roadshow q3 2009 - vopak€¦ · q3 2009 summary further q3 2009 highlights: - new business...
TRANSCRIPT
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Roadshow Presentation 2009 Q3 2009 results
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 2
The world of Vopak
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 33
Agenda
Introduction
Highlights Q3 2009
Business performance
Growth projects
Financing
Outlook
Details and definitions used in this presentation are derived from the
Q3 2009 press release, which is leading.
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 4
Vopak transformation process
"This is an infrastructure play; the company is benefitting from the
outsourcing of this service by oil and
chemical producers, which form the
bulk of its customers. It is an under-recognized industry leader."
Canadian Investor
2007/2008/20092005/200620042003July 2002
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 5
Tank terminal:
key role in oil and chemical supply chain
Vopak Terminal Europoort – Rotterdam, the Netherlands
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 6
Reliability and efficiency“Crucial throughout the supply chain”
The oil and chemical supply chain
Vopak core processes
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 77
Vopak’s challenge
The challenge is to facilitate the current and future product flows:
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 88
Downstream Chemicals
Outgoing Logistics
Strategic position tank terminals
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 99
Logistic hub terminal
Where large flows of products merge – logistics crossroad
Houston, Rotterdam / Antwerp, Singapore and Fujairah
Example fuel oil
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 1010
Import / Export terminal
- Break or make bulk
- Local distribution
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 11
Industrial terminal
Vopak Singapore – Sakra Terminal
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 12
Vopak core businesses
Existing market
Oil
Chemicals
New products inexisting market
Biofuels
New market
LNG
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 1313
Growing demand for Vopak’s services by the oil industry
- Increasing product differentiation
- Increasing geographical imbalances
- Liberalization of new markets
- New giant oil players
Annual growth rate =
0,5%
Annual growth rate =
2,9%
Annual growth rate =
5,5%
Source: Wood Mackenzie
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 1414
Growing demand for Vopak’s services by the chemicals industry
- Increasing demand for storage
- Robust growth in developing markets
- Construction of new petrochemical complexes in Asia and
Middle East
World trade in major liquid chemicals
Source: CMAI
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 1515
Increased interest in biofuels leading to
growing storage demands
- Interest in biofuels is soaring
- Biofuels an answer to energy security and climate change
- Increased interest in biofuels from producers due to
subsidies and governmental requirements
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 1616
Worldwide LNG demand drives need for
independent import terminals
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 17
Drivers of structural growth in demand
Liberalization of previously closed economies
Countries setting individual
specifications for products
Growing demand for
environmentally friendlier fuels
Increasing geographical imbalances
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 18
COMPANY GROWTH
• Prioritizing new investments• Financing and partnerships
COMPANY GROWTH
• Prioritizing new investments• Financing and partnerships
MAXIMUM OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY
• Operational Efficiency Improvement• Enhancing maintenance plans• Preparing infrastructure for the future• Global procurement
MAXIMUM OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY
• Operational Efficiency Improvement• Enhancing maintenance plans• Preparing infrastructure for the future• Global procurement
Accelerated Strategy Execution
EXCELLENT CUSTOMER SERVICE
• Key Account Management• Focus on service and quality
EXCELLENT CUSTOMER SERVICE
• Key Account Management• Focus on service and quality
Scenario planning
Toolbox
Based on Reliability and Efficiency
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 19
Process Safety & Quality Performance
* Number of accidents relative to the number of hours worked
*TIR*
2
4
6
8
10
2006 2007 2008 HY1 2009
Spills
20
40
60
80
100
120
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 HY1 2009
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 20
Vopak market definition
Definition
Vopak’s competitive environment is defined as non-captive
marine tank storage for liquid oil and chemical products.
Primary competition
Independent competition renting only to third parties
Secondary competition
Partly using the capacity for storing own products
(Some traders, distributors, producers, state-owned companies)
Captive competition
Producers & traders using their capacity for storing only their
own products
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 21
Market share according to the definition
10 %
16 %
18.4 mln
67 mln
118 mln
185 mln
Oil
21 %
23 %
9.5 mln
5 mln
41 mln
46 mln
Chemicals
27.9 mln CBMVopak
72 mln CBMSecondary Competition
12 %
18 %
Vopak Market Share:
As % of total market
As % of primary competition
159 mln CBMPrimary Competition
231 mln CBMWorld Market
TotalStorage market
In mln cbm
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 22
Terminal capacity under construction
10%Growth as % of Vopak capacity
2.8 Million CBMVopak
7.7%Growth %
18 Million CBMWorld Market, incl. Vopak
TotalAdditional Worldwide
Storage Capacity
Demand growth in storage market
to support international trade flows
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 23
- 5 10 15 20 25 30
SPSE
Universal
Sunoco
Magellan
Dalian Port
LBC
Odfjell
STS
EAPC
Horizon
Sinochem
Vitol
SUMED
CIM
IMTT
CLH
NuStar
Kinder Morgan
Oiltanking
Vopak
0
Vopak - the global market leaderSource: company websites, including inland capacity and Joint VenturesIn mln CBM
Vopak
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 2424
Agenda
Introduction
Highlights Q3 2009
Business performance
Growth projects
Financing
Outlook
Details and definitions used in this presentation are derived from the
Q3 2009 press release, which is leading.
