robin hogan ewan oconnor cloudnet level 3 products

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Robin Hogan Ewan O’Connor Cloudnet level 3 products

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Page 1: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products

Robin HoganEwan O’Connor

Cloudnetlevel 3 products

Page 2: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products

Cloudnet data levels• Level 2a daily files

– High-resolution meteorological products on the radar grid

• Level 2b daily files– Meteorological products averaged on to the grid of each

particular model: separate dataset for each model and product– So far we have done cloud fraction and ice water content– Includes equivalent model values, both “raw” and “modified” to

make necessary adjustments to allow unbiased comparison, e.g.• Remove high cirrus from model cloud fraction if not detectable• Flag model ice clouds above rain; would not be used in obs.

• Level 3 files by month and year (& model version?)– Statistics of a comparison between model and the observations– Observed, and raw & modified model means on same vert. grid– PDFs, skill scores, correlations, anything that might be useful!

Page 3: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products
Page 4: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products

Observations

Met Office

Mesoscale Model

ECMWF

Global Model

Meteo-France

ARPEGE Model

KNMI

RACMO Model

Swedish RCA model

Cloud fraction

Page 5: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products

Monthly statistics• On model height grid

– Mean obs & model fraction– Frequency of occurrence

and amount when present (thresholds 0.05-0.95)

• On regular 1km grid for fair comparison between models– Contingency table, ETS, Q– Mean cloud fraction

• In four height ranges (0-3, 3-7, 7-12, 12-18 km)– PDFs of obs & model

fraction

• Height-independent– Contingency table, ETS, Q

Page 6: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products

Yearly statistics• Concatenation of

monthly statistics to produce yearly file with exactly the same format– Skill scores etc. all much

smoother

• If modellers prefer, we could group together periods with forecasts from the same version of the model

Page 7: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products

Intercomparison• Parameters on universal

1 km grid can easily be compared between models

Page 8: Robin Hogan Ewan OConnor Cloudnet level 3 products

What can we do about high cloud?• All models see more cirrus than observed, and

modification of model does not usually remove enough cloud to bring them into agreement– Are all models are wrong?– Does radar miss more IWC than it thinks due to small

particles?– Just a symptom of models having plane-parallel clouds?