, June 16-18, 2014.

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80 John, R. S., Nguyen, K., & Rosoff, H. Equity as a protected value in security selection procedures. Research paper presented at the 52nd Annual Bayesian Research Conference. Fullerton, California, February 14-15, 2014.

79 John, R. S, Cui, J., & Rosoff, H. To transact online or not to transact online: Dilemmas involving privacy, security, and identity theft. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Baltimore, December 9-11, 2013.

78 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Public perceptions and trade-offs related to randomized security schedules. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Baltimore, December 9-11, 2013.

77 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Validation of adversary utility assessment by proxy. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Baltimore, December 9-11, 2013.

76 John, R. S., Scurich, N., & Lee, R. The good, the bad, and the ugly: Quantifying presumption of innocence in relation to criminal stereotypes and types of crime. Poster presented at 34th annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Toronto, November 16-18, 2013.

75 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Combined MAU and SOFTMAX Modeling of Uncertainty in Adversary Behavior. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Minneapolis, October 6-9, 2013.

74 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Validation of adversary utility assessment by proxy. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (INFORMS), Minneapolis, October 6-9, 2013.

73 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Contrasting decision models for different adversary groups. Multiple Criteria Decision Making sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Minneapolis, October 6-9, 2013.

72 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. The influence of disaster severity and outcome attribution on travel behavior. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Minneapolis, October 6-9, 2013.

71 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Public perceptions of randomized security strategies. Research paper presented at the 6th Annual Workshop on Human Behavior and Security (SHB-2013), USC, Los Angeles, June 3-4, 2013.

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70 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Randomized security: A deal too good to be true. Research paper presented at the 51st Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Fullerton, California, February, 15-16, 2013.

69 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., & von Winterfeldt, D. Heuristics and biases in cyber security dilemmas. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, San Francisco, Ca., December 10-12, 2012.

68 John, R. S., Scurich, N., Monahan, J. Unpacking risk estimates increases their perceived likelihood and relevance: Research on support theory. Poster presented at 33rd annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Minneapolis, November 17-19, 2012.

67 John, R. S., Scurich, N. & Scotti, A. The effects of database type and forensic laboratory error rates on the probative value of DNA evidence in a cold case. Poster presented at 33rd annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Minneapolis, November 17-19, 2012.

66 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Gain-loss framing, near misses, and cyber security. Applications in Emergency Management & Terrorism Security sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Phoenix, October 14-17, 2012.

65 John, R. S., Dillon, R. & Rosoff, H. Do near misses impact reference points to produce risk seeking behavioral responses to warnings? Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Phoenix, October 14-17, 2012.

64 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Modeling effects of counterterrorism initiatives on reducing adversary threats. Multiple Criteria Decision Making sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Phoenix, October 14-17, 2012.

63 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Modeling and exploiting adversary risk attitudes and trade-offs among conflicting objectives. Joint Decision Analysis Society and Emergency Management sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Phoenix, October 14-17, 2012.

62 John, R. S., Tambe, M., Pita, J., & Yang, R. Modeling games terrorists play. Research paper presented at the 5th Annual Workshop on Security and Human Behavior (SHB-2012), Google, Inc., New York City, June 4-6, 2012.

61 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Innumeracy and unpacking: Bridging the nomothetic / idiographic divide in violence risk assessment. Research paper presented at the

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Annual American Psychology and Law Society Conference, (AP-LS), San Juan, P.R., March 14-17, 2012.

60 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. Constraints on restraints: A signal detection analysis of the use of mechanical restraints on adult psychiatric inpatients. Research paper presented at the Annual American Psychology and Law Society Conference, (AP-LS), San Juan, P.R., March 14-17, 2012.

59 John, R. S., Tambe, M., Pita, J., & Yang, R. Games terrorists play. Research paper presented at the 50th Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Fullerton, California, January, 19-20, 2012.

58 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., Burns, W. Incorporating a value-focused decision model of public response into setting recovery policy following a large-scale biological disaster. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Charleston, December 4-7, 2011.

57 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., Barrett, A., & Bier, V. Value focused modeling of adaptive adversaries for informing countermeasure decisions. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Charleston, December 4-7, 2011.