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 25
Q3 2009 Summary
Further Q3 2009 highlights:
- New business development opportunities announced
- Renewed cumulative financing preference shares
program of EUR 110 mln
- Concluded Asian Private Placement of SGD 210 mln
Q3 2009 EBIT excl. exceptional items up 29% to EUR 104.2 mln (Q3 2008 EUR 80.8 mln)
YTD 2009 EBIT excl. exceptional items increased by 21% to EUR 288.4 mln (YTD 2008 EUR 237.6 mln)
Events after 30 September 2009:
- Concluded US Private Placement of USD 680 mln
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 26
+27%107.6137.1EBITDA excl. exceptionals
26.628.0Storage capacity (in mln cbm)
94%93%Occupancy rate
+29%80.8104.2EBIT excl. exceptionals
+28%81.8104.3EBIT incl. exceptionals
∆Q3 08Q3 09In EUR mln
Q3 2009 EBIT excl. exceptional items
up 29% to EUR 104 mln
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 27
+21%237.6288.4EBIT excl. exceptionals
+21%316.7382.9EBITDA excl. exceptionals
+16%248.3288.6EBIT incl. exceptionals
∆YTD 08YTD 09In EUR mln
YTD 2009 EBIT excl. exceptional items
up 21% to EUR 288 mln
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 2828
Agenda
Introduction
Highlights
Business performance
Growth projects
Financing
Outlook
Details and definitions used in this presentation are derived from the
Q3 2009 press release, which is leading.
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 29
All divisions contributed to the
Q3 EBIT increase of 29%
CEMEA
Asia
Latin America
OEMEA
Other
North America
31%
24.2 31.627.9 35.9
8.4 13.0
5.8 6.2
Q3 08 Q3 09
Q3 08 Q3 09
Q3 08 Q3 09Q3 08 Q3 09
In EUR mln, - excl. exceptional items -
55% 29%
7%
22.8 26.4*
Q3 08 Q3 09
-8.3 -8.9
Q3 08 Q3 0916%
* CEMEA Q3 2009 result includes a positive one-off of EUR 2.6 mln
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 30
23.1
17.7
21.722.6 22.8
26.4
22.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008 2009
Chemicals EMEA“We consider it too early, especially for Europe, to
conclude whether the recovery of the chemicals
market is sustainable or not.”
4%23%Vopak Terminal Botlek Zuid, Rotterdam
16%
In EUR mln, - excl. exceptional items -
* CEMEA Q3 2009 result includes a positive one-off of EUR 2.6 mln
*
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 31
26.0
31.5
25.1
33.6
27.9
35.9
29.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008 2009
Oil EMEA“Robust demand for tank storage continues”
21% 34%Vopak Terminal Europoort, Rotterdam29%
In EUR mln, - excl. exceptional items -
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 32
23.4
30.6
22.9
33.9
24.2
31.6
25.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008 2009
Asia“Continued EBIT growth by expanding
capacity and efficiency improvements”
31% 48%
Vopak Terminal Sakra, Singapore
31%
In EUR mln, - excl. exceptional items -
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 33
7.5
11.4
9.3
11.2
8.4
13.0
9.2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008 2009
North America“Growth through acquisitions, effective cost
management and rationalizations”
52% 20%Vopak Terminal Deerpark, Houston
55%
In EUR mln, - excl. exceptional items -
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 34
5.3
6.4
5.15.5 5.8
6.25.8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008 2009
Latin America“Continuing steady performance”
21% 8%
Vopak Terminal Cartagena, Colombia
7%
In EUR mln, - excl. exceptional items -
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 35
Except for CEMEA, all divisions contributed to
the YTD EBIT increase of 21%
CEMEA
Asia
Latin America
OEMEA
Other
North America
36%
70.5 96.179.0 101.0
25.2 35.6
16.2 18.1
YTD 08 YTD 09
YTD 08 YTD 09
YTD 08 YTD 09YTD 08 YTD 09
In EUR mln, - excl. exceptional items -
41% 28%
12%
67.6 66.7
YTD 08 YTD 09
-20.9 -29.1
1% YTD 08 YTD 09
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 3636
Agenda
Introduction
Highlights
Business performance
Growth projects
Financing
Outlook
Details and definitions used in this presentation are derived from the
Q3 2009 press release, which is leading.
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 3737
Storage CapacityIn mln cbm
20.4 21.221.8
27.1
30.9
2008200720062005
+0.8 +0.6
28.0
+5.3
YTD Q3 2009
+2.9+0.9
20.2
2004
+0.2
2011
95% 94%96%94%92%85%
Occupancy Rate
Company growth supported by
healthy demand for storage capacity
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 38
Growth continues: Q3 2009 storage capacity
increased with 0.1 mln cbm
0.8 mln
0.1 mln
Total net capacity increase HY1 2009
Total net capacity increase Q3 2009
2.8 mln
-0.1 mln
0.2 mln
2.9 mln
Capacity under construction as per HY1 2009
Capacity commisioned in Q3 2009
Newly announced capacity additions Q3 2009
Remaining 2009 till 2011 (incl. LNG)
27.1 mln YE 2008 Capacity
28.0 mlnQ3 2009 Capacity
30.9 mlnTotal
In cbm
Vlaardingen, NetherlandsProduct: Biofuels and vegoils
Capacity addition: 54,000 cbm
Ho Chi Minh City, VietnamProduct: Chemicals
Capacity addition: 40,000 cbm
Barcelona, SpainProduct: Chemicals
Capacity addition: 5,000 cbm
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 39
Under construction: 2.9 mln cbm
Grand Bahamas, Bahamas
443,000 cbm
Penjuru, Singapore
40,000 cbm
Tarragona, Spain
14,000 cbm
Lanshan, China
4,000 cbm
Jakarta, Indonesia
250,000 cbm
Alemoa, Brazil
37,000 cbm
Banyan, Singapore
7,000 cbm
Sydney, Australia
75,000 cbm
Zhangjiagang, China
177,000 cbm
Caojin, China
16,000 cbm
Europoort, Netherlands
160,000 cbm
MOT, Netherlands
360,000 cbm
Gate, Netherlands
540,000 cbm
Westpoort, Netherlands
620,000 cbm
Barcelona, Spain
155,000 cbm
Gothenburg, Sweden
20,000 cbm
2011
Remaining cash spend Vopak EUR 0.3 bln
Total investment for Vopak and partners EUR 1.5 bln
Q3 2009
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 40
Gate terminal progressing well
Launching
customers:
Division: LNG
Start operations: HY2 2011
Capacity: 540,000 cbm
Product: LNG
All 3 roofs air lifted
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 41
Amsterdam Westpoort (Phase1)
• Phase 1: 620,000 cbm, potential total storage capacity of 1.1 mln cbm• 20 above-ground storage tanks, 11 x 40,000 cbm & 9 x 20,000 cbm
• A facility for blending (mixing) products and components• Seven berths at two finger piers and a quay wall
Artist impression of the Vopak Westpoort Terminal (Netherlands)
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 42
Announced feasibility studies
Artist impression of possible
LNG terminal in Fos-sur-Mer, France
Gasunie and Vopak jointly investigate the feasibility
for developing a distribution hub for handling and temporary storage of CO2 (CCS)
Vopak and Dialog Group sign Memorandum of
Understanding to develop storage terminal for oilproducts in Malaysia with an initial storage
capacity of 1.4 mln cbm
To explore and pursue further opportunities in LNG,
Vopak and Shell announced a joint venture to investigate the feasibility of a liquefied natural gas
(LNG) terminal at Fos-sur-Mer, France.
Vopak Terminal Kertih
(Malaysia), Existing Joint
Venture with Dialog
CO2 production
The Hainan Island (China)
Investigation into the possibilities of an oil
terminal at the Hainan Island, China
30 September 2009
20 July 2009
16 July 2009
HY1 2009
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 4343
Vopak’s growth based on healthy demand
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 4444
Agenda
Introduction
Highlights
Business performance
Growth projects
Financing
Outlook
Details and definitions used in this presentation are derived from the
Q3 2009 press release, which is leading.