56 John, R. S. Exploiting biases and heuristics in adversary judgment and decision making. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Charlotte, November 13-16, 2011.

55 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., Barrett, A., & Bier, V. Modeling effects of counterterrorism initiatives on reducing adversary threats. Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Charlotte, November 13-16, 2011.

54 John, R. S. & Scurich, N. A signal detection analysis of the use of mechanical restraints on adult psychiatric inpatients. Poster presented at 32nd annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Seattle, November 4-7, 2011.

53 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Using scenario simulation to assess the dynamics of affect, threat beliefs, perceived risk and intended avoidance behavior during escalating catastrophic biological disasters. Research paper presented at the 2nd International Conference on Integrated Disaster & Risk Management, Los Angeles, July 15-16, 2011.

52 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Value focused modeling for an adaptive adversary. Research paper presented at the 4th Annual Workshop on Human Behavior and Security (SHB-2011), CMU, Pittsburgh, June 17-18, 2011.

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51 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Modeling the dynamic bidirectional influence of attack threat and countermeasure decision making. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Salt Lake City, December 5-8, 2010.

50 John, R. S. & Siko, R. Knowing more but thinking less: Expertise and unpacking biases under uncertainty, Poster presented at 31st annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), St. Louis, November 19-22, 2010.

49 John, R. S., Kleiman, Z. Information moderates desirability bias in predicting uncertain future events, Poster presented at 31st annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), St. Louis, November 19-22, 2010.

48 John, R. S., Dillon-Merrill, R., Tinsley, C., & Lester, G. Mapping judgments of domestic intelligence policy alternatives, Poster presented at 31st annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), St. Louis, November 19-22, 2010.

47 Rosoff, H., John, R. S., Prager, F., & Shreveland, A. Do east versus west coast residents respond differently to a catastrophic biological outbreak?, Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Austin, November 7-10, 2010.

46 John, R. S., Dillon-Merrill, R., Tinsley, C. & Lester, G. Using MAU to structure domestic intelligence policy, Decision Analysis Society sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Austin, November 7-10, 2010.

45 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., Burns, W., & Prager, F. Structuring dynamic public response to multiple biological terrorist attacks, Sponsored presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Austin, November 7-10, 2010.

44 John, R. S., Rosoff, H., Prager, F., & Shreveland, A. How does the source of a deadly flu virus affect changes in beliefs, emotions, and behavioral intentions to react to a growing epidemic? Research paper presented at the 48th Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Fullerton, California, January, 14-15, 2010.

43 John, R. & Rosoff, H. How does government risk communication and social norm affect fear, perception of risk, and behavioral intentions following terrorist attacks? Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Baltimore, December 6-9th, 2009.

42 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Fear and loathing in Hollywood, Poster presented at 30th annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Boston, November 20-23, 2009.

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41 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist, Poster presented at 30th annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Boston, November 20-23, 2009.

40 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Value focused thinking for evaluating alternative counter-terrorism policies. Homeland Security and Counterinsurgency sponsored research presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), San Diego, October 11-14, 2009.

39 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Fear and loathing in Hollywood and elsewhere: Studies in

perception of risks from terrorism (asymmetric threats). Research paper presented at the 2nd Annual Workshop on Security and Human Behavior (SHB-2009), MIT, Cambridge, June 10-11, 2009.

38 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Faithful followers of Rev. Bayes seduced to the dark side. Research paper presented at the 47th Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Fullerton, California, January 7-10, 2009.

37 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Defender-attacker decision trees for terrorism risk analysis. Research paper presented at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) annual meeting, Boston, December 7-10, 2008.

36 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. The sum of our fears and egocentric zero-sum assumptions. Homeland Security sponsored paper presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Washington, D. C., October 12-15, 2008.

35 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Perspective taking and threat assessment. Invited research

paper presented at 1st Annual Workshop on Security and Human Behavior (SHB-2008), MIT, Cambridge, June 30-July 1, 2008.

34 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. What do terrorists really want? Research paper presented at the 46th annual Bayesian Conference, Fullerton, California, January 10-11, 2008.

33 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Estimating the likelihood of terrorist attacks by modeling terrorist objectives and values. Research paper presented at the annual meeting for the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), San Antonio, December 9-12, 2007.