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 45
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 HY1 2009
Total investments
147 188
446
268
800
In EUR mln
220
Including yearly sustaining CAPEX of around EUR 100-125 mln
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 46
2.11
2.49
2.42
2.20
1.76
1.61
1.71
2.54
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
2002*
2003*
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Q3 2009
Strategic financeNet debt : EBITDA ratio
Maximum Ratio under US PP
Maximum Ratio under other loans and syndicated revolving credit facility
* Based on Dutch GAAP
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 47
Effective access to financing sources
After 30 September 2009
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 48
USD 680 mlnSGD 210 mlnEUR 210 mln*USD 375 mlnUSD 396 mlnAmount outstanding
2017-2029201420122015-20222011-2016Redemption payment
3.5
> 3.75
3.75
Asian PP
3.5
> 3.75
3.75
US PP 2009
3.53.54.0
Minimum EBITDA /
Net Interest
Payable
> 3.75
3.75
RCF
EUR 1 bln
Covenant
TermUS PP 2001 US PP 2007
Maximum
Net Senior Debt/
EBITDA
3.75 3.75
Additional headroom
When financed with
subordinated debt
Up to 4.25
Maturity of debt funding further enhancedTotal program around EUR 2.0 bln
US PP = US Private Placement RCF = Revolving Credit Facility
As of December 2009
* Pro forma for Asian PP and Financial Preference Shares
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 4949
Agenda
Introduction
Highlights
Business performance
Growth projects
Financing
Outlook
Details and definitions used in this presentation are derived from the
Q3 2009 press release, which is leading.
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 50
Previous Outlook HY1 2009:
“For 2009, Vopak expects a group operating profit before depreciation and amortization
(EBITDA) of around EUR 495 million.”
EBITDA outlook 2009
Previous Outlook Q1 2009:
“For 2009, Vopak expects a group operating profit before depreciation and amortization
(EBITDA) of at least EUR 450 million.”(EBITDA) of at least EUR 450 million”.
(EBITDA) of around EUR 495 million”.
Q1 2009
HY1 2009
Current Outlook:
“For 2009, Vopak expects a group operating profit before depreciation and amortization
(EBITDA) of around EUR 495 million.”(EBITDA) of at least EUR 510 million”.
Q3 2009
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 51
Outlook Assumptions
Oil
~ 50% of EBIT
Biofuels and vegoils
~ 15% of EBIT
Chemicals
~ 20% of EBIT
Industrial terminals
~ 15% of EBIT
Healthy demand for storage capacity
Contract renewals
+
New storage capacity commissioned
STABLEROBUST MIXED
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 52
220.9272.9
Outlook 2009: in the EUR 475-550 mln range
* Excluding exceptional items, including net result from
Joint Ventures & associates
2006 2007 2009
EBIT*
369.5
EBITDA*
314.1
Outlook
2008
179.7
262.5
151.0
231.8
20052004
Guidance
429.3
320.4
At least 510
Q3 YTD 382.9
Q3 YTD 288.4
Long-term guidance ROCE of 16%
Bearing in mind substantial investments in green field projects/
expansions
Long-term guidance ROCE of 16%
Bearing in mind substantial investments in green field projects/
expansions
In EUR mln
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 53
“Confidence in the future!”
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 54
Appendix:
Detailed overview of projects under construction
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 55
Many projects under construction
2010
160,000O100%Netherlands, Europoort
155,000O50%Barcelona, Spain
16,000C50%China, Caojin
177,000C100%China, Zhangjiagang
75,000
7,000
4,000
40,000
250,000
37,000
443,000
cbm
O100%Australia, Sydney
Location Ownership Product* 2009 2011
Bahamas, Grand Bahamas 20% O
Brazil, Alemoa 100% O/C
Indonesia, Jakarta 49% O
Singapore, Penjuru 69.5% C
China, Lanshan 42% C
Singapore, Banyan 69.5% C
* O = Oil products, C = Chemicals, B = Biofuels, V = Vegetable oils, LNG = Liquefied Natural Gas
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 56
14,000C50%Spain, Tarragona
620,000O100%Netherlands, Westpoort
540,000LNG40%Netherlands, Gate
2010
360,000
20,000
cbmLocation Ownership Product* 2009 2011
Gothenburg, Sweden 100% O
Netherlands, MOT 16% O
Many projects under construction (II)* O = Oil products, C = Chemicals, B = Biofuels, V = Vegetable oils, LNG = Liquefied Natural Gas
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 57
This presentation contains statements of a forward-looking nature, based on
currently available plans and forecasts. Given the dynamics of the markets
and the environments of the 32 countries in which Vopak provides logistics
services, the company cannot guarantee the accuracy and completeness of
such statements.
Unforeseen circumstances include, but are not limited to, exceptional income
and expense items, unexpected economic, political and foreign exchange
developments, and possible changes to IFRS reporting rules.
Statements of a forward-looking nature issued by the company must always
be assessed in the context of the events, risks and uncertainties of the
markets and environments in which Vopak operates. These factors could
lead to actual results being materially different from those expected.
Forward-looking statement
–– –28 August 2009HY1 results 2009 58
–
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