32 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Cognitive, emotional, and behavioral reactions to terrorism events. Paper presented at the annual meeting for the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), San Antonio, December 9-12, 2007.

31 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Decision analysis by proxy for the rational terrorist. Decision Analysis Society sponsored paper presentation at the annual meeting

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for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Seattle, November 4-7, 2007.

30 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Cognitive, emotional, and behavioral reactions to terrorism events. Homeland Security sponsored paper presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Seattle, November 4-7, 2007.

29 John, R. S. & Rosoff, H. Estimating likelihood of terrorist attacks by modeling terrorist objectives and values. Decision Analysis Society sponsored paper presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Pittsburgh, November, 2006.

28 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Underlying random process moderates the effects of historical information on continuous probability assessments for past and future variables. Paper presented at annual meeting of American Psychological Society (APS), Atlanta, May 29-June 01, 2003.

27 John, R. S., Brougham, R. R., & von Winterfeldt, D. Prior commitment and forced group consensus affect continuous group probability distributions. Paper presented at annual meeting of American Psychological Society (APS), Atlanta, May 29-June 01, 2003.

26 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Predicting the future with neither consensus nor commitment. Research paper presented at the 41st annual Bayesian Conference, Studio City, California, February, 2003.

25 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Is it better to understand the data generating process or to observe the data. Research paper presented at the 40th annual Bayesian Conference, Studio City, California, February, 2002.

24 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Group probability distributions for continuous variables: Effects of prior commitment and forced group concensus. Research poster presentation at the annual meeting of the Society for Judgement and Decision Making (SJDM), Orlando, November 18-20, 2001.

23 John, R. S., Doyle, P., & von Winterfeldt, D. Exploring overconfidence: Response mode and question difficulty with four-choice stimuli. Research poster presentation at the annual meeting of the Society for Judgement and Decision Making (SJDM), Orlando, November 18-20, 2001.

22 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Quality of continuous probability assessments for past and future variables: Historical information provided and the underlying random process. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Orlando, November 18-20, 2001.

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21 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Effects of prior commitment and forced group consensus on group probability assessments of continuous variables. Decision Analysis Society sponsored paper presentation at the annual meeting for the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Miami, November, 2001.

20 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Correlation among expert continuous probability assessments and experts’ assessment of correlation. Research paper presented at the 39th annual Bayesian Conference, Studio City, California, February, 2001.

19 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Hierarchical linear modeling of risk judgments predicted by cognitive and emotional attributes of risk and gender. Paper presented at the annual meeting of Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM), Los Angeles, California, November 20-22, 1999.

18 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Correlations in expert probability assessments due to common cause and zero sum considerations. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the annual meeting of the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), Cincinnati, May, 1999.

17 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Constructing probability distributions from multiple experts. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the INFORMS National meeting, Atlanta, November,1996.

16 John, R. S., von Winterfeldt, D., & Wertenbroch, K. Contingent weighting of risk attributes. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the INFORMS National meeting, Los Angeles, California April, 1995.

15 John, R. S. Cognitive and emotional factors affecting perceptions of individual and societal risks. Paper presented at the 32nd Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Studio City, California, February, 1994.

14 John, R. S. Assessing technologies for nuclear waste clean-up. Paper presented at the 31st Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Studio City, California, February, 1993.

13 John, R. S. Monte Carlo analysis of preference uncertainties. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, Nashville, May, 1991.

12 John, R. S. & von Winterfeldt, D. Decision analysis with multiple stakeholders. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, Las Vegas, May, 1990.

11 John, R. S. Elicitation and representation of conflicting values, Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, Vancouver, Canada, May, 1989.

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10 John, R. S., Kapitan, L., & von Winterfeldt, D. Exploring large value trees and small ICBMs with TREEVAL. Paper sponsored by the TIMS College on Engineering Management at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, Vancouver, Canada, May, 1989.

9 John, R. S. Eliciting expert judgment in complex engineering problems -- the NUREG 1150 experience. Symposium participant in panel sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, Denver, October, 1988.

8 John, R. S. DA software dies faster than I can learn to use it. Paper presented at the 26th Annual Bayesian Research Conference, Studio City, California, February, 1988.

7 John, R. S. Multiattribute utility analysis software design. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, St. Louis, October, 1987.

6 John, R. S. Heuristic representation of multiattribute utility models in rule-based expert systems. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, New Orleans, May, 1987.

5 John, R. S., Homer, J., & Turban, E. Visual simulation and decision support systems. Paper presented at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, Atlanta. November, 1985.

4 John, R. S. Sensitivity of trade-off relations in multiattribute utility analysis. Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Psychometric Society, University of California, Los Angeles, June, 1983.

3 John, R. S. Value tree analysis of social conflicts about risky technologies. Paper sponsored by the ORSA SIG on Decision Analysis at the ORSA/TIMS Joint National meeting, Chicago, April, 1983.

2 John, R. S. On the issue of understanding versus prediction. Paper presented at the 1st Joint Meeting of the Psychometric Society and the Society for Mathematical Psychology, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada, August. 1978.

1 John, R. S. & Edwards, W. Subjective probability assessment and the shape of the distribution. Paper presented at the 18th Annual Meeting of the Psychonomic Society, Washington, D.C., November, 1977.

Courses Taught 1998-present (# Sections)

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PSYC 100 (6) Introduction to Psychology PSYC 274L (1) Statistics I PSYC 314L (38) Research Methods PSYC 315 (1) Psychological Testing PSYC 316L (3) Non-Experimental Research Methods PSYC 415 (2) Psychological Measurement PSYC 421L (5) Applied Multivariate Statistical Methods, aka Data Analysis PSYC 422 (9) Human Judgment and Decision Making PSYC 499 (2) Special Topics PSYC 500 (1) Overview of Quantitative Methods in Psychology PSYC 504 (5) Research Design PSYC 520 (1) Test Analysis PSYC 621 (1) Seminar in Quantitative Psychology: Bayesian Data Analysis PSYC 622 (8) Decision Analysis and Behavioral Decision Theory ISE 562 (7) Value and Decision Theory (Viterbi School) PPD 404 (7) Statistics for Policy, Planning, and Development (Price School) PPD 587 (3) Risk Analysis (cross-listed as ISE 587) (Price School) 1983-1997 SaSc 552 Probability, Risk, and Statistics SaSc 554 Applied Reliability and Risk Analysis SyMa 521 Operations Modeling and Analysis SyMa 525 Decision Analysis SyMa 549 System Dynamics SyMa 569 Decision Support Systems SyMa 579 Expert Systems for Systems Management SyMa 665 Systems Analysis DS 528 Managerial Decision Analysis (Marshall School) University Service University Committees 2014-2016 Member, University Park Institutional Review Board (UPIRB) 2006-2014 Chair, University Park Institutional Review Board (UPIRB) 2006-2008 Member, Undergraduate Curriculum Committee, Social Sciences

Subcommittee (SSS) 2002-2004 Member, Undergraduate Curriculum Committee, Social Science Panel 2001-2002 Member, Undergraduate Curriculum Committee, Arts and Humanities

Panel 1998-2002 Member, University Park Institutional Review Board (UPIRB) 1995-1996 Member, Academic Senate 1993-1994 Chair, University Graduate and Professional Studies Committee 1993 Member, Academic Senate 1991-1994 Member, Executive Committee, University Graduate and Professional

Studies Committee 1990-1994 Member, University Graduate and Professional Studies Committee

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Psychology Department Committees 2016-2018 Chair, Quantitative Faculty Search Committee 2015- Member, Executive Committee 2015-2016 Member, Graduate Studies Committee 2015- Area Head, Quantitative Psychology 2015 Chair, Merit Review Committee, 2014-2015 2015 Member, Chair Selection Consultative Committee 2014-2016 Member, NTT and TT Instructor Evaluation Committee 2013- Member, Master of Applied Psychology Program (MAPP) Committee 2011-2016 Member, Undergraduate Studies Committee 2009-2013 Chair, Progressive Master Degree Committee 2007-2013 Member, Master in Human Behavior (MHB) Committee 2007-2009 Member, Graduate Program Committee 2007-2009 Member, Progressive Master Degree Committee 2002-2006 Director of Undergraduate Studies